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CHAPTER 2
CLIMATOLOGY
2.1. GENERAL
Secondary data of Climatology for this study was obtained from the 2018
Sorong Muncipality in Figures by Statistic Center Agency (BPS) of Sorong Regency. The
data collected includes:
a. Humidity Data : maximum value, the average and minimum
b. Evaporation Data : maximum value, the average and minimum
c. Pressure Data : maximum value, the average and minimum
Secondary data for rainfall data and wind data was obtained from the
Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) Class I Meteorology Jefman-
Sorong Station from 2006 to 2015. And Seigun-Sorong Station from 2016 to 2018 due to
change of station name of Jefman to Seigun. The data collected includes:
a. Rainfall data : daily rainfall
b. Wind data : daily wind direction and daily wind velocity
2.2. RAINFALL
Climate conditions of Sorong Regency are generally similar to other areas in
Papua which has two seasons recognized as rainy and dry season. The length of
sunlight radiation are inversely proportional to the number of rainy days in each
month. According to the temperature average data, Sorong Regency can be classified
as a hot areas, with the lowest temperature average 24,4°C and the highest
temperature average 31,4°C in 2017. And the number of rainy days average at this
area was 21 days/month.
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1. Sequencing the average rainfall data then converted into a logarithm form.
2. Calculate the mean value of rainfall in logarithms, using the following equation:
n
log xi
i 1
log x
n
3. Calculate the value of standard deviation (Si) and coefficient of skewness (Cs)
using the following equation:
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log xt log x G Si
with:
xt = design rainfall (mm/day)
G = frequency coefficients
5. Calculate the antilog value from xt, to obtained the value of design rainfall with
certain return period.
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𝟑
log xi log x
G
Si
with:
G = frequency coefficient
Si = standart deviation
4. Finding the Pr value through Table of Distribution Log-Pearson III
5. Calculate the value of P(x) by the following equation:
P(x) = 100% – Pr
6. Calculate the difference of Sn(x) dan P(x) with the following equation:
maks Sn( x ) P( x )
7. Finding the value of Δcr from Smirnov-Kolmogorov table then compared with
Δmaks. If the value of Δmaks < Δcr, then the deviation still within permit limits,
which means observation rainfall data distribution in accordance with the
theoretical distribution model.
2) Uji Chi Square (vertical deviation)
Chi Square test is based on the differences value of the theoretical ordinate
and empirical on the vertical axis. The calculation steps of Chi Square Test are
as follow:
1. Determine the number of the class (k) by the following equation:
k = 1 + 3,22 log n
with:
n = total data
2. Determine the class limit by the following equation:
log xi log x G Si
with:
xi = rainfall data
G = frequency coefficient
Si = logarithmic standard deviation
3. Calculate the expected frequency (Ej) by the following equation:
n
Ej =
k
4. Determine the observed frequency (Oi)
5. Calculate the rainfall data value difference of calculation results with the
rainfall data value of observation result.
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where:
Q = Maximum flood discharge (m3/sec)
f = flow coefficient / runoff
r = Average rainfall intensity during the arrival time of the flood (mm/hour)
A = Watershed (km2)
The meaning of this formula may soon be known that, in the event of rainfall
as long as 1 hour with an intensity of 1 mm / hour in the area of 1 km2, then the flood
discharge amounted 0,2778 m3/second and run off evenly for 1 hour. So this formula is
not classified in the same category with the empirical formulas mentioned above,
because the very different developing process.
Flow coefficient / runoff coefficients
The flow coefficient has 2 definition
(The magnitude of the peak of runoff)
f1 = (The intensity of the rainfall average during the arrival time of the flood)x (Watershed)
(Total Runoff)
f2 = (Total Rainfall)
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entire watershed can not contribute to the flow countinuously at the control point
(outlet). Otherwise, if the occured rain longer than tc, then surface flow peak
discharge will remain the same with Qp.
The value of C that shown in the table still not provided the details of each
factors that influence the value of C. Therefore, Hassing (1995) provides a way of
determining the C factor that integrates the value which represents some of the
factors that affect the relationship between rainfall and the flow, namely topography,
soil permeability, land cover and land use. The value of C coefficient is a combination
of several factors that can be calculated based on the following table.
