Professional Documents
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25 February 2008
EMBARGOED UNTIL 26TH FEBRUARY 2008
1
Islamic Financial Services Board estimate.
2
Source: Bloomberg.
3
With the exception of Sudan.
4
Sukuk review, based on Zawya.com, the Sukuk monitor.
2 • Moody’s Investors Service 2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance
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Tamweel Residential ABS CI (1) − Moody's assigned definitive credit ratings, ranging from Aa2 to Ba3, to notes issued
Ltd is the first GCC globally by Tamweel Residential ABS CI (1) Ltd, with a total issue amount of US$220
rated residential Islamic million. This is the first GCC residential Islamic securitisation rated investment
securitisation grade. The assets are Ijarah lease receivables on residential properties located in
Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UAE). This is also the first securitisation originated by
Tamweel PJSC (A3/P-2, stable), one of the major and fastest-growing Shari’ah-
compliant home financing lenders in the UAE.
− Sudan was the first African country to issue a Sukuk in 2007, a US$130 million
transaction to finance a cement project on the River Nile.
5
− Takaful industry premiums reached nearly US$2.5 billion in 2007, and are
expected to reach US$7.4 billion by 2015, representing a growing segment for
Islamic investment opportunities. Nevertheless, Malaysia accounts for 90% of all
Takaful customers worldwide. In the GCC, Saudi Arabia is recognised as the most
active Takaful market. The Capital Market Authority (CMA) is opening up its
insurance market with the issuance of 13 new licences, including five for Takaful
companies.
− The largest proportion of Sukuk was issued in the financial services sector,
accounting for 31% of total volume, followed by real estate with 25% and power and
utilities with 12%.
Local currency-denominated − Given the declining US dollar, many GCC issuers opted for local currency-
Sukuk demanded by investors denominated Sukuk, meeting the needs of investors. JAFZ Sukuk Ltd (JSL; A1,
stable), was the first AED-denominated Sukuk to be listed on the Dubai
International Financial Exchange.
− Demand for convertible Sukuk continued. High demand for these issues
demonstrates that investors’ appetite for Sukuk with an equity potential upside
remains strong, given the recent gains in the equity market. The future of
convertible Sukuk looks promising. A number of issues have come to the market
recently, including Tamweel PJSC for US$300 million.
Growing Islamic real estate − In September 2007, Al-Aqar KPJ Healthcare Islamic real estate investment trust
investment trusts issuance in (IREIT) obtained approval from the Malaysian Securities Commission (SC) for the
Malaysia and the GCC issuance of up to MYR300 million (US$86 million) as a Sukuk Ijarah programme,
combining both Islamic medium-term notes (MTN) and Islamic commercial paper
(CP). Moreover, in the GCC, Dubai Islamic Bank PJSC (DIB; A1/P-1, stable) issued
Shari’ah-compliant four-year capital-protected global IREIT notes in early 2007,
which will invest through several global IREITs in the US, European and Asian
(mainly Japanese) real estate markets.
12,000 50
10,000
40
US$ Million
Issue No.
8,000
30
6,000
20
4,000
2,000 10
- 0
Musharaka Ijarah ModarabahMurabaha Manfa'a Istisnaa Al Salam
Size ( US$ Million) Issue No.
5
Moody’s estimate.
2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance Moody’s Investors Service • 3
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More corporate than sovereign Chart 2:
Sukuk issued in 2007 EMEA and Asia Pacific 2007 Sukuk Type
Sovereign
26%
Corporate
74%
6
Reaching US$200 billion by 2010.
7
Ernst & Young estimate.
8
Source: Qatar Ministry of Finance.
4 • Moody’s Investors Service 2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance
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Chart 3:
Global Islamic Sukuk Issued in USD Million
35000
30000
25000
15000
10000
5000
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Note on Data
− This report aims to capture the volumes of Islamic finance issuance in EMEA and
Asia-Pacific, mainly Shari’ah-compliant securities (Sukuk). The volumes reported
include all publicly rated and un-rated transactions that closed or launched
between 1 January and 31 December 2007.
− For issued Sukuk, a number of resources were used to account for total issued
volume in 2007 and accumulated issued sizes since inception. Sources include
Moody's, the Malaysian Securities Commission, Bloomberg, Zawya.com and
Dealogic.
− Moody’s is aware of other sources of information related to Islamic finance in the
market domain that can be different from those quoted in this report. Every effort
has been made to include and quote the majority of data sources that are
accessible to Moody’s.
− All currencies have been converted into US dollars to facilitate easy comparison.
The exchange rate was taken at the time of the transaction closing.
