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马来西亚
RHB Research
技术分析 Institute Sdn Bhd
A member of the
RHB Banking Group
Company No: 233327 -M
每日交投策略
MARKET DATELINE
2010 年 10 月 25 日
市场技术解读
短期展望仍旧受看好…
图 1∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(FBM KLCI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 2∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(单日线图)
单日线图)
本地股市的交投指引∶
♦ 在缺乏正面利好因素下,富时大马综合指数(FBM KLCI)周五几乎以平盘挂收,鉴于大多数投资者趁着周末来临前转为谨
慎并趁机套利。
♦ 虽然亚洲投资者普遍对近期所公布的公司财报感到乐观,但区域股市却因 20 国集团(G20)财长会议于周末在韩国举行之
际纷纷在谨慎交投下起落参半。恒生指数下挫 0.56%,而首尔综合指数和日经 225 指数则上扬 1.21% 和 0.54%。
♦ 虽然如此,整体交投活动维持炽热,其中特定领域,如种植,产业和建筑出现轮流炒风。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 该黑烛显示即日将出现更多跟进卖压活动。
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露(
报告尾页的重要披露( IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES)
Page 1 of 6
2010 年 10 月 25 日
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
♦ 上周五的黑烛确认了前日的“星线”(star),而这显示富时综指可能会在即日内面对更多套利活动。
♦ 此外,一如我们所强调,只要该指数处于和稳定在该移动平均线以上,那么短期展望将保持乐观,而富时综指料将有望在近
日试叩 1,500 点心理关口和近来的 1,503.82 点高点。
表 1 ∶每日统计 表 2∶
∶主要海外指数及原产品
10 月 10 月 10 月 10 月 10 月 变动 变动
收盘
股市摘要 18 日 19 日 20 日 21 日 22 日 本地主要指数 (点) (%))
上升股 富时大马综合指数 1,490.64 -0.38 0.0
299 438 385 459 388
下跌股 富时大马 100 指数 9,842.62 9.27 0.1
468 369 408 301 370
平盘 富时大马创业板 4,259.31 -32.93 -0.8
298 276 293 316 297
无交易 各大海外指数
306 288 286 296 319
道琼斯工商指数 11,132.56 -14.01 -0.1
市场资本 纳斯达克指数 2,479.39 19.72 0.8
总成交量 标准与普尔 500 1,183.08 2.82 0.2
(百万股) 1,331 1,500 1,489 1,429 1,226
伦敦金融时报指数 5,741.37 -16.49 -0.3
总成交值 恒生指数 23,517.54 -131.94 -0.6
(百万令吉) 1,610 1,820 1,803 1,848 1,597 雅加达综合指数 3,597.75 9.74 0.3
东京日经 225 指数 9,426.71 50.23 0.5
首尔综合指数 1,897.31 22.62 1.2
外汇 上海综合指数 2,975.04 -8.49 -0.3
令吉兑美元 3.1005 3.1070 3.1165 3.1045 3.1115 曼谷综合指数 992.24 3.44 0.3
新加坡海峡时报指数 3,173.57 10.04 0.3
资料来源∶RHBInvest &彭博社( Bloomberg)
台湾加权指数 8,168.06 36.83 0.5
印度 Sensex 指数 20,165.86 -94.72 -0.5
主要原产品
纽约商品交易所
(NYMEX)原油期货
(每桶/美元) 81.69 1.13 1.4
MDEX 原棕油 – 第 3
个月 (每公吨/令吉) 3,005.00 15.00 0.5
美国利率 目前 最新
10 年 9 月
隔夜联邦基金利率 0-0.25% 无变动
21 日
下个联邦公开市场操作
2010 年 11 月 2 日-3 日
委员会(FOMC)会议
Page 2 of 6
2010 年 10 月 25 日
图 3∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 4∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(单日线图
)(单日线图)
单日线图)
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 由于主要亚洲股市的交投情绪好坏参半,加上欧洲股市也以疲弱姿态报开,吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)周五在淡静的交投
下收黑。
♦ 在图表上,FKLI 取得一根黑烛,显示来日走势备受看淡。
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
表 3∶∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI))收盘
月份)
月份
FKLI (月份 变动
合约 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 (点) 结算 成交量 未平仓宗数
10 年 10 月 1497.00 1498.00 1487.50 1490.50 -4.50 1490.50 2907 19645
10 年 11 月 1498.00 1498.00 1488.00 1490.00 -5.00 1490.00 532 1090
10 年 12 月 1496.50 1497.50 1488.00 1488.00 -7.00 1490.00 63 377
11 年 3 月 1494.00 1494.00 1488.00 1488.00 -7.50 1490.00 11 112
Page 3 of 6
2010 年 10 月 25 日
图 5∶
∶美国道琼斯工商指数(
美国道琼斯工商指数(DJIA)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图 图 6∶
∶美国纳斯达克指数(
美国纳斯达克指数( Nasdaq)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图
美国股市的交投指引∶
美国股市的交投指引∶
♦ 大部分美股周五收高,主要受到另一轮出色的公司财报所激励。
♦ 最新公布超出市 场预测的业绩的公司,包括了百度(Baidu)(+4.6%),阿马逊(Amazon.com)(+2.5%)和
Schlumberger(+5.4%)。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 在图表上,小黑烛显示该指数将在近期面对更多套利活动。
♦ 加上随机指标(stochastic oscillators)也发出一个新“买入”讯号,我们认为,本周初将有望取得更多反弹。
Page 4 of 6
2010 年 10 月 25 日
每日技术焦点∶
每日技术焦点∶
图 7∶
∶陈顺风资源(
陈顺风资源( TSH)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 8∶
∶ 陈顺风资源(
陈顺风资源(单日线图)
单日线图)
上升趋势有望
上升趋势有望延续
有望延续…
延续
♦ 较后,它缓步地重新发动上扬动力,并在近数个月来展开另一轮上扬趋势。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 10 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(10-day SMA): RM2.295
♦ 40 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(40-day SMA): RM2.113
Page 5 of 6
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
This report has been prepared by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (RHBRI) and is for private circulation only to clients of RHBRI and RHB Investment Bank Berhad
(previously known as RHB Sakura Merchant Bankers Berhad). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The
