Professional Documents
Culture Documents
IJETSR
www.ijetsr.com
ISSN 2394 – 3386
Volume 5, Issue 4
April 2018
Abstract:- It is a well-known fact that money attracts money and but natural individuals are interesting in earning more
money in the present times than compared to the previous times due to high level inflation and reduced value of rupee
and increased cost of living. The only place where money is doubled in stock exchanges but the market suffers from high
volatility and high risk which attracts only companies, banks and high class people. People in the middle class and
below middle class find it very difficult to make investment in the exchanges as the fear losses and don’t want to risk
their hard earned money, offering solution to such money dilemma is mutual funds. The present paper brings a
comparative analysis of two popular bank mutual fund schemes.
INTRODUCTION:-
It is a well-known fact that money attracts money and but natural individuals are interesting in earning more
money in the present times than compared to the previous times due to high level inflation and reduced value
of rupee and increased cost of living. The only place where money is doubled in stock exchanges but the
market suffers from high volatility and high risk which attracts only companies, banks and high class people.
People in the middle class and below middle class find it very difficult to make investment in the exchanges
as the fear losses and don’t want to risk their hard earned money, offering solution to such money dilemma is
mutual funds. Mutual funds was first initiated by the UTI and later flourished in the market with almost every
financial institute offers mutual fund. Banks and financial institutions offer various customer pocket friendly
schemes under mutual funds that attracts the middle class and below middle class salaried employees.
Research Methodology:
For the study and analysis purpose primary data is collected from the company websites, stock exchanges and
newspapers. To support secondary data is also collected from various printed sources. For analysis purpose
statistical tools are used such as variance, covariance and standard deviation as a measurement of risk for beta.
MUTUAL FUNDS:-
Mutual fund is a collection of small units of funds from different investors investing in a proper system
through asset Management Company in prioritized sectors and sharing the profits earned from such
investment with the investors according to their units. Now a days people are much aware of the various
schemes and slowly thr trends is shifting from tradition investment schemes such as fixed deposits and post
office deposits to modern investment tools. Even the traditional investors such as insurance companies invest
the funds in mutual fund schemes The various types of schemes available are
Open ended schemes
Close ended schemes
Funds offered under the scheme are:
Equity growth fund
Balanced growth fund
Fixed income fund
Indexed fund
Specialty fund
Fund of funds: and
Diversify by investment style.
ANALYSIS:-
The following formulas have been used for the analysis purpose
Return
Current day closing Price − Previous day closing price
Returns =
Previous day closing price
Average Return
Total returns
Average Return =
Number of returns
Risk
Risk refers dispersion of variable. It is usually measured by variance and Standard Deviation.
Variance
Variance is the sum of square of deviations of actual returns from average returns.
∑
Variance= ( )
D=Deviation from returns
n= number of values
Standard Deviation:
It is statistical measure of variability of a distribution around its mean. It is the square root of Variance.
Standard deviation = √Variance
Beta Measurement and Analysis:
Beta is a measure of system risk. Beta measure the stock’s volatility in relation to the market. By definition,
the market has a beta of 1 and individual funds are ranked according to how much they deviate from market.
To calculate a stock’s beta of data is needed. First, closing stocks price for the stocks which are being
examined and closing prices for the index chosen as a proxy for the stock market (Nifty).
Beta is calculated by using the following formula
∑( )( )
Covariance =
( x-x ) = Nifty (Deviation of Nifty (D))
(y-y ) = Company funds (Deviation of Funds (D))
∑( x-x ) (y-y ) = Sum of deviation of Nifty and company’s funds
N= number of values
Beta =
For the purpose of data analysis and interpretation the following ICICI prudential Mutual Funds and HDFC
mutual funds have been chosen:
Equity funds
Balance funds
Debt funds
Fund of funds
Exchange Trade funds
Each product has been analyzed using the following tools and the results tabulated, presented graphically and
the evaluation of the same has been given under the caption 'Interpretation' below the graph.
