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Glossary of Rule #1

Financial Terms
# B

10-10 rule BAG


A concept used when determining whether a busi- Big Audacious Goal -- Coined by author Jim Collins
ness has Meaning (one of the Four Ms) to you as a in the book Good to Great, Rule #1 investors seek
Rule #1 investor. The rule states that you should not businesses led by CEOs driven by BAGs. These goals
“Own a business for 10 seconds if you are not willing are bigger and more meaningful than mere mission
to own it for 10 years.” statements in that BAGs are about passion and
relentless drive to change the world in some small
or big way.

A
Balance sheet
The financial statement that presents a company’s
Analyst consensus current financial position by disclosing the assets,

growth rate liabilities and equity claims as of a particular point


in time.
A forecasted earnings growth rate that is de­rived
from the forecasts of all the professional analysts
following a particular company
Basic EPS
Net earnings that are available to common share-

Asset holders. This is calculated as net income minus pre-


ferred dividends, divided by the weighted average
Resources controlled by a company from which
number of common shares outstanding.
future economic benefits are expected to be gen-
erated. In a business, an asset is something the
business owns that has a dollar value. (An asset in
Bearish
general is anything of value that can be traded.) An An investor who acts on the belief that a security
intangible asset is an asset that has a dollar value or the market is falling or is expected to fall.
but may not be worth anything unless the business
is successful. Typically this is an asset that was Beta
acquired through buying another business. The A standardized measure of risk.
price paid in excess of that business’s net worth is
often called “goodwill” and is treated as an asset
for GAAP purposes.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 1


Big Five Book value Equity
The five financial calculations help to confirm the Per Share
existence of a Moat (see definition) in a business,
The amount of book value of common equity per
which translates to the business being protected
share of common stock. This is calculated as book
from competition and thereby having a predictable
value of shareholders’ equity divided by the number
future. Rule #1 investors only invest in businesses
of common shares outstanding.
if all five of the Big Five numbers are equal to
or greater than 10 percent per year for the last
10 years.
Bullish
An investor who thinks the market or a specific secu-
The Big Five numbers are:
rity or industry will rise. A bull market is an extended
1. Return on Investment Capital (ROIC) period in which the market consistently rises.

2. Sales growth rate

3. Earnings per Share (EPS) growth rate


C
4. Equity, or Book Value per Share (BVPS),
growth rate

5. Free Cash Flow (FCF or Cash) growth rate


Call option
A contract that gives the holder the right to buy an

Bond underlying asset from another party at a fixed price


over a specified period of time
A debt investment, as in your loaning money to the

Capital Gains Tax


U.S. government, which borrows from you for a
defined period of time at a specified interest rate.
The government issues you a certificate, or bond, A tax on the increase in the value of an asset; the
that states the interest rate (coupon rate) that will be difference in what you paid to purchase that asset
paid and when the loaned funds are to be returned and what you sell it for. (The gain is not realized until
(maturity date). These are often called T-bonds or the asset is sold.) A capital gain may be short-term
T-bills, short for treasury bonds or bills. (one year or less) or long-term (more than one year).
Long-term capital gains are usually taxed at a lower

Book Value rate than regular income. So, if you sell stocks six
months after you purchased them and take profits,
The net asset value of a company, calculated by total
you’ll be taxed at a higher rate than if you sell them
assets minus intangible assets (patents, goodwill)
one year and one day after you originally bought
and liabilities. It’s what the business is worth if you
them (assuming you can still take profits).
shut it down.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 2


Commodity Covered call
A bulk good that’s traded on an exchange or in An option strategy where the holder of an asset
the cash market. Examples include grain, oats, sells a call op­tion on a previously purchased stock.
coffee, fruit, gold, oil, beef, silver, and natural gas. The two potential scenarios at option expiration are
A “commodity business,” on the other hand, is what to create cash flow equal to the option premium
we call any company that produces a product that received or to effectively sell the stock at a price
anyone else can similarly produce, thus eliminating equal to the stated strike price plus the premium
a Moat. If you own a strawberry patch, for example, received. This is an alternative way to sell stocks
chances are a neighboring strawberry patch can especially when the stock is not currently trading
easily compete with you. A strawberry from your in the red zone.
patch is not going to be all that different from a
strawberry from your neighbor. It’s very difficult Credit spread
and expensive to create a Moat and protect it with
A limited risk option strategy that is implemented by
a commodity business.
selling one naked option, which incurs an obligation
to perform and offsetting that obli­gation by buying
Compounded annual a second option at a different strike price that gives
growth rate (CAGR) you the right to make someone else perform.

