Professional Documents
Culture Documents
There are so many investment avenues. So that investors does not know
which avenues provides best return. As per the financial rule of “Do not putall
the eggs in one basket” investor’s portfolio are most diversified. So that risk
should be minimized. If the person do not have knowledge of how to get
maximum return with minimum risk or vice-versa then they should invest in
mutual fund. There are so many funds and schemes are available in mutual
fund market. Investors know that how much risk they can take and based on
that they have to choose schemes. The primary object of the present project
is to know about which mutual funds gave highest performance within one-
year.
This study has been undertaken to evaluate the performance of the Indian
Mutual Funds vis-à-vis the Indian stock market. For the purpose of this study,
10 open ended equity based growth mutual funds were selected as the
Sample. The data, which is the quarterly NAV’s of the funds and the closing of
the S & P NIFTY Index, were collected for a period of 1 year starting
01/01/2018 to 31/12/2018.
Different statistical tools were used on the data obtained to calculate the
Average returns, Standard deviation, Fund Beta, Treynor’s
PerformanceIndex, Sharpe’s Performance Index and Jensen’s Alpha. These
variables of the funds were compared with the same variables of the market
to assess how the different funds have performed against the market.
1
We have used return of portfolio (mutual fund) i.e. Rp, return of risk free
securities i.e. Rf and beta of portfolio to calculate Treynor’s Performance
Index. We have used return of portfolio i.e. Rp, return of risk free securities
i.e. Rf and standard deviation of portfolio to calculate Sharpe’s Performance
Index. We have used Rp, Rf, βp and Rm i.e. return of market to calculate
Jensen’s alpha.
Sharpe and Treynor model are used to compare the performance of mutual
funds and rank them according to their performance. Jensen model is used to
calculate the fund manager’s stock selection capability.
From our analysis we have found out that UTI MNC Fund – Growth stands on
1st rank amongst the 10 mutual funds according to above three models. It
shows that UTI MNC FUND has performed well in the year 2010. This fund is
also able to beat the market.
While Reliance Growth Fund stands on 10th rank amongst the 10 mutual
funds according to Sharpe and Jensen’s model and it stands on
9thrankaccording to Treynor’s model. It shows that Reliance Growth Fund has
not performed so well in the year 2018 as compared to other nine funds.
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PART – 1
GENERAL
INFORMATION
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MUTUAL FUND INDUSTRY
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1.1 ABOUT THE INDUSTRY
Definition
Mutual funds are investment companies that pool money from investors at
large and offer to sell and buy back its shares on a continuous basis and use
the capital thus raised to invest in securities of different companies. The
stocks these mutual funds have are very fluid and are used for buying or
redeeming and/or selling shares at a net asset value. Mutual funds posses
shares of several companies and receive dividends in lieu of them and the
earnings are distributed among the share holders.
Mutual funds are conceived as institutions for providing small investors with
avenues of investments in the capital market. .Since small investors generally
do not have adequate time, knowledge, experience and resources for directly
accessing the capital market, they have to rely on an intermediary, which
undertakes informed investment decisions and provides consequential
benefits of professional expertise.
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Mutual funds have diversified investments spread in calculated proportions
amongst securities of various economic sectors. Mutual funds get their
earnings in two ways. First, is the most organic way, which is the dividend
they get on the securities they hold. Second, is by the redemption of their
shares by investors will be at a discount to the current NAVs (net asset
values).
(Source: www.amfiindia.com)
The mutual fund industry has been in India for a long time. This came into
existence in 1963 with the establishment of Unit Trust of India, a joint effort by
the Government of India and the Reserve Bank of India. The next two
decades from 1986 to 1993 can be termed as the period of public sector funds
with entry of new public sector players into the mutual fund industry namely,
Life Insurance Corporation of India and General Insurance Corporation of
India.
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The year of 1993 marked the beginning of a new era in the Indian mutual fund
industry with the entry of private players like Morgan Stanley, J.P Morgan, and
Capital International. This was the first time when the mutual fund regulations
came into existence.
SEBI (Security Exchange Board of India) was established under which all the
mutual funds in India were required to be registered. SEBI was set up as a
governing body to protect the interest of investor. By the end of 2008, the
number of players in the industry grew enormously with 46 fund houses
functioning in the country.
With the rise of the mutual fund industry, establishing a mutual fund
association became a prerequisite. This is when AMFI (Association of Mutual
Funds India) was set up in 1995 as a non-profit organization. Today AMFI
ensures mutual funds function in a professional and healthy manner thereby
protecting the interest of the mutual funds as well as its investors.
The mutual fund industry is considered as one of the most dominant players
in the world economy and is an important constituent of the financial sector
and India is no exception. The industry has witnessed startling growth in
terms of the products and services offered, returns churned, volumes
generated and the international players who have contributed to this growth.
Today the industry offers different schemes ranging from equity and debt to
fixed income and money market.
The market has graduated from offering plain vanilla and equity debt products
to an array of diverse products such as gold funds, exchange traded funds
(ETF’s), and capital protection oriented funds and even thematic funds. In
addition investments in overseas markets have also been a significant step.
Due credit for this evolution can be given to the regulators for building an
appropriate framework and to the fund houses for launching such different
products. All these reasons have encouraged the traditional conservative
investor, from parking fund in fixed deposits and government schemes to
investing in other products giving higher returns.
