Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Members: Cambodia, China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Papua New Guinea, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Vietnam
Contact Persons: Prof. Dr. Djoko Said Damardjati, Secretary General Jom Jacob, Senior Economist
FOREWORD
CONTENTS
I am happy to present the 8th issue of the ANRPC
Monthly Bulletin of Rubber Statistics. Contents in
this issue are limited to statistical data alone, rather Fall in NR Supply Accelerates 5.1% 2
providing a description of the trends and causes, as
usually provided. This is because this small
Export of NR 2
Secretariat is preoccupied with the preparations for
the 32nd Session of the ANRPC Assembly, 37th Average Yield 3
Meeting of the Executive Committee and the meeting
of two technical committees apart from Annual Trends in Crude Petroleum Oil Prices 4
Rubber Conference 2009, to be held during 2-7
November 2009 in Ho Chi Minh City. Trends in NR Prices 5
Table 7:
Prof. Dr. Djoko Said Damardjati Area Planted in Member Countries 8
Secretary General
FALL IN NATURAL RUBBER SUPPLY ACCELERATES 5.1%
Review up to SEPTEMBER 2009
Data of the global production of the natural Annual rates of growth in production of NR
rubber (NR) available up to September are given in the following table:
2009 reveal that the falling trend in global
supply accelerated. Total output in the Rate of Growth in NR Production (%)
seven countries accounting 93% of the
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009(1)
global supply fell 5.1% in the 12 months to
Thailand -1.6 6.8 -2.6 1.1 - 5.5
September 2009 as compared to the year - 3.9
Indonesia 9.9 16.1 4.5 -0.1
ended December 2008. The output fall in - 19.3
Malaysia -3.7 14.0 -6.5 -10.7
the 12 months to August 2009 was 3.7% India 3.9 10.5 -4.9 8.6 - 7.4
only. Vietnam 14.9 15.3 8.3 10.2 - 1.9
China -5.6 -0.6 9.3 -6.8 17.9
The following table gives a consolidated Sri Lanka 10.2 4.6 7.7 9.9 0.0
picture of change in production in each Aggregate 2.3 10.7 0.2 0.0 - 5.1
country during this year from the same 1) 2009 refers to 12-months to 30 September except for Thailand
period in the previous year: and Indonesia. The reference period is 12-months to 31 August for
Thailand and 12-months to 31 July for Indonesia.
Source: Reported by respective governments.
Change in Production in 2009 from 2008
Thousand %
tonnes change
Thailand (January-August) - 171 - 8.3 % EXPORT OF NR
Indonesia (January- July) - 106 - 6.3%
Malaysia (January-September) - 207 - 23.6 %
India (January-September) - 65 - 10.8 % Changes in export of NR during 2009 from
Vietnam (January-September) - 13 - 3.4 % the same period in the previous year are
China (January-September) + 99 + 28.5 %
summarised in the table below:
Sri Lanka (January-September) 0 0.0 %
Source: Reported by respective governments.
Trends in production in each country from Change in Export in 2009 from 2008
2005 to 2009 are summarised in the table
below: Thousand % change
Trends in Production of NR tonnes
(Thousand tonnes) Thailand (January-August) - 159 - 8.7%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 (1) Indonesia (January-July) - 277 - 19.3 %
Malaysia (January-September) - 255 - 33.7%
Thailand 2937 3137 3056 3090 2919
Vietnam (January-September) + 25 + 5.9%
Indonesia 2271 2637 2755 2751 2645
India (January-September) - 60 - 90.3%
Malaysia 1126 1284 1200 1072 865
Singapore (January-June) - 20 - 26.1%
India 772 853 811 881 816
Sri Lanka (January-September) +9 + 25.4%
Vietnam 482 555 602 663 650 Note: Exports from China are negligible.
China 541 538 588 548 646 Source: Reported by respective governments.
Sri Lanka 104 109 118 129 129
Total 8233 9113 9130 9134 8670
(1)2009 refers to 12-months to 30 September except for Thailand and
Indonesia. The reference period is 12-months to 31 August for Thailand
and 12-months to 31 July for Indonesia.
Source: Reported by respective governments.
Beyond the Crisis: Emerging Asia and Opportunities for Natural Rubber
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude projections upward because ample oil
petroleum oil prices averaged at 69.41 US supplies remain on the market. Oil
dollar per barrel in September 2009. inventories remain high and EIA expects
Sustained economic growth in China and oil production by the OPEC to increase as
signs of a turnaround in other Asian well. In its short-term outlook released on
countries helped the prices to rise to 70.80 October 6, EIA expects the price of WTI
US dollar per barrel in the week ended 10 crude oil to average about 70 US dollar per
October and to 75.73 US dollar per barrel barrel during this winter from October
in the week ended 17 October. On 2009-March 2010, a 19 US dollar increase
October 20, the WTI oil price touched over last winter. WTI prices are
78.87 US dollar per barrel. anticipated to average at 75 US dollar per
barrel in December 2010 as the US and
In spite of an optimistic global economic world economic conditions improve.
outlook, the Energy Information
Administration (EIA) of the US Average prices of WTI crude petroleum oil
Government did not revise its price are given in the table below.
Weekly average prices of TSR, RSS and Latex in important markets from June 2009 onwards
are given below:
Table 7: Area Planted during each Year in ANRPC Member Countries (‘000 hectares)
China India Indonesia Malaysia Papua New Sri Lanka Thailand Vietnam
Guinea
Year
New- Re- New- Re- New- Re- New- Re- New- Re- New- Re- New- Re- New- Re-
planted planted planted planted planted planted planted planted planted planted planted planted planted planted planted planted
2005 44.2(3) 14.8 7.5 17.1 5.0 0.0 20.6 * * 1.0 2.5 122.6 50.4 28.6 3.7
2006 58.2(3) 19.3 8.4 67.0 44.9 0.0 20.2 * * 1.9 4.4 109.6 40.3 39.5 4.6
2007 65.1(3) 20.5 8.5 67.3 50.0 0.0 23.1 * * 2.0 5.2 161.4 35.2 34.1 7.0
2008(1) 49.1(3) 27.5 9.0 10.5 40.0 11.0 20.7 * * 2.6 6.1 221.2 31.9 62.3 8.0
2009(2) 63.0(3) 15.0 11.0 10.5 55.0 * 20.0 * * 3.1 3.6 * 64.0 30.0 9.0
(1) Provisional; (2) Anticipated for end of 2009; (3) Total area newplanted or replanted during the year; * Not available with the government. Source: Reported by respective governments.