Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Investor Presentation
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Presentation Outline
Appendix
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Exim Key Credit Highlights
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Exim Key Credit Highlights
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The India Story
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India: Strong Macro backed by supportive Policy Environment
Resilient GDP Growth(1,2,3)
6000 8.2 9 7.1% 7.3% 7.4%
7.4 6.7%
7.1 8
5000 6.4 6.7
7 6.9%
6.7% 6.6%
Nominal GDP (US$ bn)
Source: (1) Institute of International Finance (IIF); (2) IMF World Economic Outlook October 2018. Data for CY; (3) Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MOSPI); (4) World Bank Database;
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FYxx means financial year ended March 31, 20xx.; E- Estimated P - Projected;
Indian Economy: Key Economic Indicators
General Government Debt (% of GDP) (1) Current Account Deficit (2) Currency Movement (4)(6)
FY 19
Centre State
FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 (Apr-Jun)
67.1 66.6 68.2 67.7 67.7 67.3 -14.3
-26.8 -22.1 -15.8
-32.3
16.6 -0.6% -48.7
14.9 15.2 17.6 18.6 18.7 -1.0%
-1.3%
-1.7% -2.4%
52.2 51.4 51.6 50.1 49.1 47.7
-1.9%
Nov-14 Nov-15 Nov-16 Nov-17 Nov-18
FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18E FY 19F
Current Account Balance (US$ bn) % of GDP INR RUB BRL CNY IDR PHP
9.3%
CPI WPI Key Parameters FY10 FY14 FY18 Change
5.8% Gross National Saving (% of GDP) (3) 33.7 32.1 30.0# (210 bps)
5.2% 4.9% 4.5% 5.3% Gross Domestic Investment (% of GDP) (3) 36.3 33.8 30.6# (320 bps)
3.6%
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (% of GDP) (3) 31.7 31.2 28.5 (270 bps)
3.3%
1.7% Capital Expenditure(3)(5) 9.4 12.0 12.3## 30 bps
1.2% 2.9%
Fiscal Deficit (% of GDP) (3) 6.5 4.5 3.3## (120 bps)
Revenue Deficit (% of GDP) (3) 5.2 3.2 2.2## (100 bps)
FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19
(Apr-Oct) FDI Inflows (US$ bn) (2) 37.7 36.0 61.0 69.44%
Exchange Rate (INR/US$, avg.) (2) 47.4 60.5 64.4 6.45%
-3.7%
Source: (1) Institute of International Finance (IIF) Database; (2) Reserve Bank of India, Press Release and Online Database (accessed online on 20/11/2018); (3) Central Statistics Office; (4) Bloomberg (Rebased to 100);
(5) % of Total Expenditure for FY10 & FY14 and % of Budget estimate for FY19; # Data pertains to FY17 Revised Estimates; ## Data pertains to Budget Estimates FY19 ; ** Base year for CPI Inflation FY14-FY18 is 7
2012=100. (6) INR: Indian Rupee; RUB: Russian Ruble; BRL: Brazilian Real; CNY: Chinese Yuan; IDR: Indonesian Rupiah; PHP: Philippines Peso
Sound External Sector
Trend of Merchandise Trade(1) Trend of Services Trade(2)
(US$ bn) 195
450 448 466 163 (US$ bn)
381 384 152 158 154
314 310 262 276 304 304 118
191 79 82 85 96 101
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Merchandise trade (exports + imports) as percentage of GDP stood at 29.7% in FY18.(1) India’s share in global merchandise trade stood at 2.1% (2017).(3)
India emerged as the 20th largest merchandise exporter in 2017; and accounted for 1.7% of global merchandise exports in the same year.(3)
India is the 9th largest exporter of services in 2017, accounting for 3.4% of global services exports.(3)
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Source: (1) MOCI/IIF; (2) Balance of Payment Statistics, RBI; (3) World Trade Organization (accessed on 20/11/2018).