− Given the nascent nature of Islamic finance, the GCC and Asia-Pacific are
extensively discussed in this review. However, Moody’s is aware of new
developments in other regions such as Africa and Europe, and has highlighted
them in this report.
− Moody’s is aware of the different schools of law – or Fiqh (Islamic jurisprudence)
among different countries across the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. Hence, these
schools differ in the Fiqh methodology and the acceptance of certain Sukuk
structures. Furthermore, Moody’s review of Sukuk transactions has been made
on the basis of their legal binding and contractual features that affect the
creditworthiness of the Sukuk, without opining on their compliance with Shari’ah
law.
2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance Moody’s Investors Service • 5
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COUNTRY ANALYSIS
10000 25
Issue No.
6000 15
4000 10
2000 5
0 0
UAE Saudi Arabia Bahrain Kuwait Qatar Oman
Size ( US$ Million) Issue No.
* Oman has not closed any Sukuk issues in 2007
Chart 5:
GCC Sukuk Issuance
Kuwait,
Qatar, 2%
Bahrain, 4%
6%
Saudi Arabia,
30%
UAE, 58%
UAE a leading Sukuk issuer 2007 was a record year for Sukuk issuance in the GCC region. A total of 50 Sukuk
transactions came to the market, comprising 28 in Bahrain, 12 in the UAE, five in Saudi
Arabia, four in Kuwait and one in Qatar, exceeding US$19 billion in issuance. Also during
the year, three UAE Sukuk, amounting to over US$ I billion each, were issued by JSL,
DP World Sukuk Ltd (A1, stable) and Dubai Investments LLC (A1, stable). In addition,
Tamweel’s residential Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) transaction (Tamweel Sukuk Ltd),
which represented the Islamic securitisation of Ijarah “lease” receivables of residential
properties located in Dubai, was issued during the year.
The issuer rating and foreign currency ceiling for the UAE government are currently Aa2.
As such, financing transactions that are “legally” asset backed can achieve the highest
ratings and raise a proportion of their funding at Aa2 levels. In this region, however, it is
important to note that many institutions and industries still have a degree of sovereign
linkage that may constrain the rating to that of the relevant government.
6 • Moody’s Investors Service 2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance
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As a sign of the increasing confidence in and desirability of Sukuk in the GCC, NIG
Sukuk Ltd issued its first Sukuk (NIGSL; Baa2, stable). Moreover, Saad Trading
Contracting & Financial Services Co issued the first GCC Manfa’a sukuk (Golden Belt 1
Sukuk Co; Baa1, stable) and Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC; A1, positive)
issued SAR8.0 billion (US$2.13 billion). The raised proceeds were used to in the
acquisition of GE Plastic from US conglomerate General Electric for US$11.6 billion in
May 2007.
Strong ratings in GCC issuance, The improving economic situation in the Gulf is illustrated by the A and Aa ratings of the
a function of strong economic six GCC governments, much higher than just a few years ago. Despite shared
performance characteristics across the countries of the GCC, there remains a difference in the relative
ability of Gulf governments to service their debt – between the very wealthy states of
Kuwait, Qatar, and the UAE and the less wealthy states of Bahrain, Oman and Saudi
Arabia. Their ratings will continue to reflect these distinctions, although the size of the
rating differential is expected to narrow over time as the public finances of the less
wealthy states strengthen further while the ratings of the wealthy states are constrained
by political and institutional factors. The outlook on the government bond rating of Saudi
Arabia is still positive, while the outlooks on the government bond ratings of the other
countries are stable.
2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance Moody’s Investors Service • 7
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Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia a growing Sukuk The Saudi Islamic Sukuk finance market witnessed record issuance in 2007, fuelled by
issuance market with more the increasing funding needs of local companies, strong appetite from originators and
Islamic finance products such as investors for Shari’ah-compliant products and the soundness of the Saudi economy,
Takaful and Islamic funds supported by record oil prices. In 2007, five deals came to the market compared to only
two deals in 2006, resulting in US$5.7 billion being issued, an increase of more than
500%. SABIC issued SAR8.0 billion (US$2.13 billion), which was used to help acquire GE
Plastic from US conglomerate General Electric in May 2007 for US$11.6 billion. The
Takaful and real estate industries saw important developments in 2007, with the CMA
developing its insurance market via the issuance of 13 new licences, including five for
Takaful companies. Furthermore, Riyadh-based Al Bilad Bank unveiled its GCC real
estate fund (Akar), which invests in joint-stock companies of the GCC. Saudi Arabia’s first
Sukuk fund was launched by Jadwa Investment in H2 2007, which targets investment in
the Gulf countries and the Middle East. In light of the forthcoming introduction of the 2008
Mortgage Law, and due to the government’s limited role in financing housing, the private
sector is anticipated to assume a greater role in this respect. Institutions such as National
Commercial Bank (A1, stable), Al-Rajhi Bank (A1, stable), Dar Al-Arkan, Kingdom
Instalment Company and Arab National Bank (A1, stable) are attempting to have the first-
mover advantage in the provision of housing finance products, mainly Islamic mortgage
structures.