The year-over-year growth rate of an investment


over a specified period of time. It’s an imaginary Current liabilities
number that describes the rate at which an invest- Short-term obligations that are expected to be
ment would have grown if it grew at a steady rate. settled in the near-term.

Consistency Current ratio


Score (0-100) Liquidity ratio calculated as current assets divided by
current li­abilities.
A measure of how constant a company’s growth has
been. Companies with high consistency scores are
ones that have expand­ed their operations and value
without demonstrating a significant amount
of variability in their growth rates.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 3


D

Debt-to-equity ratio Dividend


Solvency ratio calculated as total debt divided by A distribution of cash, stock, or property by a
total debt plus total shareholders’ equity. company, based on its earnings, to its shareholders.
Dividends are usually quoted per share. They are
Debt–to-earnings ratio typically the “thank-you” notes for owning stocks in
a stable company (which usually doesn’t have stock
The amount of years it would take a company to pay
prices that move rapidly).
off its debt using its current annual earnings.

Debt Score (0-100) Dividends per share


The dollar amount of cash dividends paid during
Companies with high scores are ones that have very
a period per share of common stock.
little debt or that can pay off their current debt load
using their earnings in a rela­tively short period of
time. Scores of 100 indicate no current debt load, Dollar Cost Averaging
while lower scores indicate increasingly higher levels (DCA)
of debt in relation to earnings.
The practice of buying a certain number of shares in

Depreciation
a given stock periodically, so you buy a certain dollar
amount of shares regardless of the price per share.
The systematic allocation of costs of long-lived This allegedly helps reduce their risk of investing a
assets to the pe­riod during which the assets are large amount in a single stock at the wrong time.
expected to generate economic benefits. You buy more shares when the prices are low, and
fewer shares when the prices are high. In long side-
Diluted EPS ways markets, DCA will not reduce the risk of a zero
rate of return. For Rule #1 investors, however, you
The EPS (Earnings Per Share) that would
already know what price you are willing to pay, so
result if all dilutive securities were converted
DCA isn’t necessary. Dow Jones Industrial Average.
into common shares.
A price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks
traded on the NYSE and the Nasdaq. Examples of
DJIA companies include General Electric, Disney,
McDonald’s, and Coca-Cola. Invented by Charles
Dow in 1896.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 4


E

Earnings growth rate Equity


(EGR) (1) Stock or any other security representing owner-
ship (“equities” are stocks). (2) On the balance sheet,
The compounded growth rate that is used to fore­
equity refers to the amount of the funds contributed
cast potential future earnings per share. This is used
by the owners (the stockholders) plus the retained
in connection with other valuation assumptions to
earnings (or losses). Thus, equity is essentially
forecast the future value of the firm and calculate
ownership in an asset after all debts associated with
sticker price.
that asset are paid off. The importance of equity to

Earnings per share a Rule #1 investor is in its growth rate. The growth
rate of equity represents the growing surpluses,
(EPS) which in turn increase the value of the business.

The amount of income earned during a period per


share of common stock. Exchange
A market where securities, commodities, options, or
Earnings surprise futures are traded. Examples of exchanges include
the NYSE, Nasdaq, and AMEX.
A company announcement of earnings that differs
from analysts’ forecasts.

Earnings Yield
The income return that a full owner would receive
from the earnings of the company if the company
was purchased at the current market price. It is
determined by dividing the current earnings per
share by the current market price.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 5


F G

Four Growth Rates Gamma


A subset of the Big Five that includes: Measures how sensitive an option’s delta is to a
change in the un­derlying asset.
1. Sales growth rate

2. Earnings per Share (EPS) growth rate Green Zone


3. Equity, or Book Value per Share (BVPS), Delineates the beginning of the potential purchase
growth rate zone. When­ever a particular stock trades below
the green zone price then it may be con­sidered for
4. Free Cash Flow (FCF or Cash) growth rate
purchase. The green zone price can be either the
Margin of Safety Price, The Payback Time Price, the
Four Ms lesser of these two prices or for more experi­enced
Meaning, Moat, Management, and Margin of Safety. investors, 80% of sticker price.

