Professional Documents
Culture Documents
�TIillContents
Departments Economics
58 Energy Insider
M ark Sonnenblick looks at a
looming threat to world banking.
Kooks and nukes:
They don't mix
1 1 West German growth means
no recession for Europe
60 Congressional Calendar
The LaRo uche-Riemann model' s
profile of Germany's economy.
64 Facts Behind Terror
The Hispanic activation 18 Calculati ng new
agricultural parity
A statement by presidential
candidate Lyndon LaRouche
21 Domestic Credit
The snowball effect
22 International Credit
French banks gain
Euroloan clout
23 Foreign Exchange
25 Trade Review
26 Business Briefs
Volume 7. Number 24 June 24. 1980
Each week. over 200 experts work in 40 cities of the world to monitor developments 24
hours a day. They have been doing so for the last 10 years-producing the only accurate and
unchallenged record of every maj or international issue. PLUS only the EIR features economic
analysis using the groundbreaking Riemannian economic model developed by Lyndon
LaRouche. the foremost economist of the century.
The EIR staff is now available to do the specialized intelligence your business demands.
If you are interested. call for a discussion with an expert in your field.
Fl
Editorial
French Treasury director Jean-Yves H aberer, president ic m alfunctions associated with current I n ternational
of the European Comm unity' s M o netary Committee, M onetary F un d-based arrangements that he had worked
stunned a meeting of F rench n ational financial co unse out a plan to launch gold into the monetary system which
lors June 4 by telling them that gold will recirculate in a he will presen t at Venice .
large way between central banks. No one listeni ng need H aberer, whose current European Comm unity posi
ed to be told what this would mean: eventually-and tion places him i n charge of overseeing the pace of
quite probably quite soon-gol d will return to its pre implementation of the EMS, addressed this s ubject in his
eminent role i n the world monetary system . June 4 address, which was entitled "The European Mon
H aberer's remarks were delivered in an atmosphere etary System : A n I nternational M o netary System . " He
of bullio n's upward movement . From a level o f $ 5 0 1 per . told the gathering of French financial counselors that the
troy ounce M ay 22, gold ro se to $624 per troy ounce by principles i nspiring the EMS are "subversive-but in a
June 9, o r a n i ncrease of nearly 25 percent in three weeks, positive sen se . " The s ubversiveness of the EM S resides
before settling back a little . precisely in the ability of that system's gold-backed
The reason for this i ncrease is, as H aberer's statement " E uropean C urrency U nit" to serve as the means of
indicates, po litical prearrangements to bring gold -back p utting gold into circulation between central banks. This
as a monetary standard of value . U ntill 0 days ago, most o f co urse would m ake gold more than simply a static
gold market tradi ng was light, in dicating not volume reserve a sset , locked away in central bank vaults .
pan ic hedge buyi ng in response to the erupti on of inter Taking aim at the I nternational M onetary Fund and
n ational hot spots , b ut the steady activity of insiders who its Special Drawing Rights, H a berer asserted that "the
know that something far bigger i s in the win d . ECU will be able to threaten the credibility o f the S D R . "
T h e EM S will set t h e priority of "monetary stability" in
The move toward stability a worl d beleag uered by a "non-system . "
The context for M r . Haberer's speech i s the upcoming Haberer added that the seco nd phase of the European
summit of the heads of the leading seven Western na M o netary System-the creation of the European M one
tio ns-the United States, Germany, France, G reat Brit tary Fu nd-may have to be delayed because of the world
ain, Japan, I taly and Canada-to discuss economic and economy. Other a lternatives a re cropping up.
military m atters in Venice June 22-23 .
It has been wi dely reported since the turn of the year Recycling O PEC dollars
that French President Valery Giscard d' Estaing has been H aberer's speech was described by one member of
so thorough ly dissatisfied with the inflation and econ om- the audience as " aggressive and on the offensive . " Its
Repeated warnings about "the danger of Brazil de to go to the Fund . I see not the slightest reason for it."
faulting on its $ 5 5 billion debt and blowing o ut the Indeed, even the people p utting the most press ure o n
Euro do ll ar market" are being echoed throughout An Delfim t o go t o t h e I M F a d m i t t h a t he is "skillfully"
glo-American monetary circles . applying the same F riedmanite mo netarist nostrums to
As a result of such well-p ublicized fears, Brazil h as B razil that the I M F dem ands, as fast as the body politic
been practically closed out of the Eurodollar market so o f that cou ntry can tolerate them .
far this year. The few public loan syndications which The questi on demanding an answer is why Brazil,
have been attempted have been completed o nly with the which has yielded wo ndro us profits to foreign investors
greatest difficulty . And Brazil m ust borrow another $ 1 0- si nce the 1 9 64 co up, and Del fi m N etto, known as "the
14 billion during the remainder of this year or the " de architect of the B razilian Eco nomic M iracle" for his
fault" scenario could become a self- fulfilling prophesy. coordinating the 1 968-73 period of rapid growth, i s now
The chorus is being conducted th rough press organs being so s avagely attacked by their former frien ds?
such as The Economist and the Wall Street Journal, both
of which quite suddenly shifted gears on Brazil fro m
boundless optimism to panicked pessimism . The Econo Pushing the Brandt Commission
mist begi ns its M ay 1 7 survey by intoning: "Brazil, long The a nswers lie well o utside Brazi l's borders .
the biggest and brightest developing star in Latin Amer Threatening the world with a blowout of Brazil' s $ 5 5
ica , m ay be about to explode into a supernova . " It ends billion in debt i s a strong card in t h e hand of t h e C F R ' s
with: "The intern ational banking system should start po licy plan ners w h o a r e seeking to reorganize t h e world
girding its loins for the possibility that it may never again financial system along the li nes prescribed by the Brandt
see some of the m oney it has splashed out to Brazi l . " Commission report . The Brandt report called for "re
The Economist, the Journal o/ Commerce, m ost U . S . forming" the I M F by recycling Arab petrodollars into
commercial bankers and the U . S . Treasury are insisting the repayment o f LDC debt. By publicizing the danger
that Brazil m ust go to the International M onetary Fund of a Brazilian blow-out, the C F R crowd is saying: if you
and receive its "shock" medicine before being able to don't go along with our plans, the whole thing goes up in
gain needed debt relief. In fact , a semi-secret conclave on smoke. This was made al m o st explicit by the M ay 30
Brazil was held May 20-2 1 at the New York Council o n London-based Latin America Regional Reports: " Brazil
Foreign Relations t o try t o p u s h Brazil i n t h a t directio n . ian min isters are pressing for structural changes i n inter
But Brazilian authorities, headed by Planning M i n national financial markets . . . . Brazil is li kely to embrace
ister Del fim Netto , think differently. They regard the with fervour this new role as 'champion o f the oppressed .'
IMF as irrelevant in terms o f the volume of funds it could . . . It is clearly in Brazil's interest to m obilize a lobby of
supply, and downright destructive of Brazil' s po litical developing nations to call for radical changes. And it i s
stability i f its conditionalities are implemented. This was t h e increasing rel uctance o f com mercial b a n k s . . . to
explai ned by Professor Riordan Roett, the chairman of increase their exposure in such heavily indebted co untries
the CFR gathering and one of America ' s best known as Brazil, which will bri ng abo ut the formation of this
Brazilianists, in the fo llowing terms: "They have to go to lobby . "
,
the I M F . That ' s what I ' ve been telling them , but Delfim Syn dicated columnist H obart Rowen w a s even more
[Netto] does n't want to face reality. He's scared shitless to the point. If the U . S . refuses to embrace the Brandt
of the political explosion which would come from that. reforms at the Venice economic summit, Rowen wrote
H e j ust won't do it . " recently , the world will face an "economic time bomb in
Many observers o f the Brazi lian scene are also q ues Brazi l," whose deto nation "could set off shock waves
tioning the logic of going to the I M F . One New England transforming a global recessio n i nto a global depres
ban ker interviewed by EIR moaned: "I don't want Brazil sion ."
Q: The word is o ut all over the p lace that Brazil has to go Q: What would the I M F want Delfim to do?
to the Fund because the secon d-tier banks won't loan A: . . . The Fund' s sta m p of approval means something
anything without the Fund's stamp of approval . to bankers only when it has teeth in it. There is no way to
A: I don't want to see Brazil go to the Fund! I see not the achieve austerity and the kinds o f changes the banks
slightest reason for it. require while at the s ame time improving the social
It' s really h ard for banks to loan to Brazil, even if we indicators . There has to be a trade-off. . .
want to. The banks are under the gun from the Co ntroller . . . We have the same kinds of troubles as Brazil , like
of the Currency to hold down lendi ng. He highlights any high prices of imported oil. When you' re in that kind of
country loans over 2 5 per cent of capital. By highlighting situation, you have to bite the bullet sometime.
these loans, he' s telling them , ' Don't len d any m ore!' . . . . Brazil traditionally does not like goi ng to the
Also, bankers aro und the co untry are reading all Fund . It creates too m a ny po litical pro blem s . I hope they
those stories about strikes, about the abertura [political can do it on their o w n . They have to decide .
openings] and they are looking at what happened to
Iran , and now all the trouble i n South K orea, Liberi a , Q: Why should Brazil go to the I M F if Delfim seems to
and some co untries in Central America . Jesus, it' s a be doing the kind of policies it would recommend?
tough environment for a bank ma nager! A: Delfim is doing a good j o b . He's moving in our
directi on, towards our own policies. He's on the road.
