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Research

JAMA Psychiatry | Original Investigation

National Trends in Suicide Attempts Among Adults


in the United States
Mark Olfson, MD, MPH; Carlos Blanco, MD, PhD; Melanie Wall, PhD; Shang-Min Liu, MS; Tulshi D. Saha, PhD;
Roger P. Pickering, MS; Bridget F. Grant, PhD

Editorial
IMPORTANCE A recent increase in suicide in the United States has raised public and clinical
interest in determining whether a coincident national increase in suicide attempts has
occurred and in characterizing trends in suicide attempts among sociodemographic and
clinical groups.

OBJECTIVE To describe trends in recent suicide attempts in the United States.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Data came from the 2004-2005 wave 2 National
Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions (NESARC) and the 2012-2013
NESARC-III. These nationally representative surveys asked identical questions to 69 341
adults, 21 years and older, concerning the occurrence and timing of suicide attempts. Risk
differences adjusted for age, sex, and race/ethnicity (ARDs) assessed trends from the
2004-2005 to 2012-2013 surveys in suicide attempts across sociodemographic and
psychiatric disorder strata. Additive interactions tests compared the magnitude of trends in
prevalence of suicide attempts across levels of sociodemographic and psychiatric disorder
groups. The analyses were performed from February 8, 2017, through May 31, 2017.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Self-reported attempted suicide in the 3 years before the
interview.

RESULTS With use of data from the 69 341 participants (42.8% men and 57.2% women; mean
[SD] age, 48.1 [17.2] years), the weighted percentage of US adults making a recent suicide
attempt increased from 0.62% in 2004-2005 (221 of 34 629) to 0.79% in 2012-2013 (305 of
34 712; ARD, 0.17%; 95% CI, 0.01%-0.33%; P = .04). In both surveys, most adults with recent
suicide attempts were female (2004-2005, 60.17%; 2012-2013, 60.94%) and younger than
50 years (2004-2005, 84.75%; 2012-2013, 80.38%). The ARD for suicide attempts was
significantly larger among adults aged 21 to 34 years (0.48%; 95% CI, 0.09% to 0.87%) than
among adults 65 years and older (0.06%; 95% CI, −0.02% to 0.14%; interaction P = .04). The
ARD for suicide attempts was also significantly larger among adults with no more than a high
school education (0.49%; 95% CI, 0.18% to 0.80%) than among college graduates (0.03%;
Author Affiliations: Department of
95% CI, −0.17% to 0.23%; interaction P = .003); the ARD was also significantly larger among Psychiatry, College of Physicians and
adults with antisocial personality disorder (2.16% [95% CI, 0.61% to 3.71%] vs 0.07% [95% Surgeons, Columbia University, New
CI, −0.09% to 0.23%]; interaction P = .01), a history of violent behavior (1.04% [95% CI, York, New York (Olfson, Wall, Liu);
The New York State Psychiatric
0.35% to 1.73%] vs 0.00% [95% CI, −0.12% to 0.12%]; interaction P = .003), or a history of Institute, Columbia University, New
anxiety (1.43% [95% CI, 0.47% to 2.39%] vs 0.18% [95% CI, 0.04% to 0.32%]; interaction York, New York (Olfson, Wall, Liu);
P = .01) or depressive (0.99% [95% CI, −0.09% to 2.07%] vs −0.08% [95% CI, −0.20% to Division of Epidemiology, Services,
and Prevention Research, National
0.04%]; interaction P = .05) disorders than among adults without these conditions.
Institute on Drug Abuse, Rockville,
Maryland (Blanco); Division of
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE A recent overall increase in suicide attempts among adults in Biometry and Epidemiology, National
the United States has disproportionately affected younger adults with less formal education Institute on Alcohol Abuse and
Alcoholism, Bethesda, Maryland
and those with antisocial personality disorder, anxiety disorders, depressive disorders, and a (Saha, Pickering, Grant).
history of violence.
Corresponding Author: Mark Olfson,
MD, MPH, The New York State
Psychiatric Institute, Columbia
University, 1051 Riverside Dr,
JAMA Psychiatry. doi:10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2017.2582 New York, NY 10032
Published online September 13, 2017. (mo49@cumc.columbia.edu).