Kuwait
A market dominated by Sukuk 2007 was a landmark year for Sukuk in Kuwait, with the issuance of the first Islamic-
and IREITs compliant security by NIGSL. The US$475 million Sukuk is the first issue of a US$1.5
billion programme. A total of four deals were issued in 2007, with total issuance reaching
US$875 million. Late in 2007, Al-Ahlia Real Estate Projects Company (AREPCO) came to
the market with a convertible Kuwaiti dinar-denominated Sukuk for KWD87.5 million
(US$320.5 million). The two-year Sukuk is an equity investment Sukuk, with an 8% profit
rate payable semi-annually. The Sukuk was issued to acquire up to 49% of the
outstanding equity in AREPCO. Moreover, Munshaat Real Estate Projects Company
(MREP) launched it first Shari’ah-compliant REIT in Kuwait (MREIT). The Al Mahrab Hotel
Tower, which will be the primary income-generating asset of the MREIT, is part of the Al
Safwa Towers project, one of the largest in Mecca in Saudi Arabia. This will give small
and medium-sized investors the opportunity to benefit from the strong performance of
Mecca hotels, which have shown some of the highest occupancy rates in world.
Qatar
Infrastructure project finance The Qatari Islamic finance Sukuk market had a total issuance of US$450 million in 2007,
Sukuk will make debut in 2008 compared to US$270 million in 2006. Qatar Real Estate Investment Co (S.A.K.) (A2,
stable) issued its first Sukuk, Qatar Alaqaria Sukuk Co Ltd (A2, stable), with the
government of Qatar directly owning a 27% stake. Moody's views the company as a
government-related issuer (GRI), and therefore determines its ratings on the basis of both
the company's fundamental creditworthiness and the credit enhancement that can be
achieved from government support. Qatar’s fortunes in 2008 will in large part be tied up
with those of the energy industry. The minister of finance in a recent address to the
Euromoney conference in Qatar stated that US$70 billion will be needed to finance
projects in the energy and telecoms sectors over the next few years, of which US$15
billion will be financed through long-term fixed-income securities, both conventional and
Islamic bonds.
8 • Moody’s Investors Service 2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance
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Malaysia
95.2%
Cagamas Berhad’s issuance Sukuk also remain a significant funding avenue in the Malaysian domestic market.
boosted the market with its In 2007, Cagamas Berhad, Malaysia's national mortgage agency came to the Sukuk
second Islamic RMBS market several times, thereby boosting domestic issuance. Specifically, in May,
Cagamas launched a Sukuk Musharaka Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities
(RMBS) transaction for more than MYR2 billion (US$0.6 billion), comparable in size to
its first Islamic RMBS launched in 2005.
Combination of conventional and In June, a MYR60 billion (US$17.3 billion) conventional and Islamic CP and MTN
Islamic CP and MTN programme was also proposed by Cagamas. The programme consisted of MYR20
programmes billion of CP and a MYR40 billion MTN programme. The 40-year tenure for the MTN was
also the longest ever established in Malaysia.
Bumiputera Commerce Holdings Berhad also launched a MYR6 billion (US$1.7 billion)
conventional and Islamic CP/MTN programme.
9
Malaysian ringgit, Pakistan rupee, Indonesian Rupiah, Brunei dollar.
10
Source: Bloomberg.
11
For more details, refer to our Special Comment. “Asian Sukuk: Review and Introduction to Moody’s Rating Approach”.
2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance Moody’s Investors Service • 9
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Chart 7:
Malaysia: Approved Ringgit-Denominated Private-Debt Securities
Issuances12 Including Approved Issuances by Cagamas Berhad
300
250
200
RM Billion
150
100
50
0
2004 2005 2006 2007
Conventional Sukuk Combination
Malaysia has also become a hub While the bulk of Malaysia’s issuances remain domestic, there was increasing interest in
for cross-border issuance the cross-border Islamic market in 2007. The SC approved more than US$8.3 billion US
dollar-denominated Sukuk issued by foreign corporations in 2007, which was much
higher than the total approved foreign currency-denominated Sukuk issuances in the
previous two years (see Chart 7).
