Professional Documents
Culture Documents
STUDY ON
SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
WITH REFERENCE OF GOODWILL COMMODITIES,
TIRUPATI
Submitted to
JAWAHARLAL NEHRU TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY ANANTAPUR,
ANANTHAPURAMU
This is to certify that the project report entitled “A Study on Security Analysis for
requirements for the award of the degree of Master of Business Administration, to the
Department of MBA. This has not been submitted to any other university or institution for
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
DECLARATION
I do hereby declare that this project report entitled “A Study On Security Analysis For
Computer Studies, Rajampet, is a bonafied work carried out by me and this is not submitted
to any other university or institution for the award of any degree/ diploma/certificate.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
First I would like to thank my Project Guide Smt. P. RAJITHA for his constructive
comments, assistance and guidance starting from the inception of the project idea up to the
completion of the work. Without exaggeration, had it not been for his support and
cooperative assistance the finalization of the project report would not have been possible.
My profound thanks to the Principal Dr. P. CHITTI BABU Head of the Internal
advice, critical comments and fast response for all my requests starting from the synopsis
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE OF CONTENTS
CONTENTS Page No
1.1 Introduction to Topic
CHAPTER I
1.2 Industry Profile 01-17
INTRODUCTION 1.3 Company Profile
2.1 Need of The Study
2.2 Problem Definition
2.3 Study Objectives
CHAPTER II
2.4 Scope of The Study
2.5 Period of the Study 18-23
RESEARCH
2.6 Data Sources
METHODOLOGY
2.7 Sampling Design
2.8 Tools of Analysis
2.9 Limitations of the Study
3.1 Calculation of Returns
3.2 Calculation of Risk
CHAPTER III
3.2.1 Standard deviation
DATA ANALYSIS & 24-55
3.2.2 Variance
INTERPRETATION
3.2.4 Coefficient of variance
3.3 Simple Moving Average
CHAPTER IV
Findings
FINDINGS
Suggestions 56-58
SUGGESTIONS
Conclusion
CONCLUSION
Bibliography
APPENDIX Financial Reports
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE PAGE
TITLE
NO NO
3.1.1 Returns of Pharmaceutical industry – Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 24
3.1.2 Average returns of Pharmaceutical industry selected companies 25
3.1.3 Pharmaceutical industry index points returns- Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 25
3.1.4 Returns of I.T industry – Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 27
3.1.5 Average returns of I.T industry selected companies 28
3.1.6 I.T industry index points returns – Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 28
3.1.7 Returns of Automobile industry – Jan 2018 to Dec 208 30
3.1.8 Average returns of Automobile industry selected companies 31
3.1.9 Automobile industry index points returns – Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 31
3.1.10 Returns of Banking industry – Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 33
3.1.11 Average returns of Banking industry selected companies 34
3.1.12 Banking industry index points returns – Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 34
3.1.13 Returns of Cement industry – Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 36
3.1.14 Average returns of Cement industry selected companies 37
3.1.15 Cement industry index points returns – Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 37
3.1.16 Returns of Telecom industry – Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 39
3.1.17 Average returns of Telecom industry selected companies 39
3.1.18 Telecom industry index points returns – Jan 2018 to Dec 2018 40
3.2.1 Comparison of risk and return for the Pharmaceutical industry 42
3.2.2 Comparison of risk and return for the I.T industry 43
3.2.3 Comparison of risk and return for the Automobile industry 44
3.2.4 Comparison of risk and return for the Banking industry 45
3.2.5 Comparison of risk and return for the Cement industry 46
3.2.6 Comparison of risk and return for the Telecom industry 47
3.3.1 Simple moving average of Pharmaceutical industry 48
3.3.2 Simple moving average of I.T. industry index 49
3.3.3 Simple moving average of Automobile industry index 50
3.3.4 Simple moving average of Banking industry index 51
3.3.5 Simple moving average of Cement industry index 52
3.3.6 Simple moving average of Telecom industry index 53
3.4 Comparison of risk and returns for the selected industries wise 54
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
LIST OF GRAPHS
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
CHAPTER – I
INTRODUCTION
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
1.1 INTRODUCTION
The price of a security represents a consensus. It is the price at which one person
agrees to buy and another agrees to sell. The price at which an investor is willing to buy or
sell depends primarily on his expectations. If he expects the security's price to rise, he will
buy it; if the investor expects the price to fall, he will sell it. These simple statements are
the cause of a major challenge in forecasting security prices, because they refer to human
expectations.
As we all know first-hand, human’s expectations are neither easily quantifiable nor
predictable. If prices are based on investor expectations, then knowing what a security
should sell for (i.e., fundamental analysis) becomes less important than knowing what other
investors expect it to sell for. That's not to say that knowing what a security should sell for
isn't important-it is. But there is usually a fairly strong consensus of a stock's future
earnings that the average investor cannot disprove.
Fundamental analysis and technical analysis can co-exist in peace and complement
each other. Since all the investors in the stock market want to make the maximum profits
possible, they just cannot a fords to ignore either fundamental or technical analysis.
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IMPORTANCE OF INVESTMENT: -
An investor has various alternative options (avenues) of investment for his savings
to flow to. Savings kept as cash are barren and do not earn anything. Hence savings are
invested in assets depending on their risk and return characteristics. The objective of the
investor is to minimize the risk involved in investment and maximize the return from the
investment.
Our savings kept as cash are not only barren because they do not earn anything,
but also loses its value to the extent of rise in prices/ thus rise in prices or inflation erodes
the value of money. Savings are invested to provide a hedge or protection against inflation.
If the investment cannot earn as much as the rise in prices, the real rate of return would be
negative. Thus, if inflation it at an average annual rate of10percent, then the return from an
investment should be above 10 percent to induce savings to flow into investment.
MEANING:-
“it may mean many things to many persons. If one person has advanced some money
to another, he may consider his loan as a n investment. He expects to get back the money
along with interest at a future date.”
“Another person may have purchased one kg of gold for the purpose of price
appreciation and may consider it as an investment.”
“a young couple makes a down payment on their first house. This is also an
investment (suppose they paid 5000/-. Now they are staying in rent house per year 6000/-
If they spend that 500/- for rent they may get better house than it for rent. So it is also
postponement of consumption).
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
INVESTMENT AVENUES:
Corporate securities.
Deposits in banks and non-banking companies.
UTI and other mutual fund schemes.
Post office deposits and certificates.
Life insurance policies.
Provident fund schemes.
Government and semi-government securities.
Though there are many factors that influence the decision of investing in assets,
there are some main driving forces that cause investment in any society like
Retirement plan.
Avoidance of taxation.
Tempting high rates of interest.
High inflation and resultant expectation of increase in the monetary return.
Hike in income.
Availability of a large number of investment avenues.
Legal safeguards.
Existence of financial institutions to encourage savings etc…
The investment process involves a series of activities leading to the purchase of securities
or other investment alternatives. The investment process can be divided into five stages.
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
INVESTMENT PROCESS:
Investment Process
Hypothesis
INVESTMENT POLICY:
The government or the investor before proceeding into investment formulates the
policy for the systematic functioning. The essential ingredients of the policy are the
Investible funds, objectives and the knowledge about the investment alternatives and
market.