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Research Original Investigation National Trends in Suicide Attempts Among Adults in the United States

P
reventing suicide is a leading public health 1 and
research2 priority. However, despite policy and clini- Key Points
cal initiatives aimed at reducing suicide, the rate of sui-
Questions Has a national increase in suicide attempts occurred in
cide in the United States increased by approximately 2% per the United States in the decade since wave 2 of the National
year from 2006 to 2014.3 One recognized approach to prevent- Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions?
ing suicide involves improving the identification and treat-
Finding In this national epidemiologic survey of 69 341 US adults,
ment of individuals at high risk, including those who plan or
the percentage making a recent suicide attempt increased from
attempt suicide.4 0.62% in 2004 through 2005 to 0.79% in 2012 through 2013. The
Suicide attempts are the most powerful known risk fac- adjusted risk differences for suicide attempts were significantly
tor for completed suicide.5-7 During the first year after a sui- larger among adults aged 21 to 34 years than among adults aged
cide attempt, the risk for completed suicide varies from 0.8% 65 years or older; adults with no more than a high school
to 3.0% for men and from 0.3% to 1.9% for women.6,8-10 In a education than among college graduates; and adults with
antisocial personality disorder, a history of violent behavior,
Swedish study,8 the rate of suicide among individuals in the
anxiety disorders, or depressive disorders than among adults
year after a suicide attempt was nearly 100-fold higher than without these conditions.
the corresponding suicide rate among age- and sex-matched
community control individuals. By 10 years, 5% to 10% of Meaning A recent overall increase in suicide attempts among US
adults has disproportionately affected younger adults with less
adults making serious suicide attempts have completed
formal education and those with antisocial personality disorder,
suicide.9-12 Because 15% to 25% of adults who die by suicide anxiety disorders, depressive disorders, and a history of violence.
have received treatment for a suicide attempt within the past
year,11,13,14 a substantial proportion of suicide deaths are po-
tentially subject to prior intervention that could be identified ines trends in recent suicide attempts among nationally rep-
with a suicide attempt. resentative general population samples collected from 2004
Suicide attempts are important clinical events. They are a to 2005 and from 2012 to 2013. Because mental disorders24 and
major source of distress, morbidity, and economic burden. Most socioeconomic disadvantage25 have been hypothesized to con-
adults who make suicide attempts have anxiety or mood dis- tribute to the risk for suicide attempts, we sought to identify
orders and many have substance use disorders.15 In addition, whether recent trends in suicide attempt risk have differen-
approximately 18% of individuals who attempt suicide make tially affected subgroups with common mental disorders that
a second attempt during the following year.16 In 2013, the total are often a focus of clinical efforts to reduce suicide risk. Be-
annual estimated economic burden of suicide attempts in the cause an economic downturn occurred during the period un-
United States exceeded $8 billion.17 der study, we also assessed whether adults with markers of so-
Population-based surveillance of suicide attempts could cioeconomic disadvantage, including lower levels of
help to assess progress in efforts to reduce suicidal behavior. educational attainment and lower family income, experi-
Several prior reports18-21 have characterized trends in delib- enced a disproportionate increase in suicide attempt risk dur-
erate self-harm events among individuals presenting for emer- ing this period.
gency medical or mental health care. A limitation of these re-
ports is that they provide no information about self-harm
events that do not result in use of health care services. As a
result, relatively little is known about the underlying epide-
Methods
miology of suicide attempts and how it may have changed in Sources of Data
recent years. According to the National Longitudinal Alcohol The wave 2 NESARC (2004-2005) and NESARC-III (2012-
Epidemiologic Survey and National Epidemiologic Survey on 2013) were separate nationally representative face-to-face in-
Alcohol and Related Conditions (NESARC), the lifetime preva- terview surveys of 34 653 and 36 309 adults, respectively, re-
lence of suicide attempts among US adults 18 years and older siding in households and group quarters (eg, boarding and
remained unchanged from 1991 through 1992 to 2001 through group homes) that were conducted by the National Institute
2002 at 2.4%.18 However, an analysis of the National Comor- on Alcoholism and Alcohol Abuse.26,27 Multistage probability
bidity Surveys15 revealed that the proportion of adults in the sampling was used to randomly select respondents. First, pri-
United States who made a suicide attempt in the past year was mary sampling units, which consisted of individual counties
0.4% in 1990 through 1992 and 0.6% in 2001 through 2003. or groups of contiguous counties, were selected. Next, sec-
More recently, the rate of past year suicide attempts was re- ondary sampling units, which were groups of census-defined
ported as 0.5% among adults according to the 2008-2009 Na- blocks, were selected. In the third stage, households in the
tional Survey on Drug Use and Health.22 sampled secondary sampling units were selected. This sample
Despite an increase from 2004 to 2014 in the US annual involved random selection of eligible adults in sampled house-
suicide rate from 11.0 to 13.0 per 100 000 population,3,23 holds. The analytic sample was restricted to all persons 21 years
whether a corresponding coincident increase in suicide at- and older. The 69 341 adult study participants included 34 629
tempts has occurred remains unknown. If an increase has oc- in the 2004-2005 cohort and 34 712 in the 2012-2013 cohort.
curred, a characterization of which groups are at high and in- The institutional review boards of the National Institutes of
creasing risk would help focus prevention and early Health and Westat approved the study protocols. All partici-
intervention initiatives. Therefore, the present report exam- pants provided electronic informed consent.

