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Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22

October 2018 PAGE 1


Table 1-1
QUESTION 1:
Do state and county records show you to be registered as...

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

REPUBLICAN 160 23 55 39 43 160 - - 152 8 141 131 10 4 4 - 15 150 138 11 7 3 5


40% 37% 50% 41% 32% 100% - - 40% 48% 74% 79% 41% 3% 3% 1% 33% 65% 73% 28% 5% 2% 26%

INDEPENDENT OR UNAFFILIATED 72 16 15 15 26 - - 72 68 4 26 16 10 32 24 8 14 33 23 10 37 30 7
18% 25% 14% 16% 20% - - 100% 18% 24% 14% 10% 40% 20% 19% 25% 31% 15% 12% 25% 24% 22% 40%

DEMOCRATIC 152 22 36 37 57 - 152 - 149 3 15 12 3 123 100 23 12 39 25 14 106 100 5


38% 35% 33% 39% 43% - 100% - 39% 18% 8% 7% 12% 76% 77% 71% 27% 17% 13% 35% 68% 73% 29%

UNSURE / REFUSED 16 2 4 3 7 - - - 14 2 8 6 2 2 1 1 5 9 4 5 6 5 1
4% 3% 4% 3% 5% - - - 4% 11% 4% 4% 8% 1% 1% 3% 10% 4% 2% 12% 4% 4% 4%

(REPUBLICAN - DEMOCRATIC) 8 1 19 2 -14 160 -152 - 3 5 126 119 7 -119 -96 -23 3 111 114 -3 -98 -98 -1
2% 1% 17% 2% -10% 100% -100% - 1% 30% 66% 72% 29% -73% -74% -70% 6% 48% 60% -7% -63% -71% -3%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 2
Table 1-2
QUESTION 1:
Do state and county records show you to be registered as...

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

REPUBLICAN 160 7 3 157 77 80 128 18 28 107 147 134 138 5 16 144 12 4


40% 27% 2% 61% 57% 65% 68% 10% 14% 69% 40% 39% 76% 3% 29% 72% 7% 13%

INDEPENDENT OR UNAFFILIATED 72 8 28 42 25 17 29 37 41 21 68 62 25 26 16 23 38 11
18% 30% 21% 16% 18% 14% 15% 21% 21% 14% 18% 18% 14% 17% 29% 12% 22% 37%

DEMOCRATIC 152 10 98 49 28 21 25 112 121 20 144 134 15 114 17 25 115 12


38% 36% 74% 19% 21% 17% 14% 64% 62% 13% 39% 39% 8% 77% 32% 12% 68% 40%

UNSURE / REFUSED 16 2 4 11 6 5 5 7 5 6 12 11 5 4 6 7 5 3
4% 7% 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 11% 4% 3% 9%

(REPUBLICAN - DEMOCRATIC) 8 -3 -95 108 49 60 103 -95 -93 87 3 -1 123 -110 -2 120 -103 -8
2% -10% -72% 42% 36% 49% 55% -54% -48% 56% 1% - 68% -74% -3% 60% -61% -27%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 3
Table 1-3
QUESTION 1:
Do state and county records show you to be registered as...

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

REPUBLICAN 160 151 6 2 2 145 2 7 2 1 77 83 77 83 - - - -


40% 68% 4% 10% 34% 39% 31% 100% 31% 20% 40% 40% 100% 100% - - - -

INDEPENDENT OR UNAFFILIATED 72 30 32 9 2 66 1 - 1 3 38 35 - - - - 38 35
18% 13% 20% 53% 49% 18% 19% - 14% 42% 19% 17% - - - - 100% 100%

DEMOCRATIC 152 32 113 6 - 141 3 - 4 2 72 80 - - 72 80 - -


38% 14% 72% 33% 9% 38% 51% - 55% 38% 37% 39% - - 100% 100% - -

UNSURE / REFUSED 16 8 6 1 - 15 - - - - 7 9 - - - - - -
4% 4% 4% 4% 8% 4% - - - - 4% 4% - - - - - -

(REPUBLICAN - DEMOCRATIC) 8 119 -108 -4 1 4 -1 7 -2 -1 5 3 77 83 -72 -80 - -


2% 54% -69% -23% 25% 1% -20% 100% -24% -18% 2% 2% 100% 100% -100% -100% - -
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 4
Table 2-1
QUESTION 2:
Now looking ahead to the upcoming election in November, how likely would you say you are to vote in the election this November? Would you say you are...

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

VERY LIKELY 382 61 103 91 127 152 149 68 382 - 185 162 23 160 129 31 36 219 181 38 152 135 17
96% 97% 93% 98% 95% 95% 98% 94% 100% - 98% 98% 93% 99% 100% 94% 78% 95% 95% 93% 98% 98% 93%

SOMEWHAT LIKELY 18 2 7 2 6 8 3 4 - 18 5 3 2 2 - 2 10 12 9 3 4 2 1
4% 3% 7% 2% 5% 5% 2% 6% - 100% 2% 2% 7% 1% - 6% 22% 5% 5% 7% 2% 2% 7%

(VERY LIKELY - SOMEWHAT 365 59 95 89 121 143 146 64 382 -18 180 159 21 158 129 29 25 207 173 35 149 133 16
LIKELY) 91% 93% 86% 96% 91% 89% 96% 89% 100% -100% 95% 96% 86% 97% 100% 87% 56% 90% 91% 85% 95% 97% 87%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 5
Table 2-2
QUESTION 2:
Now looking ahead to the upcoming election in November, how likely would you say you are to vote in the election this November? Would you say you are...

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

VERY LIKELY 382 24 130 243 132 112 185 165 188 149 358 329 173 144 51 190 166 24
96% 90% 98% 94% 97% 91% 98% 94% 97% 97% 97% 97% 95% 97% 94% 96% 98% 84%

SOMEWHAT LIKELY 18 3 3 15 4 11 3 11 6 5 13 11 9 4 3 9 3 5
4% 10% 2% 6% 3% 9% 2% 6% 3% 3% 3% 3% 5% 3% 6% 4% 2% 16%

(VERY LIKELY - SOMEWHAT 365 22 127 229 128 101 181 154 182 144 345 318 163 140 48 182 163 19
LIKELY) 91% 79% 96% 89% 94% 82% 96% 88% 94% 93% 93% 93% 90% 94% 87% 91% 97% 67%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 6
Table 2-3
QUESTION 2:
Now looking ahead to the upcoming election in November, how likely would you say you are to vote in the election this November? Would you say you are...

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

VERY LIKELY 382 207 154 17 3 354 6 2 7 6 189 193 74 78 72 77 36 32


96% 94% 98% 97% 74% 97% 93% 30% 100% 100% 98% 94% 96% 93% 100% 96% 96% 92%

SOMEWHAT LIKELY 18 13 2 - 1 12 - 5 - - 4 13 3 6 - 3 1 3
4% 6% 2% 3% 26% 3% 7% 70% - - 2% 6% 4% 7% - 4% 4% 8%

(VERY LIKELY - SOMEWHAT 365 193 152 16 2 342 6 -3 7 6 185 180 71 72 72 74 35 29


LIKELY) 91% 88% 97% 95% 47% 93% 87% -40% 100% 100% 96% 87% 93% 87% 100% 92% 93% 84%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 7
Table 3-1
QUESTION 3:
Now, thinking about the election for Congress that will be held in November - If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be
voting for ... And would you DEFINTELY vote for the Republican/Democrat candidate or just PROBABLY?

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL REPUBLICAN 189 29 56 49 55 141 15 26 185 5 189 165 24 - - - - 182 164 18 6 3 3


---------------- 47% 45% 51% 52% 41% 88% 10% 35% 48% 26% 100% 100% 100% - - - - 79% 86% 44% 4% 2% 15%
DEFINITELY REPUBLICAN 165 25 50 40 50 131 12 16 162 3 165 165 - - - - - 164 151 13 - - -
41% 39% 45% 43% 37% 82% 8% 22% 42% 17% 87% 100% - - - - - 71% 80% 31% - - -
PROBABLY REPUBLICAN 24 4 6 9 6 10 3 10 23 2 24 - 24 - - - - 19 13 6 6 3 3
6% 6% 6% 9% 4% 6% 2% 13% 6% 10% 13% - 100% - - - - 8% 7% 14% 4% 2% 15%
UNDECIDED 46 9 12 12 13 15 12 14 36 10 - - - - - - 46 29 20 9 12 7 5
11% 14% 11% 13% 9% 9% 8% 19% 9% 58% - - - - - - 100% 13% 10% 23% 8% 5% 26%
TOTAL DEMOCRAT 162 26 40 32 65 4 123 32 160 2 - - - 162 130 33 - 19 6 13 137 127 10
-------------- 41% 41% 36% 34% 49% 3% 81% 44% 42% 14% - - - 100% 100% 100% - 8% 3% 33% 88% 92% 57%
PROBABLY DEMOCRAT 33 1 7 8 16 - 23 8 31 2 - - - 33 - 33 - 11 3 8 21 16 5
8% 2% 7% 9% 12% - 15% 11% 8% 12% - - - 20% - 100% - 5% 2% 19% 14% 12% 26%
DEFINITELY DEMOCRAT 130 25 32 24 49 4 100 24 129 - - - - 130 130 - - 8 3 5 116 110 6
32% 39% 29% 26% 37% 3% 66% 33% 34% 2% - - - 80% 100% - - 4% 1% 14% 74% 80% 30%

REFUSED 2 - 2 - - - 1 1 2 - - - - - - - - - - - 1 - -
1% - 2% - - - 1% 1% 1% 2% - - - - - - - - - - - - 2%

(TOTAL REPUBLICAN - TOTAL 27 3 17 17 -10 136 -109 -6 25 2 189 165 24 -162 -130 -33 - 163 159 5 -131 -123 -8
DEMOCRAT) 7% 5% 15% 18% -7% 85% -71% -9% 6% 13% 100% 100% 100% -100% -100% -100% - 71% 83% 12% -84% -90% -42%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 8
Table 3-2
QUESTION 3:
Now, thinking about the election for Congress that will be held in November - If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be
voting for ... And would you DEFINTELY vote for the Republican/Democrat candidate or just PROBABLY?

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL REPUBLICAN 189 5 1 188 103 85 163 10 26 135 174 160 166 3 17 177 6 6
---------------- 47% 19% 1% 73% 76% 69% 87% 6% 13% 88% 47% 47% 91% 2% 31% 89% 4% 21%
DEFINITELY REPUBLICAN 165 1 - 165 92 73 146 7 22 120 151 141 148 2 13 159 2 3
41% 3% - 64% 68% 59% 78% 4% 11% 78% 41% 41% 82% 2% 23% 80% 1% 12%
PROBABLY REPUBLICAN 24 4 1 23 11 12 17 3 4 15 23 19 18 1 4 18 4 3
6% 16% 1% 9% 8% 10% 9% 2% 2% 9% 6% 5% 10% 1% 8% 9% 2% 9%
UNDECIDED 46 8 7 37 15 22 13 28 27 11 43 38 9 13 19 17 15 11
11% 30% 5% 14% 11% 18% 7% 16% 14% 7% 12% 11% 5% 9% 34% 9% 9% 37%
TOTAL DEMOCRAT 162 13 124 32 16 16 12 136 142 6 152 143 6 132 17 3 148 11
-------------- 41% 46% 94% 12% 12% 13% 6% 78% 73% 4% 41% 42% 3% 89% 32% 2% 87% 40%
PROBABLY DEMOCRAT 33 7 15 18 10 8 8 18 24 3 28 24 4 24 5 3 25 4
8% 25% 11% 7% 7% 6% 4% 11% 12% 2% 8% 7% 2% 16% 9% 2% 15% 15%
DEFINITELY DEMOCRAT 130 6 109 14 6 8 5 118 118 3 123 118 2 108 12 - 122 7
32% 21% 82% 5% 4% 7% 2% 67% 60% 2% 33% 35% 1% 73% 22% - 72% 25%

REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 - - - - 1 2 - - - 2 2 - -
1% 5% 1% 1% 1% - - - - 1% 1% - - - 3% 1% - 1%

(TOTAL REPUBLICAN - TOTAL 27 -7 -123 156 87 69 151 -126 -116 129 22 17 160 -129 - 174 -142 -5
DEMOCRAT) 7% -27% -93% 60% 64% 56% 80% -72% -59% 83% 6% 5% 88% -87% - 87% -84% -19%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 9
Table 3-3
QUESTION 3:
Now, thinking about the election for Congress that will be held in November - If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be
voting for ... And would you DEFINTELY vote for the Republican/Democrat candidate or just PROBABLY?

