Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Chapter 2: The External Environment: Opportunities, Threats, Industry Competition, and Competitor Analysis
Most firms face external environments that are highly turbulent, complex, and global—
conditions that make interpreting those environments difficult. 15 To cope with often
ambiguous and incomplete environmental data and to increase understanding of the
general environment, firms engage in external environmental analysis. This analysis has
four parts: scanning, monitoring, forecasting, and assessing (see Table 2.2). Analyzing
the external environment is a difficult, yet significant, activity. 16
Identifying opportunities and threats is an important objective of studying the gen-
eral environment. An opportunity is a condition in the general environment that if
exploited effectively, helps a company achieve strategic competitiveness. For example,
recent market research results suggested to Procter & Gamble (P&G) that an increasing
number of men across the globe are interested in fragrances and skin care products. To
take advantage of this opportunity, P&G is reorienting “… its beauty business by gen-
der, ‘to better serve him and her’ rather than its typical organization around product
categories.”17
A threat is a condition in the general environment that may hinder a company’s efforts
to achieve strategic competitiveness. 18 The once-revered firm Polaroid can attest to the
seriousness of external threats. Polaroid was a leader in its industry and con-sidered one of An opportunity is a
the top 50 firms in the United States. When its competitors developed photographic condition in the general
equipment using digital technology, Polaroid was unprepared and never responded environment that if
effectively. It filed for bankruptcy in 2001. In 2002, the former Polaroid Corp. was sold to exploited effectively,
helps a company
Bank One’s OEP Imaging unit, which promptly changed its own name to Polaroid Corp. achieve strategic
Jacques Nasser, a former CEO at Ford, took over as CEO at Polaroid and found that the competitiveness.
brand had continued life. Nasser used the brand in a partnership with Petters Group to put
A threat is a
the Polaroid name on “TVs and DVDs made in Asian factories and sell them through Wal- condition in the
Mart and Target.”19 Polaroid went public again and was later general environment
that may hinder a
company’s efforts to
achieve strategic
competitiveness.
Boston. At the time, the only assets remaining were the firm’s name, its intellectual
property, and its photography collection.20 Thus, not responding to threats in its external
environment resulted in the failure of the once highly successful Polaroid Corp.
Firms use several sources to analyze the general environment, including a wide variety
of printed materials (such as trade publications, newspapers, business publications, and the
results of academic research and public polls), trade shows and suppliers, customers, and
employees of public-sector organizations. People in boundary-spanning positions can obtain
a great deal of this type of information. Salespersons, purchasing managers, public relations
directors, and customer service representatives, each of whom interacts with external
constituents, are examples scanning system designed for a volatile environment is inappropriate for a firm in a
of boundary-spanning stable environment.23
positions. Many firms use special software to help them identify events that are taking place in
the environment and that are announced in public sources. For example, news event
Scanning detection uses information-based systems to categorize text and reduce the trade-off
Scanning entails the between an important missed event and false alarm rates. 24 The Internet provides
study of all segments in significant opportunities for scanning. Amazon.com, for example, records significant
the general environment. information about individuals visiting its Web site, particularly if a pur-chase is made.
Through scanning, firms Amazon then welcomes these customers by name when they visit the Web site again.
identify early signals of The firm sends messages to customers about specials and new prod-ucts similar to those
potential changes in the they purchased in previous visits. A number of other companies such as Netflix also
general environment and collect demographic data about their customers in an attempt to identify their unique
detect changes that are preferences (demographics is one of the segments in the general environment).
already under way.21
Scanning often reveals Philip Morris International continuously scans segments of its external environment
ambiguous, incomplete, to detect current conditions and to anticipate changes that might take place in different
or unconnected data and segments. For example, PMI always studies various nations’ tax policies on cigarettes
information. Thus, (these policies are part of the political/legal segment). The reason for this is that raising
environmental scanning cigarette taxes might reduce sales while lowering these taxes might increase sales.