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National Trends in Suicide Attempts Among Adults in the United States Original Investigation Research

The overall survey response rate for the wave 2 NESARC being potentially in the causal pathway of trends in suicide at-
was 70.2%.27 For NESARC-III, the household screener re- tempts, the multivariable analyses were not controlled for these
sponse rate was 72.0% with a person-level response rate of variables.
84.0% to yield an overall response of 60.1%, comparable to We used χ2 tests to evaluate group differences in demo-
rates for other current US surveys.28,29 The samples were graphic and clinical characteristics of the 2004-2005 and 2012-
weighted to adjust for nonresponse at the household and per- 2013 respondents with recent suicide attempts. Proportions
son levels, selection of 1 person per household, and over- of individuals with a suicide attempt within the past 3 years
sampling of young adults and Hispanic and African American were then compared between the 2 surveys. Risk differences
individuals. After weighting, the data were adjusted to be rep- adjusted for age, sex, and race/ethnicity (ARDs) assessed as-
resentative of the US population for variables that included re- sociations between the survey periods (2004-2005 vs 2012-
gion, age, sex, and race/ethnicity based on the Decennial Cen- 2013) and the risk for a recent suicide attempt. Adjusted risk
sus and American Community Survey.30 differences were obtained from SUDAAN (version 11.0; RTI In-
ternational) software using the predicted marginal approach
Assessments that back transforms the estimates from the logistic regres-
Sociodemographic measures included age, sex, race/ sion to the probability scale.39 The independent variable of in-
ethnicity, marital status, educational attainment, family in- terest was the survey period effect, with the 2004-2005 sur-
come, and current employment by self-report. The Alcohol Use vey as reference. Separate adjusted regression models using
Disorder and Associated Disabilities Interview Schedule– the average marginal prediction approach39 tested whether the
DSM-IV version (AUDADIS-IV) was used in NESARC,31 and the ARDs significantly varied across different levels of each strati-
AU DA D I S DS M - 5 ve r s i o n ( AU DA D I S - 5 ) w a s u s e d i n fication variable (additive interactions).40 All statistical analy-
NESARC-III.32 Past-year substance use disorders (alcohol use ses were performed with SAS (SAS Institute; version 9.4) or
disorders and drug use disorders, excluding nicotine depen- SUDAAN (version 11.0; RTI International) software to accom-
dence), past-year anxiety disorders (panic disorder, general- modate the complex sample design and weighting of obser-
ized anxiety disorder, and social phobia), past-year depres- vations.
sive disorders (major depressive disorders and dysthymic
disorder), and lifetime personality disorders (borderline, an-
tisocial, and schizotypal disorders) were assessed by struc-
tured diagnostic interviews. Test-retest reliability of AU-
Results
DADIS-IV is good to excellent for substance use disorders Correlates of Recent Suicide Attempt
(κ = 0.51-0.74) and fair to good for other psychiatric disorders Among the total sample of 69 341 study participants, 42.8%
(κ = 0.40-0.67),33-36 whereas reliability of the AUDADIS-5 is were men, 57.2% were women, and the mean [SD] age was 48.1
good to excellent for substance use disorders (κ = 0.50-0.85) [17.2] years. In the 2012-2013 survey, women (0.92%) were
and fair to good for other psychiatric disorders (κ = 0.35-0.54).37 more likely than men (0.64%) to have made a recent suicide
A series of questions were also asked of respondents to attempt (Table 1). In adjusted analyses, recent suicide at-
evaluate whether they had ever engaged in violence, includ- tempts were also significantly correlated with younger adults
ing starting a lot of fights, forcing a person to have sex against (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 12.65; 95% CI, 6.91-23.18); being
their will, swapping blows with a partner, using a weapon in a widowed, separated, or divorced rather than married or co-
fight, hitting a person so hard that they required medical care, habiting (AOR, 4.09; 95% CI, 2.68-6.24); lower educational at-
physically hurting another person on purpose, or robbing or tainment (AOR, 4.05; 95% CI, 2.45-6.70); current unemploy-
mugging an individual.38 To evaluate suicide attempts, re- ment (AOR, 3.37; 95% CI, 2.50-4.55); and a lower level of family
spondents were first asked if they had ever attempted suicide income (AOR, 5.71; 95% CI, 3.43-9.50). Each of the mental dis-
(“In your entire life, did you ever attempt suicide?”). Those who orders, especially borderline (AOR, 13.55; 95% CI, 10.29-
responded affirmatively were asked their age at the first and 17.85), schizotypal (AOR, 7.12; 95% CI, 5.44-9.33), and antiso-
most recent times that they attempted suicide. Individuals who cial personality disorders (AOR, 6.67; 4.45-10.02), and a prior
indicated that their most recent attempt was within 3 years of suicide attempt (AOR, 23.54; 95% CI, 16.46-33.67) were strongly
their current age were defined to have made a recent suicide associated with the risk for a recent suicide attempt.
attempt. A history of suicide attempts was defined as report-
ing that the first suicide attempt occurred more than 3 years Characteristics of Adults Reporting Recent Suicide Attempts
before their current age. Adults with recent suicide attempts in both surveys were pre-
dominantly female (60.17% and 60.94%), white (67.89% and
Statistical Analysis 68.92%), and not currently employed (58.30% and 59.37%).
Proportions of 2012-2013 respondents with recent suicide at- Mental disorders were common. Approximately one-half of
tempts were computed overall and stratified by demographic adults with recent suicide attempts reported having made a
and clinical subgroups. Because suicide attempt risk varies by prior suicide attempt. In both surveys, nearly two-thirds of
age, sex, and race/ethnicity,15 multivariable analyses were con- those with recent suicide attempts had borderline personal-
trolled for these respondent characteristics. Because sociode- ity disorder. Compared with adults from the 2004-2005 sur-
mographic characteristics (educational attainment, marital sta- vey who had recently attempted suicide, those in the 2012-
tus, employment, and family income) were conceptualized as 2013 survey were younger (21 to 34 years of age, 49.98% vs

