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TREC Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange &

Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange


Weekly Review 26th May 2017
Research is registered with SECP under Research Entity Notification No. REP-284
SECP’s Investor Education Link: www.jamapunji.pk

Weekly Review –26th May 2017


Week 21 - 2017

Contents
About Askari Securities Ltd ................................................................................................. 2
Do’s & Don’ts of Investments ............................................................................................ 3
Market Snapshot .................................................................................................................... 4
Corporate Actions.................................................................................................................. 5
Upcoming Board Meetings .................................................................................................. 6
Regional Stock Markets and Commodities Performance Review .................................. 6
Stock Market Risk Level ....................................................................................................... 7
Stock Market Liquidity Level ............................................................................................... 7
Value Basket ........................................................................................................................... 7
Sentiment Basket.................................................................................................................... 7
Market Commentary.............................................................................................................. 7
Special Feature: Board Meeting Calendar – May 2017 .................................................... 9
Red List Companies - Sector Wise .................................................................................... 10

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TREC Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange &
Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange
Weekly Review 26th May 2017

About Askari Securities Ltd


Askari Securities Ltd. (“ASL”) is one of the fastest developing investment houses in Pakistan's Capital
market, offering a wide range of investment services for institutions and retail clients. ASL is a TREC
Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange and Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange. ASL
is registered as a certified Mutual Fund Distributor with the Mutual Fund Association of Pakistan.

ASL is a subsidiary of Askari Bank Ltd and associated company of the Army Welfare Trust. Askari Bank
Ltd is a leading bank in Pakistan and is owned by the Fauji Foundation and its group of Companies. The
Fauji Foundation and the Army Welfare Trust have launched companies, which are among the most
renowned in Pakistan’s corporate arena. Askari Investment Management is a mutual fund management
company which is wholly owned by Askari Bank Ltd.

ASL’s success is built on its expanding presence in the market, service to the client, maturity in dealing
with market situations and continuous evolution in services offered. For more information, you can visit
our office, website or simply contact us.

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TREC Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange &
Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange
Weekly Review 26th May 2017

Do’s & Don’ts of Investments

The following is a list of Do’s and Don’ts that you should go through.

It is aimed at helping you gain an insight into what one’s mental framework should be in the process of
investments. The following have been observed time and again and are also based on empirical evidence.

 Don’t try to beat the market. You simply can’t – moving sensibly with the market is good
enough.

 Explore the idea: Sell when the market is rising, buy when the market is falling. This is an
important way to make the best of price movements.

 Don’t be greedy. When you are making a profit, book it and become ready to buy at lower levels.

 Be ready to engage the market. If you are not ready, that opportunity will pass.

 Don’t fear. Markets will dip and they will rise.

 Be Patient. The market may make movements that are sudden, against your analysis or beyond
your expectations – in all circumstances remain patient.

 Buy good things and don’t expect bad things to outperform good things. When you buy a
good security, the probability of it giving you a positive return is higher than a bad security.

 Avoid deciding in a state of panic. Decisions taken while in a state of panic usually have bad
results.

 Don’t over trade. Avoid trading unnecessarily.

 This is a game of averages. Success in investments is a function of averages.

