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We know with 96% certainty that our sample X’ lies within ±2 σ/√n
σ/√n is called the Standard Error about Mean (SEM).
We have a point estimate X’ for the population mean µ, but we need to obtain a range to have a reasonable
chance of µ belonging in the range. From Central Limit Theory, we know that we can think of X’ as a
sample from N(µ, σ2/n). Therefore, 96% of samples should have X’ within 2 SEMs (2 σ/√ n) of µ. Then for
96% of random samples of size n from the population, µ must then be within 2 SEMs of X.
96% Confidence interval= X’ + 2SEM
3.2 Null hypothesis
The null hypothesis (A0) suggests that there is no change from status quo and there is no correlation
between the tested variables in the experiment. It takes a conservative position and dictates that there is no
change from the baseline or between groups.
The alternative hypothesis (Aa), most often the aim of the experiment, suggest there is a relation/change.
The null hypothesis suggests that all means are equal.
µ0= µ1= µ2
No experiment can give 100% certain results and statistical inference is used to arrive at a conclusion as to
which hypothesis is true. In this case, there is always a chance of error. This is portrayed by the matrix
below:
Scientist’s conclusion
µa is true µ0 is true
µa is No error Type II error
Reality true
µ0 is Type I error No error
true
Type I error is generally more dangerous than Type II, as one can intuitively infer. This could be
strengthened by drawing an analogy to verdicts by the Court of Law to execute an innocent when compared
to acquitting a guilty.
Let α,β be the probabilities of Type I and II errors respectively. These are in a reciprocal relationship and
hence both cannot be minimized simultaneously. Thus, the maximum allowed value for α is kept at 5% and
β at 20%.
Let p denote the probability of obtaining a result equal or more ‘extreme’ than what is observed, assuming
the null hypothesis is true. The threshold value for p is generally taken to be 0.05. An experimental value
higher than this would have strong evidence towards the null hypothesis and hence has to be adopted. The
value of p keeps the value of α below 0.05 too.
3.3 Analysis Of Variance (ANOVA)
Developed by RA Fischer, ANOVA is used to determine if there is any significant difference between
means of groups of data. In one-way ANOVA, these groups are meant to vary under a single factor.
ANOVA assumes the following:
i) Normal distribution of the data
ii) Constant variance
iii) Simple independent groups of data
When there is a significant difference, ANOVA leads to the rejection of the null hypothesis.
The ANOVA test is accompanied by a Tukey Q test. An ANOVA test can tell you if your results
are significant overall, but it won’t tell you exactly where those differences lie. This is accomplished by Tukey Q test.
After ANOVA, Tukey’s test could be used to find out how and if two groups are different. To test all pairwise
comparisons among means using the Tukey Honesty Significant Difference (HSD), we calculate HSD for each pair
of means using the following formula:
4. Observations
CONTROL M3 M6 M9 M12
0.257485 0.18239 0.615385 0.188679 0.089041
0.217647 0.285714 0.2 0.27 0.151515
0.109948 0.172589 0.134454 0.110092 0.111888
0.114754 0.304348 0.414634 0.153846 0.232759
0.25 0.204678 0.466667 0.210145 0.193548
0.2 0.152778 0.234375 0.14094 0.162162
0.291667 0.171171 0.236842 0.105263 0.491803
0.344444 0.118343 0.107143 0.227273 0.6
0.320313 0.212121 0.306122 0.298851 0.109091
0.325 0.113636 0.806452 0.148148 0.244444
0.174497 0.137725 0.666667 0.235849 0.088235
c) Ethanol readings
Root-shot ratios
CONTROL E3 E6 E9 E12
0.257485 0.198675 0.1 0.136364 0.130952
0.217647 0.21978 0.122093 0.124088 0.151786
0.109948 0.180233 0.128655 0.16 0.244898
0.114754 0.05 0.113514 0.080925 0.083333
0.25 0.122727 0.23913 0.163043 0.126984
0.2 0.166667 0.167939 0.106599 0.298507
0.291667 0.413333 0.130435 0.851852 0.378378
0.344444 0.189542 0.104938 0.142857 0.145833
0.320313 0.198795 0.230769 0.364865 1.75
0.325 0.336842 0.211009 0.111888 4.666667
0.174497 0.144928 0.311111 0.23 1.272727
0.159574 0.295082 0.225806 0.166667 0.333333
0.179191 0.141304 0.311828 0.165049 0.387097
5. Results of ANOVA and Tukey’s Q test
A) Ethanol
B) Methanol
The null hypotheses were rejected in all cases but the shoot-root ratio of seeds pre-treated in
ethanol.
Pre-treatment with ethanol alters the shoot length and root length proportionately and the shoot
length is affected only when soaked at least for 12 minutes.
The root length is altered when seeds are pre-soaked in ethanol and this effect is dependent on the
time of soaking.
The methanol pre-treatment alters the shoot and root length without any time-dependence
indicating the instantaneous effect of soaking the seeds in methanol.
The experiment results also suggest that 3-minute intervals are very short and the effects are irresolvable.
A larger time interval will provide clearer and resolved results and the implications that pre-treatments
affect seed germination could be quantified.