Table – 1
Analysis Net Asset Value (NAV) of the ICICI Mutual Fund’s have been taken for the period of
01/08/2017 to 10/11/2017
Amount in Rs
DATE Market Equity Balance Debt Fund of Exchange
Index Fund Fund Fund Funds Trade
funds
AVERAGE 10047 12.54 31 54.773 48.97 273.07
Figure -2: Graphical representation of ICICI Mutual Funds Schemes of average Return
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
02/08/2017
04/08/2017
08/08/2017
10/08/2017
14/08/2017
17/08/2017
21/08/2017
23/08/2017
28/08/2017
30/08/2017
01/09/2017
05/09/2017
07/09/2017
11/09/2017
13/09/2017
15/09/2017
19/09/2017
21/09/2017
25/09/2017
27/09/2017
29/09/2017
04/10/2017
06/10/2017
10/10/2017
12/10/2017
16/10/2017
18/10/2017
23/10/2017
25/10/2017
27/10/2017
31/10/2017
02/11/2017
06/11/2017
08/11/2017
10/11/2017
Market Equity Fund Balance Fund Debt Fund of Funds Exchange Trade funds
Table – 02
Calculation of Equity funds Risk for the period of 01/08/2017 to 10/11/2017
DATE Market Market Equity Equity D(X- ) I(Y- ) DI
Index X Returns Fund Y Returns
Variance:-
∑ ∑
Nifty = ( )
ICICI Balance Funds = ( )
. .
= =
( ) ( )
=3.4343 =3.4141
Standard Deviation = √Variance
Nifty = √Variance ICICI Balance Funds= √Variance
=√ . = √3.4141
= 1.8531 = 1.8477
∑( )( )
Covariance =
.
=
=3.3434
Beta =
.
= .
=1.8035
Figure – 3 Graphical representation of Equity funds Returns
0.015
0.01
0.005
0 Market Returns
02/08/2017
04/08/2017
08/08/2017
10/08/2017
14/08/2017
17/08/2017
21/08/2017
23/08/2017
28/08/2017
30/08/2017
01/09/2017
05/09/2017
07/09/2017
11/09/2017
13/09/2017
15/09/2017
19/09/2017
21/09/2017
25/09/2017
27/09/2017
29/09/2017
04/10/2017
06/10/2017
10/10/2017
12/10/2017
16/10/2017
18/10/2017
23/10/2017
25/10/2017
27/10/2017
31/10/2017
02/11/2017
06/11/2017
08/11/2017
10/11/2017
Interpretation:
The Equity returns and the market index are being overlapping with each other and equity value has fallen
down when compared with the market index returns. This shows the Asset management is just better from
falling down the value.
Table – 3
Calculation of Balance funds Risk for the period of 01/08/2017 to 10/11/2017
DATE Marke Market Balance Balance D(X- I(Y- DI
t Index Return(X Funds Funds ) )
) Returns
(Y)
Total -0.0189 -0.0492 1.0847 0.1644 0.0651
Variance
∑ ∑
Nifty = ICICI Balance Funds =
( ) ( )
. .
= =
( ) ( )
= 0.0109 =0.0016
Standard Deviation = √Variance
Nifty = √Variance ICICI Balance Funds= √Variance
=√0.0109 = √0.0016
= 0.1044 = 0.004
∑( )( )
Covariance =
.
=
=6.5757
Beta =
6.5757
=
0.1044
=0.0062
Figure – 4: Graphical representation of Balanced funds Returns
0.04
0.03
0.02
Market Return (X)
0.01
Balance Funds Returns(Y) D(X-
0
04/08/2017
10/08/2017
17/08/2017
23/08/2017
30/08/2017
05/09/2017
11/09/2017
15/09/2017
21/09/2017
27/09/2017
04/10/2017
10/10/2017
16/10/2017
23/10/2017
27/10/2017
02/11/2017
08/11/2017
-0.01
-0.02
Interpretation:
The Balance funds returns are more when compared with the market returns. It stands high during last
hundred working days of 2017 and there assets are managed well. Due to this the returns are being raised.
Table – 4
Calculation of Debt Risk for the period of 01/08/2017 to 10/11/2017
DATE Market Market Debt Debt
Index Return Funds Funds D(X- I(Y- DI
(X) Returns ) )
(Y)
Total 0.0216 -0.0040 0.0389 0.00114 0.000001
Average 0.0003 -0.0001
Variance
∑ ∑
Nifty = ( )
ICICI Balance Funds = ( )
. .
= =
( ) ( )
= 3.9292 = 1.4141
Standard Deviation = √Variance
Nifty = √Variance ICICI Balance Funds= √Variance
=√3.9292 = √1.4141
= 1.9822 = 1.1891
∑( )( )
Covariance =
.
=
= 1.1891
Beta =
1.1891
=
1.9822
= 0.5998
Figure -5: Graphical representation of Debt funds Returns
0.015
0.01
0.005
0 Market Return (X)
03/08/2017
08/08/2017
11/08/2017
17/08/2017
22/08/2017
28/08/2017
31/08/2017
05/09/2017
08/09/2017
13/09/2017
18/09/2017
21/09/2017
26/09/2017
29/09/2017
05/10/2017
10/10/2017
13/10/2017
18/10/2017
24/10/2017
27/10/2017
01/11/2017
06/11/2017
09/11/2017
Interpretation:
The Debt fund flow is not equal with the market returns and the risk free returns are always over lapping with
the debts. The market index will be playing main role in the returns of funds. The Asset management of debt
funds are very poor compared to other type of funds.