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TREC Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange &
Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange
Weekly Review 26th May 2017
Market Snapshot
19-May-17 26-May-17 Change % Change
KSE 100 Index 50,742.03 52,636.87 1,894.84 3.73
Weekly Total KSE Volume: 2,011,467,050 Daily Avg.: 402,293,410
Daily Avg. KSE Traded Value: 20,209,784,385 Avg. Traded Val/Share: 50.24
Admajee Insurance 78.53 80.18 1.65 2.10
Allied Bank Ltd. 97.12 99.97 2.85 2.93
Arif Habib Corp 42.83 43.02 0.19 0.44
Askari Bank Ltd. 21.23 22.23 1.00 4.71
Attock Refinery 439.38 466.63 27.25 6.20
Attock Petroleum 684.23 682.62 -1.61 -0.24
Atlas Battery Ltd 930.00 950.50 20.50 2.20
Atlas Honda 636.42 644.45 8.03 1.26
Attock Cement 335.97 324.17 -11.80 -3.51
Azgard Nine 13.64 13.85 0.21 1.54
Bank Al-Falah 44.00 45.56 1.56 3.55
Bank Al-Habib Ltd 59.03 62.93 3.90 6.61
Bank of Punjab 13.83 13.48 -0.35 -2.53
Bestway Cement Ltd. 269.41 263.26 -6.15 -2.28
Biafo Industries 295.00 291.50 -3.50 -1.19
Archroma Pakistan Ltd 760.18 764.21 4.03 0.53
Colgate-Palmolive (Pakistan) Ltd 2200.00 2289.00 89.00 4.05
Crescent Steels & Allied Products 260.47 283.07 22.60 8.68
D.G.K.Cement 235.36 242.88 7.52 3.20
Dewan Cement 26.09 24.30 -1.79 -6.86
Dewan Salman 5.69 5.12 -0.57 -10.02
Engro Corp. 370.87 398.36 27.49 7.41
Engro Foods 157.68 157.58 -0.10 -0.06
Fatima Fert Co. 33.28 33.08 -0.20 -0.60
Fauji Cement 44.94 46.41 1.47 3.27
Fauji Fert Bin Qasim 49.51 49.61 0.10 0.20
Fauji Fertilizer Co. 95.19 96.78 1.59 1.67
Gatron Industries 102.86 97.01 -5.85 -5.69
Ghani Glass 94.03 92.67 -1.36 -1.45
Habib Bank Ltd. 290.44 299.22 8.78 3.02
Hub Power Co. 124.44 132.60 8.16 6.56
Jahangir Siddiqui & Co. 25.54 25.35 -0.19 -0.74
J.D.W. Sugar Mills Ltd 523.15 509.99 -13.16 -2.52
ICI Pakistan 1114.61 1219.70 105.09 9.43
Indus Motor Co. 1989.93 1997.98 8.05 0.40
Karachi Electric Ltd. 7.73 7.82 0.09 1.16
Kot Addu Power Co. 77.21 77.09 -0.12 -0.16
Lotte Chemical 11.74 12.21 0.47 4.00
Lucky Cement Ltd. 940.85 952.45 11.60 1.23
Maple Leaf Cement 117.94 118.54 0.60 0.51
Mari Gas Co. Ltd 1632.03 1687.43 55.40 3.39
MCB Bank Ltd. 235.88 242.56 6.68 2.83
Millat Tractors Ltd 1461.17 1550.85 89.68 6.14
National Bank 67.33 67.09 -0.24 -0.36
National Refinery Ltd. 819.12 839.01 19.89 2.43
Nestle Pakistan Ltd 10000.00 10199.67 199.67 2.00
NIB Bank 1.68 1.64 -0.04 -2.38
Nishat (Chunian) 58.70 61.82 3.12 5.32

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TREC Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange &
Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange
Weekly Review 26th May 2017
Nishat Chunian Power 45.14 44.60 -0.54 -1.20
Nishat Mills Ltd 167.40 177.74 10.34 6.18
Nishat Power Ltd. 47.80 46.02 -1.78 -3.72
OGDC 168.04 183.77 15.73 9.36
P.S.O. 451.18 473.34 22.16 4.91
P.T.C.L.A. 16.16 16.10 -0.06 -0.37
Pak Oilfields 504.80 520.74 15.94 3.16
Pak Petroleum Ltd. 171.03 183.49 12.46 7.29
Pak Reinsurance Ltd 48.75 50.74 1.99 4.08
Rafhan Maize Products 7200.00 7316.33 116.33 1.62
Security Papers Ltd. 141.36 166.16 24.80 17.54
Service Industries Ltd. 1425.50 1453.92 28.42 1.99
Shahtaj Sugar Mills Ltd 190.00 215.83 25.83 13.59
Sui North Gas 163.15 175.85 12.70 7.78
Sui South Gas 43.23 43.82 0.59 1.36
TRG Pakistan Ltd. 54.55 54.51 -0.04 -0.07
Tri-Pack Films Ltd. 245.46 260.14 14.68 5.98
United Bank Ltd. 247.66 256.92 9.26 3.74
Unilever Pakistan Food 6150.00 6139.00 -11.00 -0.18

