Professional Documents
Culture Documents
– 2013
Forest R. David
A. Case Abstract
Headquartered in Sao Paulo, Brazil, Embraer is the world's third largest aircraft manufacturer, behind
Boeing and Airbus. Embraer produces commercial jets (55%) that seat between 30-120 passengers, 7
models of executive jets (20%), and military aircraft (12%). About 40% of its Embraer sales are
in North and South America. With 17,200 employees, Embraer is Brazil’s largest exporter of
industrial products. Embraer’s CEO, Frederico Curado, received the 2012 Tony Jannus Award, given
annually for distinguished contributions to commercial aviation. With rising demand, Embraer’s
backlog of ordered planes totaled $17.1 billion during Q2 of 2013, reflecting an increase of $3.8 billion
from the prior quarter. This level of orders was the company’s highest since September 2009.
In July
2013, Embraer’s Commercial Aviation unit entered into an agreement, worth $2.85 billion, with
International Lease Finance Corporation (“ILFC”) to deliver 50 E-Jets, with an option to extend the
order to up to 100 aircraft. The company is doing well but wants to grow more rapidly globally, and
needs a clear strategic plan to achieve this objective.
We strive to become the global leader in designing, producing, and marketing midsize passenger
aircraft.
1. Customers
2. Products or services
3. Markets
4. Technology
5. Concern for survival, growth, and profitability
6. Philosophy
7. Self-concept
8. Concern for public image
9. Concern for employees
D. External Audit
Opportunities
1. There are few options for airline carriers for midsize planes seating around 100 passengers.
2. Forecasts indicate that demand will grow for E-Jets, as indicated by Republic Airlines paying
Embraer to $4 billion to provide E175 jets.
3. The middle class in Eastern Europe, China, and Latin America is expected to grow substantially
over the next 20 years; increasing GDPs in these regions.
4. China's vibrant economy has become a great market for executive jet potential.
5. The African economy is expected to outpace the world average over the next 20 years and with an
increasing number of middle class citizens needing and desiring to fly.
6. Boeing moving towards larger model planes and shying away from smaller (100 - 200 seat planes.
7. A large need for airlines to replace aging and less fuel-efficient planes to address rising fuel prices.
8. Air traffic is forecasted to grow 5.3% annually between 2012 and 2016.
9. Through 2016, the USA will remain the single largest market for domestic passengers at 710
million annually.
10. Commercial jets for 50 to 150 passengers have higher margins than executive jets.
Threats
Embraer trails both Bombardier and Boeing, based on the factors within the example CPM above.
Boeing scores high marks on sheer size and is a difficult competitor for Embraer to compete against.
Luckily to date, Boeing has left the midsize planes largely to Embraer and Bombardier. ROE is
particularly troubling for Embraer but after deducting Goodwill and Intangibles, which Bombardier
and Boeing are burdened with, they are much more comparable; Bombardier actually has negative
equity.
EFE Matrix
Embraer is doing very well in addressing external issues. The firm should continue to focus
approximately 60% to 80% of its resources to produce midsized jets from 50 to 150 passengers.
Executive Jets and various Defense projects should balance out Embraer’s strategy.
E. Internal Audit
Strengths
1. Embraer has reached a joint venture with China's AVIC II to deliver 1,000 ERJ 145 jets by 2020.
2. Embraer commercial jets are produced with seating options generally between 70 and 124 seats on the
E-Jets and 37 to 50 passengers on the ERJ jets.
3. Both Delta and JetBlue use Embraer jets to shuttle passengers short distances. Since 1969, Embraer
has delivered over 5,000 aircraft to airlines or militaries in over 100 countries on five continents.
4. Embraer’s Commercial Aviation segment accounts for over 60% of all company revenues. Embraer
has over 90 customers, including 30 of which are airline companies, on five continents.
5. The E170 and E175 models are designed for 70 to 88 passengers while the E190 and E195 jets are
designed for 93 to 124 passengers.
6. Embraer’s second most profitable segment is Executive Aviation, accounting for 19% of all revenues;
the firm offers 3 different styles of executive jet and has transitioned well into the low-end business jet
market.