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL REPUBLICAN 189 179 5 4 2 175 4 2 2 3 103 86 72 68 9 6 18 8


---------------- 47% 81% 3% 24% 36% 48% 55% 30% 31% 48% 53% 42% 94% 82% 12% 8% 48% 22%

DEFINITELY REPUBLICAN 165 160 2 1 2 153 2 2 2 3 92 73 69 61 8 5 11 5


41% 73% 1% 8% 36% 42% 27% 30% 31% 48% 47% 35% 90% 74% 10% 6% 29% 14%

PROBABLY REPUBLICAN 24 19 3 3 - 23 2 - - - 11 13 3 7 1 2 7 3
6% 9% 2% 16% - 6% 28% - - - 6% 6% 4% 8% 2% 2% 19% 7%

UNDECIDED 46 23 15 5 2 38 1 5 - - 17 29 2 13 8 4 5 9
11% 11% 10% 30% 39% 10% 13% 70% - 5% 9% 14% 3% 15% 11% 5% 12% 27%

TOTAL DEMOCRAT 162 18 135 7 1 151 2 - 5 3 72 91 2 2 54 70 15 17


-------------- 41% 8% 86% 44% 17% 41% 32% - 69% 48% 37% 44% 3% 3% 75% 87% 39% 50%

PROBABLY DEMOCRAT 33 7 22 2 1 32 - - - - 19 14 - - 13 10 5 3
8% 3% 14% 12% 17% 9% 4% - - - 10% 7% - - 18% 13% 13% 10%

DEFINITELY DEMOCRAT 130 11 113 5 - 118 2 - 5 3 53 77 2 2 41 60 10 14


32% 5% 72% 32% - 32% 28% - 69% 48% 27% 37% 2% 3% 56% 75% 27% 40%

REFUSED 2 - 1 - - 2 - - - - 2 1 - - 1 - - 1
1% - 1% 2% 9% 1% - - - - 1% - - - 2% - - 2%

(TOTAL REPUBLICAN - TOTAL 27 160 -130 -3 1 25 1 2 -3 - 32 -5 70 66 -45 -64 3 -10


DEMOCRAT) 7% 73% -83% -20% 19% 7% 22% 30% -38% - 16% -2% 91% 79% -62% -80% 9% -28%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 10
Table 4-1
QUESTION 4:
And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=UNDECIDED 46 9 12 12 13 15 12 14 36 10 - - - - - - 46 29 20 9 12 7 5
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% - - - - - - 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE 4 - - 2 1 3 - 1 3 1 - - - - - - 4 3 2 1 - - -
9% 3% 4% 19% 9% 21% - 8% 10% 8% - - - - - - 9% 11% 12% 8% 2% 4% -

DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE 12 1 5 2 4 6 3 3 6 6 - - - - - - 12 6 5 1 5 4 1
27% 17% 40% 13% 34% 40% 26% 21% 17% 60% - - - - - - 27% 21% 24% 15% 44% 53% 28%

HARD UNDECIDED 23 4 5 8 7 5 7 7 20 3 - - - - - - 23 14 7 7 6 3 3
51% 47% 39% 66% 52% 36% 57% 48% 57% 30% - - - - - - 51% 49% 36% 77% 53% 41% 72%

NEITHER 6 3 2 - 1 - 2 3 6 - - - - - - - 6 6 6 - - - -
13% 32% 17% 2% 5% 3% 17% 23% 16% 2% - - - - - - 13% 19% 28% - 1% 2% -

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE - -8 -1 -4 1 -3 -3 -3 -2 -3 -5 - - - - - - -8 -3 -2 -1 -5 -4 -1
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE) -18% -14% -37% 7% -25% -19% -26% -13% -8% -51% - - - - - - -18% -10% -11% -7% -41% -50% -28%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 11
Table 4-2
QUESTION 4:
And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=UNDECIDED 46 8 7 37 15 22 13 28 27 11 43 38 9 13 19 17 15 11
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE 4 1 - 4 3 1 2 1 1 1 3 2 2 - 2 4 - -
9% 10% 4% 11% 19% 5% 18% 3% 4% 10% 8% 6% 16% 3% 10% 21% 2% 4%

DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE 12 1 4 7 - 7 - 12 11 1 12 12 5 5 2 5 7 -
27% 16% 57% 20% - 34% - 43% 42% 9% 29% 32% 52% 39% 12% 29% 48% -

HARD UNDECIDED 23 6 2 20 10 10 8 13 12 7 22 18 3 5 15 6 8 7
51% 74% 36% 54% 67% 45% 60% 44% 44% 59% 51% 48% 27% 40% 78% 36% 50% 69%

NEITHER 6 - - 6 2 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 - 2 - 2 - 3
13% - 2% 15% 14% 16% 22% 10% 10% 22% 12% 14% 5% 18% - 14% - 27%

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE - -8 -1 -4 -3 3 -6 2 -12 -10 - -9 -10 -3 -5 - -1 -7 -


DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE) -18% -6% -53% -9% 19% -29% 18% -41% -38% 1% -21% -26% -36% -36% -2% -8% -47% 4%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 12
Table 4-3
QUESTION 4:
And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=UNDECIDED 46 23 15 5 2 38 1 5 - - 17 29 2 13 8 4 5 9
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% - 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE 4 3 1 - - 4 - - - - 3 1 2 1 - - - 1
9% 12% 4% 5% 27% 10% 51% - - - 17% 5% 100% 6% - - 10% 7%

DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE 12 5 6 1 - 6 - 5 - - 1 11 - 6 - 3 1 2
27% 20% 42% 17% 23% 16% 29% 100% - - 7% 38% - 48% - 77% 23% 20%

HARD UNDECIDED 23 12 8 2 1 23 - - - - 11 13 - 5 6 1 3 4
51% 54% 52% 34% 50% 60% 20% - - - 62% 45% - 43% 74% 23% 63% 40%

NEITHER 6 3 - 2 - 5 - - - - 2 3 - - 2 - - 3
13% 14% 2% 44% - 14% - - - 100% 13% 12% - 4% 26% - 3% 33%

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE - -8 -2 -6 -1 - -2 - -5 - - 2 -10 2 -5 - -3 -1 -1


DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE) -18% -8% -37% -12% 4% -6% 22% -100% - - 10% -34% 100% -42% - -77% -13% -13%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 13
Table 5-1
QUESTION 5:
Now thinking about President Trump...

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?


Is that strongly or somewhat (approve / disapprove)?

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL APPROVE 231 32 70 62 68 150 39 33 219 12 182 164 19 19 8 11 29 231 190 41 - - -


------------- 58% 50% 63% 66% 51% 94% 26% 46% 57% 67% 96% 99% 77% 12% 6% 33% 63% 100% 100% 100% - - -

STRONGLY APPROVE 190 29 56 52 54 138 25 23 181 9 164 151 13 6 3 3 20 190 190 - - - -


48% 46% 51% 55% 40% 86% 16% 32% 47% 50% 87% 92% 54% 4% 2% 9% 43% 82% 100% - - - -

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 41 3 14 10 14 11 14 10 38 3 18 13 6 13 5 8 9 41 - 41 - - -
10% 4% 13% 11% 10% 7% 9% 14% 10% 17% 10% 8% 23% 8% 4% 24% 20% 18% - 100% - - -

TOTAL DISAPPROVE 156 26 37 29 64 7 106 37 152 4 6 - 6 137 116 21 12 - - - 156 138 18


---------------- 39% 41% 34% 31% 48% 5% 69% 51% 40% 21% 3% - 23% 84% 89% 65% 26% - - - 100% 100% 100%

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 18 4 8 1 6 5 5 7 17 1 3 - 3 10 6 5 5 - - - 18 - 18
5% 6% 7% 1% 4% 3% 3% 10% 4% 7% 1% - 11% 6% 4% 15% 10% - - - 12% - 100%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 138 22 30 28 58 3 100 30 135 2 3 - 3 127 110 16 7 - - - 138 138 -


34% 35% 27% 30% 44% 2% 66% 41% 35% 14% 2% - 12% 78% 85% 50% 16% - - - 88% 100% -

UNSURE / REFUSED 13 6 3 3 2 3 7 2 11 2 1 1 - 6 6 1 5 - - - - - -
3% 9% 3% 3% 1% 2% 5% 3% 3% 12% - - - 4% 4% 2% 10% - - - - - -

(TOTAL APPROVE - TOTAL 75 6 32 33 4 142 -67 -4 67 8 176 163 13 -118 -108 -11 17 231 190 41 -156 -138 -18
DISAPPROVE) 19% 9% 29% 35% 3% 89% -44% -5% 17% 47% 93% 99% 54% -73% -83% -32% 37% 100% 100% 100% -100% -100% -100%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 14
Table 5-2
QUESTION 5:
Now thinking about President Trump...

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?


Is that strongly or somewhat (approve / disapprove)?

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL APPROVE 231 - - 231 125 106 171 38 51 146 213 194 174 19 26 194 17 19
------------- 58% - - 89% 92% 87% 91% 21% 26% 95% 57% 57% 95% 13% 48% 97% 10% 66%

STRONGLY APPROVE 190 - - 190 104 87 151 24 34 127 176 160 161 6 19 171 9 9
48% - - 74% 76% 71% 80% 14% 18% 82% 48% 47% 89% 4% 34% 86% 5% 30%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 41 - - 41 21 20 20 14 16 19 37 34 12 14 8 22 8 10
10% - - 16% 16% 16% 11% 8% 8% 12% 10% 10% 7% 9% 14% 11% 5% 36%

TOTAL DISAPPROVE 156 21 131 21 8 13 15 131 138 6 147 140 6 123 24 2 145 7
---------------- 39% 78% 99% 8% 6% 11% 8% 75% 71% 4% 40% 41% 4% 82% 43% 1% 86% 26%

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 18 14 3 14 7 7 10 7 15 1 17 17 4 7 6 2 13 2
5% 51% 2% 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 8% 1% 5% 5% 2% 4% 10% 1% 8% 9%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 138 8 128 8 2 6 5 124 123 4 130 123 2 116 18 - 132 5
34% 28% 97% 3% 1% 5% 3% 71% 63% 3% 35% 36% 1% 78% 33% - 78% 17%

UNSURE / REFUSED 13 6 2 6 3 3 2 6 6 2 11 7 2 7 5 4 7 2
3% 22% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 4% 9% 2% 4% 8%

(TOTAL APPROVE - TOTAL 75 -21 -131 210 116 93 156 -94 -88 141 66 54 167 -103 3 191 -128 12
DISAPPROVE) 19% -78% -99% 81% 86% 76% 83% -53% -45% 91% 18% 16% 92% -69% 5% 96% -76% 40%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 15
Table 5-3
QUESTION 5:
Now thinking about President Trump...

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?


Is that strongly or somewhat (approve / disapprove)?

