Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Canadians’ Attitudes
on National Security
Priorities
5th April 2019
METHODOLOGY ABOUT MAINSTREET
The analysis in this report is based on results of a With 20 years of political experience in all three
survey conducted between March 19th to 25th, levels of government, President and CEO Quito
2019 among a sample of 8501 adults, 18 years Maggi is a respected commentator on international
of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was public affairs.
conducted using automated telephone interviews
(Smart IVR). Respondents were interviewed on Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
both landlines and cellular phones. The survey is Research has provided accurate snapshots of
intended to represent the voting population of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
Canada. government in Alberta, and was the only polling firm
to correctly predict a Liberal majority government
The survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research in the 2015 federal election. Mainstreet also
and was not sponsored by a third party. accurately predicted the 2018 Ontario election and
was the first to predict that a CAQ majority win in
The sampling frame was derived from both the 2018 Quebec election. Mainstreet Research
a national telephone directory compiled by is a member of the World Association for Public
Mainstreet Research from various commerically Opinion Research and meets international and
available sources and random digit dialing. The Canadian publication standards.
part of the survey that dialed from the directory was
conducted as a stratified dial of the ten Canadian CONTACT INFORMATION
provinces. In the case of random digit dials, In Ottawa:
respondents were asked the additional question Quito Maggi, President
of what region of the country they resided in. quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
The margin of error for this poll is +/- 1.06% and is In Toronto:
accurate 19 times out of 20. Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
(full methodology appears at the end of this
report) Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
CANADIANS SEE ALT-RIGHT AS GREATEST THREAT TO NATIONAL SECURITY
5th April 2019 (Ottawa, ON) – Most Canadians (44.3%) think that domestic alt-right groups are the
biggest threat to national security, while a majority of Canadians (55.2%) do not think that there is a
fair amount of extremism among Canada’s Muslim community.
Those are the findings from Mainstreet Research’s latest UltraPoll, a conglomeration of ten provincial
polls. The poll surveyed 8501 Canadians between March 19th and 25th 2019. The poll has a margin
of error of +/- 1.06% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
“We wanted to measure Canadians’ attitudes on these issues in light of the recent terrorist attack
in New Zealand,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “We found that
58.3% of decided respondents think that domestic alt-right groups are the biggest threat to national
security.”
“This finding, along with the strong belief among Canadians that there is not much extremism among
Canadian Muslims, indicates that Canadians are far more worried about the alt-right launching a
terrorist attack on home soil.”
A majority of Canadians also think that Canada should be working to limit the power and influence
of China (60.1%), and that of Russia (60.2%).
“Canadians likely have the allegations of Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. Presidential election
in mind when they are expressing concerns about Russian influence,” added Maggi.
Speaking of the United States, 64.1% of respondents want to see Canada distance itself from the
foreign policy of the United States.
“This is no surprise, given the Trump administration’s lack of focus on the alt-right and choosing
to instead to cite illegal immigration and the Muslim population as threats to U.S. security,” added
Maggi. “Trump’s priorities do not jive with our findings of what Canadians are worried about.”
A near majority of Canadians (48.2%) do not think that Canada’s sovereignty is being threatened by
the United Nations, which is a key claim made the yellow vest movement.
“We think this survey shows that many claims made by the alt-right are not in step with the view of
most Canadians,” concluded Maggi.
-30-
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Not Sure
Taking measures to protect Canada from terrorism should
be a top foreign policy priority for Canada
(broken out by party and regional support)
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5.2%
4.7%
