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EDITION 1
GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT
IN DE X
INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................... 3
OVERALL COMMENTARY BY OANA ARISTIDE ......................................................................... 4
CHARTS
AFRICA
Morocco .............................................................................................................................. 9
South Africa ......................................................................................................................... 9
ASIA/OCEANIA
Australia .............................................................................................................................. 9
China ................................................................................................................................... 9
Hong Kong ........................................................................................................................ 10
Indonesia ........................................................................................................................... 10
Japan ................................................................................................................................. 10
Singapore .......................................................................................................................... 10
South Korea ....................................................................................................................... 11
Taiwan ................................................................................................................................ 11
Thailand ............................................................................................................................. 11
Vietnam ............................................................................................................................. 11
EUROPE
Austria ............................................................................................................................... 12
Belgium ............................................................................................................................. 12
Bosnia ................................................................................................................................ 12
Bulgaria ............................................................................................................................. 12
Czech Republic ................................................................................................................. 12
Denmark ............................................................................................................................ 12
Finland ............................................................................................................................... 13
France ................................................................................................................................ 13
Germany ............................................................................................................................ 13
Italy .................................................................................................................................... 13
Netherlands ....................................................................................................................... 13
Norway .............................................................................................................................. 13
Poland ............................................................................................................................... 14
Portugal ............................................................................................................................. 14
Russia ................................................................................................................................. 14
Serbia ................................................................................................................................ 14
Slovakia ............................................................................................................................. 14
Slovenia ............................................................................................................................. 14
Spain .................................................................................................................................. 15
Sweden .............................................................................................................................. 15
Switzerland ........................................................................................................................ 15
United Kingdom ................................................................................................................ 15
MIDDLE EAST
Israel .................................................................................................................................. 16
Turkey ................................................................................................................................ 16
NORTH AMERICA
Canada .............................................................................................................................. 16
USA .................................................................................................................................... 16
I NT R O D U C T I O N
Welcome to the Dun & Bradstreet Global Bankruptcy Report. This report
is compiled for you by the members of the Dun & Bradstreet Worldwide
Network (WWN).
Since 2005, our network of partner organizations has offered customers across
the globe access to the best local data, whilst maintaining a consistent
high-quality standard. Today, the network consists of 16 partners and
six Dun & Bradstreet-owned markets, collecting business information on over
200 countries. We work together to provide the best data, analytics and insights to help you
manage your business relationships.
As cross-border transactions increase, more and more customers have been expressing a need
for the analysis of bankruptcy trends to cover global markets as an index of real economic
conditions. It was to satisfy this need that we started compiling the Global Bankruptcy Report.
We are pleased to share that the number of markets covered has increased to 38. I would like to
extend a special thanks to the following WWN members who contributed local bankruptcy data
from their respective markets:
Altares, Bisnode, CRIBIS D&B, D&B Indonesia, D&B Israel, D&B Singapore, D&B Thailand, D&B
Vietnam, D&B Turkey, Huaxia D&B China, ICAP, Informa D&B, Interfax, NICE D&B and TSR.
The data compiled has been analyzed and edited by Dun & Bradstreet’s Country Insight team of
experienced economists.
Sabine Leferink
Dun & Bradstreet Worldwide Network Leader
OVER AL L C OMM E N TA RY
1
he Small Business Health Index measures year-on-year small business performance through payment patterns and credit use. The U.S. Overall Business Health Index provides
T
a year-on-year weighted average of Dun & Bradstreet’s Viability Score, Delinquency Predictor and Total Loss Predictor. The index ranges from zero (with all businesses recording
high levels of risk) to 100% (with all businesses recording low levels of risk). Data quoted based on data available as of January 30, 2017.