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL APPROVE 231 211 8 7 3 209 5 7 3 3 125 106 73 77 25 14 21 13


------------- 58% 96% 5% 41% 75% 57% 71% 100% 45% 52% 64% 51% 95% 92% 35% 17% 55% 37%

STRONGLY APPROVE 190 181 4 4 1 172 4 7 2 3 104 87 69 69 17 7 15 8


48% 82% 3% 21% 25% 47% 61% 100% 31% 52% 54% 42% 90% 83% 24% 9% 40% 24%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 41 30 4 4 2 38 1 - 1 - 21 20 4 7 8 7 6 4
10% 14% 3% 21% 50% 10% 10% - 14% - 11% 10% 5% 9% 11% 8% 15% 13%

TOTAL DISAPPROVE 156 5 140 10 - 144 2 - 4 3 61 95 3 4 41 65 16 21


---------------- 39% 2% 89% 59% 9% 39% 29% - 55% 48% 31% 46% 4% 5% 56% 81% 44% 59%

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 18 3 13 2 - 18 - - - - 7 11 2 2 1 4 4 4
5% 1% 8% 10% 9% 5% - - - - 4% 5% 3% 3% 2% 5% 10% 10%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 138 2 127 8 - 126 2 - 4 3 54 84 1 2 39 61 13 17


34% 1% 81% 49% - 34% 29% - 55% 48% 28% 41% 1% 3% 55% 76% 34% 49%

UNSURE / REFUSED 13 4 8 - 1 13 - - - - 8 5 1 2 6 1 - 2
3% 2% 5% - 16% 4% - - - - 4% 3% 1% 3% 9% 1% 1% 5%

(TOTAL APPROVE - TOTAL 75 206 -131 -3 3 65 3 7 -1 - 64 11 70 72 -16 -51 4 -8


DISAPPROVE) 19% 94% -84% -17% 66% 18% 43% 100% -10% 5% 33% 5% 91% 87% -22% -64% 11% -22%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 16
Table 6-1
QUESTION 6:
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Even though I may not approve of the job that Donald Trump is doing as President, I do like some of his policies and
some of the actions he has taken?
Is that strongly or somewhat (agree / disagree)?

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=DISAPPROVE/UNSURE/ 169 32 40 31 66 10 113 39 163 6 7 1 6 143 121 22 17 - - - 156 138 18


REFUSED 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% - - - 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL AGREE 27 6 13 4 4 7 10 8 24 3 5 1 4 13 6 7 8 - - - 21 8 14
----------- 16% 20% 32% 12% 6% 70% 9% 21% 15% 49% 75% 66% 77% 9% 5% 31% 48% - - - 14% 5% 76%

STRONGLY AGREE 6 4 1 - 1 1 1 3 5 1 2 1 1 1 - 1 3 - - - 5 1 5
4% 12% 3% - 2% 13% 1% 8% 3% 14% 31% 66% 23% 1% - 5% 18% - - - 3% - 27%

SOMEWHAT AGREE 21 3 11 4 3 6 9 5 19 2 3 - 3 12 6 6 5 - - - 16 7 9
12% 8% 28% 12% 5% 57% 8% 13% 12% 35% 44% - 54% 8% 5% 26% 30% - - - 10% 5% 49%

TOTAL DISAGREE 133 19 26 27 60 3 98 28 130 3 1 - 1 124 109 15 7 - - - 131 128 3


-------------- 78% 61% 65% 85% 92% 24% 87% 72% 79% 51% 16% 34% 12% 87% 90% 67% 40% - - - 84% 93% 15%

SOMEWHAT DISAGREE 12 1 2 - 9 - 7 4 10 2 - - - 8 5 3 3 - - - 11 9 2
7% 2% 6% 2% 13% 4% 6% 11% 6% 30% 4% - 4% 5% 4% 12% 19% - - - 7% 6% 13%

STRONGLY DISAGREE 121 19 24 26 52 2 91 24 119 1 1 - - 116 104 12 3 - - - 120 120 -


71% 59% 59% 84% 79% 20% 80% 62% 73% 21% 12% 34% 8% 81% 86% 55% 21% - - - 77% 87% 2%

DEPENDS / NEUTRAL 6 5 - 1 - - 4 2 6 - - - - 4 4 - 2 - - - 2 2 -
3% 16% - 2% - - 3% 4% 3% - - - - 3% 3% - 10% - - - 1% 1% -

UNSURE / REFUSED 4 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 4 - 1 - 1 3 2 - - - - - 2 - 2
2% 4% 3% 1% 2% 6% 1% 2% 2% - 9% - 11% 2% 2% 2% 2% - - - 1% - 9%

(TOTAL AGREE - TOTAL -105 -13 -13 -23 -56 5 -88 -20 -105 - 4 - 4 -112 -104 -8 1 - - - -110 -121 11
DISAGREE) -62% -41% -33% -73% -86% 46% -78% -51% -64% -2% 59% 32% 65% -78% -85% -36% 8% - - - -70% -88% 61%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 17
Table 6-2
QUESTION 6:
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Even though I may not approve of the job that Donald Trump is doing as President, I do like some of his policies and
some of the actions he has taken?
Is that strongly or somewhat (agree / disagree)?

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=DISAPPROVE/UNSURE/ 169 27 133 27 11 16 17 137 144 8 158 147 8 129 28 6 152 10


REFUSED 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL AGREE 27 27 - 27 11 16 11 9 18 2 23 18 7 9 9 5 17 5
----------- 16% 100% - 100% 100% 100% 67% 7% 13% 30% 15% 12% 85% 7% 33% 90% 11% 51%

STRONGLY AGREE 6 6 - 6 5 2 4 1 5 1 5 5 2 1 3 2 4 1
4% 23% - 23% 42% 10% 25% 1% 3% 7% 3% 4% 26% 1% 10% 28% 3% 5%

SOMEWHAT AGREE 21 21 - 21 6 15 7 8 13 2 18 12 5 8 6 4 13 4
12% 77% - 77% 58% 90% 41% 6% 9% 24% 11% 8% 60% 6% 22% 61% 9% 46%

TOTAL DISAGREE 133 - 133 - - - 4 122 119 5 127 121 1 113 18 - 127 4
-------------- 78% - 100% - - - 24% 89% 83% 62% 80% 83% 8% 87% 62% - 84% 41%

SOMEWHAT DISAGREE 12 - 12 - - - - 12 10 1 12 12 1 10 1 - 11 1
7% - 9% - - - - 8% 7% 16% 8% 8% 8% 8% 3% - 7% 7%

STRONGLY DISAGREE 121 - 121 - - - 4 111 108 4 115 110 - 103 17 - 116 3
71% - 91% - - - 24% 80% 75% 46% 73% 75% - 79% 59% - 76% 34%

DEPENDS / NEUTRAL 6 - - - - - 1 5 6 - 6 6 1 5 - - 6 -
3% - - - - - 3% 4% 4% - 4% 4% 7% 4% - - 4% -

UNSURE / REFUSED 4 - - - - - 1 1 2 1 2 2 - 2 1 1 2 1
2% - - - - - 6% 1% 1% 8% 1% 1% - 2% 5% 10% 2% 8%

(TOTAL AGREE - TOTAL -105 27 -133 27 11 16 7 -113 -101 -3 -103 -104 6 -104 -8 5 -110 1
DISAGREE) -62% 100% -100% 100% 100% 100% 42% -82% -70% -32% -66% -71% 77% -81% -30% 90% -72% 10%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 18
Table 6-3
QUESTION 6:
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Even though I may not approve of the job that Donald Trump is doing as President, I do like some of his policies and
some of the actions he has taken?
Is that strongly or somewhat (agree / disagree)?

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=DISAPPROVE/UNSURE/ 169 9 148 10 1 157 2 - 4 3 69 100 4 7 47 66 17 22


REFUSED 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% - 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL AGREE 27 8 16 2 - 27 - - - - 11 16 4 4 3 7 4 4
----------- 16% 91% 11% 19% 33% 17% - - - - 16% 16% 100% 53% 7% 10% 24% 19%
STRONGLY AGREE 6 2 4 1 - 6 - - - - 5 2 1 1 1 - 3 -
4% 18% 3% 5% - 4% - - - - 7% 2% 14% 12% 2% - 18% -
SOMEWHAT AGREE 21 7 12 1 - 21 - - - - 6 15 3 3 2 7 1 4
12% 73% 8% 14% 33% 13% - - - - 9% 15% 86% 41% 4% 10% 6% 19%
TOTAL DISAGREE 133 1 124 8 - 122 2 - 4 3 51 81 - 3 39 59 12 16
-------------- 78% 9% 83% 79% 36% 78% 92% - 100% 100% 74% 81% - 38% 82% 90% 70% 74%
SOMEWHAT DISAGREE 12 - 9 3 - 12 - - - - 4 8 - - 1 6 3 1
7% - 6% 27% 36% 8% - - - - 6% 8% - 7% 2% 9% 19% 4%
STRONGLY DISAGREE 121 1 115 5 - 110 2 - 4 3 47 74 - 2 38 53 9 15
71% 9% 77% 52% - 70% 92% - 100% 100% 68% 74% - 31% 80% 81% 51% 70%
DEPENDS / NEUTRAL 6 - 6 - - 4 - - - - 5 1 - - 4 - 1 1
3% - 4% - - 3% - - - - 7% 1% - - 8% - 6% 3%

UNSURE / REFUSED 4 - 3 - - 4 - - - - 2 2 - 1 1 - - 1
2% - 2% 2% 31% 2% 8% - - - 2% 2% - 9% 3% - - 4%

(TOTAL AGREE - TOTAL -105 7 -108 -6 - -95 -2 - -4 -3 -40 -65 4 1 -35 -53 -8 -12
DISAGREE) -62% 83% -73% -60% -3% -60% -92% - -100% -100% -59% -65% 100% 15% -75% -80% -46% -55%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 19
Table 7-1
QUESTION 7:
Switching topics slightly for a moment, I am going to read you the names of a few people. After I read each name, first please tell me if you have heard of that person, and
then tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion of a person, or have never heard of a particular person, just tell me and
we'll move on.

And do you have a STRONGLY (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person, or just a SOMEWHAT (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person?

CLAUDIA TENNEY

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL FAVORABLE 188 30 58 44 55 128 25 29 185 3 163 146 17 12 5 8 13 171 151 20 15 5 10


--------------- 47% 47% 53% 47% 42% 80% 17% 40% 48% 19% 86% 89% 69% 7% 4% 23% 28% 74% 79% 49% 10% 4% 53%

STRONGLY FAVORABLE 141 22 42 33 44 104 14 17 138 2 128 121 7 7 - 7 5 134 122 12 5 2 3


35% 35% 38% 35% 33% 65% 9% 23% 36% 14% 68% 73% 30% 4% - 21% 12% 58% 64% 31% 3% 1% 18%

SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 47 8 16 11 12 24 11 12 47 1 35 25 9 5 5 1 7 37 29 8 10 3 6
12% 13% 15% 12% 9% 15% 7% 16% 12% 5% 18% 15% 39% 3% 4% 3% 16% 16% 15% 19% 6% 2% 36%

TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 175 28 43 38 66 18 112 37 165 11 10 7 3 136 118 18 28 38 24 14 131 124 7


----------------- 44% 45% 39% 40% 50% 11% 74% 52% 43% 60% 5% 4% 14% 84% 91% 56% 62% 16% 12% 34% 84% 90% 40%

SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 25 4 7 8 6 6 12 5 24 - 3 2 1 9 9 - 12 10 4 5 15 12 3
6% 6% 7% 8% 4% 4% 8% 7% 6% 2% 2% 1% 6% 6% 7% 1% 27% 4% 2% 13% 9% 9% 14%

STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE 150 25 36 30 61 12 101 33 140 10 7 5 2 127 109 18 16 28 19 9 116 112 5


38% 39% 32% 32% 45% 7% 66% 45% 37% 58% 4% 3% 8% 78% 84% 55% 35% 12% 10% 21% 75% 81% 26%

HEARD OF, NO OPINION 17 1 4 7 5 6 8 2 16 2 6 4 2 5 2 3 4 10 7 3 4 4 -


4% 2% 4% 8% 4% 4% 5% 2% 4% 9% 3% 2% 10% 3% 2% 9% 9% 4% 4% 7% 3% 3% 2%

NEVER HEARD OF 18 4 5 4 5 5 6 5 15 2 8 6 2 9 5 4 - 10 6 4 6 5 1
4% 6% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 6% 4% 13% 4% 4% 7% 5% 4% 11% 1% 4% 3% 10% 4% 3% 4%

DO NOT KNOW 2 - - 1 1 2 - - 2 - 2 2 - - - - - 2 2 - - - -
1% - - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - - - 1% 1% - - - -

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(TOTAL FAVORABLE - TOTAL 13 2 16 7 -11 111 -87 -9 20 -7 153 139 13 -124 -113 -11 -15 134 128 6 -116 -119 2
UNFAVORABLE) 3% 2% 14% 7% -8% 69% -57% -12% 5% -41% 81% 84% 55% -76% -87% -33% -34% 58% 67% 15% -75% -86% 13%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 20
Table 7-2
QUESTION 7:
Switching topics slightly for a moment, I am going to read you the names of a few people. After I read each name, first please tell me if you have heard of that person, and
then tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion of a person, or have never heard of a particular person, just tell me and
we'll move on.

