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Review of Recent Large-Scale Burn Disasters

Worldwide in Comparison to Preparedness Guidelines


Andrea Dai, BS, Gretchen J. Carrougher, MN, RN, Samuel P. Mandell, MD, MPH,
Gary Fudem, MD, FACS, Nicole S. Gibran, MD, FACS, Tam N. Pham, MD, FACS

The US National Bioterrorism Hospital Preparedness Program indicates that each care
facility must have “a plan to care for at least 50 cases per million people for patients
suffering burns or trauma” to receive national funding disaster preparedness. The purpose
of this study is to evaluate whether this directive is commensurate with the severity recent
burn disasters, both nationally and internationally. We conducted a review of medical
journal articles, investigative fire reports, and media news sources for major burn disasters
dating from 1990 to present day. We defined a major burn disaster as any incident with
≥50 burn injuries and/or ≥ 30 burn-related deaths. We compared existing preparedness
guidelines with the magnitude of recent burn disasters using as reference the 2005 U.S.
Health and Human Services directive that each locale must “have a plan to care for at
least 50 cases per million people for patients suffering burns or trauma.” We reported
the number of actual casualties for each incident, and estimated the number of burn
beds theoretically available if the “50 [burn-injury] cases per million people” directive
were to be applied to metropolitan areas outside the United States. Seven hundred fifty-
two burn disaster incidents met our inclusion criteria. The majority of burn disasters
occurred in Asia/Middle East. The incidence of major burn disasters from structural fires
and industrial blasts remains constant in high-income and resource-restricted countries
during this study period. The incidence of terrorist attacks increased 20-fold from 2001
to 2015 compared with 1990 to 2000. Recent incidents demonstrate that if current
preparedness guidelines were to be adopted internationally, local resources including
burn-bed availability would be insufficient to care for the total number of burn casualties.
These findings underscore an urgent need to organize better regional, national, and
international collaboration in burn disaster response. (J Burn Care Res 2017;38:36–44)

Large-scale burn disasters are recognized as diffi- To date, there are few available resources for
cult events to manage1 as the number of casualties disaster planning specifically designed to cope with
quickly exceeds available services in local hospitals.2–4 large-scale burn casualties. The American Burn Asso-
A scarcity of burn specialists and burn beds exists in ciation has estimated that 25 to 30% of injured vic-
almost every country.2 Uneven geographic distribu- tims in most traumatic disasters would require burn
tion of specialized centers further complicates crisis treatment.8 The American Burn Association has
management.5,6 Burn centers in low-income coun- fostered regional and national partnerships between
tries are especially under-resourced and inadequately agencies and burn specialists in the United States.
prepared for a high number of injuries.2,7 The International Society for Burn Injuries has writ-
ten a set of “Guidelines for Dealing with Disasters
Involving Large Numbers of Extensive Burns,”
From the Department of Surgery, University of Washington Medi- advising each country to define its own disaster plan-
cine Regional Burn Center, Seattle.
Address correspondence to Tam N. Pham, MD, FACS, Department
ning system.9 In 2005, the U.S. Health and Human
of Surgery, UW Burn Center, Harborview Medical Center, 325 Services (HHS) National Bioterrorism Hospital Pre-
Ninth Ave, Box 359796, Seattle, Washington 98104. Email: paredness Program announced that each locale must
tpham94@uw.edu.
Copyright © 2016 by the American Burn Association have “a plan to care for at least 50 cases per mil-
1559-047X/2016 lion people for patients suffering burns or trauma”
DOI: 10.1097/BCR.0000000000000441 to receive national disaster preparedness funding.10
36
Copyright © American Burn Association. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited.
Journal of Burn Care & Research
Volume 38, Number 1 Dai et al  37