7. Embraer provides 48 different nations with services and products contained under the Defense and
Security’s umbrella, including supplying the Brazilian Air Force with 70+% of its fleet. This segment
accounts for around 15% of total revenues.
8. No geographic region accounts for more than 25% of total revenues; new manufacturing plant in
Melbourne, Florida.
9. Embraer's new deal is worth up to $4 billion to supply the regional network of American Airlines.
10. Embraer is promising a jet that flies higher, faster, and more economical than Lockheed’s Hercules.
Weaknesses
1. Embraer has over 17,000 employees and over $15 billion worth of aircraft on back order.
2. A drawback with the E-Jet is that it does not have the fuel capacity to fly across the USA.
3. North America only accounts for 20% of worldwide revenues.
4. ROE is 6.7 compared to the industry average of 34.
5. Embraer delivered 19 commercial and 25 executive jets in 3rd quarter 2013, providing a bad mix, and
putting Embraer at risk of not meeting its financial estimates for 2013.
6. In October 2013, Embraer workers rejected management’s 6% pay increase offer and briefly stopped
working.
7. Legacy jets are underperforming in the USA market.
8. Since January 2011 through Q3 2013, Embraer’s stock has not appreciated in net price.
Liquidity Ratios
Debt/Equity Ratio 0.78 0.93
Current Ratio 1.95 1.34
Quick Ratio 0.98 0.55
Profitability Ratios
Return On Equity 6.70 34.07
Return On Assets 2.19 4.91
Return On Capital 3.65 17.32
Efficiency Ratios
Income/Employee 10,580 18,305
Revenue/Employee 295,473 348,138
Receivable Turnover 11.22 10
Inventory Turnover 1.79 2.68
Asset Turnover 0.61 0.97
Embraer is doing very well financially when compared to the aircraft production industry.
Embraer is a rapidly improving company with many contracts in the works and is likely worth around $6
billion.
IFE Matrix
Embraer is doing very well on internal issues and should continue to aggressively build mid-size planes
seating between 50 and 150 passengers.
F. SWOT
SO Strategies
1. Sell 50 ERJ 175 Jets to Spirit Airlines for a production cost of $20 million each (S2, S8, O1, O6, O9,
O10).
2. Sell 50 ERJ 175 Jets to Delta for a production cost of $20 million each (S2 S8, O1, O6, O9, O10).
3. Sell 10 ERJ 175 Jets to Croatia Airlines for a production cost of $20 million each (S2, S7, S8, O1, O3,
O10).
4. Sell 100 Executive Jets to Chinese customers by 2015 for a production cost of $3 million each (S6, S7,
O4).
WO Strategies
1. Increase Commercial Aviation segment from 60% of 2012 revenues to 80% of revenues by 2015 (W4,
W5, O10).
2. Divest Legacy jets from the USA market (W7, O9, O10).
3. Sell 50 ERJ 175 Jets to Spirit Airlines for a production cost of $20 million each (W3, O1, O6, O9,
O10).
4. Sell 50 ERJ 175 Jets to Delta for a production cost of $20 million each (W3, O1, O6, O9, O10).
ST Strategies
1. Spend $10 million to market and promote the new Hercules aircraft (S10, T9).
2. Sell 50 ERJ 175 Jets to Spirit Airlines for a production cost of $20 million each (S2, S8, T1).
3. Sell 50 ERJ 175 Jets to Delta for a production cost of $20 million each (S2 S8, O1, T1).
WT Strategies
1. Negotiate a deferred bonus payment plan with workers (W1, W6, T4).
2. Sell 50 ERJ 175 Jets to Spirit Airlines for a production cost of $20 million each (W1, W5, T1).
3. Sell 50 ERJ 175 Jets to Delta for a production cost of $20 million each (W1, W5, O1, T1).
G. SPACE Matrix
FP
Conservative Aggressive
7
5 X = 2.2
Y = 1.4
4
CP IP
-7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
-7
Defensive Competitive
SP
Embraer is doing very well and is well positioned within the SPACE Matrix. The industry remains extremely
competitive with numerous government regulations, but Embraer is managing right well with its list of current
orders from major airlines. The firm should continue to expand, building an additional manufacturing plant in the
USA.
