Professional Documents
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Variance
Investment 100,000.00
Portfolio Mean Return -0.00766% Average return of my portfolio
Portfolio Sigma 1.58% Volatility of my portfolio
Cuttof 96,309.21 with normal returns, with the -0.01% confidence level (see i
Cumulative PDF 0.01 this is because he assume that it is normally distributed
1 Day VaR at 1% level 3,690.79 how much money you can lose in any given day by holding t
10 Day VaR at 1% level 11,671.30 in two weeks, this is the amount of money that you'll lose, a
We have to square root because the VaR, does not add up linearly
Simple Returns Excess Returns
Google Facbook Yahoo
0.006729 -0.0012 -0.00333 0.005544 -0.00236 -0.00449
-0.0073 -0.01178 -0.01135 -0.00849 -0.01301 -0.01257
-0.00993 -0.00669 -0.00698 -0.01114 -0.00787 -0.00816
-0.01296 -0.00135 0.000453 -0.0142 -0.00251 -0.00071
0.002306 0.01079 -0.01087 0.001141 0.009569 -0.01209
0.000475 -0.00146 -0.00137 -0.00069 -0.00262 -0.00254
0.008547 -0.00049 0.035772 0.007348 -0.00165 0.033984
-0.00153 -0.00134 0.010184 -0.0027 -0.0025 0.00897
-0.00142 -0.00158 -0.00986 -0.00259 -0.00275 -0.01107
-0.00156 0.011824 -0.00907 -0.00272 0.010591 -0.01028
-0.01628 0.006144 0.016976 -0.01758 0.004962 0.01567
0.004035 -0.0097 0.004393 0.002864 -0.01091 0.00322
0.002385 -0.00484 0.001093 0.001219 -0.00601 -7E-05
-0.01827 -0.01859 -0.02905 -0.0196 -0.01993 -0.03065
0.02162 0.028596 0.004724 0.020227 0.027032 0.003551
-0.00263 0.006379 -0.00381 -0.0038 0.005196 -0.00498
0.010104 0.012078 -0.01146 0.00889 0.010843 -0.01269
0.014155 -0.02623 -0.00637 0.012894 -0.02774 -0.00755
0.033016 -0.01068 0.018764 0.03132 -0.0119 0.017428
-0.01715 0.004661 -0.00359 -0.01846 0.003487 -0.00476
-0.00304 -0.01502 -0.00045 -0.00421 -0.01629 -0.00161
-0.00831 -0.0026 -0.02391 -0.00951 -0.00377 -0.02536
-0.02138 -0.02113 -0.0164 -0.02278 -0.02251 -0.0177
0.001042 0.002793 -0.00141 -0.00012 0.001626 -0.00257
0.005354 -0.00228 -0.01106 0.004177 -0.00344 -0.01228
-0.01845 -0.01586 -0.0176 -0.01979 -0.01715 -0.01892
-0.0124 0.006962 0.008717 -0.01364 0.005776 0.007516
0.012361 0.004225 0.053048 0.011123 0.003054 0.050527
0.01417 0.00102 0.005015 0.012908 -0.00014 0.00384
-0.00468 -0.00637 -0.01111 -0.00586 -0.00755 -0.01234
-0.01243 -0.00705 0.005505 -0.01367 -0.00824 0.004327
0.001096 0.012652 0.012774 -6.69E-05 0.01141 0.01153
0.016578 0.037353 0.012387 0.015279 0.03551 0.011149
-0.00845 -0.01168 -0.00445 -0.00965 -0.01291 -0.00562
-0.0029 0.00572 -0.00872 -0.00407 0.004541 -0.00992
0.009506 -0.00309 -0.07619 0.008298 -0.00426 -0.08042
0.003554 -0.00099 0.044168 0.002385 -0.00216 0.042058
0.006008 -0.00087 0.020799 0.004827 -0.00203 0.019423
-0.00442 0.000746 -0.00435 -0.0056 -0.00042 -0.00552
-0.01442 -0.01502 -0.01472 -0.01569 -0.0163 -0.01599
0.014033 0.015379 0.012369 0.012773 0.014099 0.01113
-1.84E-05 -0.00497 -0.00715 -0.00118 -0.00614 -0.00833
-0.01421 -0.01198 -0.00302 -0.01547 -0.01321 -0.00419
0.003533 0.013891 0.009548 0.002364 0.012632 0.00834
0.009719 0.001868 -0.00461 0.00851 0.000704 -0.00579