The American College of Surgeons has adopted disasters included festivals or pilgrimages. Struc-
these planning projections in its Disaster Manage- ture fires included both commercial and residential
ment and Emergency Preparedness Program. The enclosed space fires such as nightclubs, theaters,
purpose of this study was to evaluate recent global churches, private homes, hospitals, nursing homes,
trends in major burn disasters in terms of frequency, or jails. Transportation fires were fires that occurred
place of occurrence, and number of casualties and to onboard planes, ships, trains, and motor vehicles.
determine whether the HHS directive to prepare for Wildfire disasters included bushfire and forest fires.
50 cases per million people was commensurate with We defined an act of terrorism as an intentional
the magnitude of recent burn disasters, both nation- explosive or bomb blast attack resulting in high
ally and internationally. numbers of civilian casualties. As such, terror-related
activities resulting in burn disasters referred to sui-
cide bombings with attackers wearing explosive
METHODS
devices or suicide vehicle bombs primarily explosive
Search Strategy in nature. Blast-related terrorist attacks via incendi-
We reviewed relevant literature from medical journal ary devices primarily caused civilian casualties and
articles, investigative fire reports, and media news were included. Bomb composition in the form of
sources for major burn disasters dating from 1990 to both vests and vehicles may contain nails, small metal
present day. We also queried the “Global Terrorism pieces, such as balls or bolts that are detonated in
Database,” an open-source database using print or dense and confined areas to inflict penetrating, blast,
electronic media headed by the University of Mary- blunt, and burn injuries.15,16 Burn-injured patients
land.11 Other open-source databases and sources of in blast explosions can typically range from 0.5% of
information included the World Factbook12 from the victims to as high as 30 to 40%.17,18 The proportion
Central Intelligence Agency and the International of burn-injured victims from blast attacks depend on
Institute for Counter Terrorism.13 When possible, a variety of factors, including open spaced vs closed
incidents from these databases were cross-checked spaced attacks, the length of escape time, and the
with other media sources. All data collection sources type of incendiary device used.17 When the number
are listed in Table 1. of burn casualties was not specifically reported after
a blast incident, we assumed a severe-case scenario
Definitions in which approximately 30% of the casualties were
burn-injured patients. By adopting a severe-case
As defined by Masellis et al,14 a burn disaster refers
scenario, our goal was to inform about the poten-
to the “overall effect of the massive action of a
tial need for burn care resources for each incident.
known thermal agent on individuals, characterized
Terrorist attacks targeting military installations were
by high numbers of fatalities and seriously burn-
excluded unless the incident resulted in the above-
injured patients with potentially high mortality and
defined number of civilian casualties.
disability.” We defined a “major burn disaster” as
We classified regions of the world primarily by
any incident with ≥50 burn injuries and/or ≥30
continent, but also parsed out the Middle East as a
burn-related deaths for the purpose of this study.
region of current conflict. According to the Central
We searched for major disasters that resulted specifi-
cally in burn-related injuries or blast-related injuries Intelligence Agency World Factbook,12 the Middle
that caused secondary burns. When possible, injuries East includes the following 19 countries: Armenia,
were separated such that we only included cutaneous Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Gaza Strip, Georgia, Iran, Iraq,
burns and inhalation injuries in this analysis. If casu- Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar,
alty numbers were found to be inconsistent across Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates,
multiple data sources, the highest death/injury met- West Bank, and Yemen.
ric was used.
We categorized each burn disaster by date, place, Data Analysis
fire incident, and burn disaster type. For each cat- We recorded and analyzed geographic and injury
egory, we recorded the number of dead, the number distribution using Tableau Desktop Software, Ver-
of injured, and any additional notes or informa- sion 9.0 (Seattle, WA), a data analysis program that
tion detailing burn-injured casualties. Industrial translates metadata into visually optimal database
burn disasters referred to explosions occurring at queries. In the absence of international guidelines,
manufacturing plants or factories, and also included we applied the 2005 U.S. HHS National Bioter-
major chemical burn disasters. Public assembly burn rorism Hospital Preparedness Program protocol10

Copyright © American Burn Association. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited.