Maybank certificates represent There were a number of notable features in the Asian Sukuk issued in 2007. Among
first cross-border subordinated these, Malayan Banking Berhad (Maybank; A3, stable) issued Sukuk in April 2007
Sukuk (Malayan Banking Berhad Sukuk), raising US$300 million to fund the bank's Islamic
banking operations and representing the first cross-border subordinated Sukuk
issuance. Moody’s assigned a Baa1 foreign currency rating to the subordinated Sukuk
certificates in April and upgraded the rating to A3 in May.13 The A3 rating is constrained
by the country ceiling. Specifically, the bank intends to use the proceeds to refinance
existing conventional US dollar subordinated notes. The transaction will allow Maybank
to raise funds on terms compliant with Shari’ah principles. It will also count as Tier 2
capital under existing capital adequacy regulations. The rating is directly linked to that of
Maybank, the obligor, because it has agreed to provide advances to cover any shortfall
between the profits generated from the portfolio assets and the required periodic
distribution amount to certificate holders. Maybank has also irrevocably undertaken to
purchase the issuer's interest in the portfolio assets at the relevant exercise price
sufficient to pay the certificate holders, either at maturity or on dissolution. Moody’s
noted that Maybank, as the asset manager, will collect profit from the portfolio assets
and pay the issuer an amount sufficient to fund the required periodic distribution to
certificate holders on each distribution date. Any excess profit, after meeting the
required periodic distribution amount from the portfolio assets, will be paid to Maybank
as a fee, while any shortfalls will be covered by Maybank to ensure the required periodic
distribution amount is paid.
Four Rupiah-denominated Sukuk Rupiah-denominated Sukuk represented only 0.4% of global outstanding Sukuk at year-
transactions in 2007 constituting end 2007. A total of 20 Sukuk – or 3.88% of all bond issuance in Indonesia – were
0.4% of global outstanding issued between September 2002 – when Indonesia made the market’s first issuance –
Sukuk and the end of July 2007.
The regulatory authorities issued their first Islamic bond regulation in 2002, and the
Indonesia Capital Market Supervisory Board followed up in November 2006 with a
second set of regulations that represent an attempt to encourage insurers, pension
funds, banks and mutual fund managers to invest in Sukuk.
12
Source: Malaysian Securities Commission, “Sukuk approved-not issued”
13
The upgrade in May 2007 was related to Moody’s application of its refined Joint-Default Analysis and updated Bank Financial Strength Rating
methodologies.
10 • Moody’s Investors Service 2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance
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Another challenge for the development of Sukuk in Indonesia lies in the need to boost
understanding of securitisation (be it conventional or Islamic) as well as to improve
accounting and tax treatments as they relate to securitisation.
In the latest example of efforts to clarify the situation, the Indonesian Accounting
Association in H1 2007 issued regulations for the treatment of securitisation, to apply
from 2009. In November 2006, the authorities also introduced Sukuk CIC, a collective
investment contract used for structured finance transactions. But no structured finance
deal – conventional or Sukuk – has debuted using this structure.
14
The only South Asian country to witness Islamic finance activity in 2007.
2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance Moody’s Investors Service • 11
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South Africa is leading Islamic Given that only 20% of the population has a bank account, this offers major
product hub in Africa opportunities for growth in both conventional and Islamic products. The drive by the
government to reform the financial services sector and privatise several state-owned
banks is expected to help drive competition and spur development. It will also increase
the number of foreign institutions offering Islamic products. In the Maghreb region, we
are beginning to see some Islamic investors from the Gulf planning real estate projects
in Morocco. Islamic financial institutions are not on the agenda at the moment, but this
might be about to change as the central bank of Morocco (Bank Al-Maghrib) has for the
first time allowed the use of Islamic finance structures such as Murabaha and Ijarah for
banks. It is very likely that North Africa will form a stronger bloc in the Islamic finance
industry in future. Furthermore, South Africa is considered one of the leading countries
in developing Islamic products, meeting the needs of nearly two million Muslims. ABSA
Bank Ltd (Baa1, stable), a subsidiary of Barclays, and Al-Barka Group are among the
biggest banks providing products approved by their Shari’ah supervisory board, which
has overseen the development of a range of products for the local market. These
include chequering accounts, contractual and discretionary savings with transactional
capability and Shari’ah wills for the personal market. Vehicle and asset finance are
offered to both business and personal clients.
Asia-Pacific
Japan is the most recent major developed economy to tap into the Sukuk market, the
government will issue its first sovereign Islamic Sukuk, valued at between US$300
million and US$500 million, through Japan International Bank for Corporation, this
issuance is expected to come to the market by the end of Q1 2008. Moreover, Thailand
and Singapore are contemplating issuing their first Sukuk in 2008.