And do you have a STRONGLY (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person, or just a SOMEWHAT (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person?

CLAUDIA TENNEY

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL FAVORABLE 188 11 4 182 104 79 188 - 35 138 184 173 151 15 20 169 13 5
--------------- 47% 41% 3% 71% 77% 64% 100% - 18% 90% 50% 51% 83% 10% 37% 85% 8% 16%

STRONGLY FAVORABLE 141 5 1 139 78 61 141 - 19 113 138 131 122 10 8 134 5 2
35% 17% 1% 54% 58% 49% 75% - 10% 73% 37% 39% 67% 7% 15% 67% 3% 5%

SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 47 7 3 44 25 18 47 - 17 25 46 42 29 5 12 35 9 3
12% 25% 2% 17% 19% 15% 25% - 9% 16% 13% 12% 16% 3% 22% 18% 5% 11%

TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 175 9 122 47 13 33 - 175 156 12 170 167 13 122 28 14 143 16
----------------- 44% 33% 92% 18% 10% 27% - 100% 80% 8% 46% 49% 7% 82% 52% 7% 84% 57%

SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 25 2 10 12 5 8 - 25 21 3 25 24 2 16 5 5 18 1
6% 9% 8% 5% 4% 6% - 14% 11% 2% 7% 7% 1% 11% 10% 3% 11% 5%

STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE 150 7 112 34 9 26 - 150 135 9 146 143 11 105 23 9 124 15
38% 25% 84% 13% 6% 21% - 86% 69% 6% 39% 42% 6% 71% 42% 4% 74% 52%

HEARD OF, NO OPINION 17 4 3 14 7 7 - - 4 3 16 - 6 7 5 10 4 4


4% 16% 2% 6% 5% 6% - - 2% 2% 4% - 3% 4% 8% 5% 2% 13%

NEVER HEARD OF 18 2 4 12 9 3 - - - - - - 11 5 1 4 9 4
4% 9% 3% 5% 7% 3% - - - - - - 6% 4% 2% 2% 5% 14%

DO NOT KNOW 2 - - 2 2 - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - -
1% - - 1% 2% - - - - 1% - - - - - 1% - -

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(TOTAL FAVORABLE - TOTAL 13 2 -118 136 90 45 188 -175 -120 127 14 6 137 -107 -8 156 -129 -12
UNFAVORABLE) 3% 8% -89% 53% 67% 37% 100% -100% -62% 82% 4% 2% 76% -72% -15% 78% -76% -40%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 21
Table 7-3
QUESTION 7:
Switching topics slightly for a moment, I am going to read you the names of a few people. After I read each name, first please tell me if you have heard of that person, and
then tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion of a person, or have never heard of a particular person, just tell me and
we'll move on.

And do you have a STRONGLY (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person, or just a SOMEWHAT (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person?

CLAUDIA TENNEY

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL FAVORABLE 188 162 18 6 3 173 4 2 2 3 106 82 66 62 16 9 21 8


--------------- 47% 73% 11% 35% 58% 47% 59% 30% 31% 52% 55% 40% 86% 75% 22% 12% 56% 22%

STRONGLY FAVORABLE 141 126 9 4 2 128 3 2 2 3 80 61 54 50 11 3 12 5


35% 57% 6% 24% 47% 35% 47% 30% 31% 44% 41% 30% 70% 61% 15% 4% 32% 14%

SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 47 36 9 2 - 45 1 - - 1 27 21 12 12 5 6 9 3
12% 16% 6% 11% 10% 12% 13% - - 8% 14% 10% 16% 14% 8% 7% 24% 8%

TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 175 35 128 10 - 158 2 5 4 3 66 109 3 15 48 65 14 24


----------------- 44% 16% 82% 59% 9% 43% 33% 70% 55% 48% 34% 53% 4% 18% 66% 81% 36% 68%

SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 25 8 15 2 - 19 1 - 3 - 11 14 2 4 8 4 1 4
6% 4% 9% 9% 9% 5% 12% - 39% - 6% 7% 2% 5% 11% 5% 3% 11%

STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE 150 27 114 9 - 140 1 5 1 3 55 95 1 11 40 61 13 20


38% 12% 72% 50% - 38% 21% 70% 16% 48% 29% 46% 1% 13% 55% 76% 33% 57%

HEARD OF, NO OPINION 17 11 6 - - 17 - - - - 7 10 3 3 3 5 - 2


4% 5% 4% - 9% 5% - - - - 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 7% - 4%

NEVER HEARD OF 18 10 5 1 1 16 - - 1 - 12 5 3 2 5 - 3 2
4% 5% 3% 7% 24% 4% 7% - 14% - 6% 3% 4% 3% 8% 1% 8% 5%

DO NOT KNOW 2 2 - - - 2 - - - - 2 - 2 - - - - -
1% 1% - - - 1% - - - - 1% - 3% - - - - -

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(TOTAL FAVORABLE - TOTAL 13 126 -111 -4 2 15 2 -3 -2 - 40 -28 63 47 -32 -55 7 -16


UNFAVORABLE) 3% 57% -71% -24% 49% 4% 26% -40% -24% 5% 21% -13% 82% 57% -44% -69% 20% -46%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 22
Table 8-1
QUESTION 8:
Switching topics slightly for a moment, I am going to read you the names of a few people. After I read each name, first please tell me if you have heard of that person, and
then tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion of a person, or have never heard of a particular person, just tell me and
we'll move on.

And do you have a STRONGLY (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person, or just a SOMEWHAT (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person?

ANTHONY BRINDISI

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL FAVORABLE 195 28 56 38 72 28 121 41 188 6 26 22 4 142 118 24 27 51 34 16 138 123 15


--------------- 49% 44% 51% 41% 54% 18% 80% 56% 49% 35% 14% 13% 16% 87% 91% 73% 59% 22% 18% 40% 89% 89% 84%

STRONGLY FAVORABLE 120 21 22 25 53 10 82 26 120 - 9 7 2 105 89 16 7 17 15 2 99 88 10


30% 33% 20% 27% 40% 6% 54% 36% 31% 3% 5% 4% 7% 65% 69% 49% 15% 7% 8% 5% 63% 64% 58%

SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 74 7 35 13 19 18 39 15 68 6 17 15 2 37 29 8 20 34 19 14 39 35 5
19% 11% 32% 14% 14% 11% 25% 20% 18% 33% 9% 9% 9% 22% 22% 24% 44% 15% 10% 35% 25% 25% 27%

TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 154 23 44 37 50 107 20 21 149 5 135 120 15 6 3 3 11 146 127 19 6 4 1


----------------- 39% 37% 40% 40% 38% 67% 13% 30% 39% 29% 71% 73% 60% 4% 2% 10% 25% 63% 67% 47% 4% 3% 8%

SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 49 5 13 12 19 27 9 9 46 4 38 32 6 5 2 3 6 45 35 10 4 2 1
12% 9% 11% 13% 14% 17% 6% 12% 12% 20% 20% 20% 24% 3% 1% 10% 14% 19% 18% 24% 2% 2% 8%

STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE 105 18 31 25 31 79 11 13 104 1 97 88 9 2 2 - 5 102 92 9 2 2 -


26% 28% 28% 27% 23% 50% 7% 18% 27% 8% 51% 53% 36% 1% 1% - 11% 44% 49% 23% 1% 1% -

HEARD OF, NO OPINION 25 6 4 11 4 13 3 6 22 2 14 9 5 5 3 1 5 18 16 2 4 3 1


6% 9% 3% 12% 3% 8% 2% 9% 6% 13% 8% 6% 20% 3% 3% 3% 11% 8% 8% 5% 3% 2% 8%

NEVER HEARD OF 25 6 6 6 6 11 7 4 21 4 13 12 1 9 6 4 2 15 12 3 7 7 -
6% 10% 6% 6% 5% 7% 5% 6% 5% 22% 7% 7% 4% 6% 4% 11% 5% 7% 6% 7% 5% 5% -

DO NOT KNOW 2 - - 1 1 1 1 - 2 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 -
1% - - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - 2% - 1% 1% - - 1% -

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(TOTAL FAVORABLE - TOTAL 40 5 13 1 21 -79 101 19 39 1 -109 -98 -11 135 115 21 15 -96 -93 -3 133 119 14
UNFAVORABLE) 10% 8% 12% 1% 16% -49% 66% 27% 10% 7% -58% -60% -44% 83% 88% 63% 34% -41% -49% -7% 85% 86% 77%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 23
Table 8-2
QUESTION 8:
Switching topics slightly for a moment, I am going to read you the names of a few people. After I read each name, first please tell me if you have heard of that person, and
then tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion of a person, or have never heard of a particular person, just tell me and
we'll move on.

And do you have a STRONGLY (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person, or just a SOMEWHAT (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person?

ANTHONY BRINDISI

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL FAVORABLE 195 18 119 69 25 44 35 156 195 - 195 191 26 127 30 31 150 13
--------------- 49% 66% 90% 27% 18% 36% 19% 89% 100% - 53% 56% 14% 86% 54% 15% 89% 47%

STRONGLY FAVORABLE 120 10 89 27 11 16 16 102 120 - 120 118 8 89 18 8 106 7


30% 38% 67% 11% 8% 13% 8% 58% 62% - 33% 35% 4% 60% 32% 4% 62% 24%

SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 74 8 30 41 13 28 19 53 74 - 74 73 19 38 12 23 44 7
19% 28% 23% 16% 10% 23% 10% 30% 38% - 20% 21% 10% 26% 22% 11% 26% 23%

TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 154 2 5 149 85 64 138 12 - 154 153 150 124 10 19 142 4 7
----------------- 39% 9% 4% 58% 63% 52% 74% 7% - 100% 41% 44% 68% 7% 34% 71% 2% 24%

SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 49 1 3 45 24 21 41 6 - 49 49 48 34 6 9 43 3 4
12% 2% 3% 17% 18% 17% 22% 4% - 32% 13% 14% 19% 4% 16% 21% 2% 12%

STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE 105 2 2 104 61 43 97 5 - 105 104 102 90 4 10 99 2 3


26% 7% 1% 40% 45% 35% 52% 3% - 68% 28% 30% 49% 2% 18% 50% 1% 12%

HEARD OF, NO OPINION 25 4 3 21 11 10 11 3 - - 22 - 15 5 4 15 5 4


6% 13% 2% 8% 8% 9% 6% 2% - - 6% - 8% 3% 8% 8% 3% 14%

NEVER HEARD OF 25 2 6 17 13 5 4 4 - - - - 16 6 2 10 10 4
6% 9% 5% 7% 9% 4% 2% 2% - - - - 9% 4% 4% 5% 6% 13%

DO NOT KNOW 2 1 - 2 2 - - 1 - - - - - 1 - 1 - 1
1% 3% - 1% 1% - - - - - - - - 1% - 1% - 3%

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(TOTAL FAVORABLE - TOTAL 40 16 114 -80 -60 -20 -103 144 195 -154 41 41 -98 117 11 -111 146 7
UNFAVORABLE) 10% 57% 86% -31% -44% -16% -55% 82% 100% -100% 11% 12% -54% 79% 20% -56% 86% 23%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 24
Table 8-3
QUESTION 8:
Switching topics slightly for a moment, I am going to read you the names of a few people. After I read each name, first please tell me if you have heard of that person, and
then tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion of a person, or have never heard of a particular person, just tell me and
we'll move on.