Investible funds:
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
Objectives:
The objectives are framed on the premises of the required rate of return, need for
regularity of income, risk perception and the need for liquidity. The risk taker’s objective
is to earn high rate of return in the form of capital appreciation, whereas the primary
objective of the risk averse is the safety of the principle.
Knowledge:
The knowledge about the investment alternatives and markets plays a key role in
the policy formulation, the investment alternatives range from security to real estate, the
risk and return associated with investment alternatives differ from each other. Investment
in equity is high yielding but has more risk than the fixed income securities
SECURITY ANALYSIS
1. Fundamental Analysis.
2. Technical Analysis.
1. Fundamental Analysis:
2. Technical Analysis:
According to technical analysis the investors believe that share prices are
determined by the demand and supply forces operating in the market. These demand and
supply forces in turn are influenced by a number of fundamental factors as well as certain
psychological or emotional factors. Many of these factors cannot be quantified. The
technical analyst therefore concentrates on the movement of share prices. He claims that
by examining past share price movements future share prices can be accurately predicted.
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
India has a diversified financial sector undergoing rapid expansion, both in terms of
strong growth of existing financial services firms and new entities entering the market. The
sector comprises commercial banks, insurance companies, non-banking financial
companies, co-operatives, pension funds, mutual funds and other smaller financial entities.
The banking regulator has allowed new entities such as payments banks to be created
recently thereby adding to the types of entities operating in the sector. However, the
financial sector in India is predominantly a banking sector with commercial banks
accounting for more than 64 per cent of the total assets held by the financial system.
The Government of India has introduced several reforms to liberalise, regulate and
enhance this industry. The Government and Reserve Bank of India (RBI) have taken
various measures to facilitate easy access to finance for Micro, Small and Medium
Enterprises (MSMEs). These measures include launching Credit Guarantee Fund Scheme
for Micro and Small Enterprises, issuing guideline to banks regarding collateral
requirements and setting up a Micro Units Development and Refinance Agency
(MUDRA). With a combined push by both government and private sector, India is
undoubtedly one of the world's most vibrant capital markets. In 2017,a new portal named
'Udyami Mitra' has been launched by the Small Industries Development Bank of India
(SIDBI) with the aim of improving credit availability to Micro, Small and Medium
Enterprises' (MSMEs) in the country. India has scored a perfect 10 in protecting
shareholders' rights on the back of reforms implemented by Securities and Exchange Board
of India (SEBI).
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Global equity market capitalization, which represents the value of publicly traded
companies and indicates demand for stock exchanges, total $73 trillion in 2017, compared
with $69 trillion in 2015, according to the Money Project. Of the 60 major stock exchanges
in the world, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) accounted for $19.2 trillion in market
capitalization, or about 26% of the total market for global equities in 2017. On a regional
basis, the Americas accounted for about 38% of global market capitalization, followed by
Asia/Pacific (33%), and Europe/Middle East/Africa (23%).
Market Size:
The Mutual Fund (MF) industry in India has seen rapid growth in Assets Under
Management (AUM). Total AUM of the industry stood at Rs 24.03 trillion (US$ 342.01
billion) between April-November 2018. At the same time the number of Mutual fund (MF)
equity portfolios reached a high of 74.6 million as of June 2018.
Along with the secondary market, the market for Initial Public Offers (IPOs) has
also witnessed rapid expansion. The total amount of Initial Public Offerings (IPO)
increased to US$ 1.2 billion raised from 37 between April – June 2018.
Over the past few years India has witnessed a huge increase in Mergers and
Acquisition (M&A) activity. In H12018, 74 deals of acquisition took place in financial
sector. The total value of such transactions was US$ 4.166 billion. *
Furthermore, India’s leading bourse Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) will set up a
joint venture with Ebix Inc to build a robust insurance distribution network in the country
through a new distribution exchange platform.
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Primary Market:
The primary market is an intermittent and discrete market where the initially listed
shares are traded first time, changing hands from the listed company to the investors. It
refers to the process through which the companies, the issuers of stocks, acquire capital by
offering their stocks to investors who supply the capital. In other words primary market is
that part of the capital markets that deals with the issuance of new securities. Companies,
governments or public sector institutions can obtain funding through the sale of a new stock
or bond issue. This is typically done through a syndicate of securities dealers. The process
of selling new issues to investors is called underwriting. In the case of a new stock issue,
this sale is called an initial public offering (IPO).
Secondary Market:
The secondary market is an on-going market, which is equipped and organized with
a place, facilities and other resources required for trading securities after their initial
offering. It refers to a specific place where securities transaction among many and
unspecified persons is carried out through intermediation of the securities firms, i.e., a
licensed broker, and the exchanges, a specialized trading organization, in accordance with
the rules and regulations established by the exchanges.
A bit about history of stock exchange they say it was under a tree that it all started
in 1875.Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) was the major exchange in India till 1994.National
Stock Exchange (NSE) started operations in 1994.
NSE was floated by major banks and financial institutions. It came as a result of
Harshad Mehta scam of 1992. Contrary to popular belief the scam was more of a banking
scam than a stock market scam. The old methods of trading in BSE were people assembling
on what as called a ring in the BSE building. They had a unique sign language to
communicate apart from all the shouting. Investors weren't allowed access and the system
was opaque and misused by brokers. The shares were in physical form and prone to
duplication and fraud.
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NSE was the first to introduce electronic screen based trading. BSE was forced to
follow suit. The present day trading platform is transparent and gives investors prices on a
real time basis. With the introduction of depository and mandatory dematerialization of
shares chances of fraud reduced further. The trading screen gives you top 5 buy and sell
quotes on every scrip.
A typical trading day starts at 10 ending at 3.30. Monday to Friday. BSE has 30
stocks which make up the Sensex .NSE has 50 stocks in its index called Nifty. FII s Banks,
financial institutions mutual funds are biggest players in the market. Then there are the
retail investors and speculators. The last ones are the ones who follow the market morning
to evening; Market can be very addictive like blogging though stakes are higher in the
former.
Investments/ Developments:
Government Initiatives:
In December, 2018, Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) proposed direct
overseas listing of Indian companies and other regulatory changes.
Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) introduced weekly futures and options contracts on
Sensex 50 index from October 26, 2018.
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
In September 2018, SEBI asked for recommendations to strengthen rules which will
enhance the overall governance standards for issuers, intermediaries or infrastructure
providers in the financial market.
The Government of India launched India Post Payments Bank (IPPB), to provide every
district with one branch which will help increase rural penetration. As of August 2018,
two branches out of 650 branches are already operational.
A stock market, equity market or share market is the aggregation of buyers and
sellers (a loose network of economic transactions, not a physical facility or discrete entity)
of stocks (also called shares), which represent ownership claims on businesses; these may
include securities listed on a public stock exchange, as well as stock that is only traded
privately. Examples of the latter include shares of private companies which are sold
to investors through equity crowd funding platforms. Stock exchanges list shares of
common equity as well as other security types, e.g. corporate bonds and convertible bonds.