is challenging but
critically important for Monitoring
firms, especially those
When monitoring, analysts observe environmental changes to see if an important trend
competing in highly
is emerging from among those spotted through scanning. 25 Critical to successful
volatile environ-ments.22
monitoring is the firm’s ability to detect meaning in different environmental events and
In addition, scanning
trends. For example, the buying power of Hispanics is projected to increase to $1.3
activities must be
trillion by 2013 (up from $984 billion in 2008). Particularly in the southwestern part of
aligned with the
the United States, grocers believe that this growing population will increase its
organizational context; a
purchases of ethnic-oriented food products. 26 The recent financial crisis found
companies carefully monitoring the emerging trend of customers deciding to “go back
to basics” when purchasing prod-ucts. A reduction in brand loyalty may be an outcome
of this trend. Companies selling carefully branded products should monitor this trend to
determine its meaning—both in the short and long term.27
Effective monitoring requires the firm to identify important stakeholders as the t
28 r
foundation for serving their unique needs. (Stakeholders’ unique needs are described
in Chapter 1.) Scanning and monitoring are particularly important when a firm com- e
29
petes in an industry with high technological uncertainty. Scanning and monitoring can n
provide the firm with information; they also serve as a means of importing knowledge d
about markets and about how to successfully commercialize new technologies the firm
has developed.30 o
f
Forecasting
Scanning and monitoring are concerned with events and trends in the general environ- u
ment at a point in time. When forecasting, analysts develop feasible projections of what s
might happen, and how quickly, as a result of the changes and trends detected through i
scanning and monitoring.31 For example, analysts might forecast the time that will be n
required for a new technology to reach the marketplace, the length of time before differ- g
ent corporate training procedures are required to deal with anticipated changes in the
composition of the workforce, or how much time will elapse before changes in govern- t
mental taxation policies affect consumers’ purchasing patterns. h
Forecasting events and outcomes accurately is challenging. Already in place, the trend of e
firms outsourcing call center work and logistics’ activities to companies specializing in these i
activities appeared to accelerate as a result of the recent global crisis. Having noticed r
(through scanning) and monitoring these outsourcing trends for some time, logistics
companies such as FedEx and United Parcel Service and call center provider Convergys are s
developing forecasts about possible increases in their business and how long the increasing e
rvices might continue.32 On the other hand, Procter & Gamble (P&G) and Colgate- 41
Palmolive, two firms selling carefully branded consumer products, are now forecasting the
effects of the trend for retailers to “… tout their lower-priced, private-label goods and
pressure their suppliers for lower prices.” Thus, P&G and Colgate are forecasting the effects
of the twin issues of the decisions by the retailers to whom they sell products to manufacture
and sell their own consumer products while simultaneously seeking lower prices on the
products they do buy from them.33
Assessing
The objective of assessing is to determine the timing and significance of the effects of
environmental changes and trends that have been identified. 34 Through scanning, moni-
toring, and forecasting, analysts are able to understand the general environment. Going a
step further, the intent of assessment is to specify the implications of that understanding.
Without assessment, the firm is left with data that may be interesting but are of unknown
competitive relevance. Even if formal assessment is inadequate, the appropriate interpre-
tation of that information is important: “Research found that how accurate senior execu-tives
are about their competitive environments is indeed less important for strategy and
corresponding organizational changes than the way in which they interpret information
about their environments.”35 Thus, although gathering and organizing information is
important, appropriately interpreting that intelligence to determine if an identified trend in
the external environment is an opportunity or threat is equally important.
As previously noted, through forecasting P&G and Colgate have identified a trend
among many of the retailers to whom they sell their carefully branded prod-ucts.
Essentially, the trend is for these retailers to pressure firms such as P&G, Colgate, H. J.
Heinz, and Kellogg’s—to name a few—to reduce the prices at which they sell their
products to the retailers. The ability of these retailers to produce and sell their own
private-label merchandise supports their efforts to receive lower prices from branding
giants such as those mentioned.
In addition, firms with well-known brands have detected a trend among consumers
to receive more “value” when purchasing branded products. Having forecasted that this
Chapter 2: The External Environment: Opportunities, Threats, Industry Competition, and Competitor Analysis
In Chapter 3, we note that value is measured by
a product’s performance characteristics and by
CONSUMERS’ DESIRE TO its attributes for which customers are willing to
RECEIVE ADDITIONAL
VALUE WHEN PURCHASING pay. A number of companies producing brand-
BRAND-NAME PRODUCTS name products believe that the recent
global crisis is producing a
trend in which what customers value is changing. In slightly different words, through
monitoring and scanning, companies are forecasting that the performance characteristics and
product attributes for which today’s customers are willing to pay are changing as a result of
the recent global crisis. In addition, through assessment, companies producing name-brand
products believe that changes in how customers define value are significant and may be
long-lasting. In response, some firms are changing some of the performance characteristics
and attributes of their products to create more value for customers. A comment from an
analyst about this trend is: “… companies are having to consider their ‘value’ equation to try
to serve the millions of consumers who either can’t afford premium experiences, or just don’t
want them anymore.”