Corporate Actions
Company Name Payouts EPS (Rs.) Book Closure
JDW Sugar Mills Limited 100% (I) 28.92 31.05.2017
Sakrand Sugar Mills Ltd 100% (R) 8.88 02.06.2017
Fauji Fertilizer Co. Ltd. 15% (I) 1.72 05.06.2017
IGI Life Insurance Limited 8%B (I) 1.58 05.06.2017
The Hub Power Company 20% (III) 6.60 06.06.2017
Engro Corporation Limited 50% (I) 10.12 06.06.2017
Atlas Honda Limited 185% (F) 36.29 06.06.2017
Husein Sugar Mills Limited 47.059%R 14.14 06.06.2017
Dawood Hercules Corporation 20% (I) 2.25*, 0.93** 06.06.2017
Pakistan State Oil Co. Ltd. 100% (I) 52.10 14.06.2017
Ghani Glass Limited 50% (III) 7.53 15.06.2017
Oil & Gas Development Company Limited 15% (III) 11.07 16.06.2017
Crescent Steel & Allied Products 15% (II) 11.71 04.07.2017
Attock Cement Pakistan ----- 19.51*, 19.55** -----
Fauji Cement Co. Ltd. ----- 1.43 -----
Dewan Cement Limited ----- 1.99 -----
Byco Petroleum Pakistan ----- 0.58*, 1.13** -----
Murree Brewery Co. Ltd. ----- 28.72 -----
Pakistan Petroleum Ltd ----- 9.19*, 9.67** -----
Pakistan Oilfields Ltd. ----- 31.93*, 31.56** -----
Attock Refinery Limited ----- 38.15*, 39.74** -----
Attock Petroleum Limited ----- 52.56 -----
National Refinery Limited ----- 83.46 -----
International Steels Ltd ----- 4.64 -----
Pakistan Refinery Limited ----- 3.43 -----
Engro Polymer & Chemical ----- 1.27 -----

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TREC Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange &
Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange
Weekly Review 26th May 2017
Nishat Mills Limited ----- 13.82 -----
Shifa International Hospitals ----- 10.30 -----
Lucky Cement Limited ----- 32.23 -----
Nestle Pakistan Limited ----- 90.42 -----
D. G. Khan Cement Co. ----- 14.73 -----
Packages Limited ----- 16.84 -----
Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited ----- 9.63 -----
Maple Leaf Cement Factory Ltd. ----- 7.68 -----
Unilever Pakistan Foods ----- 75.00 -----
Askari Bank Limited ----- 0.98 -----
Pak Suzuki Motor Co Ltd ----- 15.88 -----
ICI Pakistan Limited ----- 25.70*, 25.94** -----
Meezan Bank Limited ----- 1.51 -----
Shell Pakistan Limited ----- 13.05 -----
Amreli Steels Limited ----- 2.76 -----
Wah Nobel Chemicals Ltd ----- 12.21 -----
Pakistan Telecommunication Co. Ltd. ----- 0.23*, 0.42** -----
Pak Elektron Limited ----- 2.20*, 1.35** -----
*(Consolidated) ** (Unconsolidated

Upcoming Board Meetings


Company Name Date / Day Time
Baba Farid Sugar Mills Limited 29.05.2017 Monday 11:00 a.m.
Tandlianwala Sugar Mills Limited 29.05.2017 Monday 12:00 p.m.
Tandlianwala Sugar Mills Limited 29.05.2017 Monday 12:00 p.m.
Siemens (Pakistan) Engineering Co. Limited 29.05.2017 Monday 01:30 p.m.
Ansari Sugar Mills Limited 30.05.2017 Tuesday 10:00 a.m.
Honda Atlas Cars (Pakistan) Ltd 30.05.2017 Tuesday 11:00 a.m.
Shakarganj Limited 30.05.2017 Tuesday 11:00 a.m.
Imperial Sugar Limited 30.05.2017 Tuesday 02:00 p.m.
Haseeb Waqas Sugar Mills Ltd. 31.05.2017 Wednesday 04:00 p.m.
Jubilee Spinning & Weaving Mills 01.06.2017 Thursday 11:00 p.m.