STOCK EXCHANGE:
A stock exchange is an exchange where stock brokers and traders can buy and
sell shares of stock, bonds, and other securities. Many large companies have their stocks
listed on a stock exchange. This makes the stock more liquid and thus more attractive to
many investors. The exchange may also act as a guarantor of settlement. Other stocks may
be traded "over the counter" (OTC), that is, through a dealer. Some large companies will
have their stock listed on more than one exchange in different countries, so as to attract
international investors. Stock exchanges may also cover other types of securities, such as
fixed interest securities (bonds) or (less frequently) derivatives which are more likely to be
traded OTC.
Market Participate:
Market participants include individual retail investors, institutional investors such as
mutual funds, banks, insurance companies and hedge funds, and also publicly traded
corporations trading in their own shares. Some studies have suggested that institutional
investors and corporations trading in their own shares generally receive higher risk-
adjusted returns than retail investors.
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
The rise of the institutional investor has brought with it some improvements in
market operations. There has been a gradual tendency for "fixed" (and exorbitant) fees
being reduced for all investors, partly from falling administration costs but also assisted by
large institutions challenging brokers' oligopolistic approach to setting standardized A
current trend in stock market investments includes the decrease in fees due to computerized
asset management termed robo-advisors within the industry. Automation has decreased
portfolio management costs by lowering the cost associated with investing as a whole.
Stock market participation refers to the number of agents who buy and sell equity
backed securities either directly or indirectly in a financial exchange. Participants are
generally subdivided into three distinct sectors; households, institutions, and foreign
traders. Direct participation occurs when any of the above entities buys or sells securities
on its own behalf on an exchange. Indirect participation occurs when an institutional
investor exchanges a stock on behalf of an individual or household. Indirect investment
occurs in the form of pooled investment accounts, retirement accounts, and other managed
financial accounts.
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
Under the SEBI Act, 1992, the SEBI has been empowered to conduct inspection of
stock exchanges. The SEBI has been inspecting the stock exchanges once every year since
1995-96. During these inspections, a review of the market operations, organizational
structure and administrative control of the exchange is made to ascertain whether:
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The exchange has implemented the directions, guidelines and instructions issued by the
SEBI from time to time.
The exchange has complied with the conditions, if any, imposed on it at the time of
renewal/ grant of its recognition under section 4 of the SC(R) Act, 1956.
During the year 1997-98, inspection of stock exchanges was carried out with a
special focus on the measures taken by the stock exchanges for investor's protection. Stock
exchanges were, through inspection reports, advised to effectively follow-up and redress
the investors' complaints against members/listed companies. The stock exchanges were
also advised to expedite the disposal of arbitration cases within four months from the date
of filing.
Road Ahead:
India is today one of the most vibrant global economies, on the back of robust banking
and insurance sectors. The relaxation of foreign investment rules has received a positive
response from the insurance sector, with many companies announcing plans to increase
their stakes in joint ventures with Indian companies
The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) is targeting nearly fivefold growth
in assets under management (AUM) to Rs 95 lakh crore (US$ 1.47 trillion) and a more
than three times growth in investor accounts to 130 million by 2025.
India's mobile wallet industry is estimated to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate
(CAGR) of 150 per cent to reach US$ 4.4 billion by 2022 while mobile wallet
transactions to touch Rs 32 trillion (USD $ 492.6 billion) by 2022.
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Using the services of this full-service stockbroker, you can trade and invest in the
following segments:
Commodity Trading.
Equity Trading.
Derivative Trading.
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
Currency Trading.
Mutual Funds.
Investment and Portfolio service.
Commodity Trading:
Equity Trading:
GOODWILL provided the prospect of researched investing to its clients, which was
hitherto restricted only to the institutions. Research for the retail investor did not exist prior
to Goodwill Commodities. Goodwill Commodities leveraged technology to bring the
convenience of trading to the investor's location of preference (residence or office) through
computerized access. Goodwill Commodities made it possible for clients to view
transaction costs and ledger updates in real time. The Company is among the few financial
intermediaries in India to offer a complement of online and offline broking. The Companies
network of branches also allows customers to place orders on phone or visit our branches
for trading.
Portfolio Management:
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
investors who cannot afford to give time or don't have that expertise for day-to-day
management of their equity portfolio.
Furthermore, you will get these positives when you open your account with the broker:
There are few concerns associated with this broker and users must make sure that they
understand these limitations before opening their accounts with the broker. Here are the
cons as listed below.
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
Head Office:
CDSL DP
Research Analyst |
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
CHAPTER – II
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Stock/shares play a major role in acquiring capital to the business in return investors are
paid dividends to the shares they own. The more shares you own the more dividends you
receive the role of equity analysis is to provide information to the market. An efficient
market relies on information: a lack of information creates inefficiencies that result in
stocks being misrepresented. This is valuable because it fills information gaps so that each
individual investor does not need to analyse every stock thereby making the markets more
efficient.
To study the price movements of the selected industries in the selected companies.
To predict the day to day Fluctuations in the stock market using Technical Analysis.
In those industries there are 9 companies selected each from pharmaceutical, I.T.,
Automobile industry, Banking industry, Cement industry, and 5 companies are selected
from Telecom industry.
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
This study is conducted for twelve months, i.e., from 01 January 2018 to
31 December 2018.
Secondary data:
All the data has been collected through secondary sources only. These data are
Goodwill commodities.
Web sites of the companies and indices has been collected from Bombay stock
exchange (BSE).
Samples selected are listed in Bombay Stock Exchange. The total industries involved
in BSE are 18 Industries. Randomly Six Industries are selected for this study.
Definitions of the Population:
Since the study is mainly related to selecting the appropriate security, analysing
industries and comparison between those is necessary. Their potentiality for growth also to
be consider for selecting particular industry, where the companies in that industry has to
be analysed through comparing between the companies considering their relative
advantages over the others.
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
Techniques for selecting industries is nothing but the way they doing business since the
product they produce also different. However, for the companies, the outperforming
industry over the other out of the sample has been selected and the highest sales in the latest
period in the Computer and Software industry has been selected for studying their
performance.
1. CALUCULATION OF RETURN.
2. CALUCULATION OF RISK.
2.2.1. STANDARED DEVIATION.
2.2.2. VARIANCE.
2.2.3. COEFFICIENT OF VARIANCE.
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A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
Measurement of Returns:
In this study I considered only prices but not dividend in the calculation return because the
investor’s main motive to invest in shares is make the profit from changes in prices of
shares. That’s why I calculated return from the prices of the shares only.
Investing in stocks involves a number of risks. Among all, few of them cam can be
controlled by the investors. Here are few top risks involved while investing in a stock
market this is also called as systematic risk and is based on the day-to-day price fluctuation
in the market.
2.8.2.1.STANDARD DEVIATION:
The standard deviation is a statistic that measures the dispersion of a dataset relative to its
mean and is calculated as the square root of the variance. It is calculated as the square root
of variance by determining the variation between each data point relative to the mean. The
greater the standard deviation of a security, the greater the variance between each price and
the mean, which shows a larger price range.