Let’s consider some examples of “different” value that companies are now providing to
customers. The desire for smaller homes is a trend spotted by builders of premium-priced
homes. The fact that the average size of a new home built in the United States declined in
2008 for the first time in 35 years is an indicator of this trend. Builders of premium homes are
using better designs to improve space utilization and traffic flow and increases in energy
efficiency to create more value for customers.
Facilitating these builders’ efforts are changes appliance
manufacturers are making to the performance
characteristics of their products, also in attempts
to create more value for their customers. General
Electric, for example, is offering a hybrid electric
water heater that is estimated to save consumers
$250 annually. The value created by this product is
twofold—reduced cost to the consumer and a
reduction to energy consumption as a benefit to
society as a whole. Kohler is offering energy-efficient
faucets, toilets, and showerheads at virtually the
Elm
und
same price as its less energy-efficient products. Thus,
Su
mn
er/
these products also create customer value in the form
Ph
otol of reduced cost while being environmentally friendly.
ibra
ry
Other appliance firms such as Whirlpool are
producing products with similar performance
characteristics to create customer value.
Other types of companies are also redefining the
The attributes desired by buyers of
premium homes are changing, and
home builders are responding by value their products provide to customers. Believing that
delivering value in the form of greater “… value is not just cost; it’s also taste, nutrition and
energy efficiency and more modern quality,” Del Monte Foods’s advertising campaigns now
designs. Would a smaller, more
emphasize that compared to some frozen and even fresh
environmentally efficient home be of
more value to you than a larger, less items, canned foods can offer better value when the
efficient one? customer combines cost with nutritional benefits. Frito-
Lay (a division of PepsiCo) is increasing customer
value by adding 20 percent more product to selected bags of Cheetos, Fritos, and Tostitos
without increasing prices. Michaels, a large chain of craft outlets, now emphasizes that when
customers purchase their goods as raw materials for making various items they are becoming
more sustainable in that they are “making stuff” rather than simply “buying more stuff.”
As these examples suggest, all types of companies (and especially those selling brand-
name products) are trying to create a different type of value for customers in response to
trends they are observing in their general environment. Regardless of the good or service a
firm offers, it seems that the following words from an analyst capture the challenge facing
today’s companies: “So here’s a call to all companies: evaluate everything you are offering
consumers to see how you can infuse the value of good value into your brand.”
Sources: A. Athavaley, 2009, Eco-friendly—and frugal, Wall Street Journal Online, http://www.wsj.com, February 11; S.
Elliott, 2009, Food brands compete to stretch a dollar, New York Times Online, http://www.nytimes.com, May 10;
Kaplan, 2009, Value-oriented chains thrive amid recession, Houston Chronicle Online, http://www.chron.com, April 24;
M. Penn, 2009, Value is the new green, Wall Street Journal Online, http://www.wsj.com, March 13; C. C. Miller, 2008, For
craft sales, the recession is a help, New York Times Online, http://www.nytimes.com, December 23.
trend toward “wanting more value” may last beyond the current global recession, many
of these firms are taking actions in response to their assessment of the significance of
what may be a long-lasting trend toward value purchases. In the Strategic Focus, we
describe actions some firms with well-known brands are taking in response to an assess-
ment that this trend may have significant effects on their operations, at least in the short
run if not longer term as well.
Population Size
The world’s population doubled (from 3 billion to 6 billion) in the roughly 40-year
period between 1959 and 1999. Current projects suggest that population growth will
continue in the twenty-first century, but at a slower pace. The U.S. Census Bureau
projects that the world’s population will be 9 billion by 2040. 37 By 2050, India is
expected to be the most populous nation in the world (with over 1.8 billion people).