Q: What would the Fund want from Brazil? He's doing many of the things the Fund would have him
A: The Fund would attack tl).e rate of growth o f the do; let' s hope he keeps doing it.
West Germany's economic strength, despite economic In an Apri l s urvey of the American eco nomy, EIR
catastrophe conditions i n the U n i ted States, h as bewil dem o n strated that the principal cause o f i n flati o n and
dered A m erican and British o bservers , and scared some low productivity growth i n the A m erican eco nomy was
o f them more than a little. I t i s now apparent to all b ut not higher oil prices, b ut the A d m i n i stration's energy
the econ om ists o f the Chase M an h attan B a n k and the co n servatio n pol icy .
editors of the Wall Street Jou rnal both of whom re
Mirror image?
-
The first series of comp uter graphs generated by the The th i rd graph i n this series may startle even readers
LaRouche- Riemann model shows the 1 962-79 period i n familiar with recent pitches for foreign i n vestment in the
t h e West German econ omy. T h e net investible surplus U . S . based o n the erosion of A merican-German wage
available to the economy-that is, t he capital a n d con d i fferential s . Starting at a low level in the 1 960s, variable
sumer goods avai lable over and above rep lacement needs capital, o r physical consumpt ion of workers i n the West
to expand the p rod uctio n of tan gi b le goods- reached an German p roductive sector, rose b ut then sh owed a dra
all-time high of 74 b i l l i o n marks (about $80 b i l l i o n 1 970 matic reversal d u ring the 1 969 recession-which had
do l lars) in 1 963. I ts rise and fal l to the low p o i nt reflecting m ore severe effects i n Western E u rope than in the U . S .
the first 1 970s oil crisis came i n tan dem with that of the and triggered a costly strike wave. However, consump
U.S. economy. But after 1 975, starti ng from a l ower tion by these wor kers- b lue-co llar manufacturi ng, m i n
level , th is indicato r rapidly recovers its earlier rate o f ing, transportation, constructio n and farm emp loyees,
increase. B y contrast, net i nvestible surplus h a s fai led t o minus those occupied in retra i n i ng or producing over
rise above the zero level in t h e U n i ted States si nce 1 974, head goods like m i l it ary equ ipment which do not re
and in 1 979 fel l sharply i nto deficit. enter the productive cycle-was not c ut during the 1 974-
The West German free energy ratio is shown next fo r 75 o i l price cr i s i s , a n d i n t h e late 1 9 70s i ncreased
1 962 thro ugh 1 979. This is the proporti o n o f net investi sharply. By contrast, living standards i n the United
ble surplus to the capita l and wage costs expen ded in the States have fallen a conservatively estim ated 25 percent
same prod ucti on period . It meas ures the maxim u m po between 1 970 and 1 980.
ten tial growth rate avai lable to the economy. A t present, This is one way in w h ich the Federal Rep u b lic has
the West Germ an free energy rati o is risi n g even m o re mai ntained and expanded its secular p roductivity and its
sharply than the physical net i n vesti ble s urpl us, and by prod uctive p otenti a l . The other way i s shown i n the
the beg i n n i ng of 1 979 was wel l above the present 6 fo urth graph, 1 962-79 investment net of depreciation.
percent rate of i ncrease in manufacturing o utput. Recoveri ng fro m the o i l b u rden , this param eter rises at a
Optimistic projections
Based on the 1 975- 1 979 t rend l ine, t hese grap h s show
a slower rate of increase i n net i n vesti ble surplus and the
free energy ratio-partly because there is a larger volume
o f fixed capital bei ng depreciated at the same rate as the
con servative proj ecti ons' smaller vol ume. By 1 98 3 , h ow
ever , both reach higher absolute levels than the conser
vative proj ections. The optimistic trend-line also sh ows
the "j ags ," or relative discontin uities, that ten d to occur
at higher intervals of g rowth and consolidation, fol lowed
by further growth . N o te that the substantial i ncrease i n
S' net s urplus, compared with the conservative proj ec
tion, is accom pl ished with only a slight i n crease in out
lays fo r vari able capital wages, altho ugh i t cannot be
assumed that this sit uation w o ul d l inearly conti n ue .
16 Econom ics
projection, 1980-83
billion deutschemarks
Calculating new agricultural parity
Democratic candidate LaRouche's statement on thefarm problem.
For about 96 percent o f the A m erican people, the reality price crisis in the U nited States in di rect co l l usion with
o f agricu lture is buried under g reat heaps o f ' wel l-known the London petroleum-ma rketi ng companies.
truths' which are chiefly myths o r even outright lies This swindle, w h ich Ca rter aided as part of his 'energy
agai nst our farmers . po licy,' hit agriculture severely. Agriculture is extremely
For some years , the A m erican food producer h a s en ergy-i n tensive i n term s o f such items as fertilizers and
been sel l i ng his product at prices which , fro m y e a r to fuels, and a l so d i rectly and i n d i rect ly extremely energy
year, have averaged out at consi derably less than the price sensitive.
calcu l ated parity values. When farmer product i s sold at Then, C a rter and Federal Reserve C h airman Paul A .
a price which i s m o re than sl ightly below s uch parity V olcker conspired t o b ring o n a credit-crunch a n d the
values, the difference between the p ri ce received and cost fi rst stage o f an actual depression with the mislabeled
of production m ust come out of the capital o f agriculture. 'anti- i n flati o n ' package o f last October. Then , as usua l ,
This takes the fo rm of depletion o f improvements in Carter lied . H e prom ised t h a t t h e grain em bargo agai n st
land , decay of agricu ltural equi pment, a n d so forth . the So viet U nion wo u l d not res ult in bringing the sudden
The reason many farmers have avoided bankruptcy grain s urpl us i n to the domestic and world m arkets, to
as long as they have is that until recently agricult ure depress grain prices recei ved by fa rmers. Typical o f
enjoyed the avai labi lity of signi ficant volumes of credit, Carter, he bro ke that prom ise a l most as s o o n a s he had
some at com paratively favorable i n terest rates. W h at the given i t .
fa rmer did u nder these circumstances was to b o rrow A l tho ugh V o lcker h a s fo rmally reversed t h e new
cap ita l to replace the in vested capital he had lost by way round o f i n terest-rate h i kes i ntroduced by Carter M arch
of less-than-parity prices . The p ile-up of agricultural 1 4, the e ffect o f that short-term leap in interest-rates was
debt that resulted was covered o n the acco unting ledgers to wreck the U . S . and world credit system s to the point
of the len ders by a spiral of agricultural land prices. that o nce i nterest rates began to be l owered , permanen t
The ficti on i n these land prices is exposed by the fact dam age h ad been d o n e t o the credit str uct u re.
that no fa rmer cou l d buy farmland at such prices for the N ow, the farmer is forced to t u rn everyt h i ng salable
purpose of agricultural producti o n . In other words, this i n to cash fo r l i q u idity, u n der pressu re from b a n k s . Farm
i n flation i n land p ri ces meant that the fi nancial ren t on ers trapped in 'prime-plus' fi n a ncial contracts a re s u ffer
that land fa r exceeded the i n come of prod uction using ing a m assive loss. Forced d u m p i ng of fa rm prod ucts at
that land. near-d isaster p rices drives prices recei ved by fa rmers
So, al l the yea rs farmers were p i l i n g up debts to cover ever-lower. Po r k , beef, a n d so forth are n ow bei ng sold
the depleti o n of thei r capital by less-than-pari ty prices, a at prices gen era lly way below the cost o f prod uctio n .
disaster was being b u i l t into Ameri can agricult ure T o g i ve t h e n o n farmer citizen some i dea o f what this
whenever the supply o f credit d ried out, or w henever m eans fo r his o r her din ner table in 1 98 1 , we refer to the
some d rastic cut i n farmers' income triggered the spiral 1 97 3 - 1 974 sha ke-o ut i n agricu lture, a m uch m i l der shock
i n debt-equ ity ratios. than is occurring right now. Duri ng that period, herds
Then came President Jimmy Carter . were red uced by slaug hter, and the cut i n herd size has
President Carter' s ad m i n i strati o'n partici pated i n rig never been reversed si n ce. I t is a lie that h igh beef prices
gi ng the overth row o f the S h ah o f I ra n . Alth ough the net are holding down beef con sumption by the p u bl i c. The
result of the cut in I ranian o i l production has turned out p ub l i c has been b uying every pound o f beef the cattle
to be a glut in world ma rket oil s uppl ies , the London rai ser and cattle-feeder have been able to deliver to the
petro leu m-marketi ng cartel used the pretext o f the K ho m a rket without cutting repl acem ent herd-stocks to the
mei ni coup d'etet to do uble their petroleum prices, a n d point o f sign ificantly red uci ng the fo l lowi ng years of
t h e Ca rter admi n i strati on rigged a n a rt i ficial petro leum- s u pply o f beef.