∑𝑛
𝑖=1(𝑋−𝑋)
2
Standard Deviation =√ 𝑁−1
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Variance (σ2) is a measurement of the spread between numbers in a data set. It measures
how far each number in the set is from the mean and is calculated by taking the differences
between each number in the set and the mean, squaring the differences (to make them
positive) and dividing the sum of the squares by the number of values in the set.
Variance is one of the key parameters in asset allocation. Along with correlation, the
variance of asset returns helps investors to develop optimal portfolios by optimizing the
return-volatility trade-off in investment portfolios.
∑(𝑋−µ)2
Variance (σ2) =
𝑁
Where: σ2 is variance.
χ is the value of an individual data point.
μ is the mean of data points.
N is the total # of data points.
𝑆𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
Formula in MS-Excel: Coefficient Of Variance =
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑠
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
In technical analysis the moving average is one of key trend lines that are plot on a
chart reflecting the closing prices over weeks. They smooth a data series and make it easier
to spot trends, something that is especially helpful in volatile markets. They also form the
building blocks for many other technical indicators and overlays
A moving average is an indicator that shows the average value a security's price
over a period of time. When calculating a moving average, a mathematical analysis of the
security's average value over a pre-determined time period. As the securities price changes,
its average price moves up or down. Simple moving average by comparing the relationship
between the moving averages of the security's price with the security's price itself.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
CHAPTER – III
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
DATA ANLYSIS
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
COMPANIES AVGS
DIVA’S LABORETORY -2.581
CIPLA Ltd -1.048
SUN PHARMA -1.114
AJANTA PHARMA -0.877
CADILA HEALTHCARE -1.508
ALEMBIC PHARMA -0.841
AUROBINDO PHARMA 0.845
GLENMARK LABS 0.175
DR REDDYS LABS 2.368
TABLE: 3.1.3
PHARMACUETICAL INDUSTRY INDEX RETURNS: JAN 2018 TO DEC 2018
MONTHS OPEN CLOSE RETURN AVGS
JAN 14810.81 14799.78 -0.07 22205.19
FEB 14358.74 14113.01 -1.71 21292.38
MAR 14013.54 13057.62 -6.82 20064.39
APL 13483.98 14153.59 4.97 20895.58
MAY 14015.95 13002.72 -7.23 20010.7
JUN 12945.45 14003.64 8.17 20476.37
JUL 13961.03 14205.73 1.75 21186.25
AUG 14363.28 15945.17 11.01 23126.81
SPT 15942.15 15025.34 -5.75 22996.42
OCT 15059.17 14726.58 -2.21 22256.17
NOV 14632.9 14332.65 -2.05 21649.1
DEC 14158.78 13923.37 -1.66 21002.76
AVERAGE RETURNS = -0.13
Sources: Share prices data collected from BSE Website 01 Jan 2018- 31 Dec 2018.
21000
20000
Linear
19000 (PHARMA
18000 CITICAL
JAN FEB MAR APL MAY JUN JUL AUG SPT OCT NOV DEC INDUSTR
Y INDEX)
MONTHS
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
INTERPRETATION:
This study relates to 9 companies with a period of twelve months like 01 January
2018 to 31 December 2018. The above table is Pharmaceutical industry concerned with the
returns of above mentioned companies.
In the course of the study it has been reveals that the highest return with respect to
AUROBINDO took place in the month of AUGUST 2018 to the tune of 18.93. In contrast
to this the lowest return with respect of AJANTA PHARMACY took place in the month
of MAY 2018 to the tune of -28.27.
As per the PHARMA INDEX given by BSE, the returns remain highest in the
month of AUGUST 2018 (11.01) and the lowest in the month of MAY 2018 (-7.23). The
average return of DR. REDDYS LSBORATORY’S is HIGHEST then average return of
PHARMA INDEX. Totally 3 Companies are noted Positive average return than PHARMA
INDUSTRY and remaining 6 Companies are noted Negative average return than it. The
overall performance of PHARMA INDUSTRY Average returns flow Negatively (-0.13).
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.1.4
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.1.5
AVERAGE RETURN OF I.T INDUSTRY SELECTED COMPANIES:
COMPANIES AVGS
TCS 2.942
TECH MAHINDRA 3.748
INFOSYS 2.130
WIPRO 0.019
HCL TECHONOLOGIES 1.334
Mphasis 3.797
ORACLE FINANCIAL SERVICES -0.120
MINDTREE 3.729
LARSON & TOURBO INFOTECH 4.251
TABLE: 3.1.6
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY INDEX POINTS: JAN 2018 TO DEC 2018
MONTHS OPEN CLOSE RETURN AVGS
JAN 11216.18 12556.98 11.95 18165.1
FEB 12545.56 12505.73 -0.32 18778.5
MAR 12439.91 12100.55 -2.73 18320.5
APL 12254.92 13567.69 10.71 19695.2
MAY 13409.45 13452.83 0.32 20157.6
JUN 13326.16 13920.07 4.46 20583.2
JUL 14043.04 14527.23 3.45 21548.8
AUG 14584.78 15548.52 6.61 22840.9
SPT 15455.43 15628.94 1.12 23356.7
OCT 16007.53 14531.6 -9.22 22535.4
NOV 14273.37 14296.74 0.16 21433.4
DEC 14383.79 14089.56 -2.05 21281.5
AVERAGE RETURNS = 2.04
Sources: Share prices data collected from BSE Website 01 Jan 2018- 31 Dec 2018.
GRAPH: 3.1.2 I.T. INDUSTRY INDEX POINTS RETURNS
15000.0 INDEX
10000.0
5000.0 Linear
(INFORM
0.0 ATION
TECHNOL
OGY
INDEX)
MONTHS
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
INTERPRETATION:
In the course of the study it has been reveals that the highest return with respect to
MINDTREE took place in the month of APRIL 2018 to the tune of 34.35. In contrast to
this the lowest return with respect of MINDTREE took place in the month of OCTOBER
2018 to the tune of -20.70.
As per the I.T INDEX given by BSE, the returns remain highest in the month of
JANUARY 2018 (11.95) and the lowest in the month of OCTOBER 2018 (-9.22). The
average return of LARSON & TURBO INFOTECH is HIGHEST then average return of
I.T INDEX. Totally 8 Companies are noted POSITIVE average return than I.T
INDUSTRY and remaining 1 Companies are noted NEGATIVE average return than it. The
overall performance of I.T industry index flow POSITIVELY (2.04).
