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0 Informe de respuestas
Hoja de cálculo: [TALLER 4.xlsx]Hoja1
Informe creado: 07/07/2012 10:29:22
Celdas cambiantes
Celda Nombre Valor original Valor final
$H$21 BETA CERO 2.45 2.019439199
$H$22 BETA UNO -1.13 2.476418714
Restricciones
NINGUNA
Y=Variable dependiente Y t =β 0 + β 1 X t +
X=Variable independiente
BASE DE DATOS: TIPO SERIES DE TIEMPO
Años Yt Xt
1=1950 -1.7421 -1.541 0.00298357
2 1.6011 -0.1573 0.00082936
3 0.9731 -0.4114 0.00075848
f(x) = 2.476418686x
2 2
∑ εI = ∑ (Y I −β 0 −β 1 X I )
4
5
6
-2.5926
3.4043
5.9363
-1.887
0.5018
1.6327
0.00371648
0.0202191
0.01597394
R² = 0.9982477752
2.48069E-05
Axis Title
7 2.6192 0.2442
8 1.5423 -0.215 0.00305708
9 2.712 0.2971 0.00186479 -3 -2 -1
10 5.2356 1.3038 0.00015861
11 -0.9925 -1.1502 0.02675266
12 0.9052 -0.4111 0.00925126
13 -2.7096 -1.857 0.01698582
14 2.2976 0.0427 0.02972787
15 2.0326 0.0204 0.00139563
16 0.0232 -0.8236 0.00187829 TECNICA DE MCO
17 1.6833 -0.1049 0.00583129 BETA CERO
18 4.0515 0.7993 0.002773 BETA UNO
19 -4.6366 -2.6705 0.00182868 SUM RESID 2
20 -0.4333 -1.0317 0.01044116
21 -0.5116 -1.0099 0.00090625
22 3.3065 0.5167 5.61788E-05
23 1.8918 -0.0506 5.44014E-06
24 2.8097 0.288 0.00593704
25 2.4799 0.1767 0.00052339
26 2.0053 -0.0508 0.0124686
27 3.1212 0.4624 0.00187794
28 1.7228 -0.0834 0.00811907
29 3.9357 0.8128 0.00932621
30 0.0172 -0.8262 0.00191651
31 2.0492 0.0287 0.00170672
32 4.8082 1.1688 0.01116771
33 4.2307 0.9905 0.05838599
34 0.2936 -0.7014 0.00012367
35 -1.2247 -1.3143 0.00011274
36 0.4837 -0.5944 0.00406482
37 2.7486 0.3287 0.00719749
38 -0.2323 -0.9302 0.00268588
39 2.4448 0.253 0.04047063
40 2.9134 0.3604 2.13013E-06
41 3.7038 0.6043 0.03529174
42 3.3576 0.5211 0.0022752
43 -1.0239 -1.2737 0.01229334
44 0.63 -0.5559 0.00016379
45 1.4154 -0.2328 0.00075784
46 -3.7071 -2.2841 0.00492119
47 6.8805 1.8989 0.02515057
48 3.271 0.5668 0.0231263
49 -3.2069 -2.1178 0.00033198
50 2.7119 0.1917 0.04740693
51 0.2835 -0.7537 0.01704006
52 2.0449 0.0408 0.0057119
53 3.3587 0.5324 0.00043328
54 1.1074 -0.3998 0.00608915
55 1.5355 -0.1687 0.00437812
56 -1.2223 -1.3517 0.01115896
57 5.4822 1.3283 0.03004461
58 -0.1674 -0.8146 0.0287467
59 -2.1611 -1.6588 0.00527887
60=2009 -1.0396 -1.3025 0.02772098
Y t =β 0 + β 1 X t + ε t Y t =2. 01194 +2 . 4764 X t + ε t
Chart Title
8
2 Column C
Linear
0 (Column C)
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
-2
-4
-6
Axis Title
ECNICA DE MCO
2.0194392
2.47641871
0.61182777
Microsoft Excel 12.0 Informe de respuestas
Hoja de cálculo: [TALLER 4.xlsx]Hoja2
Informe creado: 07/07/2012 11:03:40
Celdas cambiantes
Celda Nombre Valor original Valor final
$H$21 BETA CERO 20 2.019437967
$H$22 BETA UNO 0.8 2.476418442
$H$23 sigma 3 0.100980997
Restricciones
NINGUNA
Microsoft Excel 12.0 Informe de respuestas
Hoja de cálculo: [TALLER 4.xlsx]Hoja2
Informe creado: 07/07/2012 11:07:51
Celdas cambiantes
Celda Nombre Valor original Valor final
$H$21 BETA CERO 15 2.019438203
$H$22 BETA UNO 32 2.476417896
$H$23 sigma 11 0.100980205
Restricciones
NINGUNA
Resumen
Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.9991235