1 .80 - .A
-
�� -
1 .75 .... '"'- --
A Quantatitive Comparative
4/23 4/30 5/7 5/14 5/21 5/28 6/4 6/ 1 1
Analysis of US/USSR
The dollar in yen Warfighting Capabilities
New York late afternoon fixing
Dr. Stephen J. Bardwell
250 Author of Sputnikof the 80 's,
the authoritative outline of Soviet
240 � .A
advances in beam weaponry.
"-�
�
230 Director of Plasma Physics,
,... """'" Fusion Energy Foundation
220 � A. .....
210 '",,,,
4/23 4/30 5/7 5/14 5/2 1 5/28 6/4 6/ 1 1
Why Salt Is Inherently
Unworkable
The dollar in Swiss francs Costas Kalimtgis
New York late afternoon fixing Consultant on Strategic Affairs,
Executive Intelligence Review
1 .80
1 .75
The British pound in dollars drew attention to the devastating facts con
New York late afternoon fixing cerning the collapse of U . S . force capabilities
J� '\
and the even more important advances in
2.30 ," "'I'�
.... Soviet force developments .
I\.
.... .I "-"
-.r
�
2.25
Solar Polar Mission m uch as 1 0 days i n advance, imp ortant for short-wave
radio communications, n avigation and geological explo
ration system s using m agnetometers .
by Marsha Freeman • The convection layer: The sun' s magnetic fields
to probe the sun from opposite poles sim ultaneously, the solar system never reaches earth . I n terstellar gases
providing our first three-dimensional view of the helio are blocked by the solar wind, whose m agnetic field
sphere (the solar "atmosphere" ) . Because the polar re keeps out low-energy charged particles and robs cosmic
gions of the star are less active than other regi ons, rays o f their energy as well . Operati ng above the ecliptic
scientists believe, measurements and observations of ac plane, the Solar Polar mission craft will detect cosmic
tivity underneath the s urface or corona could reveal rays in their pristine state, and throw open a new window
much about the nature of the therm onuclear fusion on galactic space and these m a ny interstellar phenomena.
process . The s un , i n effect, i s the nearest working fusion There i s another issue-apart from the specific bene
reactor to the earth . fits to be realized from the Solar Polar Mission itself. Its
The two solar sp acecraft, one built by NASA and the temporary cancellatio n by certain fools in the U . S . Con
other by ESA, would include both stationary instruments gress is one m o re step i n dismantling NASA, and ending
targeted in fixed directions, and spinning platform all space explorati o n . Yet, space exploration itself must
mounted instruments . The mission would be the first to be returned to at least 1 960s levels if U . S . economic and
send craft outside the solar system's plane o f the eclip scientific strength i s to be revived-in the way NASA
tic-n o previous spacecraft has had sufficient boost and the space program effected mighty improvements in
thereby obtaining a view of interstellar space free of the U . S . education, effected important spinoffs for in dustrial
interferences of the solar system . applications, and captured the popular imagination
NASA ' s Space Shuttle would launch the two space around the Idea of Progress. So, the issue of this partic
craft on a trip to Jupiter. M aking X-ray measurements ular space mission is a broader issue-industrialization
as they fly by the giant planet, the craft would be boosted versus deindustrializati on . The Europeans stand for the
by Jupiter's immense gravity into a path above the first, but currently, both the White House and Congress
ecliptic plane. stand for the other .
($)4 bn Australia from Neth LNG and other petroleum products $ 1 . 3 bn loan for Contract to
erlands, U . K . , and will be extracted from the N orth West Woodside j ust supply 6 mn
others shelf off Western Australia by a group approved by tons LNG per
of companies acting together, with consortium of annum to
Woodside Petroleum (controlled by banks Japanese
Shell Oil and Australia's Broken Hill utilities is
Proprietary) holding 50 percent inter pending
est; Shell and B H P (jointly) 43 percent;
and BP and California Asiatic Oil,
1 6.67 percent.
($) 1 . 53 bn East Germany / Sixty-nine percent of this trade will be Protocol
Bulgaria in metal products. Bulgaria will in signed in E.
crease deliveries of m achinery and Germany
electric forklift trucks to East Ger
many, while East Germany will export
entire steel rolling mills, mining equip
ment, tractors, and computers to Bul
garia.
($)735 mn China from West A 1 7-member multinational consor
Germany and several tium dominated by West German
others companies and led by Schoemann Sie
m ag will build a large cold steel rolling
mill as part of the Paoshan iron and
steel works outside Shanghai. Siemens
and AEG will supply the electronics;
MAN part of the plant and H ochtief
much of the actual construction
($)600 mn Switzerland from S w i s s a i r h a s o r dered fo u r B o e i n g
U.S. 747's, two McDonnell Douglas DC-
1 0-30's, two DC- I O-30 refitting kits
($)400 mn Canada from France Michelin will build a third tire produc Company
tion plant in Nova Scotia announcement
U . S ./Oman Agreement for cooperation in
economic development, trade,
and security
Labor stations are completed on ti me," Kiri The report coincided with the ann ual
lenko stated, stressing the fut u re re meeting of the BIS, attended by central
Real U. S. unem p loyment q uirements of "expansion o f n uclear bankers from more than 70 nations . The
plant construction with fast-breeder re meeting celebrated the 50th anniversary
in double digits actors, development of work on ther of the instituti o n , which origin ated
monuclear fusion power, use of solar Friedman-style monetarism . Discussion
Executive Intelligence Review analysts and geothermal energy, and work on centered on recycling of petrodollars,
reported June 12 that this past April, the phenomenon of s upercond uctivity. specifically the still vague French pro
when the official unemployment rate The U . S . S . R . State Committee on Sci posal to expand the European Monetary
reached 7.0 percent, real unemployment ence and Technology, the Gosplan, the System and its capacity to absorb the
was minimally 1 2.4 percent. And a com ministeries and departments, will un O P EC s u rp l U S . S u ch i n fl o w s c o u l d
bined measure of real unemployment doubtedly move ahead on these pressing dampen inflation while allowing lending
and misemployment-a growing num ber scientific-technological problems with expansion, if they were channeled into
of workers have been shunted into non high responsibility, and ensure the com productivity-boosting ind ustrial in vest
productive, dead-end jobs over the last plex sol ution of all questions concerning ment in Western Europe and the devel
several years-was nearly 25 percent. the implementation scientific discoveries oping secto r . On this topic the B I S
The real unem p l oyment rate among and the creation and use of new tech report states that there i s no immediate
black male youths ages 16 to 21 was nologies ." problem with current forms of financing
nearly 40 percent, by our measure. According to West German corpo non-oil LDC deficits . In the medium
The number of individuals "not in rate executives, during his recent talks term , i t s uggest s , the I n t e r n a t i o n a l
the labor force" has been steadily in in Bonn, which produced the new West Monetary F u n d should take o n a larger
creasing in line with the disappearance German-Soviet ind ustrial cooperation recycling role.
of productive j ob opportunities in the accord, Soviet leader N. Tikhonov in
U . S . economy. A full report is coming dicated that a decision in favor of the
in EIR. huge new n atural gas pipeline deal be
tween the two countries could be taken Agriculture
in the middle of this year. Chancellor
Helmut Schmidt visits M o scow at the Carter threatens milk
Energy end of June.
support cuts
Soviets gear u p
U . S . Secretary of Agriculture Bob Berg
nuclear develo p ment Banking land threatened June 4 to postpone the
sched u l ed October i n crease in dairy
The Soviet Central Committee met June DIS re p ort calls for price supports, claiming that he thinks
3 to gear up the country's energy devel the dairy industry will go along because
opment program, especially nuclear en
bullet-biting the alternative is " for Congress to set a
ergy, in the next Five Year Plan . M oti limit on d airy support spending, like
vating this program, Politburo mem ber The ann ual report of the Bank for I n they have on food stamps. "
A . P . Kirilenko said in the main speech tern ational Settlements applauds the According t o the New York Times,
of the meeting that "The i m p erialist fact that most countries have pursued the National Milk Producers Federation
ci rcles , and especially the U . S . , have the tight monetary and fiscal policies h as a l r eady s u b m i tted p r o p o s a l s to
seriously complicated the international long advocated by the BIS, which is the make the price support level more flex
situation . . . . The situation in the world consultative group o f Western central ible. Currently the law requies Washing
dictates the necessity for successful im bankers based in Basel, Switzerlan d . ton to support twice a year if the parity
plementation of the development plans " Fighting inflati o n " rem a i n s t h e top index rises, as has been the case for the
for Soviet electrical energy, which plays priority, states the report, even though past three years.
a key role in the further growth of the credit restriction can "push the Western Bergland's supporters argue that the
nation's economic and defense potential. world into an outright recession." The increase in U . S . milk production from
The calculations of the Carter admini BIS staff, headed by Alexandre Lamfal 1 2 1 .6 million pounds in 1 978 to , 1 23 .6
strati o n that its so-called 'economic ussy, singles out the American economy million in 1 979 reflects unfair incentives
m e a s u r e s ' of s t r u g g l e a g a i n s t t h e a s most in need of " p a i n ful adj ust allowed dairymen and compels the gov
U . S . S . R . would restrict the development ments " ; for the Western ind ustrial world ernment to buy up excess m i l k and
of our economy and its energy will fail . as a whole, it adds, "an extended period cheese surplus. Farmers say, however,
" Particular attention must be given of painfully slow growth is necessary," that their costs have o utrun their real
to make sure that the atomic po wer because " freedom of choice" is lacking. incomes, j eopardizing the future of the
dairy secto r. The output increase, they of this situation, with sales of only about
report, reflects the unprofitability of the 600 , 000 b ar r e l s a d a y . O i l i n d u s tr y
• A M E R I C A N B A N K I N G As
non-dairy farming they usually devote sources report that I r an is now secretly
sociation members were heard at
resources to, s uch as production of beef lowering its prices from the $35 a barrel
the recent international monetary
and feedstuffs. range j ust to keep its customers.
conference in New Orleans vocif
M oi n far a l m o s t engaged Iraqi o il
ero usly protesting government
minister K arim in a fi s t fight during the
Oil loan guarantees for the Chrysler
meeting , accusing Iraq of taking Iranian
Corporation. Asked to comment
markets by increasing oil output.
on their support for a "safety net"
Are OPEC p rices to bail out bad international loans
leveling off? held by U . S . b a n k s , they said,
World finance "That's different ."