And do you have a STRONGLY (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person, or just a SOMEWHAT (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person?

ANTHONY BRINDISI

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL FAVORABLE 195 48 137 9 - 177 3 5 4 3 79 115 10 18 52 69 16 25


--------------- 49% 22% 87% 54% 9% 48% 38% 70% 54% 52% 41% 56% 13% 21% 72% 86% 43% 70%

STRONGLY FAVORABLE 120 17 97 7 - 113 2 - 1 3 51 70 5 5 37 45 9 17


30% 8% 62% 38% - 31% 33% - 15% 48% 26% 34% 6% 6% 51% 57% 24% 49%

SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 74 31 40 3 - 64 - 5 3 - 28 46 5 12 15 23 7 7
19% 14% 25% 16% 9% 17% 5% 70% 39% 4% 15% 22% 7% 15% 21% 29% 19% 21%

TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 154 136 9 6 3 141 4 2 2 3 85 69 53 54 14 6 15 6


----------------- 39% 62% 6% 35% 58% 39% 55% 30% 32% 44% 44% 33% 69% 65% 19% 8% 41% 17%

SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 49 43 4 1 1 45 3 - - - 24 25 10 17 5 4 6 3
12% 19% 3% 4% 21% 12% 41% - - - 13% 12% 13% 21% 7% 5% 16% 7%

STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE 105 93 5 5 2 97 1 2 2 3 61 44 43 37 9 2 9 4


26% 42% 3% 31% 37% 26% 14% 30% 32% 44% 32% 21% 55% 44% 12% 2% 25% 10%

HEARD OF, NO OPINION 25 20 3 1 1 22 - - 1 - 12 13 6 7 - 3 4 2


6% 9% 2% 4% 17% 6% - - 14% - 6% 6% 8% 8% - 4% 11% 6%

NEVER HEARD OF 25 15 7 1 1 24 - - - - 15 9 7 5 5 2 2 2
6% 7% 5% 7% 17% 6% 7% - - 5% 8% 5% 8% 5% 8% 2% 5% 6%

DO NOT KNOW 2 1 - - - 2 - - - - 2 - 1 - 1 - - -
1% 1% - - - 1% - - - - 1% - 2% - 1% - - -

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(TOTAL FAVORABLE - TOTAL 40 -88 128 3 -2 36 -1 3 1 - -6 47 -42 -36 39 63 1 19


UNFAVORABLE) 10% -40% 81% 19% -49% 10% -17% 40% 22% 8% -3% 23% -55% -43% 53% 78% 2% 53%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 25
Table 9-1
QUESTION 9:
If the election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote between:

• The Republican candidate, Keith Wofford


• The Democratic candidate, Letitia James

Would that be DEFINITELY, or just PROBABLY?


Who are you leaning toward?

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL WOFFORD 182 27 57 45 53 138 15 25 173 9 166 148 18 6 2 4 9 174 161 12 6 2 4


------------- 45% 43% 52% 49% 40% 86% 10% 34% 45% 53% 88% 90% 73% 4% 2% 12% 21% 75% 85% 31% 4% 1% 24%

DEFINITELY KEITH WOFFORD 150 22 45 41 42 116 15 16 144 7 138 128 10 5 2 3 7 146 139 7 3 1 2
38% 35% 41% 44% 31% 73% 10% 22% 38% 38% 73% 77% 40% 3% 1% 9% 16% 63% 73% 17% 2% - 12%

PROBABLY KEITH WOFFORD 22 5 8 2 7 14 - 7 19 3 20 14 6 1 - 1 1 19 15 4 2 1 1


6% 8% 8% 2% 5% 9% - 9% 5% 15% 11% 8% 26% 1% - 3% 2% 8% 8% 11% 2% 1% 8%

LEAN KEITH WOFFORD 10 - 3 2 4 8 - 2 10 - 9 7 2 - - - 1 8 7 1 1 1 1


2% - 3% 2% 3% 5% - 2% 2% - 5% 4% 7% - - - 2% 4% 4% 2% 1% - 4%

TOTAL JAMES 149 25 36 28 60 5 114 26 144 4 3 2 1 132 108 24 13 19 6 14 123 116 7


----------- 37% 40% 32% 30% 45% 3% 75% 35% 38% 24% 2% 1% 3% 81% 83% 72% 29% 8% 3% 34% 79% 84% 36%

DEFINITELY LETITIA JAMES 99 22 20 18 40 1 84 13 98 1 - - - 98 90 9 1 2 2 - 92 92 -


25% 35% 18% 19% 30% 1% 55% 17% 26% 6% - - 2% 60% 69% 26% 2% 1% 1% 1% 59% 67% -

PROBABLY LETITIA JAMES 38 2 14 8 14 2 28 7 36 1 3 2 - 25 14 11 10 10 4 6 27 20 7


9% 3% 12% 9% 10% 1% 19% 10% 10% 8% 1% 1% 1% 16% 11% 35% 21% 4% 2% 16% 17% 15% 36%

LEAN LETITIA JAMES 11 1 2 2 6 2 2 6 10 2 - - - 8 5 4 3 7 - 7 4 4 -


3% 2% 2% 2% 5% 1% 1% 8% 3% 10% - - - 5% 4% 11% 6% 3% - 17% 3% 3% -

SOMEONE ELSE 13 3 7 - 3 - 6 6 13 1 1 - 1 7 7 - 4 10 3 6 3 2 2
3% 4% 7% - 2% - 4% 9% 3% 3% 1% - 5% 4% 6% - 10% 4% 2% 16% 2% 1% 8%

HARD UNDECIDED 55 8 10 20 17 16 17 16 51 3 17 13 4 17 12 5 19 26 19 8 24 18 6
14% 12% 9% 21% 13% 10% 11% 22% 13% 20% 9% 8% 18% 11% 9% 16% 41% 11% 10% 19% 15% 13% 31%

REFUSED 2 - - - 1 2 - - 2 - 2 1 - - - - - 2 1 - - - -
- - - - 1% 1% - - - - 1% 1% 1% - - - - 1% 1% 1% - - -

(TOTAL WOFFORD - TOTAL 33 2 21 18 -7 133 -100 -1 28 5 163 146 17 -126 -106 -20 -4 154 155 -1 -116 -114 -2
JAMES) 8% 3% 19% 19% -5% 83% -66% -1% 7% 29% 86% 88% 70% -77% -82% -60% -8% 67% 82% -3% -75% -83% -12%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 26
Table 9-2
QUESTION 9:
If the election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote between:

• The Republican candidate, Keith Wofford


• The Democratic candidate, Letitia James

Would that be DEFINITELY, or just PROBABLY?


Who are you leaning toward?

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL WOFFORD 182 7 1 181 98 83 151 13 26 124 164 149 182 - - 168 9 4
------------- 45% 26% 1% 70% 72% 68% 80% 8% 14% 80% 44% 44% 100% - - 84% 6% 15%

DEFINITELY KEITH WOFFORD 150 4 - 150 81 69 124 12 22 102 135 123 150 - - 141 7 3
38% 16% - 58% 60% 56% 66% 7% 11% 66% 36% 36% 83% - - 71% 4% 11%

PROBABLY KEITH WOFFORD 22 2 1 21 12 10 19 1 3 15 20 18 22 - - 20 2 -


6% 8% 1% 8% 9% 8% 10% 1% 2% 10% 5% 5% 12% - - 10% 1% 1%

LEAN KEITH WOFFORD 10 1 - 9 4 5 8 - 1 7 10 8 10 - - 7 1 1


2% 3% - 3% 3% 4% 4% - 1% 5% 3% 2% 5% - - 4% 1% 3%

TOTAL JAMES 149 9 113 28 17 11 15 122 127 10 141 132 - 149 - 12 133 4
----------- 37% 33% 85% 11% 12% 9% 8% 70% 65% 6% 38% 39% - 100% - 6% 78% 15%

DEFINITELY LETITIA JAMES 99 2 89 5 3 2 6 88 90 3 95 90 - 99 - 2 97 -


25% 9% 67% 2% 2% 2% 3% 50% 46% 2% 26% 27% - 67% - 1% 57% 2%

PROBABLY LETITIA JAMES 38 6 19 17 11 5 8 26 31 5 37 33 - 38 - 10 27 1


9% 24% 14% 6% 8% 4% 4% 15% 16% 3% 10% 10% - 25% - 5% 16% 3%

LEAN LETITIA JAMES 11 - 4 7 3 4 1 7 6 2 9 8 - 11 - - 8 3


3% - 3% 3% 2% 3% - 4% 3% 1% 3% 2% - 8% - - 5% 10%

SOMEONE ELSE 13 2 1 12 1 10 2 11 11 2 13 13 - - - - - 13
3% 7% 1% 5% 1% 8% 1% 6% 6% 1% 4% 4% - - - - - 46%

HARD UNDECIDED 55 9 18 36 18 18 20 28 30 19 52 47 - - 55 18 27 7
14% 34% 13% 14% 13% 14% 11% 16% 15% 12% 14% 14% - - 100% 9% 16% 24%

REFUSED 2 - - 2 1 - - - - - - - - - - 1 - -
- - - 1% 1% - - - - - - - - - - 1% - -

(TOTAL WOFFORD - TOTAL 33 -2 -112 152 81 72 136 -108 -101 114 23 17 182 -149 - 156 -123 -
JAMES) 8% -7% -85% 59% 60% 58% 72% -62% -52% 74% 6% 5% 100% -100% - 78% -73% -
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 27
Table 9-3
QUESTION 9:
If the election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote between:

• The Republican candidate, Keith Wofford


• The Democratic candidate, Letitia James

Would that be DEFINITELY, or just PROBABLY?


Who are you leaning toward?

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL WOFFORD 182 174 3 3 1 165 2 7 2 3 98 84 70 68 9 6 17 8


------------- 45% 79% 2% 20% 29% 45% 31% 100% 31% 44% 51% 41% 91% 81% 12% 8% 46% 22%

DEFINITELY KEITH WOFFORD 150 147 1 1 1 136 1 7 1 2 81 69 59 57 9 6 11 5


38% 67% 1% 8% 20% 37% 20% 100% 16% 37% 42% 33% 77% 68% 12% 8% 30% 14%

PROBABLY KEITH WOFFORD 22 19 1 1 - 20 - - 1 - 12 10 7 7 - - 6 1


6% 9% 1% 9% 8% 5% 6% - 15% 6% 6% 5% 9% 8% - - 15% 4%

LEAN KEITH WOFFORD 10 8 1 1 - 9 - - - - 4 5 4 4 - - - 1


2% 4% - 4% - 3% 5% - - - 2% 2% 5% 5% - - 1% 4%

TOTAL JAMES 149 13 125 9 1 135 3 - 5 3 70 78 2 2 52 62 13 12


----------- 37% 6% 80% 54% 17% 37% 39% - 69% 52% 36% 38% 3% 3% 73% 77% 36% 35%

DEFINITELY LETITIA JAMES 99 - 94 5 - 94 2 - 1 - 43 56 1 - 36 48 5 7


25% - 60% 28% 8% 26% 34% - 16% - 22% 27% 1% - 50% 60% 14% 21%

PROBABLY LETITIA JAMES 38 8 25 3 - 31 - - 3 2 23 15 1 - 16 12 5 2


9% 4% 16% 19% 9% 9% 5% - 39% 32% 12% 7% 2% - 22% 15% 13% 7%

LEAN LETITIA JAMES 11 4 6 1 - 9 - - 1 1 4 7 - 2 - 2 3 3


3% 2% 4% 6% - 2% - - 14% 20% 2% 3% - 2% - 2% 8% 8%

SOMEONE ELSE 13 8 3 2 - 13 - - - - 2 12 - - - 6 1 5
3% 4% 2% 10% - 3% 1% - - 4% 1% 6% - - - 7% 4% 15%

HARD UNDECIDED 55 24 25 3 2 52 2 - - - 22 33 3 13 11 6 6 10
14% 11% 16% 16% 54% 14% 29% - - - 11% 16% 4% 16% 15% 8% 15% 29%

REFUSED 2 1 - - - 2 - - - - 1 - 1 - - - - -
- 1% - - - - - - - - 1% - 2% - - - - -

(TOTAL WOFFORD - TOTAL 33 161 -122 -6 1 30 -1 7 -3 -1 28 5 68 65 -44 -56 4 -5


JAMES) 8% 73% -78% -33% 11% 8% -8% 100% -38% -9% 14% 3% 88% 78% -61% -70% 10% -13%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 28
Table 10-1
QUESTION 10:
If the election for U.S. Congress were tomorrow, who would you vote for if the race was between Republican Claudia Tenney, and Democrat Anthony Brindisi?

