Grand Exit Poll – Fate of Nation – Tamilnadu

Spick Media – IE Tech, Bangalore

17th Loksabha elections were held to the 38 seats at Tamilnadu on 18th of april.
Election at vellore constituency was cancelled by the election commission due to
massive cash haul. Election deciding the fate of the state government were also been
helded to the 18 vacant assembly constituencies on the same date.

Mostly the state is seen with a two way fight between DMK & AIADMK. TTV
Dhinakaran’s AMMK/Independent candidates failed to get the support in most of
the constituencies, while kamalhassan’s Makkal Needhi Maiam splits the huge anti-
incumbency vote over the kongu belt. Naam Tamilar party seen getting huge support
over Dindugul and Chennai belt areas.

Dharmapuri constituency had received 80.49% of votes, which is 00.65% less than
the votes received in 2014.

Our team at 38 constituencies who spoke with the voters after polling, confirms
NDA makes a tough fight to UPA over the state. No single party wave seen & No
sweep possible.

Our team met 11,418 voters over 38 loksabha constituencies between 18th of April to
20th of April. 76 trained field investigators from our team met the voters directly & it
took upto 10 minutes to interview a respondant.

The survey was designed by IETech and Analysed by Spick Media, Chennai. The
team included M.Harish, B.Jagan, S.Priya, S.Krishnamoorty, J.Poorna, Pirai
Kannan, Rajasekaran and N.Kannan.
Age wise factors of our Exit Poll

Age Factors Percentage of Voters

Upto age 25 29.63%
Age 26 – 35 20.33%
Age 36 – 45 22.86%
Age 46 – 55 17.95%
Above age 55 09.23%

Gender wise factors of our Exit Poll

Gender Factors Percentage of Voters

Male 46.07%
Female 50.19%
Others 03.74

Caste wise Factors of our Exit Poll

Caste Factors Percentage of Voters

Schedule Caste 28.18%
Schedule Tribe 25.36%
Most Backward Classes 18.09%
Backward Classes 15.45%
Denotified Community 04.69%
Backward Muslims 03.11%
Other / Forward Caste 05.12%
 Main Reports

1. In talking to the voters about this election, we found some of them could’nt /
were unable to vote because of various reasons. What about you ?

Divisions I voted I did’nt vote No Comments

South Tamilnadu 72.01% 23.67% 04.32%
Central Tamilnadu 66.13% 31.99% 01.88%
West Tamilnadu 67.95% 28.64% 03.41%
North Tamilnadu 70.10% 26.56% 03.34%

2. Whom did you vote for ?

Divisions AIADMK + DMK + AMMK + Maiam Naam Tamilar Others

South Tamilnadu 16.90% 38.19% 31.52% 07.21% 04.44% 01.74%
Central Tamilnadu 30.04% 30.35% 24.67% 06.55% 05.81% 02.58%
West Tamilnadu 40.27% 26.16% 11.33% 13.57% 05.20% 03.47%
North Tamilnadu 30.22% 32.71% 14.50% 12.91% 07.07% 02.59%

3. When did you finally make up your mind about who to vote for ?

Divisions Voting Day Day Before Voting Start of Campaign Before Campaign Can’t Say
South Tamilnadu 13.79% 09.56% 40.36% 28.01% 08.28%
Central Tamilnadu 24.26% 13.85% 35.07% 20.99% 05.83%
West Tamilnadu 30.75% 17.33% 30.31% 11.18% 10.43%
North Tamilnadu 05.98% 16.02% 20.88% 40.09% 17.03%

4. Do you think that the party/candidate you voted for will win from your
constituency ?

Divisions Yes, He/She can No, He/She can’t No Response

South Tamilnadu 63.38% 29.53% 07.09%
Central Tamilnadu 69.04% 27.64% 03.32%
West Tamilnadu 61.00% 34.50% 04.50%
North Tamilnadu 77.86% 16.95% 05.19%
 5. After this election who would you prefer as the next Prime Minister of India ?

PM Candidates Percentage of support

Narendra Modi 25.53%
Rahul Gandhi 52.07%
Mayawati 05.66%
Mamta Bannerji 04.39%
Others 12.35%

6. Is there any political party alliance you particularly feel close to ?

Divisions Yes No
South Tamilnadu 60.11% 39.89%
Central Tamilnadu 57.34% 42.66%
West Tamilnadu 70.91% 29.09%
North Tamilnadu 88.10% 11.90%

6a. Which Alliance ?