External Debt vis-à-vis External Reserves
403% 393% 391% 386% External Reserves :
371%
301% External Debt
269%
FC Assets : External Debt
71%63%94% 68%62%90% 72%67%92% 74% 69%87% 79%73%86% 80%75%87% 79%74%87% Volatile Capital Flows:
External Reserves
FCA: Short-term debt
(US$ bn)
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY 18 FY 19 (Apr-Jun)
(1) ‘Volatile Capital Flows’ is defined to include cumulative portfolio inflows and short-term debt (RBI). For FY18, Volatile Capital Flow data pertains to end-Dec’17; (2) Volatile Capital Flows to Reserves ratio peaked at
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97.4% in September 2013; (3) Source: RBI/Ministry of Finance, Government of India; [3] Source: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FI.RES.TOTL.CD?view=chart&year_high_desc=true accessed on 27/11/2018.
India’s Twin Balance Sheet Problem
Investment-GDP Ratio soared by 11% points to 38% in four years to FY08. GNPA Ratio for Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs) soared from 2.3% as on March
Expectations of sustained double digit growth by corporates. 31, 2008, to 11.3% as on June 30, 2018#. GNPA ratio for Public Sector Banks (PSBs)
In three years to FY09, bank credit doubled. as on March 31, 2018 was 15.6%*.
Indian companies aggressively acquired companies overseas (e.g.: TATA Steel’s SCB’s GNPA Ratio projected to increase to 12.2% by March 2019*.
acquisition of Corus Steel, Hindalco’s acquisition of Novelis Inc). Bunching of bad loan recognition due to previous regulatory forbearance.
Not a systemic failure - exogenous factors / delay in recognition.
Bad-Loan-
Pre Global Financial Crisis
Encumbered Banks
Accommodative monetary policy tightened due to Post Global Financial Crisis Resolution
rise in inflation:
o Repo rates increased from 4.75% in April 2009 to
Asset Quality Review (AQR).
8.50% in October 2011.
Schemes - 5:25 Flexible Refinancing, Strategic Debt Restructuring (SDR), Scheme for
INR Depreciation added to the stress in FC debt servicing:
Sustainable Structuring of Stressed Assets (S4A) - withdrawn w.e.f. February 12,
o USD/INR depreciated from 52.97 in February 2013 to 68.36 in August 2013.
2018.
In 2013, 33% of corporate debt was owed by companies with ICR < 1; increased to
The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, 2016 (IBC).
above 40% in late 2016.
Announcement of INR 2.11 tn capital infusion into PSBs, including re-capitalisation
Capacity Utilization in Industry declined from 80.9% in Q3FY10 to 73.8% in Q1FY19.
bonds of INR 1.35 tn (INR 820 bn capital already allocated to PSBs). In July, GOI
infused INR 113 bn in 5 banks (PNB, Allahabad Bank, Andhra Bank, IOB and
Corporation Bank). INR 420 bn to be infused by mid-December. 2018
Make in India.
Liberalisation of FDI-25 Focus Sectors.
Relaxed FDI Norms: 100% permitted in single-brand retail and construction development.
Aadhaar backed Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT).
The Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act, 2016 (RERA).
The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, 2016 (IBC).
The Banking Regulation (Amendment) Act, 2017.
Constitution of Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) under the Monetary Policy Framework Agreement.
Currency Exchange (Demonetisation).
Goods and Service Tax (GST).
Bank Recapitalisation Bonds.
Targets set by N K Singh Committee on Fiscal Discipline:
o Debt-to-GDP ratio of 40% for Central Government, 20% for State Governments and fiscal deficit of 2.5% of GDP by FY23.
India jumped up 23 notches to the 77th position from 100 during 2017-18 on the World Bank’s ‘Ease of Doing Business’ Index 2019:
o Among the top 10 performers consecutively for the second year
o India decreased border and documentary compliance time for both exports and imports
Moody's upgrades India's Government bond rating to Baa2(stable) from Baa3(positive):
o Based on the reforms carried out, India’s structural credit strength and global competitiveness have improved.