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It is interesting to note that the major benefits of investing in a mutual funds is
to capitalize on the opportunity of a professionally managed fund by a set of
fund managers who apply their expertise in investment. This is beneficial to
the investors who may not have the relevant knowledge and skill in investing.
Besides investors have an opportunity to invest in a diversified basket of
stocks at a relatively low price. Each investor owns a portion of the fund and
hence shares the rise and fall in the value of the fund. A mutual fund may
invest in stocks, cash, bonds or a combination of these.
Mutual funds are considered as one of the best available investment options
as compare to others alternatives. They are very cost efficient and also easy
to invest in. The biggest advantage of mutual funds is they provide
diversification, by reducing risk & maximizing returns.
India is ranked one of the fastest growing economies in the world. Despite this
huge progression in the industry, there still lies huge potential and room for
growth. India has a saving rate of more than 35% of GDP, with 80% of the
population who save. These savings could be channelized in the mutual funds
sector as it offers a wide investment option. In addition, focusing on the
rapidly growing tier II and tier III cities within India will provide a huge scope
for this sector. Further tapping rural markets in India will benefit mutual fund
companies from the growth in agriculture and allied sectors. With subsequent
easing of regulations, it is estimated that the mutual fund industry will grow at
a rate of 30% - 35% in the next 3 to 5 years and reach US 300 billion by 2015.
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1.2 MUTUAL FUND INDUSTRY IN WORLD MARKET
Worldwide, the Mutual Fund has a long and successful history. The popularity
of the Mutual Fund has increased manifold. In developed financial markets,
like the United States, Mutual Funds have almost overtaken bank deposits
and total assets of insurance funds.
Since the creation of the first mutual fund in 1929, the mutual fund industry
has enjoyed the fastest growth rate of the financial investment industry. In
1949, all mutual fund companies combined controlled $2 billion; fund assets
soared to $6.5 trillion at the outset of 2003, and more than $12 trillion in 2007,
making the funds America’s largest financial investment vehicles.
The mutual fund industry consists of investment companies that sell shares in
one or more portfolios of financial assets. Fund managers determine the
composition of the portfolio, which may include stocks, bonds, government
securities, shares in precious metals, and other financial assets. As open-end
funds, they are sold publicly, and their shares must be redeemed by the
investment company on request of the shareholder.
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Income funds have the same objective as bond funds but include Government
National Mortgage Association securities, government securities, and
common and preferred stocks as well as bonds. Money market mutual funds
consist of short-term instruments, such as U.S. government securities, bank
certificates of deposit and commercial paper.
By the end of the 1960’s, there were approximately 270 funds with $48 billion
in assets. One of the largest contributors to the mutual funds’ growth was the
provision added to the Internal Revenue Code in 1975 that allowed individuals
already in a corporate pension fund to contribute up to $2,000 per year to an
individual retirement account (IRA). Mutual funds became popular in employer
sponsored 401(k) retirement plans, IRAs, and Roth IRAs. In 1976, John Bogle
founded the first retail index fund (a passively managed fund that tries to
mirror the performance of a specific index, such as the S&P 500), named First
Index Investment Trust. Later renamed Vanguard 500
Index Fund, it revolutionized investing, becoming one of the world’s largest
mutual funds, with more than $115 billion in assets. Mutual fund assets first
reached the trillion dollar mark in January, 1990. By the end of 1990, the
industry had also posted new records, both in the number of funds (3,108)
and in the number of individual accounts (62.6 million). By 1996, total mutual
fund assets reached $3 trillion. The industry blossomed in the dawn of the
new millennium, and in 2007, there were 8,015 mutual funds, with a combined
worth of $12.4 trillion.
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1.3 MUTUAL FUND INDUSTRY IN INDIAN MARKET
Market capitalization
Individual investors make up for 96.86% of the total number of investor
accounts and contribute 36.9% of the net assets under management.
(Source: www.articlebase.com)
Size of industry
The size of Indian Mutual Fund Industry has grown and now has the boast of
having dominance in this industry. In April 2008 the total Asset Under
Management popularly known as AUM has increased from Rs.1, 01, 565
crores in January 2000 to Rs.5, 67, 601.98 crores.
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According to the Association of Mutual Funds in India, the growth of mutual
fund industry has been exceptional. This industry has indeed come a very
long way with only 34 players in the market and more than 480 schemes.
Despite the growth of Mutual Fund Industry, penetration levels in India are low
as compared to other global economies. Assets under management as a
percentage of GDP is less than 5% in India as compared to 70% in the US,
67% in France and 37% in Brazil.
The industry has grown in size and manages total assets of more than
$30351 million. Of the various sectors, the private sector accounts for nearly
91% of the resources mobilized showing their overwhelming dominance in the
market. Individuals constitute 98.04% of the total number of investors and
contribute US $12062 million, which is 55.16% of the net assets under
management.
Employment opportunities
Indian Mutual Fund Industry is playing an active role in the capital market
today and is one of the fastest growing industries in the country. The industry
offers multiple career options to the youths irrespective of their academic
subjects. Graduates from arts, science and commerce can easily find a job in
this promising and growing sector. Due to the participation of private players
and many financial institutions into the mutual funds markets, they have
further widened the scope of employment in this sector. Career in Mutual
funds require the minimum qualification of a certification (Advisor Module) and
a registration number from the Associations of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI).
SEBI has made mandatory for any entity or person engaged in marketing and
selling of mutual fund products to pass AMFI certification test (Advisors
Module) and obtain registration number from. This certification remains valid
for 5 years from the date of the test.
