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DEVELOPING AREAS
By George H. Hargreaves,1 Fellow, ASCE
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INTRODUCTION
325
Wealher Mean
bureau Latitude Longitude annual
number Station name (South) (East) rainfall
(D
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327
DATA SOURCES
Values of AT in Eq. 1 were calculated using the extreme daily value in the
period of record time 1.13 with t = 24 and T = the period of record. The
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Along the major rivers of Brazil and in the lee of mountains in Costa
Rica, Ecuador, Nepal, India, and Peru 0.060
All of Africa, Pakistan, most of India, Sri Lanka, and Panama 0.080
Singapore 0.090
Calcutta and the Ganges Plains of India, Belize, and Dili in Indonesia 0.100
deviation of 26% of the mean value. For 20 data sets in Hawaii, the average
coefficient is 0.103 with a standard deviation of 29%.
Hargreaves and Samani (1986) used the equation
K = KP X P05 (4)
They presented values of KP for various locations as listed in Table 4.
PRACTICAL APPLICATION
Burkina Faso, Cape Verde, Chad, the Gambia, Mali, Mauritania, Niger,
Senegal, and Guinea Bissau. The donors and the host countries provided
the equivalent of $66,560,000 during 1982-86. The donors include Italy,
Belgium, the Netherlands, the Federal Republic of Germany, Switzerland,
France, the U.S. Agency for International Development (AID), and three
programs of the United Nations (World Meteorologic Organization WMO,
Food and Agriculture Organization FAO, and the U.N. Development
Program UNDP).
AID contributed $7,000,000 to the AGRHYMET project during 1982-86
and is programming continuing support. Of this amount, approximately
$1,000,000 was for training, principally in the use of equipment and the
recording of data.
The International Irrigation Center, Department of Agricultural and
Irrigation Engineering, Utah State University, is currently developing a
monthly climatic data base for Africa, partially funded by AID. This data
base is designed primarily for use with crop growth and development
models (crop yield models). However, the data tables include the gamma
probability distribution parameter for monthly rainfall and may prove to be
useful in refining the information included in this study. Eq. 1 combined
with the gamma parameter may provide a useful tool for improving the
modeling of drainage conditions in connection with the yield models.
The urgent needs for increased food production will necessitate con-
struction of small dams, river diversions, and related irrigation and
drainage works. Damage due to the underdesign of culverts and floodways
on water resource development projects has been common. The most
frequent cause of small dam failure is inadequate spillway design due to
failure to adequately estimate the values of extreme rainfall. In various
tropical areas, some irrigation projects have been destroyed and aban-
doned due to the effects of unanticipated rainfall. Lack of adequate data or
estimates has also frequently resulted in costly expenditures for overde-
signed project facilities.
This study indicates the usefulness of depth-duration and depth-fre-
quency ratios and of exponential extreme rainfall distributions. Exponen-
tial relationships should be further refined and evaluated by using daily and
short-duration recorded rainfall amounts. Additional use and evaluation of
the procedures given in this paper and of data being generated by the
AGRHYMET project and other similar activities can provide a means of
encouraging greater realism in irrigation design, thereby reducing errors in
judgment due to optimism or lack of knowledge as to the probable
magnitude of extreme rainfall events and/or floods.
vary with (t x j)0-25. This function and the censored log-normal distribu-
tion provide very comparable results for T in the range of 5-100 years.
Evidence is presented that for some probability distributions it may be
desirable that the exponent of T should be somewhat reduced for durations
of less than one day (24 hr).
Reference is made to a data base that presents the 20-yr return period
monthly rainfall amounts. A method is presented for using values of the 5%
probability of assured monthly rainfall to estimate extreme daily rainfall
for African and other developing country conditions. Depth-duration and
depth-frequency ratios or exponential relationships can also be used to
estimate extreme rainfall for periods shorter than one day.
It is indicated that depth-duration and depth-frequency ratios are ap-
proximately constant for all of Africa. The available long records and
recent data frothe AGRHYMET project can be used to evaluate this
relationship and provide improved methodology for the design of spill-
ways, storm drainage, flood protection, and agricultural drainage.
Consideration is recommended for efforts to improve data availability
and to provide training in the use of the data now available and being
collected.
APPENDIX I. REFERENCES
333