Table -05
Calculation of Fund of Funds Risk for the period of 1/08/2017 to 27/10/2017
DATE Market Market Fund of funds Fund of Funds
Index returns Return
AVERAGE 9992.27 0.0004 48.88 6.4407
S.D 0.0064 0.0038
Beta 0.0464
Figure – 6: Graphical representation of Fund of Funds Returns
0.025
0.02
0.015
0.01
0.005
Fund of Funds Return
0
Market returns
03/08/2017
08/08/2017
11/08/2017
17/08/2017
22/08/2017
28/08/2017
31/08/2017
05/09/2017
08/09/2017
13/09/2017
18/09/2017
21/09/2017
26/09/2017
29/09/2017
05/10/2017
10/10/2017
13/10/2017
18/10/2017
24/10/2017
27/10/2017
-0.005
-0.01
-0.015
-0.02
-0.025
Interpretation:
The market returns are more than the Fund of Funds flow they are involved with the high risk. The fund of
fund flow is sometimes negative and sometimes positive due to the market index returns
Table -06
Calculation of Exchange Trade Fund Risk for the period of 1/08/2017 to 27/10/2017
DATE Market Index Market Exchange Exchange Trade
Return Trade funds funds Returns
Average 9992.27 0.000369 273.504 0.0001847
S.D 0.0064 0.0068
Beta -0.3384
0.01
27/09/2017
03/10/2017
06/10/2017
11/10/2017
16/10/2017
19/10/2017
25/10/2017
-0.02
-0.03
Interpretation:
Exchange Trade is purely depends on the international market when the funds are falling down they try to
minimize the risk. The returns are very high compared with other funds.
Table -07
Calculation of ICICI Mutual funds Sharpe and Treynor ratio
Average Standard Beta Rf Sharpe Treynor
Returns Deviation Ratio (Rm- Ratio (Rm -
Rm Rf)/SD Rf)/Beta
0
Equity fundsBalanced fundsDebt funds Fund of Funds
Exchange Trade funds Sharpe Ratio (Rm-Rf)/SD
-2000
-4000
Interpretation:
In the above graph we can observe that the equity, balanced and Exchange trade funds remains same. The
debt has fallen due to ineffective funds management. In this Fund of funds is ranking first compared with all
funds.
Interpretation:
In Treynor method the Equity fund, Balanced funds and exchange funds are being constant. The debt funds
are standing first among these five types of funds. Fund of funds will be standing next after debt funds.
Table – 8
Analysis Net Asset Value (NAV) of the HDFC Mutual Fund’s have been taken for the period of
01/08/2017 to 10/11/2017
Returns
12000
10000 Market Index
8000
6000 HDFC Equity Fund
4000
2000 HDFC Balance Fund
0
HDFC Debt
04/08/2017
10/08/2017
17/08/2017
23/08/2017
30/08/2017
05/09/2017
11/09/2017
15/09/2017
21/09/2017
27/09/2017
04/10/2017
10/10/2017
16/10/2017
23/10/2017
27/10/2017
02/11/2017
08/11/2017
Interpretation:
The above graph represents the net asset value of the various schemes in the mutual funds. The Fund of funds
is standing next after the Exchange Trade Funds.
Table – 09
Calculation of Equity fund Risk for the period of 01/08/2017 to 10/11/2017
DATE Market Market Equity Equity D(X- )
Index(X) Returns Fund Returns H(Y- DH
Y )
Total 0.0216 0.0537 0.0340 0.1979 0.0809
Average 0.0003 0.0008
Variance
∑ ∑
Nifty = ( )
HDFC Balance Funds = ( )
. .
= =
( ) ( )
=3.4343 = 0.0019
Standard Deviation = √Variance
Nifty = √Variance HDFC Balance Funds= √Variance
=√ . = √0.1979
= 1.8531 = 0.4448
∑( )( )
Covariance =
.
=
=8.1717
Beta =
8.1717
=
1.8531
=4.4097
Figure – 11: Graphical representation of Equity Fund Returns
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
-0.01 Market Returns
04/08/2017
10/08/2017
17/08/2017
23/08/2017
30/08/2017
05/09/2017
11/09/2017
15/09/2017
21/09/2017
27/09/2017
04/10/2017
10/10/2017
16/10/2017
23/10/2017
27/10/2017
02/11/2017
08/11/2017
-0.02
-0.03 Equity Returns
Interpretation:
The equity funds are more fluctuating when compared with the market index.The market index and the equity
returns are overlapping with each other. There is a positive flow after 24th October and falls down on 07th
November.