Journal of Burn Care & Research
38  Dai et al January/February 2017

Table 1. Sources of information


Type of Information Source of Information Comments/Search Terms

Medical Journals PubMed Search (1990–2015) Search terms: “major burn disasters,” “mass burn casualties,” “mass
casualty incident burns,” “civilian mass casualty disasters,”
“mass casualty incident fire,” and “burn disaster preparedness”
Government reports Online search of reports from Lists of burn disasters categorized by fire incident type utilized in
-National Fire Protection Association identifying MCIs
-Investigations Reports
www.nfpa.org
Local Ministry of Health Reports Hospital admissions, number of casualties associated with specific
burn disasters
Internet Online media sources from BBC News, Search engine “Google” utilized to search for specific incidents
New York Times, The Guardian, by name and date. Additional incidents mentioned in medical
Reuters, CNN, foreign news sources journal articles and new sources subsequently searched directly
using mentioned media sources
Global Terrorism Database Search Criteria: 1990–2015, explosion/bombing attack type,
http://www.start.umd.edu/gtd/ suicide-bombers and car bombs included, military targets
Central Intelligence Agency resulting in high civilian casualties included
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/ Excluded: military targets, military casualties
the-world-factbook/
International Institute for Counter
Terrorism
http://www.ict.org.il/

to recent burn disaster casualty trends to estimate constant during the entire study period (Figure 1).
hypothetical burn-bed needs. For each incident, we In Asia (excluding the Middle East), 46 structure
calculated the reported number of casualties per mil- fires during the past 25 years have resulted in 4959
lion persons in that locale by metropolitan popula- casualties, primarily from 15 structure fire disasters
tion size. We applied the directive to prepare for “50 with 1901 casualties in China. In contrast, Europe
cases per million population for patients sustaining and the United States had only 1432 casualties from
burns” to estimate the number of burn beds needed nine structure fires, less than one-third the number
to respond to the specific incident. We interpreted in Asia. Other countries with notable industrial disas-
the wording of “50 cases per million” to refer to ters include Malaysia, Thailand, and Bangladesh in
burn-injured patients per million population requir- the early 1990s. However, occasional structural fires
ing utilization of emergency resources. We then continue to occur, most notably the recent 2012
compared this estimate to the number of actual casu- Bangladesh clothing factory fire that resulted in
alties for each incident. 111 deaths and more than 200 injured. The United
States has had seven major industrial accidents with
RESULTS a total of 578 casualties during the study period.
Table 2 summarizes the number of casualties by fire
Fire Type Trends and Geography types for all regions of the world.
Seven hundred fifty-two incidents met our inclusion Major public assembly fire disasters also occurred
criteria and were reviewed. In order of decreasing primarily in Asia, notably in Taiwan and India. In
frequency, there were 709 recorded burn disasters June 2015, Taiwan’s colored-powder explosion
in Asia/Middle East, 42 in Africa, 16 in Europe, 14 resulted in 500 burn victims. Following the explo-
in South America, 13 in North America, and 1 in sion, 393 victims were hospitalized (221 in intensive
Australia. There were 69 (9.2%) structure fires, 45 care), distributed among 46 hospitals in seven cities.19
(6%) industrial fires, 28 (3.7%) transportation fires, The 2005 Mandher Devi pilgrimage and two festivals
5 (0.6%) public assembly fires, and 4 (0.5%) natural in 2006 and 2011 in India resulted in 604 casual-
disasters. The remaining 601 (80%) burn disasters ties. The majority of transportation fires occurred in
were terrorist attacks. Africa, with 2477 casualties from six burn disasters
Structure fires, industrial fires, transportation involving primarily oil tankers and trains.
fires, and public assembly fires persisted into the 21st Following the September 11, 2001 attacks in
century, as their incidence has remained relatively New York and Washington DC, acts of terrorism

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Journal of Burn Care & Research
Volume 38, Number 1 Dai et al  39

Figure 1.  Fire type trends. Annual casualties from burn disasters have significantly increased since 2001. The majority is
related to terrorist attacks.