Parties South Tamilnadu Central Tamilnadu West Tamilnadu North Tamilnadu

AIADMK Alliance 16.64% 31.42% 41.69% 30.46%
DMK Alliance 39.02% 25.96% 20.08% 33.85%
AMMK Alliance 33.52 30.37% 13.37% 20.10%
Makkal Needhi Maiam 05.77% 03.55% 12.90% 03.66%
Naam Tamilar 05.03% 04.64% 09.91% 08.37%
Others 00.02% 04.06% 02.05% 03.56%

7. After this election, whom would you prefer as your CM Candidate ?

Candidates Percentage of support

MK Stalin 32.50%
Edappadi Palanisamy 30.07%
O.Panneerselvam 02.44%
TTV Dhinakaran 18.58%
Kamalhassan 06.03%
Vijayakanth 02.45%
Anbumani Ramadoss 02.36%
GK Vasan 02.18%
Seeman 01.84%
Others 01.55%
 Loksabha Constituency Wise Report

1. Tiruvallur Constituency

Candidates Percentage of support

P. Venugopal 43.81%
K. Jayakumar 20.16%
Pon Raja 22.07%
Lokarangan 06.43%
Vetriselvi 04.10%

2. Chennai North

Candidates Percentage of support

Mohan Raj 31.29%
Kalanithi Veerasamy 40.52%
Santhana Krishnan 07.37%
A.G Mouria 07.43%
Kaliammal 09.21%

3. Chennai Central

Candidates Percentage of support

Sam Paul 30.41%
Dayanidhi Maran 33.16%
Tehalan Bagavi 29.82%
Kameela Nasser 08.35%
Dr. Karthikeyan 03.17%

4. Chennai South

Candidates Percentage of support

J. Jayavardhanan 36.01%
Tamilachi Thangapandian 39.57%
Isakki Subbaiah 15.90%
Rangarajan 03.33%
Sherin 01.51%

5. Kanchipuram

Candidates Percentage of support

Maragatham Kumaravel 32.85%
G. Selvam 36.60%
Munusamy 12.07%
A.M Thangaraj 10.14%
Ranjini 02.55%
 6. Sriperambudur

Candidates Percentage of support

A. Vaithiyalingam 29.77%
T.R Balu 45.42%
Tambaram Narayanan 10.35%
Sivakumar 06.28%
Mahendran 04.18%

7. Arakkonam

Candidates Percentage of support

A.K Moorthy 35.24%
Jagathratchagan 40.37%
N.G Parthiban 12.83%
Rajendran 05.11%
Pavendhan 03.70%

8. Krishnagiri

Candidates Percentage of support

K.P Munusamy 48.87%
Chellakumar 30.02%
Ganesh Kumar 10.16%
Sreekarunya 04.88%
Madhusudanan 01.26%

9. Dharmapuri

Candidates Percentage of support

Anbumani Ramadoss 37.77%
Senthil Kumar 18.36%
Palaniyappan 37.51%
Rajashekar 02.10%
Rukmani Devi 02.63%

10.Tiruvannamalai

Candidates Percentage of support

Agri Krishnamoorthy 30.17%
C.N Annadurai 49.32%
Gnansekaran 08.36%
Arul 03.11%
Ramesh Babu 02.58%
 11.Arani

Candidates Percentage of support

Elumalai 36.27%
Vishnu Prasad 39.63%
Sentamilar 12.35%
Shaji 06.14%
Tamilarasi 03.20%

12. Viluppuram

Candidates Percentage of support

Vadivel Ravanan 38.34%
Ravikumar 30.71%
Vanur Ganapathy 16.28%
Anbil Poyyamozhi 05.83%
Praghalatha 02.19%

13. Kallakurichi

Candidates Percentage of support

L.K Sudhish 27.05%
Gauthama Sigamani 38.56%
Komuki 25.34%
H. Ganesh 05.56%
Sarbudheen 01.15%

14. Salem

Candidates Percentage of support

K.S.R Saravanan 39.35%
S.R Parthipan 23.17%
S.K Selvam 24.48%
Raghu Manikandan 04.22%
Raja Ammaiappan 02.35%

15. Namakkal

Candidates Percentage of support

Kaliyappan 42.41%
Chinraj 26.13%
P.P Swaminathan 14.09%
R. Thangavelu 06.53%
Dr. Bhaskar 03.41%
 16. Erode

Candidates Percentage of support

Manimaran 39.36%
Ganesamoorthy 36.55%
K.C Senthil Kumar 13.90%
Saravanakumar 04.71%
Seetha Lakshmi 03.86%

17. Tiruppur

Candidates Percentage of support

M.S.M Anandan 40.33%
K. Subburayan 28.57%
S.R Selvam 13.35%
Chandra Kumar 04.81%
Jagannathan 01.66%

