Parameters with uncertainty Minumum Value Most Likely Maximum

Revenue 20428000 25535000 26811750

Cost of Manufacturing 19374300 21527000 23679700
Fixed capital investment 8646400 10808000 14050400

Run Rand (1) R Rand (2) MC

1 0.705232865725914 25222983.7096 0.18453806090626 20682100.454
2 0.994044697578415 26591435.6535 0.42174706056705 21351381.3541
3 0.584100660247368 24791798.7438 0.11480345604681 20405816.0451
4 0.516870919961177 24532988.2062 0.28056546622695 20986859.0054
5 0.574432947890213 24755534.4647 0.61739720164851 21796603.4847
6 0.847252786111205 25695972.7108 0.25440195032108 20909831.4856
7 0.375667418199273 23927634.0181 0.23013431510931 20834758.4237
8 0.393428058986148 24009405.7742 0.2705728429471 20957882.1953
9 0.485237659794206 24405389.4197 0.45267006404361 21422580.335
10 0.766392446304423 25426577.9856 0.15204155145134 20561379.0853
11 0.531983923001522 24592569.5391 0.01625030326115 19762387.1199
12 0.642008269113093 25003000.8099 0.7262495105727 22086846.0354
13 0.306142902817768 23587242.4936 0.06802517194219 20168323.4511
14 0.205971201778846 23019338.3112 0.52579806836579 21583270.955
15 0.753430242570645 25384126.568 0.24162479194535 20870774.2704
16 0.03499592470677 21496143.4978 0.13835121367633 20506674.2724
17 0.606268267360751 24873834.412 0.0826132538252 20249330.86
18 0.948709879248552 26165191.6431 0.11405418528504 20402444.413
19 0.584433167663096 24793040.6436 0.3705578346417 21227517.9923
20 0.952792243029302 26191456.0411 0.47873373857182 21480722.6975
Rand(3) FCI NPV
0.16654390573 10041192.838 5070332.11499 P(x=b) R 0.8
0.5696963035 11304539.283 6768030.40655 P(x=b) MC 0.5
0.98162401181 13482964.742 2185972.05084 P(x=b) FCI 0.4
0.53595320745 11198910 351470.638334
0.90158056166 12737198.389 -3161502.80693
0.91928210248 12861142.535 4046863.00796 P(x) = 0.875011273
0.03925793557 9323587.7058 -93509.6795188
0.82790657728 12313906.741 -2321152.74342
0.21909274278 10246176.571 -1284522.30235
0.88790146548 12648907 4578277.66056
0.75815002852 11991837.838 5073802.27271
0.71950220013 11833451.038 -2777858.95682
0.51016882252 11120760.533 99043.5057774
0.79810657822 12169559.145 -8634039.28706
0.3829797522 10761511.385 4429067.42329
0.33873883472 10635597.16 -9073788.34218
0.15878795235 10008327.879 5516495.74758
0.30729294163 10541017.866 9534400.18127
0.55793641738 11267271.01 324873.714353
0.87501127252 12570520.382 3821434.09028
 -3161502.80692581
Revenue -8634039.28706094
-9073788.34217807
x<b x>b -2777858.95681917
a 1a 1 -2321152.74342343
b -40856000 b -53623500 -1284522.30234512
c 3.887762E+14 c 7.178512E+14 -93509.6795188147
99043.5057773662
x1= 25769062.848 x1= 27821063.988 324873.714352623
x2= 15086937.152 x2= 25802436.012 351470.638334208
2185972.05084111
3821434.0902798
Cost of Manufacturing 4046863.00796048
4429067.42329024
x<b x>b 4578277.66056415
a 1a 1 5070332.11499281
b -38748600 b -47359400 5073802.27270825
c 3.672537E+14 c 5.595698E+14 5516495.74757785
6768030.40654632
x1= 22222072.765 x1= 24756001.466 9534400.18127368
x2= 16526527.235 x2= 22603398.534

Fixed Cost of Investment

x<b x>b
a 1a 1
b -17292800 b -28100800
c 6.453898E+13 c 1.952237E+14

x1= 11843470.108 x1= 15530279.618

x2= 5449329.8917 x2= 12570520.382
-4000000 Increment= 500000
-3500000 500000 Bin Frequency
-3000000 500000 -4000000 2
-2500000 500000 -3500000 0
-2000000 500000 -3000000 1
-1500000 500000 -2500000 1
-1000000 500000 -2000000 1
-500000 500000 -1500000 0
0 500000 -1000000 1
500000 500000 -500000 0
1000000 500000 0 1
1500000 500000 500000 3
2000000 500000 1000000 0
2500000 500000 1500000 0
3000000 500000 2000000 0
3500000 500000 2500000 1
4000000 500000 3000000 0
4500000 500000 3500000 0
5000000 500000 4000000 1
5500000 500000 4500000 2
6000000 500000 5000000 1
6500000 500000 5500000 2
7000000 500000 6000000 1
7500000 500000 6500000 0
8000000 500000 7000000 1
8500000 500000 7500000 0
9000000 500000 8000000 0
9500000 500000 8500000 0
10000000 500000 9000000 0
9500000 0
10000000 1
More 0
Cumulative %
10.00% Histogram
10.00% 3.5
15.00%
20.00% 3

25.00% 2.5
25.00%

Cumulative Probability
30.00% 2
30.00% 1.5
35.00%
50.00% 1
50.00%
0.5
50.00%
50.00% 0
55.00% 00 00 00 00 0 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
55.00% 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00
-4
0
-3 -2 -1 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10
0
55.00%
60.00% NPV (Php)
70.00%
75.00%
85.00%
90.00%
90.00%
95.00%
95.00%
95.00%
95.00%
95.00%
95.00%
100.00%
100.00%
ram
120.00%

100.00%

80.00%

60.00%
Frequency
40.00% Cumulative %

20.00%

0.00%
00 00 00 00 00
0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00
70 80 90 1 00