5
2.6%
2.5%
38.7%
32.1%
16.7%
57.7%
29.4%
25.3%
12.6%
26.5%
33.9%
24.1%
10.8%
25.7%
31.3%
24.4%
12.4%
49.8%
23.7%
14.4%
6.5%
7.8%
6.1%
6.2%
6.9%
33%
23%
6%
0
Liberals Conservatives NDP Bloc Quebecois Green People's Party
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
4.5%
4.2%
4.1%
5
35.9%
33.5%
19.1%
52.3%
28.1%
10.9%
45.0%
31.9%
11.9%
46.7%
28.2%
13.7%
36.5%
34.1%
16.2%
45.8%
11.7%
7.4%
6.2%
5.6%
5.9%
8.5%
5.8%
5.7%
30%
5%
7%
0
BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
All things considered, Canada’s sovereignty is being
threatened by the United Nations
(broken out by party and regional support)
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
15.0%
21.8%
37.9%
18.6%
23.8%
23.6%
21.0%
13.7%
17.9%
10.7%
20.8%
39.2%
22.9%
18.3%
24.5%
32.8%
15.6%
10.5%
19.9%
38.8%
23.4%
36.0%
19.5%
14.9%
15.9%
13.7%
6.8%
6.4%
8.6%
7.4%
0
Liberals Conservatives NDP Bloc Quebecois Green People's Party
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
30
25
20
15
10
5
13.1%
14.9%
23.3%
28.3%
20.4%
29.3%
18.8%
17.1%
19.6%
15.2%
18.8%
19.3%
18.9%
20.0%
23.0%
13.0%
17.5%
19.0%
28.2%
22.4%
17.2%
24.5%
32.9%
16.3%
13.4%
17.6%
20.3%
23.6%
25.0%
9.1%
0
BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
The Canadian government should make reducing illegal
immigration a top foreign policy priority
(broken out by party and regional support)
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5.0%
4.0%
3.9%
3.7%
5
19.8%
21.0%
24.7%
26.2%
56.6%
23.8%
10.5%
19.2%
17.0%
20.4%
35.7%
39.5%
23.9%
19.8%
13.0%
22.5%
20.3%
26.1%
27.5%
58.3%
18.8%
8.3%
7.7%
9.9%
7.2%
5.8%
0
Liberals Conservatives NDP Bloc Quebecois Green People's Party
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
30.8%
24.5%
18.6%
20.5%
48.9%
18.9%
13.3%
14.3%
41.7%
19.2%
15.8%
15.8%
36.5%
19.6%
16.5%
20.4%
31.4%
24.7%
22.5%
15.2%
27.2%
24.5%
19.5%
16.5%
12.3%
5.7%
4.5%
7.4%
6.9%
6.1%
0
BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
The Canadian government should distance itself from the
foreign policy of the United States
(broken out by party and regional support)
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
3.3%
5
2.5%
43.6%
29.4%
12.9%
22.1%
28.0%
25.6%
12.9%
11.4%
51.4%
30.5%
51.0%
26.4%
13.6%
48.7%
25.8%
11.3%
23.8%
22.8%
26.6%
15.9%
11.1%
5.1%
9.0%
7.3%
8.3%
5.7%
5.8%
8.4%
0
Liberals Conservatives NDP Bloc Quebecois Green People's Party
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
40.6%
28.6%
14.6%
29.1%
26.5%
20.2%
12.2%
12.0%
31.1%
29.1%
18.4%
14.2%
36.0%
27.4%
16.9%
12.1%
39.2%
27.9%
17.6%
36.5%
29.7%
14.1%
14.2%
7.6%
8.6%
7.1%
7.6%
7.5%
7.8%
5.5%
0
BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
Domestic alt-right groups are currently the biggest threat
to Canadian national security
(broken out by party and regional support)
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
26.2%
28.4%
14.5%
26.4%
11.3%
22.6%
20.9%
17.3%
27.9%
31.0%
27.1%
10.7%
26.5%
17.2%
27.2%
18.7%
27.5%
19.1%
26.6%
14.2%
30.8%
12.4%
14.8%
14.5%
35.1%
23.2%
4.5%
4.8%
9.4%
9.4%
0
Liberals Conservatives NDP Bloc Quebecois Green People's Party
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
30
25
20
15
10
5
22.2%
24.4%
13.5%
10.7%
29.3%
18.2%
22.1%
15.5%
18.0%
26.1%
18.8%
23.7%
14.7%
12.2%
30.6%
20.2%
25.7%
14.6%
30.0%
18.1%
24.3%
22.2%
10.4%
25.0%
19.1%
25.6%
14.2%
33.4%
9.5%
7.7%
0
BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
There is a fair amount of extremism among Canadian
Muslims
(broken out by party and regional support)
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
12.6%
20.5%
44.0%
14.8%
21.5%
23.6%
25.0%
17.9%
12.0%
19.6%
50.1%
16.1%
13.7%
15.1%
23.0%
34.4%
13.8%
14.3%
21.5%
46.2%
11.1%
21.0%
24.6%
22.7%
18.9%
12.8%
8.2%
6.0%
8.3%
6.8%
0
Liberals Conservatives NDP Bloc Quebecois Green People's Party
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
10.9%
16.8%
21.0%
36.3%
15.0%
18.5%
21.5%
22.2%
26.7%
11.1%
14.5%
19.7%
21.7%
26.9%
17.3%
13.7%
15.5%
21.1%
34.1%
15.5%
12.2%
15.2%
25.1%
35.3%
12.2%
12.8%
17.2%
19.7%
29.6%
20.7%
0
BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
Canada should work to limit the power and influence of
China
(broken out by party and regional support)
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
22.8%
34.9%
21.0%
15.5%
32.7%
34.9%
16.4%
11.2%
17.9%
32.9%
21.0%
19.8%
22.3%
40.8%
17.1%
15.2%
22.1%
32.7%
20.1%
16.4%
43.8%
22.3%
14.2%
11.3%
5.8%
4.9%
8.3%
4.6%
8.7%
8.4%
0
Liberals Conservatives NDP Bloc Quebecois Green People's Party
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
29.9%
33.5%
18.1%
12.9%
29.4%
36.3%
15.8%
13.8%
23.4%
34.3%
18.1%
18.4%
28.4%
32.2%
17.1%
15.7%
21.7%
34.2%
22.2%
15.3%
23.6%