Table – 10
Calculation of Balance fund Risk for the period of 01/08/2017 to 10/11/2017
DATE Marke Market Balance Balance
t Returns Funds funds D(X- ) H(Y- DH
Index X ReturnsY )
Total 0.0216 0.0170 0.0340 0.0194 0.0000
5 096
Average 0.0003 0.0002
Variance
∑ ∑
Nifty = HDFC Balance Funds =
( ) ( )
. .
= =
( ) ( )
=3.4343 = 1.92555
Standard Deviation = √Variance
Nifty = √Variance HDFC Balance Funds= √Variance
=√ . = √1.92555
= 1.8531 = 1.3876
∑( )( )
Covariance =
.
=
=9.6969
Beta =
9.6969
=
1.8531
=5.2327
Figure – 12: Graphical representation of Balance funds Returns
0.015
0.01
0.005
0 Market Returns X
04/08/2017
10/08/2017
17/08/2017
23/08/2017
30/08/2017
05/09/2017
11/09/2017
15/09/2017
21/09/2017
27/09/2017
04/10/2017
10/10/2017
16/10/2017
23/10/2017
27/10/2017
02/11/2017
08/11/2017
-0.01
-0.015
-0.02
Interpretation:
The balance funds are at the initial stage in the market. The balance funds are running with only positive only
Variance
∑ ∑
Nifty = ( )
HDFC Balance Funds = ( )
. .
= =
( ) ( )
=3.4343 = 2.9898
Standard Deviation = √Variance
Nifty = √Variance HDFC Balance Funds= √Variance
=√ . = √2.9898
= 1.8531 = 1.7291
∑( )( )
Covariance =
.
=
= -9.2040
Beta =
−9.2040
=
1.8531
= -4.9668
Interpretation:
The market flow is fluctuating. The balance funds returns poor performing in the last 3 months. They are just
flowing in positive flow there is no losses in this process.
Table – 12
Calculation of Fund of funds Risk for the period of 01/08/2017 to 27/10/2017
DATE Market Market Fund of Fund of funds
Index Returns Funds Returns
AVERAGE 9992.27 0.0003 9.79 0.0005
S.D 0.0064 0.0076
Beta -0.0589
27/09/2017
03/10/2017
06/10/2017
11/10/2017
16/10/2017
19/10/2017
25/10/2017
-0.01
-0.02
-0.03
Interpretation:
The funds of funds are involved with the high risk. They are always being par away from the market index
values. The net asset value is always fluctuating
Table – 13
Calculation of Exchange Trade fund Risk for the period of 01/08/2017 to 27/10/2017
DATE Market Market Exchange Trade Exchange
Index Returns funds Trade
Funds Returns
AVERAGE 9992.27 0.0004 1019.53 0.0004
S.D 0.0064 0.0064
Beta 0.8696
27/09/2017
03/10/2017
06/10/2017
11/10/2017
16/10/2017
19/10/2017
25/10/2017
Interpretation:
The exchange trade is depending on the market index of international market. The funds are being invested in
the international market and they are earning well always overlap with the market index returns.
Table – 14
Calculation of HDFC Mutual funds Sharpe and Treynor ratio
HDFC Funds Average Standard Beta Rf Sharpe Ratio Treynor
Returns Rm Deviation (Rm-Rf)/SD Ratio (Rm -
Rf)/Beta
0
Equity fundsBalanced funds Debt funds Fund of Funds
Exchange Trade funds Sharpe Ratio (Rm-Rf)/SD
-2000
-4000
Interpretation:
In the above graph we can observe that the equity fund and fund of funds flow is always similar.
But the debt fund is involved with the high risk and its stand last among the other schemes of mutual funds.
The exchange trade funds are constant in nature they are negative.
Interpretation:
In the above graph we can observe the various position of mutual fund schemes of HDFC. The debt funds are
involved with the high risk and it stands among the few schemes. The balanced funds are standing first among
the all the schemes.
CONCLUSION
HDFC & ICICI are the two banks who always have competition of getting the high Assets. ICICI mutual
funds are not performing well as the asset management is not done in a perfect manner due to this it is getting
the huge losses. Children Gift plan is policy where people most interested to invest because it is giving high
rate of bonus and growth plan is well functioning in manner. Debt funds are also part of mutual funds but
ICICI mutual funds is into negative whereas the HDFC Mutual funds are performing well in the market. In the
mutual funds they just pool the funds from the various investor and they bank will be investing that money in
to various sectors like automobile, Pharmaceuticals, technology development and for research. In addition,
mutual funds react more strongly to analyst information when it appears to be more credible.