The OPEC oil cartel's price-setting
meeting in Algiers this week saw the De Montbrial : need • ITALY'S statistical agency re
most conservative move on the pricing
'exceptional actions' ports that April 1 980 manufactur
front by the 1 3 oil producers since the
ing output j umped 1 4 .9 percent
Iranian Revolution last year. The m ax
above the year-earlier level . In the
imum upward motion of OPEC prices A June 12 essay in the French daily Le
fi rst fou r m o nths of this year,
is expected to be no more than $2 a Monde shows the degree to which West
in dustrial production rose 1 0 . 8
b arrel between n o w a n d Septem ber ern E u rope has b een shaken by the
percent, seasonally adj usted. Ac
when the Cartel meets again . fail ure of U . S . economic leadership . The
cording to the national manufac
Despite the widely publicized mili author, Thierry de M o ntbrial, is a direc
turers' association Confindustria,
tant rhetoric of the so-called pricing ' tor of the I nstitut Fran�ais des Relations
rising productivity, domestic con
militants led by Iran, Saudi Arabia and I ntern ationales, a member of the Club
sumer demand, and capacity ex
its moderate ally, the United Arab Emir of Rome, and a member of the Trilateral
pansion have contributed to the
ates, refused to raise their prices or m eet Commission.
increase.
Iran's demand to lower production . Ira De M onfbrial writes that "transat
nian Oil M inister Ali Moinfar, in a bid lantic disaffection," the "unprecedettt
for publicity, spent most of his time in edly critical economic situation," and • JOHN MOORE president of
the corridors convincing correspondents especially "the indebtedness of the Third the U . S . Exp ort- Import B a n k ,
that the cartel h ad agreed to decrease World" and the insolvency of part of said last week that t h e large New
crude output by 2 million barrels a day . the Fourth World" now "threaten the York commercial banks have cut
Moinfar was summarily overruled by international system in a qualitatively off all new credit to South Korea
. other more responsible oil ministers who and quantitatively new mode . . . . The for the next three months, pend
confirmed that no such agreement on a i dea o f a world con flict is n o t being ing resumption of the "liberali
production cut existed. ruled out any more. Exceptional situa zation" of the country demanded
According to A P-Dow-Jones, Saudi tions require exceptional reactions . " b y the C arter a d m i n i s trati o n .
Arabian oil minister Zaki Yamani left M o ntbrial adds that "I dream of a Otherwise they expect "unrest"
the meeting after the first day for tem U . S . President" who would announce and wil l probably extend the cred
porary consultations with Saudi Crown the reconvertibility of dollar official re it embargo.
Prince Fahd in Spai n . The n ext day, serves into gold and "a war plan" for
Saudi Arabia flatly refused to raise their energy independence, adding that Eu
price one penny above the $28 a barrel rope must "assert in practice the exist:. • J IMMY CARTER told a June
level . This was seconded by the U nited ence of a European p il l ar , coherent, 10 conference of big-city m ayors
Arab Emirates . Yamani' s only comment independent, but allied with America. that "I hope and I pray that the
on Moinfar's insistence that an agree . . . A more coherent role for the Nine recession will be s h ort and the
ment to lower production a n d raise [European Comm unity members) is not worst of the unemployment is be
prices had been reached was: "Saudi incompatible with the idea of a direc hind us." His Treasury Secretary,
Arabia has agreed to nothing . " torate introduced by General de Gaulle G. William M iller, stated June 6,
At present there i s an estim ated 6 . 7 in his 1 95 8 memorandum to Eisenhow however, that until we "know the
b i l l i o n b arrel w o r l d reserve o f oil in er . . . . " De Gaulle proposed a "Tri path o f the economy, we do not
stock with a daily surplus of over I directorate" of the Atlantic Alliance, in i n t e n d t o fl i n c h a n d c h a n g e
million barrels. OPEC can only enforce which France, the U . S . , and Great Brit course. "
further price hikes by lowering its pro ain would each have veto power over
duction. Iran has begun to feel the brunt any use of n uclear weapons.
Since coming to office last Decem ber, the G andhi sensing that the i mmediate n ational security of India is
government has devoted extensive tim e and effort to being threatened by the actions of China i n the region .
formulating political solutions to both the crisis in neigh Well informed security and political analysts speak of a
boring Afghanistan, to the west, and the still-tense situ growing "encirclement" of India by China, b acked by its
ation in Southeast Asi a . The economic policies of the Carter allies .
In dian govern ment which emphasize the importance of To the west, there is the crisis in Afghanistan, w here
high-technology and i n dustrial development, have been the Chi nese have a heavy hand. Together with Pakistan,
very i mportant for war-avoidance as well. Perhaps m ore China has b een funnelli ng arms and m o n ey to spur a
than anything else, the underlying cause of war danger "rebel" m ovement in A fghanistan again st the Soviet
in the world today is the effort of the World Bank and allied government in Kabu l . The crisis in Afghanistan i s
the Club of Rome, with the backing of the Carter ad a direct extension o f t h e U . S . a n d Chinese- b acked "rev
min istration and the government i n Peking, to impose o lution" in Iran that put Khomeini in p ower. Now, I ran
on the developing countries econo m ic policies similar to in being put through the horror of an eco nomic policy
those China used in Kampuchea to m urder upwards of l ittle different than that i m p lemented i n Kampuchea
three million people. A Gandhi government pursuing several years ago . The crisis in the area i s being used by
nuclear energy development and related policies poses a both Washington and Peki ng to strengthen m i l i tary and
severe threat to this Dark Age strategy . M uch of the political ties to the government i n Paki stan .
Third World will fol l ow I ndia on the route Gandhi To the north, the Chinese are using the crisis in the
chooses . area to build up troops o n its border with I n di a , while
I n both its diplomati c and economic efforts, the the U n ited States is beefing up naval deploym ents in the
Gandhi govern ment has been faced with tremendous I n dian Ocean , to the south of I n di a .
obstacles and threats fro m the com m unist Chinese, who However, it is t h e eastern fl a n k of I n d i a which is the
are now ful ly allied with the Carter admi nistration . most i m mediate concern to po litical circles in India.
There, in the northeast section o f the country, China is
Chinese threat ful ly backing a pol itical rebellion and secessi onist m o ve
Througho ut India, here is not simply a "general" ment against the central government.
feeling of international war danger, but a very intense The northeast area consists of one full-fledged state,
EI R J u n e 2 4 , 1 9 �0 S p eci a l R e p o r t 31
and a re i n a di fficu l t situati o n , even w hen you start m ent and others started saying, ' O h , she is doing some
development. It is a l onger process than it would be on thing beh i n d o u r bac k . She p ro m i sed she wouldn't move
the plai n s . So, on that part o f it, we took action i m medi from 1 97 1 . ' So, it's extremely compl icated from that
ately. We set up a committee of m i n i sters. This does not angle, b ut it's not an i nsoluble pro blem .
m ean putting o ff something, as some people think when
you name a com m i ttee you put the problem off. Our Q : What about the question o f fo reign i nvolvement?
experience was that J a m m y and K as h m i r had raised the A: Wel l , I was j ust coming to that. As I said, it is the
same pro blem-t h i ngs not being passed quickly by the general public who's i o volved, it is this k i nd of econ o m ic
center [central govern ment-ed . l . issue. A n d o f cou rse, they h ave done a lot of propaganda,
D u ring my previous regime, w e had set up a smal l that these people stayi ng there means that Assamese
committee and any economic iss ues that came up, a l l of c u lture is going to get d rowned , w h i ch is not true. In fact,
the people met i m med iatel y and too k a decision on the the people who are coming are being absorbed. They a re
spot, and they were very happy with this. W h en I came spea k i ng A ssamese, they are n ot spea king their l an
back, the fi rst t h i ng they said to me is, ' Lo o k , this was g uages. In fact, in o ur census, we see that the n u m ber of
not done in Jan ata t ime, so can you revive this?' So, we Assamese spea k i ng people sho u l d h ave gone down , but
thought we would do a s i m i l a r thing in Assa m . I nstead it h asn't. I t has i ncreased . So that far fro m drown i ng it, i t
. of decision making from fi le to fi le, office to office, has hel ped i t blossom . Every other country d oes want
everybody meets , and either they say yes or n o , b ut it's new talen t .