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Research Original Investigation National Trends in Suicide Attempts Among Adults in the United States

with suicide attempts was significantly larger in the 2004-


Table 1. Recent US Suicide Attempt Prevalence and AORs of Recent
Suicide Attempts by Sociodemographic and Clinical Characteristicsa 2005 survey (43.24%) than in 2012-2013 survey (30.40%;
P = .02). In relation to their 2004-2005 counterparts, the adults
Suicide
Attempt, with suicide attempts in the 2012-2013 survey were also sig-
Weighted nificantly less likely to have an anxiety (45.36% vs 60.45%) or
Sample %
Characteristic (n = 34 712) AOR (95% CI) substance use disorder (49.15% vs 61.28%) (Table 2).
Sex
Men 0.64 1 [Reference] Stratified Trends in the Prevalence
Women 0.92 1.52 (1.14-2.00) of Recent Suicide Attempts
Age, y During the study period, the percentage of US adults who re-
21-34 1.48 12.65 (6.91-23.18) ported making a recent suicide attempt increased from 0.62%
35-49 0.87 7.24 (3.90-13.45) in 2004-2005 to 0.79% in 2012-2013 (ARD, 0.17%; 95% CI,
50-64 0.48 3.84 (1.92-7.67) 0.01%-0.33%; P = .04) (Table 3). In adjusted trends analyses,
≥65 0.13 1 [Reference]
significant risk differences in recent suicide attempts were ob-
served among adults aged 21 to 34 years (ARD, 0.48%; 95% CI,
Race/ethnicity
0.09%-0.87%; P = .02), non-Hispanic white (ARD, 0.24%; 95%
Non-Hispanic white 0.81 1 [Reference]
CI, 0.04%-0.44%; P = .02) and black (ARD, 0.28%; 95% CI,
Non-Hispanic black 0.75 0.77 (0.57-1.05)
0.01%-0.55%; P = .04) individuals, and adults with no more
Hispanic 0.75 0.71 (0.50-1.00)
than a high school education (ARD, 0.49%; 95% CI, 0.18%-
Other 0.70 0.71 (0.38-1.32)
0.80%; P < .002).
Marital status
We also tested whether the change across surveys in the
Married or cohabiting 0.43 1 [Reference]
percentages of adults who reported recent suicide attempts dif-
Widowed, separated, or 1.25 4.09 (2.68-6.24)
divorced
fered across strata (adjusted additive interaction P values). As
Never married 1.42 2.19 (1.47-3.26) an example, we considered whether the ARD for men (0.13%;
Educational attainment,
95% CI, −0.07% to 0.33%) was significantly different from that
highest grade for women (0.21%; 95% CI, 95% CI, −0.02% to 0.44%) (Table 3).
High school 1.01 4.05 (2.45-6.70) In these analyses, the ARD in suicide attempts was signifi-
Some college 0.97 2.99 (1.82-4.91) cantly larger for adults aged 21 to 34 years (0.48%; 95% CI,
College graduate 0.31 1 [Reference] 0.09% to 0.87%) than for 65 years or older (0.06%; 95% CI,
Present employment −0.02% to 0.14%). The increase in risk was also significantly
Employed 0.54 1 [Reference] larger for adults with no more than a high school education
Unemployed 1.15 3.37 (2.50-4.55) (0.49%; 95% CI, 0.18% to 0.80%) than for those who had gradu-
Annual family income, $ ated from college (0.03%; 95% CI, −0.17% to 0.23%).
0-19 999 1.67 5.71 (3.43-9.50) After controlling for potentially confounding demo-
20 000-34 999 0.83 2.80 (1.51-5.18) graphic characteristics, we found significant increases in re-
35 000-69 999 0.59 1.89 (1.11-3.23) cent suicide attempts among adults with a history of violent
≥70 000 0.32 1 [Reference]
behavior, antisocial personality disorder, substance use dis-
orders, depression disorders, and anxiety disorders and among
Past-year mental disorders
adults without anxiety disorders or substance use disorders
Depression 3.82 8.51 (6.50-11.15)
(Table 4). In adjusted models, the increase in suicide attempt
Anxiety 3.95 7.86 (5.66-10.91)
risk was significantly greater among adults with anxiety dis-
Substance use 2.58 4.52 (3.42-5.98)
orders (1.43% [95% CI, 0.47% to 2.39%] vs 0.18% [95% CI,
Borderline personalityb 4.57 13.55 (10.29-17.85)
0.04% to 0.32%]; interaction P = .01), depressive disorders
Antisocial personalityb 4.18 6.67 (4.45-10.02)
(0.99% [95% CI, −0.09% to 2.07%] vs −0.08% [95% CI, −0.20%
Schizotypal personalityb 4.28 7.12 (5.44-9.33)
to 0.04%]; interaction P = .05), antisocial personality disor-
Lifetime violent behavior 2.74 6.64 (5.03-8.76)
der (2.16% [95% CI, 0.61% to 3.71%] vs 0.07% [95% CI, −0.09%
Prior suicide attempt 9.17 23.54 (16.46-33.67) to 0.23%]; interaction P = .01), and a history of violent behav-
Abbreviation: AOR, adjusted odds ratio. ior (1.04% [95% CI, 0.35% to 1.73%] vs 0.00% [95% CI, −0.12%
a
Data from the National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related to 0.12%]; interaction P = .003) than among adults without
Conditions III (2012-2013). Results are based on weighted sampling and these conditions (Table 4).
adjusted for age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Recent suicide attempts are in past
3 years, including year of the survey.
b
Indicates lifetime disorder.
Discussion
41.51%) and more likely have a depressive disorder (53.93% vs Between the 2004-2005 and 2012-2013 surveys, recent sui-
25.52%), antisocial personality disorder (22.90% vs 13.13%), cide attempts became increasingly prevalent in the United
and a history of violent behavior (55.05% vs 43.52%). In a post States. The increase was particularly evident among young
hoc analysis, the proportion of respondents aged 35 to 49 years adults and those with no more than a high school education.