Singapore and Hong Kong Singapore’s authorities have made evident their interest and enthusiasm for Islamic
stepping up their Islamic finance products.15 The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) constantly works with the
efforts industry to ensure both Islamic and conventional financing have comparable supervision
under the country’s tax and regulatory framework. Concessionary tax treatment for
Sukuk is similar to that for conventional bonds, while Singapore has also waived the
double imposition of stamp duties on real estate financing structured under Shari’ah law.
Several banks in Singapore are also looking at specialist subsidiaries. DBS Bank Ltd
(Aa1, stable) has taken the lead with its launch of the Islamic Bank of Asia (IB Asia)
after approval from MAS for a full bank licence in May 2007. IB Asia will focus on
corporate, capital market and private banking services. The Singapore financial
community is also actively looking at Islamic funds management.
Hong Kong to serves as an In Hong Kong, the authorities are fully supportive of the development of Islamic finance.
Islamic funding platform for In November 2007, the Securities and Futures Commission approved the first Islamic
mainland China fund (Hang Seng Islamic China Index Fund), available to retail investors.
Furthermore, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced in January 200816 that it
will apply for associate membership of the Islamic Financial Services Board. As such,
Hong Kong could position itself as an international platform for Islamic funding for
mainland China needs, particularly in the domain of infrastructure projects.
In the medium term, there could be a significant potential for cross-border and
Residential Mortgage-Backed Sukuk issuance. The authorities are currently looking at
improving the fiscal environment. By focusing on Sukuk, Hong Kong could also become
a platform for the development of Islamic securitisation.
Europe
Europe might see its first The UK has made concrete steps forwards, given London’s appeal as a centre for
sovereign Sukuk issued Islamic finance. Over the past three years, the UK has made significant changes to its
tax legislation to facilitate Islamic finance transactions. Moreover, the City of London is
home to a sizeable number of professionals and expertise that enable London to claim
the title of “Islamic finance centre of Europe”. For 2008, the UK treasury is
contemplating issuing its first sterling Sukuk.
15
Speech by Ng Nam Sin, executive director of Monetary Authority of Singapore, 13 February 2007 at Islamic Finance Asia 2007.
16
Seminar on Islamic Finance, 15-16 January 2008, jointly organised by the Hong Kong Money Authority and the Islamic Financial Services
Board.
12 • Moody’s Investors Service 2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance
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Islamic Securitisation
To date, the majority of Sukuk has been of an asset-based nature. In these transactions
the assets in place do not legally belong to the Sukuk investors, and the financing raised
is not backed by assets. In the event that the “borrower” defaults or becomes insolvent,
the Sukuk investors rely on purchase undertakings for the repayment of funds. This type
of structure has drawn much attention in recent months due to the lack of asset-risk
sharing of such structures and the perception that such undertakings are “guaranteeing”
the asset price.17
UAE and Malaysia to lead… Securitisation or asset-backed finance is inherently more complex for issuers as it
followed by Saudi Arabia and requires legal isolation and sale of the assets from the borrower to create a structure
Qatar whose cash flows and risk profile are driven primarily by the assets. These risk-sharing
characteristics make securitisation closer to the Shari’ah ideals of participating in the
collective legal or beneficial ownership of an asset and its “value”.
In the GCC, Moody’s believes that real estate (residential and commercial) will drive the
majority of corporate Islamic securitisations in the short term. This is mostly due to the
sizeable financing needs of the sector, and the market’s familiarity with and interest in
the underlying assets. All GCC economies are largely dependent on the oil and
petrochemical industry; these industry assets too hold significant potential for project
finance asset-backed Sukuk. The ongoing preparation for Basel II is also driving a focus
on balance sheets as regional banks reach their risk limits on real estate and project
lending and are hence looking to free up capital through securitisation.
In July 2007, Tamweel issued the first GCC globally rated Islamic securitisation, a
structured Sukuk that passed legal ownership of residential property located in Dubai
and the associated finance contracts to investors (Tamweel Sukuk Ltd). Comparable to
conventional RMBS, the ongoing boom in the region (from a very low base) means that
deals are performing well, with zero defaults in the underlying pool.
A number of GCC countries’ foreign currency ceilings are currently Aa2, including UAE.
As such, transactions that are “legally” asset backed can achieve these high ratings.
Tamweel’s timing was fortuitous and it raised a significant proportion of its funding at
Aa2 levels while Tamweel itself has an issuer rating of A3 (Ba3 when excluding the
external support element captured by Moody’s GRI methodology).18
In 2008, we expect more Islamic securitisation transactions from issuers across the GCC
as the structuring and legal complexities and expertise required become more
commonplace. In addition, the genuine asset-backed, risk-sharing nature may drive
further Islamic investment demand and thereby help pricing. Moreover, in Malaysia,
Menara ABS Berhad issued MYR1.0 billion (US$306.1 million) of Sukuk Ijarah backed
by four properties in January 2008. The properties are removed from the balance sheet
of the originator, Telecom Malaysia Berhad.