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.99824778
R^2 ajustado 0.99821756
Error típico 0.10270713
Observaciones 60
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 348.560127 348.560127 33042.7752 1.21012E-81
Residuos 58 0.61182777 0.01054875
Total 59 349.171955
1194 +2 . 4764 X t + ε t
T 1 (Y o 1 X i ) 2
Ln( 2 ) Ln (2 ) i
2 2 2
obsrvaciones=60
Resumen
Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.95565174
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.91327026
R^2 ajustado 0.89928159
Error típico 0.07356507
Observaciones 37 10.2808867832
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
^¿=10 . 28 MO0 . 011 T 0. 375 F0 . 592 S 0
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Regresión 5 1.76659199 0.3533183984 65.2864331521 Q
Residuos 31 0.16776641 0.0054118196 ¿
Total 36 1.9343584
de confianza
oeficiente no es significativo
de decision:
obabilidad es menor o igual a n.s., entonces se rechaza Ho.
Melcochita no es padre
de decision
N+, entonces se rechaza Ho
No es padre
Resumen
Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.9522268
Coeficiente d 0.90673588
R^2 ajustado 0.89825732
Error típico 0.07393819
Observacione 37
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
Regresión 3 1.75395216 0.58465072 106.944603783 4.47894E-17
Residuos 33 0.18040624 0.00546686
Total 36 1.9343584
Observación
Pronóstico Log(Q) Residuos
1 7.24593368 0.03338515
2 7.39090932 -0.04103562
3 7.31109737 -0.00054721
4 7.01155027 -0.0121278
5 7.69070531 -0.08980285
6 7.5196895 -0.05231844
7 6.90934366 -0.01873454 Hipotesis: Los productrores durante el año 2003 trabaj
8 7.21707062 0.01998841
9 7.39218602 0.08258617 Conclusion: Los productores de quinua trabajaron a re
10 7.05818477 0.04019087
11 7.27287517 -0.08069311 Recomenacion: Incrementra mas horas maquina, mas
12 7.31109737 0.25573111 aumenta
13 7.562633 -0.01671485 T 1%
14 7.33227497 -0.14386224 I 1%
15 6.81921679 0.0372452 S 1%
16 7.17417104 0.06934193
17 7.01155027 -0.05500483 Titulo: Factores que determina la produccion de quinu
18 7.43039606 0.02663603 Factores que determina el rendimiento de la produccio
19 6.93565807 -0.06352997
20 7.39090932 0.00726477
21 7.5988252 -0.02426671
22 7.61584914 -0.02752546
23 7.4799707 -0.00519851
24 7.10391701 -0.00885263
25 7.26536512 -0.00624899
26 7.26051233 -0.03357631
27 7.05294411 -0.03812976
28 6.8813304 0.00213218
29 7.19643515 -0.02862596
30 7.30956763 -0.08117918
31 7.19643515 -0.06874145
32 7.33227497 0.02016613
33 6.93241271 -0.03774268
34 7.5196895 0.06203014
35 7.31109737 0.04900661
36 7.40596969 0.1218243
37 7.17583105 0.10693013
Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%
3.6719382172 6.04604918
0.1468799975 0.72122971
0.1781668535 0.46503024
0.0609051951 1.011012
1.29%
4 Log(I)+α 5 Log(S)+ε T
7.237059 3.85015 2.94443898 4.61512052 -0.91629073 2.56494936 7.23705903
7.474772 4.02535 3.09104245 4.62497281 -0.69314718 2.63905733 7.47477218
7.098376 3.8712 2.89037176 4.56434819 -1.2039728 2.48490665 7.09837564
7.192182 3.82864 2.77258872 4.61512052 -0.51082562 2.56494936 7.19218206
7.566828 3.98898 2.99573227 4.66343909 -0.69314718 2.56494936 7.56682848