And Would That Be Definitely or Probably For _____?

Toward Which Candidate Do You Lean?

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
TOTAL TENNEY 199 29 63 53 54 144 25 23 190 9 177 159 18 3 - 3 17 194 171 22 2 - 2
------------ 50% 45% 57% 57% 41% 90% 16% 32% 50% 50% 94% 96% 74% 2% - 11% 37% 84% 90% 55% 1% - 12%
DEFINITELY CLAUDIA TENNEY 160 24 53 38 45 124 13 18 152 7 148 140 7 2 - 2 10 158 148 11 1 - 1
40% 38% 48% 40% 34% 77% 8% 24% 40% 43% 78% 85% 30% 1% - 6% 22% 69% 78% 26% - - 3%
PROBABLY CLAUDIA TENNEY 35 4 9 14 8 18 10 6 35 1 28 18 10 2 - 2 6 34 22 12 - - -
9% 6% 8% 16% 6% 11% 7% 8% 9% 3% 15% 11% 39% 1% - 5% 13% 15% 12% 29% - - 1%
LEAN CLAUDIA TENNEY 4 1 1 1 1 2 1 - 4 1 2 1 1 - - - 1 2 2 - 1 - 1
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 5% 1% - 5% - - - 3% 1% 1% - 1% - 7%
TOTAL BRINDISI 169 32 36 34 67 12 115 38 166 3 6 2 4 148 122 25 15 17 9 8 145 132 13
-------------- 42% 50% 32% 37% 50% 7% 76% 52% 43% 17% 3% 1% 15% 91% 94% 77% 33% 7% 5% 20% 93% 96% 72%
LEAN ANTHONY BRINDISI 5 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 1 - - - 1 1 - 4 - - - 3 2 1
1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 8% - - - 1% 1% 1% 8% - - 1% 2% 1% 5%

PROBABLY ANTHONY BRINDISI 50 8 11 8 22 3 30 14 50 - 2 1 1 39 23 16 8 9 3 6 41 33 8


12% 13% 10% 8% 17% 2% 20% 20% 13% - 1% 1% 5% 24% 17% 49% 18% 4% 2% 14% 26% 24% 43%

DEFINITELY ANTHONY 115 22 23 26 43 7 84 22 113 2 4 1 2 108 99 9 4 8 6 2 101 97 4


BRINDISI 29% 35% 21% 28% 33% 5% 55% 30% 30% 9% 2% 1% 10% 66% 76% 27% 8% 3% 3% 5% 65% 71% 24%

HARD UNDECIDED/DO NOT KNOW 29 3 11 4 11 4 12 11 24 5 6 3 3 11 7 4 11 19 9 10 7 5 2


7% 4% 10% 4% 8% 2% 8% 15% 6% 27% 3% 2% 11% 7% 6% 13% 23% 8% 5% 26% 5% 4% 13%

OTHER 3 - 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 - - - - - - 2 1 1 - 1 1 -
1% - 1% 1% - - 1% - - 6% - - - - - - 5% 1% 1% - 1% 1% -

WOULD NOT VOTE - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -


- - - - - - - 1% - - - - - - - - 1% - - - - - 2%

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(TOTAL TENNEY - TOTAL 30 -3 27 19 -13 133 -90 -14 24 6 171 157 15 -144 -122 -22 2 177 162 14 -143 -132 -11
BRINDISI) 8% -5% 25% 20% -10% 83% -59% -20% 6% 34% 90% 95% 60% -89% -94% -66% 4% 76% 85% 35% -91% -96% -60%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 29
Table 10-2
QUESTION 10:
If the election for U.S. Congress were tomorrow, who would you vote for if the race was between Republican Claudia Tenney, and Democrat Anthony Brindisi?

And Would That Be Definitely or Probably For _____?

Toward Which Candidate Do You Lean?

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
TOTAL TENNEY 199 5 - 199 112 86 169 14 31 142 186 168 168 12 18 199 - -
------------ 50% 19% - 77% 83% 70% 90% 8% 16% 92% 50% 49% 92% 8% 34% 100% - -
DEFINITELY CLAUDIA TENNEY 160 1 - 159 89 71 143 9 22 119 149 140 144 6 9 160 - -
40% 3% - 62% 65% 58% 76% 5% 11% 77% 40% 41% 79% 4% 16% 80% - -
PROBABLY CLAUDIA TENNEY 35 2 - 35 20 15 25 5 9 20 34 27 22 6 7 35 - -
9% 6% - 14% 15% 12% 13% 3% 5% 13% 9% 8% 12% 4% 13% 18% - -
LEAN CLAUDIA TENNEY 4 3 - 4 4 1 1 - - 2 4 1 2 - 3 4 - -
1% 10% - 2% 3% 1% 1% - - 2% 1% - 1% - 5% 2% - -
TOTAL BRINDISI 169 17 127 34 14 20 13 143 150 4 158 150 9 133 27 - 169 -
-------------- 42% 63% 96% 13% 11% 16% 7% 81% 77% 3% 43% 44% 5% 89% 49% - 100% -
LEAN ANTHONY BRINDISI 5 1 2 1 - 1 - 4 3 1 4 4 - 4 1 - 5 -
1% 3% 1% - - 1% - 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 3% 2% - 3% -

PROBABLY ANTHONY BRINDISI 50 9 31 18 8 10 9 36 42 1 46 43 4 36 10 - 50 -


12% 34% 23% 7% 6% 8% 5% 20% 22% 1% 12% 12% 2% 24% 18% - 29% -

DEFINITELY ANTHONY 115 7 95 15 6 8 5 103 105 2 108 104 5 93 16 - 115 -


BRINDISI 29% 25% 72% 6% 5% 7% 2% 59% 54% 1% 29% 31% 3% 62% 30% - 68% -

HARD UNDECIDED/DO NOT KNOW 29 5 4 24 9 15 5 16 13 7 24 20 4 4 7 - - 29


7% 18% 3% 9% 6% 13% 3% 9% 7% 4% 6% 6% 2% 3% 12% - - 100%

OTHER 3 - 1 1 - 1 1 2 - 1 1 1 - - 2 - - -
1% - 1% 1% - 1% - 1% - 1% - - - - 4% - - -

WOULD NOT VOTE - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1% - - -

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(TOTAL TENNEY - TOTAL 30 -12 -127 165 98 67 156 -129 -119 138 28 18 158 -121 -9 199 -169 -
BRINDISI) 8% -44% -96% 64% 72% 54% 83% -74% -61% 89% 7% 5% 87% -81% -16% 100% -100% -
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 30
Table 10-3
QUESTION 10:
If the election for U.S. Congress were tomorrow, who would you vote for if the race was between Republican Claudia Tenney, and Democrat Anthony Brindisi?

And Would That Be Definitely or Probably For _____?

Toward Which Candidate Do You Lean?

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

TOTAL TENNEY 199 186 6 4 3 179 5 7 2 3 112 87 73 71 18 6 17 7


------------ 50% 84% 4% 26% 58% 49% 68% 100% 31% 48% 58% 42% 95% 86% 25% 8% 45% 19%

DEFINITELY CLAUDIA TENNEY 160 150 4 3 2 142 3 7 2 3 89 71 64 60 8 5 12 6


40% 68% 3% 17% 47% 39% 40% 100% 31% 48% 46% 34% 83% 72% 11% 6% 32% 16%

PROBABLY CLAUDIA TENNEY 35 32 1 2 - 33 2 - - - 20 15 7 12 9 2 5 1


9% 15% - 9% 10% 9% 28% - - - 11% 7% 9% 14% 12% 2% 13% 2%

LEAN CLAUDIA TENNEY 4 3 1 - - 4 - - - - 4 1 2 - 1 - - -


1% 1% 1% - - 1% - - - - 2% - 3% - 2% - - -

TOTAL BRINDISI 169 18 141 9 1 157 2 - 5 3 71 98 2 9 50 65 19 19


-------------- 42% 8% 90% 51% 17% 43% 28% - 69% 48% 37% 47% 3% 11% 69% 82% 49% 55%

LEAN ANTHONY BRINDISI 5 1 3 - - 4 - - - - 2 3 - 1 - 1 1 1


1% - 2% 1% 8% 1% - - - - 1% 2% - 1% - 1% 3% 3%

PROBABLY ANTHONY BRINDISI 50 7 39 3 - 48 - - 2 - 18 31 - 3 10 20 8 6


12% 3% 25% 19% - 13% - - 30% - 10% 15% - 4% 14% 25% 21% 18%

DEFINITELY ANTHONY 115 11 98 5 - 105 2 - 3 3 51 63 2 5 40 44 9 12


BRINDISI 29% 5% 63% 31% 9% 29% 28% - 39% 48% 27% 31% 2% 6% 55% 56% 25% 35%

HARD UNDECIDED/DO NOT KNOW 29 16 8 3 1 28 - - - - 9 19 2 2 4 7 2 9


7% 7% 5% 15% 25% 8% 4% - - 4% 5% 9% 2% 3% 6% 9% 6% 24%

OTHER 3 - 1 1 - 2 - - - - - 3 - - - 1 - -
1% - 1% 6% - 1% 1% - - - - 1% - 1% - 1% - -

WOULD NOT VOTE - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -


- - - 2% - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1%

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

(TOTAL TENNEY - TOTAL 30 167 -135 -4 2 23 3 7 -3 - 41 -11 71 62 -32 -59 -2 -13


BRINDISI) 8% 76% -86% -25% 40% 6% 40% 100% -38% - 21% -5% 92% 75% -44% -74% -4% -37%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 31
Table 11-1
QUESTION 11:
Finally, I would like to ask you a few confidential statistical questions, for generic classification purposes only.

In the Presidential election in 2016, please tell me who you voted for. As you'll recall, the candidates were...