17
For more details on the credit risk consideration of purchase undertakings, refer to our See Special Comment: Shariah and Sukuk: A Moody’s
Primer, published in May 2006.
18
See Credit Analysis: Tamweel PJSC.
2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance Moody’s Investors Service • 13
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Islamic Funds and Private Equity
MENA and Asia-Pacific account Islamic funds have expanded significantly in the past five years, growing at a
for 65% of global funds compound annual growth rate of 22%.19 By the end of 2007, the number of global funds
exceeded 700. Given the nascent nature of this industry, nearly 50% of the total number
of funds has less than US$50 million in assets under management. MENA and Asia-
Pacific account for 65% of global Islamic funds, largely due to the nature and
development of equity markets in the past three years. However, penetration of these
funds in the GCC is still minimal, only accounting for over 1% of GCC GDP. Saudi
Arabia is considered one of the biggest markets for Shari’ah-compliant funds. NCB
Capital issued one of the biggest GCC funds, targeting US$1 billion, through investing in
GCC equity markets and Murabaha funds as approved by the NCB’s Shari’ah board.
Real estate funds have also grown significantly in the rest of the GCC, benefiting from
booming economies and real estate project expansion. The average fund size of IREITs
rose by nearly 36% between 2002 and 2006 to reach nearly US$200 million. In the UK,
Barclays Capital has launched its first Shari’ah-complaint exchange-traded fund.
Moreover, Arab Banking Corporation B.S.C. (A3, stable), Islamic Asset Management UK
and Kuwait-based Global Securities House issued a UK Islamic commercial real estate
fund, Al Bait UK Real Estate Fund, for a total of £58 million (US$115 million), which
includes a balance of office, mixed-use and industrial assets in diversified locations in
the UK. Also given the increasing global Sukuk issuance, a number of Sukuk funds,
similar to Jadwa’s Sukuk Fund, are to be introduced in the GCC region in 2008. Moody’s
is aware of a number of issuers planning to launch Sukuk structured funds in H1 2008.
Private equity is an ideal Islamic- Private equity is also gaining momentum. Venture capital and private equity funds that
compliant investment do not utilise conventional leverage instruments are ideal tools for making investments in
structure… but with conservative an Islamic-compliant manner. Another appropriate tool is early-stage investments in
borrowing start-up companies because investors have considerable scope to negotiate the
structure and conditions of their investment to ensure Shari’ah compliancy. An indication
of the acceptance of these vehicles for making Islamic-compliant investments is the
number of conventional private equity and venture capital funds that have passed
Shari’ah compliance tests with only minor adjustments made to the investment policies
of the funds themselves. A Shari’ah supervisory board is appointed and detailed
Shari’ah compliance criteria are incorporated into the offering and operational
documents. Despite this, Shari’ah-compliant institutional private equity remains limited to
the likes of Corecap, which launched its Islamic Private Equity Fund I (CIPEF I) in 2007.
However, this limited issuance activity does not accurately reflect the fact growth in
MENA private equity issuance is considered the fastest globally. The main factor
constraining Islamic finance private equity issuance has been the reliance of many
transactions on leverage. The general consensus among most Shari’ah scholars is that
a transaction's debt-to-equity ratio must be less than 33%. Many of the transactions
made recently, especially in the merger and acquisition fields, have a much higher
dependency on borrowing.
Takaful
Malaysia and Saudi Arabia to Takaful industry premiums reached nearly US$2.5 billion in 2007,20 and are expected to
play a significant role in the reach US$7.4 billion by 2015, representing a growing segment for Islamic investment
Takaful market in the coming opportunities. Malaysia accounts for 90% of all Takaful customers worldwide. In the
years GCC, Saudi Arabia is recognised as the most active Takaful market. The CMA is
opening up its insurance market with the issuance of 13 new licences, including five for
Takaful companies. The economic boom in the GCC has created a substantial
investment in infrastructure projects, as has the growth in retail Islamic banking solutions
including Islamic mortgages, which creates opportunities for Takaful operators due to the
increased demand for mortgage protection products and home owners’ comprehensive
Takaful plans. Moody’s approach to analysing a Takaful company is very similar to that
for a conventional mutual insurance company, given that the distribution between a
“premium” and a “donation” is, in Moody’s view, more cultural than economic. However,
there are several additional considerations relating to corporate governance, asset
allocation, structural features, capitalisation strategies and the regulatory environment
19
Source: Ernst &Young numbers and analysis.