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The Exim Story
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Bank : India’s Export Credit Agency
Genesis
Objectives
“for providing financial assistance to exporters and importers, and for functioning as the principal financial institution for coordinating the working
of institutions engaged in financing export and import of goods and services with a view to promoting the country’s international trade…”
“… shall act on business principles with due regard to public interest”
Vision
“To develop commercially viable relationships with a target set of externally oriented companies by offering them a comprehensive range of
products and services, aimed at enhancing their internationalisation efforts”
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Bank: Proxy to Sovereign
Ongoing Government Support
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Exim Bank’s Line of Business
Loan Portfolio[1][4] Non-Funded Portfolio[1]
Export Finance INR 1120 bn INR 135 bn Export Capability Creation
Term Loans
Lines of Credit /
CFS Working Capital
Export Facilitation
Pre-Shipment
Credit
Overseas
Investment
Post-Shipment Finance
Credit
Country Exposure[1][2][4] Risk Exposure[1][3]
Import Finance
Guarantees and Guarantees and
L/Cs L/Cs
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[1]: As on September 30, 2018; [2] Excluding India; [3] Classification of Net Loans outstanding on the basis of associated Risk; [4] Exposures value of less than 1% are excluded
Asset Quality
Gross Loans outstanding by Major Industries(1) (2)(4) Non Performing Loans(2) (3) Incremental Non Performing Loans(5)
Particulars INR bn %
Additional NPAs in
compliance with RBI
20.20 49.37%
Circular dated Feb 12,
2018
Reason for Slippage of GNPAs(1) Program wise Major Non Performing Loans(1)
No. of % of
Particulars % of Total NPAs as % of
Accounts GNPAs[2] Lending Program
NPAs[2] Gross Loans[3]
Industry Downturn 48 62.64 Overseas Investment Finance 33.12% 4.28%
Impact of Global Economic Crisis 30 14.11 Export Oriented Units 20.08% 2.60%
Liquidity Issues 15 9.98
Import Finance 8.53% 1.10%
Project Cost and Time Overrun 9 11.33
Claims under Guarantee 7.95% 1.03%
Fraud 4 1.47
Marketing Problems 4 0.45 Long Term Supplier's Credit 4.91% 0.64%
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Note: [1] As on September 30, 2018; [2] NPAs as % of Gross NPAs of the Bank; [3] NPAs under the program as % of Gross Loans Outstanding under the Program.
Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code: Faster NPL Resolution
Regulatory and Policy Thrust Exim’s Loan Accounts under Exposure to NCLT[1]
INR bn
Key Highlights Net
Provision Expected
38 large defaulters identified by RBI over 2 lists. Outstanding Book
(%) Recovery
Maximum time for resolution is 270 days under the Act. Value
(A) Exim Loans 46.92 82% 8.71 8.50
On admission to NCLT#, resolution professional replaces existing management.
Existing management accountable for suspect transactions in the previous (B) Guarantors
46.04 65% 16.14 8.27
three years. for Exim Loans[2]
Upfront provisioning norms set out for banks on admission to NCLT. Total 92.96 73% 24.85 16.77
‘Willful defaulters‘ excluded from bidding.
• Exim Bank has 73% provision for its portfolio under NCLT.
What does it mean for Lenders?
• In the current FY, the Bank has recovered INR 10.87 bn from the
Shift to ‘creditor in control’. accounts under NCLT.
Process can be initiated by any creditor. • Strengthened the Specialised Group handling stressed loans and
Short resolution time. recoveries.
Minority dissenting financial creditors to be paid pro-rata liquidation value. • Status of stressed loans and recoveries monitored by the Audit
Committee (a sub-committee of the Board), every quarter.
Clear priority of distribution (waterfall) upon liquidation; Government dues
subservient to secured creditors and unsecured financial creditors.
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 1HY19 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 1HY19
Tier I (%) Tier II (%) CAR (%) Total Assets (INR bn) Loans and Advances (INR bn)
Profitability
2.14%
1.97%
2.67%
2.17%
1.70%
16.52
18.12
25.30
61.61
24.10
13.90
20.74
22.72
20.76
24.81
19.39
21.68
19.31
14.21
21.62
1.38%
7.10
9.39
7.26
3.16
0.41
8.70
7.83
(5.08)
(29.24)
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 1HY19
Operating Profit (INR bn) Net Interest Income (INR bn) Provisions (INR bn) Net Profit (INR bn) NIM (%)
[1] Includes loans and advances to industrial concerns, scheduled banks, foreign governments and other financial institutions and bills of exchange and promissory notes discounted / rediscounted. Amounts stated are net
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of provisions for non-performing loans (NPLs).
Profitability Analysis
Analysis of Operating Profit for FY 2017-18 Breakup of Provisions
INR mn INR mn
[1]: As anticipated prior to RBI circular dated February 12, 2018, on revision of extant instructions on resolution of stressed assets 21
Asset Liability Management
Fully hedged position on currency and basis risk. Both Assets and Liabilities on floating LIBOR basis.
