Experimental Design And Data Analysis

The Impact Of Greenhouse Gases On Environment

Experiment Design And Data Analysis

Lecturer: Dr. Nguyễn Tiến Dũng

 Meet the TEAM

MINH VIỆT

VĂN THƯ LINH

 This PRESENTATION
will detail information about…

Global warming;

Linear regression Calculation

Research data Conclusion

 GLOBAL WARMING

Before 1975
0.75oC

100 years
 The Global Warming
Potential (GWP)

A measure of how much energy

the emissions of 1 ton of a gas will
absorb over a given period of
time, relative to the emissions of 1
ton of carbon dioxide (CO2)
LINEAR REGRESSION
R E S E A R C H D ATA
 1.Total waste treatment:
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
4.895 4.643 4.796 4.800 5.004 5.187 4.990 5.454 4.936
31.232 32.198 32.684 31.400 32.444 33.366 33.990 34.629 34.714
28.279 27.668 25.840 25.956 26.626 26.810 27.829 29.076 28.178
8.122 8.141 8.313 7.778 8.010 8.034 8.049 8.255 9.870
33.954 34.942 35.534 35.245 36.090 35.097 35.370 34.626 33.215

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

4.826 4.791 4.824 4.717 4.757 4.696 4.579 4.708
34.504 34.610 34.790 34.480 34.169 34.314 34.456 34.143
29.840 30.505 29.928 28.765 28.538 27.537 26.711 26.888
9.738 9.484 9.480 9.202 8.840 8.893 8.865 8.848
32.224 31.665 30.669 29.940 30.398 30.514 30.757 31.694

Belgium France Italy Netherlands The UK

 2. Land fill:
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
936 760 575 536 590 583 492 499 212
13.320 13.117 12.651 11.944 11.767 11.465 12.318 12.372 10.995
21.917 19.912 18.745 17.883 17.641 17.117 17.462 16.912 16.069
900 783 800 252 159 168 232 199 154
27.563 27.948 27.546 26.144 25.006 22.569 21.335 19.685 17.590

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

164 87 48 32 42 46 40 38
10.802 10.078 9.731 9.273 8.815 8.467 8.119 7.661
15.538 15.015 13.206 11.720 10.914 9.332 7.819 7.432
152 145 151 138 131 128 126 127
16.020 14.686 12.574 11.281 10.516 8.656 7.124 5.942

Belgium France Italy Netherlands The UK

 3. Incineration:
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
147 164 195 170 120 116 22 49 103
1.430 1.153 875 679 628 632 552 545 547
171 91 163 59 50 49 39 26 31
3.020 3.180 3.125 3.194 3.281 3.300 3.253 3.267 4.065
20 9 7 8 8 7 7 6 7

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

99 90 141 138 100 39 36 48
542 424 433 401 369 306 242 210
26 53 41 0 0 0 3.071 1.999
3.958 1.833 722 110 104 97 95 96
7 6 5 48 94 114 297 326

Belgium France Italy Netherlands The UK

 4. Material recycling:
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1.245 1.305 1.365 1.336 1.408 1.547 1.601 1.741 1.664
4.045 4.410 4.715 4.725 4.970 5.365 5.661 5.964 5.972
2.888 3.513 2.727 3.108 3.509 3.683 3.813 5.536 4.631
1.899 1.917 2.022 2.039 2.183 2.142 2.247 2.388 2.450
2.836 3.181 3.733 4.698 5.657 6.362 7.107 7.680 7.775

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

1.697 1.672 1.707 1.600 1.539 1.590 1.584 1.588
6.004 6.937 7.184 7.289 7.394 7.641 7.887 7.992
6.042 6.107 7.149 7.177 7.335 7.472 7.649 7.870
2.384 2.354 2.291 2.196 2.112 2.112 2.176 2.238
7.890 8.069 8.134 8.173 8.468 8.503 8.602 8.695

Belgium France Italy Netherlands The UK

 5. Composting and digestion:
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1.091 1.030 1.098 1.123 1.208 1.173 1.190 1.236 1.047
3.621 3.994 4.208 4.069 4.423 4.532 4.728 5.091 5.581
1.237 1.727 1.696 1.796 1.958 2.185 2.433 2.599 3.106
2.303 2.261 2.366 2.293 2.387 2.424 2.317 2.401 2.330
937 1.137 1.423 1.687 2.499 3.007 3.626 4.016 4.402

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

1.025 1.057 1.028 1.038 1.030 970 900 956
5.748 5.536 5.610 5.719 5.828 5.984 6.140 6.249
3.490 3.943 3.980 4.339 4.319 4.865 5.203 5.721
2.393 2.310 2.360 2.353 2.294 2.415 2.414 2.457
4.566 4.786 4.922 4.788 4.904 5.091 5.124 5.353