in the form of suicide bombings and car bombs casualties. Most of these were the result of suicide
were the primary contributors to the number of and car bombings (Figures 2 and 3).
casualties from burn disasters (Figure 1). The inci-
dence of terrorist attacks increased 20-fold from Applying “50 Burn-Injured Patients Per
2001 to 2015 compared with 1990 to 2000. Of Million” Directive
the 709 major burn disasters recorded in Asia/ If the U.S. HHS Preparedness Guidelines10 were to
Middle East, 606 of those (85%) were terror- be adopted internationally, recent incidents dem-
ist attacks. The majority of these terrorist attacks onstrate that local resources would be insufficient.
occurred in the Middle East, namely Iraq, Syria, Table 3 indicates a wide discrepancy between incident
Afghanistan, and Pakistan. Iraq accounted for and resources for multiple recent burn disasters. The
21,204 (56%) of 38,017 total casualties in the study directive to prepare for “50 cases per million popu-
period (Table 2). In Africa, three attacks occurred lation for patients suffering burns” would have not
between 1990 and 2000 compared with 20 attacks has been sufficient for some burn disasters occurring
from 2001 to 2015. The highest number of burn within the United States. For instance, the greater
disasters occurred in Nigeria with a total of 9299 metropolitan area of Rhode Island of around 1.1

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Journal of Burn Care & Research
40  Dai et al January/February 2017

Table 2. Burn casualties, by fire type and region


North
Fire Type Middle East Asia Africa Europe America* South America Australia

Industrial
 Dead 323 3319 1055 109 61 48
 Injured 100 1922 5000 3609 585 151
Public assembly
 Dead 343 425
 Injured 0 690
Structure fire
 Dead 71 3737 164 205 263 1711
 Injured 300 1963 0 749 215 2135
Terrorist attack
 Dead 11,482 7346 2269 443 2923 114
 Injured 27,988 18,946 8159 3426 7692 456
Transportation
 Dead 1,336 810 1728 494 52 32
 Injured 270 411 688 0 130 0
Wildfire
 Dead 40 52 15 173
 Injured 0 0 500 500

Dead and injured broken down by region vs fire type.


*Includes 2001 NY/DC Terrorist Attack casualties.

million people would have mandated that approxi- those 55 required burn beds would have been 160
mately 55 burn beds be made available to meet the beds short of the 215 casualties that resulted from
required “50 per million” component. However, the Rhode Island Nightclub fire in 2003. In fact,

Figure 2.  Burn disasters geography. Geographic distribution of burn disasters, 1990–2000. Circles, scaled to reflect the
number of casualties recorded in each country, indicate that burn disasters occur in high-, middle-, and low-income countries.

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Journal of Burn Care & Research
Volume 38, Number 1 Dai et al  41

Figure 3.  Burn disasters geography. Geographic distribution of burn disasters, 2001–2015. Circles, scaled to reflect the
number of casualties recorded in each country, indicate a growing number of casualties from burn disasters. The regions most
affected are the Middle East and Africa.

many casualties of that structural fire were rapidly hospitals, and all emergency units in Santa Maria.21
triaged regionally to Massachusetts for stabilization This event again illustrated the need to build regional
and definitive care.20 capacity that includes patient transport options and
A similar deficiency in medical resources would interfacility collaboration.
have also been apparent in resource-restricted coun-
tries. For instance, the Santa Maria Kiss Nightclub
DISCUSSION
fire resulted in a total of 768 victims requiring medi-
cal attention.21 In maintaining the 50-bed provision Our review of major burn disasters during the past
per 1 million people in Brazil’s southernmost state 25 years has three main findings. First, nonterrorism-
among a population of 262,000, Santa Maria would related fires continued to occur worldwide. Casualties
have been short by 755 beds. In fact, 54 patients from these fire types reached the tens of thousands
were transported to seven different hospitals in the during the past decade. Major burn disasters were less
neighboring state Porto Alegre, while the remaining common in certain regions, such as North America
patients requiring hospitalization crowded the emer- and Europe, presumably because of modern fire-
gency departments of five hospitals, the ICUs of 6 prevention strategies and building code enforcement.