China, the United States, Indonesia, and Pakistan are predicted to be the next four
largest nations by population count in 2050. Firms seeking to find growing markets in
which to sell their goods and services want to recognize the market potential that may
The demographic
exist for them in these five nations. segment is concerned
While observing the population of different nations and regions of the world, firms also with a population’s
want to study changes occurring within different populations to assess their strategic size, age structure,
implications. For example, in 2006, 20 percent of Japan’s citizens were 65 or older, while the geographic distribution,
ethnic mix, and income
United States and China will not reach this level until 2036. 38 Aging populations are a distribution.
significant problem for countries because of the need for workers and the burden of
44
funding retirement programs. In Japan and other countries, employees are urged
Age Structure
As noted earlier, in Japan and other countries, the world’s population is rapidly aging.
In North America and Europe, millions of baby boomers are approaching retirement.
However, even in developing countries with large numbers of people under the age of
35, birth rates have been declining sharply. In China, for example, by 2040 there will
be more than 400 million people over the age of 60. The more than 90 million baby
boom-ers in North America may postpone retirement given the recent financial crisis.
In fact, data now suggest that baby boomers (those born between 1946 and 1965) are
struggling to meet their retirement goals and are uncertain if they will actually be able
to retire as originally expected. This is partly because of declines in the value of their
homes as well as declines in their other retirement investments 39—a number of baby
boomers experienced at least a 20 percent decline in their retirement assets between
2007 and 2008. The pos-sibility of future declines is creating uncertainty for baby
boomers about how to invest and when they might be able to retire. 40 On the other
hand, delayed retirements by baby boomers with value-creating skills may facilitate
firms’ efforts to successfully implement their strategies. Moreover, delayed
retirements may allow companies to think of creative ways for skilled, long-time
employees to impart their accumulated knowledge to younger employees as they
work a bit longer than originally anticipated.
Geographic Distribution
For decades, the U.S. population has been shifting from the north and east to the
west and south. Firms should consider the effects of this shift in demographics as
well. For example, Florida is the U.S. state with the largest percentage of its
population (17.6 percent) 65 years or older. 41 Thus, companies providing goods
and services that are targeted to senior citizens might pay close attention to this
group’s geographic preference for states in the south (such as Florida) and the
southwest (such as Texas). Similarly, the trend of relocating from metropolitan to
nonmetropolitan areas continues in the United States. These trends are changing
local and state governments’ tax bases. In turn, business firms’ decisions
regarding location are influenced by the degree of support that different taxing
agencies offer as well as the rates at which these agencies tax businesses.
Geographic distribution patterns are not identical throughout the world. For
exam-ple, in China, 60 percent of the population lives in rural areas; however, the
growth is in urban communities such as Shanghai (with a current population in
excess of 13 million) and Beijing (over 12.2 million). These data suggest that
firms seeking to sell their products in China should recognize the growth in
metropolitan areas rather than in rural areas.42
Ethnic Mix
The ethnic mix of countries’ populations continues to change. For example, with
a population in excess of 40 million, Hispanics are now the largest ethnic
minority in the United States. In fact, the U.S. Hispanic market is the third largest
“Latin American” economy behind Brazil and Mexico. Spanish is now the
dominant language in parts of U.S. states such as Texas, California, Florida, and
New Mexico.43 Given these facts, some firms might want to assess the degree to
which their goods or services could be adapted to serve the unique needs of
Hispanic consumers. This is particularly appropriate for companies competing in
consumer sectors such as grocery stores, movie studios, financial services, and
clothing stores.
Changes in the ethnic mix also affect a workforce’s composition. 44 In the become
United States, for example, the population and labor force will continue to destabilized. In
diversify, as immigra-tion accounts for a sizable part of growth. Projections are contrast,
that the combined Latino and Asian population shares will increase to more than Vietnam’s
20 percent of the total U.S. popula-tion by 2014. 45 Interestingly, much of this economy was
immigrant workforce is bypassing high-cost coastal cities and settling in smaller expanding during
rural towns. Many of these workers are in low-wage, labor-intensive industries late 2009 and
such as construction, food service, lodging, and landscaping.46 For this reason, if being recognized
as one in which
border security is tightened, these industries will likely face labor shortages.