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Latest developments
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1.3 GROWTH OF THE INDUSTRY
While the Indian mutual fund industry has grown in size by about 320%from
March,1993(Rs.470 billion)to December,2004(Rs.1505 billion)in terms of AUM, he
AUM of the sector excluding UTI has grown over 8times from Rs. 152 billion in March
1999 to $ 148 billion as at March2008.
Though India is a minor player in the global mutual fund industry, its AUM as a
proportion of the global AUM has steadily increased and has doubled over its levels in
1999.The growth rate of Indian mutual fund industry has been increasing for the last few
years. It was approximately0.12%in the year of 1999 and it is noticed 0.25% in 2004 in
terms of AUM as percentage of global AUM.&0.75%in2010 of global AUM.
SOME FACTS FOR THE GROWTH OF MUTUAL FUNDS IN INDIA
75%Growth In The Last 6 Years. Number of foreign AMCs is in the queue to
enter the Indian markets.
Our saving rate is over 23%, highest in the world. Only channelizing these savings
in mutual funds sector is required.
We have approximately 42 mutual funds which is much less thanUS having more
than 800.There is a big scope for expansion.
Mutual fund can penetrate rural area like the Indian insurance industry with simple
and limited products.
SEBI Allowing The MF'S To Launch Commodity Mutual Funds.
Emphasis On Better Corporate Governance.
Trying To Curb The Late Trading Practices.
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STRUCTURE OF MUTUALFUND:
There Are Many Entities Involved And The Diagram Below Illustrates The
Organizational Set Up Of A Mutual Fund:
UNIT HOLDERS:
Unit Holders Are Investors. Any Individual Or Non- Individuals Who Have Invest
Their Money In Mutual Fund; They Will Get Some Units Against Their Investment
According To The NAV Of That Fund.
Sponsor:
Sponsor Is The Promoter Of The Mutual Fund. He Himself Of With Other Body
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Trustee:
There are some straight disqualifications provided by the SEBI for
a trustee. However the appointment for a trustee must be take prior approval of SEBI.
Trustee is a person having ability, integrity and has not been found guilty of moral
turpitude and also has not been convicted for any economic offence.
Trustee has to play very critical role in the mutual fund organization. He has work in a
way to continuously protect the interest of the investors are properly taken care of. Any
mutual fund has a minimum of four trustees. Two thirds of the trustees must be an
independent person and shall not be associated with sponsor. No officer of employee of an
AMC can became a trustee.
Investors:
MF Is A Solution For Investors Who Lack The Time, And The Skills To Actively
Manage Their Investment Risk In Individual Securities. They Can Delegate This Role To
The MF, While Retaining The Right And The Obligation To Monitor Their Investments
In The Scheme Having Some Specific Objects.
AMC can be appointed by the sponsor or by the trustees if authorized by the trust deed.
But it is obligatory for all the mutual fund to have an AMC to manage and operate its
schemes. Appointment Of AMC can be terminated by majority of trustee of 75 per cent of
unit holders (investors).
AMC manages the investment portfolio of schemes. An AMC management fees it charges
to the schemes. The management fee is calculated as a percentage Of net assets managed.
Some countries Provide for performance based management fees as well.
In order to earn the management fee, any AMC has to employ people and bear all the
establishment costs that are related to its activity, such as for premises, furniture,
computers and other assets, software development, communication costs etc. These are to
be met out of the management fee earned.
Expenses such as on trustee fees, marketing etc. can be directly borne by the mutual fund
scheme. However, in some cases, competition in the marketplace could force an AMC to
bear some of these costs, which would otherwise have been borne by investors in the
schemes.
DISTRIBUTORS
Distributors earn a commission for bringing investors into the schemes of a MF. This
commission is an expense for the scheme, although there are occasions when an AMc
chooses to bear the cost, wholly or partly. Distributors are the key persons of the mutual
funds. They are the only link between the mutual fund house and the investors. The main
role of the distributors is to analysis the risk appetite of investors. They have to play their
role such a way to keep interest of the investors in the mutual fund. However they are not
directly responsible of any loss sustained by the investors. To become a distributor one
has to pass exam conducted by AMFI-association of mutual funds in India.
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REGISTRARS
Holdings of units by unit holders in schemes are tracked by the schemes] Registrar and
Transfer agent (R&T). Some AMC prefer to handle this role in house. The registrar/AMC
maintains an account of the investor investments in and disinvestments (redemptions)
from the scheme. Requests to invest more money into a scheme or to switch in another
scheme run by the same mutual fund or to recover moneys against existing investments in
the scheme are processed by the R & T.
Custodian / Depository
The custodian maintains custody of the securities in which the scheme invests. This
ensures an ongoing independent record of the investments of the scheme. The custodian
also follows up on various corporate actions, such as rights, bonus and dividends declared
by investors companies.
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2.1 COMPANIES ON THE BASIS OF RETURN
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PRODUCT PROFILE
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3.1 TYPES OF MUTUAL FUND
A Mutual Fund may float several schemes which may be classified on the
basis of its structure, its investment objectives and other objectives.
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B) MUTUAL FUND SCHEMES BY INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES
C) OTHER FUNDS
Index schemes: Such schemes links with the performance of BSE sensex
orNSE.
Loan Funds: Loan Funds charges a commission each time when you buy
orsale units in the fund.