Regional Stock Markets and Commodities Performance Review


Last WTD % MTD % CYTD
Regional Markets Country Level Daily % %
KSE-100 Index Pakistan 52,637 (0.44) 3.73 6.77 10.10
BSE-30 SENSEX Index India 31,028 0.90 1.85 3.71 16.53
DSI Index Bangladesh 5,414 0.00 0.26 (1.13) 7.50
CSE All Shares Index Sri Lanka 6,698 (0.25) (0.47) 1.32 7.54
SSE Composite Index China 3,110 0.07 0.63 (1.41) 0.21
NASDAQ Dubai UAE 20 Index U.A.E. 3,306 0.00 (1.33) 0.54 0.35
Commodities
Brent Crude Oil ($/bbl) 51.11 (0.68) (4.66) (2.55) (10.05)

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TREC Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange &
Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange
Weekly Review 26th May 2017
Gold ($/oz.) 1,266.20 0.78 1.01 (0.20) 9.83
Silver ($/oz.) 17.27 0.42 2.79 (0.83) 7.98
In $ Millions
Foreign Investors Portfolio Invest. (FIPI) Pakistan (11.71) 12.75 (25.36) (224.94)
Source: Indices Website, Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). FIPI as of 25/05/2017, DSI Index & NASDAQ Dubai Closed on Friday.

Stock Market Risk Level

Low Moderate High

Stock Market Liquidity Level

Low Moderate High

Value Basket
 Allied Bank Ltd (“ABL”)  Hascol Petroleum (“HASCOL”)  Oil & Gas Dev. Co. (“OGDC”)
 Attock Cement Pakistan (“ACPL”)  Hub Power Co. (“HUBC”)  Pak Oil Field (“POL”)
 Adamjee Insurance Co. (“AICL”)  ICI Pakistan (“ICI”)  Pak Petroleum (“PPL”)
 Attock Petroleum(“APL”)  Indus Motor Co. (“INDU”)  Pak State Oil (“PSO”)
 Atlas Battery (“ATBA”)  J.D.W. Sugar Mills (“JDWS”)  Pak Telecommunication (“PTC”)
 Atlas Honda (“ATLH”)  KotAddu Power (“KAPCO”)  Pak Tobacco (“PAKT”)
 Bank Al-Habib (“BAHL”)  Lucky Cement (“LUCK”)  Rafhan Maize Product (“RMPL”)
 Biafo Industries (“BIFO”)  Mari Petroleum. (“MARI”)  Security Papers (“SEPL”)
 Colgate-Palmolive Pakistan (“COLG”)  MCB Bank (“MCB”)  Sui North Gas (“SNGP”)
 Clariant Pakistan (“CPL”)  Meezan Bank (“MEBL”)  Sui South Gas (“SSGC”)
 Engro Corporation (“ENGRO”)  Millat Tractors (“MTL”)  Thal Ltd. (“THAL”)
 Fauji Fertilizer Co. (“FFC”)  National Bank of Pakistan (“NBP”)  Tri-Pack Films (TRIPF”)
 Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim (“FFBL”)  Nestle Pakistan (“NESTLE”)  United Bank (“UBL”)
 Gatron Industries (“GATI”)  Nishat Chunian Power (“NCPL”)  Unilever Pakistan (“ULEVER”)
 Ghani Glass (“GHGL”)  Nishat Mills(“NML”)  Unilever Food (“UPFL”)
 Habib Bank (“HBL”)  Nishat Power (“NPL”)

Sentiment Basket
 Arif Habib Corporation (“AHCL”)  D.G.K. Cement (“DGKC”)  National Refinery (“NRL”)
 Azgard Nine (“ANL”)  Jahangir Siddiqui Co. (“JSCL”)  Service Industries (“SRVI”)
 Attock Refinery (“ATRL”)  Karachi Electric (“KESC”)  Shahtaj Sugar Mills (“SHJS”)
 Bank Alfalah (“BAFL”)  Lafarge Pakistan (“LPCL”)  Silk Bank Ltd. (“SILK”)
 Bank of Punjab (“BOP”)  Lotte Pak PTA (“LOTPTA”)  TRG Pak Ltd. (“TRG”)
 Crescent Steel (“CSAP”)  NIB Bank Ltd. (“NIB”)

