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What is
the difference (if any) between the two initial production commitments?
Answer :
By using the same methodology and same data, here is the data comparisson 10 styles
made in Hong Kong and China
Table 2.20
SAMPLE BUYING COMMITTEE FORECAST, 10 STYLES OF WOMEN'S PARKAS
Average Produce
Individual Forecast SD 2 x SD Hong Kong China
Forecast Average
• Inventory
• Total Cost
• Operation Time
• Quality (% repair)
Hong Kong Ops Time
Produce China Excess Inventory Total Cost Quality
Style Hong Kong Excess min China Different
Average min Order different Different ($) (% repair)
Order (Week)
Gail 629 629 - 1.200 571 571
Isis 395 600 205 1.200 805 600
Entice 863 863 - 1.200 337 337
Assault 1.845 1.845 - 1.845 - -
Teri 338 600 262 1.200 862 600
Electra 1.343 1.343 - 1.343 - -
Stephanie 65 600 535 1.200 1.135 600
Seduced 2.904 2.904 - 2.904 - -
Anita 1.202 1.202 - 1.202 - -
Daphne 990 990 - 1.200 210 210
Totals 10.572 11.576 1.002 14.494 3.921 2.918 57.129 21 1.218
Answer :
Following the operations changes recommended to Wally to improve performance, the key
problems are :
1. Improve the demand forecasts made by commitee. Should use a wheighted average
method instead of just using simple average;
2. Obtaining market feedback earlier than Las Vegas which can help converting some
Speculative production to reactive production. For maximising the value of this
feedback Sport Obermeyer’s should include both small and large retailers and Urban
and resort retailers;
3. Pedicting customer demand for individual styles and also if possinle reducing number
of styles being handled.
Production System
Supply Chain
1. Increasing bargaining power with suppliers by ordering from big supplier who can
commit to be on time;
Information System
1. Collect old data and analyze demand that will make a better forecast;
Using historical data to capture the market trend and market movement