7.545918 4.04305 3.13549422 4.71849887 -0.22314355 2.63905733 7.54591815
7.188413 3.82864 3.04452244 4.62497281 -0.69314718 2.56494936 7.18841274
6.856462 3.68888 2.56494936 4.49980967 -1.2039728 2.30258509 6.85646198
7.243513 3.89182 2.94443898 4.59511985 -0.91629073 2.48490665 7.24351297
6.956545 3.7612 2.89037176 4.58496748 -1.2039728 2.39789527 6.95654544
7.457032 4.00733 3.13549422 4.59511985 -0.51082562 2.56494936 7.45703209
6.872128 3.71357 2.83321334 4.51085951 -1.2039728 2.30258509 6.8721281
7.398174 6.27664 3.04452244 4.66343909 -0.51082562 2.56494936 7.39817409
7.574558 4.09434 3.21887582 4.71849887 -0.22314355 2.63905733 7.57455848
7.588324 4.15888 3.25809654 4.72738782 -0.22314355 2.63905733 7.58832368
7.474772 4.02535 3.13549422 4.66343909 -0.35667494 2.56494936 7.47477218
7.095064 3.85015 2.99573227 4.55387689 -1.2039728 2.48490665 7.09506438
7.259116 3.93183 2.89037176 4.59511985 -0.69314718 2.56494936 7.25911613
7.226936 3.89182 3.04452244 4.60517019 -0.91629073 2.56494936 7.22693602
7.014814 3.78419 2.77258872 4.56434819 -0.91629073 2.39789527 7.01481435
6.883463 3.73767 2.7080502 4.53259949 -1.2039728 2.30258509 6.88346259
7.167809 3.8712 2.99573227 4.56434819 -0.91629073 2.48490665 7.16780918
7.228388 3.82864 3.09104245 4.61512052 -0.69314718 2.48490665 7.22838845
7.127694 3.80666 2.99573227 4.56434819 -0.91629073 2.48490665 7.1276937
7.352441 3.98898 3.04452244 4.58496748 -0.69314718 2.56494936 7.3524411
6.89467 3.7612 2.7080502 4.51085951 -1.2039728 2.39789527 6.89467004
7.58172 4.09434 3.13549422 4.70048037 -0.35667494 2.63905733 7.58171964
7.360104 4.00733 2.99573227 4.67282883 -0.69314718 2.56494936 7.36010397
7.527794 4.02535 3.17805383 4.66343909 -0.51082562 2.48490665 7.52779399
7.282761 3.91202 2.89037176 4.60517019 -0.69314718 2.39789527 7.28276118
x
Log(T) Log(I) Log(S)
2.94443898 -0.69314718 2.48490665 base de
logaritmo
3.04452244 -0.51082562 2.56494936 natural e=
2.99573227 -0.69314718 2.56494936
2.89037176 -1.2039728 2.39789527
3.25809654 -0.10536052 2.7080502
3.13549422 -0.35667494 2.63905733
2.77258872 -1.2039728 2.30258509
2.94443898 -0.91629073 2.56494936
3.09104245 -0.69314718 2.63905733
2.89037176 -1.2039728 2.48490665
2.77258872 -0.51082562 2.56494936
2.99573227 -0.69314718 2.56494936
3.13549422 -0.22314355 2.63905733
3.04452244 -0.69314718 2.56494936
2.56494936 -1.2039728 2.30258509
2.94443898 -0.91629073 2.48490665
2.89037176 -1.2039728 2.39789527
3.13549422 -0.51082562 2.56494936
2.83321334 -1.2039728 2.30258509
3.04452244 -0.51082562 2.56494936
3.21887582 -0.22314355 2.63905733
3.25809654 -0.22314355 2.63905733
3.13549422 -0.35667494 2.56494936
2.99573227 -1.2039728 2.48490665
2.89037176 -0.69314718 2.56494936
3.04452244 -0.91629073 2.56494936
2.77258872 -0.91629073 2.39789527
2.7080502 -1.2039728 2.30258509
2.99573227 -0.91629073 2.48490665
3.09104245 -0.69314718 2.48490665
2.99573227 -0.91629073 2.48490665
3.04452244 -0.69314718 2.56494936
2.7080502 -1.2039728 2.39789527
3.13549422 -0.35667494 2.63905733
2.99573227 -0.69314718 2.56494936
3.17805383 -0.51082562 2.48490665
2.89037176 -0.69314718 2.39789527
2.71828183