defi n ite. Of co urse, there a re proposals for speci fic proj N o w w h i le the b u l k of the students a r e also si ncere,
ects which w e a r e also loo k i ng a t . perhaps they h ave been affected by what is h appen i ng i n
Now, w i t h regard to the so-ca lled fo reigners , we want other countries, a n d they feel t h a t they s h o u l d take the
to m ake a clear disti nction that those who h ave come lead. From t i me to time they make a statement l i ke,
after 1 97 1 , there is no doubt that they m u st all go. There 'poli tical parties a re i rrelevant.' And even in the last two
is n o con troversy about this with any pol itical party o r days, they were angry that I met with the poli tical parties
with t h e Bangl adesh govern ment. The controversy starts to co nsult with them o n the Assam situati o n . So that
abo ut the others. The proposal made to the agitators was a t t i t u d e is t h e r e . H o w e ve r , t h e re a r e s o m e o t h er
that, let us start this work. A t the m oment, n o th i ng is peop le . . . who are guiding those people, and who are
bei ng done, the tri b u nals are inactive, the local staff is motivating them , we d o n ' t know . But every time the
not work i ng . So, we wanted to start. While this process is students themselves have agreed to something they have
going on, we sh a l l meet sim ultaneo usly, to try to under gone back and o n e h o u r later have sai d , 'we are sorry .'
stand: a) the size of the problem; b) the h uman aspect . I n They have made a suggestion to which we have agreed
theory, y o u can say that i f so mebody is born i n I n d i a , h e and then they have go ne back on it. So this is w h at gives
is an I ndian citizen . B u t suppose y o u h ave o l d parents the feeling that there is somebody beh i n d them .
who were n ot born i n I n dia. What are you goi ng to do, Also, they seem to h ave large fu nds. I n the begi nni ng,
where a re you going to push them out? We can ' t deal so me local people were g i vi n g fu n ds, b ut they tel l us they
with them as statistics . We have to say that these are men, have not ta ken any money from them fo r m a n y m o n ths.
women and chi ldren and we don't want to k eep a burden There is certain other ci rcum stan tial evidence and also
on Assa m . But first, we m ust k n ow the n u m bers, and we previ ous experience . There is also a certain amount of
must know the type o f prob lem . Then we m ust sit togeth ri valry there between groups.
er and fi nd a h u man settlement, so that n o b ody is h ar Now, there a re some e lem ents who would l i ke to
assed . I said to them clearly, do you want me to shoot i n t roduce co m m u n al overtones. Some o f them say it is
these people? So o f course, they said no, no. Then I said, the pure Assa mese vs . the rest, a n d not specifica lly
where do they go? I'm not sayi ng they shouldn't go aga inst the Benga l i s (beca use) in British ti m es there was
anywhere, but i t' s someth i ng that h as to be worked out. no ed ucation in Assam , and o n l y a few Assamese could
I can't j ust say I'm going to push them into Bangl adesh go to Ca lcutta U n iversity . They were the ones who got
if Bangl adesh d oes not want them , o r to any other state. ed ucated . A l m ost a l l of the officials were Bengalis. So
So on these m atters they (the students) have been rea lly that feel i ng is a l so there. But now gradually, the As
very un reasonable. They say n o , you agree to this fi rst, samese are ta k i ng over from them . But m ost of our civil
then we wi l l see. service cadres a re rather m i xed . They m ay be so uth
What happen s when yo u agree to anything is that I n dian o fficials and we t h i n k that is a good thing fo r
both of the political pa rti es want to k eep 1 97 1 as the national i ntegration .
cutoff date. I have only taken 1 97 1 as a starti ng point,
not as a cutoff point. Then , somebody started tal k i n g Q : I n term s o f the co m m unal el emen t, I see in the press
about 1 967, a n d im medi ately , t h e West Bengal govern- here so me questi o n s about the role of the RSS in partic-
The M exican Repub lican system of i ndustri a l and na publ ican i sm approaches the legal issue o f private prop
tional development m u st be urgently counterposed to the erty i n terms defined by Plato, Plethon , Colbert, Alex
international obsceni ty presented as the " Brandt Com ander H a milton and Benito Juarez . " Private property"
m i ssion" m odel for Third World Development, n amed is national wealth which the nation h as entrusted to
after W i l l y Bran dt, the i n tern ationally notorio u s drun individuals for the p urpose of augmenting the interests
kard and philanderer. of the n ati o n . If such i n dividuals fai l to perform their
For those fam i l i ar with the epi c h istory of M exican assigned tas k , the n ation has the right to take back that
repub l icanism , i t is evident that the " M exican model " portion of national wealth i t once en trusted to i n d ividual
for Th ird World development i s separated fro m the hands. Th i s N eoplato n i c concept is the guiding fo rce
Brandt Comm ission model by an unbridgeable g u l f of beh i nd the great Ben ito J u a rez' s epic struggle, the Ref
d i fferences of fu ndamental pri ncip les . o rm a , i n cl uding the h i storic Ley Lerdo and Ley J u a rez .
The Brandt Commission advocates the bridling an d
ultimately the subversion of national sovereignty. M exi "Appropriate technologies"
can rep u b licanism is the product of the efforts o f its Finally, the Brandt C o m m i ssi o n is attem pting to
exceptional fo u n di n g fat hers who were p h i losophica l faci l itate the I nternati o n al M o netary Fund and World
men with a profound un derstan di ng of t h e fun damental Ban k ' s gen oci dal plans against the T h ird World by
m oral primacy of national sovereign ty . promoting the doctrine o f "appropri ate technologies, " a
The Brandt Com m i ssion advocates reli ance o n su rationalizati o n for denyi ng m uch-needed m odern i ndus
pranational eco nom ic regulato ry bodies com p lementing trial techno logies to the Third World. M ex ican republi
the M on t Pelerin Society' s concept of a world free m a r canism, o n the other h a n d , was fro m its begi n n i ngs
ket . M exican rep ublican doctrine a n d practice a re fi rmly comm i t ted to the p romotion and app l i cation of the most
based on the b ri l liant traditions of the N eoplatonic ding adva nceu technologies avai l a ble i n the worl d . M ore im
ism of Colbert, Alexander H a m i l to n , Friedrich List, portant, M exican republ icanism was the p rod uct o f a
List' s great Mexican contempo rary Estevez de Antun gro up of heroic N eoplatonic leaders w h o were c o m m i t
ano, Lazaro de C ardenas, Alvaro Obreg6n and others . ted to the idea o f ed ucati ng and uplifting backward
The Brandt Com m i ssion adopts assumptions o f the pop u l ations o n a m ass scale for the pu rpose of m a k i ng
lega l matter o f "private property" from the world o ut accessi b le to such populations the g reat gifts o f science,
look of the i nternational o l igarchy and its M exican techn ology, and i n d ustry.
branch , the "encap uchados" (hooded ones, as former This is the true story o f modern M exican republ ican
M exican President Echeverria once ca\1ed them ) of the ism w h i ch co unts among its intellectua/ founding fathers
degenerate M o nterrey G roup. M exican Neop/atonic re- Erasm us of Rotterdam and his associ ates J u a n Luis
The life of Juarez is one of the most powerful United States. Maximilian was caught and shot in
i nspirations for Mexicans and a living disproof of the 1 8 67 .
Jesuit notion that "progress means ethnocide. " Born
of a poor I ndian fam ily i n the wayward town o f
Oaxaca , i n t h e mountains of So utheast M exico , Juarez H idalgo's independence fight
was ed ucated by a Spanish family for whom he worked On September 1 6, 1 8 1 0, M iguel Hidalgo y Costil
as an errand boy; his remarkably rapid development la, a priest educated in the best tradition o f the Platon
prompted his employers to send him to school where ic Erasmian networ k s that arrived i n N ueva Espana i n
he even tually earned a law degree and went o n to the 1 6t h century , called o n the people o f a small town
become an eminent j urist, then President. in the south of M exico to prom ulgate his fam ou s
The civil war k nown as the W ar o f Reform ( 1 858) G ri to de Dolores, t h e Mexica n equivalent o f t h e U . S .
was incited by agents of the Jesuit Order and fought Declaratio n o f I ndependence . The Grito de Dolores
over the implementation of three laws which together marked the b irth of Mexico's struggle to become a
form the pillars o f Mexico's national sovereignty; the sovereign state, and until this d ay every President of
Ley Juarez, the Ley Lerdo and the Ley I glesias, direct M exico celebrates Hi dalgo's Grito de Dolores to com
ed largely at the then all-powerful Catholic Church. memorate September 1 6.
I n one fell swoop, these l aws respectively stripped the When Hidalgo was a ssassi nated by the Jesuit-run
church and its officials of ( I ) legal i m munity; (2) all I nquisition, Jose Maria M orelos y Pavon contin ued
land and the right to own land; and (3) the exaction of his struggle. I n 1 8 1 3, M o relos called the First Nation
alms from the poor. al Congress . Two years later he was also killed by the
I n 1 862 , at the height o f the War of Reform , Great Jesuits .