opportunities
Income Distribution might exist for
Understanding how income is distributed within and across populations informs firms
companies from
across the globe
of different groups’ purchasing power and discretionary income. Studies of income
distri-butions suggest that although living standards have improved over time, to pursue.54
variations exist within and between nations. 47 Of interest to firms are the average
incomes of households and individuals. For instance, the increase in dual-career
couples has had a notable effect on average incomes. Although real income has been
declining in general in some nations, the household income of dual-career couples has
increased, especially in the United States. These figures yield strategically relevant
information for firms. For instance, research indi-cates that whether an employee is
part of a dual-career couple can strongly influence the willingness of the employee to
accept an international assignment.48
The assessment by some that in 2005 about 55 percent of the world’s
population could be defined as “middle class” generates interesting possibilities
for many firms. (For the purpose of this survey, middle class was defined as
people with one third of their income left for discretionary spending after
providing for basic food and shelter.) The size of this market may have “…
immense implications for companies selling their products and services on a
global scale.”49 Of course, the recent global financial crisis may affect the size of
the world’s “middle class.”
46
Part 1: Strategic Management Inputs
The political/legal segment is the arena in which organizations and interest groups
compete for attention, resources, and a voice in overseeing the body of laws and
regulations guiding interactions among nations as well as between firms and various local
governmental agencies.
The sociocultural segment is concerned with a society’s attitudes and cultural values.
The nations has substantial implications for the competitive landscapes in a number of
countries and across multiple industries. 56 In the United States, the 2009
Political/Legal allocation by the federal government of $13 billion to high-speed train travel is
Segment expected to provide a critical boost to the nation’s efforts to reduce traffic
The political/legal congestion and cut pollution.57 For global firms manufacturing high-speed rail
segment is the arena in equipment, this political support in the United States of systems requiring their
which organizations and products is a trend to forecast and assess.
interest groups compete Firms must carefully analyze a new political administration’s business-related
for attention, resources, poli-cies and philosophies. Antitrust laws, taxation laws, industries chosen for
and a voice in overseeing deregulation, labor training laws, and the degree of commitment to educational
the body of laws and regu- institutions are areas in which an administration’s policies can affect the
lations guiding interactions operations and profitability of indus-tries and individual firms across the globe.
among nations as well as For example, early signals from President Obama’s administration that policies
between firms and various might be formed with the intention of reducing the amount of work U.S.
local governmental companies outsource to firms in other nations seemingly could affect information
agencies.55 Essentially, this technology outsourcing firms based in countries such as India. 58 The introduction
segment represents how of legislation in the U.S. Congress during the early tenure of the Obama
organizations try to administration suggested at least some support for these stated intentions. 59 Thus,
influence governments and these companies might want to carefully examine the newly elected U.S.
how they try to understand administration’s intentions to understand their potential effects.
the influences (current and To deal with issues such as those we are describing, firms develop a political
pro-jected) of those strategy to influence governmental policies that might affect them. Some argue that
developing an effective political strategy is essential to the newly formed General
governments on their
strategic actions. Motors’ efforts to achieve strategic competitiveness. 60 In addition, the effects of
When regulations are global governmental policies (e.g., those related to firms in India that are engaging in
formed in response to new IT outsourcing work) on a firm’s competitive position increase the need for firms to
laws that are legislated form an effective political strategy.61
(e.g., the Sarbanes-Oxley Firms competing in the global economy encounter an interesting array of
Act dealing with corporate political/ legal questions and issues. For example, in mid-2009, leaders from
governance—see Chapter South Korea and the European Union remained committed to developing a free
10 for more infor-mation), trade agreement between the relevant parties. At the time, the two parties had
they often influence a worked for over two years to develop an agreement that many thought would
firm’s strategic actions. benefit both by creating a host of opportunities for firms to sell their goods and
For example, less- services in what would be a new market for them. The key political challenge
restrictive regu-lations on affecting the parties’ efforts was the European Union’s decision not to permit “…
firms’ actions are a refunds South Korea pays to local companies who import parts from third
product of the recent countries before exporting finished goods.”62 Both South Korea and European
global trend toward Union firms are monitoring the progress of these talks in order to be able to
privatization of forecast the effects of a possible trade agreement on their strategic actions.
government-owned or
government-regulated The Sociocultural Segment
firms. Some believe that The sociocultural segment is concerned with a society’s attitudes and cultural
the transforma-tion from
values. Because attitudes and values form the cornerstone of a society, they often
state-owned to private
firms occurring in multiple drive demo-graphic, economic, political/legal, and technological conditions and
changes.