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3.2 BENEFITS OF MUTUAL FUNDS
Before investing in a Mutual Fund an investor must identify his needs and
preferences. While selecting a Mutual Fund's schemes he should consider the
effect of inflation rate, diversification of investment, the time period of
investment and the risk factors. There are various types of risk factors as:
Market Risk
Credit Risk
Interest Rate Risk
Inflation Risk
Political Environment
The major benefits are good post-tax returns and reasonable safety,
the other benefits in investing in Mutual Funds are
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Liquidity: The investor can get the money promptly at the net asset
valuerelated prices from the Mutual Funds open-ended schemes. In close-
ended schemes, the units can be sold on a stock exchange at the prevailing
market price.
Affordability: Small investors with low investment fund are unable to high-
grade or blue chip stocks. An investor through Mutual Funds can be benefited
from a portfolio including of high priced stock.
Well regulated: All Mutual Funds are registered with SEBI, and SEBI acts
awatchdog, so the Mutual Funds are well regulated.
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3.3 DISADVANTAGES OF MUTUAL FUND
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3.4 DIFFERENT PLANS THAT MUTUAL FUND OFFER
A growth plan is a plan under a scheme wherein the returns from investments
are reinvested and very few income distributions, if any, are made. The
investor thus only realizes capital appreciation on the investment. This plan
appeals to investors in the high income bracket. Under the dividend plan,
income is distributed from time to time. This plan is ideal to those investors
requiring regular income.
Under the Automatic Investment Plan (AIP) also called Systematic Investment
Plan (SIP), the investor is given the option for investing in a specified
frequency of months in a specified scheme of the Mutual Fund for a constant
sum of investment. AIP allows the investors to plan their savings through a
structured regular monthly savings program.
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3.5 FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE THE PERFORMANCE
OF MUTUAL FUND
The performances of Mutual funds are influenced by the performance of the stock
market as well as the economy as a whole. Equity Funds are influenced to a large
extent by the stock market. The stock market in turn is influenced by the performance
of the companies as well as the economy as a whole. The performance of the sector
funds depends to a large extent on the companies within that sector. Bond-funds are
influenced by interest rates and credit quality. As interest rates rise, bond prices fall,
and vice versa. Similarly, bond funds with higher credit ratings are less influenced by
changes in the economy.
Expense Ratio
Mutual funds charge fees, sometimes high fees. A mutual fund's EXPENSE RATIO is
the most important fee to understand. And is made up of the following: The
investment advisory fee or management fee is the money used to pay the manager(s)
of the mutual fund. This is usually taken annually as a percentage of the fund's assets.
Administrative costs are the costs of record keeping, mailings, maintaining a customer
service line, etc. These are all necessary costs, though they vary in size from fund to
fund. Distribution fee: This fee is spent on marketing, advertising and distribution
services.
Only one third of all equity, mutual funds provided returns greater than the S&P 500,
and that was before fees and expenses which range from 0.5% to 2.0% and 2.0%,
respectively. After adjustments were made for the riskiness of a fund, mutual funds
were reported as being able to perform up to the market on gross returns, but were
underperforming, as compared to the market, after the various expenses were factored
in. Many analysts suggested that the average 1.3% expense ratio of mutual funds and
the need for the retainment of cash as the culprits of such underperformance.
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Risk
Risk can be a great ally when trying to estimate the reward potential of a stock
investment. The greater the stock volatility, or risk, the greater also is the reward.
There are several new risk measurements that give guidance for selecting mutual
stocks that provide higher returns for lower risk.
Time Horizon
The time horizon of an individual will also influence the performance measures
he/she will look at more closely. If you are investing for less than four years, you
need a fund with consistent performance, so all your money will be there when you
need it. You also do not have time to earn back a large commission charge on the
front end.
Conversely, if you plan to invest your money for 30 years, neither consistency nor
load is very important: you have plenty of time for the market to recover. With a long-
term horizon, your biggest enemies are poor performance and high annual expenses,
both of which can erode that all-important compounding.
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PART – 2
PRIMARY STUDY
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INTRODUCTION OF THE STUDY
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4.1 LITERATURE REVIEW
Panwar sharad & Dr. madhumathi (2006) published research paper on the
topic identified differences in characteristics of public-sector sponsored &
private-sector sponsored mutual funds find the extent of diversification in the
portfolio of securities of public-sector sponsored and private-sector sponsored
mutual funds and compare the performance of public-sector
30
sponsored and private-sector sponsored mutual funds using traditional
investment measures.
They primarily use Jensen’s alpha, Sharpe information ratio, excess standard
deviation adjusted return (ESDAR) and find out that portfolio risk
characteristics measured through private-sector Indian sponsored mutual
funds seems to have outperformed both Public- sector sponsored and Private-
sector foreign sponsored mutual funds and the general linear model of
analysis of covariance establishes differences in performance among the
three classes of mutual funds in terms of portfolio diversification.
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RAO D.N (2006) : published research paper on aimed at analyzing
performance of select open-ended equity mutual fund using Sharpe Ratio,
Hypothesis testing and return based on yield. The most important finding of
the study had been that only four Growth plans and one Dividend plan (5 out
of the 42 plans studied) could generate higher returns than that of the market
which is contrary to the general opinion prevailing in the Indian mutual fund
market.
Even the Sharpe ratios of Growth plans and the corresponding Dividend plans
stand testimony to the relatively better performance of Growth plans. The
statistical tests in terms of F-test and t-Test further corroborate the significant
performance differences between the Growth plans and Dividend plans.