Britai n launched the Tripartite Alliance invasion of O n October 4 , 1 824, the fol lowers o f H idalgo and
Mexico on the pretext that Juarez, then president o f Morelos issued the first Federalist Constitution o f the
Mexico operating from Vera Cruz, had declared a U ni ted States o f Mexico . This constitution was i n fl u
moratorium on all foreign debt. With nominal help enced by the American Constitution and the nation
from Spai n , France's Napoleo n I I I installed Austrian building concepts of George W ashingto n . This period
H apsburg M aximilian on the "throne" o f M exico of Mexican h istory was m arked by the strong i nflu
with a two-pronged objective: destroy Juarez and ence o f the Europeans, particularly the Germa n and
preven t a victory by the North in the ongoing Civil French humanists. The n etworks o f Beethoven and
War i n the U nited States. Schiller extended to M exico where gi fted m usicians,
Juarez fi nally clenched victory over M axi mi lian scientists, and poets, including the great Pavo n, deep
with the aid of A braham Lincoln following Lincoln's ened the traditio n of M exican republicanism during
successful defeat o f the Confederate forces i n the this period .
Businessmen and diplomats should be warned that when the Third World populations. Casteneda's n ame appears
they deal with M exico through M exican Foreign M inis i n almost every si ngle membership list of entities related
ter Jorge Castaneda, they are i n fact not dealing with a to the U . N . I nternational Law Association networks
trusted representati ve of official M exican policy . Shock since the early 1 950s .
ing discrepancies i n o utlook appeared as recently as • His active role i n the intern ational law circles plugs
Castaneda's June 6 keynote address to the A n n u a l Con him directly i nto the i n ternati onal assassination bureau
ference of the Council on Foreign Relations i n New known as Permindex .
York, when it was expected he would be on his best Jorge Castaneda, the M exican Foreign M i nister
behavior. who postures as a defen der of M exican national inter
The following E IR special report detail s the origins ests, is in fact an important member of an international
and development of Mr. Castaneda' s controversial ca circle of feudalistic " b l ueblood" fam ilies dedicated to
reer and perform ance as foreign minister. It is still fresh the destruction of the Mexican republic. The story of
in many M exican minds that Castaneda ' s im mediate Mr. Castaneda' s career in the field of i nternational
predecessor, Santiago Roel, was forced to resign in relations places him i n contact with the so-called Black
May 1 979 for not representing Mexico's national i n ter Nobility fam il ies of Europe, the fam ilies that directly
ests abroad and substituting personal causes and proj oversee terrorism , assassinations, n arcotics traffic, and
ects for President Lopez Portillo's directives . environmentalism .
Rum ors in M exico City have it that Castaneda may Castaneda is a " one-worldist ," developing a 25-year
soon face the same fate as Roe! . Controversy swirled i nto career totally i mmersed i n the U nited Nations' special
the open upon Castaneda ' s return from acco mpanying brand of "intern ational law . " H e was groomed for his
President Lopez Portillo to Europe l ast month . Charges position by former foreign minister Luis Padilla Nervo .
that Castaneda's actions in fact constituted treaso n , cir Padi lla Nervo was a fo unding i deologue o f the United
culated by the M exican Labor Party, found echo in Nations apparatus, and worked closely with Julian H ux
Mexican official ci rcles and the press. O va ciones, a large ley to set up U N ESCO . Through Padilla Nervo and his
circulation M exico City newspaper, reported J u n e 3 that col leagues , Castaneda was rewarded with his first foreign
"a very critical situation is closi ng in o n Foreign M in ister service post, a m bassador to Egypt.
Jorge Castaneda forged by a political faction i n M exico . " From there, Castaneda moved straight up a U . N .
The article concluded warnjng Castaneda that i f the centered career . I n 1 956, he became vice president o f the
campaign gained force, he might "be forced to resig n . " J uridic Comm ission of the U . N . General Assembly,
T h e charges concentrate on three areas: assu m i ng the presidency i n 1 95 8 . H e took a sub-ministry
position i n 1 967, serving i n the same period on the
• Castaneda has assumed the role of international Commission o f I nternational Law at the United Nations.
spokesman and organizer fo r the Brandt Comm ission I n 1 97 3 , he was n a med M exico's chief delegate to the
and against M exican develop ment po licy . d rafting o f the U . N . Charter of Econo m ic Rights and
• Castaneda is an i ntim ate collaborator of the Club Duties o f Nations, an initiative o f then M exican Presi
of Rome and Ervin Lazl o's U N ITA R proj ects for a dent Echeverria . Following a sh ort stint as U ndersecre
"one-world order" aimed at destroying the concept o f tary of Special St udies on I n ternational Issues, he direct
nation-State sovereignty a n d a genocidal reduction of ed the M exican delegation to the Law of the Sea Confer-
but not for Mexico Castaneda made n o t the slightest allusion to this intense
war-avoidance strategy .
On June 6, Mexican Foreign M inister Jorge C astaneda Castaneda "With those countries that h ave reached a
presented the keynote address to the Annual Conference stage of devel opment similar to that of M exico , especially
of the Council on Foreign Rel ations in New York on the in the industrial field, we can coo perate closely in order
topic " M exico and the United States : The Coming Dec to develo p j oi n tly technologies m ore adequate to our
ade." situation . . . "
The Council on Foreign Relations is the command
center for advanced destabilization efforts against his Mexico : "Techno logies more adequate to our situati on"
nation, coordi nated by C F R Proj ect 1 980s "human is code language from the Brandt Comm ission report. It
rights" director Richard Falk and leading C F R policy means de-co upling from the m o st advanced tech nologies
makers Zbigniew Brzezinski and H enry Kissi nger . He avail able and establishing "South-South," "horizontal"
made no mention of such acti vities. lines o f interaction which feed confrontation between
Despite adherence to Lopez Portillo guidelines con North and South .
cerning a strict "oil for techno logy" framework of oil O fficial M exican policy is clear: the highest technol
exports, Castaneda deviated from o fficial M exican policy ogies available, from nuclear to ports , capital goods,
in revealing ways i n his prepared text . His i n formal steel and m echanized agriculture .
remarks to the closed-door session h ave not been re
leased, in con formity with C F R procedures for "confi Castaneda : " . . . It goes w ith o ut saying that our diversi
dentiality. " fication policy in oil sales is not directed against the
Here are key passages and commentary: United States . . . The sale o f oil to Europe and Japan or
j o int arrangements to process it and sell refined products,
Castaneda : "We are determ ined to continue our efforts i n fact alleviates pressures on those countries, . . . and
aimed at establishing and consolidating a New I n tern a decreases their dependence o n M i ddle East and Iranian
tional Eco nomic Order . . . The present-day crisis is, in supplies . . . Politically, the depen dence o f Western Eu
fact, an expression of the in adequacy of a system based ropean countries and Japan o n Iranian and M i ddle
on the concentratio n of power and wealth; a system Eastern oil had an i n direct though important effect on
which presupposes and lends itself to situations of hege their attitude regardi ng the im position o f economic sanc
mony and subordination, opulence and misery . " tions on I ran, and conti n ues to affect their outlook on
the whole range o f M i ddle East problems . "
Mexico : Castaneda ' s version o f the New I nternational
Economic Order is the redistributionist, "North versus Mexico : This is the m ost extraordinary passage of the
So uth " one of the Brandt Commissio n . It has n othing to speech . He essentially asserts that Mexican policy is to
do with Mexico's long-standing conception o f a New help the Carter admi nistration line up the Europeans and
I nternational Economic Order as ajoint p roj ect of North Jap anese behind Carter con fron tationist dictates, and to
and South centered around development and transfer of stop i n dependent European i nitiatives to replace the.
advanced technology. Camp David fiasco .
Nothing could be further from actual M exican poli
Castaneda "If Mexico seeks to contribute to the estab cy, as asserted by Lopez Portillo i n Europe . Lopez Por
lishment of a new international order, it does so because, tillo gave unco nditional backing to French and West
aside from intrinsic merit, it sees in that o rder a symbol Germ a n war-avoidance initiati ves, including Giscard ' s
of its own place i n the world, its political in dependence trip to Poland, and lam basted t h e "hegem onies" -the
and a definition of its international personality . " U . S . and the Soviet Union-for b reakdown i n detente.
The escalating crisis in the occupied West Bank territory, head of the Democratic Movement for Change. In a June
coupled with the scandals and fanaticism em anating 6 interview with the Jerusalem Post, Yadin stated: "I
from the government of I sraeli Prime Minister M ena understand that people w ant this government to fall, and
chem Begin, has brought I srael to the worst danger point therefore they flOW focus m ost of their attention and
in its history . attacks, on us-on me-because they know that we can
A leading political analyst at Israel' s Hebrew U niver bring it down [by withdrawing from the ruling coalition ] .
sity , Dr. Ehud Sprinzak, warned last week that Israel was They think: the hell with Yadin; he could bring the
entering a period identical in most respects to the French government down . W hy doesn' t he do it? I understand
crisis over Algeria from 1 959 to 1 962. "Once you have that. . . . It would be easy enough for u s to do that. . . .
such a war in which the m ain population-in France or But, as I always say to my party, we have to think about
in Israel-does not have a consensus, this may destroy the morning after the night before . "
the conscience of a nation," Sprinzak stated. "This con With Begin free to encourage them , the most wild
flict brought the Fo urth Republic dow n . I t may b ring eyed extrem ist elements in I srael have gone on a mobili
down the Israeli republic." zati o n . Not only has anti-Arab violence increased on the
Such as possibility was un derscored by statements West Bank, but assassination threats are now being
made last week by Agriculture Minister Ariel Sharon, a regularly issued against Israeli Jews, i ncluding mem bers
supporter and suspected funder of the activities of the of Parliament, who advocate discussions with the Pales
Gush Emunim settlers on the West Bank . "The security tine Liberation Organization and the creation of a Pal
of I srael is more important than the Constitutio n," Shar estinian state next to I srael .
on declared , according to the English-language Jerusa Of course, m a ny people a re aware that Menachem
lem Post. Begin started his p olitical career as an Irg un terrorist.
