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CHAPTER – 4
METHODOLOGY
Planning for development within the limits of carrying capacity recognizes that mankind is
dependent on the productive capacity of ecosystem. Thus the Carrying Capacity-based
Developmental Planning (CCDP) provides an operational framework for the sustainable
development. The CCDP process involves the integration of societal expectations and ecological
capabilities.
4.1 Supportive and assimilative capacities
The economic progress and quality of life are determined by the developmental activities which in
turn are dependent on the resources of that region. In other words, the supportive capacity will
determine the developmental potential of a region and economic progress and quality of life.
It is quite well known that any developmental activity will generate
wastes/residuals/pollutants affecting the environment (land, water, air, biological and socio-
economic) often resulting in irretrievable damages. This has to be analyzed in terms of the complex
inter linkages of the supportive capacity of a region. In other words, there is resilience or
assimilative capacity that limits that the quality of life deteriorates beyond redemption.
4.2 Physical carrying capacity
As mentioned in section 3.2., the average individual standard is represented as capacity standards.
They are expressed in number of individuals per surface unit of the resource of recreation, e.g. per
hectare of forest, forest extent, park, coast, agricultural land (Trakolis, 2003).
Carrying capacity is ‘the maximum level of visitor use an area can accommodate with high
levels of satisfaction for visitors and few negative impacts on resources’ (McNeely and Thorsell,
1987). To calculate this figure it is necessary to establish maximum use estimates. In practice many
planners rely on defining what constitutes a ‘tolerable level’ of visitation which can be sustained
over time. Estimating the carrying capacity of a park or protected area simply in terms of visitor
days is insufficient. The maximum sustainable capacity of an area requires the careful planning of
geographically separated access points and placement of tourist’s facilities to avoid excessive
contacts between different groups visiting the park at the same time. Issues of seasonality need to
be incorporated, within both animal and human communities. Much attention to the problems of
estimating carrying capacity has been given by the WTO (WTO/UNEP, 1992) who recommends a
formula (Boullon, 1985) for estimating tourist carrying capacity as:
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when the social carrying capacity has been exceeded. Social carrying capacities are possible to
make a similar list of variables which determine social carrying capacities, which include: viewing
pattern, tourist’s viewing choices, visitor’s opinions, and available facilities. Questionnaire survey
was conducted among the residents and tourists to document social carrying capacity.
4.4 Economic carrying capacity
This refers to a level of unacceptable change within the local economy of a tourist
destination; it is the extent to which a tourist destination is able to accommodate tourist functions
without the loss of local activates, take for example a souvenir store taking the place of a shop
selling essential items to the local community. Economic carrying capacity can also be used to
describe the point at which the increased revenue brought by tourism development is overtaken by
the inflation caused by tourism. Questionnaire survey was conducted among the shopkeepers,
resort owners and vehicle drivers to document economic carrying capacity. Lot of information
exists on the biophysical resources and on the socio economic factors of the respective study areas.
Secondary data was collected from panchayats and various departments.
4.5 Assessment of land environment
4.5.1 Land use/land cover mapping
A reconnaissance survey was carried out to collect the ground information. The GIS database
generated from the topographic sheets was further updated with the latest changes in the study
areas. Ground truth was collected during the field visit with the help of satellite image, SOI
toposheets, GPS and magnetic compass. The image elements were correlated with the ground
truthing and the interpretation key was developed. The tonal variation representing the different
classes was marked on the hard copy image. The entries were made in the field description form at
each of the sample point. Base maps including drainage, roads, settlement and study area boundary
was extracted from the SOI topographical sheet (1969) no. 58C/14, 58 C/6, 58 D/14 and 58 D/9.
Different thematic maps were prepared using map info version 5 and 7. The Landuse/Land
Cover (LULC) changes in the extent of different land use categories during the period from 1969-
2010 have been carried out.
4.6 Assessment of water environment
4.6.1 Water quality
Sampling Technique
The quality of water is an important criterion for drinking, domestic, industrial and agricultural
practices. Water samples for physical and chemical analysis were collected from the study areas in
one litre polyethylene cans. To avoid possible contamination, the cans were first rinsed with dilute
HCl, then cleaned using soap solution and finally washed thoroughly using tap water. At the
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sampling location, the cans were again rinsed with the water to be sampled and labelled before
analysis. Details of the sampling locations and their codes are given in Table 4.1.
Physico- Chemical Analysis
a. Temperature: Temperature was recorded by using a digital thermometer.
b. pH: It was measured by using a digital pH meter. (Model 361, Systronics, India)
c. Total Dissolved Solids: Total dissolved solids were measured using a digital TDS meter.
The instrument was calibrated using 0.01 M KCl.
d. Total Alkalinity: Alkalinity was estimated by titrating the sample with a strong acid such
as HCl, using phenolphthalein or methyl orange as indicator.
e. Hardness: Hardness was determined by means of EDTA titrimetry method.
f. Silicate: Silicate was determined by means of silicomolybdate method.
g. Phosphate: It was determined using a double beam spectrophotometer (Model 2203,
Systronics, India) as per the methods described in APHA (1998).
h. Nitrate: Nitrite was determined by means of Brucine method.
i. Sodium and Potassium: It was measured using Flame Photometer (Model 126,
Systronics, India).
j. Salinity: Chloride is estimated using Argentometric method.
k. Dissolved Oxygen: DO was measured by the Winkler method with azide modification.
l. Biochemical Oxygen Demand: BOD was analyzed by incubation of water sample for 5
days in a BOD bottle. Incubation is done in a BOD incubator at 20±5 0C. On the fifth day,
the DO of the sample was analyzed. The difference of the initial and the final DO was
calculated as BOD5.