Note: “Ltd.” excluded for the sake of brevity

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TREC Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange &
Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange

Market Commentary
The KSE100 Index ended this week at 52,637 gaining 1895 points i.e. 3.73% in this week (last week: -
1.95%). Daily total volumes for this week were 402 million shares (last week: 350 million shares). Risk is
moderate and liquidity is moderate. Average traded price per share for this week was Rs. 50.24 (last:
Rs. 50.99).

The Federal budget is being presented today and it is reported to have an outlay of Rs. 4.8 trillion, the
biggest budget in the history of Pakistan.

The Economic Survey released on the 25th of May. It is reported that GDP had crossed $300 bln, GDP
Growth was at 5.3%, Agriculture 3.5%, Industry 5%, LSM 4.6%, Service 6% - only Agriculture met its
target. Inflation was at 4.1% while the Trade deficit was at $17.8 bln which was 33% higher than the last
period. The Current Account deficit was at $6.1 bln which was 150% higher. Total Debt was at Rs. 20.9
trn. The Government said that it expected a rise in exports and fall in imports in FY18 with a projected
current account deficit of 2.6%. At the same time, the SBP released its monetary policy for the next two
months and decided to keep the policy rate at 5.75%. It was reported that the alternate energy sector had
attracted $368 mln. Pakistan said that it had decided to proceed with the fencing of the Afghan border.
Forex reserves were at a $21 bln. The Pakistani Rupee was trading at Rs. 106.10 / $US at the end of the
week and Rs. 106.10 / $US in the beginning of the week. Gold was trading at $1258 at the end of the week
(week’s beginning: $1248.20), Silver was trading at $17.17 at the end of the week (week’s beginning:
$16.61) and Crude Oil was trading at $48.65 at the end of the week (week’s beginning: $50.06).

Going Forward
The market has been bullish in anticipation of the budget. The market is generally positive but clients
should be wary of volatility. Clients should build positions in dips.

8 / 11
TREC Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange &
Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange

Special Feature: Board Meeting Calendar – May 2017

Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday


Tuesday
1 2 3 4 5
Wednesday CSIL, FAEL, APOT, FAEL,
Thursday PIL,
Friday
Saturday
Sunday
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
MFTM, HSM, SKRS, HINO,

13 14 15 16 17 18 19
JDWS, MIRKS, AABS, SHSML,

20 21 22 23 24 25 26
ALNRS, SANSM, HABSM, FRSM, TICL, KPUS, SASML,
AGSML, MFFL, DWSM, PMRS,
SHJS, CHAS,

27 28 29 30 31
SIEM, TSML, ANSM, HCAR, HWQS,
ADAMS, BAFS, SML, IMSL,

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TREC Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange &
Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange

