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马来西亚
RHB Research
技术分析 Institute Sdn Bhd
A member of the
RHB Banking Group
Company No: 233327 -M
每日交投策略
MARKET DATELINE
2010 年 10 月 15 日
市场技术解读
一旦破除 1,500 点大关,买盘动力将扩大…
图 1∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(FBM KLCI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 2∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(单日线图)
单日线图)
本地股市的交投指引∶
♦ 早前,随着隔夜美股在美国主要企业创下标青的业绩后而收高,这激励了本地投资者继续推高市场。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 此外,由于短期动力指标也转弱,因此今日的上扬动力料将放缓。
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露(
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露( IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES)
Page 1 of 6
2010 年 10 月 15 日
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
表 1 ∶每日统计 表 2∶
∶主要海外指数及原产品
10 月 10 月 10 月 10 月 10 月 变动 变动
收盘
股市摘要 8日 11 日 12 日 13 日 14 日 本地主要指数 (点) (%))
上升股 富时大马综合指数 1,496.38 -0.59 0.0
397 479 327 576 348
下跌股 富时大马 100 指数 9,846.73 4.94 0.1
332 287 420 236 455
平盘 富时大马创业板 4,180.77 25.16 0.6
301 293 306 356 302
无交易 各大海外指数
324 296 308 296 260
道琼斯工商指数 11,094.57 -1.51 0.0
市场资本 纳斯达克指数 2,435.38 -5.85 -0.2
总成交量 标准与普尔 500 1,173.81 -4.29 -0.4
(百万股) 1,075 1,094 1,169 1,200 1,274
伦敦金融时报指数 5,727.21 -20.14 -0.4
总成交值 恒生指数 23,852.17 394.48 1.7
(百万令吉) 1,657 1,715 1,901 2,027 2,042 雅加达综合指数 3,618.48 6.50 0.2
东京日经 225 指数 9,583.51 180.00 1.9
首尔综合指数 1,899.76 23.61 1.3
外汇 上海综合指数 2,879.64 18.28 0.6
令吉兑美元 3.1125 3.0995 3.1080 3.0925 3.0820 曼谷综合指数 993.72 1.12 0.1
新加坡海峡时报指数 3,195.02 -7.14 -0.2
资料来源∶RHBInvest &彭博社( Bloomberg)
台湾加权指数 8,215.45 108.79 1.3
印度 Sensex 指数 20,497.64 -190.24 -0.9
主要原产品
纽约商品交易所
(NYMEX)原油期货
(每桶/美元) 82.69 -0.32 -0.4
MDEX 原棕油 – 第 3
个月 (每公吨/令吉) 2,916.00 -14.00 -0.5
美国利率 目前 最新
10 年 9 月
隔夜联邦基金利率 0-0.25% 无变动
21 日
下个联邦公开市场操作
2010 年 11 月 2 日-3 日
委员会(FOMC)会议
Page 2 of 6
2010 年 10 月 15 日
图 3∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 4∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(单日线图
)(单日线图)
单日线图)
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 本地期货市场周四在经过一个波动的交投日后以平盘报收,鉴于交易员趁着吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)自 33 个月来一度
突破 1,500 点心理关口后,便趁机套利。
♦ 虽然如此,FKLI 仍以一根阴烛收市,而动力解读也转弱。这显示今日可能会出现跟进套利跌势。
♦ 我们也认为,如果它能在 10 日移动平均线筑起一道基础,那么买盘有望恢复。
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
♦ 从它取得一根阴烛和动力解读转弱看来,FKLI 今日可能会进一步回调。
♦ 换句话说,我们还是看俏当前的上升趋势。
表 3∶∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI))收盘
月份)
月份
FKLI (月份 变动
合约 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 (点) 结算 成交量 未平仓宗数
10 年 10 月 1497.50 1501.00 1488.00 1492.00 平盘 1492.00 4972 23237
10 年 11 月 1497.50 1501.00 1491.00 1492.50 0.50 1492.00 221 189
10 年 12 月 1497.00 1500.00 1490.00 1491.00 -1.50 1492.50 87 375
11 年 3 月 1494.50 1495.00 1494.50 1495.00 2.50 1492.50 3 129
Page 3 of 6
2010 年 10 月 15 日
图 5∶
∶美国道琼斯工商指数(
美国道琼斯工商指数(DJIA)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图 图 6∶
∶美国纳斯达克指数(
美国纳斯达克指数( Nasdaq)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图
美国股市的交投指引∶
美国股市的交投指引∶
♦ 由于对银行的止赎做法感到担忧,金融股出现卖压,并拖累了华尔街股市走低。
♦ 投资者出售金融股,基于全美 50 个州正调查银行业,主要因为有关当局怀疑银行使用虚假证明文件和签名以取消上百千的
抵押品赎回权。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 不过,随着它以一根“十字线”(doji)挂收,加上短期动力解读也转弱,当前走向仍不明朗。
♦ 加上它取得一根“利淡孕线型态”(negative harami),这表示近日的多头动力可能会放缓。
Page 4 of 6
2010 年 10 月 15 日
每日技术焦点∶
每日技术焦点∶
图 7∶
∶时光网(
时光网( TimeCom)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 8∶
∶ 时光网(
时光网(单日线图)
单日线图)
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 10 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(10-day SMA): RM0.645
♦ 40 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(40-day SMA): RM0.6101
Page 5 of 6
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
This report has been prepared by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (RHBRI) and is for private circulation only to clients of RHBRI and RHB Investment Bank Berhad
(previously known as RHB Sakura Merchant Bankers Berhad). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The
opinions and information contained herein are based on generally available data believed to be reliable and are subject to change without notice, and may differ or
