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COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE VRF SYSTEM AND

CONVENTIONAL HVAC SYSTEMS,

FOCUSED ON LIFE-CYCLE COST

A Thesis
Presented to
The Academic Faculty

by

JAESUK PARK

In Partial Fulfillment
of the Requirements for the Degree
Master of Science in the
School of Architecture

Georgia Institute of Technology


December 2013

COPYRIGHT 2013 BY JAESUK PARK


COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE VRF SYSTEM AND

CONVENTIONAL HVAC SYSTEMS,

FOCUSED ON LIFE-CYCLE COST

Approved by:

Professor. Godfried Augenbroe, Advisor


School of Architecture
Georgia Institute of Technology

Dr. Jason Brown


School of Architecture
Georgia Institute of Technology

Date Approved: 18 November 2013


ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

I would like to show, first and foremost, my immense gratitude to my advisor,

Professor Godfried Augenbroe. His profound and wide knowledge bolster my thesis,

introducing the right direction of this thesis and advising me to solve the critical

problems. Plus, his enthusiasm for the research and constant consideration over all

periods of my degree program has excited my passion of study.

Also, I am indebted to Dr. Sang Hoon Lee who established the rudimental basis

for this thesis. Without his astonishing dedication as a preceding researcher of this

investigation and continuous support, this thesis could not have been accomplished. In

addition to the academic support, he has helped my life in Atlanta bountiful.

Fellow students in the BT group at Georgia Tech that I want to thank are Jaeho

Yoon, Jihyun Kim, Di, Qi, etc. In addition to the BT group, I would like to thank to

Hyunkyung Lee, Yujeong Jeong, Yongcheol Lee, and Dangyoon Wie. They are the ones

who helped me enjoy a fruitful lifestyle in my period at Georgia Tech. In particularly,

Jihyun Kim provided continuous academic support and beneficial information about

living in Atlanta.

Last but not least, I would like to express my deepest appreciation to my family

and my lovely fiancé, Eunbee Choi. Although my father, mother, and sister live far away,

their beliefs and considerations kept me focused on my study. Finally, no words can

express my gratitude to Eunbee. She is like my home where I love the most, where I feel

most comfortably. I want to dedicate my thesis to Eunbee.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS III  

TABLE OF CONTENTS IV  

LIST OF TABLES VI  

LIST OF FIGURES IX  

SUMMARY X  

Chapter  1 INTRODUCTION 1  

Chapter  2 LIFE CYCLE COST ANALYSIS 3  

CONSIDERATIONS FOR LCC ANALYSIS 5  

PRESENT VALUE 11  

SUMMARY OF LIFE-CYCLE COST ANALYSIS 13  

Chapter  3 CALCULATING LIFE-CYCLE COST 14  

CALCULATION OF LIFE-CYCLE COST 14  

SUPPLEMENTARY MEASURES OF ECONOMIC EVALUATION 15  

Chapter  4 ENERGY MODELS 23  

BUILDING TYPES 23  

CLIMATE ZONES 25  

HVAC SYSTEM MODELING 26  

Chapter  5 COST DATA FOR LCC ANALYSIS 37  

INITIAL INVESTMENT COST 37  

OM&R COSTS AND REPLACEMENT COSTS 39  

ENERGY COSTS 42  

iv
COST-RELATED FACTORS 45  

Chapter  6 FINDINGS FROM LCC ANALYSIS AND ENERGY SAVINGS

ASSESSMENT 48  

ENERGY SAVINGS 48  

LCC RESULTS 51  

SPECIAL CONSIDERATION FOR CONDUCTING THE LCC 57  

Chapter  7 CONCLUSION 61  

APPENDIX  A LCC EXAMPLE 63  

APPENDIX  B LCC RESULTS WITH NATIONAL ENERGY PRICES 67  

REFERENCES 70  

v
LIST OF TABLES

Page

Table 1 UPV* factors adjusted for fuel price escalation 10  

Table 2 Reference building types 24  

Table 3 Climate zones and representative cities 26  

Table 4 Summary of HVAC system of base case for each building type 27  

Table 5 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Miami and Houston 31  

Table 6 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Phoenix and Atlanta32  

Table 7 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Las Vegas and San

Francisco 33  

Table 8 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Baltimore and

Albuquerque 34  

Table 9 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Seattle and Chicago 35  

Table 10 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Boulder 36  

Table 11 Initial investment costs of base cases per building type 38  

Table 12 Incremental costs of VRF systems from other systems 38  

Table 13 Initial costs of both VRF and base cases 39  

Table 14 Typical OM&R costs data of VRF systems 40  

Table 15 Custom price indexes (CPI) 41  

Table 16 Typical OM&R costs data of base cases 41  

Table 17 Annual Energy Use Intensity of electricity in kWh/m2/year for base cases 42  

Table 18 Annual Energy Use Intensity of natural gas in kWh/m2/year for base cases 43  

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Table 19 Annual Energy Use Intensity of electricity in kWh/m2/year for VRF systems 43  

Table 20 Annual Energy Use Intensity of natural gas in kWh/m2/year for VRF systems

44  

Table 21 Energy Prices for each climate zone 45  

Table 22 City cost indexes 46  

Table 23 Percentages of energy savings in HVAC consumption 49  

Table 24 Percentages of energy savings in total building energy consumption 49  

Table 25 Potential HVAC only energy savings from VRF systems compared to other

systems 50  

Table 26 Summary of general information for LCC 51  

Table 27 Total life-cycle costs of VRF systems per location 52  

Table 28 Total life-cycle costs of base cases (reference buildings) per location 52  

Table 29 Net savings for all building types and location 53  

Table 30 Saving-to-Investment ratio for all building types and location 53  

Table 31 Simple payback time for all building types and location 54  

Table 32 Discounted payback time for all building types and location 54  

Table 33 Averages of outputs 55  

Table 34 HVAC savings of all building types 55  

Table 35 Simple payback with national energy prices 57  

Table 36 Net savings with national energy prices 58  

Table 37 Difference in simple payback (subtracting national prices from regional prices)

58  

Table 38 Differences in net savings, by subtracting constant values from various values59  

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Table 39 Discounted payback variations depending on investment and OM&R cost

factors 60  

Table 40 Saving-to-Investment variations depending on investment and OM&R cost

factors 60  

Table 41 General building information for LCC 63  

Table 42 Specific information of VRF system and the base case for LCC 63  

Table 43 LCC calculation of VRF system 64  

Table 44 LCC calculation of the base case 64  

Table 45 Net saving calculation 65  

Table 46 SIR calculation 65  

Table 47 Cash flows, including SPB and DPB 66  

Table 48 Total life-cycle costs of VRF systems with constant prices 67  

Table 49 Total life-cycle costs of base cases with national prices 67  

Table 50 Net savings with national prices 68  

Table 51 Saving-to-Investment ratio with national prices 68  

Table 52 Simple payback with national prices 69  

Table 53 Discounted payback with national prices 69  

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LIST OF FIGURES

Page

Figure 1 Buildings site energy consumption by end use in 2010 1  

Figure 2 Gates Computer Science Building 30-Year Life Cycle Cost 2  

Figure 3 Concept Diagram of LCC Analysis 4  

Figure 4 Length of study period 5  

Figure 5 Rate of price changes for Home-related items 9  

Figure 6 PV diagram of one-time amounts 11  

Figure 7 PV diagram of annually recurring uniform amounts 12  

Figure 8 PV diagram of annually recurring non-uniform amounts 12  

Figure 9 PV diagram of annually recurring energy costs 13  

Figure 10 Climate zone classification 25  

Figure 11 VRF system diagram 28  

Figure 12 VRF system modeling diagram with or without DOAS 30  

Figure 13 Size modifier curve 47  

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SUMMARY

As concern for the environment has been dramatically raised over the recent

decade, all fields have increased their efforts to reduce impact on environment. The field
of construction has responded and started to develop the building performance strategies

as well as regulations to reduce the impact on the environment. HVAC systems are

obviously one of the key factors of building energy consumption. This study investigates
the system performance and economic value of variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems

relative to conventional HVAC systems by comparing life-cycle cost of VRF systems to


that of conventional HVAC systems.

VRF systems consist mainly of one outdoor unit and several indoor units. The

outdoor unit provides all indoor units with cooled or heated refrigerant; with these
refrigerants, each indoor unit serves one zone, delivering either heating or cooling. Due

to its special configuration, the VRF system can cool some zones and heat other zones

simultaneously.
This comparative analysis covers six building types—medium office, standalone

retail, primary school, hotel, hospital, and apartment—in eleven climate zones—1A
Miami, 2A Houston, 2B Phoenix, 3A Atlanta, 3B Las Vegas, 3C San Francisco, 4A

Baltimore, 4B Albuquerque, 4C Seattle, 5A Chicago, and 5B Boulder. Energy

simulations conducted by EnergyPlus are done for each building type in each climate
zone. Base cases for each simulation are the reference models that U.S. Department of

Energy has developed, whereas the alternative case is the same building in the same
location with a VRF system. The life-cycle cost analysis provides Net Savings, Saving-

to-Investment ratio, and payback years. The major findings are that the VRF system has

an average of thirty-nine percent HVAC energy consumption savings. As for the results
of the life-cycle cost analysis, the average of simple payback period is twelve years.

x
CHAPTER 1

INTRODUCTION

Green building is part of the larger concept of “sustainable development,”

characterized by Sara Parkin of British environmental initiative, as “a process that

enables all people to realize their potential and improve their quality of life in ways that
protect and enhance the Earth’s life support systems.” (Means, 2006) There is a variety of

strategies to reach the goals of the green building such as energy conscious design
strategies, changing to energy-efficient systems or materials, educating appropriate ways

of operation, etc. This study focuses on the energy consumption aspect of the buildings.

Buildings consume forty percent of total energy consumption in the United States:
consumptions of commercial and those of residential buildings are marked by nineteen

percent and twenty-two percent in 2010, respectively.1 This high portion out of total
energy consumption of buildings indicates buildings should get significant attention in

energy savings. In detail, breakdown of energy consumption of buildings is shown in

Figure 1.

Figure 1 Buildings site energy consumption by end use in 20102

1
Source from Building Energy Data Book of U.S. Department of Energy
2
Building Energy Data Book of U.S. Department of Energy
(http://buildingsdatabook.eren.doe.gov/ChapterIntro1.aspx)

1
Many energy-efficient systems tend to have a higher initial cost but consume less
energy during operation. When it comes to economic evaluation, these strategies must be

evaluated over their entire life-cycle. This study adopts life-cycle cost analysis for
comparing VRF systems to the conventional systems. Since the life-cycle cost analysis is

a straightforward method of economic analysis and evaluates entire costs through the life-

cycle of the system, it is an appropriate method to compare economic effectiveness of


VRF systems to conventional HVAC systems. This is further supported by Figure 2,

which shows that the life-cycle sum of utilities, maintenance, and replacement cost of the

same order of magnitude as the initial investment.

Utilities  
28%  

Initial  Project   Maintenance  


Cost   6%  
58%   Service  
4%   System  
Replacements  
4%  

Figure 2 Gates Computer Science Building 30-Year Life Cycle Cost3

3
(Reidy et al., 2005)

2
CHAPTER 2

LIFE CYCLE COST ANALYSIS

Life-cycle assessments are typically used in two distinct fields: life-cycle

assessment (LCA) and life cycle cost analysis (LCC). Life-cycle assessment (LCA)

evaluates the environmental burden of a product from the mining of the raw material used
in production and distribution, through to its use, possible reuse or recycling, and its

eventual disposal, primarily in terms of non-renewable energy and materials, pollution,

and waste. Life-cycle cost analysis (LCC) is the valuation of the total cost of ownership
of an item over its usable life, taking into account all of the costs of acquisition, operation,

maintenance, modification and disposal, for the purpose of making decisions (Nornes,
Johnson, Senior, Dunbar, & Grosse, 2005). Both assessments play a significant role in

decision making among alternatives.

In the field of construction, life-cycle cost analysis is a process of evaluating the


economic performance of a building over its entire life. Sometimes known as “whole cost

accounting” or “total cost of ownership”, LCC analysis balances initial monetary


investment with the long-term expense of owning and operating the building(Reidy et al.,

2005). In addition, it is also defined that life-cycle cost analysis is one of the most

straightforward and easily understandable methods of evaluation; it is used in all three of


these fields: building economics, value engineering, and cost engineering (Means, 2006).

Therefore, the life-cycle cost analysis method allows decision makers to consider the

whole financial picture of a project so that they can sort out the best cost efficient
alternative. In terms of comparison alternatives of green with conventional technologies,

the whole life-cycle cost is indeed an appropriate approach because a green project tends
to require more initial cost but less operation cost than typical methods. LCC analysis can

be applied to any capital investment decision in which higher initial costs are traded for

3
reduced future cost obligations. LCC analysis provides a significantly better assessment

of the long-term cost effectiveness of a project than alternative economic methods that
focus only on first costs or on operating-related costs in the short run(Fuller & Petersen,

1996). LCC analysis takes into account all costs of acquiring, operating, maintaining, and
disposing of a building or building system. The LCC concept requires that all costs and

savings be calculated over a common study period and discounted to present value before

they can be meaningfully compared(Means, 2006). Figure 3 shows the scheme of how to
calculate LCC, converting future costs to present values.

