Professional Documents
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Investor Presentation
August 2018
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of this presentation.
2
City Gas Distribution
Industry Overview
Natural Gas – A Low Cost, Clean & Efficient Source of Energy
Abundance Availability Affordability
Acceptability
Gas Value Increasing Expanding Price decline,
Less polluting,
Proposition Liquefaction Imports / commoditized,
clean and green
capacity infrastructure fungible
Global Gas export capacity increasing 50% between 2016-20 Infrastructure around natural gas import is accelerating
Poor air quality in cities supporting gas adoption Gas is cheaper than oil linked fuel ($/MMBTU)
0 10 20 30 40
From a fragmented and regional market, natural gas now a global commodity. Supply is driven by new discoveries and demand
by rapid infrastructure development
4
India’s Natural Gas Demand on a secular growth path
Environmental commitments, “Make in India” initiative, need for energy security makes natural gas a priority
Lower Gas Consumption per Capita (Cbm/person) India Contracted and Uncontracted LNG Demand
30,630 21,449
2,367 1,678
253 152
80
10 10 10
• Balance energy mix- gas 6% to 15%, by 2022
8 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 7 7 6 6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 • 100% LPG/PNG penetration
Gas as % of Primary energy Prmary Energy Gas Consumption
India has lagged, but given the global glut, this might be a advantage with significant uncontracted demand.
Gas and Renewables together serves the twin purpose of climate and growth
5
City Gas Distribution (CGD) infrastructure generates demand
China Gujarat
Gas consumption increased 4 times compare to India Highest CGD penetration and gas has 25% share in energy mix
LNG as transport fuel picked up due to LNG infrastructure compare to national average of 6%
Gas demand in India Vs China (In BNSCM) Gujarat (Natural Gas Pipeline and Gas)
250
India China
188 195
200 172
Gas Consumption
151
137
150
111
84 93
100 73
59
41 48
35
50 71
60 61
42 51 49 49 46
32 36 37 40
- 30
FY 03 FY 05 FY 07 FY 09 FY 11 FY 13 FY 15
2230 2500
160
140 1824 LNG Station (Nos)
2000
120
100 1500
80 175
777 137 1000
60 124
40 203 304 74 500
20 101
14 17 22 38
0 0
FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16
Consensus at political & judicial level to replicate Gujarat model , i.e. to increase gas share to 25%
6
Massive Infrastructure Investment in Oil & Gas sector is underway
Carrier first- Commodity latter. Infrastructure will unblock latent demand.
About $23bn will be spent in the next 5 years to build oil & natural gas infrastructure.
Approx. $1 bn VGF has been granted to GAIL to build pipeline infrastructure with likely unbundling
7
Indian CGD is ready for next growth cycle
CGD to provide base load to Gas Economy. Government is aggressively pushing Compressed Natural Gas and Piped Natural Gas
India Gas Demand is Increasing Trinity of Supplies, Infrastructure and Prices to drive gas demand
500 252
219
190
400 167
150 Gas
MMSCMD
300 Supplies
191 206
157 173
200 131
0 139
0 146
121
0 117
0 Increase
in Gas
100 Demand
Distributi
0 Competit
on
FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 FY 21 FY 22 ive Price
Infrastru
Normalised Bull cture
38% 38%
• 120 districts have high pollution levels
140 40%
35% • Stringent emission norms. SC suggestion to ban Fuel Oil &
120 31% 35% Petcoke on pan India basis
29%
100 26% 30% • Coverage to increase to 322 cities (total >700 districts)
21% 25% • Favourable regulatory support for CGD
80 19% • Tax arbitrage between liquid fuel and Gas
17% 20%
60 122 • Energy security by balances energy mix
100 103 108 15%
97 92 88 91 • Industrial automation supports gas as fuel
40 87
46 10% • Domestic production of natural gas is rising and expected to
41
20 31 36
16 17 18 22 27 5% grow considerably
0 0% • Fuel Oil production declining at refineries
FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 FY 21 FY 22 • Absolute constrain on LPG production and Import infrastructure
India CGD Demand Domestic Productiom • Highway, Inter city traffic, MHV, 2W will drive demand
CGD as % of Domestic Production • Urbanisation and High rise building supports CGD
CGD will have wider political patronage due to its wider, small consumption intensity (Household, passenger vehicles, small
enterprises)
8
Natural Gas: Clean Fuel for Swachh Bharat (Clean India)
Fuel for urban India, clean India, digital India, GST compliant India
CNG has significant price advantage over Petrol Khurja- Case Study
INR/ ltr energy equalized Demonetization, GST roll out and environmental pressure changing the
80.00 fuel landscape.
Aprox 60% cheaper than Petrol, varies
city to city
60.00
Small town about 100 Km from Delhi is famous for ceramics art work. 150
33.44 units making hand crafted pottery and ceramic work.
40.00 14.83
9.06 Unorganized sector, avoided using natural gas which leaves a trail and can
11.78
20.00 reveal financial data.
29.22
22.64
Used all kinds of fuels – Furnace Oil, PetCoke, Kerosene, Rubber/Tyre Oil,
-
as emission monitoring not a deterrent
Petrol CNG
Brent/ Gas S&D Cost/ Margins Taxes
The tri–combination of Demonetization, GST and SC’s decision to ban
Furnace Oil, PetCoke has proved to be a game changer for fuel mix.