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National Trends in Suicide Attempts Among Adults in the United States Original Investigation Research

Table 2. Characteristics of US Adults With Recent Suicide Attemptsa


Survey Cohort With Suicide Attempt,
Weighted Sample %
2004-2005 2012-2013
Characteristics (n = 221) (n = 305) χ2 Test P Value
Sex
Men 39.83 39.06
0.02 .89
Women 60.17 60.94
Age, y
21-34 41.51 49.98
35-49 43.24 30.40
2.08 .10
50-64 13.30 16.57
≥65 1.95 3.05
Race/ethnicity
Non-Hispanic white 67.89 68.92
Non-Hispanic black 7.93 10.94
0.76 .52
Hispanic 14.47 13.71
Other 9.70 6.42
Marital status
Married or cohabiting 43.72 33.15
Widowed, separated, or divorced 27.56 32.86 1.50 .23
Never married 28.72 33.99
Educational attainment, highest grade
High school 35.99 42.93
Some college 51.52 45.25 0.88 .42
College graduate 12.49 11.81
Present employment
Employed 41.70 40.63
0.04 .84
Unemployed 58.30 59.37
Annual family income, $
0-19 999 41.75 46.20
20 000-34 999 19.11 20.19
0.32 .81
35 000-69 999 23.75 20.77
≥70 000 15.39 12.85
Past-year mental disorders
Depression 25.52 53.93 29.48 <.001
Anxiety 60.45 45.36 6.39 .01
a
Data are from the wave 2 National
Substance use 61.28 49.15 4.57 .03 Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol
Borderline personalityb 62.95 65.09 0.16 .69 and Related Conditions (NESARC)
(2004-2005) and NESARC-III
Antisocial personalityb 13.13 22.90 4.45 .04
(2012-2013). Results are based on
Schizotypal personalityb 30.36 33.34 0.31 .58 weighted sampling. Recent suicide
Lifetime violent behavior 43.52 55.05 4.54 .04 attempts are in past 3 years,
including year of the survey.
Prior suicide attempt 52.47 53.65 0.04 .84 b
Indicates lifetime disorder.