Table 3. Recent burn disasters: estimated vs actual burn-beds requirements


Population Size Estimated # Burn Beds Per
Year Region (in Millions) Disaster Type Preparedness Guideline* Actual # Casualties

2003 Warwick, RI 1.1 Structure fire 55 215


2013 Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil 0.26 Structure Fire 13 768
2014 Kano, Nigeria 2.8 Terrorism 140 270
2015 Taipei, Taiwan 2.7 Public assembly 135 500
2015 Tianjin, China 11.4 Industrial 575 720

*National Bioterrorism Hospital Preparedness Program.10

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Journal of Burn Care & Research
42  Dai et al January/February 2017

Other regions such as Asia, however, had a high steps of disaster management at the initiation of tri-
incidence of fire types throughout the study period. age and prehospital care. In addition, burn disaster
We postulate that rapid industrialization, weaker patients may suffer from other injuries (blast injury,
fire-prevention strategies, and fire safety codes may traumatic injury, and open wounds) in addition to
have contributed to this finding.22,23 On the other their comorbid conditions.37 The specific needs of
hand, the Rhode Island Nightclub Fire in the United severely burn-injured patients require time-sensitive
States (2003)20,24,25 served as a reminder that regula- fluid administration, acute hospitalization, and ulti-
tions and fire safety codes were sometimes eschewed mately operative care. Whereas initial stabilization
in high-income countries as well. No region in the can be provided by less experienced personnel, oper-
world can be considered immune to nonterrorism- ative burn expertise is often concentrated in referral
related major fires, as illustrated most recently in the centers. Initial management and triage to definitive
Kiss Nightclub disaster (Brazil, 2013)26 and the For- care should be incorporated in all burn disaster plans.
mosa colored-powder explosion (Taiwan, 2015).19 The hypothetical application of the U.S. HHS
Second, terrorist attacks accounted for the expo- Preparedness directive focused narrowly on burn
nential increase in burn-related disasters during the beds, merely a single component of a comprehensive
past 15 years. Although we intentionally excluded disaster response that includes medical supplies and
military targets from the study, civilians now account trained burn providers, as well as proficient triage and
for more than 80% of those killed and wounded in transport. The sequelae of burn disasters range from
modern-day conflicts.27 Terrorist bombings of civil- minor injuries to those who died at the scene, and any
ians that result in mass burn casualties often occur individual seeking medical care. A “surge-capacity” to
in densely populated areas.28 Specifically, suicide accommodate 50 casualties may not correlate to the
bombing has proven to be the deadliest form of ter- actual “capability” to treat 50 burn patients. Count-
rorism,29 resulting in unprecedented levels of casu- ing potentially available hospital beds in a locale can
alties worldwide. The injury profile of blast victims be misleading. For instance, bed availability depends
depends on detonation proximity.30 Casualty num- on the existing inpatient census, on the number of
bers are affected by crowd density at the scene, the patients who require isolation or may be treated by
presence of a single or multiple suicide attackers, and cohorting on any single day. While nonburn patients
the explosive load power.30 Burns are one of mul- may be transferred out to other facilities to create
tiple injury types incurred by victims of blast attacks, more capacity, the human resources at any institu-
resulting in injury rates as high as 48% of emergency tion are fixed. The minimum “surge-capacity” of 50
department and hospitalized patients in confined hospital beds as a benchmark also fails to take into
space bombings.17 Injuries from improvised explo- account the day-to-day ability to provide multidimen-
sive devices include flash burns from radiated heat sional aspects of burn care, such as a sufficient num-
affecting exposed body parts, contact with heated, ber of trained personnel, equipment, supplies, and
dust-laden air, and burns from secondary structural floor space to accommodate a sudden patient influx
fires from incendiary devices.31 Intensely hot flames following an incident. The U.S. HHS Preparedness
from high-explosives reach up to 3000°C, causing directive attempted to address this by stating systems
burns of varying severity in relation to victims’ prox- receiving funding must “provide triage treatment and
imity to the detonation.30,32 Patients with extensive initial stabilization above the current daily staffed bed
burns (≥30% TBSA) experience a high mortality.33,34 capacity,” but did not address the extensive length
Those who survive the initial blast frequently sustain of stay and daily wound care requirements neces-
burns on exposed body parts, and require extensive sary for burn patients. For event-specific planning,
burn care.30,35 it is incumbent on the event organizers to partner
Third, our data indicate that large-scale burn with public resources in preparing a contingency plan
disasters have exceeded, and will likely again exceed when organizing large public assemblies. It cannot be
the care capabilities in any locale. Indeed, when we the responsibility of the government to address the
projected a hypothetical adoption of the U.S. HHS disaster planning needs of specific events. Rather, gov-
directive worldwide, recent disasters exceeded the ernmental agencies such as the department of health
projected burn-bed capacity of these locales by at can function as a partner to mitigate a potential burn
least a factor of two. Furthermore, we recognized disaster. As such, event planners must be aware of
that adequate provision for burn casualty manage- local and regional burn resources, and work with local
ment would be largely deficient in many hospital health departments during event planning.
disaster plans.36 The need for hospitals to have a Altogether, our data highlight the importance of
minimum level of preparedness links back to the first additional regional, national, and international level