Table 2.4. Run off Coefficient for Rational Method (McGuen, 1989)
Description of Area Range of Runoff Coefficient
Business
Downtown 0.70-0.95
Neighborhood 0.50-0.70
Residential
Single-family 0.30-0.50
Multiunits, detached 0.40-0.60
Multiunits, attached 0.60-0.75
Residential (suburban) 0.25-0.40
Apartement 0.50-0.70
Industrial
Light 0.50-0.80
Heavy 0.60-0.90
Parks, cemetries 0.10-0.25
Playgrounds 0.20-0.35
Railroad yard 0.20-0.35
Unimproved 0.10-0.30
Character of Surface Range of Runoff Coefficient
Pavement 0.70-0.95
Asphaltic and Concrete 0.75-0.85
Brick 0.75-0.95
Roofs
Lawns, sandy soil
Flat, 2% 0.05-0.10
Average, 2 to 7% 0.10-0.15
Steep, 7% 0.15-0.20
Lawns, heavy soil
Flat, 2% 0.13-0.17
Average, 2 to 7% 0.18-0.22
Steep, 7% 0.25-0.35
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No. Tahun Xi (mm) P (%) Log Xi Log Xi - Log Xi (Log Xi - Log Xi)3
1 2013 81.10 7.14 1.91 -0.1691 -0.0048
2 2018 98.70 14.29 1.99 -0.0838 -0.0006
3 2015 106.00 21.43 2.03 -0.0528 -0.0001
4 2017 107.20 28.57 2.03 -0.0479 -0.0001
5 2014 111.00 35.71 2.05 -0.0328 0.0000
6 2016 112.10 42.86 2.05 -0.0285 0.0000
7 2010 128.00 50.00 2.11 0.0291 0.0000
8 2008 140.10 57.14 2.15 0.0683 0.0003
9 2006 148.00 64.29 2.17 0.0922 0.0008
10 2012 201.10 71.43 2.30 0.2253 0.0114
11 2011 214.20 78.57 2.33 0.2527 0.0161
12 2009 224.20 85.71 2.35 0.2725 0.0202
13 2007 276.40 92.86 2.44 0.3634 0.0480
Source: Calculation
Total = 1233.300 20.781
Mean = 123.330 2.078
Sd = 33.646 0.109
Cs = 1.412 0.728
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Table 2.8. Calculation of Design Rainfall of Log Pearson Type III Method
Std
Tr Mean Skewness Probability Design Rainfall
No. Deviation K
(year) (Log) (Log) (Cs) (%) (Log) mm
1 1.01 2.078 0.109 0.728 99.0001 -1.786 1.883 76.395
2 2 2.078 0.109 0.728 50 -0.154 2.061 115.153
3 5 2.078 0.109 0.728 20 0.787 2.164 145.911
4 10 2.078 0.109 0.728 10 1.334 2.224 167.411
5 20 2.078 0.109 0.728 5 1.761 2.270 186.384
6 25 2.078 0.109 0.728 4 1.974 2.294 196.662
7 50 2.078 0.109 0.728 2 2.420 2.342 219.977
8 100 2.078 0.109 0.728 1 2.842 2.389 244.655
9 200 2.078 0.109 0.728 0.5 3.248 2.433 270.891
10 1000 2.078 0.109 0.728 0.1 4.139 2.530 338.933
Source: Calculation
[1] = Number
[2] = Return period
[3] = (SlogXi)/n
[4] = ((S(LogXi-LogX))/(n-1))0,5
[5] = (n.S(LogXi-LogX)3)/((n-1)(n-2)(SLogX)3)
[6] = (1/Tr)*100
[7] = Table of distribution characteristic factor of log person III
Based on Cs value and probability or return period
[8] = LogX + K.SLogX
[9] = Antilog from LogX
Table 2.9. Smirnov Kolmogorov Test Log Pearson Type III Distribution
Xi
No. Log Xi Pe K Pr Pt D (Pt-Pe)
(mm)
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8]
1 76.40 1.88 0.09 -1.996 0.957 0.043 0.048
2 115.15 2.06 0.18 -1.050 0.847 0.153 0.029
3 145.91 2.16 0.27 -0.504 0.703 0.297 0.024
4 167.41 2.22 0.36 -0.187 0.599 0.401 0.037
5 186.38 2.27 0.45 0.060 0.518 0.482 0.027
6 196.66 2.29 0.55 0.184 0.473 0.527 0.018
7 219.98 2.34 0.64 0.442 0.368 0.632 0.004
8 244.65 2.39 0.73 0.688 0.269 0.731 0.004
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Xi
No. Log Xi Pe K Pr Pt D (Pt-Pe)
(mm)
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8]
9 270.89 2.43 0.82 0.922 0.180 0.820 0.002
10 338.93 2.53 0.91 1.439 0.043 0.957 0.047
Source: Calculation Dmax : 0.048
Total = 22.590
Mean = 2.259
Sd = 0.188
Cs = -0.702
[1] = Number
[2] = Data
[3] = Log Xi
[4] = [1]/[n+1]
n : Total Data
[5] = (LogXi-LogX)/SlogX
[6] = (interpolation based on the value of Cs and K)/100
[7] = 1-[6]
[8] = [7]-[4]
Table 2.10. Chi Square Test Log Pearson Type III Distribution
Log person equation: Log X=Log X+K.SlogX
From Struges equation G=1+3,322 Log n, then the group division as many as 4
Probability Interval = 0,250
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Information :
[1] = Number
[2] = Occurred probability
[3] = interpolation based the Pr value and Cs
[4] = Log X + G.SlogX
[5] = antilog [4]
[6] = class limit in accordance with X value
[7] = total data in accordance with class limit
[8] =SOi/n, where n = total of subgroup
[9] = ([7]-[8])2/[8]
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Theoritical Channel's
Flood Channel Sectional Channel
Flow Flow Channel Free Channel's Wall
Drainage Discharge Width Area of Spillout
Depth Rate Discharge board Wall Height Channels
Channel Design Dimension Wet Check
Height Design Function
Code
Q25 years B H V A Q25 years F H*=H+F H**=H+F
3 2 3 3
(m /s) (m) (m) (m/sec) (m ) (m /sec) (m /sec) (m) (m) (m)
S1 1.10 1.00 0.63 1.64 0.63 1.10 0.00 0.30 1.00 1.00 Primary
S2 0.11 0.60 0.19 0.91 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.10 0.30 0.50 Secondary
Source: Calculation
Note: Q flow = (1/n) . A . R2/3 . S1/2
n Manning = 0.015
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Result
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2.1. GENERAL.................................................................................... 1
2.2. RAINFALL ................................................................................... 1
2.2.1. Annual Rainfall.......................................................................... 1
2.2.2. Monthly Rainfall ........................................................................ 2
2.2.3. Maximum Daily Rainfall................................................................ 3
2.2.4. Design Rainfall .......................................................................... 4
2.2.5. Distribution Conformity Test ......................................................... 5
2.2.6. Design Flood Discharge of Rational Method ........................................ 7
2.2.7. Maximum Wind Speed and Dominant Wind Direction ............................ 16
2.2.8. Climate ................................................................................. 17
2.3. FLOW VELOCITY ....................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.
2.4. WATER QUALITY .......................................................................... 20
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