34.2%
15.9%
20.9%
5.7%
4.7%
5.8%
6.6%
6.6%
5.4%
0
BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
Canada should work to limit the power and influence of
Russia
(broken out by party and regional support)
30
25
20
15
10
5
32.9%
28.9%
16.1%
15.2%
30.1%
33.2%
17.3%
13.1%
26.9%
33.0%
16.4%
16.6%
31.3%
28.1%
19.0%
12.4%
25.1%
32.1%
17.0%
16.3%
24.9%
28.9%
24.5%
11.6%
10.1%
6.8%
6.3%
7.1%
9.2%
9.5%
0
Liberals Conservatives NDP Bloc Quebecois Green People's Party
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
32.9%
32.6%
14.9%
13.7%
30.2%
35.3%
14.1%
14.2%
27.4%
30.4%
16.9%
17.3%
30.5%
28.4%
16.9%
17.1%
26.8%
30.5%
20.0%
14.6%
29.4%
30.3%
14.6%
18.9%
5.9%
6.1%
8.0%
7.1%
8.1%
6.8%
0
BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Somewhat Disagree Strongly Disagree Don't Know
Breakout Tables
We will now read you a series of statements about foreign policy. For each
statement, press 1 if you strongly agree, press 2 if you somewhat agree, press 3 if
you somewhat disagree, press 4 if you strongly disagree, press 5 if you are not sure
Taking measures to protect Canada from terrorism should be a top foreign policy
priority for Canada
Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly agree 43.1% 44.5% 41.7% 37.1% 40.2% 47% 49.7% 35.9% 52.3% 45% 46.7% 36.5% 45.8%
Somewhat agree 30.7% 30.9% 30.5% 28.7% 32.7% 32.2% 28.7% 33.5% 28.1% 31.9% 28.2% 34.1% 30%
Somewhat disagree 14.4% 14.6% 14.2% 17.6% 15.8% 12.3% 11.2% 19.1% 10.9% 11.9% 13.7% 16.2% 11.7%
Strongly disagree 6.4% 6% 6.9% 9.5% 6.6% 4.9% 4% 7.4% 4.5% 6.2% 5.6% 8.5% 5.7%
Not sure 5.4% 4.1% 6.8% 7.1% 4.8% 3.7% 6.4% 4.1% 4.2% 5% 5.9% 5.8% 7%
Unweighted Frequency 8501 4746 3755 1756 2219 2410 2116 923 1160 1505 1290 940 2683
Weighted Frequency 8501 4210 4291 2364 2129 2342 1667 1158 961 554 3529 1985 583
The Canadian government should distance itself from the foreign policy of the
United States
Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly agree 36.3% 34.7% 37.9% 33.8% 38.8% 35.6% 37.8% 40.6% 29.1% 31.1% 36% 39.2% 36.5%
Somewhat agree 27.8% 27.3% 28.4% 27.1% 27.1% 28% 29.6% 28.6% 26.5% 29.1% 27.4% 27.9% 29.7%
Somewhat disagree 17% 19.6% 14.4% 16.7% 16.7% 18.7% 15.5% 14.6% 20.2% 18.4% 16.9% 17.6% 14.1%
Strongly disagree 7.9% 10% 5.9% 7.9% 8.7% 8.5% 6.1% 7.6% 12.2% 7.1% 7.6% 7.5% 5.5%
Not sure 10.9% 8.3% 13.5% 14.5% 8.6% 9.3% 11% 8.6% 12% 14.2% 12.1% 7.8% 14.2%
Unweighted Frequency 8501 4746 3755 1756 2219 2410 2116 923 1160 1505 1290 940 2683
Weighted Frequency 8501 4210 4291 2364 2129 2342 1667 1158 961 554 3529 1985 583
This survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research and has not been sponsored by any third-
party organization.
The sampling frame was derived from both a national telephone directory compiled by
Mainstreet Research from various commercially available sources and random digit dialing.
The survey that dialed from the directory was conducted as a stratified dial of the ten Canadian
provinces. In the case of random digit dials, respondents were asked the additional question
of what region of the country they resided in. Respondents were dialed at random.
At least two attempts were made to complete an interview at every sampled telephone
number. The calls were staggered over times of day and two days to maximize the chances
of making contact with a potential respondent. Interviewing was also spread as evenly as
possible across the field period.
The questionnaire used in this survey is available in this report and online at www.
mainstreetresearch.ca. Questions are asked as they appear in the release document. If
a question is asked of a subset of the sample a descriptive note is added in parenthesis
preceding the question.
The sample was weighted by population parameters from the Canada 2016 Census for adults
18 years of age or older in Canada. The population parameters used for weighting are age,
gender, and region.
The margin of error for this poll is +/- 1.06% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are
higher in each subsample.
The margins of error for each subsample is as following: Males: +/- 1.42%, Females: +/- 1.6%,
18-34 age group: +/- 2.34%, 35-49 age group: +/- 2.08%, 50-64 age group: +/- 2%, 65+
age group: +/- 2.13%, British Columbia: +/- 3.23%, Alberta: +/- 2.88%, Prairies: +/- 2.53%,
Ontario: +/- 2.73%, Quebec: +/- 3.2%, Atlantic Canada: +/- 1.89%.
In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that the wording of questions and
practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of
opinion polls. Moreover, all sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of
error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.