Corporate failures in Japan continued to decline in 2016, The number of corporate failures declined by 6.1% in
by 4.2%, reaching a new record low. Meanwhile, GDP 2016 as the German economy reaped the benefits of the
growth picked up pace over the course of 2016, but the structural reforms it implemented more than a decade ago.
country is yet to achieve escape velocity from the low- The weak euro was also a factor: the country reported
growth, low-inflation trap in which it has been mired for the largest current account surplus in the world in 2016
the past few decades. (remarkably, bigger even than China’s). Dun & Bradstreet
predicts the number of business failures to stay on a
generally downward trend in 2017-18, helped by a still
“Corporate failures in Japan declined by 4.2%, reaching
supportive monetary policy in the euro zone and robust
a new record low. Dun & Bradstreet does expect failure
domestic and external demand. Recently, we upgraded
rates to increase this year and forecasts economic
Germany’s risk rating outlook from ‘deteriorating’ to
growth at 1% in 2017 and 1.5% in 2018.”
‘stable’ due to generally positive economic trends. On
the labour market front, the harmonized unemployment
rate has dropped below the 4.0% threshold, the lowest
Even when considering the declining failure rate, the rate since the start of the data series. With virtually full
evident improvement is not so much due to robust employment, domestic consumption is likely to support
demand conditions as to banks’ leniency with regard to growth, but companies doing business in Germany should
rescheduling payments, SME financing facilities, as well factor in growing wage pressures over the coming years,
as the widespread practice of winding down operations especially as the country’s minimum wage was increased in
rather than going through a costly legal bankruptcy. January 2017.
Recent surveys also reveal that many companies have
severe difficulties filling positions, which should eventually
“Germany reaped the benefits of structural reforms,
translate into higher wages – and implicitly higher costs experiencing a corporate failure decline of 6.1%
for businesses. Meanwhile, the considerable seesawing in 2016. We forecast German GDP growth of 1.5%
of the Yen determines which segment of the economy is in 2017 and 1.9% in 2018, taking into account low
most at risk of payment difficulties and bankruptcy: at unemployment, the election, and monetary policy.”
the current level (a weak yen), the currency benefits large
corporations that have export revenue, and hurts small
companies that chiefly target the domestic market while Federal elections are scheduled for September 2017, but
relying on imports. Dun & Bradstreet forecasts economic these create less cause for concern than in other EU states.
growth of 1.0% in 2017 and 1.5% in 2018, but we also The Social Democrats have nominated Martin Schulz,
expect failure rates to start increasing as of this year. the former president of the European parliament, as new
party chairman and lead candidate. While it seems that
Schulz’s chances of ousting Chancellor Angela Merkel are