20
Source: Moody’s estimates.
14 • Moody’s Investors Service 2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance
EMBARGOED UNTIL 26TH FEBRUARY 2008
that must be taken into account when rating a Takaful company.
2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance Moody’s Investors Service • 15
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Islamic Banking
The outlook for the Islamic banking industry remains positive. In the GCC, Islamic banks
have hardly suffered from the regional stock market crash that started in the second
quarter of 2006, the effects of which were still being felt in early 2007. With limited direct
exposures to the region’s equity markets, no appetite for margin lending and a structural
ban on riba-based structured investment products, Islamic banks’ resilience amid current
global credit woes is expected to remain strong. With a few exceptions, most GCC-
based Islamic banks will continue to focus on their domestic markets, where Shari’ah-
compliant lending opportunities are widening, both in the retail segment (with a nascent
mortgage market emerging) and on the corporate side (where Islamic tranches have
become increasingly common). Islamic banks’ market share in the GCC is currently
close to 15%23, and increasing, reflecting their solid entrenchment in servicing
households. In Asia-Pacific, Malaysia remains the core market for Islamic bankers,
holding a market share currently close to 14% and expected to reach the 20% line by
2010, as per the regulator’s roadmap. In 2008 and beyond, diversification is expected to
be high on Islamic banks’ agendas. First, geographic diversification is expected to
intensify for the largest players: a handful of leading GCC-based Islamic banks have
started exploring new horizons in Asia, but also beyond the natural borders of the
Islamic universe. Second, operating diversification will probably continue to pick up:
although Shari’ah-compliant commercial banking will still dominate, alternative business
lines are emerging as powerful forces to enhance disintermediation, and Islamic
investment banking – including private equity as well as asset and fund management –
is playing a critical role in this field.
21
Source: Project Finance International.
22
Source: Ministry of Finance.
23
Source: Moody’s
16 • Moody’s Investors Service 2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance
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Third, diversification of funding continuums is expected to address the natural
constraints faced by Islamic financiers in terms of balance-sheet management: provided
that market conditions become more attractive, Islamic banks are expected to be both
heavy buyers and active issuers of Sukuk, especially to cope with widening maturity
mismatches between Shari’ah-compliant assets with longer tenors and funding sources
still heavily reliant on short-term customer deposits. Fourth, diversification of asset
allocation and further portfolio granularity have become critical, especially in view of
Islamic banks’ natural appetite for property-related exposures, at a time when, in several
countries where Islamic banks are operating, real estate markets are showing signs of
growing tension. In this context, Moody’s expects to assign ratings to a few more
Shari’ah-compliant banks, in addition to the eight fully fledged Islamic financial
institutions that have already been rated so far.
2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance Moody’s Investors Service • 17
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APPENDIX 1:
2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance Moody’s Investors Service • 18
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APPENDIX 2:
19 • Moody’s Investors Service 2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance
EMBARGOED UNTIL 26TH FEBRUARY 2008
mudaraba/mudarabah: a form of contract in which one party (the rab-al-maal) brings
capital and the other (the mudarib) personal effort. The proportionate share in profit is
determined by mutual consent, but the loss, if any, is borne by the owner of the capital,
unless the loss has been caused by negligence or violation of the terms of the contract
by the mudarib. A mudaraba is typically conducted between an Islamic financial
institution or fund as mudarib and investment account holders as providers of funds.
mudarib: the managing partner or entrepreneur in a mudaraba contract (see above),
see also rab almal.
murabaha: a contract of sale with an agreed profit mark-up on the cost. There are two
types of murabaha sale: in the first type, the Islamic bank purchases the goods and
makes them available for sale without any prior promise from a customer to purchase
them, and this is termed a normal or spot murabaha; the second type involves a promise
from a customer to purchase the item from the bank, and this is called murabaha to the
purchase order. In this latter case, there is a pre-agreed selling price that includes the
pre-agreed profit mark-up. Normally, it involves the bank granting the customer a
murabaha credit facility with deferred payment terms, but this is not an essential
element.
musharaka/musharakah: an agreement under which the Islamic bank provides funds
that are mingled with the funds of the business enterprise and possibly others. All
providers of capital are entitled to participate in management, but are not necessarily
obliged to do so. The profit is distributed among the partners in a pre-determined
manner, but the losses, if any, are borne by the partners in proportion to their capital
contribution. It is not permitted to stipulate otherwise.
qard al hasan/qard hassan: a virtuous loan in which there is no interest or mark-up.