Quadrant II Quadrant I
Weak Strong
Competitive Competitive
Position Position
Sales for both Boeing and Embraer are at record highs and continuing to grow rapidly. Embraer produces a
“right sized” aircraft and should form an alliance with Spirit Airlines or similar short haul carriers to
exclusively supply planes.
I. The Internal-External (IE) Matrix
High
Commercial Aviation
Defense and Security
3.0 IV V VI
The
EFE
Total Medium
Weighted
Scores Executive Aviation
Low
1.0
J. QSPM
K. Recommendations
1. Sell 50 ERJ 175 Jets to Spirit Airlines for a production cost of $20 million each.
2. Sell 50 ERJ 175 Jets to Delta for a production cost of $20 million each.
3. Sell 10 ERJ 175 Jets to Croatia Airlines for a production cost of $20 million each.
4. Sell 100 Executive Jets to Chinese customers by 2015 for a production cost of $3 million each.
5. Increase Commercial Aviation segment from 60% of 2012 revenues to 80% of revenues by 2015.
6. Spend $10 million to market and promote the new Hercules aircraft.
L. EPS/EBIT Analysis (in millions expect for EPS and Share Price)
Amount Needed: $500 (initial amount needed of $2,700)
Stock Price: $ 8.06
Shares Outstanding: 740
Interest Rate: 5%
Tax Rate: 43%
Once EBIT moves past $300 million, debt financing becomes a more attractive option for Embraer to
finance its expansion of the Commercial Aviation segment.
M. Epilogue
In June 2013, Embraer and Boeing partnered on the sales and marketing of Embraer’s KC-390 – a military
aerial refueling aircraft with advanced capabilities. Under the agreement, Boeing is the lead for KC-390
sales, sustainment and training opportunities in the U.S., UK and select Middle East markets, but Embraer
manufactures the aircraft and collaborates on sales, sustainment, and training. This agreement strengthens
the level of cooperation between both companies and both countries (Brazil and the USA) in the defense
industry. The potential market for KC-390 is 700+ aircraft. Boeing and Embraer are also collaborating on
aircraft efficiency and safety, research and technology, defense products and sustainable aviation biofuels.
Also in June 2013, a new commercial airline in Europe, Air Lituanica of Vilnius, Lithuania, purchased two
Embraer E-Jets. In July, Air Lituanica purchased another E-Jet, an EMBRAER 175, leased from ECC
Leasing Company, Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Embraer. In addition in June, SkyWest ordered 100
E175-E2 aircraft, with another 100 Purchase Rights, bringing the total potential of the order to 200 aircraft.
The SkyWest contract has an estimated value, at list price, of USD 9.36 billion. This new purchase is in
addition to SkyWest’s previous order in May 2013, for up to 200 current generation E175 aircraft, and
therefore the potential order of E-Jets from SkyWest may reach 400 aircraft.
In April 2013, United Airlines purchased 30 EMBRAER 175 jets, with options for an additional 40 of the
same model, taking the firm order and options to a total of up to 70 aircraft. United Air’s combined order
has an estimated value of USD 2.9 billion at current list prices.
In October 2013, Embraer union workers rejected the company's wage-increase offer of about 6 percent
and temporarily stopped work at an airplane factory in Brazil. This bad news, however, came amidst some
good news in October 2013 when the company announced the sale of three of its E195 jets to two European
airlines, Belavia of Belarus and Guernsey-based Aurigny Air Services. In a contract with Minsk-based
Belavia, Embraer will supply two 122-seat E195s for $80 million. Aurigny Air Services is also taking
delivery of an E195 in 2014. Aurigny Air Services mainly flies between London Gatwick airport and
Guernsey, a British dependency in the English Channel. Embraer is to receive $40 million from the
Guernsey-based Aurigny for each E195. Deliveries of the first E195 are scheduled for the second half of
2014.
10 Basic Questions
1: C
2: B
3 D
4: A
5: C
6: A
7: B
8: B
9: A
10: C
15 Applied Questions
1: D
2: A
3: D
4: C
5: A
1: B
2: C
3: C
4: A
5: C
1: C
2: A
3: B
4: C
5: D