SOAL METODE TIME-SERIES

Nalve Simple Average

BULAN AKTUAL
Forcest Eror Forcest Eror
1 450 - -
2 440 450 10 450.0 -10.0
3 460 440 -20 445.0 15.0
4 510 460 -50 450.0 60.0
5 520 510 -10 465.0 55.0
6 495 520 25 476.0 19.0
7 475 495 20 479.2 -4.2
8 560 475 -85 478.6 81.4
9 510 560 50 488.8 21.3
10 520 510 -10 491.1 28.9
11 540 520 -20 494.0 46.0
12 550 540 -10 498.2 51.8
13 550 502.5

Grafik Metode Time-Series

Nalve Sim
600 600

500 500
Aktual
400 400
Column C
300 Forcest Axis Title 300
200 200

100 100

0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4

Moving Average Weight

600 600

500 500

400 400
Aktual
Forcest
Axis Title 300 Axis Title 300

200 200

100 100

0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4
 Forcest
Axis Title 300 Axis Title 300

200 200

100 100

0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4
DE TIME-SERIES
Moving Average Weight Moving Average
Forcest 3 Bln Forcest 3 Bln
- -
- -
- -
450.0 453
470.0 488
496.7 511
508.3 504
496.7 485.5
510.0 528
515.0 521.5
530.0 521
523.3 531
536.7 544

Simple Average
600

500
Aktual
400 Column C
Column F
Axis Title 300 Forcest
200

100

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Weight Moving Average

600

500

400 Aktual
Forcest
Axis Title 300

200

100

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
 Forcest
Axis Title 300

200

100

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
 Grafik Metode Nalve G

600

500

400

Aktual
300
Column C
Forcest
200

100

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Grafik Metode Simple Average