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Agrawal, deepak (2007):published research paper on analyzed the Indian Mutual
Fund Industry pricing mechanism with empirical studies on its valuation. It also
analyzed data at both the fund-manager and fund-investor levels. It stated that
mispricing of the Mutual funds could be evaluated by comparing the return on market
and return on stock. During the pricing period, if the return on stock is negative, then
it indicates overpricing and if are positive indicates under pricing. Relative
performance measurement was used to measure the performance of the MF with
SENSEX and it used Standard Deviation, Correlation analysis, Co-efficient of
Determination and Null Hypothesis. This study revealed that standard deviations of
the 3-month returns were significant with the increase in the period.
Treynor (1965) used 'characteristic line' for relating expected rate of return of a fund
to the rate of return of a suitable market average. He coined a fund performance measure
taking investment risk into account. Further, to deal with a portfolio, 'portfolio-possibility line'
was used to relate expected return to the portfolio owner's risk preference.
Gupta (1994) made a household investor survey with the objective to provide Data on
the investor preferences on 11/iFs and other financial assets. The findings of the study were
more appropriate, at that time, to the policy makers and mutual funds to design the financial
products for the future.
Shanmugham (2000) conducted a survey of 201 individual investors to study the
information sourcing by investors, their perceptions of various investment strategy dimensions
and the factors motivating share investment decisions, and reports that among the
various factors, psychological and sociological factors dominated the economic factors in share
investment decisions.
D. Kandavel (2011) concluded that the buying intent of a mutual fund product by
a small investor can be due to multiple reasons depending upon customers risk return
trade off. He found that more and more funds are entering the industry and their
survival depends on strategic marketing choices of mutual fund companies, to survive
and thrive in this highly promising industry, in the face of such cutthroat competition.
Therefore, the mutual fund industry today needs to develop products to fulfillcustomer
needs and help customers underst and how its products cater to their needs.
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4.2 ACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
During last few years or so, financial management which was not considered so much
has now been recognize as an important area. This change has created importance for
the study of financial management which has lead to various objectives-covered in
this research methodology. The methodology of the project reveals the step-by-step
procedure done to carry out the project study.
Mutual Fund is a topic which is of enormous interest not only to researchers all over
the world, but also to investors. Mutual funds as a medium-to-long term investment
option are preferred as a suitable investment option by investors. However, with
several market entrants the question is the choice of mutual fund. The study focuses
on this problem of mutual fund selection by investors. Though the investment
objectives define investor’s preference among fund types (balanced, growth, dividend
etc.) the choice of fund based on a sponsor’s reputation remains to be probed. We
focus on analyzing the performance of mutual funds by using three models i.e.
Sharpe, Treyner and Jensen.
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4.3 PROBLEM STATEMENT AND IMPORTANCE OF THE
STUDY
There are so many investment avenues. So that investors does not know which
avenues provides best return. As per the financial rule of “Do not put all the eggs in
one basket” investor’s portfolio are most diversified. So that risk should be
minimized. If the person do not have knowledge of how to get maximum return with
minimum risk or vice-versa then they should be invest in mutual fund. There are so
many funds and schemes are available in mutual fund market. Investors know that
how much risk they can take. Based on that they have to choose schemes. Problem is
that chosen scheme provides the best return as compare to the market and other
schemes. For that certain model available Sharpe’s model, Treynor’s model and
Jenson’s model. These models are suggested that which schemes provide best return.
Importance of the study is that a fund’s performance can be judged with respects to
investors’ expectation. Investors have to define his expectations in relation to certain
indicators on what is possible to achieve or moderate this with comparable investment
alternatives available in the market. These indicators of performance can acts against
investors fund performance. It is very important to select the right benchmark to
evaluate a fund’s performance.
So the problem arises that in which scheme they should invest according to their
preferences.
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4.4 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
The primary object of the present project is to know about which mutual funds gave
highest performance in a short-term period.
In general, Mutual Funds are not considered to be too risky because they invest in
dozens or even hundreds of stocks. But Mutual Funds being market-linked are prime
candidates for stock market related risks. The four aspects that you should take into
account while analyzing risk in Mutual Fund investment are volatility of the fund as
indicated by the Standard Deviation, risk-adjusted returns as calculated by the Sharpe
Ratio, Beta and Alpha.
Standard Deviation shows the degree of risk taken on by the fund, Sharpe Ratio
shows the return generated by the fund per unit of risk taken. Beta shows how much a
fund moves when compared to an appropriateindex. Alpha represents the difference
between a Mutual Fund's actual performance and the performance that would be
expected based on the level of risk taken by the manager.
A Fund with low risk is the one with the lowest Standard Deviation, the highest
Sharpe Ratio within its peer group, Beta closer to one and Alpha above one. It is
advisable for you to evaluate these measures on a historical basis so as to identify the
most consistent performers.
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RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
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5.1 RESEARCH DESIGN
Research Design is the roadmap for carrying out the research activity in the project. In
our project of “Performance Evaluation of Mutual Fund” we have carried out the
research of which mutual fund is providing higher return by comparing the returns of
different mutual funds and we have also compared whether the mutual fund can beat
the market return or not.
We have selected 10 mutual funds from Indian market. All funds are in equity
growth category.
Data has been collected from money control, value research online, and
mutual fund India web sites.
Bank of Baroda’s Fix deposit return is selected as risk free return, which is
8.5% p.a.