Figure 3 Concept Diagram of LCC Analysis

4
Considerations for LCC Analysis

Study Period

In order to perform an LCC, the choice of study period also known as life span is

important. A too long period or too short period would lead to an inappropriate result.
The study period for an LCC is the time over which the costs and benefits related to a

capital investment decision are of interest to the investor. There is no correct study period
of a project, but the same study period must be used in computing the Life-cycle cost of

each project alternative(Fuller & Petersen, 1996). The maximum study period for federal

energy and water conservation and renewable energy projects according to 10 CFR
436A4 is 25 years from the date of occupancy of a building or the date a system is taken

into service. Any lead-time for planning, design, construction, or implementation may be

added to the 25-year maximum planning/construction/implementation period and the


service period(Fuller, 2005). Figure 4 shows the length of study period, including

planning/construction period and service period. In this study, the study period is set to
20-year based on the consideration that the service life of the considered HVAC systems

is typically assumed to be 20 years.

Figure 4 Length of study period5

4
Code of Federal Regulations, 10 CPR 436, Subpart A, Federal Energy Management and Planning
Programs; Life Cycle Cost Methodology and Procedures
5
(Fuller & Petersen, 1996)

5
Discount Rate

“Because of inflation and the real earning power of money, a dollar paid or

received today is not valued the same as a dollar paid or received at some future date. For
this reason, costs and savings occurring over time must be “discounted.” Discounting

adjusts cash flows to a common time, often the present, when an analysis is performed, or
a decision has to be made. The conversion of all costs and savings to time-equivalent

“present values” allows them to be added and compared in a meaningful way. To make

cash flows time-equivalent, the LCC method converts them to present values by
discounting them to a common point in time, usually the base date. The interest rate used

for discounting is a rate that reflects an investor’s opportunity cost of money over time,

meaning that an investor wants to achieve a return at least as high as that of her next best
investment. Hence, the discount rate represents the investor’s minimum acceptable rate of

return(Means, 2006).”
The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) determines each year the discount rate to

be used in the LCCA of energy conservation, water conservation, and renewable energy

projects(Fuller, 2005). This discount rate is used for calculating factors that convert
future cost amounts to present values. LCC in this study is calculated with the real

discount rate DOE has established. The discount and inflation rates for 2012 are as

follows:

Real rate (excluding general price inflation): 3.0 %

Nominal rate (including general price inflation): 3.5 %


Implied long-term average rate of inflation: 0.5%

Mathematics of Discounting

Our method of calculation follows the description laid out in the “Life-cycle

Costing Manual for federal Energy Management Program(Fuller & Petersen, 1996)” The

future cash amount,  P! , after t years at a rate of interest, i, would be

6
P! = 𝑃! (1 + 𝑖)! (2.1)

Reversely, if we know the future amount,  P! , at the end of t years at a rate of

interest, i, the current cash amount,  𝑃! , can be calculated according to:
!!
𝑃! =   (!!!) !
(2.2)

The discount rate is a special type of interest rate that makes the investor
indifferent between cash amounts received at different points in time. The mathematics of

discounting is identical to the mathematics of compound interest. The discount rate, d, is

used like the interest rate, i, shown in equations 2.1 and 2.2 to find the present value, PV,
of a cash amount received or paid at a future point in time(Fuller & Petersen, 1996). Then,

present value, PV, of the future amount at the end of t years, 𝐹! , can be computed

according to the equation 2.3, the same formula as for compounded interest.
!
!
PV =   (!!!) !
(2.3)

Inflation

Inflation is a rise of the level of prices of goods in an economy over a period time

reflecting a reduction in the purchasing power. Inflation reduces the value or purchasing
power of money over time. It is a result of the gradual increase in the cost of goods and

services due to economic activity(Reidy et al., 2005). There are two approaches for
dealing with inflation in the LCC: one is to compute LCC with current dollars the other is

to calculate LCC with constant dollars. Current dollars are dollars of any one year’s

purchasing power, inclusive of inflation. That is, they reflect changes in the purchasing
power of the dollar from year to year. In contrast, constant dollars are dollars of uniform

purchasing power, exclusive of inflation. Constant dollars indicate what the same good or

service would cost at different times if there were no change in the general price level—

7
no general inflation or deflation—to change the purchasing power of the dollar(Fuller &

Petersen, 1996). The two methods of dealing with inflation are as follows:

• Constant dollar method: estimate future costs and savings in constant dollars and
discount with a “real” discount rate, i.e., a discount rate that excludes inflation.

• Current dollar method: estimate future costs and savings in current dollars
discount with a “nominal” discount rate, i.e., a discount rate that includes inflation.

The Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP) accepts the LCC calculated in
both constant dollars and current dollars, but the LCC computed in constant dollars is

preferred. These two methods result in the same present value so that they can conclude

the same result of LCC. However, the convenience of the calculation of LCC, being able
to apply the constant cost to each year, the constant dollar method is used in this study.

The constant dollar method has the advantage of not requiring an estimate of the rate of

inflation for the years in the study period; alternative financing studies are usually
performed in current dollars if the analyst wants to compare contract payments with

actual operational or energy cost savings from year to year (Fuller, 2013).

Price Escalation

Since not all item prices, especially energy price, change at the rate of the general

inflation, a rate of discount for those items should to calculate LCC would be vary in the

LCC calculation. Figure 5 shows the rate of general inflation and rate of price escalation
for the years 1970 through 1994. According to Figure 5, the rate of price change of

energy price, fuel oil, only significantly differ from the rate of the general inflation. Even
though the time period of the Figure 5 (Fuller & Petersen, 1996) is in the past, it is clear

enough to explain the deviation profile of energy price from the rate of general inflation.

8
0.60

0.40

RATE OF CHANGE
0.20

-0.20

-0.40
72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94
YEAR
All items M&R
Const. Materials Fuel oil
Figure 5 Rate of price changes for Home-related items6

Consequently, for energy-related costs, the FEMP LCC methodology requires the

use of DOE-projected real escalation rates by fuel type as published in the Annual

Supplement to Handbook 135(Fuller & Petersen, 1996). These real escalation rates and
the real DOE discount rate are used to calculate the “modified uniform present value

(UPV*) factors” for energy costs in FEMP LCC analyses. (Fuller, 2005) These UPV*
factors enable the energy cost that deviates from the general inflation to be converted to

the present value, based on the discounting concept. This study applies the UPV* factors

published in 2012 according to the base date of the LCC analysis. The Table 1 shows the
U.S. average UPV* factors of electricity and natural gas for both commercial and

residential use. The source of the data in the Table 1 is derived from (Rushing, Kneifel, &

Lippiatt, 2012). This source includes detailed information about how to compute these
factors.

6
(Fuller & Petersen, 1996)

9
Table 1 UPV* factors adjusted for fuel price escalation7
Electricity Natural Gas
N
Residential Commercial Residential Commercial
1 0.94 0.91 1.02 1.05
2 1.86 1.81 2.03 2.12
3 2.78 2.7 3 3.16
4 3.68 3.55 3.92 4.16
5 4.54 4.37 4.82 5.14
6 5.39 5.18 5.71 6.1
7 6.21 5.97 6.57 7.04
8 7.02 6.74 7.41 7.96
9 7.79 7.48 8.23 8.85
10 8.55 8.21 9.04 9.73
11 9.29 8.92 9.83 10.59
12 10.01 9.61 10.6 11.44
13 10.71 10.29 11.36 12.27
14 11.39 10.95 12.1 13.07
15 12.05 11.59 12.81 13.85
16 12.7 12.21 13.52 14.62
17 13.32 12.82 14.21 15.38
18 13.94 13.42 14.89 16.13
19 14.54 14.01 15.57 16.88
20 15.13 14.58 16.24 17.62
21 15.71 15.15 16.91 18.36
22 16.28 15.71 17.57 19.08
23 16.83 16.25 18.22 19.8
24 17.37 16.79 18.85 20.5
25 17.9 17.31 19.47 21.18
26 18.42 17.82 20.08 21.86
27 18.92 18.32 20.68 22.52
28 19.42 18.81 21.27 23.18
29 19.9 19.29 21.85 23.82
30 20.37 19.76 22.41 24.45

7
(Rushing, 1992)

10
Present Value

Estimating a project cost during a certain period of time requires the same cash

value because cost in the future is not the same as the current cost value. Thus, future
cash amount is converted to a present value that is equivalent to the future cash amount.

There are four types of present value formula in a LCC analysis: one-time amounts,
annually recurring uniform amounts, annually recurring non-uniform amounts, and

annually recurring energy costs.

Present Value for One-time Amounts8

The single present value (SPV) factor is used to calculate the present value, PV,

of a future cash amount occurring at the end of year t, 𝐹! , given a discount rate, d.
1
PV =   𝐹!  ×  
(1 + 𝑑)!
Present value can be calculated with the SPV factor.

PV =   𝐹!  ×  𝑆𝑃𝑉(!,!)
Ft
SPV
PV

Figure 6 PV diagram of one-time amounts

Present Value for Annually Recurring Uniform Amounts9

The uniform present vale (UPV) factor is used to calculate the PV a series of

equal cash amounts, 𝐴! , that recur annually over a period of n years, given d.
!
1 (1 + 𝑑)! − 1
PV =   𝐴!  ×   =   𝐴 !  ×    
(1 + 𝑑)! 𝑑(1 + 𝑑)!
!!!

8
(Fuller & Petersen, 1996) Table 3-1.
9
Same source as footnote 2

11
Present value can be calculated with the UPV factor.

PV =   𝐴!  ×  𝑈𝑃𝑉(!,!)
PV UPV
A0 A0 A0

Figure 7 PV diagram of annually recurring uniform amounts

Present Value for Annually Recurring Non-uniform Amounts

The modified uniform present vale (UPV) factor is used to calculate the PV

recurring annual amounts that change from year to year at a constant escalation rate, e,

over n years, given d. The escalation rate can be positive or negative.


! !
1+𝑒 ! 1+𝑒 1+𝑒
PV =   𝐴!  ×   ( ) =   𝐴! (1 −   )  
1+𝑑 𝑑−𝑒 1+𝑑
!!!

Present value can be calculated with the UPV factor.

PV =   𝐴!  ×  𝑈𝑃𝑉(!,!,!)
UPV
PV A3
A2
A1

Figure 8 PV diagram of annually recurring non-uniform amounts

Present Value for Annually Recurring Energy Costs (FEMP LCCA)

The FEMP UPV* factor is used to calculate the PV of annually recurring energy

costs over n years, which are assumed to change from year to year at a non-constant

escalation rate, based on DOE projections. FEMP UPV* factors are pre-calculated for the
current DOE discount rate and published in table Ba-1 through Ba-5 of the Annual

Supplement to Handbook 135.

PV =   𝐴!  ×  𝑈𝑃𝑉 ∗ (!"#$%&  ,!"#$  !"#$,!"#$  !"#$,!,!)

12
UPV* A2
PV A3
A1

Figure 9 PV diagram of annually recurring energy costs

The LCC method provides a consistent means of accounting for all costs related

to a particular building function, building system, or related project over a given study

period. In general, an LCCA is needed to demonstrate that the additional investment cost
for a project alternative is more than offset by its corresponding reduction in operating

and maintenance costs (including energy and water costs), relative to the base case. The

following are key points which should be recognized when using the LCC method for

project evaluation(Fuller & Petersen, 1996):

• Choose among two or more mutually exclusive alternatives on the basis of lowest
LCC.

• All alternatives must meet established minimum performance requirements.

• All alternatives must be evaluated using the same base date, service date, study
period, and discount rate.

• Positive cash flows (if any) must be subtracted from costs.

• Effects not measured in dollars must be either insignificant, uniform across

alternatives, or accounted for in some other way.

In our comparative analysis of VRF systems, we adhere to all requirements.

Summary of Life-Cycle Cost Analysis

Discount rate, inflation, and price escalation play a major role in computing

present values for each cost, e.g. initial investment and energy prices. These present
values yield the life-cycle cost by accumulating them all.

13
CHAPTER 3

CALCULATING LIFE-CYCLE COST

Calculation of Life-cycle Cost

This study is to compare a VRF system with conventional HVAC system through

a life-cycle cost analysis (LCCA). Therefore, the required methods of measurement in


this study are life-cycle method and associated measures: Net Savings, Saving-to-

Investment Ratio, and Payback. This chapter introduces how to calculate these measures
Life-cycle Cost Calculation

General Formula for LCC10

The general formula for the LCC present-value is as follows:


!
𝐶!
𝐿𝐶𝐶 =  
(1 + 𝑑)!
!!!
where
LCC = Total LCC in present value dollars of a given alternative,

𝐶! = Sum of all relevant costs, including initial and future costs, less any

positive cash flows, occurring

N = Number of years in the study period, and

d = Discount rate used to adjust cash flows to present value.

10
(Fuller & Petersen, 1996) Chapter 5.

14
LCC Formula for Building-related Projects11

A simplified LCC formula for computing the LCC of energy and water

conservation projects in buildings can be stated as follows:

LCC = I + Repl – Res + E + W + OM&R


where:

LCC = Total LCC in present value dollars of a given alternative,


I = Present value investment costs,

Repl = Present value capital replacement costs,

Res = Present value residual value less disposal costs,


E = Present value energy costs,

W = Present value water costs, and

OM&R= Present value non-fuel operating, maintenance, and repair costs.


Since this study is to compare HVAC system of the alternative to that of base case

and focus more on energy consumption, the other costs are simplified and omitted
because they are identical in both cases in the comparison.

Supplementary Measures of Economic Evaluation

Additional measures of economic performance can be used to determine the

comparative cost-effectiveness of capital investments. Several widely used measures are


Net Savings (NS), Saving-to-Investment Ratio (SIR), and Payback Period (PB). These

measures are meaningful only in relation to a base case and are consistent with the LCC
methodology if they use the same study period, discount rate, and escalation rates(Means,

11
Same source as footnote 4

15
2006). Since LCC analyses provide objective result of the comparison among alternatives,

supplementary measures derived from the LCC analysis supply the apparent ramification
of economic comparison.

