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© Laurent Pascal/Total
AGENDA
●3
According to you?
Why is so difficult?
Iterative process
• solving an optimisation problem allowing to constrain the “static”
(trial and error or more model of the reservoir with “dynamic” observations. The solution is not
sophisticated) unique
According to you?
●4
Why is so difficult?
Iterative process
• solving an optimisation problem allowing to constrain the “static”
(trial and error or more model of the reservoir with “dynamic” observations. The solution is not
sophisticated) unique
K1A4
4
● 31 parameters identified to impact the K1A1 3
9 5
history match (perm, pore volume, etc..) 4bis K1A3
6
10
- Ranges are defined for each parameters 7
8
DESIGN K1A4
K1A1 3 4
●8 4bis
9 5
K1A3
6
10
7
8
● 10 K1A2
1
2
K1A4
3 4
K1A1
9 5
4bis K1A3
6
10
7
8
NO
NO
Sufficient match in
“static” pressure?
YES Geological
modifications?
Sufficient match in
saturation? YES
NO
YES
Sufficient match in
FORECAST RUNS
well productivity?
observations reliability
parameters interaction
Integrated task
Before Simulation
I - Gathering and checking • Rates, P, salinity, DSTs
production data • QC, consistency
• In place
III- Geological building • Parametrization of geological uncertainties J
IV - Base case, Defining • List of uncertain parameters
criteria and possible • Base case building J
workflows • Match quality
V- DST Matching • An opportunity to QC (between Step II and IV)
pressure measurements
saturation measurements
production data
schedule of completions
•Heterogeneity status in
production phase
•HM anticipation
•Material Balance
BU BU
• Consistent data
200.
Max
170.
Flo
0. 50. 100. 150. 200. 250. 300.
w
300.
100.
-100.
Layer 2
2008/10/16-0359 : OIL
-1.5
Layer 3
10
BU-1 BU-2
-2.5
Final-BU Main-BU
10
Layer 4
• Simulate the well test data on Reservoir simulation by building Local Grid Refinement
• 4 sources of uncertainties:
• Horizontal Permeability
• Kv/Kh ~ % injectites
• Erosion surface disconnection
• Skin
• Consider the different geological scenarii through an Experimental Design to cover the uncertain
domain
• Come back to geological context other uncertain geological parameters have been
● 21
added through analog (injectites content in another channel facies)
Do not worry about badly matched wells if they are “end of life” or
not situated in a strategic area for prediction
It is pointless to try and get all simulated values lying within the
error bars associated with the measurements! The pressure
gauge may be accurate within 1 bar, but …
• extrapolation of depth with uncertain gradient
• measurement during a transient period
• well penetrating several layers with different pressures
• take care to compare apples to apples …
Pressure
• one to several bars for individual wells depending on total DP value
Wcut, GOR
• GOR less precise than Wcut
• if no evolution Þ prediction reliability will be limited
• breakthrough dates: ± 3 months
• some % for Wcut
• it is more important to achieve a good match for the final months
• in case of coning, use of a LGR is essential
• a good match of Wcut at well level is compulsory in case of:
• Gas-lift
• infill wells location
• Debottlenecking; size of facilities for water treatment, re-injection
• Work-over performance
Porosity depth trend and BRV Variation of porosity per vertical zones
North Panel
Partially not mapped
Porosity increased at the boundary
Fault not mapped Reduction of the permeability of the area
Dynamical uncertainty
Water viscosity
Kr-Pc curves
Sgr
Krwmax
Productivity
bottom perforation
31
be “aggressive”
Regional and then
when performing
local changes
sensitivity tests
keep track of the modifications: initial PERMX Include file and MULTIPLY
instead of only the modified PERMX Include file
time spent to fully analyse the results is never lost; integrated tools as
Petrel-RE are plus
pressure matching:
• At this stage: Ps, P@end of BU, RFT. NOT flowing BHP!
• Is performed controlling wells with reservoir voidage rate (RESV)
to free oneself from the phase distribution
• The model acts as a material balance problem:
• We act on the parameters affecting the diffusive equation to
adjust the spatial distribution of accumulations and the degree of
communication between the different energy sources.
Final adjustments
• launch « complete » runs again: production data,
« complex » options (hysteresis, updating COMPDAT …)
• up-date properties if necessary
• Introduce the VFP tables & gas-lifts
• Finalize the PIs (well indices) adjustments to match WBHP (if
available) or WTHP
• Re-check the PLT
• At the first stage, when matching the reservoir pressure, we don’t care about
WBHP and WTHP
• it may be useful, however, to increase the “connection factor” to honour the
observed rates (use WPIMULT)