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

DONALD TRUMP, REPUBLICAN 220 32 65 58 65 151 32 30 207 13 179 160 19 18 11 7 23 211 181 30 5 2 3
55% 51% 59% 63% 48% 94% 21% 41% 54% 77% 94% 97% 77% 11% 8% 22% 51% 91% 95% 75% 3% 1% 17%

HILLARY CLINTON, DEMOCRAT 157 29 37 27 64 6 113 32 154 2 5 2 3 135 113 22 15 8 4 4 140 127 13
39% 45% 34% 29% 48% 3% 75% 44% 40% 14% 3% 1% 10% 83% 87% 67% 33% 4% 2% 10% 90% 92% 71%

GARY JOHNSON, LIBERTARIAN 8 1 4 3 1 - 3 4 8 - 2 1 1 1 - 1 4 6 3 3 2 1 1


2% 1% 3% 3% - - 2% 5% 2% - 1% - 6% - - 2% 10% 3% 2% 6% 1% 1% 4%

JILL STEIN, GREEN PARTY 4 - - 2 1 - 1 3 4 - 1 - - 4 3 1 - 1 - - 4 4 -


1% - - 3% 1% - 1% 4% 1% - - - 2% 2% 2% 3% - - - 1% 2% 3% -

OTHER NAMES 5 - 2 1 2 1 1 2 5 - 1 1 1 3 3 - 1 1 - 1 4 4 1
1% - 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1% 3% 1% - 4% 2% 2% 1% 2% - - 1% 3% 3% 5%

DID NOT VOTE 4 2 2 1 - 2 - 2 3 1 2 2 - 1 - 1 2 3 1 2 - - -


1% 3% 1% 1% - 1% - 3% 1% 7% 1% 1% - - - 2% 4% 1% 1% 5% - - 2%

REFUSED 2 - - 1 - 1 1 - 2 - - - - 1 - 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 -
- - - 1% - - - - - - - - 1% - - 2% 1% - - 1% - 1% -

(TRUMP - CLINTON) 63 3 28 31 1 145 -82 -2 52 11 174 158 16 -117 -102 -15 8 203 176 26 -135 -125 -10
16% 5% 25% 33% 1% 91% -54% -3% 14% 63% 92% 96% 67% -72% -79% -45% 17% 88% 93% 65% -87% -91% -54%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 32
Table 11-2
QUESTION 11:
Finally, I would like to ask you a few confidential statistical questions, for generic classification purposes only.

In the Presidential election in 2016, please tell me who you voted for. As you'll recall, the candidates were...

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

DONALD TRUMP, REPUBLICAN 220 8 1 219 118 102 162 35 48 136 201 181 174 13 24 186 18 16
55% 30% 1% 85% 87% 83% 86% 20% 25% 88% 54% 53% 96% 8% 44% 93% 11% 55%

HILLARY CLINTON, DEMOCRAT 157 16 124 24 10 14 18 128 137 9 149 141 3 125 25 6 141 8
39% 59% 93% 9% 7% 12% 9% 73% 70% 6% 40% 41% 2% 84% 46% 3% 83% 29%

GARY JOHNSON, LIBERTARIAN 8 1 1 7 4 3 4 3 2 5 8 7 1 3 1 3 2 2


2% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 6%

JILL STEIN, GREEN PARTY 4 - 4 1 - 1 1 4 3 1 4 4 - 4 - - 4 -


1% - 3% - - - - 2% 2% - 1% 1% - 3% - - 2% -

OTHER NAMES 5 1 3 2 1 1 1 3 3 1 4 4 2 2 1 1 3 1
1% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 2% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% - 2% 3%

DID NOT VOTE 4 - - 4 2 2 3 - - 3 3 3 1 1 2 3 1 1


1% 1% - 1% 1% 2% 1% - - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% - 4%

REFUSED 2 1 - 2 1 1 - 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - - - 1
- 3% - 1% 1% 1% - 1% - - - - - 1% 1% - - 4%

(TRUMP - CLINTON) 63 -8 -123 195 108 87 144 -93 -89 127 52 40 171 -113 -1 179 -123 7
16% -29% -93% 75% 79% 71% 77% -53% -46% 82% 14% 12% 94% -76% -1% 90% -73% 26%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 33
Table 11-3
QUESTION 11:
Finally, I would like to ask you a few confidential statistical questions, for generic classification purposes only.

In the Presidential election in 2016, please tell me who you voted for. As you'll recall, the candidates were...

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

DONALD TRUMP, REPUBLICAN 220 220 - - - 202 4 7 3 2 118 102 75 75 19 12 19 10


55% 100% - - - 55% 55% 100% 45% 30% 61% 49% 98% 90% 27% 15% 52% 29%
HILLARY CLINTON, DEMOCRAT 157 - 157 - - 143 2 - 4 4 63 93 - 6 50 64 12 20
39% - 100% - - 39% 35% - 55% 68% 33% 45% - 7% 69% 80% 32% 57%
GARY JOHNSON, LIBERTARIAN 8 - - 8 - 7 - - - - 4 3 - - 2 1 2 2
2% - - 44% - 2% 3% - - - 2% 2% - - 3% 1% 5% 6%
JILL STEIN, GREEN PARTY 4 - - 4 - 4 - - - - 2 2 - - - 1 2 1
1% - - 26% - 1% 2% - - 3% 1% 1% - - - 2% 6% 2%
OTHER NAMES 5 - - 5 - 4 - - - - 2 3 1 1 - 1 1 2
1% - - 30% - 1% 5% - - - 1% 2% 1% 1% - 1% 2% 4%
DID NOT VOTE 4 - - - 4 4 - - - - 2 2 - 1 - - 1 1
1% - - - 100% 1% - - - - 1% 1% - 1% - - 3% 3%
REFUSED 2 - - - - 2 - - - - 1 1 - 1 1 - - -
- - - - - - - - - - 1% - - 1% 1% - - -

(TRUMP - CLINTON) 63 220 -157 - - 58 1 7 -1 -2 55 8 75 70 -30 -52 8 -10


16% 100% -100% - - 16% 20% 100% -10% -38% 29% 4% 98% 84% -42% -64% 20% -28%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 34
Table 12-1
QUESTION 12:
In which year were you born?

AGE GROUP

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

18-34 63 63 - - - 23 22 16 61 2 29 25 4 26 25 1 9 32 29 3 26 22 4
16% 100% - - - 14% 15% 22% 16% 12% 15% 15% 15% 16% 19% 3% 19% 14% 15% 7% 17% 16% 21%

35-44 47 - 47 - - 19 21 6 46 - 22 18 4 19 14 5 6 32 20 12 14 8 6
12% - 42% - - 12% 14% 8% 12% 3% 12% 11% 15% 12% 11% 15% 13% 14% 10% 30% 9% 6% 35%

45-54 63 - 63 - - 36 15 9 56 7 35 32 3 21 18 2 6 38 36 2 23 22 2
16% - 58% - - 23% 10% 13% 15% 40% 18% 19% 12% 13% 14% 7% 14% 16% 19% 4% 15% 16% 8%

55-64 93 - - 93 - 39 37 15 91 2 49 40 9 32 24 8 12 62 52 10 29 28 1
23% - - 100% - 24% 24% 21% 24% 12% 26% 24% 35% 20% 18% 25% 27% 27% 27% 25% 18% 20% 5%

65+ 133 - - - 133 43 57 26 127 6 55 50 6 65 49 16 13 68 54 14 64 58 6


33% - - - 100% 27% 38% 36% 33% 34% 29% 30% 23% 40% 38% 50% 27% 29% 28% 34% 41% 42% 31%

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

MEAN 56 28 46 60 75 55 57 54 56 60 55 55 55 57 56 62 55 55 55 56 57 58 54

MEDIAN 57 27 47 60 73 56 60 57 57 53 57 57 57 62 60 63 56 57 57 59 62 63 44

STANDARD DEVIATION 16 4 6 3 7 16 17 16 16 18 16 16 18 17 17 15 17 16 15 17 17 17 20

STANDARD ERROR 1 1 1 - 1 1 2 2 1 4 1 1 3 1 2 3 2 1 1 3 1 1 5
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 35
Table 12-2
QUESTION 12:
In which year were you born?

AGE GROUP

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

18-34 63 6 19 38 23 15 30 28 28 23 56 51 27 25 8 29 32 3
16% 23% 15% 15% 17% 12% 16% 16% 14% 15% 15% 15% 15% 17% 14% 14% 19% 10%

35-44 47 7 7 39 15 24 28 16 27 17 46 43 20 17 3 23 16 7
12% 26% 5% 15% 11% 20% 15% 9% 14% 11% 12% 13% 11% 12% 6% 12% 10% 25%

45-54 63 6 20 43 22 21 31 27 29 26 58 54 36 18 7 40 19 3
16% 21% 15% 17% 16% 17% 16% 16% 15% 17% 16% 16% 20% 12% 13% 20% 12% 11%

55-64 93 4 27 66 38 27 44 38 38 37 86 73 45 28 20 53 34 4
23% 14% 20% 25% 28% 22% 24% 21% 20% 24% 23% 22% 25% 19% 37% 27% 20% 15%

65+ 133 4 60 72 38 34 55 66 72 50 125 119 53 60 17 54 67 11


33% 16% 46% 28% 28% 28% 30% 38% 37% 33% 34% 35% 29% 40% 30% 27% 40% 39%

REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

MEAN 56 50 59 55 55 55 55 57 57 56 56 56 55 57 57 55 57 56

MEDIAN 57 47 64 56 57 55 56 60 59 57 57 57 57 62 57 57 61 55

STANDARD DEVIATION 16 17 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 16 16 16 16 18 16 16 17 17

STANDARD ERROR 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 3
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 36
Table 12-3
QUESTION 12:
In which year were you born?

AGE GROUP

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

18-34 63 32 29 1 2 60 - - - - 38 26 15 8 12 11 10 6
16% 15% 18% 5% 36% 16% - - - - 19% 12% 19% 10% 16% 13% 26% 17%
35-44 47 29 13 4 - 43 1 - 3 - 18 28 8 11 5 16 4 2
12% 13% 8% 26% 8% 12% 8% - 46% - 9% 14% 10% 13% 7% 20% 10% 6%
45-54 63 36 24 2 1 50 2 7 - 3 26 38 18 19 3 12 5 5
16% 16% 15% 10% 27% 14% 34% 100% - 50% 13% 18% 23% 22% 4% 15% 13% 13%
55-64 93 58 27 6 1 86 1 - 3 2 50 44 17 22 24 13 7 9
23% 27% 17% 34% 20% 24% 12% - 39% 33% 26% 21% 22% 26% 33% 16% 17% 25%
65+ 133 65 64 4 - 128 3 - 1 1 62 71 19 24 29 29 13 14
33% 29% 41% 25% 9% 35% 46% - 14% 17% 32% 35% 25% 29% 40% 36% 34% 39%
REFUSED - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

MEAN 56 55 57 57 45 56 58 53 51 56 55 57 53 57 58 56 53 56

MEDIAN 57 57 61 56 51 59 59 53 57 49 57 57 54 58 62 56 55 61

STANDARD DEVIATION 16 16 17 16 14 17 11 1 16 14 17 16 16 16 15 18 17 15

STANDARD ERROR 1 1 1 3 5 1 2 - 7 4 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 2
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 37
Table 13-1
QUESTION 13:
And, which of the following best describes your racial or ethnic background?

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WHITE OR CAUCASIAN 367 60 93 86 128 145 141 66 354 12 175 153 23 151 118 32 38 209 172 38 144 126 18
92% 95% 84% 93% 96% 90% 93% 91% 93% 70% 93% 93% 92% 93% 91% 99% 83% 91% 90% 93% 92% 91% 100%

AFRICAN-AMERICAN OR BLACK 7 - 3 1 3 2 3 1 6 - 4 2 2 2 2 - 1 5 4 1 2 2 -
2% - 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 8% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% -

HISPANIC OR LATINO 7 - 7 - - 7 - - 2 5 2 2 - - - - 5 7 7 - - - -
2% - 6% - - 4% - - 1% 27% 1% 1% - - - - 10% 3% 4% - - - -

ASIAN OR PACIFIC ISLANDER 7 - 3 3 1 2 4 1 7 - 2 2 - 5 5 - - 3 2 1 4 4 -


2% - 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% - 1% 1% - 3% 4% - - 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% -

MULTI-RACIAL OR OTHER 6 - 3 2 1 1 2 3 6 - 3 3 - 3 3 - - 3 3 - 3 3 -
2% - 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 2% - 2% 2% - 2% 2% - 1% 1% 2% - 2% 2% -

DO NOT KNOW 5 2 2 - 1 2 - 2 4 - 2 2 - - - - 2 3 1 1 2 2 -
1% 3% 2% - 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - - - 4% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% -

REFUSED 3 2 - 1 - 1 2 - 3 - 1 1 - 2 2 - - 1 1 - 2 2 -
1% 3% - 1% - 1% 1% - 1% - 1% 1% - 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - 1% 1% -
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 38
Table 13-2
QUESTION 13:
And, which of the following best describes your racial or ethnic background?