Net Saving

The Net Savings measure is a variation of the Net Benefits (NB) measure of
economic performance of a project. The NB method measures the difference between

present-value benefits and present-value costs for a particular investment over the

designated study period. The NB measure is generally applied when positive cash flows
are intended to justify the investment in a project. The NS method is applied when

benefits occur primarily in the form of future operational cost reductions(Fuller &

Petersen, 1996).

General Formula for Net Savings12

Net savings can be calculated using individual cost differences by applying the

following general formula:


! !
𝑆! 𝛥𝐼!
𝑁𝑆!:!" =   −  
(1 + 𝑑)! (1 + 𝑑)!
!!! !!!
where:

𝑁𝑆!:!" = Net Saving, in present value dollars, of the alternative (A), relative to

the base case (BC),

𝑆! = Savings in year t in operational costs associated with the alternative,

𝛥𝐼! = Additional investment costs in year t associated with the alternative,

12
(Fuller & Petersen, 1996) Chapter 6.1.1

16
t = Year of occurrence (where 0 is the base date),

d = Discount rate, and


N = Number of years in study period.

Net Savings Formula for Building-Related Projects13

A more practical NS formula for building-related projects takes advantage of


present value (SPV, UPV, and UPV*) to compute the present value of each cost category

before combining them into operation-related or investment-related cost categories:

𝑁𝑆!:!" = 𝛥𝐸 +  𝛥𝑊 +  𝛥𝑂𝑀&𝑅 − (𝛥𝐼! +  𝛥𝑃𝑒𝑝𝑙 −  𝛥𝑅𝑒𝑠)

where

𝑁𝑆!:!" = Net Savings, that is, operation-related savings minus additional

investment costs,

ΔE = (𝐸!" −   𝐸!) Savings in energy costs attributable to the alternative,

ΔW = (𝑊!" −   𝑊!) Savings in water costs attributable to the alternative,

ΔOM&R = (𝑂𝑀&𝑅!" −   𝑂𝑀&𝑅!) Savings in OM&R costs,

𝛥𝐼! = (𝐼! −   𝐼!") Additional initial investment cost required for the

alternative relative to the base case,

ΔRepl = (𝑅𝑒𝑝𝑙! −   𝑅𝑒𝑝𝑙!") Additional capital replacement costs,

ΔRes = (𝑅𝑒𝑠! −   𝑅𝑒𝑠!") Additional residual value, and

Where, all amounts are in present value.

13
Same source as footnote 6, but in Chapter 6.1.2

17
Summary of Net Savings

Net Savings are adequate to compare an alternative, A, to the base case, BC, in

the their economic values during an assigned study period. When the NS value is positive,
it means the alternative is cost-efficient compared to the base case. On the contrary, if the

value is negative, the alternative is cost-inefficient relative to the base case. This cost
difference is equivalent to the cost difference between LCC of the alternative and LCC of

the base case.

Saving-to-Investment Ratio

The SIR is a measure of economic performance for a project alternative that


expresses the relationship between its savings and its increased investment cost (in

present value terms) as a ratio. It is a variation of the Benefit-to-Cost Ratio for use when

benefits occur primarily as reductions in operation-related costs. Like the NS measure,


SIR is a relative measure of performance; that is, it can only be computed with respect to

a designated base case. This means that the same base date, study period, and discount
rate must be used for both the base case and the alternative(Fuller & Petersen, 1996).

General Formula for SIR14

The general formula for the SIR is comprised of the same terms used in the

differential cost formula for the NS computation and is as follows:

! 𝑆!
!!! (1 + 𝑑)!
𝑆𝐼𝑅!:!" =  
! 𝛥𝐼!
!!! (1 + 𝑑)!

14
(Fuller & Petersen, 1996) Chapter 6.2.1

18
where

𝑆𝐼𝑅!:!" = Ratio of PV savings to additional PV investment costs of the

alternative relative to the base case.

𝑆! = Savings in year t in operational costs associated with the alternative,

𝛥𝐼! = Additional investment costs in year t associated with the alternative,

t = Year of occurrence (where 0 is the base date),

d = Discount rate, and


N = Number of years in study period.

SIR Formula for Building-Related Projects15

A more practical SIR formula for building-related projects is shown below.


𝛥𝐸 +  𝛥𝑊 +  𝛥𝑂𝑀&𝑅
𝑆𝐼𝑅!:!" =  
𝛥𝐼! +  𝛥𝑅𝑒𝑝𝑙 −  𝛥𝑅𝑒𝑠

where

𝑆𝐼𝑅!:!" = Ratio of PV savings to additional PV investment costs of the

alternative relative to the base case.

ΔE = (𝐸!" −   𝐸!) Energy costs savings attributable to the alternative,

ΔW = (𝑊!" −   𝑊!) Water costs savings attributable to the alternative,

ΔOM&R = (𝑂𝑀&𝑅!" −   𝑂𝑀&𝑅!) Savings in OM&R costs,

𝛥𝐼! = (𝐼! −   𝐼!") Additional initial investment cost required for the

alternative relative to the base case,

ΔRepl = (𝑅𝑒𝑝𝑙! −   𝑅𝑒𝑝𝑙!") Difference in capital replacement costs,

ΔRes = (𝑅𝑒𝑠! −   𝑅𝑒𝑠!") Difference in residual value, and

Where, all amounts are in present value.

15
(Fuller & Petersen, 1996) Chapter 6.2.2

19
Summary of SIR

An alternative can be considered cost-efficient compared to the base case when

the SIR value is higher than 1.0. The value 1.0 of SIR means no cost benefit in a assigned
study period. In other words, the savings in operation offsets the additional investment

cost with the exact same cash amounts. Thus, the SIR, greater than 1.0, represents the
equivalent conclusion to the Net Savings greater than zero does.

Payback

There are two type of the payback method frequently used in the economic

analysis: simple payback (SPB) and discounted payback (DPB). These payback methods
provide the number of year that additional investment will be fully offset by the savings

in operation. SPB, which is more frequently used, does not use discounted cash flows in

the payback calculation. In most practical applications the SPB also ignores any changes
in prices (e.g., energy price escalation) during the payback period. The acceptable SPB

for a project is also typically set at an arbitrary time period often considerably less than
its expected service period. The SPB for a project will generally be shorter than its DPB

since undiscounted cash flows are greater than their discounted counterparts (assuming a

positive discount rate). DPB is the preferred method of computing the payback

period for a project because it requires that cash flows occurring each year be

discounted to present value before accumulating them as savings and costs. If the

DPB is less than the length of the service period used in the analysis, the project is

generally cost effective(Fuller & Petersen, 1996).

20
General Formula for Payback16

The payback is the minimum number of years, y, for which


!
(𝑆! − Δ𝐼! )
  ≥  Δ𝐼!
(1 + 𝑑)!
!!!

where
y = Minimum length of time (usually years) over which future net cash

flows have to be accumulated to offset initial investment costs,

S! = Savings in operational costs in year t associated with a given alternative,

ΔI! = Initial investment costs associate with the project alternative,

ΔI! = Additional investment-related costs in year t, other than initial

investment costs, and

d = Discount rate.

Payback Formula for Building-Related Projects 17

A formula more specific to energy and water conservation projects in buildings

can be stated as:

Minimum number of years, y, for which


!
(𝛥𝐸! +   𝛥𝑊! +  𝛥𝑂𝑀&𝑅! −  𝛥𝑅𝑒𝑝𝑙! +  𝛥𝑅𝑒𝑠! )
  ≥   𝛥𝐼!
(1 + 𝑑)!
!!!

where

16
(Fuller & Petersen, 1996) Chapter 6.4.1
17
(Fuller & Petersen, 1996) Chapter 6.2.2

21
ΔE = (𝐸!" −   𝐸!) Savings in energy costs in year t,

ΔW = (𝑊!" −   𝑊!) Savings in water costs in year t,

ΔOM&R = (𝑂𝑀&𝑅!" −   𝑂𝑀&𝑅!) Difference in OM&R costs in year t,

𝛥𝐼! = (𝐼! −   𝐼!") Additional initial investment cost,

ΔRepl = (𝑅𝑒𝑝𝑙! −   𝑅𝑒𝑝𝑙!") Difference in capital replacement costs in

year t,

ΔRes = (𝑅𝑒𝑠! −   𝑅𝑒𝑠!") Difference in residual value in year t (usually

zero in all but the last year of the study period), and

d = Discount rate.

Summary of Payback

In both general formula and formula for building-related projects, simple payback
and discounted payback are calculated; when discount rate, d, is zero, the minimum year

is considered as a simple payback, and when discount rate has a certain value, the

minimum year represents a discounted payback.

22
CHAPTER 4

ENERGY MODELS

This chapter focuses on the energy consumption component in the LCC analysis.

Energy consumptions differ by regions and building types, so selection of climate zones

and standard building types is the first step in conducting an energy consumption
assessment, e.g. through energy simulation. This chapter introduces the building types,

climate zones, and HVAC systems used in the comparative LCC analysis.

Building Types

We use DOE published reference buildings (with their published EnergyPlus

energy models) as the conventional base cases. The alternative of each base case is the

same building but now equipped with a VRF system.


The DOE reference building models represent reasonably realistic building

characteristics and construction practices. Fifteen commercial building types and one
multifamily residential building were determined by consensus between DOE, the

National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, and

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. The purpose of these models is to represent new
and existing buildings. The reference building models are used for many types of

building research, e.g. to assess new technologies; optimize designs; analyze advanced

controls; develop energy codes and standards; and to conduct lighting, daylighting,
ventilation, and indoor air quality studies. They also provide a common starting point to

measure the progress of DOE energy efficiency goals for commercial buildings(M Deru
et al., 2011).

Since these reference models are able to represent almost seventy percent of all

commercial buildings, assigning these models as the base case for our LCC analysis

means that the results apply to a large section of building environment. This study applies

23
the LCC analysis to six types of building out of the fifteen commercial reference building

types developed by DOE. The Table 2 shows the building types used in this study.
Table 2 Reference building types

Building Type Model Specification

Office
Medium Office 53,630sf
3 floors

Education
Primary School 73,960sf
2 floors

Lodging
Small Hotel 43,200sf
4 floors

Retail
Standalone Retail 24,689sf
1 floor

Multifamily residential
Mid-rise Apartment 33,600sf
4 floors

Health care, inpatient


Hospital
241,350sf
5 floors

24
Climate Zones

Climate zones have been already developed by U.S. Department of Energy to be

applied for the analysis of energy efficiency. These zones were developed according to
the several criteria in order to include all types of climate in the USA. The biggest

criterion for the classification of climate zones is population because it represents the
distribution of building across the entire country. Briggs et al. (2003) developed a climate

zone classification system for DOE and ASHRAE Standard 90.1-2004 based on

SAMSON (NCDC 1993) weather data(M Deru et al., 2011).Figure 1 shows the all
classification of climate zones in the United States. Major divisions are hot, cold, warm,

and mixed climate, and subdivisions are moist, dry, and marine climate. Plus, PNNL has

developed a list of representative cities for each climate zone

Figure 10 Climate zone classification18

18
(M Deru et al., 2011) Credit: Briggs et al. [2003]; DOE [2005],

25
Since the VRF system has been shown to have no significant energy saving in the

totally heating dominant (cold) climate zone, this study targets eleven selected climate
zones and representative cities from above classifications. Selected climate zones are

shown in Table 3.
Table 3 Climate zones and representative cities
Climate  Zone   Location   Characteristic  
1A   Miami,  Florida   Very  hot  and  humid  
2A   Houston,  Texas   Hot  and  humid  
2B   Phoenix,  Arizona   Hot  and  dry  
3A   Atlanta,  Georgia   Warm  and  humid  
3B   Las  Vegas,  Nevada   Warm  and  dry  
3C   San  Francisco,  California   Warm  and  marine  
4A   Baltimore,  Maryland   Mixed  and  humid  
4B   Albuquerque,  New  Mexico   Mixed  and  dry  
4C   Seattle,  Washington   Mixed  and  marine  
5A   Chicago,  Illinois   Cool  and  humid  
5B   Boulder,  Colorado   Cool  and  dry  

HVAC System Modeling

This study conducts the energy simulation in order to derive energy consumption

of reference buildings and their VRF alternative. This study uses EnergyPlus as a

simulation tool and selects reference buildings modeled in EnergyPlus by DOE as base

case. EnergyPlus is a whole building energy simulation tool widely used worldwide to
predict energy consumption of a building. The simulation outcome is used to quantify

energy costs of the base case and the alternative case for each building type per

representative climate location. The current version of EnergyPlus offers a VRF system
for cooling and heating operation, but not heat recovery. A heat recovery module is in

development. Research is also underway to calibrate EnergyPlus to real world VRF

operation (FSEC 2012). In this study we have used what is currently available in

26
EnergyPlus, and have used workarounds for modeling of the outdoor air supply and

potential heat recovery. This will be discussed later.

HVAC System of Base Case

In accordance with the building types section, the reference models developed by

DOE are used as the base cases for the LCC analysis for each building type. All building
parameters required for the energy simulation are identical to the parameters in the

reference buildings, established by DOE. Detailed information are found in (M Deru et

al., 2011). Table 4 shows the summary of HVAC systems of the base cases, i.e. for each
building type.
Table 4 Summary of HVAC system of base case for each building type
Reference HVAC System Type
Building Type
Heating Cooling Distribution
Medium MZ VAV with
Furnace PACU
Office electricity reheat
Standalone
Furnace PACU SZ CAV
Retail
ISH (Individual space
Small Hotel IRAC, PACU SZ CAV
heating), Furnace
Primary
Boiler PACU CAV
School
Mid-rise
Furnace PACU-SS SZ CAV
Apartment
Hospital
Boiler Chiller-water cooled CAV and VAV

where
PACU = Packaged air-conditioning unit
ISH = Individual space heating
IRAC = Individual room air conditioner
MZ = Multi zones
SZ = Single zone
VAV = Variable air volume
CAV = Constant air volume
SS = Split system

27
VRF System

Variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems are used in this study as the alternative

for each building type. VRF systems consist mainly of a compressor unit, also known as
outdoor unit, and several indoor fan coil units. The compressor unit is normally installed

on the roof or in other suitable building attached outdoor area. It provides cooled and
heated refrigerant through relatively small piping for space cooling and space heating.