High-level sources i n the Israeli Liberal Party, a Not so many peop l e are aware of the much broader,
component party of the ruling Li kud coalition, took "intern ational terrorist" apparatus that is un der the
Sharo n's words seriously enough to o bstruct for now di rect contro l of agencies outside Israel, and with which
Sharo n's wish to s ucceed Ezer Weizman as I srael ' s De Begin' s Irgun b ackground is intim ately mixed up . As
fense Minister, since " from that position, Sharon would developments on the West Bank establish, from the point
gain the capability to carry out a coup d' etat . " A faction of the resignation of defense mi nister Ezer Weizman,
of the Liberals threatened to resign from the government po litical developments within I srael h ave deprived the
if Begin appointed Sharon to this post. present government of any ch aracter but that of terrorists
With opinion p olls confirmi ng Begin ' s unpopularity, and assassins who are an adjunct of those foreign agencies.
the government is now held together only by the venality M enachem Begin ' s government, from all appearances, is
and opportunism of leading political figures who have an adj u nct of the same organization that used the Secret
the power to bring down the coalition overnight. Exem Army Organization (OAS) of France and Algeria as a
plary of this problem i s Yigal Yadin, deputy premier and conduit to run assassination operations against French
around the government, and second, why n one o f these ro unding Israel ' s Energy M i nister, Y i tzhak M o da' i . Be
scandals has yet been allowed to emerge fully into the fore becoming active in the ruling Likud coalition,
light of day . It also may explain , beyon d the usual Moda'i m a n aged the Israeli branch o f Revlon I n terna
"ideological" interpretations o f Begi n ' s policies , why the tional, a subsidiary of the giant ITT conglomerate often
government is acting i n such kami kaze fashio n . The investigated by drug enfo rcement authorities for laun
Begin government, like certain Coptic families in Egypt dering drug revenues. A senior vice-president o f Revlon
and the Falangist-connected Maronite families i n Leba International, Jay Ben nett, was with the U . S . Air Force
non , is acting as an i ntegral part of the network put in and with Schenley I n c . l i quor interests during the 1 947-
place by Europe' s "black nobility" to control its banking 5 5 peri od when these two entities were sponsoring Roy
and crime i nterests in the vital M iddle East regi on. Cohn and various intell igence o perations later i ncorpo
Prelimin ary investigations into the " Permi n dex an rated i nto Permin dex when the latter was created in 1 95 9 .
gle" invo lve the fo llowing suggestive leads:
The highly disputed n ational Italian administrative elec the a ll-time h ighs of the 1 97 5 and 1 976 elections. The
tions of June 8-9 ended without provi ding the results PCI thus rem ains the second l argest party with 3 1 . 7
hoped for by the ruling government coalition o f Chris percent of the total vote, o n ly 4 . 8 percent lower than the
tian Democrats and Socialists led by Prim e M i nister ruling Christia n Democrats. It is now being widely ac
Francesco Cossiga. Primarily these can be summed up i n knowledged among press and insi der political spokes
two points: neither d i d t h e Comm unists continue the men that Berlinguer ' s position and his policy of alliance
downward slide at the polls that had plag ued them since with the Andreotti layers will not be challenged .
1 976, nor did the Socialist coalition p artners show a The Socialists, Premier Cossiga' s coalition partners,
dramatic increase in popUlarity despite strenous back recovered .7 percent o f the vote relative to 1 97 5 and 2 . 7
room dealing. percent with respect to 1 979, leaving them with a 1 2 .7
Among Cossiga's backers who must have shared his percent total. But even these fig ures are deceptive.
disappointment is President Carter. Carter had person The Radical Party, Italy' s i n famous libertari ans and
ally i ntervened in the Christian Democratic conference founders o f the Italian gay rights and environmentalist
of last February to throw American m u scle behind Cos movements, deferred fro m running in these elections,
siga in a close race with the other contender for the instead making a deal with the Socialists . I n exchange
premiership, Giulio An dreotti. The h ope of Carter and for Soci alist support of their causes, the Radicals p ledged
other cothinkers s uch as the American A mbassador to their vote to the Socialist Party. In 1 979, the combined
Rome Richard Gardner-who i s i ntermarried with the tally of Socialist and Radical votes was 1 3 .4 percent-a
Venetian black nobility-centered o n a major defeat for ful l .7 percent higher than the Socialists received this past
the Comm unist Party. Such a defeat would h ave inevita weekend. Hence either the Radicals' constituency refused
bly set i nto motion inside the C P a process o f opposition to vote Socialist or, more likely, there was a dramatic
to the policies of its general secretary, Enrico Berlinguer, drop i n the Soci ali st vote which w as o n ly partially made
which would have soon en ded with Berlinguer' s rem oval up by the Radicals' throwing their weight behind them ;
from power . The Christian Democrats went down from 3 8 . 1 per
Enrico Berling uer is the prim ary tactical ally of Giu cent in 1 979 to 3 6 . 7 percent l ast weekend. This figure
lio Andreotti, Cossiga' s leading factional opponent however i s seldom cited in the press, including the inter
within the Christian Democracy . An end to Berlinguer national press which has generally supported Cossiga .
would soon finish the political aspirations of Andreotti . What is typically only mentioned is that in comparison
Carters's violent oppositi o n to the latter can be with 1 97 5 , when the Christian Democrats h ad slipped to
understood when one considers that An dreotti i s the a poor 3 5 .2 percent, they have now made a recovery of
acknowledged closest ally of West Germany and France 1 . 5 percent.
i nside Italy, sharing these countries' commitment to a But the real significance o f these elections m ust be
policy of East-West cooperation and a revamped mone sought behind the simple arithmetic of vote tallies. As
tary system backed by gold. the J u n e 8 i s s u e of the widely circulated m agazine
I n fact the Communist vote dropped by a mere . 3 ['Espresso n oted , the elections took place at a time when
percent relative to the 1 979 elections. T h e d r o p i n votes for the first time i n the h istory o f the Italian rep ublic both
came from the south, traditionally not a Comm unist the Prim e Minister and the n u m ber two man of the
stronghold. But in the center and north, the areas of Christian Dem o crats were facing serious crimi n al accu
historically core labor support for the CP, the Commu 'satons .
nist vote held steady . This was a definite reversal o f the Christian Democratic vice president Carlo Donat
trend which saw the CP lose votes con sistently ever since 'Cattin , who had p layed a key role i n Cossiga's victory
At his weekly press conference June 7, the powerful attempti ng t o convi nce t h e President h e will l ose t o
Senate M ajority Leader Robert Byrd (D-W . V a . ) cau Reagan in N ovem ber. K nowledgea ble sources s a y this i s
tioned reporters "not to jump to conclusions the day or the o n l y way t o force Carter o u t of t h e race .
week after the primaries are over" about who will ulti Both the New York Times and the Baltimore Sun. for
mately become the Dem ocratic presi dential candidate. instance, carried similar articles in their June 8 editions
"At this point, anything is conceivable," Byrd said, which concl uded , o n the basis of analyzing the primary
despite President Carter's technical lock on the nomina results , that C arter would lose to Ronald Reagan several
tion . states essential to a November victory, i ncluding Califor
Byrd's comments accurately reflect the pandemon nia, Penn syl vania, Texas, Ohio, Florida, and possibly
i um which has broken o ut in the p arty's ranks over the N ew York .
last two weeks, as it has become inescap ably clear that a M ore immediate, h owever, is the revolt against Car
Carter candidacy not only spells certain defeat in the ter policy which i s spreading throughout the Democratic
November presidential elections, but also implies a con Party.