0.002096 0.024863 0.00139 0.000931 0.023396 0.000227
-0.00668 -0.00473 -0.00764 -0.00787 -0.0059 -0.00883
-0.00628 0.001097 -0.00163 -0.00746 -6.65E-05 -0.0028
-0.01219 -0.0179 -0.01869 -0.01343 -0.01922 -0.02003
-0.00027 0 -0.00905 -0.00143 -0.00116 -0.01025
0.018987 0.01847 0.010329 0.017646 0.017139 0.009113
-0.00388 -0.00402 -0.02663 -0.00505 -0.00519 -0.02815
-0.00426 -0.00367 -0.01001 -0.00544 -0.00484 -0.01123
-0.00964 -0.01006 -0.00148 -0.01085 -0.01127 -0.00264
0.001802 0.004337 0.004201 0.000638 0.003164 0.003029
0.002102 0.009006 0.007874 0.000937 0.007803 0.00668
0.014114 0.013694 -0.00122 0.012853 0.012438 -0.00238
-7.45E-05 -0.00482 -0.00978 -0.00124 -0.006 -0.01099
0.002795 0.027027 0.005431 0.001628 0.025506 0.004253
0.004255 0.037055 -0.00196 0.003083 0.035222 -0.00313
-0.00488 0.011152 0.007134 -0.00606 0.009927 0.005946
-0.00485 -0.0099 0.003175 -0.00603 -0.01112 0.002008
-0.00661 0.000341 -0.02459 -0.0078 -0.00082 -0.02606
-0.01913 -0.02511 -0.02871 -0.02048 -0.02659 -0.03029
-0.00194 -0.00035 0.009766 -0.0031 -0.00151 0.008556
0.002555 0.013291 0.001018 0.001389 0.012041 -0.00015
0.002989 0.004372 0.001271 0.001822 0.0032 0.000108
-0.00103 0.002979 -0.01955 -0.0022 0.001811 -0.02091
0.004131 -0.00377 -0.00984 0.00296 -0.00494 -0.01105
-0.0156 -0.018 -0.02616 -0.01689 -0.01933 -0.02767
0.007449 0.002685 0.010207 0.006259 0.001519 0.008992
0.018149 0.024103 0.008242 0.016824 0.022655 0.007046
0.030974 0.024446 0.022152 0.029341 0.022989 0.020747
0.026622 -0.00466 -0.00335 0.025111 -0.00584 -0.00452
-0.00157 0.000892 -0.00647 -0.00273 -0.00027 -0.00766
0.03504 0.012143 0.013809 0.033277 0.010908 0.012552
0.160524 0.04535 0.019789 0.147709 0.043189 0.018433
-0.01473 0.030957 -0.00353 -0.016 0.029325 -0.0047
-0.00109 0.004902 0.004805 -0.00225 0.003728 0.003631
-0.0003 -0.01372 -0.01233 -0.00146 -0.01498 -0.01357
-0.02691 -0.01649 -0.00076 -0.02845 -0.01779 -0.00193
-0.03216 0.015821 -0.00918 -0.03385 0.014535 -0.01039
0.005934 -0.02867 -0.026 0.004753 -0.03026 -0.0275
0.00118 0.011893 -0.00317 1.63E-05 0.010661 -0.00434
0.006258 0.01784 -0.00133 0.005076 0.01652 -0.00249
0.001044 -0.01835 -0.00664 -0.00012 -0.01969 -0.00782
-0.01103 -0.0126 -0.02004 -0.01226 -0.01385 -0.02141
0.008951 0.001383 0.000545 0.007749 0.000219 -0.00062
-0.00311 -0.00085 0.01172 -0.00427 -0.00201 0.010489
0.023091 0.025303 0.003502 0.021666 0.023826 0.002333
-0.00171 -0.01369 -0.02121 -0.00287 -0.01494 -0.0226
-0.01148 -0.00862 0.00576 -0.01271 -0.00982 0.00458
-0.00247 -0.00159 0.01309 -0.00364 -0.00275 0.011842
0.042684 -0.00563 -0.03015 0.040635 -0.00681 -0.03177
-0.00185 0.006088 -0.04274 -0.00301 0.004907 -0.04485
-0.00472 -0.00807 0.041751 -0.00589 -0.00926 0.03974
0.001021 0.010596 0.008628 -0.00014 0.009378 0.007428
0.005707 -0.00519 -0.00386 0.004528 -0.00637 -0.00503
-0.00717 0.013201 -0.01136 -0.00836 0.011952 -0.01258
0.00727 0.001471 -0.01401 0.006081 0.000307 -0.01527
-0.02129 -0.04984 -0.03097 -0.02268 -0.05228 -0.03263
-0.05311 -0.04969 -0.03431 -0.05573 -0.05213 -0.03608