Typically, VRF systems are air-cooled systems, but they also come as water-cooled

system. Simplified diagram of the VRF system is shown in Figure 11.


VR F
Outdoor  Unit
Building
2nd  Floor
Refrigerant  Flow

Indoor  Unit

Zone  1
Off

Zone  2 Zone  3
Cooling Cooling

1st  Floor

Zone  4 Zone  7
Heating Heating

Zone  5 Zone  6 Zone  8


Cooling Off Cooling

Figure 11 VRF system diagram


The major beneficial feature is to cool some zones and heat the other zones

simultaneously by transferring heat surpluses from a zone that needs cooling to a zone

that needs heating. VRF systems allow heat recovery to be applied between cooling
requiring zones and heating requiring zones with additional energy consumption. The

compressor unit uses variable refrigerant flow and is controlled by a variable-speed drive,
which may operate more efficiently than conventional compressors of similar size; the

complexity of the variable refrigerant flow compressor and controls results in

28
significantly more expensive compressor units than comparable conventional

systems(Thornton & Wagner, 2012). The indoor fan coil units can be installed on the
wall, in the ceiling, or in the wall. Fan coil units provide space cooling and heating by

recirculating inside air. Since VRF systems do not operate with an air duct system, a dual
system is required for supplying outdoor air. This is usually done with a separate HVAC

unit, commonly called a dedicated outside air system (DOAS) (Thornton & Wagner,

2012).
Enabling space cooling and heating simultaneously by trading resources between

multiple zones is the most energy efficient feature of VRF systems. This distinguished

feature can furthermore allow VRF systems to avoid over cooling or heating.
Conventional systems, such as the VAV with reheat system serving multiple zones with

high variability in internal loads, have a hard time avoiding energy inefficiency. For
instance, in the cooling season, it provides all zones with a cooled air that meets the

almost lowest temperature requirement; consequently in some zones, the supplied air

needs to be reheated to reach the set point of those zones. This procedure leads to
additional energy consumption. As for VRF system modeling, VRF systems are modeled

based on the modeling method as explained in the Engineering Reference (US DOE,
2013). In the comparative analysis, the alternative case is modeled by replacing the

conventional HVAC system by the VRF system. All other reference model parameters,

such as occupancy, lighting, plug loads, etc., are identical in base case and alternative.

Modeling outdoor air component with VRF systems in the EnergyPlus has two

options: adding DOAS to VRF systems and virtual component embedded in VRF

systems. Basically, VRF systems do not have a component that supplies outdoor air into
conditioned zones, the systems only function is to supply space heating and cooling by

circulating inside air through a fan coil unit in the zone (supplied by hot or cold

refrigerant). This implies that the VRF equipped building needs an additional system that
supplies and conditions fresh (outdoor) air. Typically, a separate dedicated outside air

29
system (DOAS) will be used. DOAS are not unique to VRF systems and are used with

many different types of systems, especially systems that do not deliver heating and
cooling using air from a central source but use water or refrigerant. This includes chilled

and hot water fan coils, WSHPs, radiant cooling and heating, and conventional split
systems(Thornton & Wagner, 2012). The current EnergyPlus, version 8.0, enables VRF

system itself to supply outdoor air, assuming VRF systems have an internal unit

conveying outdoor air into conditioned zones. Figure 12 indicates how to supply outdoor
air by the VRF system with DOAS or sole VRF system. Plus, the method that adds

DOAS to VRF systems requires a bunch of additional work. After all, if both methods

yield the same results, the method, allows VRF systems to supply outdoor air, would be
the fast way of modeling, shortening by a large amount the effort and time for modeling

the systems. Therefore, comparing one option to the other option is the prior work to
decide outdoor-air system.

Figure 12 VRF system modeling diagram with or without DOAS


This comparison analysis is done in standalone retail building type because it has

the smallest number of zones. The Table 5, Table 6, Table 7, Table 8, Table 9, and Table
10 shows the results of the comparison of VRF with DOAS and VRF only in each

assigned climate zone. Each comparative analysis includes EUI of electric heating,

electric cooling, total electricity, and gas heating.  

30
Table 5 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Miami and Houston
Climate  
Comparative  Charts  
Zones  

Elec.  Heating   Elec.  Cooling  


0.05    8    
0.04    6    

BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  
0.03    5    
0.02    3    
0.01    2    
0.00    -­‐    
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12  
Month   Month  
1A      
Miami  
Elec.  Total  Energy     Gas.  Heating  
 20     0.0005  
 15     0.0004  
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  
 10     0.0003  
0.0002  
 5    
0.0001  
 -­‐     0.0000  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
VRF  +  DOAS   VRF  only  
   

Elec.  Heating   Elec.  Cooling  


2.50    9    
2.00    8    
 6    
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  

1.50  
 5    
1.00  
 3    
0.50    2    
0.00    -­‐    
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12  
Month   Month  
2A      
Houston  
Elec.  Total  Energy     Gas.  Heating  
 25     0.06  
 20     0.05  
BTU/sf  

0.04  
BTU/sf  

 15    
0.03  
 10    
0.02  
 5    
0.01  
 -­‐     0.00  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12  
Month   Month  
VRF  +  DOAS   VRF  only  
   

31
Table 6 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Phoenix and Atlanta
Climate  
Comparative  Charts  
Zones  

Elec.  Heating   Elec.  Cooling  


1.60    8    

1.20    6    

BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  
 5    
0.80  
 3    
0.40    2    
0.00    -­‐    
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
2B      
Phoenix  
Elec.  Total  Energy     Gas.  Heating  
 20    
0.0045  
 15    
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  
 10     0.0030  

 5     0.0015  

 -­‐     0.0000  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12  
Month   Month  
VRF  +  DOAS   VRF  only  
   

Elec.  Heating   Elec.  Cooling  


4.00    5    
3.20    4    
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  

2.40    3    
1.60    2    
0.80    1    
0.00    -­‐    
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
3A      
Atlanta   0.60  
Elec.  Total  Energy     0.50   Gas.  Heating  
 20     0.40  
BTU/sf  

0.30  
 15    
0.20  
BTU/sf  

 10     0.10  
0.00  
 5    
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
 -­‐     Month  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12  
Month  
VRF  +  DOAS   VRF  only  
   

32
Table 7 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Las Vegas and San Francisco
Climate  
Zones  
Comparative  Charts  

2.50   Elec.  Heating   Elec.  Cooling  


 6    
2.00  
 5    

BTU/sf  
1.50    4    

BTU/sf  
1.00    3    
0.50    2    
0.00    1    
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12    -­‐    
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month  
Month  
3B      
Las  Vegas  
Elec.  Total  Energy     Gas.  Heating  
 20     0.05  
 15     0.04  
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  
 10     0.03  
0.02  
 5    
0.01  
 -­‐     0.00  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
VRF  +  DOAS   VRF  only  
   

Elec.  Heating   Elec.  Cooling  


1.60   0.20  

1.20   0.15  
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  

0.80   0.10  

0.40   0.05  

0.00   0.00  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
3C      
San  Francisco   1.00  
Elec.  Total  Energy     0.80   Gas.  Heating  
 12    
BTU/sf  

0.60  
 11    
 11     0.40  
BTU/sf  

 10     0.20  
 10     0.00  
 9     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
 9     Month  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12  
Month  
VRF  +  DOAS   VRF  only  
   

33
Table 8 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Baltimore and Albuquerque
Climate  
Zones  
Comparative  Charts  

Elec.  Heating   Elec.  Cooling  


4.50  
6.00  
3.60  
5.00  

BTU/sf  
4.00   2.70  

BTU/sf  
3.00   1.80  
2.00   0.90  
1.00   0.00  
0.00   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month  
4A   Month  
   
Baltimore  
Elec.  Total  Energy     Gas.  Heating  
 20     0.45  
 15     0.36  
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  
 10     0.27  
0.18  
 5    
0.09  
 -­‐     0.00  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
VRF  +  DOAS   VRF  only  
   

Elec.  Heating   Elec.  Cooling  


3.50   2.50  
2.80   2.00  
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  

2.10   1.50  
1.40   1.00  
0.70   0.50  
0.00   0.00  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
4B      
Albuquerque  
Elec.  Total  Energy     Gas.  Heating  
 15     0.08  

 10     0.06  
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  

0.04  
 5    
0.02  
 -­‐     0.00  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
VRF  +  DOAS   VRF  only  
   

34
Table 9 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Seattle and Chicago
Climate  
Comparative  Charts  
Zones  

Elec.  Heating   Elec.  Cooling  


2.00   0.35  
1.50   0.28  

BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  
0.21  
1.00  
0.14  
0.50   0.07  
0.00   0.00  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
4C      
Seattle  
Elec.  Total  Energy     Gas.  Heating  
 8     0.012  
 6     0.009  
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  
 4     0.006  
 2     0.003  
 -­‐     0.000  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
VRF  +  DOAS   VRF  only  
   

Elec.  Heating   Elec.  Cooling  


7.50   4.00  
6.00   3.20  
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  

4.50   2.40  
3.00   1.60  
1.50   0.80  
0.00   0.00  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
5A      
Chicago  
Elec.  Total  Energy     Gas.  Heating  
 20     1.20  
 15     0.90  
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  

 10     0.60  
 5     0.30  
 -­‐     0.00  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
VRF  +  DOAS   VRF  only  
   

35
Table 10 Results of comparison of VRF + DOAS with VRF only in Boulder
Climate  
Comparative  Charts  
Zones  

Elec.  Heating   Elec.  Cooling  


6.00   2.00  

4.50   1.60  

BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  
1.20  
3.00  
0.80  
1.50   0.40  
0.00   0.00  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
5B      
Boulder  
Elec.  Total  Energy     Gas.  Heating  
 20     0.80  
 15     0.60  
BTU/sf  

BTU/sf  
 10     0.40  
 5     0.20  
 -­‐     0.00  
1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  
Month   Month  
VRF  +  DOAS   VRF  only  
   

Charts in all climate zones show tiny differences in heating, cooling, and total

electricity. Some cities have almost identical profiles. However, there is a big difference

during the heating season. This is because that the sole VRF system does not use gas, for
cooling nor for heating. However, in the VRF system with DOAS case, the supply of

outdoor can apply pre-heating by gas. Even though there seems to be a big difference in
the charts of gas heating, the actual EUI values of gas heating are very minor relative to

those of electricity. Hence, the difference in gas heating is negligible in total.

Consequently, it is concluded that virtual outdoor air systems perform almost identical to
DOAS so that the modeling method, in which VRF systems includes virtual outdoor air

system, can be used all alternatives compared in this study.

36
CHAPTER 5

COST DATA FOR LCC ANALYSIS

According to the chapter 3, an LCC analysis requires initial investment costs,

energy costs, water costs, OM&R costs, and residual value of both the base case,

conventional HVAC systems, and the alternative, VRF system. Our LCC does not
include water costs. Although energy savings lead to potential water usage reductions at

the power plant generation side, these reductions are not directly visible as cost savings
for the individual building owner.

Initial Investment Cost

In LCCA studies, the cost differences between alternatives are usually important,

not the absolute costs. Initial costs therefore only need to be developed for the
components that vary between considered alternatives(Reidy et al., 2005). The initial

investment costs for this study will therefore only include the installation costs of HVAC
systems. The installation costs of HVAC systems are derived from (RS Means square

foot cost data, 2012). The cost figures in this square foot cost section were derived from

approximately 11,200 projects contained in the RSMeans database of completed


construction projects; they include the contractor’s overhead and profit, but do not

generally include architectural fees or land costs (Balboni & Company, 2003). Square

foot costs in the (RS Means, 2012) provide three costs: ¼, median, and ¾, shown in
Table 11. The 1⁄4 column shows the cost point where 25% of the projects had lower costs

and 75% had higher. The 3⁄4 column shows the cost point where 75% of the projects had
lower costs and 25% had higher. The median column shows that 50% of the projects had

lower costs and 50% had higher(Balboni & Company, 2003). Since current cost data

sources do not include cost data of VRF systems because VRF systems are new in the

United States, the initial costs of reference buildings can refer to those sources. Medium

37
costs are used for initial costs because they can be applied to different locations fairly

accurately by multiplying with location factor explained next section in this chapter.
Table 11 Initial investment costs of base cases per building type19
Types 1/4 MEDIAN 3/4
Office 13.35 16.25 19.45
Retail 12.05 15.8 33.35
School 9.65 11.9 16
Hotel 9.1 14.5 20.5
Apartment 24.5 31 43.5
Hospital 15.1 20.8 39.65

AS for the VRF system case, since more important than total initial cost is

incremental cost for the VRF system relative to the base cases (Thornton & Wagner,

2012), adding incremental costs to the initial costs of base cases, introduced in Table 11
is used to establish initial costs of VRF systems. Several preceding studies conducted to

figure out the incremental costs from the conventional systems. Table 12 shows the
incremental costs of VRF systems relative to the other systems.
Table 12 Incremental costs of VRF systems from other systems20
Chilled Packaged
Notes Source
Water VAV VAV
0% to 22% - ASHRAE article, multiple sources Goetzler, 2007
Amarnath and Blatt,
5% to 20% - Published article, various sources
2008
Office projects, two retrofit projects,
- $2.68/ft ! EES Consulting, 2011
contractor cost estimate

Medical clinic, cost estimate,


- $2/ft ! BPA 2012b
new construction

Community college mixed use, VRF


- $3.50/ft ! retrofit actual cost compared to VAV BPA 2012c
estimated cost

19
RSMeans Mechanical Cost Data 2012, 50 17
20
(Thornton & Wagner, 2012)

38
According to the Table 12, incremental costs vary with system type and building
characteristics. Hence, for this study, an average value of the incremental costs from

Table 12 is calculated. This average cost is in the range from $ 2.2/ft ! to $ 3/ft ! , which

matches the range of extra costs compared to the chilled water VAV. As stated in

(Thornton, 2012), since LCC analyses are to compare the difference between the base
case and the alternative, a calculated average of incremental costs can be applied to our

LCC analysis. The initial costs of the VRF system are computed by adding the

incremental costs, $ 3/ft ! , to the initial costs of the reference systems. Table 13 shows the

initial costs of both alternatives, VRF systems, and base cases buildings, that this study
utilizes for LCC.
Table 13 Initial costs of both VRF and base cases
Alternative (VRF) Base cases
Types
$/ft ! $/ft !
Office 19.25 16.25
Retail 18.8 15.8
School 14.9 11.9
Hotel 17.5 14.5
Apartment 34 31
Hospital 23.8 20.8

OM&R Costs and Replacement Costs

According to the formula for LCC in Chapter 3, LCC analyses require OM&R

costs and replacement costs except for initial costs and residual value. Our study
accumulated OM&R costs and replacement costs and simplified them to be used as

annually recurring uniform costs.