be contrary to opinions expressed by other business units within the RHB Group as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. This report is not to be
construed as an offer, invitation or solicitation to buy or sell the securities covered herein. RHBRI does not warrant the accuracy of anything stated herein in any
manner whatsoever and no reliance upon such statement by anyone shall give rise to any claim whatsoever against RHBRI. RHBRI and/or its associated persons
may from time to time have an interest in the securities mentioned by this report.
This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives
of persons who receive it. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. RHBRI recommends that investors independently evaluate
particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or
strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. Neither RHBRI, RHB Group nor any of its affiliates, employees or agents accepts
any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this report.
RHBRI and the Connected Persons (the “RHB Group”) are engaged in securities trading, securities brokerage, banking and financing activities as well as providing
investment banking and financial advisory services. In the ordinary course of its trading, brokerage, banking and financing activities, any member of the RHB
Group may at any time hold positions, and may trade or otherwise effect transactions, for its own account or the accounts of customers, in debt or equity
securities or loans of any company that may be involved in this transaction.
“Connected Persons” means any holding company of RHBRI, the subsidiaries and subsidiary undertaking of such a holding company and the respective directors,
officers, employees and agents of each of them. Investors should assume that the “Connected Persons” are seeking or will seek investment banking or other
services from the companies in which the securities have been discussed/covered by RHBRI in this report or in RHBRI’s previous reports.
This report has been prepared by the research personnel of RHBRI. Facts and views presented in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect
information known to, professionals in other business areas of the “Connected Persons,” including investment banking personnel.
The research analysts, economists or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of this research report have received compensation based
upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors and firm revenues.
Technical Recommendation:
Trading Buy = Short-term positive opportunity spotted. It is an aggressive trading recommendation with a book to sellers’ price for short-term technical upside.
Bargain Buy = Short-term positive but technical signals have yet to trigger a rally. Traders can park and queue for their desired entry level within a small range.
Buy on Weakness = Short- to Medium-term positiveness anticipated, but technical readings are still negative. Traders can pick-up the stock for future rally.
Sell on Strength = Short-term momentum still positive, Traders are advice to lock in profit base on current strength.
Take Profit = Short-term target achieved. Traders are advice to exit before the technical readings turn bearish.
Avoid = Risky situation in the short-term and high volatility expected on the share price. Traders’ best strategy is staying away until it stabilises.
Technical recommendations are generally short-term in nature and may differ from RHBRI’s equity fundamental view and recommendation on the same company.
RHBRI is a participant of the CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme and will receive compensation for the participation. Additional information on recommended
securities, subject to the duties of confidentiality, will be made available upon request.
This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of RHBRI and RHBRI accepts no liability whatsoever for the
actions of third parties in this respect.
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