-0.03734 -0.04613 -0.0492 -0.03922 -0.04839 -0.05161
-0.01281 0.011085 0.013734 -0.01405 0.009862 0.012478
0.079992 0.050482 0.024575 0.075791 0.048086 0.023115
0.014301 0.029132 0.035978 0.013037 0.027553 0.034183
-0.01134 0.014265 -0.01633 -0.01257 0.013002 -0.01762
-0.01924 -0.01736 -0.02716 -0.02059 -0.01868 -0.0287
-0.03309 -0.0246 -0.01985 -0.03482 -0.02607 -0.02121
0.027685 0.030494 0.00538 0.026146 0.028876 0.004203
-0.01317 -0.01936 0.024237 -0.01442 -0.02071 0.022785
-0.00915 0.001248 -0.0295 -0.01036 8.44E-05 -0.03111
0.023239 0.014389 -0.02153 0.021811 0.013124 -0.02293
-0.00316 0.010164 0.020065 -0.00432 0.00895 0.018703
0.014085 0.017028 -0.01174 0.012824 0.015722 -0.01297
0.007114 0.000761 0.008989 0.005926 -0.0004 0.007786
-0.00404 0.002824 -0.03532 -0.00521 0.001658 -0.03712
0.019094 0.006392 0.023747 0.017751 0.005209 0.022306
0.001322 0.00592 0.011598 0.000159 0.00474 0.010368
0.010881 0.009524 -0.01497 0.009659 0.008316 -0.01624
-0.02123 0.000636 -0.00614 -0.02262 -0.00053 -0.00732
0.009837 0.012182 0.013988 0.008626 0.010946 0.012729
-0.02006 -0.02711 -0.0247 -0.02143 -0.02864 -0.02618
-0.00053 0.010865 -0.02171 -0.00169 0.009644 -0.02311
0.005527 0.004682 -0.01345 0.004349 0.003509 -0.0147
-0.0221 -0.01737 -0.00716 -0.02351 -0.01869 -0.00835
-0.02791 -0.03837 -0.05252 -0.02947 -0.04029 -0.05512
0.000134 -0.02847 0.023913 -0.00103 -0.03005 0.022469
0.022606 0.037268 0.023001 0.021192 0.035427 0.021577
0.004717 0.01168 0 0.003543 0.010449 -0.00116
0.025553 0.012314 0.062262 0.024069 0.011077 0.059238
0.023225 0.021071 0.004559 0.021797 0.019689 0.003386
0.006189 -0.01287 0.003566 0.005007 -0.01412 0.002397
-0.00477 -0.00431 0.029393 -0.00595 -0.00548 0.027806
-0.00498 0.000758 0.015689 -0.00616 -0.00041 0.014404
0.006962 0.008327 0.004634 0.005775 0.00713 0.003461
0.004754 0.01094 0.010455 0.00358 0.009717 0.009238
0.008706 -0.00149 -0.01582 0.007506 -0.00265 -0.01711
-0.00175 -0.00053 -0.00773 -0.00291 -0.00169 -0.00892
0.016248 0.020091 0.043316 0.014955 0.01873 0.041241
0.000695 0.016465 -0.00329 -0.00047 0.015168 -0.00445
0.005889 0.009535 0.003896 0.004709 0.008327 0.002725
-0.02375 -0.01493 -0.02 -0.0252 -0.0162 -0.02137
-0.01179 0.001134 -0.05209 -0.01303 -2.93E-05 -0.05465
0.014285 0.026362 0.017673 0.013022 0.024858 0.016356
0.077034 0.025283 0.047363 0.073048 0.023806 0.045113
0.015356 0.015461 0.006934 0.014077 0.01418 0.005747
-0.00602 -0.00067 0.026946 -0.0072 -0.00184 0.025427
0.006295 0.004822 0.025948 0.005113 0.003647 0.024454
0.005568 0.006526 -0.00398 0.00439 0.005342 -0.00515
-0.00852 -0.02775 0.016262 -0.00972 -0.0293 0.014969
0.01449 0.013141 -0.00983 0.013224 0.011893 -0.01104
0.001456 -0.00707 -0.01559 0.000292 -0.00825 -0.01688
0.008239 0.013258 0.010081 0.007043 0.012008 0.008867
0.004313 0.046373 0.001426 0.003141 0.044167 0.000262
0.003432 -0.01526 -0.0262 0.002264 -0.01654 -0.02771
-0.01209 -0.0057 -0.0152 -0.01332 -0.00687 -0.01648
0.004732 0.013335 0.009204 0.003558 0.012084 0.008
0.009721 0.010194 -0.01795 0.008511 0.008979 -0.01927