Collected NAV of funds of each quarter for the year 2010 and define return.
Defined beta of funds and market, S&P CNX Nifty index return is taken as
market return.
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5.2 SOURCES OF DATA
The primary data are those which are collected afresh and for first time and thus
happen to be original in character.
The secondary data are those which have been collected by someone else and which
have already been passed through statistical process.
Here in this research project we have used Secondary source of data as the return for
different mutual funds and market cannot be established by ourselves.
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5.3 DATA COLLECTION METHOD
While deciding about the method of data collection to be used for the study the
researcher should keep in mind two sources of data i.e. primary and secondary data.
The method for collecting primary and secondary data differ since primary data are to
be originally collected while in case of secondary data the nature of data collection
work is merely that of compilation.
1. Observation method
2. Interview method
3. Through questionnaires
4. Through schedules
Secondary data means that are already available that is they refer to the data.
Secondary data may be either published or unpublished data usually published data
are available in:
1. Various publications of the central, state and local government
Here in this research project we have used data which were published on the websites
of Bombay stock exchange, Money control, value research online, National stock
exchange and mutual fund India.
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5.4 POPULATION
Here in this research project we have taken the population of 46 mutual fund house in
India. Out of 46 we have selected 5 fund houses on the asset under management basis.
10 Funds across 5 fund houses have been selected. This population is based on the
type of mutual fund i.e. “Equity Growth mutualfunds”
There are various schemes available in the mutual fund like debt, equity, balanced,
guilt etc. But out of these schemes we have selected Equity growth scheme as a
population.
41
5.5 SAMPLING METHOD
Methods of Sampling:
A convenience sample results when the more convenient elementary units are chosen
from a population for observation.
This may be the most important type of sample. A random sample allows a known
probability that each elementary unit will be chosen. For this reason, it is sometimes
referred to as a probability sample. This is the type of sampling that is used in lotteries
and raffles.
Here in this research project we have used convenient sample method for sampling.
We have taken the Sample of “10 Equity Growth mutual funds” on the basis of
their highest annual average return in the year 2018.
42
DATA ANALYSIS &
INTERPRETATION
43
6.1 ANALYSIS OF MUTUAL FUND PERFORMANCE
Mutual fund performance can be analyzed through performance measurement ratios which
are use in portfolio analysis. We here are using Treynor, Sharpe, and Jensen ratio to evaluate
mutual funds and rank accordingly. Composite portfolio performance measures have the
flexibility of combining risk and return performance into a single value. The most commonly
used composite measures are: Treynor, Sharpe and Jensen measures. While Treynor
measures only the systematic risk summarized by beta, Sharpe concentrates on total risk of
the mutual fund.
Where:
Whenever Rp> Rf and βp > 0 a larger T value means a better portfolio for all investors
Regardless of their individual risk preferences. In two cases we may have a negative T value:
when Rp < Rf or when βp < 0. If T is negative because Rp < Rf we judge the portfolio
performance as very poor. However, if
the negativity of T comes from a negative beta, fund’s performance is superb. Finally
when Rp- Rf, and βp are both negative, T will be positive.
44
Demonstration of Comparative Treynor Measures
Assume we have the following data for three mutual funds; ZBY, with their respective
annual rate of return and systematic risk, Beta. The risk free rate is 8 %. The systematic
risk for M (market) is 1.0 and the rate of return for M is 14%.
Z 0.12 0.90
B 0.16 1.05
Y 0.18 1.2
M 0.14 1.0
Table 6.1
Table 6.2
These results show that Z did not even "beat-the-market." Y had the best
performance, and both B and Y beat the market.
45
SAMPLE OF 10 MUTUAL FUND
Table 6.3
46
TREYNER’S PERFORMANCE INDEX
Birla Sun Life Buy India Fund-Growth 22.4 8.5 1.18 11.78
Birla Sun Life long Advantage Fund-Growth 20.5 8.5 0.66 18.18
Table 6.4
47
RANKING ACCORDING TO TREYNER
Rank Particulars
11 Market return
Table 6.5
48
INTERPRETATION
In our analysis we have given ranks on the basis of higher Treyner’s index.
Higher Treyner’s index gets 1st rank. Treyner’s performance index measures
(Beta) systematic risk of portfolio. This model does not consider total
risk (systematic risk + unsystematic risk).
In our analysis we have found out that UTI MNC fund – growth has lower
beta i.e. 0.44 as compared to other nine funds. Same way Birla Sun Life Buy
India fund - growth has higher beta i.e. 1.18.
This analysis represents that UTI MNC fund – growth gets higher Treyner’s
performance index and it stands on first rank. Same way Birla Sun Life Buy India
fund – growth gets lower Treyner’s performance index and it stands on last rank.
This analysis also represents that though HDFC equity fund growth has higher return
i.e. 28.4 as compared to other nine funds, it stands on fourth rank as it is having
higher beta i.e. 1.06.
49
SHARPE’S PERFORMANCE INDEX
Sharpe (1966) developed a composite index which is very similar to the Treynor measure,
the only difference being the use of standard deviation, instead of beta, to measure the
portfolio risk, in other words except it uses the total risk of the portfolio rather than just the
systematic risk.
Where:
Sharpe index, evaluates funds performance based on both rate of return and diversification.
For a completely diversified portfolio Treynor and Sharpe indices would give identical
rankings
Assume we have the following data for three portfolios; BOP, with their respective
annual rate of return and standard deviation of their return. The risk free rate is 8 %.