Belgium France Italy Netherlands The UK

GHG emission from 1 ton of total waste treatment
in each country and theirs linear equations:

GHG emission per 1 ton of total waste treatment

= the total of (1 x probability x GHG emission of each way)
 GHG emission per 1 ton of each method of waste
disposal and theirs GWP:
1.2 Chemical pollutants
1. Landfill:
1 ton of landfilled waste => 40,7kg
(40,7)(32) + 27,13= 1,32953 GWP
of CH4 and 27,13kg of CO2

2. Incineration 1 GWP
3. Material recycling:
1,3123 – 3,5823 = -2,27 ton of CO2

4. Composting and digestion 0,0217 GWP

 Calculation

The amount of waste

disposed by each way
Probability
Wa
! =
∑Tr
Total waste treatment
 BELGIUM
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
0,19122 0,16369 0,11989 0,11167 0,11791 0,11240 0,09860 0,09149 0,04295
0,03003 0,03532 0,04066 0,03542 0,02398 0,02236 0,00441 0,00898 0,02087
0,25434 0,28107 0,28461 0,27833 0,28137 0,29825 0,32084 0,31922 0,33712
0,22288 0,22184 0,22894 0,23396 0,24141 0,22614 0,23848 0,22662 0,21212
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0,03398 0,01816 0,00995 0,00678 0,00883 0,00980 0,00874 0,00807
0,02051 0,01879 0,02923 0,02926 0,02102 0,00830 0,00786 0,01020
0,35164 0,34899 0,35386 0,33920 0,32352 0,33859 0,34593 0,33730
0,21239 0,22062 0,21310 0,22006 0,21652 0,20656 0,19655 0,20306

Material Composting &

Landfill Incineration
recycling digestion
Linear equation: (with x: year, y: probability)
Landfill y = -0,01232 x + 25,0589
Incineration y = -0,00181 x + 3,650993
Material recyling y = 0,006666 x + (-13,2037)
Composting and
digestion y = 0,004045 x + (-7,97)
 FRANCE
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
0,42649 0,40739 0,38707 0,38038 0,36269 0,34361 0,36240 0,35727 0,31673
0,04579 0,03581 0,02677 0,02162 0,01936 0,01894 0,01624 0,01574 0,01576
0,12951 0,13697 0,14426 0,15048 0,15319 0,16079 0,16655 0,17223 0,17203
0,11594 0,12404 0,12875 0,12959 0,13633 0,13583 0,13910 0,14702 0,16077
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0,31307 0,29119 0,27971 0,26894 0,25798 0,24675 0,23563 0,22438
0,01571 0,01225 0,01245 0,01163 0,01080 0,00892 0,00702 0,00615
0,17401 0,20043 0,20650 0,21140 0,21639 0,22268 0,22890 0,23407
0,16659 0,15995 0,16125 0,16586 0,17056 0,17439 0,17820 0,18302

Material Composting &

Landfill Incineration
recycling digestion
Linear equation: (with x: year, y: probability)
Landfill y = -0,01232 x + 25,0589
Incineration y = -0,00181 x + 3,650993
Material recyling y = 0,006666 x + (-13,2037)
Composting and
digestion y = 0,004045 x + (-7,97)
 I TA LY
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
0,77503 0,71968 0,72543 0,68897 0,66255 0,63846 0,62747 0,58165 0,57027
0,00605 0,00329 0,00631 0,00227 0,00188 0,00183 0,00140 0,00089 0,00110
0,10213 0,12697 0,10553 0,11974 0,13179 0,13737 0,13702 0,19040 0,16435
0,04374 0,06242 0,06563 0,06919 0,07354 0,08150 0,08743 0,08939 0,11023
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0,52071 0,49221 0,44126 0,40744 0,38244 0,33889 0,29273 0,27641
0,00087 0,00174 0,00137 0,00000 0,00000 0,00000 0,11497 0,07435
0,20248 0,20020 0,23887 0,24950 0,25703 0,27134 0,28636 0,29270
0,11696 0,12926 0,13299 0,15084 0,15134 0,17667 0,19479 0,21277

Material Composting &

Landfill Incineration
recycling digestion
Linear equation: (with x: year, y: probability)
Landfill y = -0,031306 x + 63,40096
Incineration y = 0,003114 x + (-6,241072)
Material recyling y = 0,012832 x + (-25,57731)
Composting and
digestion y = 0,009634 x + (-19,23056)
Italy
.90000

.80000

.70000

.60000

.50000

.40000

.30000

.20000

.10000

.0000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Landfill Incineration Material recyling Composting and digestion