relatively slim, it is likely that under his leadership the
Social Democrats would renew the current EU-friendly
Grand Coalition with Merkel’s Conservatives. We forecast
German GDP growth of 1.5% in 2017 and 1.9% in 2018.
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
JAN JAN
FEB
MAR MAR
APR
MAY MAY
JUN
JUL JUL
2014
2014
AUG
SEP SEP
OCT
NOV NOV
DEC
JAN JAN
FEB
MAR MAR
APR
C HAR T S – AFR I C A
MAY MAY
JUN
2015
JUL
2015
JUL
Source: Altares
AUG
SEP
SEP
OCT
NOV
NOV
MOROCCO
AUSTRALIA
DEC
JAN
CHAR TS – ASI A / O C E A N I A
JAN
FEB
2015
MAR
MAR
APR
2016
2016
JUL
JUL AUG
SEP
SEP OCT
NOV
NOV DEC
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
50
100
150
200
250
JAN JAN
FEB FEB
MAR MAR
APR APR
MAY MAY
JUN JUN
JUL JUL
2014
2014
AUG AUG
SEP SEP
OCT OCT
NOV NOV
DEC DEC
JAN JAN
FEB FEB
MAR MAR
APR APR
MAY MAY
JUN JUN
JUL JUL
2015
2015
AUG AUG
2015
SEP SEP
CHINA
OCT OCT
Source: Statistics South Africa
NOV NOV
DEC DEC
JAN JAN
SOUTH AFRICA
2015
FEB FEB
MAR MAR
APR APR
MAY MAY
JUN JUN
JUL JUL
AUG AUG
SEP SEP
OCT OCT
NOV NOV
DEC DEC
GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
JAN JAN
FEB FEB
MAR MAR
APR APR
MAY MAY
JUN JUN
JUL JUL
2014
2014
AUG AUG
SEP SEP
OCT OCT
NOV NOV
DEC DEC
JAN JAN
FEB FEB
MAR MAR
APR
APR
MAY
MAY
JUN
JUN
JUL
2015
JUL
2015
AUG
AUG
SEP
SEP
OCT
OCT
NOV
NOV
INDONESIA
DEC
DEC
JAN
C HAR T S – ASI A / O C E A N I A
JAN
FEB
FEB
MAR
2016
JUL
2016
AUG JUL
SEP AUG
OCT SEP
NOV OCT
DEC NOV
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
JAN JAN
FEB
MAR MAR
APR
MAY MAY
JUN
JUL JUL
2014
2014
AUG
SEP SEP
OCT
NOV NOV
DEC
JAN JAN
FEB
MAR MAR
APR
MAY MAY
JUN
JUL
2015
2015
JUL
AUG
SEP
SEP
JAPAN
OCT
Source: Tokyo Shoko Research
NOV
NOV
DEC
SINGAPORE
JAN
JAN
JUL
2016
JUL AUG
SEP
SEP OCT
NOV
NOV DEC
GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
JAN JAN
FEB
MAR MAR
APR
MAY MAY
JUN
JUL JUL
2014
2014
AUG
SEP SEP
OCT
NOV NOV
DEC
JAN JAN
FEB
MAR MAR
APR
MAY MAY
JUN
JUL JUL
2015
2015
AUG
SEP SEP
TAIWAN
NOV NOV
DEC
JAN JAN
SOUTH KOREA
CH AR T S – ASI A / O C E A N I A
FEB
MAR MAR
2016
2016
JUL JUL
AUG
SEP SEP
OCT
NOV NOV
DEC
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
JUN FEB
JUL
AUG APR
SEP
2014
OCT JUN
NOV
2014
DEC AUG
JAN
OCT
FEB
MAR
DEC
APR
MAY FEB
JUN
JUL APR
2015
AUG
SEP JUN
2015
OCT
AUG
NOV
DEC
OCT
JAN
VIETNAM
THAILAND
FEB DEC
MAR
APR FEB
MAY
JUN APR
2016
JUL
JUN
2016
AUG
SEP
AUG
OCT
NOV
OCT
DEC
GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
100
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
JAN JAN JAN
FEB
MAR MAR MAR
APR
MAY MAY MAY
JUN
JUL JUL
2014
JUL
2014
2014
AUG
SEP SEP SEP
OCT
NOV NOV NOV
DEC
JAN JAN JAN
FEB
MAR MAR MAR
APR
MAY MAY
C HAR T S – E U R O P E
MAY
JUN
JUL JUL
2015
2015
JUL
2015
AUG
SEP SEP
SEP
OCT
Source: BelgoStat
BOSNIA
AUSTRIA
NOV NOV
BELGIUM
Source: Bisnode (Austria)
NOV
DEC
JAN JAN
JAN
FEB
2016
2016
JUL JUL
2016
JUL AUG
SEP SEP
SEP OCT
NOV NOV
NOV DEC
No. of companies declared bankruptcy No. of companies declared bankruptcy No. of companies declared bankruptcy
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
0
50
100
150
200
250
JAN JAN
FEB
Q1
MAR MAR
APR
MAY MAY
Q2
JUN
JUL JUL
