Phase 1

Recognize and analyze the problem posed individually

Presented to :
Paola Andrea Carvajal

Presented by:
Albert Villada – Code: 14621960

National University Open and Distance

Santiago from Cali
February 2019
 Introduction

When we carry out our professional careers we acquire high responsibilities where

we must make informed decisions and this becomes a great challenge because

before making these decisions we must analyze and study very well what is going

to be transmitted in this decision, so I think that This course is very helpful because

I think we can not imagine the importance of making good decisions in our

personal and professional lives.

As future professionals we must consider that the decision making becomes our

main resource, because we must direct processes, decide who does it, how it is

done, then the theory of decisions will help us and show us how we should carry

out a clear and concious study before taking a decision.

Conceptual Map
Recognition of Collaborative Team Members
Crossword
Alphabet Soup
 Words with Definition of the Terms Identified in the Video.

 Certainty.

Es el conocimiento claro y seguro que se tiene de la verdad.

 Uncertainty.

Es cuando no se tiene seguridad de algo, no hay confianza sobre algo o

alguien y esto crea una alta inquietud.

 Risk.

Es la posibilidad que existe de que ocurra un evento inesperado a la hora

de llevar a cabo determinada acción.

 Conservative.

Es un adjetive que se refiere a todo aquel o a todo aquello que se cuida y

se guarda sin realizar ningún cambio.

 Likelihood.

Es una medida de la certidumbre donde se espera un suceso o evento

futuro.

 Espected Valué.

En estadística también es conocido como la esperanza matemática, esta es

igual a la sumatoria de las probabilidades de que exista un suceso

aleatorio.
 Conclusions

 The importance of the Theory of Decisions for our training as professionals

is identified to make important decisions.

 Decision making tells us when a problem or situation requires a great

analysis to choose the best decision to improve a certain process.

 In making decisions it is important to take into account all the alternatives so

that the choice is correct and thus increase confidence when controlling

situations both personal and professional level.

 Bibliography

 Sanderson, C. (2006). Analytical Models for Decision Making. New

York, USA: McGraw-Hill Education Editorial. Retrieved from:
http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co:2051/login.aspx?direct=true&
db=nlebk&AN=234098&lang=es&site=eds-live

 Rokach, L. (2008). Data Mining With Decision Trees: Theory And

Applications, Bern, Switzerland: H. Bunke, University Bern,
Switzerland. Retrieved from:
http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co:2051/login.aspx?direct=true&
db=nlebk&AN=236037&lang=es&site=eds-live

 Joyce, J. (1999). The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory.

Camdridge, UK: Cambridge University Press Editorial. Retrieved
from:
http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co:2051/login.aspx?direct=true&
db=nlebk&AN=228167&lang=es&site=eds-live

 Abdi, M. (2003). A design strategy for reconfigurable

manufacturing systems (RMSs) using analytical hierarchical
process (AHP): a case study: Manchester, UK: International
Journal of Production Research.
Retrieved from:
http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co:2051/login.aspx?direct=true&
db=buh&AN=10149095&lang=es&site=eds-live