VRF system maintenance and repair costs items are introduced in Table 14 in a

recent GSA study(Thornton & Wagner, 2012). It concerned a medium size hypothetical

39
office (48,000 ft2) for which an LCC analysis was conducted. The VRF system is

assumed to have a DOAS using a constant air volume roof top unit with gas heat.
Maintenance and repair costs for VRF system are estimated to be 0.2 $/ft2/yr (Thornton

& Wagner, 2012).

Table 14 Typical OM&R costs data of VRF systems


Maintenance Component Frequency Years # of Cost Event

Fan coil filter change 1 20

Check/clean condensate system 1 20

Fan coil motor replacement 10 1


Refrigerant replacement 10 1

Incremental Replacement 15 1

OM&R costs for the base cases are derived from existing studies. The data from
these preceding studies are calculated as dollar values at the time these studies were

conducted. Thus, they need to be converted to the dollar value of 2012 using the custom
price index (CPI) factor that the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics provides a CPI every

year. The CPI is a time series measure of the price level of consumer goods and services.

The cost data in a past year has to be adjusted to the current year when conducting the
LCC analysis. The accompanying calculator (to be introduced later) contains the CPI data

and converts costs data to the current year automatically (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics,
2013). Table 15 indicates the CPI factor used for this conversion. Both past dollar values

from the used studies and their translation to current dollar values are shown in Table 16.

40
Table 15 Custom price indexes (CPI)21
Year CPI Factors
1983 average 99.6
1999 average 166.6
2000 average 172.2
2012 average 229.6

Table 16 Typical OM&R costs data of base cases


Converted to 2012
Study Study year $/ft2
$/ft2
(M A Martin & Durfee, 1999) 0.20 0.27

(Michaela A Martin, Madgett, & Hughes, 2000) 0.21 0.28

ASHRAE 2012 for 16 Georgia office buildings 0.29 0.29


ASHRAE Owning and Operating Cost
0.25 0.25
Database22

Standard maintenance for a VRF system is similar to that of any DX system and
consists mainly of changing filters and cleaning coils; because there are no water pumps

to maintain or air ducts to be cleaned in a VRF system, less maintenance is required


compared to other technologies (A.Bhatia, 2011). According to this statement, the value

of the ASHRAE Owning and Operating Costa Database, $ 0.25/ft2, is used in the LCCA,

which is a bit higher than that of VRF systems.

21
Source: U.S. Department Of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics Washington, D.C. 20212 Consumer Price
Index
22
Source from http://xp20.ashrae.org/publicdatabase/default.asp, ASHRAE Owing and Operating Cost
Database, Equipment Life/Maintenance Cost Survey, ASHRAE Research Project 1237-TRP

41
Energy Costs

Operational energy costs is the key component in the life-cycle cost of HVAC

systems. In order to establish the energy cost data for the LCC, 132 energy models, at
first, are created for the 6 building types, 11 climates zones, and 2different HVAC

systems as explained in chapter 4. These simulations provide annual energy consumption

per m! of both electricity and natural gas (kWh/m! /year.) Table 17 and Table 18 show

the outcomes of the simulations for the base cases, i.e. annual energy use intensities of
electricity and natural gas for base cases, respectively; Table 19 and Table 20 show the

results for the VRF variants.

Table 17 Annual Energy Use Intensity of electricity in kWh/m2 /year for base cases
Electricity
Climate Zones
Office Retail School Hotel Hospital Apartment

1A Miami, Florida 159.82 190.61 167.67 181.32 352.53 102.91


2A Houston, Texas 156.69 173.05 151.94 166.90 337.22 91.30
2B Phoenix, Arizona 162.09 177.53 158.67 171.88 306.56 99.11
3A Atlanta, Georgia 146.02 151.92 135.82 155.09 317.13 82.18
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 150.76 147.88 141.32 156.41 309.48 86.96
3C San Francisco, California 138.73 115.21 119.93 138.11 277.64 70.15
4A Baltimore, Maryland 151.06 143.80 129.87 148.05 313.05 76.95
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 143.53 138.34 127.34 145.71 313.05 75.83
4C Seattle, Washington 141.18 123.68 115.77 134.20 275.82 68.02
5A Chicago, Illinois 154.91 139.64 125.15 146.15 300.94 74.54
5B Boulder, Colorado 143.15 133.66 120.91 141.29 284.75 72.02

42
Table 18 Annual Energy Use Intensity of natural gas in kWh/m2 /year for base cases
Natural Gas
Climate Zones
Office Retail School Hotel Hospital Apartment

1A Miami, Florida 1.27 0.40 14.66 31.04 145.89 14.55


2A Houston, Texas 1.80 20.29 26.39 40.75 166.45 25.62
2B Phoenix, Arizona 1.39 16.14 23.10 36.40 199.86 19.85
3A Atlanta, Georgia 3.71 43.00 38.12 49.37 162.71 34.94
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 1.84 35.30 29.92 43.56 154.12 26.52
3C San Francisco, California 1.86 42.44 38.66 50.43 197.56 29.46
4A Baltimore, Maryland 7.11 82.93 60.68 61.91 194.94 52.42
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 3.41 59.13 45.37 54.01 194.94 40.25
4C Seattle, Washington 3.20 82.69 52.04 61.28 193.42 48.01
5A Chicago, Illinois 13.52 124.08 83.68 75.04 207.10 74.51
5B Boulder, Colorado 7.06 89.08 61.86 64.35 154.08 56.48

Table 19 Annual Energy Use Intensity of electricity in kWh/m2 /year for VRF systems
Electricity
Climate Zones
Office Retail School Hotel Hospital Apartment

4,982 2,294 6,871 4,014 22,422 3,135


1A Miami, Florida 139.93 155.57 136.37 143.20 238.60 87.48
2A Houston, Texas 133.55 150.25 130.92 137.20 228.27 84.19
2B Phoenix, Arizona 136.92 151.15 130.95 139.63 230.55 86.95
3A Atlanta, Georgia 126.67 140.93 125.99 131.71 228.88 80.59
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 129.70 140.10 125.74 133.76 217.68 80.43
3C San Francisco, California 115.94 121.86 115.89 122.17 195.43 69.50
4A Baltimore, Maryland 126.65 147.31 125.20 130.91 213.44 83.12
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 123.61 135.91 121.86 127.67 209.97 77.79
4C Seattle, Washington 119.01 133.04 118.54 124.25 199.48 76.67
5A Chicago, Illinois 127.54 151.67 125.92 134.12 216.85 85.37
5B Boulder, Colorado 122.47 141.50 122.08 129.02 211.31 76.71

43
Table 20 Annual Energy Use Intensity of natural gas in kWh/m2 /year for VRF systems
Natural Gas
Climate Zones
Office Retail School Hotel Hospital Apartment

4,982 2,294 6,871 4,014 22,422 3,135


1A Miami, Florida 1.27 0.00 13.85 30.49 22.47 22.47
2A Houston, Texas 1.94 0.36 14.80 33.96 23.59 23.59
2B Phoenix, Arizona 1.40 0.01 14.33 31.97 22.95 22.95
3A Atlanta, Georgia 3.81 3.07 15.66 37.29 24.67 24.67
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 1.97 0.21 14.96 34.37 23.72 23.72
3C San Francisco, California 1.86 - 16.15 39.50 25.39 25.39
4A Baltimore, Maryland 8.25 2.78 16.35 39.92 25.52 25.52
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 5.26 0.39 16.22 39.42 25.36 25.36
4C Seattle, Washington 3.24 0.03 16.63 41.28 25.96 25.96
5A Chicago, Illinois 14.91 9.53 16.94 42.22 26.26 26.26
5B Boulder, Colorado 9.48 4.27 16.89 42.10 61.49 61.49

Energy costs are calculated by multiplying the energy use intensity with building
floor area and energy prices for electricity and natural gas. There are two methods of

applying energy prices: one is to use constant energy prices over all states with the U.S.

average of electricity and natural gas, and the other is to apply various “local” energy
prices for each state. The latter method leads to more regionalized and therefore more

realistic results than the former does. This study utilizes the latter method, various energy
prices. Different unit prices of electricity and natural gas for each climate zone are shown

in Table 21 (U.S. Energy Information Administration).

44
Table 21 Energy Prices for each climate zone23

Climate Zone Electricity ($/KWh) Natural Gas ($/therm)


Representative City Residential Commercial Residential Commercial

1A Miami, Florida 0.13 0.12 1.76 1.09

2A Houston, Texas 0.11 0.1 0.96 0.72

2B Phoenix, Arizona 0.11 0.09 1.49 0.87

3A Atlanta, Georgia 0.11 0.11 1.54 0.94

3B Las Vegas, Nevada 0.1 0.09 0.95 0.63

3C San Francisco, California 0.14 0.14 1.00 0.76

4A Baltimore, Maryland 0.12 0.12 1.29 1.05

4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 0.13 0.12 0.94 0.67

4C Seattle, Washington 0.07 0.07 1.16 0.93

5A Chicago, Illinois 0.11 0.1 0.95 0.82

5B Boulder, Colorado 0.12 0.11 0.82 0.73

Cost-Related Factors

Costs vary with locations, building size, and year. According to the description
from the RS Means Square Foot Cost book, the median figures, when multiplied by the

total city construction cost index figures and then multiplied by the project size modifier,

should present a fairly accurate base figure, which should then have to be adjusted in
view of the estimator’s experience, local economic conditions, code requirements, and

the owner’s particular requirement (Balboni & Company, 2003). Thus, in order to

estimate as close to as possible to reality, this study adopts two cost-related factors: city
cost indexes and size modifier factors.

23
Sources from U.S. Energy Information Administration, http://www.eia.gov/

45
Since this study compares LCC cost between different climate zones and uses the

average costs for LCC analysis, adjusting the average costs to the specific local markets
and situations is necessary. As changes occur in local material prices, labor, rates, and

equipment rental rates, the impact of these changes should be accurately measured by the
change in the city cost index for each particular city as compared to the average

(Mossman, Babbitt, Baker, Balboni, & Chiang, 2010). The city cost indexes allow initial

investment costs and OM&R costs to be applied to the LCC analysis to obtain fairly
accurate values. Table 22 indicates the city cost indexes of representative cities, used for

this LCC analysis. The simple calculation of the cost at a specific city is as follow:
𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥  𝑓𝑜𝑟  𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦  𝐴
 𝑋  𝑁𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙  𝑎𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒  𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡 = 𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡  𝑖𝑛  𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦  𝐴
100

Table 22 City cost indexes

Climate Zone, Representative City City Cost Indexes

National Average 100


1A Miami, Florida 82.3
2A Houston, Texas 86.2
2B Phoenix, Arizona 88.5
3A Atlanta, Georgia 88.5
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 86.8
3C San Francisco, California 123.4
4A Baltimore, Maryland 93.3
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 87.7
4C Seattle, Washington 104.2
5A Chicago, Illinois 116.6
5B Boulder, Colorado 91.7

46
The size factors account for the fact that a the larger buildings, typically, have

lower costs per square foot. This is due mainly to the decreasing in contribution of the
exterior walls plus the economy of scale usually achievable in larger buildings (Mossman

et al., 2010). The size factor is derived by dividing the proposed building size by the

typical building, and using this ratio to find the cost multiplier value from the cost
modifier curve, illustrated in Figure 13.

Figure 13 Size modifier curve24

24
Source from (Mossman et al., 2010)

47
CHAPTER 6

FINDINGS FROM LCC ANALYSIS AND ENERGY SAVINGS

ASSESSMENT

Energy Savings

With the results of simulations according to the models explained in Chapter 4,

the reference buildings equipped with conventional HVAC systems and alternative VRF
system are compared with respect to delivered energy consumptions by end energy type,

i.e. electricity and natural gas. Because VRF systems generate heat with electricity

instead of natural gas, which most reference systems use for heating, comparing savings
by end uses separately may illustrate large gaps between electricity and natural gas. In

order to perform a more appropriate comparison between VRF systems and reference
systems, source energy, also known as primary energy, is computed. Source energy

represents the total amount of raw fuel that is required to operate the building; the U.S.

Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has determined that source energy is the most
equitable unit for evaluation (STAR, 2011). Site energy consumption in the form of

electricity and natural gas are converted into source energies multiplied by 3.34 and

1.047, respectively as derived from (STAR, 2011).

Using these factors, an overall comparison of the average savings in energy

consumption of VRF systems over conventional systems can be calculated and averaged
over all building types and locations. The resulting number is 39.6 percent, where the

average per building types over all locations ranges from 29.2 percent, in stand-alone

retail, to 59.9 percent, in hospital. The average saving in total building energy
consumption (taken over al energy consumption in the building) is 16.4 percent, where

48
average for each building types over all locations from 12.5 percent to 38.2 percent.

Percentages of energy savings for each building type are shown in Table 23 and Table 24.
Table 23 Percentages of energy savings in HVAC consumption
Climate Zone Office Retail School Hotel Hospital Apartment

1A Miami 32.1% 34.0% 47.9% 47.1% 57.6% 33.4%


2A Houston 40.7% 31.8% 46.9% 47.1% 61.2% 33.5%
2B Pheonix 40.1% 33.3% 52.2% 46.5% 52.1% 31.7%
3A Atlanta 42.8% 31.2% 43.2% 48.4% 55.7% 38.1%
3B Las Vegas 42.1% 27.1% 48.3% 44.7% 58.5% 37.8%
3C Sanfancisco 65.2% 18.7% 52.8% 52.6% 75.8% 37.4%
4A Baltimore 46.8% 26.2% 46.5% 46.1% 66.2% 45.1%
4B Albuquerque 46.2% 32.0% 45.9% 48.4% 68.5% 41.1%
4C Seattle 57.7% 28.7% 38.3% 44.8% 71.8% 43.4%
5A Chicago 46.5% 25.6% 47.3% 41.0% 62.4% 58.7%
5B Boulder 21.5% 32.8% 14.3% 20.0% 29.4% 31.0%

Average 43.8% 29.2% 43.9% 44.2% 59.9% 39.2%

Table 24 Percentages of energy savings in total building energy consumption


Climate Zone Office Retail School Hotel Hospital Apartment

1A Miami 12.4% 18.4% 18.3% 20.0% 38.3% 14.5%


2A Houston 14.7% 16.2% 15.4% 17.7% 39.5% 13.1%
2B Pheonix 15.5% 17.2% 18.4% 18.4% 35.6% 13.4%
3A Atlanta 13.1% 14.2% 11.4% 15.9% 35.7% 13.5%
3B Las Vegas 13.9% 11.8% 13.5% 15.0% 37.1% 13.4%
3C Sanfancisco 16.4% 5.2% 8.4% 12.6% 40.1% 6.2%
4A Baltimore 15.7% 12.7% 12.5% 14.4% 40.8% 18.5%
4B Albuquerque 13.4% 13.3% 10.3% 13.9% 41.8% 13.2%
4C Seattle 15.6% 11.1% 6.3% 10.6% 38.3% 11.3%
5A Chicago 16.9% 13.4% 13.3% 13.2% 38.5% 29.9%
5B Boulder 13.7% 11.6% 9.2% 11.9% 34.1% 23.2%

Average 14.7% 13.2% 12.5% 14.9% 38.2% 15.5%

49
Preceding studies similar to ours have reported a variety of saving percentages in

HVAC energy consumptions depending on building types and base cases. According to
the (Thornton & Wagner, 2012), the average energy savings over different studies

amounts to 38.3 percent; detailed information from these studies is shown in Table 25,
directly from (Thornton & Wagner, 2012).
Table 25 Potential HVAC only energy savings from VRF systems compared to other systems
Water-
Chilled Packaged Pakaged Air-Source
Source Source Heat
Water, VAV VAV CAV Heat Pump
Pump

Hart and
62% 39% 49%
Campbell, 2012

LG, 2011 36% 49% 13%

Goetzler, 2007 34%

EES
Consulting,
2011 - from
33% 29% 33%
Aynur 2010,
Amarnath and
Blatt, 2008

EES, 2011 43% 23%

LG, 2012 55%

Average 38.3%

As the table shows, the reported energy savings range from 13 percent to 55

percent. Our study shows similar ranges in resulting energy saving, i.e. ranging from 29.2
percent to 59.9 percent. Moreover, our average is close to the average found in other

studies.

50
LCC Results

Using the cost (adjustment) factors explained in the previous chapters, and using a

life span of 20 years, the life-cycle cost analysis generates five outputs: total life-cycle
costs in study year, net savings, simple payback, discounted payback, and saving-to-

investment ratios. A summary of the factors applying to is shown in Table 26.


Table 26 Summary of general information for LCC

Building Type 6 building types

Building Location
Climate Zone 11 climate zones
City According to the climate zones
Building Area According to the building types

Life cycle study period     20 years


   
Discount rate 3.0%
   
Electricity unit rate     According to the climate zones
Natural gas unit rate     According to the climate zones

Typical SF According to the building types


Size Factor According to the building types and sizes

Locator Factor According to the climate zones

Additional information for the base cases and alternative VRF cases, such as

energy consumption data, generated by the EnergyPlus simulations, initial investment

costs, and simplified OM&R costs, which are embedded to LCC calculations. The results
of total life-cycle cost, net savings, simple payback, and discounted payback, are

illustrated in following tables. These results are calculated with various energy prices for

each climate zone.

51
Table 27 Total life-cycle costs of VRF systems per location
Climate Zone VRF System
Representative City Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
1A Miami, Florida $2,165,140 $979,396 $2,968,324 $2,076,443 $1,194,378 $16,695,465
2A Houston, Texas $1,944,950 $867,224 $2,662,793 $1,887,851 $1,105,283 $14,916,714
2B Phoenix, Arizona $1,890,346 $826,042 $2,565,670 $1,851,073 $1,148,376 $14,424,965
3A Atlanta, Georgia $2,019,862 $896,478 $2,792,699 $1,985,936 $1,131,495 $15,986,280
3B Las Vegas, Nevada $1,822,682 $784,611 $2,479,864 $1,784,984 $1,050,940 $13,828,012
3C San Francisco, California $2,562,512 $1,084,815 $3,535,671 $2,535,588 $1,408,960 $19,466,357
4A Baltimore, Maryland $2,182,205 $991,755 $2,994,154 $2,131,878 $1,217,030 $16,564,672
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico $2,079,757 $918,195 $2,846,047 $2,007,694 $1,167,229 $15,848,600
4C Seattle, Washington $1,759,309 $737,318 $2,437,828 $1,818,413 $1,068,603 $13,403,439
5A Chicago, Illinois $2,255,772 $1,001,940 $3,062,092 $2,241,616 $1,346,371 $17,006,860
5B Boulder, Colorado $2,028,436 $911,585 $2,784,025 $1,994,256 $1,150,716 $15,855,671
Average $2,064,634 $909,033 $2,829,924 $2,028,703 $1,180,853 $15,817,912

Table 28 Total life-cycle costs of base cases (reference buildings) per location
Climate Zone Reference HVAC System (Baseline)
Representative City Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
1A Miami, Florida $2,254,500 $1,086,028 $3,233,909 $2,278,121 $1,231,452 $22,720,261
2A Houston, Texas $2,024,077 $922,657 $2,777,668 $1,997,119 $1,092,088 $19,554,890
2B Phoenix, Arizona $1,963,493 $883,194 $2,715,292 $1,951,509 $1,158,068 $18,314,282
3A Atlanta, Georgia $2,082,342 $943,731 $2,846,984 $2,083,373 $1,110,565 $20,552,415
3B Las Vegas, Nevada $1,869,322 $794,493 $2,524,401 $1,838,464 $1,031,766 $17,291,201
3C San Francisco, California $2,667,027 $1,032,563 $3,463,900 $2,571,000 $1,331,110 $24,499,391
4A Baltimore, Maryland $2,297,225 $1,040,935 $3,086,518 $2,220,153 $1,175,763 $22,500,242
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico $2,159,771 $935,884 $2,850,616 $2,077,208 $1,117,002 $21,118,944
4C Seattle, Washington $1,760,305 $763,411 $2,379,797 $1,802,195 $1,007,165 $16,736,404
5A Chicago, Illinois $2,329,981 $1,025,279 $3,082,976 $2,263,651 $1,282,572 $21,237,209
5B Boulder, Colorado $2,093,680 $916,390 $2,751,830 $2,024,702 $1,098,346 $19,043,918
Average $2,136,520 $940,415 $2,883,081 $2,100,681 $1,148,718 $20,324,469

52
Table 29 Net savings for all building types and location
Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida $89,359 $106,633 $265,586 $201,678 $37,074 $6,024,797
2A Houston, Texas $79,127 $55,433 $114,875 $109,268 ($13,195) $4,638,175
2B Phoenix, Arizona $73,147 $57,152 $149,622 $100,436 $9,692 $3,889,316
3A Atlanta, Georgia $62,480 $47,254 $54,285 $97,437 ($20,931) $4,566,136
3B Las Vegas, Nevada $46,640 $9,882 $44,538 $53,480 ($19,174) $3,463,189
3C San Francisco, California $104,515 ($52,252) ($71,771) $35,412 ($77,850) $5,033,034
4A Baltimore, Maryland $115,020 $49,179 $92,364 $88,275 ($41,267) $5,935,571
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico $80,015 $17,689 $4,569 $69,513 ($50,227) $5,270,344
4C Seattle, Washington $996 $26,093 ($58,031) ($16,218) ($61,437) $3,332,965
5A Chicago, Illinois $74,209 $23,339 $20,884 $22,035 ($63,799) $4,230,349
5B Boulder, Colorado $65,244 $4,804 ($32,195) $30,446 ($52,371) $3,188,247
Average $71,887 $31,382 $53,157 $71,978 ($32,135) $4,506,557

Table 30 Saving-to-Investment ratio for all building types and location


Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida 1.73 2.95 2.52 2.90 1.46 12.30
2A Houston, Texas 1.62 1.97 1.63 1.98 0.84 9.31
2B Phoenix, Arizona 1.56 1.97 1.80 1.88 1.11 7.78
3A Atlanta, Georgia 1.48 1.80 1.29 1.85 0.76 8.96
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 1.36 1.17 1.24 1.48 0.77 7.16
3C San Francisco, California 1.57 0.36 0.73 1.22 0.36 7.30
4A Baltimore, Maryland 1.83 1.79 1.47 1.73 0.55 10.82
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 1.62 1.30 1.02 1.61 0.41 10.28
4C Seattle, Washington 1.01 1.38 0.74 0.88 0.40 5.94
5A Chicago, Illinois 1.43 1.30 1.08 1.15 0.44 6.60
5B Boulder, Colorado 1.48 1.08 0.83 1.26 0.42 6.37
Average 1.52 1.55 1.30 1.63 0.68 8.44

53
Table 31 Simple payback time for all building types and location
Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida 8 5 6 5 10 1
2A Houston, Texas 9 7 9 7 17 1
2B Phoenix, Arizona 9 7 8 8 13 2
3A Atlanta, Georgia 10 8 12 8 19 1
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 11 13 12 10 19 2
3C San Francisco, California 9 30+ 20 12 30+ 2
4A Baltimore, Maryland 8 9 10 8 25 1
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 9 12 14 9 30+ 1
4C Seattle, Washington 15 11 20 17 30+ 2
5A Chicago, Illinois 10 12 14 13 29 2
5B Boulder, Colorado 10 14 18 12 30+ 2
Average 10 12 13 10 23 2

Table 32 Discounted payback time for all building types and location
Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida 10 5 6 5 12 1
2A Houston, Texas 11 9 11 8 25 1
2B Phoenix, Arizona 11 9 10 9 17 2
3A Atlanta, Georgia 12 10 15 9 29 1
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 13 16 15 12 29 2
3C San Francisco, California 11 30+ 30+ 15 30+ 2
4A Baltimore, Maryland 9 10 13 10 30+ 1
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 11 15 19 11 30+ 1
4C Seattle, Washington 20 14 29 24 30+ 2
5A Chicago, Illinois 13 15 18 17 30+ 2
5B Boulder, Colorado 12 18 25 15 30+ 2
Average 12 14 17 12 27 2

In the calculation of payback time, we assumed the results that mark over 30

years as 30 years.

54
A summary of the findings is given below:

• Since the results of the hospital case and apartment case deviate quite a bit from
the other cases, we will show the overall averages with these outlier cases

excluded. Below the averages for net savings, simple payback, discounted

payback, and saving-to-investment ratio are shown in Table 33: an average over
all building types (Avg. 1), an average that excludes the hospital (Avg. 2), and an

average that excludes both hospital and apartment values (Avg. 3).
Table 33 Averages of outputs

Output Avg. 1 Avg. 2 Avg. 3

Net Savings $ 783,804 $ 39,254 $ 57,101


Simple Payback 12 years 14 years 11 years
Discounted Payback 14 years 16 years 14 years
SIR 2.52 1.34 1.50

• The hospital case shows a significant difference compared to the other cases as
shown in Table 34. One explanation is that the EUI of the reference hospital is

308.02 kWh/m! , which is significantly larger than the average of EUI of the other

building types, which is excluding apartment, ranges from 135.85 to 153.19

kWh/m! . This shows that the EUI of the hospital is twice as large as that of the

others. In other words, energy saving amounts are twice as higher as that of the
other building types even by applying the same percentage of energy savings.

Moreover, the energy savings in hospital is the most significant component in the
LCCA. For this reason, the results of hospital case are much better than those of

the other types.