18. Nilgiris

Candidates Percentage of support

Thiyagarajan 27.41%
A. Raja 38.04%
Ramasamy I.A.S 25.06%
Rajendran 03.28%
Manimekalai 01.99%

19. Coimbatore

Candidates Percentage of support

C.P Radhakrishnan 44.62%
P.R Natarajan 30.13%
Appadurai 11.95%
Mahendran 04.22%
Kalyanasundaram 03.61%

20. Pollachi

Candidates Percentage of support

Mahendran 39.43%
Shanmuga Sundaram 30.20%
Muthukumar 10.51%
Mookambikai Rathinam 13.69%
Sanujha 03.24%
 21. Dindugul

Candidates Percentage of support

Jyothi 18.66%
Velusamy 39.70%
Jothi Murugan 21.23%
Sudhakar 04.17%
Mansoor Alikhan 11.55%

22. Karur

Candidates Percentage of support

Thambidurai 37.45%
Jothimani 40.47%
Thangavel 12.86%
Hariharan 03.54%
Karupaiya 02.31%

23. Trichy

Candidates Percentage of support

V. Elangovan 18.11%
Thirunavukkarasar 36.22%
Charubala Thondaiman 40.35%
Anandaraja 02.07%
Vinod 01.93%

24. Perambalur

Candidates Percentage of support

N.R Sivapathy 39.99%
Pachamuthu 34.27%
Rajashekaran 15.25%
Arul Prakasam 02.73%
Shanthi 02.90%

25. Cuddalore

Candidates Percentage of support

Govindasamy 38.53%
T.R.P.S Ramesh 23.46%
Kasi Thangavel 23.37%
Annamalai 05.72%
Chitra 03.85%
 26. Mayiladuthurai

Candidates Percentage of support

Asaimani 28.35%
Ramalingam 40.13%
Sentamilan 22.91%
Rifayudeen 03.66%
Subhashini 02.15%

27. Chidambaram

Candidates Percentage of support

Chandrashekar 35.99%
Tirumavalavan 37.84%
Ilavarasan 15.02%
Ravi 04.86%
Sivajothi 02.92%

28. Nagapattinam

Candidates Percentage of support

Saravanan 37.31%
Selvaraj 34.90%
Senkodi 14.80%
Karuvaiya 05.33%
Malathi 03.47%

29. Thanjavur

Candidates Percentage of support

N.R.Natarajan 26.05%
S.S Palanimanikam 40.59%
Professor Murugeson 24.33%
Sampath Ramadoss 04.12%
Krishnakumar 01.52%

30. Sivagangai

Candidates Percentage of support

H. Raja 25.07%
Karthi Chidambaram 39.96%
Therpoki Pandi 25.38%
Snehan 03.36%
Shakthi Priya 02.94%
 31. Madurai

Candidates Percentage of support

V.V.R. Rajsatyen 39.53%
Su. Venkatesan 24.71%
David Annadurai 25.04%
Azhagar 05.39%
Pandiyammal 03.10%

32. Theni

Candidates Percentage of support

O.P Raveendranath 30.55%
E.V.K.S Elangovan 23.72%
Thanga Tamilselvan 34.68%
Radhakrishnan 04.98%
Shahul Hameed 03.31%

33. Viruthunagar

Candidates Percentage of support

Azhagar Samy 28.45%
Manick Tagore 44.81%
Paramasivam Ayyappan 20.12%
Muniyasamy 03.03%
Arulmozhithevan 03.01%

34. Ramanathapuram

Candidates Percentage of support

Nainar Nagendran 32.01%
Nawaz Kani 32.10%
V.D.N Anand 29.22%
Vijayabhaskar 02.15%
Bhuvaneshwari 02.11%

35. Thoothukudi

Candidates Percentage of support

Tamilisai Soundararajan 37.56%
Kanmozhi Karunanidhi 37.74%
Bhuvaneshwaran 12.97%
Pon Kumaran 05.11%
Rajashekar 02.10%
 36. Tenkasi

Candidates Percentage of support

Dr. Krishnasamy 26.34%
Dhanush M. Kumar 36.21%
Ponnuthayi 30.57%
Muneeshwaran 03.77%
Mathivanan 01.92%

37. Tirunelveli

Candidates Percentage of support

Manoj Pandiyan 25.83%
Gnanathiraviyam 36.51%
Mitchel Rayappan 26.33%
Vennimalai 05.01%
Sathya 03.82%

38. Kanniyakumari

Candidates Percentage of support

Pon Radhakrishnan 29.13%
H. Vasanthakumar 39.37%
E. Lakshmanan 15.02%
Ebinezar 04.80%
Jainteen 05.16%