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WHITE OR CAUCASIAN 367 27 122 237 127 110 173 158 177 141 339 310 165 135 52 179 157 28
92% 100% 92% 92% 93% 90% 92% 90% 91% 92% 92% 91% 91% 91% 96% 90% 93% 98%

AFRICAN-AMERICAN OR BLACK 7 - 2 5 3 2 4 2 3 4 6 6 2 3 2 5 2 -
2% - 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1%

HISPANIC OR LATINO 7 - - 7 - 7 2 5 5 2 7 7 7 - - 7 - -
2% - - 3% - 5% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 4% - - 3% - -

ASIAN OR PACIFIC ISLANDER 7 - 4 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 6 6 2 5 - 2 5 -


2% - 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% - 1% 3% -

MULTI-RACIAL OR OTHER 6 - 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 6 6 3 3 - 3 3 -
2% - 2% 1% 2% - 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% - 1% 2% 1%

DO NOT KNOW 5 - 1 3 1 1 3 2 4 1 4 4 2 2 1 3 2 -
1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

REFUSED 3 - 2 1 - 1 1 2 - 2 3 2 1 2 - 1 2 -
1% - 1% - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% 1% -
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 39
Table 13-3
QUESTION 13:
And, which of the following best describes your racial or ethnic background?

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WHITE OR CAUCASIAN 367 202 143 16 4 367 - - - - 178 188 72 73 67 74 33 33


92% 92% 92% 93% 88% 100% - - - - 92% 91% 94% 87% 92% 93% 88% 95%

AFRICAN-AMERICAN OR BLACK 7 4 2 1 - - 7 - - - 4 3 1 1 2 1 - 1
2% 2% 1% 4% - - 100% - - - 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3%

HISPANIC OR LATINO 7 7 - - - - - 7 - - - 7 - 7 - - - -
2% 3% - - - - - 100% - - - 3% - 8% - - - -

ASIAN OR PACIFIC ISLANDER 7 3 4 - - - - - 7 - 5 2 1 1 3 1 1 -


2% 1% 2% - - - - - 100% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 3% -

MULTI-RACIAL OR OTHER 6 2 4 - - - - - - 6 4 2 1 - 1 2 2 -
2% 1% 3% 1% - - - - - 100% 2% 1% 1% - 1% 2% 6% 1%

DO NOT KNOW 5 2 2 - 1 - - - - - 3 2 1 1 - - 1 1
1% 1% 1% 2% 12% - - - - - 1% 1% 2% 1% - 1% 3% 1%

REFUSED 3 1 2 - - - - - - - - 3 - 1 - 2 - -
1% 1% 1% - - - - - - - - 1% - 1% - 2% - -
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 40
Table 14-1
QUESTION 14:
County

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

BROOME 113 18 36 25 35 35 48 23 108 6 49 41 8 55 44 10 9 62 49 13 47 44 3


28% 28% 32% 27% 26% 22% 31% 32% 28% 32% 26% 25% 35% 34% 34% 32% 20% 27% 26% 31% 30% 32% 18%

CHENANGO 27 5 9 4 8 17 2 8 24 3 17 15 2 7 6 - 3 18 16 2 9 6 3
7% 8% 8% 5% 6% 11% 1% 11% 6% 16% 9% 9% 8% 4% 5% 1% 7% 8% 8% 5% 6% 4% 18%

CORTLAND 27 6 4 5 12 11 12 3 27 - 10 10 1 14 13 1 1 10 10 - 15 14 1
7% 9% 4% 5% 9% 7% 8% 5% 7% - 6% 6% 2% 9% 10% 3% 2% 4% 5% - 9% 10% 3%

HERKIMER 33 - 11 12 10 11 15 7 30 3 16 15 1 10 8 2 7 20 14 6 12 12 1
8% 1% 10% 13% 7% 7% 10% 10% 8% 17% 9% 9% 4% 6% 6% 5% 16% 9% 7% 14% 8% 8% 4%

MADISON 40 10 12 4 14 13 23 5 40 - 14 12 1 26 19 7 1 15 11 4 23 19 3
10% 16% 11% 5% 10% 8% 15% 7% 10% - 7% 8% 4% 16% 14% 23% 1% 6% 6% 9% 15% 14% 19%

ONEIDA 123 15 32 27 50 50 49 19 117 6 56 49 7 48 38 10 19 75 65 11 45 41 4


31% 23% 29% 29% 38% 31% 32% 26% 31% 35% 30% 30% 28% 30% 29% 32% 41% 33% 34% 26% 29% 30% 21%

OSWEGO 27 10 5 10 3 17 3 6 27 - 19 15 4 2 2 - 6 22 19 3 5 2 3
7% 15% 4% 10% 2% 11% 2% 8% 7% - 10% 9% 14% 1% 1% - 13% 9% 10% 7% 3% 1% 16%

TIOGA 10 - 3 5 2 6 1 1 10 - 8 7 1 2 - 2 - 9 6 3 1 1 -
3% - 2% 6% 1% 4% - 1% 3% - 4% 4% 5% 1% - 5% - 4% 3% 8% - 1% -
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 41
Table 14-2
QUESTION 14:
County

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

BROOME 113 3 43 65 30 35 45 60 59 38 105 96 49 49 9 46 51 13


28% 11% 32% 25% 22% 29% 24% 34% 30% 24% 28% 28% 27% 33% 16% 23% 30% 46%

CHENANGO 27 5 3 22 14 9 14 8 9 6 22 15 17 4 3 16 7 4
7% 17% 2% 9% 10% 7% 7% 5% 5% 4% 6% 4% 10% 3% 5% 8% 4% 15%

CORTLAND 27 2 14 12 9 3 10 14 14 10 24 23 11 14 2 13 14 -
7% 8% 11% 5% 7% 2% 5% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 9% 4% 6% 8% -

HERKIMER 33 1 12 21 16 5 17 16 18 14 33 32 14 11 8 19 13 1
8% 4% 9% 8% 12% 4% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 14% 10% 7% 4%

MADISON 40 5 19 20 8 12 17 18 23 13 37 34 14 21 4 16 23 1
10% 19% 14% 8% 6% 10% 9% 10% 12% 8% 10% 10% 7% 14% 7% 8% 14% 4%

ONEIDA 123 7 40 83 38 45 59 54 62 54 117 111 53 44 21 63 52 8


31% 28% 30% 32% 28% 36% 31% 31% 32% 35% 32% 33% 29% 30% 39% 32% 31% 28%

OSWEGO 27 3 2 25 15 10 19 4 8 12 23 20 18 3 6 18 9 -
7% 11% 1% 10% 11% 8% 10% 2% 4% 8% 6% 6% 10% 2% 11% 9% 5% 1%

TIOGA 10 1 - 10 6 4 8 2 2 8 9 9 6 2 2 8 1 1
3% 3% - 4% 4% 3% 4% 1% 1% 5% 2% 3% 3% 1% 4% 4% - 3%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 42
Table 14-3
QUESTION 14:
County

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

BROOME 113 58 48 5 2 105 1 2 2 1 49 64 15 20 17 31 15 9


28% 26% 31% 30% 37% 29% 18% 30% 30% 18% 25% 31% 19% 24% 23% 38% 39% 25%

CHENANGO 27 19 5 2 - 25 1 - - - 15 11 12 5 - 2 3 5
7% 9% 3% 13% - 7% 15% - - - 8% 6% 16% 6% - 2% 8% 15%

CORTLAND 27 11 15 1 - 24 - - 3 - 17 10 8 3 8 5 1 3
7% 5% 10% 6% - 7% - - 39% - 9% 5% 10% 3% 11% 6% 2% 8%

HERKIMER 33 20 12 2 - 31 - - - 2 20 13 7 4 10 5 3 4
8% 9% 8% 9% 9% 8% 5% - - 33% 11% 6% 10% 5% 13% 6% 9% 11%

MADISON 40 15 24 1 - 36 - - 1 2 20 20 5 8 12 10 3 2
10% 7% 15% 6% - 10% - - 16% 32% 11% 10% 6% 9% 17% 13% 9% 4%

ONEIDA 123 69 47 5 2 111 3 5 1 1 51 73 17 33 25 24 7 11


31% 31% 30% 31% 54% 30% 48% 70% 15% 18% 26% 35% 22% 40% 34% 30% 20% 32%

OSWEGO 27 21 5 1 - 25 1 - - - 15 12 10 8 - 3 5 1
7% 9% 3% 5% - 7% 10% - - - 8% 6% 13% 9% - 4% 13% 3%

TIOGA 10 8 1 - - 10 - - - - 6 4 3 3 1 - - 1
3% 4% 1% - - 3% 4% - - - 3% 2% 4% 4% 1% - - 2%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 43
Table 15-1
QUESTION 15:
Gender

BANNER 1
VOTE
AGE PARTY LIKELIHOOD GENERIC BALLOT TRUMP APPROVAL
======================= ================= =========== ========================================= ===================================
TOTAL STR SMWHT
VERY SMWHT TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL DEF PROB TOTAL STR SMWHT DIS- DIS- DIS-
TOTAL 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ REP DEM IND LKLEY LKLEY REP REP REP DEM DEM DEM UND APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV APPRV
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 63 110 93 133 160 152 72 382 18 189 165 24 162 130 33 46 231 190 41 156 138 18
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

MALE 193 38 44 50 62 77 72 38 189 4 103 92 11 72 53 19 17 125 104 21 61 54 7


48% 59% 40% 53% 46% 48% 47% 52% 49% 24% 54% 56% 47% 44% 41% 57% 37% 54% 54% 52% 39% 39% 40%

FEMALE 207 26 66 44 71 83 80 35 193 13 86 73 13 91 77 14 29 106 87 20 95 84 11


52% 41% 60% 47% 54% 52% 53% 48% 51% 76% 46% 44% 53% 56% 59% 43% 63% 46% 46% 48% 61% 61% 60%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 44
Table 15-2
QUESTION 15:
Gender

BANNER 2
LIKE TENNEY BRINDISI TENNEY/
SOME TRUMP TRUMP SUPPORTER IMAGE IMAGE BRINDISI AG BALLOT BALLOT
=========== ================= =========== =========== =========== ================= =================
HRD
DIS- OF OPIN WOF- TEN- BRIN-
TOTAL AGREE AGREE TOT MEN WOMEN FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV BOTH BOTH FORD JAMES UND NEY DISI UND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 27 133 258 135 123 188 175 195 154 370 341 182 149 55 199 169 29
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

MALE 193 11 51 135 135 - 106 66 79 85 174 161 98 70 22 112 71 9


48% 40% 39% 52% 100% - 57% 38% 41% 55% 47% 47% 54% 47% 40% 56% 42% 33%

FEMALE 207 16 81 123 - 123 82 109 115 69 196 180 84 78 33 87 98 19


52% 60% 61% 48% - 100% 43% 62% 59% 45% 53% 53% 46% 53% 60% 44% 58% 67%
Citizens United Political Victory Fund Congressional Poll – NY-22
October 2018 PAGE 45
Table 15-3
QUESTION 15:
Gender

BANNER 3
2016 VOTE RACE GENDER PARTY AND GENDER
======================= ============================= ============ ======================================
DID
CLIN- NOT REP REP DEM DEM IND IND
TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER VOTE WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE MALE FEMALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------

BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 400 220 157 17 4 367 7 7 7 6 193 207 77 83 72 80 38 35


100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

MALE 193 118 63 9 2 178 4 - 5 4 193 - 77 - 72 - 38 -


48% 54% 40% 50% 45% 49% 55% - 68% 65% 100% - 100% - 100% - 100% -

FEMALE 207 102 93 8 2 188 3 7 2 2 - 207 - 83 - 80 - 35


52% 46% 60% 50% 55% 51% 45% 100% 32% 35% - 100% - 100% - 100% - 100%

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