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.1.7
Date OPEN CLOSE Return OPEN CLOSE Return OPEN CLOSE Return
Jan 3293.4 3338.8 1.379 745.5 763.5 2.408 9665 9514 -1.57
Feb 3409.5 3018.8 -11.459 797.35 728.8 -8.603 9403 8873 -5.63
Mar 3025 2748.9 -9.127 733 740.2 0.982 8876 8863 -0.15
Apr 2808.6 2948 4.963 747.6 872.7 16.727 9009 8823 -2.07
May 2965.3 2752.2 -7.187 862.55 923.5 7.066 8753 8535 -2.49
Jun 2893.3 2811.2 -2.838 901.55 896.8 -0.527 8792 8821 0.33
Jul 2839.2 2700.7 -4.876 887.25 933.9 5.258 8828 9506 7.69
Aug 2685.7 2746.4 2.260 927.75 965.3 4.042 9340 9097 -2.60
Sep 2765.2 2687.1 -2.823 945.45 860.7 -8.964 8924 7351 -17.63
Oct 2729.8 2591.5 -5.066 847.6 763.4 -9.940 7465 6609 -11.47
Nov 2596.1 2736.8 5.420 755.25 790.2 4.628 6710 7665 14.23
Dec 2734.9 2718.5 -0.598 760.25 803.7 5.715 7760 7462 -3.83
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.1.8
AVERAGES OF AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY SELECTED COMPANIES:
COMPANIES AVGS
TATA MOTORS -7.476
HERO MOTOCORP -1.700
ASHOK LAYLAND -1.088
BAJAJ AUTO -2.496
MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA 1.566
MARUTI SUZUKI -2.099
TVS MOTORS -2.057
FORCE MOTORS -5.703
ISUZU LTD -1.567
TABLE: 3.1.9
INDEX POINTS OF AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY: JAN 2018 TO DEC 2018
MONTHS OPEN CLOSE RETURN AVGS
JAN 26542.64 25945.3 -2.25 26243.97
FEB 26119.52 24832.4 -4.93 25475.96
MAR 24819.3 24057.25 -3.07 24438.28
APL 24572.7 25833.75 5.13 25203.23
MAY 25553.19 24471.58 -4.23 25012.39
JUN 24635.29 23838.3 -3.24 24236.8
JUL 23775.16 24496.98 3.04 24136.07
AUG 24307.5 24716.48 1.68 24511.99
SPT 24505.3 21476.52 -12.36 22990.91
OCT 21638.56 19881.08 -8.12 20759.82
NOV 19890.19 20900.17 5.08 20395.18
DEC 20860.92 20833.73 -0.13 20847.33
AVERAGE RETURNS = -1.95
Sources: Share prices data collected from BSE Website 01 Jan 2018- 31 Dec 2018.
GRAPH: 3.1.3 AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY INDEX POINTS RETURNS
25000 POINTS
20000
15000
10000 Linear
5000 (INDEX
POINTS)
0
MONTHS
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
INTERPRETATION:
In the course of the study it has been reveals that the highest return with respect to
MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA took place in the month of APRIL 2018 to the tune of
16.727.In contrast to this the lowest return with respect of FORCE MOTORS took place
in the month of SEPTEMBER 2018 to the tune of -24.74.
As per the AUTO INDEX given by BSE, the returns remain highest in the month
of APRIL 2018 (5.13) and the lowest in the month of SEPTEMBER 2018 (-12.36). The
average return of MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA is HIGHEST than average return of
AUTO INDEX. Totally 1 Company are noted POSITIVE average return than
AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY and remaining 8 Companies are noted NEGATIVE average
return than it. The overall performance of AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY Average returns
flow NEGATIVELY (-1.95).
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.1.10
RETURNS OF BANKIMG INDUSTRY: JAN 2018 TO DEC 2018
SBI BANK OF BORODA ANDHRA BANK
Date OPEN CLOSE Return OPEN CLOSE Return OPEN CLOSE Return
Jan 307.5 312.75 1.71 161.55 157 -2.85 58.35 52.6 -9.85
Feb 305.55 268.75 -12.04 152.3 142 -6.76 51.25 46.05 -10.15
Mar 262.55 250.1 -4.74 138.4 142.2 2.75 45.25 41.65 -7.96
Apr 246.3 246.3 0.00 142 148.7 4.68 43.25 39.75 -8.09
May 240.65 269.2 11.86 144.05 137.1 -4.86 38.15 36.35 -4.72
Jun 266.75 259.3 -2.79 137.4 112.8 -17.90 35.05 32.7 -6.70
Jul 259.1 293.4 13.24 113.95 153.5 34.66 32.6 35.25 8.13
Aug 295.1 308.85 4.66 150.65 152.9 1.49 35.35 33.85 -4.24
Sep 306.4 265 -13.51 151.75 99.4 -34.50 34.45 27.4 -20.46
Oct 273.05 280.5 2.73 104.5 110.8 6.03 27.6 29.05 5.25
Nov 285.7 284.35 -0.47 107.7 104.7 -2.79 29.3 28.45 -2.90
Dec 287 295.65 3.01 107.75 118.9 10.30 28.45 29.3 2.99
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.1.11
AVERAGES RETURN OF BANKING INDUSTRY SELECTED COMPANIES:
COMPANIES AVGS
SBI 0.304
BANK OF BORODA -0.812
ANDHRA BANK -4.893
ICICI BANK 2.745
HDFC BANK LTD 1.248
KOTAK MAHINDRA 1.692
AXIS BANK LTD 1.571
KARUR VYSYA BANK -2.231
BANK OF INDIA -3.276
TABLE: 3.1.12
INDEX POINTS OF BANKING INDUSTRY: JAN 2018 TO DEC 2018
MONTHS OPEN CLOSE RETURN AVGS
JAN 28639.17 30986.13 8.19 45305.72
FEB 30788.39 28313.85 -8.04 43708.05
MAR 28072.19 27197.88 -3.11 41233.98
APL 27098.31 28651.87 5.73 42201.03
MAY 28614.54 30007.14 4.87 44314.41
JUN 29780.74 29250.56 -1.78 44140.93
JUL 29180.77 31005.96 6.25 45596.35
AUG 30834.87 31741.91 2.94 47159.35
SEP 31376.36 27992.18 -10.79 43680.36
OCT 28270.19 28359.59 0.32 42494.69
NOV 28611.24 30054.21 5.04 44359.83
DEC 29899.8 30376.68 1.59 45326.58
AVERAGE RETURNS = 0.94
Sources: Share prices data collected from BSE Website 01 Jan 2018- 31 Dec 2018.
GRAPH:3.1.4 BANKING INDUSTRY INDEX POINTS RETURNS
INDUSTR
46000
Y INDEX
44000
42000
40000
Linear
38000 (BANKING
INDUSTR
Y INDEX)
MONTHS
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
INTERPRETATION:
In the course of the study it has been reveals that the highest return with respect to
BANK OF BARODA took place in the month of JULAY 2018 to the tune of 34.66. In
contrast to this the lowest return with respect of BANK OF BARODA took place in the
month of SEPTEMBAR 2018 to the tune of -34.50.
As per the BANKEX given by BSE, the returns remain HIGHEST in the month of
JANUARY 2018 (8.19) and the lowest in the month of SEPTEMBER 2018 (-10.79). The
average return of ICICI BANK is HIGHEST than average return of BANKEX. Totally 5
banks are noted POSITIVE average return than BANKING INDUSTRY and remaining 3
banks are noted NEGATIVE average return than it. The overall performance of BANKING
INDUSTRY Average returns flow POSITIVELY (0.94).