Societies’ attitudes and cultural values appear to be undergoing possible policies and their ef
changes at the start of the second decade of the twenty-first century. This seems delivery would likely
to be the case in the United States and other nations as well. Attitudes and values affect business firms,
about health care in the United States is an area where sociocultural changes meaning that they
might occur. Statistics are a driving force for these potential changes. For must carefully
example, while the United States “… has the high-est overall health care monitor this
expenditure as well as the highest expenditure per capital of any country in the possibility and future
world,”63 millions of the nation’s citizens lack health insurance. Some feel that trends regarding
effective health care reform in the United States requires securing coverage for all health care in order
citizens and lowering the cost of services. 64 Changes to the nature of health care to anticipate the
fects on their operations. p
r
As the U.S. labor force has increased, it has also become more diverse as
o
significantly more women and minorities from a variety of cultures entered. In 1993, d
the total U.S. workforce was slightly less than 130 million; in 2005, it was slightly u
greater than 148 million. It is predicted to grow to more than 192 million by 2050. In c
the same year, 2050, the U.S. workforce is forecasted to be composed of 48 percent t
s
female workers, 11 percent Asian American workers, 14 percent African American ,
workers and 24 percent Hispanic workers. 65 The growing gender, ethnic, and cultural
diversity in this workforce creates challenges and opportunities, including combining p
the best of both men’s and women’s traditional leadership styles. Although diversity r
in the workforce has the poten-tial to improve performance, research indicates that o
c
management of diversity initiatives is required in order to reap these organizational e
benefits. Human resource practitioners are trained to successfully manage diversity s
issues to enhance positive outcomes.66 STRATEG s
e
Another manifestation of changing attitudes toward work is the continuing
growth of contingency workers (part-time, temporary, and contract employees)
Y s
,
throughout the global economy. This trend is significant in several parts of the RIGHT NOW
world, including Canada, Japan, Latin America, Western Europe, and the United a
States. In the United States, the fastest growing group of contingency workers is Read what one n
those with 15 to 20 years of work experi-ence. The layoffs resulting from the leading marketing d
consultant says about
recent global crisis and the loss of retirement income of many “baby boomers”— changing consumer m
many of whom feel they must work longer to recover losses to their retirement attitudes and how a
portfolios—are a key reason for this. Companies interested in hiring on a company’s should be t
temporary basis may benefit by gaining access to the long-term work experiences adapting. e
of these newly available workers.67 www.cengage.co r
m/ i
Although the lifestyle and workforce changes referenced previously reflect the management/hitt a
val-ues of the U.S. population, each country and culture has unique values and trends. l
As suggested earlier, national cultural values affect behavior in organizations and thus s
also influence organizational outcomes. 68 For example, the importance of collectivism .
and social relations in Chinese and Russian cultures lead to the open sharing of
information and knowledge among members of an organization. 69 Knowledge sharing
is important for defusing new knowledge in organizations and increasing the speed in
implementing innovations. Personal relationships are especially important in China as
guanxi (personal connections) has become a way of doing business within the country
and for individuals to advance their careers in what is becoming a more open market
society.70 Understanding the importance of guanxi is critical for foreign firms doing
business in China.
The Technological Segment
Pervasive and diversified in scope, technological changes affect many parts of
societies. These effects occur primarily through new products, processes, and
materials. The techno-logical segment includes the institutions and activities
involved with creating new knowl-edge and translating that knowledge into new
outputs, products, processes, and materials.
Given the rapid pace of technological change, it is vital for firms to thoroughly
study the technological segment.71 The importance of these efforts is suggested by the
find-ing that early adopters of new technology often achieve higher market shares and
The
earn technological
segment
includes the
institutions and
activities involved
with creating new
knowledge and
translating that
knowledge into
new outputs,
Chapter 2: The External Environment: Opportunities, Threats, Industry Competition, and Competitor Analysis
47
Spe
nce
r
Plat
t/G
etty
ima
ges
48 higher returns. Thus, both large and small firms should continuously scan the
external environ-ment to identify potential substitutes for technolo-gies that are
in current use, as well as to identify newly emerging technologies from which
Part 1: Strategic Management Inputs