Exim Bank’s quasi sovereign status enables issuance at benchmark rates.
Debut 10 year 144A issuance in July 2016 and the second 10 year 144A issuance in January 2018 for USD 1 bn each under GMTN Program.
Regular issuer in the International debt markets with 25 issuances since 2004 under the MTN including 4 Uridashi and 2 144A issuances. 4 Samurai issuances
since February 2006.
Issuances across currencies including AUD, CHF, CNY, JPY, MXN, SGD, TRY and ZAR
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[1] As on September 30, 2018
Issuances in International Debt Markets
Upto March 2009 | FY 2009-10 | 2010-11 | 2011-12 | 2012-13 | 2013-14 | 2014-15 | 2015-16 | 2016-17 | 2017-18
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Samurai Issuance; Uridashi Issuance; 144A Issuance
Exim Bank - Board of Directors
Ramesh Abhishek T.S. Tirumurti
Secretary, Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion, Ministry of Commerce Secretary (Economic Relations), Ministry of External Affairs
and Industry
Directors representing Ministries of Finance, Commerce and External Affairs Director representing regulator - RBI
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Directors representing major Indian Public Sector Banks Director representing India’s Export Credit Insurance Company Whole Time Directors
Exim Bank - Senior Management
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Exim Bank - Institutionalised Risk Management Culture
Officer of the rank of Chief General Manager designated as Chief Risk Officer for credit, market and operational risks.
Risk Management Group
Tasked with risk management of the Bank’s business processes and driving the Bank’s risk management strategy.
Asset-Liability Chaired by Deputy Managing Director and comprises Group Heads of Business Groups, Treasury and Accounts Group, and the
Management Committee Chief Risk Officer.
(ALCO) It addresses issues of asset-liability management, interest and exchange rate risks, liquidity risk, etc.
Chaired by Deputy Managing Director and comprises Group Heads of Business Groups, Treasury and Accounts Group, and the
Credit Risk Chief Risk Officer.
Management Committee
(CRMC) The CRMC addresses rating and pricing standards, prudential limits on various exposure categories (country, sector, single and
group borrower and unsecured exposures, program-wise exposures etc.), provisioning, sector-wise outlook, etc.
Chaired by Deputy Managing Director and comprises senior executives who do not have direct line responsibilities and the Chief
Risk Officer.
Integrated Risk Reviews Bank’s risk profile, risk concentrations, operational risk, compliance with prudential limits and overseeing the operations
Management Committee of CRMC and ALCO.
Reviews the Bank’s risk management policies, investment policies and strategy, and regulatory and compliance issues in relation
thereto.
Chaired by Deputy Managing Director and comprises of directors appointed on to the Board by the respective institutions (IDBI,
ECGC) or the Central Government and the Chief Risk Officer.
Audit Committee RMC is responsible for implementing the Risk Management Policy of the Bank, monitoring adherence to various risk limits
specified by the RBI / Board, evaluation of overall risks faced in the activities of the Bank and also reviewing the roles and
responsibilities of other Risk management Committees.
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Appendix
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Financial Highlights
Balance Sheet
Note: (1) Includes loans and advances to industrial concerns, scheduled banks, foreign governments and other financial institutions and bills of exchange and promissory notes discounted/rediscounted.
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Amounts stated are net of provisions for non-performing loans (NPLs). ; (2) Includes paid-up capital and reserves.
Financial Highlights
Profit and Loss Summary
Figures in INR mn FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 HY19
Interest Earned 68,464 71,479 82,938 84,411 82,384 42,988
Interest Expended 46,840 53,355 60,221 65,022 65,863 35,155
Net Interest Income 21,624 18,124 22,717 19,389 16,521 7,833
Non-Interest Income 4,301 4,728 4,873 7,942 5,399 2,311
Operating Income 25,925 22,852 27,590 27,331 21,920 10,144
Non-interest Expense 1,826 2,109 2,292 2,525 2,608 1,444
Provisions and Contingencies 17,001 13,484 22,140 21,680 61,610 14,207
Net Profit 7,098 7,259 3,158 412 (29,237) (5,079)
Key Ratios
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