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.1.13
RETURNS OF CEMENT INDUSTRY: JAN 2018 TO DEC 2018
ULTRATECH CEMENT SHREE CEMENT AMBUJA CEMENT
Date OPEN CLOSE Return OPEN CLOSE Return OPEN CLOSE Return
Jan 4257.5 4379.9 2.875 17881 17212 -3.74 267.6 261.1 -2.43
Feb 4389.4 4154 -5.363 17423 16678 -4.28 264.9 252.6 -4.63
Mar 4150 3947.9 -4.870 16617 16182 -2.62 253 233.3 -7.77
Apr 3983.3 4110 3.180 16434 16844 2.50 240.7 250 3.86
May 4021.5 3734.7 -7.131 16601 16837 1.42 245.7 205.2 -16.47
Jun 3685.9 3802 3.150 16600 15556 -6.29 203.4 207.5 1.99
Jul 3781.5 4190 10.801 15764 17064 8.25 200.3 230.1 14.85
Aug 4193.9 4470.2 6.587 17216 18960 10.13 233.5 241.5 3.40
Sep 4369.5 4055.8 -7.179 18968 16836 -11.24 240.1 223 -7.14
Oct 3947 3498.8 -11.356 16763 13896 -17.10 222.1 197.1 -11.24
Nov 3592.3 3992.9 11.152 13944 16476 18.16 199.8 218 9.11
Dec 4058.6 4002.7 -1.377 16787 17212 2.53 220.4 224.4 1.81
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.1.14
AVERAGES RETURNS OF CEMENT INDUSTRY SELECTED COMPANIES
COMPANIES AVGS
ULTRATECH CEMENT 0.039
SHREE CEMENT -0.191
AMBUJA CEMENT -1.219
RAMCO CEMENT -1.325
ACC CEMENT -1.276
SAGAR CEMENT -1.613
JK CEMENT -3.559
INDEA CEMENTS -4.676
DECCAN CEMENT -2.465
TABLE: 3.1.15
INDEX POINTS OF CEMENT INDUSTRY: JAN 2018 TO DEC 2018
MONTHS OPEN CLOSE RETURN AVGS
JAN 3531.05 3545.17 0.40 5310.695
FEB 3560.13 3418.76 -3.97 5198.825
MAR 3398.9 3142.4 -7.55 4841.85
APL 3205.51 3373.66 5.25 4976.415
MAY 3302.35 3141.09 -4.88 4792.265
JUN 3101.39 2976.93 -4.01 4527.625
JUL 2940.12 3044.68 3.56 4514.74
AUG 3035.25 3232.82 6.51 4750.445
SPT 3230.39 2993.4 -7.34 4608.595
OCT 2988.63 2791.91 -6.58 4286.225
NOV 2837.8 2853.69 0.56 4272.59
DEC 2881.36 2866.93 -0.50 4307.61
AVG = -1.55
Sources: Share price data collected from BSE Website 01 Jan 2018- 31 Dec 2018.
GRAPH:3.1.5 CEMENT INDUSTRY INDEX POITS RETURS
4000
3000
2000
1000 Linear
(CEMENT
0 INDUSTR
Y INDEX)
MONTHS
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
INTERPRETATION:
In the course of the study it has been reveals that the highest return with respect to
SHREE CEMENT took place in the month of NOVEMBER 2018 to the tune of 18.16. In
contrast to this the lowest return with respect of INDIA CEMENT took place in the month
of SEPTEMBAR 2018 to the tune of -18.24.
As per the BASIC MATERIAL INDEX given by BSE, the returns remain highest
in the month of AUGUST 2018 (6.51) and the lowest in the month of MARCH 2018
(-7.55). The average return of State Bank of India is closely related to the average return
of BANKEX average return. Totally 1 Company are noted POSITIVE average return than
CEMENT INDUSTRY and remaining 8 Companies are noted NEGATIVE average return
than it. The overall performance of CEMENT INDUSTRY Average returns flow
NEGATIVELY (-1.55).
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.1.16
RETURNS OF TELECOM INDUSTRY: JAN 2018 TO DEC 2018
RELIANCE
BHARATI AIRTEL LTD COMMUNICATIONS MTNL
Date OPEN CLOSE Return OPEN CLOSE Return OPEN CLOSE Return
Jan 528.15 439.65 -16.76 35.4 29.5 -16.67 28.15 25.15 -10.66
Feb 438.05 427.35 -2.44 28.65 28.3 -1.22 24.25 22.5 -7.22
Mar 426.75 396.9 -6.99 27.85 21.75 -21.90 22.15 18.85 -14.90
Apr 394.45 409.55 3.83 22.55 15.25 -32.37 19.35 19.35 0.00
May 408 373.8 -8.38 16.05 18.7 16.51 19.05 16.4 -13.91
Jun 382.6 381.1 -0.39 16.45 13.8 -16.11 16.05 15.9 -0.93
Jul 367.15 390.7 6.41 13.24 14.37 8.53 15.8 16.1 1.90
Aug 383.65 383.35 -0.08 14.77 18.26 23.63 15.9 16.3 2.52
Sep 384.25 338.25 -11.97 18.2 11.9 -34.62 15.95 13.55 -15.05
Oct 325.85 292.15 -10.34 11.93 12.33 3.35 13.79 13.45 -2.47
Nov 292.8 313.55 7.09 14.05 14.27 1.57 14.05 12.86 -8.47
Dec 320.3 313.9 -2.00 16.62 14.69 -11.61 12.9 16.19 25.50
TATA
COMMUNICATIONS VODAFONE IDEA LTD
Date OPEN CLOSE Return OPEN CLOSE Return
Jan 678.45 615.7 -9.25 104.85 93.15 -11.16
Feb 621.65 643.05 3.44 91.25 83.7 -8.27
Mar 637.75 621.15 -2.60 83 75.75 -8.73
Apr 636.15 621.95 -2.23 77.6 69.05 -11.02
May 629.45 617.1 -1.96 67.2 61.65 -8.26
Jun 602.2 593.4 -1.46 61.65 59.25 -3.89
Jul 591.1 578.15 -2.19 57 54.9 -3.68
Aug 589.55 539.35 -8.51 53.6 49.5 -7.65
Sep 531.35 500.75 -5.76 51.05 38.45 -24.68
Oct 503.4 490.55 -2.55 38.8 38.6 -0.52
Nov 496.35 538.5 8.49 38.85 35.45 -8.75
Dec 528.55 523.55 -0.95 35.6 37.7 5.90
Sources: Share prices data collected from BSE Website 01 Jan 2018- 31 Dec 2018.
