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By: Prof. Vikash Raj Satyal, PhD (email vrsatyal@outlook.com, cell 9841-413453)

COURSE OBJECTIVES:

1. To help understand the concept of probability and various probability distributions having applications to management discipline.

2. To explore relation between population and sample, and how sample

information is connected to population attributes.

Quote from KUSOM website:

3. To examine applications of various statistical methods in exploring the

nature of relation in and across variables. “KUSOM emphasizes more on learning by the

4. Provide knowledge of decision making in quantitative/qualitative research

students themselves rather than on teaching them…..

using parametric and nonparametric statistical tests.

5. Provide basic data analysis ideas in EXCEL and some output interpretation It uses the teaching methods that encourage students’

from STATA.

active participation and involvement”

COURSE CONTENT:

Probability: Basic concepts; compound and conditional probabilities; Bayes’ rule.

Discrete distributions: Random variable and expectation, Binomial, Poisson, and hyper-geometric distribution.

Continuous distributions: Uniform and Normal distribution.

Sampling distribution and Sampling Technique: Sampling distribution of sample mean and proportion, some random sampling techniques.

Statistical inference: Hypothesis testing for single population (test for mean, proportion and variance, Z , t and F tests), test for two

populations (independent and paired).

ANOVA & DoE: One and two-way ANOVA, interaction effects, experimental design layouts.

Categorical data analysis: Contingency test and Goodness of fit.

Nonparametric(NP) methods: Basic NP tests.

EVALUATION: Assignments 15%, Case presentations 15%, Mid-term 35%, End-term 35%.

Letter grading: A ≥ 90%, 90% < A(-) ≤ 85%, 85% < B ≤ 75%, B(-) <75%.

Case presentation criteria: Students will be evaluated on the basis of clarity in presentation, clarity in identifying the problems, use of analysis

techniques in solving the problem, and on the overhaul presentation skill and technique.

1

TEXT BOOK:

Ken Black, Business Statistics: For Contemporary Decision Making, 9th ed, J. Wiley Publication

ADDITIONAL REFERENCE BOOKS:

1. Keller Grand, Business Statistics for Management and Economics. 9th ed, South western CENGAGE Learning.

2. Levin Richard, Rubin David. “Statistics for Management”. Prentice-Hall India. Seventh ed.

3. Levind David, Krehbiel Timothy etal. “Business Statistics: A First Course”. Pearson education. Fourth ed.

4. Norean R. Sharpe, Richard D. etat, 2012, “Business Statistics” . Second Edition. Addison Wesley

5. Satyal V.R., et al, Applied Statistics, KEC Publication/Nepal.

6. Wegner T., “Applied Business Statistics: Methods and EXCEL based Applications”. 3ed ed, JUTA.

Week* Topic Group activity

(Case presentation)

1st Basic Probability

Methods of assigning probability

Terminologies

Compound probability: Marginal, joint & conditional probabilities, independent/dependent events

Bayes’ rule

2nd Discrete Probability Distributions

Random variable and expectation; mean, variance & standard deviation

Probability mass function and probability density function

Binomial distribution: mean & standard deviation, computing probabilities, applications

Poisson distribution: mean & standard deviation, computing probabilities, applications, Poisson

approximation of Binomial distribution.

Hypergeometric distribution: mean & standard deviation, computing probabilities, applications

Calculating Binomial/Poisson/Hypergeometric probabilities using EXCEL

3ed Continuous Probability Distributions Case Discussions

Characteristics of a continuous distribution, probability density function

Uniform distribution Luxury vs

Normal distribution, standard normal variates & their characteristics; solving problems of normal Performance

distribution using normal tables, applications, CLT

Calculation of continuous probabilities using EXCEL

2

4th & Sampling distribution & Sampling Techniques Identity Theft

5th Sampling distribution of sample mean and proportion, standard error

Sampling and non-sampling error

Census, frame, random vs non-random sampling

Field survey: concept, rational, use, limitations;

Some sampling techniques: simple, stratified, systematic, cluster, multistage

Sample size determination to estimate mean and proportion, finite population correction

th

6 & Estimation of Mean & Proportion for single population The container store

7 th

Estimating population mean/ proportion using z & t-statistics

Estimating population variance using F statistics

Point and interval estimation

Constructing of confidence interval for 𝑥̅ and p

Using EXCEL to calculate confidence intervals

th

8 Day Mid term

9th, & Hypothesis Testing for single population McCain Frozen Pizza

10 th

Type of hypothesis in research Targets Teens

HTAB paradigm of hypothesis testing

Rejection and acceptance regions

Type I & type II error

P-value approach, confidence interval

Hypothesis testing for mean when σ is known/unknown

Hypothesis testing for proportion and variance

11 th Hypothesis Testing for two population The Internet’s

Hypothesis testing & confidence intervals from two independent populations (means/proportion impact on

test using z and t ) marketing

Hypothesis testing & confidence intervals for two related populations means/proportion

12th Nonparametric statistics Schwinn

Parametric vs non-parametric tests, type of data used, advantage, disadvantage

Mann Whitney test

Wilcoxon matched-pairs test

Kruskal-Wallis test

Friedmann test

3

13th Categorical Data analysis Combating the

Chi-square test for goodness of fit effects of climate

Chi-square test for contingency analysis change in Australia

14th Introduction to Design of Experiments(DOE) and ANOVA

Concept & use of DOE, type of DOE- concept of CRD, RBD, and Factorial designs ASCO VALVE

Multiple comparison tests Canada introduces

One and two-way ANOVA, and its use new red hat valve

Construction of ANOVA table using EXCEL, output from STATA

15th End-term

*Tentative weekly schedule.

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