2014
2014
2014
AUG
Q3
SEP SEP
OCT
Q4
NOV NOV
DEC
JAN JAN
FEB
Q1
MAR MAR
APR
MAY
Q2
MAY
JUN
JUL
2015
2015
JUL
2014
2015
Q3
AUG
SEP SEP
Source: ICAP (Bulgaria)
OCT
Q4
NOV
NOV
DENMARK
BULGARIA
FEB
CZECH REPUBLIC
MAR
MAR
APR
Q2
MAY
MAY
JUN
2016
2016
JUL
2016
JUL
Q3
AUG
SEP
SEP
OCT
Q4
NOV
NOV DEC
GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
JAN JAN JAN
FEB
MAR MAR MAR
APR
MAY MAY MAY
JUN
JUL JUL JUL
2014
2014
2014
AUG
SEP SEP SEP
OCT
NOV NOV NOV
DEC
JAN JAN JAN
FEB
MAR MAR MAR
APR
MAY
CH AR T S – E U R O P E
MAY MAY
JUN
JUL
2015
JUL JUL
Source: Altares
2015
2015
AUG
SEP
SEP SEP
FRANCE
NOV
FINLAND
NOV NOV
2016
JUL
2016
2016
AUG JUL JUL
SEP
OCT SEP SEP
NOV
DEC NOV NOV
No. of companies declared bankruptcy No. of companies declared bankruptcy No. of companies declared bankruptcy
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
JAN JAN JAN
FEB FEB FEB
MAR MAR MAR
APR APR APR
MAY MAY MAY
JUN JUN JUN
JUL JUL JUL
2014
2014
2014
AUG AUG AUG
SEP SEP SEP
OCT OCT OCT
NOV NOV NOV
DEC DEC DEC
JAN JAN JAN
FEB FEB FEB
MAR MAR MAR
APR APR APR
MAY MAY MAY
JUN JUN JUN
JUL JUL JUL
2015
2015
2015
AUG AUG AUG
SEP SEP SEP
ITALY
NORWAY
NETHERLANDS
FEB
JUL
2016
JUL
2016
AUG AUG AUG
SEP SEP SEP
OCT OCT OCT
NOV NOV NOV
DEC DEC DEC
GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
JAN JAN JAN
2014
2014
2014
SEP SEP SEP
2015
2015
2015
SEP SEP SEP
Source: Interfax
Source: Informa
RUSSIA
POLAND
PORTUGAL
JAN JAN JAN
2016
2016
2016
JUL JUL JUL
No. of companies declared bankruptcy No. of companies declared bankruptcy No. of companies declared bankruptcy
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
JAN JAN JAN
FEB
MAR MAR
MAR
APR
MAY MAY
MAY
JUN
JUL JUL
2014
2014
JUL
2014
AUG
SEP SEP
OCT SEP
NOV NOV
DEC NOV
JAN JAN
FEB JAN
MAR MAR
APR MAR
MAY MAY
JUN MAY
JUL JUL
2015
2015
2015
AUG JUL
SEP SEP
OCT
SEP
NOV NOV
SLOVAKIA
SLOVENIA
DEC
NOV
JAN JAN
FEB
JAN
Source: Bisnode (Southern Market: Serbia)
MAR MAR
2016
2016
MAY
2016
AUG
SEP SEP
JUL
OCT
NOV NOV
DEC SEP
GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY REPORT
C HAR T S – E U R O P E
SPAIN SWITZERLAND
2500 700
No. of companies declared bankruptcy
500
1500
400
300
1000
200
500
100
0 0
MAR
JUN
SEP
DEC
MAR
JUN
SEP
DEC
MAR
JUN
SEP
JAN
MAR
MAY
JUL
SEP
NOV
JAN
MAR
MAY
JUL
SEP
NOV
JAN
MAR
MAY
JUL
SEP
NOV
2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016
800 6000
No. of companies declared bankruptcy
700
5000
600
4000
500
400 3000
300
2000
200
1000
100
0 0
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
MAR
JUN
SEP
DEC
MAR
JUN
SEP
DEC
MAR
JUN
C HAR T S – M I DD L E E A S T
ISRAEL TURKEY
120 3500
3000
100
2500
80
2000
60
1500
40
1000
20
500
0 0
JAN
MAR
MAY
JUL
SEP
NOV
JAN
MAR
MAY
JUL
SEP
NOV
JAN
MAR
MAY
JUL
SEP
NOV
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016
Source: Dun & Bradstreet Israel Source: Dun & Bradstreet Turkey
CH AR TS – N O R T H A M E R I C A
350 35000
No. of companies declared bankruptcy
300 30000
250 25000
200 20000
150 15000
100 10000
50 5000
0 0
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
MAR
JUN
SEP
DEC
MAR
JUN
SEP
DEC
MAR
JUN
SEP
DEC
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