TABLE: 3.1.17
COMPANIES AVGS
BHARATI AIRTEL LTD -3.502
RELIANCE COMMUNICATIONS -6.742
MTNL -3.640
TATA COMMUNICATION -2.128
VODAFONE IDEA LTD -7.560
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.1.18
TELECOM INDUSTRY INDEX POINTS: JAN 2018 TO DEC 2018
MONTHS OPEN CLOSE RETURN AVGS
JAN 1665.16 1476.2 -11.35 2308.78
FEB 1471.74 1434.66 -2.52 2170.53
MAR 1425.75 1321.9 -7.28 2034.775
APL 1329.28 1298.08 -2.35 1962.72
MAY 1292.27 1206.09 -6.67 1852.225
JUN 1211.32 1185.39 -2.14 1791.05
JUL 1154.44 1189.78 3.06 1767
AUG 1183.26 1179.55 -0.31 1771.18
SPT 1185.94 1021.75 -13.84 1614.72
OCT 1008.5 979.83 -2.84 1484.08
NOV 978.99 991.82 1.31 1481.315
DEC 1003.25 988.38 -1.48 1490.005
AVG = -3.87
Sources: all data collected from BSE Website 01 Jan 2018- 31 Dec 2018
TEELCOM
TEELCOM INDUSTRY INDEX INDUSTR
2500
Y INDEX
2000 POINTS
AVG RETURNS
1500
1000
Linear
500 (TEELCO
M
0 INDUSTR
Y INDEX
MONTHS POINTS)
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
INTERPRETATION:
In the course of the study it has been revel that the highest return with respect to
MTNL took place in the month of DECEMBER 2018 to the tune of 25.50. In contrast to
this the lowest return with respect of RELIANCE COMMUNICATIONS took place in the
month of SEPTEMBAR 2018 to the tune of -34.62.
When overall performance i.e. average return is taken in to consideration TATA
COMMUNICATIONS (-2.128) reached the first position. When it comes to the lowest
returns VODAFONE IDEA LTD (-7.560) remained in the forefront.
As per the TELECOM INDEX given by BSE, the returns remain highest in the
month of September 2006(13.90) and the lowest in the month of May2006 (-9.19). The
average return of State Bank of India is closely related to the average return of BANKEX
average return. Totally ALL 5 Companies are noted NEGATIV average return than
TELECOM INDUSTRY. The overall performance of TELECOM INDUSTRY Average
returns flow NEGATIVELY (-3.87).
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
INTERPRETATION:
The above table shows that risk and return for each company, and it also reveals that
coefficient of variance for each company. In the above table ranks has given on the basis
of coefficient of variance for each company, accordingly ranks are given for each company.
As per the ranking DR. REDDY’S LABORATORY has got first rank for its best
performance as it has been low Coefficient of variance. GLENMARK LABS has got least
rank in the selected companies for its least performance.
The co-efficient of Pharmaceutical index has represented on Negative (-42.94). It shows
that this Industry has High risk.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.2.2
COMPANIES AVGS S.D VARIANCE CO-EFFICIANT RANKS
OF VARIANCE
INDEX POINTS 2.04 5.89 34.66 2.89
TCS 2.942 9.84 96.79 3.34 5
TECH MAHINDRA 3.748 7.49 56.11 2.00 1
INFOSYS 2.130 5.14 26.45 2.42 3
WIPRO 0.019 4.47 19.98 236.00 8
HCL TECHONOLOGIES 1.334 6.17 38.05 4.63 7
Mphasis 3.797 10.62 112.84 2.80 4
ORACLE FINANCIAL -0.120 6.48 42.05 -53.82 -
MINDTREE 3.729 15.57 242.44 4.17 6
LARSON & TOURBO 4.251 9.03 81.57 2.12 2
INFOTECH
INTERPRETATION:
The above table shows that risk and return for each company. And it also reveals that
coefficient of variance of each company, accordingly ranks are given for the company. As
per the ranking TECH MAHINDRA got first rank for its best performance as it has low
coefficient of variance. WIPRO has got least rank in the selected companies for its least
performance.
The co-efficient of variance of I.T industry index has represented on POSOTIVE (2.89). It
shows that this Industry has low risk.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.2.3
CO-EFFICIANT RANKS
COMPANIES AVGS S.D VARIANCE OF VARIANCE
INDEX POINTS -1.95 5.26 27.68 -2.70
TATA MOTORS -7.476 7.39 54.59 -0.99 -
HERO MOTOCORP -1.700 4.91 24.14 -2.89 -
ASHOK LAYLAND -1.088 9.88 97.69 -9.09 -
BAJAJ AUTO -2.496 5.38 28.94 -2.16 -
MAHINDRA & 1.566 7.74 59.87 4.94 1
MAHINDRA
MARUTI SUZUKI -2.099 8.08 65.23 -3.85 -
TVS MOTORS -2.057 6.17 38.04 -3.00 -
FORCE MOTORS -5.703 9.29 86.36 -1.63 -
ISUZU LTD -1.567 9.00 81.07 -5.75 -
INTERPRETATION:
The above table shows that risk and return for each company. And it also reveals that
coefficient of variance of each company, accordingly ranks are given for the company. As
per the ranking only MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA has got first rank for its best
performance. And remaining all companies are getting Negative returns in this Industry.
The co-efficient of variance of Auto index has represented on NEGATIVE (-2.70). It shows
that this Industry has High risk.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.2.4
COMPANIES AVGS S.D VARIANCE CO-EFFICIANT RANKS
OF VARIANCE
INDEX POINTS 0.94 5.90 34.81 6.31
SBI 0.304 8.06 64.92 26.51 5
BANK OF BORODA -0.812 16.41 269.43 -20.22 -
ANDHRA BANK -4.893 7.73 59.69 -1.58 -
ICICI BANK 2.745 9.17 84.10 3.34 1
HDFC BANK LTD 1.248 5.71 32.60 4.58 3
KOTAK 1.692 6.71 45.07 3.97 2
MAHINDRA BANK
AXIS BANK LTD 1.571 7.48 55.97 4.76 4
KARUR VYSYA -2.231 7.73 59.78 -3.47 -
BANK OF INDIA -3.276 12.66 160.33 -3.87 -
INTERPRETATION:
The above table shows that risk and return for each Banks. And it also reveals that
coefficient of variance of each company, accordingly ranks are given for the Banks. As per
the ranking ICICI BANK has got first rank for its best performance. SBI has got least rank
in the selected Banks for its least performance.
The co-efficient of variance of BANKING Industry index has represented on POSITIVE
(6.31). It shows that this industry has Low risk.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.2.5
COMPANIES AVGS S.D VARIANCE CO-EFFECIANT RANKS
OF VARIANCE
INDEX POINTS -1.55 4.90 24.03 -3.17
ULTRATECH 0.04 7.38 54.40 188.88 1
SHREE CEMENT -0.19 9.59 92.02 -50.17 -
AMBUJA CEMENT -1.22 8.82 77.78 -7.23 -
RAMCO CEMENT -1.32 5.73 32.78 -4.32 -
ACC CEMENT -1.28 8.57 73.48 -6.72 -
SAGAR CEMENT -1.61 7.16 51.30 -4.44 -
JK CEMENT -3.56 5.55 30.81 -1.56 -
INDEA CEMENTS -4.68 9.19 84.42 -1.96 -
DECCAN CEMENT -2.47 7.59 57.59 -3.08 -
INTERPRETATION:
The above table shows that risk the return for each company. And it also reveals that
coefficient of variance for each company, accordingly ranks are given for the company. As
per the ranking only ULTRATECH CEMENT (188.88) has got its best performance. And
all firms are NEGATIVE coefficient of variance.