The increase was also larger among individuals with antiso- prominent role of mental disorders, including personality dis-
cial personality disorder, a history of violent behavior, anxiety orders, in risks for suicide attempts at the population level.
disorders, and depressive disorders than among those with- The upward trend in suicide attempts coincided with a na-
out these conditions. In the 2012-2013 survey, the highest- tional increase in suicide, although the 2 trends varied across
risk group consisted of adults with prior suicide attempts. Other demographic groups. For example, the risk difference in sui-
high-risk groups included persons with borderline, schizo- cide attempts was greatest among adults aged 21 to 34 years,
typal, or antisocial personality disorders and those with anxi- whereas the risk differences in suicide during this period were
ety and depressive disorders. These findings highlight an in- largest among adults aged 45 to 64 years.3 Although demo-
creasing prevalence of suicide attempts and underscore the graphic differences in the risk profiles for suicide attempts and

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Research Original Investigation National Trends in Suicide Attempts Among Adults in the United States

Table 3. Percentage of Adults in the United States With a Recent Suicide Attempt, Total and Stratified by Sociodemographic Characteristicsa
No. of Observations Recent Suicide Attempt
by Survey Cohort by Survey Cohort, % Adjusted Risk Adjusted Additive
Adjusted Risk Difference, % Difference Interaction
Characteristic 2004-2005 2012-2013 2004-2005 2012-2013 (95% CI)b P Valueb P Valueb
Total 34 629 34 712 0.62 0.79 0.17 (0.01 to 0.33) .04 NA
Sex
Men 14 552 15 122 0.52 0.64 0.13 (−0.07 to 0.33) .18 .61
Women 20 077 19 590 0.72 0.92 0.21 (−0.02 to 0.44) .09 Reference
Age, y
21-34 8005 10 158 1.02 1.48 0.48 (0.09 to 0.87) .02 Reference
35-49 11 044 9816 0.87 0.87 0.01 (−0.30 to 0.32) .96 .06
50-64 8403 8932 0.34 0.48 0.13 (−0.10 to 0.36) .25 .14
≥65 7177 5806 0.06 0.13 0.06 (−0.02 to 0.14) .15 .04
Race/ethnicity
Non-Hispanic white 20 153 18 601 0.60 0.81 0.24 (0.04 to 0.44) .02 Reference
Non-Hispanic black 6580 7350 0.45 0.75 0.28 (0.01 to 0.55) .04 .83
Hispanic 6351 6556 0.78 0.75 −0.01 (−0.32 to 0.30) .93 .17
Other 1545 2205 0.94 0.70 −0.25 (−0.88 to 0.38) .44 .14
Marital status
Married or cohabiting 18 863 16 635 0.43 0.43 0.01 (−0.17 to 0.19) .90 Reference
Widowed, separated, 9149 9421 0.91 1.25 0.44 (−0.15 to 1.03) .15 .18
or divorced
Never married 6617 8656 1.04 1.42 0.30 (−0.03 to 0.63) .09 .16
Educational attainment,
highest grade
High school 13 691 12 765 0.59 1.01 0.49 (0.18 to 0.80) .002 .003
Some college 12 037 13 040 0.92 0.97 0.08 (−0.18 to 0.34) .56 .58
College graduate 8901 8907 0.29 0.31 0.03 (−0.17 to 0.23) .74 Reference
Employment status
Employed 21 884 20 341 0.40 0.54 0.13 (−0.01 to 0.27) .08 .49
Unemployed 12 745 14 371 1.04 1.15 −0.03 (−0.48 to 0.42) .89 Reference
Annual family income, $
0-19 999 8342 9863 1.33 1.67 0.19 (−0.36 to 0.74) .49 .56
20 000-34 999 6988 7571 0.63 0.83 0.19 (−0.26 to 0.64) .41 .50
35 000-69 999 10 642 9280 0.46 0.59 0.16 (−0.10 to 0.42) .23 .38
≥70 000 8657 7998 0.33 0.32 0.02 (−0.18 to 0.22) .81 Reference
a
Data are from the wave 2 National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and 3 years, including year of the survey.
Related Conditions (NESARC) (2004-2005) and NESARC-III (2012-2013). b
Adjusted for age, sex, and race/ethnicity.
Results are based on weighted sampling. Recent suicide attempts are in past