The standard deviation for M (market) is 0.20 and the rate of return for M is 14%.
B 0.13 0.18
O 0.17 0.22
P 0.16 0.23
M 0.14 0.20
Table 6.6
50
We can calculate the S values for each portfolio.
Table 6.7
Thus, portfolio O did the best, and B failed to beat the market.
The trouble with both Sharpe and Treynor techniques for evaluating "risk-adjusted"
returns is that they equate risk with short-term volatility. Therefore these measures
may not be applicable in evaluating the relative merits of long-term investments
51
SHARPE’S PERFORMANCE INDEX
Birla Sun Life Buy India Fund-Growth 22.4 8.5 8.1 1.71
Birla Sun Life long Advantage Fund-Growth 20.5 8.5 5.77 2.08
Table 6.8
52
RANKING ACCORDING TO SHARPE
Rank Particulars
11 Market return
Table 6.9
53
INTERPRETATION
In our analysis we have given ranks on the basis of higher Sharpe’s index. Higher
Sharpe’s index gets 1st rank. Sharpe’s performance index measures standard
deviation of portfolio. This model considers total risk i.e. both systematic risk and
unsystematic risk.
In our analysis we have found out that UTI MNC fund – growth has a return of 25
and on the basis of return it stands on fourth rank but its standard deviation is 4.57
which is lower as compared to other nine funds.
This thing indicates that UTI MNC Fund stands on first rank because it is providing
good return with lower risk.
We have analyzed that Reliance Growth Fund – growth plan also has lower standard
deviation and then also it stands on last rank according to Sharpe’s performance
index. The reason behind this is that this fund is providing lower return as compared
to other nine funds. This thing indicates that Reliance Growth Fund stands on last
rank because it is providing lower return with lower risk.
This analysis also represents that though HDFC equity fund growth has higher return
i.e. 28.4 as compared to other nine funds, it stands on fifth rank as it is having higher
standard deviation i.e. 7.21.
54
JENSEN’S ALPHA
Jensen (1968), on the other hand, writes the following formula in terms of
realized rates of return, assuming that CAPM is empirically valid.
Jensen performance criterion, like the Treynor measure, does not evaluate
the ability of portfolio managers to diversify, since the risk premiums are
calculated in terms of β.
If the value is positive, and then the portfolio is earning excess returns. In
other words, a positive value for Jensen's alpha means a fund manager has
beat the market with his or her stock picking skills.
55
JENSEN’S PERFORMANCE INDEX
HDFC Long Term Advantage Fund Growth 27.6 8.5 14.32 0.91 13.80
Birla Sun Life Buy India Fund-Growth 22.4 8.5 14.32 1.18 7.03
Birla Sun Life long Advantage Fund Growth 20.5 8.5 14.32 0.66 8.16
Table 6.10
56
RANKING ACCORDING TO JENSEN
Rank Particulars
Table 6.11
57
INTERPRETATION
In our analysis we have given ranks on the basis of higher Jensen’s index. Higher
Jensen’s index gets 1st rank. Jensen’s performance index measures alpha of portfolio.
This model indicates that higher the value of alpha, higher is the ability of a fund
manager to select good fund.
We have analyzed that alpha of UTI MNC Fund – growth is very high i.e. 13.93 as
compared to other nine funds and it stands on first rank. This positive value of alpha
indicates that fund manager is able to select UTI MNC fund as a good fund.
We have also analyzed that alpha of Reliance Growth Fund is lower. This may be due
to its lower return. Thus though the risk associated with Reliance Growth Fund is
lower, its alpha value is lower because of its lower return.
Finally we want to conclude that according to Jensens’s alpha, the value of alpha not
only depends on the return of the fund but also on the risk associated with that fund.
Value of alpha should be always positive.
58
COMPARISION OF TREYNOR, SHARPE & JENSEN’S INDEX
59
8 ICICI Prudential 8 ICICI Prudential 8 ICICI Prudential
Power Plan- Power Plan- Power Plan-
Growth Growth Growth
Table 6.12
ANALYSIS
The fact that Sharpe uses Standard deviation as a measurement of risk which is the
total risk and Treynor uses Beta or systematic risk, but yet it is claimed that, if we are
examining a well-diversified portfolio, the rankings should be similar for all three
methods. Due to this interesting theory we have decided to analyse the performance
of the portfolios and they will be ranked identically according to all three; Sharpe’s,
Treynor’s and Jensen’s performance measurement. UTI MNC Fund – growth get 1st
rank from all three method.
From this analysis we have found out similarity in Sharpe and Jensen’s model
because more schemes are on similar positions in these two models. Another reason
behind this is that Sharpe measures total risk and Jensen measures the predictive
ability of manager, where manager always consider total risk while selecting the
security. Due to this reason both models indicate similar positions for more schemes.
60
RESULTS AND FINDINGS
The study done on the performance evaluation of Indian mutual funds was fruitful as
all the objectives of the study were successfully achieved. The following are the
findings from this study.
The schemes selected for the study gave returns in synchronization with the
markets. When there was boom in the stock market the funds gave positive
returns a little more than what the market had given. During the recessionary
phase the markets declined steadily and so did the fund returns. Overall the
fund returns and the market returns, for the period of 1 year taken into
consideration for this study.
Mostly all the mutual fund schemes are able to beat the market. That means
the schemes are well diversified.