-0.00567 -0.00908 -0.00449 -0.00685 -0.01029 -0.00567
-0.01946 -0.03768 -0.0313 -0.02081 -0.03957 -0.03296
0.016681 0.000866 0.02361 0.01538 -0.0003 0.022173
-0.00502 0.010477 -0.00273 -0.0062 0.00926 -0.0039
0.020267 0.025112 0.003652 0.018902 0.023639 0.002482
-0.00215 -0.01401 -0.01061 -0.00331 -0.01527 -0.01183
0.024634 0.009976 0.01471 0.023173 0.008763 0.013441
-0.00082 -0.00345 0.007551 -0.00198 -0.00462 0.00636
-0.01019 -0.01131 -0.01199 -0.0114 -0.01254 -0.01323
-0.00017 -0.00312 0.006068 -0.00134 -0.00429 0.004887
0.00282 0.000379 -0.00663 0.001654 -0.00078 -0.00782
-0.01021 -0.01147 0.026412 -0.01143 -0.0127 0.024906
0.032911 0.027629 -0.00296 0.031219 0.026091 -0.00412
-0.00608 -0.0098 0.05755 -0.00726 -0.01101 0.054792
-0.01291 -0.01593 -0.03675 -0.01415 -0.01722 -0.0386
0.018962 0.017245 0.016599 0.017622 0.015935 0.0153
-0.00464 -0.00537 -0.00659 -0.00582 -0.00655 -0.00777
-0.00115 0.008333 0.004902 -0.00232 0.007135 0.003727
-0.01411 -0.01775 -0.01291 -0.01538 -0.01907 -0.01416
-0.00286 0.007839 0.006686 -0.00403 0.006646 0.005501
-0.01413 -0.0313 -0.04967 -0.01539 -0.03297 -0.05211
0.012045 0.024873 -0.00972 0.010811 0.023406 -0.01093
-0.00584 -0.00105 0.013501 -0.00702 -0.00221 0.012248
0.019761 0.021425 0.022707 0.018405 0.020036 0.02129
-0.01142 -0.00534 -0.01628 -0.01265 -0.00651 -0.01758
-0.0135 -0.02052 -0.00843 -0.01476 -0.0219 -0.00962
0.011443 0.007016 0.000607 0.010215 0.005829 -0.00056
0.002982 0.007063 0.037003 0.001815 0.005876 0.035172
0.000413 -0.00834 0.007605 -0.00075 -0.00954 0.006413
-0.00255 0.003727 -0.00987 -0.00371 0.002558 -0.01108
0.018854 0.008665 -0.01495 0.017515 0.007465 -0.01623
0.018478 0.012555 0.013095 0.017147 0.011315 0.011848
-0.00721 -0.0097 -0.01968 -0.0084 -0.01091 -0.02104
-0.01572 -0.01469 -0.0033 -0.01701 -0.01596 -0.00446
-0.02245 -0.02331 -0.05592 -0.02387 -0.02475 -0.05871
0.000998 0.004989 0.025478 -0.00017 0.003814 0.023996
0.0014 0.002336 -0.00124 0.000237 0.001171 -0.00241
-0.02317 -0.04904 -0.06219 -0.02461 -0.05145 -0.06537
-0.01641 -0.00603 0.015584 -0.01771 -0.00721 0.014301
0.002184 0.001849 -0.01502 0.001018 0.000685 -0.01629
0.014022 0.019075 0.017236 0.012762 0.017733 0.015926
-0.03513 -0.03955 -0.04073 -0.03693 -0.04152 -0.04275
0.020212 0.0307 0.029891 0.018848 0.029075 0.028291
-0.02836 -0.03456 -0.03892 -0.02993 -0.03634 -0.04086
0.010569 0.003054 0.02059 0.009351 0.001886 0.019218
-0.00476 -0.00955 -0.03228 -0.00593 -0.01076 -0.03397
0.011654 -0.00201 0.018415 0.010424 -0.00318 0.017085
0.026408 0.040144 0.015012 0.024903 0.038197 0.013738
-0.01872 -0.0095 0.001008 -0.02006 -0.0107 -0.00015
0.001925 0.003402 0.006716 0.00076 0.002233 0.005531
-0.0183 -0.02969 -0.00967 -0.01963 -0.0313 -0.01088
0.333 This means that I have invested exactly the same in each (assumption)
0.333
0.333
1% confidence level (see it up), I wil lnot lose more than the 93K
s normally distributed
any given day by holding this portfolio at 99% of the times, that's your exposure to that portfolio
f money that you'll lose, again at 99% confidence level
t add up linearly