opinions and information contained herein are based on generally available data believed to be reliable and are subject to change without notice, and may differ or
be contrary to opinions expressed by other business units within the RHB Group as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. This report is not to be
construed as an offer, invitation or solicitation to buy or sell the securities covered herein. RHBRI does not warrant the accuracy of anything stated herein in any
manner whatsoever and no reliance upon such statement by anyone shall give rise to any claim whatsoever against RHBRI. RHBRI and/or its associated persons
may from time to time have an interest in the securities mentioned by this report.
This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives
of persons who receive it. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. RHBRI recommends that investors independently evaluate
particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or
strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. Neither RHBRI, RHB Group nor any of its affiliates, employees or agents accepts
any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this report.
RHBRI and the Connected Persons (the “RHB Group”) are engaged in securities trading, securities brokerage, banking and financing activities as well as providing
investment banking and financial advisory services. In the ordinary course of its trading, brokerage, banking and financing activities, any member of the RHB
Group may at any time hold positions, and may trade or otherwise effect transactions, for its own account or the accounts of customers, in debt or equity
securities or loans of any company that may be involved in this transaction.
“Connected Persons” means any holding company of RHBRI, the subsidiaries and subsidiary undertaking of such a holding company and the respective directors,
officers, employees and agents of each of them. Investors should assume that the “Connected Persons” are seeking or will seek investment banking or other
services from the companies in which the securities have been discussed/covered by RHBRI in this report or in RHBRI’s previous reports.
This report has been prepared by the research personnel of RHBRI. Facts and views presented in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect
information known to, professionals in other business areas of the “Connected Persons,” including investment banking personnel.
The research analysts, economists or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of this research report have received compensation based
upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors and firm revenues.
Technical Recommendation:
Trading Buy = Short-term positive opportunity spotted. It is an aggressive trading recommendation with a book to sellers’ price for short-term technical upside.
Bargain Buy = Short-term positive but technical signals have yet to trigger a rally. Traders can park and queue for their desired entry level within a small range.
Buy on Weakness = Short- to Medium-term positiveness anticipated, but technical readings are still negative. Traders can pick-up the stock for future rally.
Sell on Strength = Short-term momentum still positive, Traders are advice to lock in profit base on current strength.
Take Profit = Short-term target achieved. Traders are advice to exit before the technical readings turn bearish.
Avoid = Risky situation in the short-term and high volatility expected on the share price. Traders’ best strategy is staying away until it stabilises.
Technical recommendations are generally short-term in nature and may differ from RHBRI’s equity fundamental view and recommendation on the same company.
RHBRI is a participant of the CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme and will receive compensation for the participation. Additional information on recommended
securities, subject to the duties of confidentiality, will be made available upon request.
This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of RHBRI and RHBRI accepts no liability whatsoever for the
actions of third parties in this respect.
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