completion exist, including age and sex, several clinical risk perienced disproportionately large increases in suicide at-
factors are similar, including depression, anxiety, and sub- tempt risk during this period, may have been particularly vul-
stance use disorders41,42; genetic risk factors may also be nerable to economic stress and psychological distress
similar.43 Population-based suicide attempt data comple- associated with deterioration in the US economy.
ment traditional suicide mortality as a measure of the na- Prior studies examining associations between economic
tional population burden of self-injurious behavior. factors, most commonly unemployment, and suicide47,48
The risk for suicide attempts was elevated among adults and suicidal behavior49,50 have yielded mixed results across
with high levels of economic insecurity, including those who countries and periods. Contextual factors, such as the gen-
were unemployed and had low family income and low edu- erosity of safety net programs and personal savings rates,
cational attainment.44,45 During the period when the NESARC- likely account for much of this variation. In the present
III survey data were collected and the 3 prior years, the monthly study, adults with no more than a high school educational
US unemployment rate (7.7%-10.1%) was considerably higher level experienced a significantly larger increase in suicide
than the unemployment rate period during and preceding col- attempt risk than did adults who had graduated from col-
lection of the wave 2 NESARC survey (4.9%-6.3%).46 Young lege. This pattern suggests that these socioeconomically
adults and those with less formal education, 2 groups who ex- disadvantaged individuals have borne a disproportionate

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National Trends in Suicide Attempts Among Adults in the United States Original Investigation Research

Table 4. Percentage of Adults in the United States, 2004-2005 and 2012-2013, With a Recent Suicide Attempt, Total and Stratified
by Clinical Characteristicsa
No. of Observations by Recent Suicide Attempt by
Survey Cohort Survey Cohort, %
Mental Disorders in Adjusted Risk Adjusted Risk Adjusted Additive
Past Year 2004-2005 2012-2013 2004-2005 2012-2013 Difference, % (95% CI)b Difference P Valueb Interaction P Valueb
Total 34 629 34 712 0.62 0.79 0.17 (0.01 to 0.33) .04 NA
Depression
Present 2179 4099 2.68 3.82 0.99 (−0.09 to 2.07) .07 .05
Absent 32 450 30 613 0.49 0.41 −0.08 (−0.20 to 0.04) .22 Reference
Anxiety
Present 5510 3095 2.50 3.95 1.43 (0.47 to 2.39) .004 .01
Absent 29 119 31 617 0.29 0.47 0.18 (0.04 to 0.32) .006 Reference
Substance use
Present 6895 5401 1.81 2.58 0.55 (0.00 to 1.10) .05 .18
Absent 27 734 29 311 0.31 0.47 0.17 (0.03 to 0.31) .01 Reference
Borderline personality
disorderc
Present 2226 4058 6.69 4.57 −1.49 (−2.82 to −0.16) .03 .02
Absent 32 403 30 654 0.25 0.31 0.07 (−0.03 to 0.17) .21 Reference
Antisocial personality
disorderc
Present 1222 1524 2.13 4.18 2.16 (0.61 to 3.71) .007 .01
Absent 33 407 33 188 0.56 0.63 0.07 (−0.09 to 0.23) .35 Reference
Schizotypal personality
disorderc
Present 1531 2287 4.82 4.28 −0.41 (−2.00 to 1.18) .62 .52
Absent 33 098 32 425 0.45 0.56 0.11 (−0.03 to 0.25) .12 Reference
Violent behavior
Present 5429 5555 1.77 2.74 1.04 (0.35 to 1.73) .003 .003
Absent 29 200 29 157 0.42 0.42 0.00 (−0.12 to 0.12) .97 Reference
Prior suicide attempts
Present 1135 1719 10.84 9.17 −0.86 (−3.47 to 1.75) .52 .49
Absent 33 494 32 993 0.31 0.38 0.08 (−0.04 to 0.20) .19 Reference
a b
Data are from the wave 2 National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Adjusted for age, sex, and race/ethnicity.
Related Conditions (NESARC) (2004-2005) and NESARC-III (2012-2013). c
Indicates lifetime disorder.
Results are based on weighted sampling. Recent suicide attempts are in past
3 years, including year of the survey.

share of risk associated with the recent increase in suicide high proportion may in part reflect the broad spectrum of
attempts. However, because trends in suicide attempt risk self-harm behaviors captured by the suicide attempt survey
did not significantly vary across family income level or cur- item. Adults with borderline personality disorder have been
rent employment status, the recent recession did not seem previously found to be at increased risk for completed
to influence suicide attempt risk in a predictable manner. suicide.52 Because borderline personality disorder is charac-
Consistent with prior research on emergency department– terized by “recurrent suicidal behavior, gestures, or
treated deliberate self-harm events,18-21 recent suicide at- threats,”53(p663) the strong correlation with suicidal behavior
tempts in this nationally representative sample of community- is not surprising. A high prevalence of suicide attempts com-
dwelling adults were more common among women than men bined with a tendency of some front-line clinicians to hold
and decreased with age. During the study period, the risk for negative views of borderline personality disorder54 under-
attempting suicide increased for young adults but did not sig- scores the importance of developing clinician training pro-
nificantly increase for middle-aged or older adults. Together grams to help improve the management of deliberate self-
with a recently reported national increase in the prevalence harm among patients with this condition.55 One encouraging
of major depressive episodes among young adults,51 the in- finding is that although most adults in the 2012-2013 survey
crease in risk for suicide attempts among young adults sig- who had recent suicide attempts had borderline personality
nals the importance of focusing on early detection of mental disorder, the risk of attempted suicide among adults with
health risk factors of suicidal behavior and treatment initia- borderline personality disorder significantly decreased dur-
tives in this age group. ing the study period. This trend may reflect increasing
In both surveys, nearly two-thirds of adults with recent access to more effective interventions for impulsivity in bor-
suicide attempts had borderline personality disorder. This derline personality disorder. A survey of US psychiatric resi-