Final Tally (Loksabha)

Parties/Alliance Seats Vote Share
AIADMK Alliance 021 33.83%
DMK Alliance 012 34.68%
AMMK Alliance 002 19.56%
Makkal Needhi Maiam 000 05.00%
Naam Tamilar Party 000 03.20%
Others 000 03.73%

Note: Dharmapuri (PMK vs AMMK), Ramanathapuram (BJP vs IUML), Thoothukudi (DMK vs BJP)
constituencies faces a tough fight. They are seen as Tug Constituencies.
 Division Wise Report
Parties/Alliance South Tamilnadu Central Tamilnadu West Tamilnadu North Tamilnadu
AIADMK Alliance 01 Constituencies 02 Constituencies 07 Constituencies 02 Constituencies
DMK Alliance 06 Constituencies 04 Constituencies 02 Constituencies 09 Constituencies
AMMK Alliance 01 Constituencies 01 Constituencies 00 Constituencies 00 Constituencies
Makkal Needhi Maiam 00 Constituencies 00 Constituencies 00 Constituencies 00 Constituencies
Naam Tamilar Party 00 Constituencies 00 Constituencies 00 Constituencies 00 Constituencies
Others 00 Constituencies 00 Constituencies 00 Constituencies 00 Constituencies
 Assembly Constituency Wise Report
1. Perambur

Candidates Percentage of Support

R.S Rajesh 29.68%
R.D Sekar 27.37%
P. Vetrivel 34.96%
Others 07.99%

2. Poonamallee

Candidates Percentage of Support

G. Vaithiyanathan 34.73%
A. Krishnasamy 39.05%
T.A Elumalai 17.21%
Others 09.01%

3. Tirupporur

Candidates Percentage of Support

S. Arumugam 38.51%
L. Idhayavarman 30.45%
M. Kothandapani 19.16%
Others 11.88%

4. Ambur

Candidates Percentage of Support

J. Jothi Ramalinga Raja 32.82%
A.C Vilvanathan 36.09%
R. Balasubramani 17.55%
Others 13.54%

5. Sholingar

Candidates Percentage of Support

G. Sampath 30.15%
A. Ashokan 41.23%
T.G Mani 14.60%
Others 14.02%
 6. Gudiyattam

Candidates Percentage of Support

R. Moothy 26.05%
S. Kathavarayan 37.22%
Jayanthi Padmanaban 30.59%
Others 06.14%

7. Harur

Candidates Percentage of Support

Sampathkumar 35.37%
Krishnakumar 30.11%
Murugan 30.28%
Others 04.24%

8. Pappireddipatti

Candidates Percentage of Support

Govindasamy 40.57%
Mani 33.09%
Rajendran 16.95%
Others 09.39%

9. Hosur

Candidates Percentage of Support

Jyothi 58.99%
Sathya 30.24%
Pugazhendhi 07.61%
Others 03.16%

10. Thanjavur

Candidates Percentage of Support

R. Gandhi 39.78%
Neelamegam 36.53%
Rengasamy 20.30%
Others 03.39%
 11. Tiruvarur

Candidates Percentage of Support

Jeevanandam 34.57%
Poondi Kalaivanan 39.98%
S. Kamaraj 21.83%
Others 03.62%

12. Nilakottai

Candidates Percentage of Support

Thenmozhi 30.35%
Soundarapandian 37.29%
Thangadurai 19.06%
Others 13.30%

13. Andipatti

Candidates Percentage of Support

Logirajan 13.05%
Maharajan 30.66%
Jayakumar 53.20%
Others 03.09%

14. Periyakulam

Candidates Percentage of Support

Mayilvel 25.58%
Saravanakumar 39.03%
Kathirkamu 34.27%
Others 01.12%

15. Sattur

Candidates Percentage of Support

Rajavarman 39.77%
Srinivasan 33.96%
Subramanian 15.75%
Others 10.52%
 16. Manamadurai

Candidates Percentage of Support

Sivasankari 17.65%
Kasilingam 33.80%
Mariappan Kennady 41.92%
Others 06.63%

17. Paramakudi

Candidates Percentage of Support

Sathan Prabhakar 39.82%
Sambathkumar 23.06%
Muthaiah 34.14%
Others 02.98%

18. Vilathikulam

Candidates Percentage of Support

Chinnappan 33.50%
Jayakumar 13.08%
Jothimani 18.22%
Markandeyan 31.68%
Others 03.52%

Final Tally (Assembly)

Parties Seats Vote Share
AIADMK 007 33.39%
DMK 008 32.90%
AMMK 003 24.87%
Others 000 08.84%