ti nued commitment to policies that h ave brought the Congress has launched a virtual guerrilla war on
country to the brin k of econ omic and strategic disaster. Carter's econ omic policy, which it kicked off last week
Party regulars as well as the " fixers" -the Eastern by defiantly rejecting C arter' s prop osed oil import sur
Establishment elite that h as traditionally rigged both the ch arge . As the Washington Post put it: "A Democratic
Republican and Democratic nominations-are now Co ngress j ust didn't override the Dem ocratic president
working overtime to deny Carter the nomination, while fo r the fi rst time in 2 8 years; it registered a gesture of
casting desperately about for a viable substitute. contempt toward him. That's more than defeat; it's a
Since the prim aries ended " Su per Tuesd ay," June 3 , humiliation . "
Carter has been hit with steadily intensi fying attacks A core gro up of senators, l e d by Byrd, are now
from the media, Congress, and key constituencies within aiming at the heart o f C arter's anti-inflation program :
his own party. This, i n turn, i s feeding into growing his tight-m oney policy. In a statement issued June 1 0,
, popular support for an open Dem ocratic Party conven Byrd urged the administration to pressure the Federal
tion. Reserve Board into removing the credit restraints it had
With the Eastern elites now committed to C arter's imposed i n M a rch. The d ay before, H o use Banking
political demise, their pr.ess outlets h ave been going after Committee chairm an Henry Reuss (D-Wisc . ) , who had
Carter with a degree o f open contempt not seen since called fo r Carter to withdraw from the p residential race
Watergate. In addition to suddenly rep orting the actual two months ago , sim ilarly dem anded that the admini
extent o f p ublic oppositio n to C arter, the media i s also stration lift the credi t restraints. Reuss warned that unless
C ongressmen demand
n ot supposed to be in the a udience large-sca le reorganization o f F l o ri
while the Army secretary testified, d a b a n k i n g t o fa cili t a t e D o p e ,
because their testimony was a check I n c . ' s takeover o f Florid a . U n men prosecution of Ramsey Clark
on the m i litary b rass. Co ngressmen tioned i n Prox m i re' s hearings were A n g ry Senators have deman ded
at the hearings were outraged at the I I i nternational ly-based b a n k s t h a t t h e C a r t e r a d m i n i s t ra t i o n
their appearance . One Co ngress w h i c h d o n o t m erely do business prosecute fo rm er Attorney General
man deman ded of A lexan der why with narcotics traffickers, b ut w h o Ra msey Clark for violating Cart
they were present . Before he co u l d are n a rcotics traffickers and w h o er' s ban on travel to I ra n . Clark
reply Congressman Stratton ( D h ave moved into Florida i n the past wen t to I ran last week and partici
N Y ) a nswered for h i m , " Y o u or two years. pated i n a conference denouncing
dered them here to fi n d out what In 1 978, the Florida State Leg the U . S . As detai led by this publi
the party line is." Stratton, one of islature passed legi slation a l l owing cat ion , Clark was one o f the leading
the most powerfu l men on the com i n t e rn a t i o n a l l y - b a s e d b a n k s to fig ures who act ually p ut Ayato l l ah
m ittee, then got u p and wal ked o ut open b ranches i n the state. Si nce K homeini into power, meeting with
i n disgust. then , maj o r Dope, I nc . con nected him often w h i le he was i n ex ile in
Congressmen also attacked the banks such as B a n k Le umi, Stand Paris.
A 11- V o l u n teer Force, cal ling it a fi a rd and Chartered and the Bank of The govern ment should p rose
asco when less than 3 7 percent of N o va Scotia have opened up shop cute Clark fo r his trip si nce i t pros
the Army are h igh school gradu i n Florida. ecuted former Attorney General
ates . Out o f 340,000 first term en Prox m i re and h i s train of w it J o h n M itchell, decl a red Senator
l isted men , o n l y 276 are co l lege nesses left no d o u bt that their target Howard Baker ( R-Tenn . ) . " I f you
g ra d u ates . A fter revea l i n g t h ese in the heari n gs was the domestic are going to prosecute people for
shoc k i ng stati stics, the Congress Florida b an k . Several local ban kers th ings l i ke Watergate, where the
men dem anded that the Army sec- and a former Assistant U . S . A ttor- crime was fa r less clear, you should
that the race was still open . Glancing at The Texas delegation-backed by
a copy of Senate Procedures, Byrd told the Georgia contingent-proposed to
the New York Times June 1 1 , "This delay the scheduled June 2 1 platform
book tells me that a lot of things are deliberations until June 22, so that the
Carter administration possible. That's why I ' m not stampeded new Texas representatives, who will not
hea p s coals on Venice by arithmetic. The rules and precedents be elected until the June 20 state con
Recommendations came this week from are such that a rabbit can be pulled out vention, can attend . This proposal was
the U . S . Interagency Coal Export Task of the hat." voted down by the committee, which
Force, specifically mandated to imple The most powerful Democratic Sen chose former Detroit mayor Coleman
ment the goals outlined in the recently ator has openly criticized Jimmy Carter Young as o fficial chairman . The four
released M a s s a c h u s etts I n s tit ute o f at his Saturday morning news confer platform committee cochairmen elected
Technology world coal study. The M IT ences. On June 7 , Byrd criticized Carter June 1 2 are M ichael Stead of California'
report called for restructuring the world for attempting to keep independent Johnsie Setzer, Democratic Nationa i
energy-dependency map to institute a presidential candidate John Anderson Committee member from North Caro
"coal OPEC," consisting of the de facto o ff the ballot in a number of states. lina; John Lyons, president of the inter
"British Empire"-the U . S . , Britain, Byrd indicated that he felt Rep. Ander national Ironworkers Union; and Ger
Canada, Australia, and South Africa . son would attract liberal Democrats to trude Donahy, Ohio state party treas
The U . S . in particular would become vote for what Byrd described as "an urer.
"the Saudi Arabia of coal," with $ 1 endangered species, " the 22 Democratic
trillion invested worldwide in the next S e n a t o r s see k i ng reelect i o n . A s k e d
20 years in mining and transport. The whether he was saying that if Carter
administration is prepared to open fed headed up the Democratic ticket he
eral lands for mining to meet its targets. would hurt Democratic Senators, Byrd Administration defends
U . S . coal exports, according to the new declared, "Of course the head of the
task force, should rise from a current 66 ticket can affect Senate races." China p olicy
million tons to 266 million tons by the "Senator Byrd is very angry at Pres The Carter Administration has sent As
year 2000. ident Carter," declared one Democratic sistant Secretary of State Robert Hol
The task force announced that Cart Senator. " Bob Byrd is paranoid at the brooke scurrying off to Capitol Hill to
er will bring this plan to the Venice thought that the Democrats are going quell a growing disturbance that devel
summit and ask Europe to buy addi to lose the Senate," declared another. oped around its China policy.
tional substantial amounts of U . S . coal. White H o use advisors try to explain One week ago , in public remarks
While other Western nations are inter away Byrd's statements by pointing to before the U . S . -China Trade Associa
ested in developing high-technology use his presidential ambitions. After all, they tion as well as at an "off the record"
of coal, it is doubtful whether they will hint, he tried for the post four years briefing, Holbrooke declared that it was
welcome a plan for a new energy cartel, ago . now official U . S . policy to place a prior
even if the U . S . became a reliable ex ity on relations with China, as against
porter of strategic resources. The full relations with the Soviet Union. In re
fledged perspective smacks too m uch of sponse, several conservative senators
the "Bolton Plan" circulated privately Texas Democrats have been hinting that the U . S . should
last year by Bank of England adviser Sir restore relations with the Nationalist
George Bolton, whereby the English
p rotest farm ga p Chinese Government on Taiwan, a
speaking nations and their Latin Amer At a June 1 2 Washington, D . C . session move that would chill relations with
ican appendages domi nate the world of the Democratic Party's procedural Peking.
economy through raw materials control committee on the 1 980 electoral plat Holbrooke told the House Foreign
at Europe's expense. form, the Texas delegation complained Relations Committee that a move to
that during all the hearings held around restore normal ties with Taiwan would
the country this spring to garner testi be "devastating" to the China- U . S . re
mony on the Democratic planks, there lationship. Furthermore, it would jeop
had been no discussion of agriculture ardize U . S . strategic interests and so, be
Byrd says nomination and no testimony from farmers. Texas "highly dangerous," said the Undersec
spokesman Dan M o rgan stated that ag retary of State.
u p for grabs ricultural organizations and farm inter Sources on Capitol Hill report that,
Senate M aj ority Leader Robert Byrd ests had been actively excluded from the far from putting out the fires, the rabidly
(D-W.Va.) has refused to concede the proceedings, despite the acute situation pro-Chinese Holbrooke seems to have
Democratic nomination to President of U . S . prod ucers, which he said was developed the knack of strengthening
Carter. Instead, this week Byrd declared never addressed . his opponents . "There is going to be
plan strategy. He is said to have been a very flimsy rationale for the p roposed chairman w o n ' t be d umped by
influential in getting the White House $500 auto tax, since sales of American Ronald Reagan . So urces close to
to yield "crisis management powers" to automobiles in Japan are negligible, and the Reagan camp report that the
FEMA in several situations, including penetrating the Japanese m arket is not candidate is under p ressure from
the so-called Cuban refugee crisis . part of the corporate strategy of any of his supporters to oust the former
H a m Jordan's redeployment w a s ex the American automobile producers. Tennessee Congressman and re
pected, following his recent clearing of In a second international move last place him with a more conserva
charges of cocaine use at New York's week, one of Chrysler's lenders, the tive member of the Reagan entou
Studio 54 discotheque. Jordan has the Deutsche Genossenschaftsbank, seized rage. But only two weeks ago ·
reputation of being a "capable thug," about $8 million of Chrysler's funds that Reagan publicly embraced Brock
say people familiar with his role in the it was transfering from one of Chrysler's and said that he would keep him
1 976 Carter campaign. European customers into a U . S . ac as GOP chairman thro ugh the
Carter and his backers feel that they count, and is holding these funds as November election.
need Jordan 's services to secure the Au "security" for an equal amount of credit
gust Democratic convention. Well-in- extended to Chrysler, which is in default.