YK 330.43(075.8) BBK 6536273 M13 Peneuseuty Exuceeea H.H., 1oKtop 2KOHOMMUECKHX Hayk, Mpocpeccop, ‘wieH-KoppecnongenT PAH, 3aB. Katbeapolt ctaTHCTHKH M 3KOHOMeTPHKH Cankt-Nerep6yprckoro rocynapcTBeHHOTO YHHBepCHTeTa; Cysopoe B.I1., noxtop 2KOHOMHYECKHX HaYK, 3aCTYKeHHLIA AesTemb HayKH P®, Tipodpeccop 3KoHOMMYecKoro ¢axymTeTa MTY uM. M.B. JlomoHocopa Marnyc A.P., Kateumes II.K., Mepeceuxwit A.A. M13 Skonometpnka. Hayanbuplii kypc: Yue. — 3-e v3z., mepe- pa6. u gon. — M.: Jeno, 2000. — 400 c. ISBN 5-7749-0055-X YueOHUK COMePRUT CHcTeMATHYECKOe WIIOKEHHE OCHOB SKOHOMETPHKH H HaMHcaH Ha OCHOBe JTeKUMA, KOTOpEIe aBTOPH B TeveHHe psila eT YHTATH B Poccuicko 3KOHOMHYECKOM UIKoNe # Beicinelt WKome 3KoHOMMKH. Fonpo6- HO W3yYaIOTCA TMHeHHbe MoneTH MapHoH H MHOXKeCTBeHHOH perpeccHu, BKmloUaA TaKHe TeMbI, Kak MeTON HAMMEHbINHX KBalpaToB, Mpowepka THnoTes, O6o6uleHHBIM MeTO HaMMEHBILHX KBANpaTOR, TeTepOCKeMACTHYHOCTS H aBTO- KoppeaAuna OWMGOK, NporHo3MpoBaHve, NpoGneMb! creunuKauMW MonenH. OtnenbHas rapa nocaallieHa cHcTeMaM OIHOBpeMeHHBIX ypaBHeHHit. Tlo cpasHenmo c wanaHvem 1997 r. B KHMTY BKMOYEHH TPM HOBBIe TaBEL, TIOCRAUIEHHBIE MeTORY MaKCHMaNLHOTO MpaBonloaOGUA B MonenaX perpeccHn, BPeMeHHLIM palaM H MOIENAM C AMCKPeTHEIMK H OFpaHH¥eHHRIMH 3aBHCHMEI- MH MepeMeHHEIMH. 3HAYMTeALHO YBEAMYEHO KOAHMECTBO MIPUMepOB N3 poc- cuficKolt 3KOHOMHKM, 3aza4 1 ynpaKHeHHH. Zs cTyleHTop, acnupaHTos, Npenomapatereh, a TakkKe CnelMaHcTOB no TIpHknanHoft 2koHOMHKe HM (MHaHCaM. YK 330.43(075,8) BBK 6526473 ISBN _5-7749-0055-X © 51.P. Marnyc, I1.K. Karsnwes, A.A. Mepeceuxutt, 2000 BUBMMOTEKA lsnatemberBo “Jleno”, odpopmaenve, 2000 Xu6aposcxon FocyfapcTeeHHodOrsapneHue BerynutenbHoe ci10Bo Tipegucnosue Tipenucnosue k TpeTbemMy “3aHMIO 1. Bsenenue ll. Monem .. 1.0... eee ee eee 1.2. Tuner moneneit 1.3. Tyr mannnrx 2. Moyens napHom perpeccun 2.1. Tlomronxa KpwBoit. 6 ee 2.2. Meron Hawmenbummx xpanpatos (MHK) ....... 2.3. Jiwneitwas perpeccuonHas Mogenb c ABYM# TepeMeH- RBUBMMAcE eres ee ieee rset reste peter tee eee ete ecew iat 2.4. Teopema Taycca~Mapxopa. Ouenxa mucnepcun Partnered geteae eerbras oer serae ceoeeceeser etceesecitrsersecae bees 2.5. Crarucruueckue cpoiicrsa MHK-onenox napame- ‘rpos perpeccun. [Iposepxa runotesnt b = by. Tone- PUTeNbHBIC MHTepBaIEI MA KOMP pUUMeHTOB perpec- cum. . 2.6. Ananu3 papwallun 3aBMCMMOl MepeMeHHOH B perpec- cu. Koapuunent nerepmunaumn R? ....... 2.7. Ouenxa MakcumManpHoro npaszonono6us Koso@uun- @HTOB PerpeCCHH ©. - ee ee ee YMpaoenenUud se ee ee 3 Al 46 50 534 Ornasnenne 3. Moment MHoxecTBeHHOM perpeccun 60 3.1, OcHosunie runoresbr 2... ee 60 3.2. Merog Haumenbummx KBagpatos. Teopema Taycca- Mapxona. . 6... ee 62 3.3. Crarucruyeckue cpolictsa MHK-onewoK...... « 65 3.4. Anamn3 BapHauMM 3aBMCHMOH MepeMeHHoli B perpec- cum. Koadduunents R? u cxoppextmposannsiit R24, 67 3.5. [posepxa crarucruyecxux runore3. Josepurenn- HbIe MHTePBAMILI M NOBEPUTeMbHLIe OOMACTH .. . . . 71 IOCTUD ONC HE ROLLA EAH -et eh eectet HSH GEE et er eet eee ee Eee 81 4, Pa3nmunpie acneKTbl MHOXKeCTBEHHOM perpeccun 91 4.1. MynprukonmmneapHocTh: .. 2... 2.62.0 92 4.2. yKTwpHble MepemeHHBIe. .. 2 ee 95 4. Uactuas Koppemama. 2... ee 101 4.4. Cneumcuxauma Mone... .....--00- 107 BAL ee oie cect: Seat PePaEPatetenssraenedatesennststriahceret ratnsene necstancmieParesniit 115 5. Hexoroppie o606muienua MHOxeCTBeEHHOM perpeccuu 124 5.1. Croxacruueckue perpeccoppl ... 6... eee 125 5.2. O6o6uleHHEIt Meron HaMMeHBUIMX KBanparosw .... 130 Ynpascnenus . . eee te tect sct stot 136 6. TerepockenacruunocTb mM koppenauua 10 BpeMenn 138 6.1. TerepocxenacruyHocth ........ ieee eee eebeet see 139 6.2. Koppenauma no ppemenw. ... 2.1 eee eee es 152 Vnpaoenenug so ee PEE eee Haste Hse eeeeet 160 7. Tocrynnumt o606uexHEIt MeToa HAaMMeHBUINX KBagqpaToB 165 Ynpaoenenug . oe 169 8. ILporno3mpopanve B perpeccnHOHHBIx MOeu1AX 171 8.1. Besycnosnoe npornosmpopanne .....--++--. 172 8.2. Yenosnoe nporHo3MpopaHne ... 6... ee 175