 NETHERLANDS
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
0,11081 0,09618 0,09623 0,03240 0,01985 0,02091 0,02882 0,02411 0,01560
0,37183 0,39062 0,37592 0,41065 0,40961 0,41075 0,40415 0,39576 0,41185
0,23384 0,23547 0,24323 0,26215 0,27257 0,26662 0,27917 0,28928 0,24823
0,28355 0,27773 0,28461 0,29481 0,29800 0,30172 0,28786 0,29085 0,23607
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0,01561 0,01529 0,01593 0,01500 0,01482 0,01439 0,01421 0,01435
0,40645 0,19327 0,07616 0,01195 0,01176 0,01091 0,01072 0,01085
0,24481 0,24821 0,24167 0,23864 0,23891 0,23749 0,24546 0,25294
0,24574 0,24357 0,24895 0,25571 0,25950 0,27156 0,27231 0,27769

Material Composting &

Landfill Incineration
recycling digestion
Linear equation: (with x: year, y: probability)
Landfill y = -0,00488798 x + 9,84828
Incineration y = -0,03121832 x + 62,94011
Material recyling y = -0,00060017 x + 1,456834
Composting and
digestion y = -0,00196297 x + 4,214016
 THE UNITED KINGDOM
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
0,81177 0,79984 0,77520 0,74178 0,69288 0,64305 0,60319 0,56850 0,52958
0,00059 0,00026 0,00020 0,00023 0,00022 0,00020 0,00020 0,00017 0,00021
0,08352 0,09104 0,10505 0,13330 0,15675 0,18127 0,20093 0,22180 0,23408
0,02760 0,03254 0,04005 0,04786 0,06924 0,08568 0,10252 0,11598 0,13253
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0,49714 0,46379 0,40999 0,37679 0,34594 0,28367 0,23162 0,18748
0,00022 0,00019 0,00016 0,00160 0,00309 0,00374 0,00966 0,01029
0,24485 0,25482 0,26522 0,27298 0,27857 0,27866 0,27968 0,27434
0,14170 0,15114 0,16049 0,15992 0,16133 0,16684 0,16660 0,16890

Material Composting &

Landfill Incineration
recycling digestion
Linear equation: (with x: year, y: probability)
Landfill y = -0,03974 x + 80,32512
Incineration y = 0,000452 x + (-0,90556)
Material recyling y = 0,013389 x + (-26,6755)
Composting and
digestion y = 0,010066 x + (-20,0992)
 1.Total waste treatment:
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
-0,28826 -0,38026 -0,44104 -0,44286 -0,45274 -0,50031 -0,58764 -0,58907 -0,68268
0,32133 0,26922 0,21672 0,18858 0,15678 0,11373 0,12301 0,10298 0,04983
0,80559 0,67325 0,73265 0,64797 0,58519 0,54060 0,52652 0,34395 0,38861
-0,00550 -0,01001 -0,04210 -0,13496 -0,17626 -0,16012 -0,18499 -0,22254 -0,12575
0,89087 0,85772 0,79325 0,68490 0,56711 0,44553 0,34827 0,25505 0,17582

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

-0,72791 -0,74449 -0,75617 -0,72693 -0,69694 -0,74278 -0,76151 -0,74033
0,04055 -0,05212 -0,08092 -0,10708 -0,13372 -0,16472 -0,19543 -0,22291
0,23608 0,20451 0,04868 -0,02140 -0,07170 -0,16155 -0,14165 -0,21797
-0,12319 -0,34455 -0,44584 -0,50428 -0,50524 -0,50317 -0,52167 -0,53821
0,10845 0,04165 -0,05331 -0,11364 -0,16582 -0,24805 -0,31364 -0,35955

Belgium France Italy Netherlands The UK

 BELGIUM y = -0,02863 x + 56,89515
Linear equation:
France y = -0,03323 x + 66,7669
(with x: year, y:
Italy y = -0,06743 x + 135,6956
GHG emission)
y = -0,0364 x +72,81813
(unit of y: tonnes) Netherlands
United Kingdom y = -0,08256 x + 166,0063
 Prediction Interpret

A D V A N TA G E S

Multi - predictor Synergistic

relationships
 Linear Relationship Overfitting

L I M I TAT I O N S

Must have Sensitive

independent data
CONCLUSION
 REFERENCES
1. Eurostat, “Municipal Waste by Waste Operations”, 2018
2. United States Environmental Protection Agency, “Understanding Global Warming Potentials”,
2017
3. UK Met Office, “Global temperature”, 2018
4. Nickolas J. Themelis, Priscilla A. Ulloa, “Methane Generation in Landfill”, 2006
5. Le Treut, H., R.Somerville, U.Cubasch, Y.Ding, C.Mauritixen, A.Mokssit, T.Peterson and
M.Prather, “Climate change 2007: The physical science basis”
6. Yiu C Chan1, Rajiv K Sinha1 and Weijin Wang, “Emission of greenhouse gases from home
aerobic composting, anaerobic digestion and vermicomposting of household wastes in Brisbane
(Australia)” ,2010
7. Zero Waste Scotland, “The carbon impacts of recycling and the effects of transport”
T H A N K YO U