Table 34 HVAC savings of all building types
Office Retail School Hotel Hospital Apartment

Average 43.8% 29.2% 43.9% 44.2% 59.9% 38.2%

55
• The apartment case, on the other hand, shows opposite results, as shown in Table

34. The EUI of the reference apartment is 81.81 kWh/m! , which is relatively low

compared to the other types. Even though there is 43.8 % of energy savings of

HVAC systems in apartment cases, operational costs savings cannot easily offset

the incremental investment costs. As a result, most apartment cases show the
negative values in net savings.

• Simple paybacks of the reference apartment surpass 20 years in mixed or cool


climate zones. This is because of the lower EUI value and because of higher

heating loads. Given the fact that the conventional systems in the reference
apartment use natural gas for heating, and VRF systems use electricity for

heating, and given the difference between electricity price and natural gas price,
an increase in heating load negatively affect the result of LCC analysis. As a

result the reference apartment show the lower values in mixed and cool climate

zones, as compare to the other zones.

• In the marine climate zone, San Francisco and Seattle, most building types show
lower values relative to the other climate zones. Since these marine climate zones

require less energy for heating and cooling, energy saving costs from VRF

systems typically cannot offset the incremental investments even though VRF
systems yield high operational energy savings by the HVAC systems around 40%.

Overall, the VRF alternatives show substantial energy savings over all building

types and locations. The reference hospital is an especially favorable case, based on the
fact that it consumes a large amount of energy, which leads to a high return on

investment.
The average of simple payback period over all building types and location is 12

years, which presents a compelling case to choose VRF over conventional system.

56
Special consideration for conducting the LCC

A framework for conducting the LCC conducted in our study is illustrated in

Appendix A. Some special considerations are summarized below.

National Energy Prices VS. Regional Prices

Most other preceding studies use the national average energy prices, i.e. nation

wide instead of regionalized energy prices. Using national energy prices provides easy
and quick process of comparisons. Electricity price of commercial and residential are

$0.101/kWh and $1.119/kWh, respectively; natural gas price of commercial and

residential are $0.813/therm and $1.068/therm, respectively.25 To see the difference


between constant prices and regional prices, simple payback and net savings with

constant prices as well as regional prices are shown bellow:

Table 35 Simple payback with national energy prices


Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida 10 6 7 6 11 1
2A Houston, Texas 9 7 9 7 17 1
2B Phoenix, Arizona 8 7 7 7 13 1
3A Atlanta, Georgia 11 9 13 9 24 1
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 10 11 11 9 18 1
3C San Francisco, California 12 30+ 22 15 30+ 2
4A Baltimore, Maryland 9 11 13 10 30+ 1
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 11 11 14 10 30+ 1
4C Seattle, Washington 11 15 24 15 30+ 2
5A Chicago, Illinois 10 12 14 13 30+ 2
5B Boulder, Colorado 11 12 17 12 30+ 2
Average 10 12 14 10 24 1

25
Sources from U.S. Energy Information Administration, http://www.eia.gov/

57
Table 36 Net savings with national energy prices
Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida $53,488 $78,114 $188,237 $147,275 $23,844 $4,646,138
2A Houston, Texas $72,877 $54,229 $109,484 $104,141 ($12,154) $4,655,262
2B Phoenix, Arizona $85,698 $61,435 $165,861 $112,855 $7,667 $3,882,232
3A Atlanta, Georgia $42,156 $33,148 $24,294 $73,413 ($34,177) $3,901,224
3B Las Vegas, Nevada $56,761 $18,054 $63,014 $65,514 ($15,004) $3,951,881
3C San Francisco, California $27,915 ($42,746) ($92,555) ($8,232) ($80,436) $3,866,772
4A Baltimore, Maryland $72,045 $22,351 $30,799 $49,059 ($54,269) $4,573,682
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico $43,353 $23,572 $1,600 $46,701 ($47,866) $4,719,501
4C Seattle, Washington $45,199 ($730) ($91,081) ($8,572) ($87,226) $3,718,955
5A Chicago, Illinois $66,649 $16,532 $5,590 $14,545 ($62,015) $4,051,231
5B Boulder, Colorado $43,179 $13,112 ($24,533) $21,904 ($41,714) $2,931,675
Average $55,393 $25,188 $34,610 $56,237 ($36,668) $4,081,687

Table 37 Difference in simple payback, by subtracting national prices from regional prices
Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) -
2A Houston, Texas - - - - - -
2B Phoenix, Arizona 1 - 1 1 - 1
3A Atlanta, Georgia (1) (1) (1) (1) (5) -
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 1 2 1 1 1 1
3C San Francisco, California (3) - (2) (3) - -
4A Baltimore, Maryland (1) (2) (3) (2) - -
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico (2) 1 0 (1) - -
4C Seattle, Washington 4 (4) (4) 2 - -
5A Chicago, Illinois - - - - - -
5B Boulder, Colorado (1) 2 1 - - -

58
Table 38 Differences in net savings, by subtracting national prices from regional prices
Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida 35,872 28,519 77,349 54,403 13,230 1,378,658
2A Houston, Texas 6,250 1,205 5,391 5,128 (1,041) (17,087)
2B Phoenix, Arizona (12,551) (4,283) (16,239) (12,419) 2,026 7,085
3A Atlanta, Georgia 20,324 14,106 29,991 24,024 13,247 664,911
3B Las Vegas, Nevada (10,121) (8,172) (18,476) (12,034) (4,170) (488,691)
3C San Francisco, California 76,600 (9,506) 20,784 43,643 2,587 1,166,262
4A Baltimore, Maryland 42,975 26,828 61,565 39,215 13,002 1,361,889
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 36,662 (5,883) 2,969 22,812 (2,361) 550,843
4C Seattle, Washington (44,202) 26,822 33,050 (7,646) 25,789 (385,990)
5A Chicago, Illinois 7,560 6,806 15,293 7,490 (1,784) 179,118
5B Boulder, Colorado 22,065 (8,308) (7,662) 8,542 (10,657) 256,572

Numbers in the parentheses are negative numbers. In the simple payback,


negative numbers mean that the payback time calculated with national energy prices is

higher than with regional ones, which indicates the assuming a national price is more

pessimistic that using regional pricing. On the other hand, negative values in the net
savings differences indicate cases where using the national average would lead to more

optimistic results than when using regional pricing. Additional LCC results with constant
energy prices are illustrated in appendix B.

Variation of Incremental Costs and OM&R Costs

Since initial investment costs and maintenance costs are different from locations,

contractors, building types, and etc., and since different literature sources indicate a
variety of ranges, it is worthwhile to study the effect of different cost assumptions on the

resulting life-cycle costs. To do this we use the office and hotel building types in the 3A
Atlanta location as an example. The range of the incremental investment costs is from

$2/ft ! to $5/ft ! , and additional cost of OM&R range from $ 0.08/ft ! less than base cases

to $ 0.05/ft ! more than base cases. These ranges were introduced in chapter 5.

59
Table 39 Discounted payback variations depending on investment and OM&R cost factors
OM&R   Incremental  investment  costs  ($/ft ! )  
differences   Office   Hotel  
($/ft ! )   2   3   4   5   2   3   4   5  
-­‐0.08   7   11   15   21   5   8   12   16  
-­‐0.05   7   12   18   25   6   9   13   18  
-­‐0.02   8   13   19   27   6   10   14   19  
0   9   15   23   30+   7   11   16   21  
0.02   10   17   26   30+   7   12   17   24  
0.05   12   21   30+   30+   8   14   21   27  

Table 40 Saving-to-Investment variations depending on investment and OM&R cost factors

OM&R   Incremental  investment  costs  ($/ft ! )  


differences   Office   Hotel  
($/ft ! )   2   3   4   5   2   3   4   5  
-­‐0.08   2.43   1.62   1.22   0.97   3.00   2.00   1.50   1.20  
-­‐0.05   2.18   1.45   1.09   0.87   2.75   1.83   1.37   1.10  
-­‐0.02   2.07   1.38   1.04   0.83   2.64   1.76   1.32   1.05  
 0     1.85   1.24   0.93   0.74   2.42   1.61   1.21   0.97  
 0.02     1.71   1.14   0.85   0.68   2.27   1.52   1.14   0.91  
 0.05     1.49   1.00   0.75   0.60   2.06   1.37   1.03   0.82  

When the additional investment of the office is over $4/ft ! , the discounted

payback is over 20 years, which is similar to the life span of HVAC systems. SIR values

also turn into less than 1, which means that there is no cost beneficial. According to

above tables, the marginal costs that yield the profit by choosing the VRF alternative for

the office case are $4/ft ! incremental costs with $0.02/ft ! lower OM&R costs or $3/ft !

incremental costs with $0.02/ft ! higher OM&R costs. As for the hotel case, $5/ft !

additional investment costs with $0.02/ft ! lower OM&R costs yield a benefit.

60
CHAPTER 7

CONCLUSION

A comparative analysis of VRF systems as alternative for conventional HVAC

systems is presented. This study investigates two aspects of VRF systems: efficient
energy performance and economic benefits. The analysis leads to the following

conclusions.
VRF systems reduce energy consumption for heating and cooling by an average

of 39.9 percent compared to conventional HVAC systems. All six building types—office,

stand-alone retail, primary school, hotel, apartment, and hospital—are simulated in


eleven climate zones. The hospital reference building yields the most noticeable energy

savings, averaged over 11 climate zones the saving is 59.9 percent. Hotel, school, and
office reference building show the similar although smaller average energy savings

around 44 percent. In terms of climate zones, energy savings are similar in most climate

zones, but VRF systems perform less efficiently in a cool and dry climate, in particular
5B Boulder, compared to the other zones.

VRF systems are also compared to conventional systems through a life-cycle cost

analysis. The LCC analysis evaluates the economic benefit of VRF systems in a study

period of 20 years, with $ 3/ft ! incremental investment costs and $0.05 lower simplified

OM&R costs at a 3% discount rate. The LCC analysis generates four economic values:

net savings, saving-to-investment ratio, simple payback, and discounted payback. The

shortest simple payback period is one year, for the hospital case. On the other hand, the
longest one is over 30 years, in the apartment case. These two opposite results are

accounted for the large difference in the amount of energy consumptions; the hospital
consumes almost four times as much as the apartment case, which also consumes less

61
than the other types. The LCC outcome confirms that when the absolute energy savings is

low, it is difficult to compensate the additional investment costs.


This study confirms what preceding research has shown, i.e. that, VRF systems

show considerable energy savings over conventional HVAC systems. It has to be


recognized that VRF systems are still poorly supported in whole building simulation

tools. Some caution is warranted in interpreting the outcomes for the VRF cases; the

results may be overly optimistic. There is a need to use the current VRF modules in
calibration exercise on real building data with installed VRF system.

Based on the economic analysis, it is evident that VRF systems can be highly

recommended for buildings that consume a large amount of energy. This is particularly
true for hospitals. Based on the currently available cost data and a simulation models,

VRF systems are also recommended for the other building types, in most climate zones
except for marine climate zones and in general in cold zones with a significant heating

requirement. VRF systems should be carefully considered in heating dominant climate

zones when being compared to systems that generate heat with natural gas.

62
APPENDIX A

LCC EXAMPLE

This appendix presents a framework of life-cycle cost calculation, including


general information, specific information for VRF system and base case, life-cycle

calculations, cash flows, net savings, and SIR.


Table 41 General building information for LCC

Building Type Commercial Office

Building Location
Climate Zone 3A
City Atlanta, Georgia
Building Area 53,608 sf 4,982 m2

Life cycle study period 20 yrs

Discount rate 3.0%

Electricity unit rate 0.10 $/kWh


Natural gas unit rate 0.81 $/therm

Typical SF Factor
Size Factor 20000 0.92

Locator Factor 0.89

Table 42 Specific information of VRF system and the base case for LCC
Parameter VRF systems Base case

Initial HVAC System Investment $1,007,837 18.8 $/sf $847,012 15.8 $/sf
19,324 $/ton 16,240 $/ton

Residual Value Factor (% of initial cost ) 0% 0%

Energy Consumption Electricity 40 kBTU/sf/yr 127 kWh/m2/yr 46 kBTU/sf/yr 146 kWh/m2/yr


Natural Gas 1 kBTU/sf/yr 4 kWh/m2/yr 1 kBTU/sf/yr 4 kWh/m2/yr

Simplified Annual OM&R Costs 0.20 $/sf/yr 0.25 $/sf/yr

63
Table 43 LCC calculation of VRF system
Present Value
Type of Cost Cost Description Cash Amount Present Value
Factor

One time: Initial Investment LG VRF System: Initial Investment $ 820,581 1.00 $ 820,581

Replace Investment LG VRF System: Replacement $ 0 0.74 $ 0

Annually Recurring Energy costs


Electricity $ 63,865 15.3 $ 977,130
Natural Gas $ 526 16.85 $ 8,864

Simplified Annual OM&R costs $ 8,730 14.44 $ 126,091

Less Remaining Value in


20 yrs Residual Value $ 0 0.55 $ 0

Total Life-Cycle Cost $ 1,932,666

Table 44 LCC calculation of the base case


Present Value
Type of Cost Cost Description Cash Amount Present Value
Factor

One time: Initial Investment HVAC System: Initial Investment $ 689,637 1.00 $ 689,637

$ 0 0.74 $ 0

Annually Recurring Energy costs


Electricity $ 73,621 15.3 $ 1,126,405
Natural Gas $ 512 16.85 $ 8,635

Non-Annually Recurring Simplified Annual OM&R costs $ 10,912 14.44 $ 157,614

Less Remaining Value in


20 yrs Residual Value $ 0 0.55 $ 0

Total Life-Cycle Cost $ 1,982,291

64
Table 45 Net saving calculation
           
 
 

 
delta E $ 149,046
delta OM&R $ 31,523
detla I0 $ 130,944
delta Repl 0
delta Res $ -