The co-efficient of variance of CEMENT INDUSTRY index has represented NEGATIVE
(-3.17). It shows that this industry has High risk.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
TABLE: 3.2.6
COMPANIES AVGS SD VARIANCE CO-EFFICIANT RANKS
OF VARIANCE
INDEX PPOINTS -3.87 5.01 25.12 -1.30
AIRTEL LTD -3.50 7.50 56.29 -16.07 -
RELIANCE -6.74 18.52 342.87 -50.85 -
MTNL -3.64 11.23 126.15 -34.65 -
TATA -2.13 4.77 22.80 -10.71 -
VODAFONE IDEA -7.56 7.27 52.83 -6.99 -
INTERPRETATION:
The above table shows that risk and return for each company. And it also reveals that
coefficient of variance for each company. All the TELECOM firms and INDUSTRY also
got Negative Coefficient’s (-1.30). It shows that this Industry has Very High risk.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
15000
14500
14000
13500
13000 3 MONTHS AVGS
12500
12000 5 MONTHS AVGS
MONTHS
INTERPRETATION:
The 3 months Simple Moving Average shows that Highest returns in the month of
OCTOBER 2018 (15232.36), and Lowest returns in the month of MAY 2018 (13404.64).
The overall performance of Parma industry is decreased in the last Five months.
The 5 months Simple Moving Average shows that Highest returns in the month of
NOVEMBER 2018 (14847.90), ad Lowest returns in the month of JUNE 2018 (13666.12).
The overall industry performance has decreased in the last Four months.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000 3 MONTHS AVGS
4000
5 MONTHS AVGS
2000
0
MONTHS
INTERPRETATION:
The 3 months Simple Moving Average shows that Highest returns in the month of
OCTOBER 2018 (15236.35), and Lowest returns in the month of MAY 2018 (12724.66).
The overall performance of I.T Industry is continuously increased.
The 5 months Simple Moving Average shows that Highest returns in the month of
NOVEMBER 2018 (14906.61), ad Lowest returns in the month of MAY 2018 (12836.76).
The overall performance of I.T Industry is continuously increased.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
15000
10000
5000 3 MONTHS AVGS
0 5 MONTHS AVGS
MONTHS
INTERPRETATION:
The 3 months Simple Moving Average shows that Highest returns in the month of
OCTOBER 2018 (15236.35), and Lowest returns in the month of MAY 2018 (12724.66).
The overall performance of I.T Industry is continuously increased.
The 5 months Simple Moving Average shows that Highest returns in the month of
NOVEMBER 2018 (14906.61), ad Lowest returns in the month of MAY 2018 (12836.76).
The overall performance of I.T Industry is continuously increased.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
30000
29000
28000
3 MONTHS AVGS
27000
26000 5 MONTHS AVGS
MONTHS
INTERPRETATION:
The 3 months Simple Moving Average shows that Highest returns in the month of MARCH
2019 (31053.38), and Lowest returns in the month of APRIL 2018 (28054.53). The overall
performance of BANKING Industry is continuously increased last five months.
The 5 months Simple Moving Average shows that Highest returns in the month of
MARCH 2019 (30718.21), ad Lowest returns in the month of JUNE 2018 (28684.26). The
overall performance of BANKING Industry is increased.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000 3 MONTHS AVGS
500 5 MONTHS AVGS
0
MONTHS
INTERPRETATION:
The 3 months Simple Moving Average shows that Highest returns in the month of MARCH
2018 (3368.78), and Lowest returns in the month of MARCH 2019 (2722.66). The overall
performance of CEMENT Industry is continuously Decreasing.
The 5 months Simple Moving Average shows that the Highest returns in the month
of MAY 2018 (3324.22), ad Lowest returns in the month of FEBRUARY 2019 (2770.93).
The overall performance of CEMENT Industry has Decreased.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400 3 MONTHS AVGS
200 5 MONTHS AVGS
0
MONTHS
INTERPRETATION:
The 3 months Simple Moving Average shows that Highest returns in the month of MARCH
2018 (1410.92), and Lowest returns in the month of FEBRUARY 2018 (984.11). The
overall performance of CEMENT Industry is continuously Decreasing.
The 5 months Simple Moving Average shows that Highest returns in the month of MAY
2018 (1347.39), ad Lowest returns in the month of FEBRUARY 2019 (984.79). The overall
performance of CEMENT Industry has Decreased.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
To compare the selected industries return and risk in the BSE. It helps us to know
how much return we are getting for the baring of that much risk. On the basis of that this
study gives ranks for the selected industries. It helps to the investors to analyze the risk and
returns involved in the selected industries.
TABLE: 3.4
INDUSTRIES AVG S.D VARIANCE COEFFICIANT RANKS
RETURN OF VARIANCE
PHARMACUETICAL -0.13 5.74 32.93 -42.94
I.T 2.04 5.89 34.66 2.89 1
BANKING 0.94 5.90 34.81 6.31 2
AUTOMOBILE -1.95 5.26 27.68 -2.70
CEMENT -1.55 4.90 24.03 -3.17
TELECOM -3.87 5.01 25.12 -1.30
INDUSTRIES COMPAROSION
10 6.31
2.04 2.89 0.94
AVERAGE RETURNS &
0
-0.13 -1.95 -2.7 -1.55-3.17 -1.3
-10 -3.87
RISK
-20
-30
-40
-50 -42.94
SELECTED INDUSTRIES
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
INTERPRETATION:
The above table shows that risk and the return for each Industry in BSE. And it also shows
the coefficient of variance of each Industry in BSE. In the above table ranks has given on
the basis of coefficient of variance of each industry index. According to the basis of ranking
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY INDEX (2.89) has got First Rank in selected indexes
for its best performance and BANKING INDUSTRY (6.31) has got Second Rank. Lowest
variability in the return it also tells that lowest fluctuations in the prices.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
CHAPTER – IV
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
FINDINGS
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
SUGGESTIONS
This study is analysis the selected Six industries. After analysis, it is recommended Two
Industries and few Companies from that industries are suggested on the basis of Returns
and Risk i.e., I.T INDUSTRY and BANKING INDUSTRY.
The investor better to go for invest on I.T INDUSTRY. In this I.T have getting
Higher returns and very less risk is involved. In this industry the TECH MAHINDRA,
LARSON & TOURBO INFOTECH LTD, INFOSYS LTD and Mphasis Technologies
have getting the higher returns and to play a best performance of selected 9 companies.
The BANKING INDUSTRY to get better returns for the investors. In this Industry
the ICICI BANKN, KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK, HDFC BANK and AXIS BANK have
getting the higher returns and to play a best performance of selected 9 banks.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
CONCLUSTION
From the analysis of Return, Risk, and Simple moving average of selected 6 industries and
their 9 companies it is concluded that in selected 6 Industries only 2 Industries have shown
the Positive returns and Less risk. They are I.T INDUSTRY and BANKING INDUSTRY.
And ICICI BANK, KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK and HDFC BANK’s have get
the Higher returns and a very low risk in the BANKING INDUSTRY.
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com
A STUDY ON SECURITY ANALYSIS FOR SELECTED INDUSTRIES
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Websites:
www.bseindia.com
www.gwcindia.com
A. MAHESH BABU
Mobile No : 8297619656, E-Mail : arava.maheswarreddy@gmail.com