Copyright © American Burn Association. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited.


Journal of Burn Care & Research
Volume 38, Number 1 Dai et al  43

collaboration in burn disaster preparedness. Consid- (the so-called walking wounded) compared with
ering the demands placed on local emergency care patients with large BSA injury, to inhalation injury
services in a burn disaster, the capability to respond only patients, would have been helpful to inform
may simply not be adequate given the prevalence of resource needs and allocation. In addition, some
terrorist- and nonterrorist-related events globally. recorded incidents may have included reporting inac-
The impact of recent disasters such as the Rhode curacies, false, or conflicting information, with mul-
Island Nightclub Fire, the Santa Maria Kiss Night- tiple causes or no known cause. An important first
club Fire, and the Taiwan Formosa Colored-Powder measure is to improve the quality of data reporting.
Explosion was all mitigated through regional col- Lack of consistent and accurate data documenting
laboration. The focus on the availability and track- injury incidence and severity in major burn disasters
ing of burn beds exists because specialized burn-bed have hindered preparedness efforts so far.34 Existing
scarcity and limited capability to surge to meet the mass disaster planning manuals from organizations
demands of an incident are major concerns. In the (including the World Health Organization) highlight
event of a major burn disaster, general hospitals and the importance of a surveillance system to routinely
trauma centers will be called on to provide primary collect data on injuries,39,40 A centralized repository
evaluation, stabilization up to 72 hours, and until of high-quality information detailing burn casualty
secondary triage to burn centers in the region or in profiles would improve the design and execution of
distant areas is possible. These hospitals will func- preparedness programs.41
tion as burn surge facilities to provide for a multi- In summary, burn mass casualty disasters from
lateral increase in short-term capabilities across the structure fires and industrial fires continued to
region.38 Collaborative burn disaster planning must occur in high-, middle-, and low-income coun-
develop regional, national systems, or perhaps even tries throughout the study period. Terrorist attacks
global systems to track daily burn-bed availability increased exponentially during the past 15 years,
when local facilities are overwhelmed, or be prepared highlighting the need for increased burn disaster
at all times to take in a minimum number of patients. preparedness. In the event of a major burn disaster,
Surge capability planning should include a discussion local hospitals may quickly become overwhelmed.
about memoranda of understanding among facilities If the U.S. HHS Preparedness Guidelines were to
and countries, formation of disaster management be adopted internationally, recent incidents dem-
teams that can be deployed on short notice, and onstrate that local resources would be insufficient.
the expansion of telemedicine capabilities for triage, These findings underscore an urgent need to orga-
coordination, and follow-up care. nize better regional, national, and international col-
laboration in burn disaster response.
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