The borrower must return the principal sum in the future without any increase.
rab-al-maal: the investor or owner of capital in a mudaraba contract (see above).
rahn: a mortgage or pledge.
riba: interest. Sometimes equated with usury, but its meaning is broader. The literal
meaning is an excess or increase, and its prohibition is meant to distinguish between an
unlawful exchange in which there is a clear advantage to one party in contrast to a
mutually beneficial and lawful exchange.
riba al-buyu: a sale transaction in which a commodity is exchanged for the same
commodity but unequal in amount or quality, or the excess over what is justified by the
counter-value in an exchange/business transaction.
sadaqa: voluntary charity.
salam: a contract for the purchase of a commodity for deferred delivery in exchange for
immediate payment.
shari’a/Shariah/Shari’ah: in legal terms, the law as extracted from the sources of law
(the Qur’an and the Sunnah). However, Shari’ah rules do not always function as rules of
law as they incorporate “obligations, duties and moral considerations that serve to foster
obedience to the Almighty”.
shirkat al-aqad: a joint-venture partnership.
shirkat al-milk: a co-ownership partnership.
Saak: participation securities, coupons, investment certificates. Plural Sukuk.
Sunnah: the way of the Prophet Mohammed including his sayings, deeds, approvals
and disapprovals as preserved in the hadith literature. It is the second source of
revelation after the Qur’an.
Takaful: a Shari’ah-compliant system of insurance based on the principle of mutual
support. The company’s role is limited to managing the operations and investing the
contributions.
tawarruq: literally monetisation. The term is used to describe a mode of financing,
where the commodity sold is not required by the borrower but is bought on deferred
terms and then sold to a third party for a lower amount of cash, so becoming
“monetised”. The reverse of murabaha.
20 • Moody’s Investors Service 2007 Review and 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance
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ummah: the community or nation. Used to refer to the worldwide community of Muslims.
urf: the customs of a community.
wa’d: a promise or unilateral undertaking.
wadiah: a deposit.
wakala: agency, an agency contract that generally includes in its terms a fee for the
agent.
wakeel al-Istithamr: an investment agent.
waqf: a charitable endowment.
zakah/zakat: a tax that is prescribed by Islam on all persons having wealth above an
exemption limit at a rate fixed by the Shari’ah. Its objective is to collect a portion of the
wealth of the well-to-do and distribute it to the needy. The way it is distributed is set out
in the Qur’an. It may be collected by the state, but otherwise it is down to each individual
to distribute the zakat.
2005 Review and 2006 Issuance Outlook: EMEA RMBS Moody’s Investors Service • 21
SELECTED RESEARCH
For a more detailed explanation of Moody’s approach to this type of transaction, as well
as similar transactions, please refer to the following reports:
Rating Methodologies:
− Securitisation in New Markets: Moody’s Perspective, September 2006 (SF74362)
− Moody’s Approach to Rating RMBS in Emerging Securitisation Markets – EMEA,
June 2007 (SF97186)
Special Comments:
− Asian Sukuk: Review and Introduction to Moody's Rating Approach, August 2007
(104446)
− Risk Issues at Islamic Financial Institutions, January 2008 (107175)
− Understanding Moody’s Approach to Unsecured Corporate Sukuk, August 2007
(103919)
− Shari’ah and Sukuk: A Moody’s Primer, May 2006 (SF74488)
− A Guide to Rating Islamic Financial Institutions, April 2006 (97226)
− Moody’s Involvement in Rating Islamic Financial Institutions, April 2006 (97113)
Transaction Reports:
− Tamweel Residential ABS CI (1) Ltd, June 2007 (SF101479)
− Tamweel PJSC, November 2007 (105926)
− UAE CMBS Vehicle No. 1 Limited, June 2007 (SF101325)
− Dubai Electricity and Water Authority, November 2007 (105503)
− Jebel Ali Free Zone FZE, November 2007 (105696)
− Qatar Real Estate Investment Company, July 2007 (103653)
− DP World, June 2007 (102891)
− Saad Trading Contracting & Financial Services Company, May 2007 (102659)
− DIFC Investments LLC, May 2007 (103068)
− National Industries Group Holding NIG, April 2007 (102600)
− Malaysia Global Sukuk Inc. US$ 600,000,000 Trust Certificates Due 2007, July 2002
(SF15069)
To access any of these reports, click on the entry above. Note that these references are current as of the date of
publication of this report and that more recent reports may be available. All research may not be available to all
clients.
SF104427isf
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22 • Moody’s Investors Service 2007 Review & 2008 Outlook: Islamic Finance EMEA and Asia-Pacific
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2005 Review and 2006 Issuance Outlook: EMEA RMBS Moody’s Investors Service • 23