Winter Weather

Decision Support Briefing #1 Current Hazards

As of: 6:00 AM Nov 15, 2018

First Winter Storm of the Season to

Impact the Tri-State Region

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 Main Points

Hazard Impacts Location Timing

• Snowfall of up to 6 inches Much of the Lower Hud
Snow expected. Visibilities down to Valley, NE NJ, and This afternoon and tonight
1/2 mile. Hazardous travel. Interior S CT

• Sleet and Snow accumulation

Mixed NYC Metro, LI, Coastal
of up to 3 inches. Difficult This afternoon and evening
Precip CT and S Westchester
Travel.

• Ice accumulation of up to a Much of the Lower Hud

Freezing quarter inch will make travel Valley, NE NJ, and Tonight
Rain dangerous. Interior S CT

Vulnerable locales along

Coastal Minor Inundation in vulnerable NY/NJ Harbor, Jamaica
Early Friday morning
Impacts areas. Bay, S and E Bays of LI,
and W LI Sound

Strong 20 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 NYC Metro, LI, Coastal E

Tonight and Friday
Winds mph. CT

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 Summary of Greatest Impacts
Snow: Much of the Lower Hud Valley, NE NJ, and
Interior S CT
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Mixed Precip: NYC Metro, LI, Coastal CT and

Westchester
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Freezing Rain: Much of the Lower Hud Valley, NE

NJ, and Interior S CT
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Coastal Impacts: Vulnerable locales along NY

Harbor, Jamaica Bay, Bays of LI, and W LI Sound
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Strong Winds: NYC Metro, LI, Coastal CT and

Westchester
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

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 Heavy Snow

Official Expected Snowfall Forecast Hazards:

 Heavy snow changing to a wintery mix then rain or
freezing rain
 Most snow over the interior

Impacts:
 Difficult travel

Timing:
 Heaviest snow this afternoon and evening.

Uncertainty:
 The timing of the changeover will depend on how
rapidly the warm air makes it into the region

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 Heavy Snow

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 Ice

Hazards:
 Up to a quarter inch of ice across the
interior

Impacts:
 Dangerous travel

Timing:
 Tonight

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 Coastal Flooding

Marine / Coastal Hazards

Coastal Flood Hazards and Impacts:

 Minor coastal flooding.
 Minor inundation in vulnerable locales

Timing:
 During times of high tide early Friday
morning

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 Strong Winds

Hazards:
 Gusts to around 45 mph possible,
especially eastern CT and Long Island

Impacts:
 Isolated downed trees and tree limbs
 Dangerous travel conditions for high
profile vehicles

Timing:
 Tonight into Friday

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 Event Summary

 First Winter Storm of the Season

 Hazardous travel, especially over the interior, due to snow and ice
accumulations
 Wintry precipitation will be falling across all but perhaps portions of
Long Island during the afternoon/evening commute
 Minor wind damage possible tonight into Friday, particularly eastern
Connecticut and Long Island
 Minor tidal flooding

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 Contact and Next Briefing Information
Next Briefing
This is the final briefing, unless
significant changes to the forecast
warrant an update.

Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/NWSNewYorkNY

Web: Twitter:
http://www.weather.gov/okx/ http://www.twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY

YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSNewYor
kNY

Disclaimer: The information contained within this briefing is

time-sensitive, do not use after 5 PM Thursday (11/15/18).

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