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Research Original Investigation National Trends in Suicide Attempts Among Adults in the United States

dency programs revealed that 40.8% of programs currently ence of changes in the effectiveness of life-saving emer-
offer training in dialectical behavior therapy for borderline gency management of suicide attempts. Fourth, the
personality disorder.56 NESARC does not survey homeless or incarcerated adults,
A substantial and increasing proportion of adults who at- who have relatively high rates of suicidal behavior,61,62 nor
tempted suicide met criteria for antisocial personality disor- does it include an assessment of schizophrenia. Fifth, minor
der. Although individuals with antisocial personality disor- modifications between DSM-IV and DSM-5 criteria may
der are often perceived as having a high risk for violent behavior have biased results of trends in suicide attempts among
toward others,57 they also commonly have a history of sui- adults meeting criteria for the various mental disorders,63
cide attempts.58 In prospective research, adults with antiso- although these modifications do not influence the overall
cial personality disorder and other externalizing psychopatho- trends in suicide attempts or associations with sociodemo-
logic features have been reported to be at increased risk for graphic characteristics. Sixth, some important characteris-
attempting suicide.59 Antisocial behaviors may also be asso- tics, such as residence in a rural or urban location,64 were
ciated with increased risk for suicide.60 Although suicidal be- not available. Seventh, to increase sample size, a 3-year
haviors are typically considered in relation to depression and rather than a 1-year period was used to define recent suicide
other internalizing disorders, associations between antiso- attempts; this would be expected to attenuate associations
cial personality disorder and attempted suicide challenge this with past-year mental disorders. Finally, the surveys did not
stereotype. Future clinical research is needed to clarify the so- collect data from individuals who died of suicide. This lack
cial context, triggers, and motivation for suicidal behavior in may have led to an underestimation of suicide attempts in
this population. each survey.65

Limitations
In interpreting these findings, several limitations apply.
First, the NESARC surveys rely on retrospective self-reports.
Conclusions
Responses may be affected by inaccuracies in the recall of From the 2004-2005 to the 2012-2013 surveys, a national in-
the timing of events or the intention of self-harm events. crease in recent suicide attempts occurred. Because at-
However, we have no reason to believe that recall inaccura- tempted suicide is the greatest known risk factor for com-
cies differentially affected the 2 surveys or that memory of pleted suicide,6,10 reducing suicide attempts is an important
suicide attempts is easily perturbed by recall bias. Second, public health and clinical goal. The pattern of suicide at-
suicide attempts were assessed with a single survey item tempts supports a clinical and public health focus on younger,
that likely captured a wide range of behaviors, including socioeconomically disadvantaged adults, especially those with
interrupted, aborted, and potentially lethal and nonlethal a history of suicide attempts and common personality, mood,
attempts. Third, we have no means of assessing the influ- and anxiety disorders.

ARTICLE INFORMATION Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The sponsors had no Strategy for Suicide Prevention: Goals and
Accepted for Publication: July 4, 2017. additional role in the design and conduct of the Objectives for Action. Washington, DC: US
study; collection, management, analysis, and Department of Health and Human Services;
Published Online: September 13, 2017. interpretation of the data; and preparation, review, September 2012.
doi:10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2017.2582 or approval of the manuscript; and decision to 5. Kuo CJ, Gunnell D, Chen CC, Yip PSF, Chen YY.
Author Contributions: Ms Liu had full access to all submit the manuscript for publication. Suicide and non-suicide mortality after self-harm in
the data in the study and takes responsibility for the Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article Taipei City, Taiwan. Br J Psychiatry. 2012;200(5):
integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data are the author's own and do not reflect the view of 405-411.
analysis. the NIH, the Department of Health and Human
Study concept and design: Olfson, Blanco, Wall. 6. Hawton K, Bergen H, Cooper J, et al. Suicide
Services, or the US government. following self-harm: findings from the Multicentre
Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: All
authors. Study of Self-Harm in England, 2000-2012. J Affect
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