Natural Gas Vehicle Penetration is low and will increase
November 2016 our total PNG sale in Industrial segment at Khurja was
India 1% 2000 SCMD.
Thailand 1%
China 2% December 2017 sales, increased to 16000 SCMD, registering 8 fold growth
Brazil 2%
Egypt 3% FY 19 will reach 80000 SCMD, growth of 4000% in 2 year expecting 100%
Banglade… 11% units on Natural Gas.
Iran 15%
Pakistan 33% Industry is happy with ease of use with gas: saving space/ easy to handle/
on tap/ pay after use/ safe and reliable. It has improve the product quality.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
NGVs as % of total vehicle population
Apart from less polluting and ease of operation, Natural Gas will continue to have significant competitive advantage over
liquid fuel
9
Regulatory Framework, Policy Landscape
• Network Tariff-20% • Prices are more stable and less volatile • LNG approved as fuel for highway
• No. of Domestic Connection-50% than liquid fuel
• No. of CNG Outlets-20% transportation
• Inch KM of Pipeline-10% Gas Sourcing Mechanism
• Natural gas is likely to be included in GST
• Government allocates gas for CNG &
• Push for LPG penetration in rural area
domestic use
• Strong entry barriers by regulation-
Awards 25 years concession • Gas for other segments bought from open
market exclusivity
• Awardee to build the network over
8 years • Sourcing is fair mix of short term and spot • Ban on Fuel Oil in NCR and SC suggestion
o Network exclusivity for 25 yrs
o Marketing exclusivity for 8 yrs contracts
to ban pan India
• Term prices are benchmarked to Brent
• No regulation around marketing
• Massive infrastructure in oil & Gas
margin crude
Adani Gas Limited (AGL) operates the CGD business and is currently 100% subsidiary of AEL
• AGL is operating in 4 cities , authorised for new 13 cities and its 50: 50 joint venture
Largest Private Sector CGD
with Indian Oil Corporation Limited, has been authorised for 18 cities.
player in India with significant
• CGD is end customer facing business, listing of AGL will provide AGL with brand
growth opportunities
awareness for future growth
12
Adani Gas: Pure Play Gas Marketing and Distribution
Adani CNG
1300+
Industrial 325,000
17 + 18 70+ 6000+ Residential
cities CNG stations Kms pipeline 2300+ customers
network Commercial
Largest private player in India’s City Gas space with over a decade of experience
13
Future Growth Plans and Strategy
14
Adani Gas Expanding CGD Network
AGL is directly operating in 4 cities and added 9 cities in recent bidding rounds through IOCL JV, All 9 cities to be operational by 2021
Domestic Customer
0.35 0.60 2.30 3.10 6.00
(Million)
15
The JV with IOCL: Public sector pedigree with private sector expertise
Petronet LNG, IGL with 50% private ownership are success stories in Indian gas sector, IOAGPL to replicate and exceed the
same in CGD JV will have private sector character
• Competitive finance
IOAGPL is in perfect position to participate in growth driven by new geographies and intensify growth within developed
cities
16
Adani Gas customer base is well spread out across segment and cities
Pure play CGD company with 10 year of operational track record
Industrial CNG
Industrial
CNG
52% 45% 50% based operation
34%
Well established player, competitive advantage from low operating cost, scale advantage for new cities
17
Resilient Operations Resulting into Strong Financial Performance
Sales Volume Mix (MMSCMD) Revenue (Rs Crs)
1,800
1.50 1,629
CAGR 4% 1.3
1,600
1,416 1,385
1.1 1.1 1,400
1.20 1.1 1.0 1,205 1,162
1,200
0.63
0.90 0.51 1,000
0.57 0.52 0.47
800
0.60
600
18
Robust Business Model with Optimum Cost & Returns Matrix
Gross Margin (Rs/SCM & %) Op EBIDTA & Op Cost (Rs/SCM)
49 25% 35%
21%
33
12 40 19% 18% 30%
20%
125 16%
30 25%
141 15% 20% 19%
78 11% 19%
0 16% 20%
10%
50 15%
10%
5%
10%
121
91 0%
93 5%
77 173 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18
-5% 0%
FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18
FCF (Post Capex) Capex IOAGPL Equity ROCE ROE
19
Q1FY19 Result Highlights
1.38 102
1.21 93
0.72 54
0.65 0.66
0.56 42
Q1 FY19 City Gas Volumes increased by 14% to 126 MMSCM vs 110 MMSCM in Q1 FY18
20
Key Investment Highlights
Natural gas has become a major source of clean fuel based energy across the world with heavy investment in production,
✔ transportation and distribution infrastructure
✔ India has lagged; however now serious efforts to catch up: $23bn earmarked
✔ Adani Gas is the largest private sector player – well positioned to take advantage of this growth
✔ Cost leader, strong balance sheet and superior execution capability should help in building pan India CGD infrastructure.
21
Sustainability
• Adani Gas Limited (AGL) is mainly doing CSR activities through its group arm Adani foundation.
• Adani foundation is non profit organization, set up for doing CSR activities for Adani group
• Till date AGL has spent Rs. 8.75 Cr towards CSR activities
• AGL is also doing direct donations to various other charitable institutions. Till date AGL has donated around Rs. 6.38 Cr to
such organizations.
CSR Spent by AGL through Adani foundation 1.66 1.97 2.29 2.83
22
Thank You