From the entire 10 schemes best scheme is UTI MNC fund growth because in
all the three models it stands on 1st rank and also it provides good return.
From this analysis we have found out similarity in Sharpe and Jensen’s model
because more schemes are on similar positions in these two models. Another reason
behind this is that Sharpe measures total risk and Jensen measures the predictive
ability of manager, where manager always consider total risk while selecting the
security. Due to this reason both models indicate similar positions for more schemes.
61
LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
Since the funds selected for this study were open ended equity
based growth mutual funds the fund composition kept on
changing over the time period, so it became difficult to
understand the fund properties as historical data pertaining to the
fund composition was not available.
62
CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTION
Mutual funds are one of the most highly growing products in financial services
market. Mutual funds are suitable for all types of investors from risk adverse
to risk bearer. Mutual funds have many options of return, risk free return,
constant return, market associated returned. mutual funds are suitable to all age
of investors, businessmen, salary person, etc. Investors need not to be expert
in equity market; mutual funds can satisfy their need. Fund managers are
expert in this area and invest fund in well diversified portfolio, high return
with low risk is possible inn mutual fund.
In today’s world, investors are showing more trust in mutual fund than any
other financial product. There is no need of a financial consultant, if you have
good knowledge of mutual funds and their type to invest.
Mutual fund is subject to market risk, despite of that it have low risk than
stock market. This is proved in performance evaluation section of this report.
Performance evaluation measurement ratios i.e. Treynor’s, Sharpe’s and
Jensen’s are used by fund managers to take decision of investment and to
diversify portfolio.
For high return invest in diversified funds, for tax saving invest in
ELSS equity funds, for moderate risk and return invest in balance
funds, for assure return invest in debt and liquid funds.
As per our opinion, investor should invest around 30% in mutual fund.
63
ANNEXURE
64
Appendix-1
1 1.6
2 6.3
3 18
4 -0.7
1 2
2 5.2
3 16.2
4 0.8
1 1.1
2 7.9
3 15.4
4 -1
65
UTI MNC Fund-growth
1 3.6
2 8.5
3 10.6
4 -1.2
1 1.3
2 5.2
3 16.5
4 -1
1 4
2 3.2
3 13
4 -0.1
66
ICICI Prudential Power Plan-Growth
1 1.6
2 2.7
3 15.4
4 -0.9
1 -0.9
2 9.2
3 16.1
4 -4.3
1 2.2
2 2.9
3 13.9
4 -1.6
67
Reliance Growth Fund-Growth Plan
1 1.8
2 3.4
3 11.6
4 -3.4
Quarter INDEX
1 -0.83212576
2 7.45889986
3 10.38704985
4 7.3703972
68
Appendix 2
Beta is the measure of volatility of a stock, fund, portfolio, etc with respect to the
market. If the beta is positive then the fund returns are directly proportional to the
market returns and if the beta is negative then the fund returns are inversely
proportional to the market.
Formula:
Where,
βa= fund beta
Cov (ra,rp) = covariance of the returns of the fund and the market, Var
rp = variance of the market returns.
1 1.6 -0.832125759
3 18 10.38704985
4 -0.7 7.3703972
69
HDFC Long Term Advantage Fund-Growth
1 2 -0.832125759
3 16.2 10.38704985
4 0.8 7.3703972
1 1.1 -0.832125759
3 15.4 10.38704985
4 -1 7.3703972
1 3.6 -0.832125759
3 10.6 10.38704985
4 -1.2 7.3703972
70
HDFC Top 200 Fund-growth
1 1.3 -0.832125759
3 16.5 10.38704985
4 -1 7.3703972
1 4 -0.832125759
3 13 10.38704985
4 -0.1 7.3703972
1 1.6 -0.832125759
3 15.4 10.38704985
4 -0.9 7.3703972
71
Birla Sun Life Buy India Fund-Growth
1 -0.9 -0.832125759
3 16.1 10.38704985
4 -4.3 7.3703972
1 2.2 -0.832125759
3 13.9 10.38704985
4 -1.6 7.3703972
1 1.8 -0.832125759
3 11.6 10.38704985
4 -3.4 7.3703972
72
2.1 CALCULATION OF STANDARD DEVIATION
Standard Deviation is a tool which measures the variability of data the set. It is calculated to
measure the riskiness of a fund, stock or portfolio. Higher the standard deviation means
higher the risk and higher the returns of the asset and a low standard deviation mans that the
asset is less risky and will generate less returns.
The standard deviation of the fund returns are calculated with the following formula:
Where,
S = Standard Deviation
X = mean of theperiod’sreturn
2 6.3 6.3 0 0
4 -0.7 6.3 -7 49
73
HDFC Long Term Advantage Fund-Growth
74
UTI MNC Fund-growth
75
ICICI Prudential Tax Plan-Growth
2 2.7 4.7 -2 4
76
Birla Sun Life Buy India Fund-Growth
77
Reliance Growth Fund-Growth Plan
Market Return
78
BIBLIOGRAPHY
79
BOOKS AND PAPERS
Reilly / Brown “Investments Analysis and Portfolio Management”, Ch 25
“Evaluation of Portfolio Performance” Page No: - 1040– 1051
80
Websites
www.articlebase.com
www.amfiindia.com
www.financeresearch.net
www.bseindia.com
www.nseindia.com
www.karvy.com
www.moneycontrol.com
www.mutualfundsindia.com
www.amfiindia.com
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