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PAMANTASAN NG LUNGSOD NG VALENZUELA

College of Engineering and Information Technology

Department of Civil Engineering

Tongco St., Maysan, Valenzuela

TULLAHAN RIVER’S WATER LEVEL FORECASTING IN


MARULAS, VALENZUELA CITY USING ARTIFICIAL
NEURAL NETWORK

A neural network approach was used to study the effectiveness of the prediction of
water level of Tullahan river using different variables (Past water levels from Ugong and
Quirino Bridge, Precipitations from Pacweld and Valenzuela National High School
stations and the temperature of Valenzuela). The selection of variables was according to
the availability of data but limited according to the scope and limitations of the study. After
extracting the data needed, simulations were made on a trial and error basis. Three (3)
neurons, two (2) hidden layers and learning algorithm of scaled conjugate gradient were
the best options according to the trial and error made. Upon the successful simulation, a
correlation value (R) of 0.96438 was obtained and it defines that the relationship of the
variables used is in good terms to predict the water level of Tullahan river.

March 2019

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