Red List Companies - Sector Wise

Chemicals
Company Symbols Company Symbols
Mandviwala Mauser Plastic Industries MWMP Pakistan PVC PPVC
United Distributors Pakistan UDPL
Commercial Banks
Apna Microfinance Bank AMBL KASB Bank KASBB
Construction & Materials(Cement)
Frontier Ceramics FRCL Dadabhoy Cement Industries DBCI
Haydary Construction Company HADC Emco Industries EMCO
Safe Mix Concrete Products SMCPL
Electricity
Japan Power Generation JPGL Kohinoor Power Company KOHP
Southern Electric Power Company SEPCO Tri-Star Power * TSPL
Electronic & Electrical Goods
Climax Engineering Company CECL
Engineering
Dewan Automotive Engineering DWAE
Equity Investment Instruments
Crescent Standard Modaraba* CSM First Fidelity Leasing Modaraba FFLM
First IBL Modaraba FIBLM B.R.R. Guardian Modaraba BRR
First Punjab Modarba FPJM First Prudential Modarba PMI
First Tri-Star Modarba* FTSM Tri-Star Mutual Fund TSMF
First Equity Modarba FEM Modaraba Al – Mali MODAM
Financial Services
First Dawood Investment Bank FDIBL Trust Securities and Brokerage TSBL
Dawood Capital Management DCM Security Investment Bank SIBL
First Capital Securities Corporation FCSC Security Leasing Corporation SLCL
Grays Leasing GRYL Saudi Pak Leasing Company SPLC
IGI Investment Bank IGIBL Trust Investment Bank TRIBL
Dawood Equities DEL KASB Securities KASBSL
Escorts Investment Bank ESBL Pervez Ahmed Securities PASL
First Credit & Invest Bank FCIBL Sigma Corporation SIGL
Invest Capital Investment Bank ICIBL UNICAP Modarba UCAPM
Food Producers
Dewan Sugar Mills DWSM Khairpur Sugar Mills KPUS
Abdullah Shah Ghazi Sugar Mills AGSML Mirza Sugar Mills MZSM
Goodluck Industries * GLIN Pangrio Sugar Mills PNGRS
Hussain Sugar Mills HUSS
General Industrials
Baluchistan Particle Board BPBL Ecopack ECOP
Industrial Metals & Mining
Metropolitan Steel Corporation MSCL
Life insurance
East West Life Assurance Company EWLA
Non-Life Insurance
Asia Insurance Company * ASIC United Insurance Company of Pakistan UNIC
Century Insurance Company CENI Reliance Insurance Company RICL

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TREC Holder of the Pakistan Stock Exchange &
Corporate Member of the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange

Crescent Star Insurance Company CSIL Pakistan Guarantee Insurance Company PGIC
East West Insurance Company * EWIC Premier Insurance PINL
Silver Star Insurance Co. SSIC Universal Insurance Company UVIC
Shaheen Insurance Company SHNI
Personal Goods(Textile)
Ghazi Fabrics International GFIL Sajjad Textile Mills SJTM
Haji Mohammed Ismail Mills HMIM Kohat Textile Mills KOHTM
Crescent Jute Products CJPL Mian Textile Industries MTIL
DewanFarooque Spinning Mills DFSM S.G. Fiber SGFL
Fateh Industries. FIL Pak Leather Crafts PAKL
I.C.C. Textile ICCT Ravi Textile Mills RAVT
Chenab - Preference Shares CLCPS Salman Noman Enterprises* SANE
Glamour Textile Mills * GLAT Taha Spinning Mills THAS
D.M. Textile Mills DMTX United Brands UBDL
D.S. Industries DSIL Khalid Siraj Textile Mills KSTM
International Knitwear * INKL Mubarak Textile Mills MUBT
Amtex AMTEX Redco Textiles REDCO
Ayesha Textile Mills AYTM Jubilee Spinning and Weaving Mills JUBS
Crescent Cotton Mills CCM Khyber Textile Mills KHYT
Chenab CHBL Kohinoor Industries KOIL
Ishaq Textile Mills ISTM Mohummed Farooq Textile Mills MFTM
J.A. Textile Mills JATM Sargodha Spinning Mills * SRSM
Globe (OE) Textile Mills Mills GOEM Yousuf Weaving Mills YOUW
National Silk and Rayon Mills NSRM Zephyr Textile * ZTL
Quality Textile Mills * QUAT
Travel and Leisure
Dreamworld Limited DREL

We have identified “The Red Companies” which are taken from the PSX All companies list and are sorted out on
the basis of their past performance as they are not liquid (i.e. having low volumes) and have not paid dividends in
last 3 to 4 years and they have lesser chances of any capital gain as well.

* These are the scrips which have declared dividend at least once or twice in the last four years.

For further details and queries please contact at: +92 51 2894521, research@askarisecurities.com.pk

Disclaimer: This market and expectation review is meant solely for the purpose of information and discussion. Any liability arising of an
investor consequent to the consumption of this review is the sole responsibility of the investor and can in no way whatsoever be attributed
to this review or Askari Securities Ltd. Expectations and pertinent risks are subject to market conditions and can change, which is
outside the view of this review.

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