Conclusion: World tour theme park should be as successful as space-travel theme park.

Evidence: Travel to foreign countries has increased dramatically. Capital city has large
percentage of international residents and children under 16. Space travel park has
increased ten-fold over the past decade.

Assumptions:
World travel = want to re-create the experience here
International residents want international rides
Children under 16 main demographic

World travel park like space travel park

Space-travel park is successful because the attendance has increased 10-fold over past
decade.

Reasons: Reasons that because people travel abroad, they would like to see replicas at
amusement park.

Under what cicumstances would assumptions be valid?

People have travelled to space and therefore want to recreate experience

Space-travel park wasn’t poorly attended 10 years ago. Population in its location hasn’t
increased 10-fold in the past decade.

If international resident or under 16  interest in theme park

If international travel  interest in theme park

The argument concludes that a “World Tour” theme park based near the capital
city should be as successful as a previously opened space-travel theme park. To support
the conclusion, the author points out that travel to foreign countries has increased
dramatically in recent years. In addition, the author reasons that the capital city is a
desirable location because it has a large population of children under 16 and international
residents. This argument is unpersuasive because it suffers from several flaws.
First of all, the proposed placement of the theme park in the capital city is based
upon the questionable assumption that the large population of international residents and
children under 16 would be interested in an internationally themed park. Yet it seems
equally reasonable to assume that international residents would be less interested in
attending the park. For instance, many of these residents may have fled their countries
under persecution and would not like to see replicas reminding them of an unpleasant
past. Also, children under 16 may be less inclined to visit an internationally themed park.
As the author states that international travel may be a key factor in a potential visitor’s
interest in the proposed theme park, it’s unlikely that children under 16 would have
experienced many international cities, and therefore may have little interest in sampling
cuisine they have never experienced first-hand.
Second, the author uses the success of a space-travel themed park as an indicator
that the world-travel inspired theme park will also be a success. However, this reasoning
by analogy is flawed. It’s entirely possible that the interest in the space park stems from a
visitor’s inability to currently travel to space. Given that people can easily travel to
foreign cities, potential visitors may prefer to save their money for a trip to visit the real
buildings, rather than spend the money on admission to the world-tour themed park. As
such, the space-travel theme park may not be a good benchmark for the success of a
world travel themed park.
Moreover, no evidence is provided to support the assertion that the space-themed
park is even successful. While the author points out that attendance has increased ten-fold
over the past ten-years, it’s plausible that the space-themed park had a very small number
of visitors ten years ago, and is only now barely profitable. Furthermore, attendance
could have increased because ticket prices were reduced dramatically. Additional
evidence of the space themed park’s profitiability would certainly strengthen the case for
the world-tour based themed park potential success. Evidence also showing the similarity
between the demographics of the capital city and those where the space-travel theme park
is based would also strengthen the conclusion.
In conclusion, the theme park will not be successful in the capital city because
there are a large number of international residents or because a space themed park has
previously been successful. To strengthen the conclusion, the author would have to not
only demonstrate international residents and 16-year olds would be a strong demographic
but also provide additional evidence supporting the claim that the space themed park is
profitable and a good benchmark for comparison.