Net Savings $ 49,625


           

Table 46 SIR calculation


           
 
 

Savings-to-Investment Ratio 1.38


           

65
Table 47 Cash flows, including SPB and DPB

energy  price  i ndex energy  saving annual   sum   sum   Cumulative   Cumulative   Net  savings Net  savings
Year initial  i nvest
Elec NG Elec NG OMR d=0% d=3% d=0% d=3% (SPB) (DPB)

1 0.99 1.00 $      9,659 $                (14) $    2,182 $    11,828 $    11,483 $                11,828 $    11,483 $                130,944 $            (119,116) $            (119,461)
2 0.99 0.98 $      9,659 $                (13) $    2,182 $    11,828 $    11,149 $    23,656 $    22,632 $                130,944 $            (107,288) $            (108,311)
3 1.00 0.99 $      9,757 $                (13) $    2,182 $    11,925 $    10,914 $    35,581 $    33,546 $                130,944 $                (95,362) $                (97,398)
4 1.00 0.99 $      9,757 $                (13) $    2,182 $    11,925 $    10,596 $    47,507 $    44,141 $                130,944 $                (83,437) $                (86,802)
5 1.00 1.00 $      9,757 $                (14) $    2,182 $    11,925 $    10,287 $    59,432 $    54,428 $                130,944 $                (71,512) $                (76,515)
6 0.99 1.01 $      9,659 $                (14) $    2,182 $    11,828 $    9,905 $    71,260 $    64,334 $                130,944 $                (59,684) $                (66,610)
7 0.98 1.02 $      9,561 $                (14) $    2,182 $    11,730 $    9,538 $    82,990 $    73,871 $                130,944 $                (47,954) $                (57,072)
8 0.99 1.03 $      9,659 $                (14) $    2,182 $    11,827 $    9,337 $    94,817 $    83,208 $                130,944 $                (36,127) $                (47,736)
9 0.99 1.06 $      9,659 $                (14) $    2,182 $    11,827 $    9,064 $    106,644 $    92,272 $                130,944 $                (24,300) $                (38,671)
10 0.99 1.09 $      9,659 $                (15) $    2,182 $    11,827 $    8,800 $    118,471 $    101,072 $                130,944 $                (12,473) $                (29,871)
11 1.00 1.12 $      9,757 $                (15) $    2,182 $    11,924 $    8,614 $    130,394 $    109,686 $                130,944 $                            (549) $                (21,257)
12 1.00 1.14 $      9,757 $                (15) $    2,182 $    11,923 $    8,363 $    142,318 $    118,049 $                130,944 $                    11,374 $                (12,895)
13 1.00 1.15 $      9,757 $                (16) $    2,182 $    11,923 $    8,119 $    154,241 $    126,168 $                130,944 $                    23,297 $                    (4,775)
14 0.99 1.17 $      9,659 $                (16) $    2,182 $    11,825 $    7,818 $    166,067 $    133,986 $                130,944 $                    35,123 $                        3,043
15 0.99 1.18 $      9,659 $                (16) $    2,182 $    11,825 $    7,590 $    177,892 $    141,577 $                130,944 $                    46,948 $                    10,633
16 0.99 1.20 $      9,659 $                (16) $    2,182 $    11,825 $    7,369 $    189,717 $    148,946 $                130,944 $                    58,773 $                    18,002
17 0.99 1.21 $      9,659 $                (16) $    2,182 $    11,825 $    7,154 $    201,542 $    156,100 $                130,944 $                    70,598 $                    25,156
18 0.99 1.22 $      9,659 $                (17) $    2,182 $    11,825 $    6,946 $    213,367 $    163,046 $                130,944 $                    82,423 $                    32,102
19 0.99 1.24 $      9,659 $                (17) $    2,182 $    11,825 $    6,743 $    225,191 $    169,789 $                130,944 $                    94,247 $                    38,845
20 0.99 1.25 $      9,659 $                (17) $    2,182 $    11,824 $    6,547 $    237,016 $    176,336 $                130,944 $              106,072 $                    45,392
21 0.99 1.27 $      9,659 $                (17) $    2,182 $    11,824 $    6,356 $    248,840 $    182,692 $                130,944 $              117,896 $                    51,748
22 1.00 1.30 $      9,757 $                (18) $    2,182 $    11,921 $    6,222 $    260,761 $    188,914 $                130,944 $              129,817 $                    57,970
23 1.01 1.34 $      9,854 $                (18) $    2,182 $    12,018 $    6,090 $    272,779 $    195,003 $                130,944 $              141,835 $                    64,059
24 1.02 1.37 $      9,952 $                (19) $    2,182 $    12,115 $    5,960 $    284,895 $    200,963 $                130,944 $              153,951 $                    70,019
25 1.03 1.38 $  10,049 $                (19) $    2,182 $    12,213 $    5,833 $    297,107 $    206,796 $                130,944 $              166,164 $                    75,852
26 1.04 1.41 $  10,147 $                (19) $    2,182 $    12,310 $    5,708 $    309,418 $    212,504 $                130,944 $              178,474 $                    81,560
27 1.05 1.44 $  10,244 $                (20) $    2,182 $    12,407 $    5,586 $    321,825 $    218,090 $                130,944 $              190,881 $                    87,146
28 1.06 1.44 $  10,342 $                (20) $    2,182 $    12,505 $    5,466 $    334,329 $    223,555 $                130,944 $              203,386 $                    92,612
29 1.06 1.45 $  10,342 $                (20) $    2,182 $    12,505 $    5,306 $    346,834 $    228,862 $                130,944 $              215,890 $                    97,918
30 1.06 1.47 $  10,342 $                (20) $    2,182 $    12,504 $    5,152 $    359,338 $    234,013 $                130,944 $              228,395 $              103,069
11 13

Energy price indexes are UPV* values for LCC are introduced in order to deal

with price escalation. When the discount rate, d, is 0%, it represents simple LCC
calculation; when discount rate is 3%, LCC calculation includes price escalation with 3%

discount rate. In the net saving columns, SPB indicates simple payback, and DPB means

discounted payback. Plus, when the net saving turns into positive number is the payback
year. For this example, simple payback is 11 years; discounted payback is 13 years.

66
APPENDIX B

LCC RESULTS WITH NATIONAL ENERGY PRICES

Tables included in this appendix are related to additional comparison section in


Chapter 6. These results are calculated for nation wide energy prices; electricity price of

commercial and residential are $0.101/kWh and $1.119/kWh, respectively; natural gas

price of commercial and residential are $0.813/therm and $1.068/therm, respectively.


Table 48 Total life-cycle costs of VRF systems with constant prices
Climate Zone VRF System
Representative City Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
1A Miami, Florida $1,950,816 $931,568 $2,489,178 $1,641,008 $1,509,580 $12,994,438
2A Houston, Texas $1,947,736 $932,567 $2,485,658 $1,645,659 $1,545,265 $12,885,600
2B Phoenix, Arizona $1,996,914 $946,399 $2,513,719 $1,677,008 $1,584,520 $13,088,777
3A Atlanta, Georgia $1,925,924 $914,507 $2,466,926 $1,639,099 $1,559,582 $13,050,465
3B Las Vegas, Nevada $1,925,712 $900,500 $2,440,551 $1,631,113 $1,532,352 $12,566,979
3C San Francisco, California $2,225,830 $1,014,784 $2,808,159 $1,894,096 $1,924,024 $13,960,095
4A Baltimore, Maryland $1,988,543 $959,297 $2,521,894 $1,681,399 $1,636,953 $12,819,525
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico $1,897,652 $890,674 $2,415,989 $1,611,597 $1,538,513 $12,377,176
4C Seattle, Washington $2,040,471 $960,279 $2,592,877 $1,740,165 $1,735,454 $12,988,366
5A Chicago, Illinois $2,266,586 $1,093,924 $2,827,186 $1,910,637 $1,935,749 $14,292,464
5B Boulder, Colorado $1,942,576 $933,187 $2,471,166 $1,659,848 $1,586,180 $13,017,360
Average $2,009,887 $952,517 $2,548,482 $1,702,875 $1,644,379 $13,094,658

Table 49 Total life-cycle costs of base cases with national prices


Climate Zone Reference HVAC System (Baseline)
Representative City Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
1A Miami, Florida $2,004,304 $1,009,682 $2,677,415 $1,788,283 $1,533,424 $17,640,576
2A Houston, Texas $2,020,613 $986,796 $2,595,143 $1,749,800 $1,533,111 $17,540,862
2B Phoenix, Arizona $2,082,612 $1,007,834 $2,679,580 $1,789,863 $1,592,186 $16,971,008
3A Atlanta, Georgia $1,968,080 $947,655 $2,491,221 $1,712,512 $1,525,405 $16,951,689
3B Las Vegas, Nevada $1,982,474 $918,554 $2,503,565 $1,696,627 $1,517,348 $16,518,860
3C San Francisco, California $2,253,745 $972,038 $2,715,604 $1,885,864 $1,843,588 $17,826,867
4A Baltimore, Maryland $2,060,589 $981,648 $2,552,694 $1,730,458 $1,582,684 $17,393,207
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico $1,941,005 $914,245 $2,417,589 $1,658,298 $1,490,648 $17,096,677
4C Seattle, Washington $2,085,669 $959,549 $2,501,796 $1,731,592 $1,648,227 $16,707,321
5A Chicago, Illinois $2,333,234 $1,110,456 $2,832,776 $1,925,182 $1,873,734 $18,343,694
5B Boulder, Colorado $1,985,754 $946,299 $2,446,633 $1,681,752 $1,544,466 $15,949,035
Average $2,065,280 $977,705 $2,583,092 $1,759,112 $1,607,711 $17,176,345

67
Table 50 Net savings with national prices
Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida $53,488 $78,114 $188,237 $147,275 $23,844 $4,646,138
2A Houston, Texas $72,877 $54,229 $109,484 $104,141 ($12,154) $4,655,262
2B Phoenix, Arizona $85,698 $61,435 $165,861 $112,855 $7,667 $3,882,232
3A Atlanta, Georgia $42,156 $33,148 $24,294 $73,413 ($34,177) $3,901,224
3B Las Vegas, Nevada $56,761 $18,054 $63,014 $65,514 ($15,004) $3,951,881
3C San Francisco, California $27,915 ($42,746) ($92,555) ($8,232) ($80,436) $3,866,772
4A Baltimore, Maryland $72,045 $22,351 $30,799 $49,059 ($54,269) $4,573,682
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico $43,353 $23,572 $1,600 $46,701 ($47,866) $4,719,501
4C Seattle, Washington $45,199 ($730) ($91,081) ($8,572) ($87,226) $3,718,955
5A Chicago, Illinois $66,649 $16,532 $5,590 $14,545 ($62,015) $4,051,231
5B Boulder, Colorado $43,179 $13,112 ($24,533) $21,904 ($41,714) $2,931,675
Average $55,393 $25,188 $34,610 $56,237 ($36,668) $4,081,687

Table 51 Saving-to-Investment ratio with national prices


Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida 1.44 2.43 2.08 2.39 1.30 9.71
2A Houston, Texas 1.57 1.95 1.60 1.94 0.86 9.34
2B Phoenix, Arizona 1.65 2.05 1.88 1.99 1.09 7.77
3A Atlanta, Georgia 1.32 1.56 1.13 1.64 0.61 7.80
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 1.44 1.31 1.34 1.59 0.82 8.03
3C San Francisco, California 1.15 0.48 0.65 0.95 0.33 5.84
4A Baltimore, Maryland 1.52 1.36 1.16 1.41 0.41 8.57
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 1.33 1.40 1.01 1.41 0.44 9.31
4C Seattle, Washington 1.29 0.99 0.59 0.94 0.14 6.51
5A Chicago, Illinois 1.39 1.21 1.02 1.10 0.46 6.36
5B Boulder, Colorado 1.32 1.22 0.87 1.19 0.54 5.93
Average 1.40 1.45 1.21 1.50 0.64 7.74

68
Table 52 Simple payback with national prices
Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida 10 6 7 6 11 1
2A Houston, Texas 9 7 9 7 17 1
2B Phoenix, Arizona 8 7 7 7 13 1
3A Atlanta, Georgia 11 9 13 9 24 1
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 10 11 11 9 18 1
3C San Francisco, California 12 30+ 22 15 30+ 2
4A Baltimore, Maryland 9 11 13 10 30+ 1
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 11 11 14 10 30+ 1
4C Seattle, Washington 11 15 24 15 30+ 2
5A Chicago, Illinois 10 12 14 13 30+ 2
5B Boulder, Colorado 11 12 17 12 30+ 2
Average 10 12 14 10 24 1

Table 53 Discounted payback with national prices


Climate Zone
Office Retail School Hotel Apartment Hospital
Representative City
1A Miami, Florida 12 6 8 7 14 1
2A Houston, Texas 11 8 11 8 24 1
2B Phoenix, Arizona 10 8 9 8 17 2
3A Atlanta, Georgia 13 11 17 10 0 2
3B Las Vegas, Nevada 12 14 13 11 26 1
3C San Francisco, California 16 0 0 21 0 2
4A Baltimore, Maryland 11 14 16 13 30+ 1
4B Albuquerque, New Mexico 13 13 19 12 30+ 1
4C Seattle, Washington 14 20 0 21 30+ 2
5A Chicago, Illinois 13 16 19 17 30+ 2
5B Boulder, Colorado 13 16 23 16 30+ 2
Average 13 11 12 13 21 2

69
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