Details are shown in Table 4.2.
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Statistical Analysis
Parametric statistical methods were used to calculate the normal statistical parameters (arithmetic
mean and standard deviation) for water quality parameters. SPSS version 11.0 was employed to
study the ANOVA and Correlation of the various parameters. Box plot was used to express the
seasonal variation of water quality in different systems of the study areas.
Bacteriological Parameters
For bacteriological analysis, water samples were collected in sterile plastic bottles of 500 ml
capacity. Water samples were transported to the laboratory in an icebox and subjected to
bacteriological examination within four hours of collection.
a. Analysis of Faecal Coliforms (FC): Faecal coliform load of water sample was determined
by three-tube dilution method (Multiple tube fermentation method) using lactose broth
(LB). The Procedural Flow chart shows the enumeration of faecal coliform from water
samples;
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Water sample
b. Analysis of Faecal Streptococci (FS): Faecal streptococci load of the water sample was
determined by three-tube dilution method (Multiple tube fermentation method) using Azide
dextrose broth (ADB). The procedural Flow chart shows the enumeration of faecal
streptococci from water samples;
Water sample
Refer to the three tube’s MPN table to find out the MPN index
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analyzed for species richness (SR) (Kershaw, 1973), density (D) (Odum, 1971; Whittaker, 1965),
species diversity index (H) (Philips, 1959; Shannon and Wiener, 1963), concentration of
dominance (Cd) (Shannon and Wiener, 1963), Hill diversity (Hill, 1973), evenness (J) (Simpson,
1949) and abundance/frequency (A/F) ratio (Pielou, 1966; Curtis and McIntosh, 1950a). Here
abundance is taken as the total number of individuals of a species while frequency as number of
quadrates in which that species occurred. A/F ratio for different species was determined for
eliciting the distribution patterns (Curtis and Cottom, 1956; Whitford, 1949). A/F ratio was
interpreted as: if <0.025 and 0.050 random distribution, and >0.050 indicates contiguous
distribution (Curtis and McIntosh, 1950a, 1950b). Species heterogeneity, defined as the reciprocal
of Simpson’s index or inverse root of concentration of dominance (Cd), was also determined as
1/pi or 1/Cd.
After establishing the list of species, species were preliminarily examined to identify and
count endemics. Endemism is an important criterion to characterize the state of conservation in a
given area. The presence of numerous endemic species and endangered (particular status species) is
broadly a sign of a great biodiversity and a good level of conservation (Adou Yao et al., 2007). The
identification of endemic plants of the study area was done with standard books such as Endemic
Plants of the Indian Region (Ahmedulla & Nayar, 1987), Red Data Book of Indian Plants (Nayar &
Sastry, 1987, 1988, 1990), Hot Spots of Endemic Plants of India, Nepal and Bhutan (Nayar, 1996)
and Flowering Plants of Kerala (Sasidharan, 2004). The list of threatened and endangered species
was complied according to the IUCN checklist 2006.
Alpha () biodiversity (or phytodiversity) of the site was then calculated following the
formula, -diversity = species richness (S) = number of species per area (Silvica, 1997). Similarly,
Beta diversity (), a measure of species turnover with change in habitat, was computed using the
formula = / where, (gamma) = number of species in all the sites, and (alpha) is the
number of species per site or plot (Magrurran, 1988). The Berger-Parker diversity index is simply
d = Nmax or max1≤i≤S Pi.
N
This is an example of an index which uses only partial information about the relative
abundances of the various species in its definition. Gini coefficients are used to measure diversity.
The Species richness, the Shannon index, Simpson's index, and the Berger-Parker index can all be
identified as particular examples of quantities bearing a simple relation to the Renyi entropy, for α
approaching 0, 1, 2, ∞ respectively.
1 S α
Hα = log ∑ Pi
i=1
1-α
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Chapter – 4 Methodology
Strengths: attributes of the person or company that is helpful in achieving the objective.
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Chapter – 4 Methodology
4.10 Summary
The framework for assessing carrying capacity was developed from the guidelines of WTO and
Lim (1998). The methodology was formulated considering the type of tourism existing or being
planned from contexts such as infrastructure, physical, social, cultural, economic benefits, tourism
images, indigenous environment, etc. Carrying capacity assessment includes bed capacity, boat
carrying capacity, boating density, shoreline development factor, shallowness ratio and usable
recreational area. Impact of tourism was categorized into environmental, socio-cultural and
economic. Environmental impact of tourism was studied through water quality monitoring,
landuse/land cover change detection and biodiversity assessment. Socio-cultural and economic
impact of tourism was assessed by means of questionnaire survey among different groups.
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Chapter – 4 Methodology
Present
Developmental
Scenario
Impacts of tourism
CARRYING
CAPACITY
Supportive Assimilative
capacity capacity
Resource
requirement for Socio-
Environmental Economic
present tourism cultural
activities
Income
Land Education
generation
Natural
Infrastructure Water Health Price levels
attraction
Arts and
Biodiversity Employment
culture
Social status
Property &
of
Rental value
population
SUSTAINABLE
UTILIZATION
Fig 4.1 Methodology for the Assessment of Carrying Capacity of Selected Tourism
Destinations in order to suggest strategies for Sustainable Development
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