Free cash flow Gross profit margin


The actual cash that would be available to the com- This is calculated as gross profit divided by revenue.
pany’s investors after operational investments.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 6


I L

Index Large-Cap
An imaginary portfolio of securities (stocks and Stocks with large market capitalization, between $10
bonds) representing a particular market or a portion billion and $200 billion.
of it. The S&P 500 is one of the world’s best-known
indexes, and is the most commonly used benchmark Last
for the stock market. Technically, you can’t actually
The last actual price at which a stock was sold.
invest in an index. Rather, you invest in a security
such as an index fund or ETF that attempts to track
an index as closely as possible.
M
Index Fund
A portfolio of investments that are weighted the
same as a stock-exchange index, such as the S&P
MACD
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence is a
500, in order to mirror its performance.
trend-following momentum indicator that shows the

Industry relationship between two moving aver­ages of price.


To calculate the MACD, subtract the 26-day expo-
A group of companies that provides similar product nential mov­ing average from the 12-day exponential
and services. moving average. A nine-day dotted exponential
moving average called the signal line is then plotted
Insider trading on top of the MACD.

When corporate insiders—officers, directors, and


employees—buy and sell stock in their own com- Management
panies. When corporate insiders trade in their own One of the Rule #1 Four Ms that qualify a business
securities, they must report their trades to the SEC. you are considering investing in. Having good
management means the business is led by skilled,
Intrinsic Value experienced individuals that you respect.

The current value of a business based on its future


surplus cash flow. Also known as “Sticker Price”.

In-the-money
Options that if exercised would result in a profit.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 7


Management Score Market Capitalization
(0-100) The total dollar value of all outstanding (sold and
held by investors) shares. A business’s “market cap”
A high management score means that the Re­turn
is calculated by multiplying its number of outstand-
on Equity and Return on Invested Capital over the
ing shares times the current market price.
last ten years have been high, indicating that the
company may have quality management. Those with
the highest scores are those that have had consis- Market order
tently high returns over the last ten years. An order to buy or sell a security immediately at the
best price available.
Margin of safety (MOS)
The difference between the sticker price and margin Meaning
of safety price. This reduction in the sticker price One of the Rule #1 Four Ms that qualify a business
helps to insulate investors from possible valuation you are considering investing in. Meaning is that you
mistakes. understand the business enough to want to own the
whole thing if you could, that you’d be proud to own
Margin of safety price it, and that it reflects your values.

(MOS Price) Mid-Cap


A potential purchase price for a particular stock that
Stocks with middle-range market capitalization,
is determined by reducing the sticker price by the
between $2 billion and $10 billion. Moat. First coined
margin of safety.
by Warren Buffett, Moat refers to the competitive

Margin of safety yield advantage a company has over other companies in


the same industry.
(MOS Yield)
The return that a full owner of a company would Minimum Acceptable
receive from the earnings of the company if the Rate of Return (MARR)
company was pur­chased at the MOS price. It
The rate at which an investor should expect to earn
is calculated by dividing the current Earnings per
on an investment. In the Payback Time system, this
share (EPS) by the MOS Price.
typi­cally equals 15% annually.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 8


Moat these com­panies have the highest probability of
having a significant competitive advan­tage over their
One of the Rule #1 Four Ms that qualify a business peers, which has allowed them to grow significantly
you are considering investing in. Moat means that over time.
the business must meet certain criteria in terms
of financial strength and predictability, creating a
symbolic Moat to surround and protect it from com-
Money Flow
The amount of capital that is being invested in
petitors. The strength of a business’ Moat, or lack
or conversely mov­ing out of a particular security,
thereof, will surface in one of The Big Five numbers
industry, or industry sector.
(see definition in this glossary).

The five types of Moats include Moving average


Brand – A product you’re willing to pay more for Frequently used to show the average value of a
because you trust it. The company is consistent in security’s price over a period of time. A simple
high quality services. moving average is the average price of the stock
over a specific period of time. An exponential
Secret – A business that has a patent or trade secret
moving average is weighted to give more emphasis
that makes direct competition illegal or very difficult.
on recent activity.
Commonly pharmaceutical and technology compa-
nies.
Mutual Fund
Toll Bridge – A business with exclusive control of A financial entity that allows a group of investors
a market—giving it the ability to collect a “toll” from to pool their money for investing in the market,
customers needing that service or product. usually with a predetermined investment objective.
Switching – A business that is so much a part of A fund manager is responsible for taking that pooled
your life that a switching is not worth the trouble. money—usually billions—and buying securities
(usually stocks or bonds). When you invest in a
Price - Companies with prices so low no one else mutual fund, you are buying shares (or portions)
can compete. of the mutual fund and become a shareholder of
the fund. The vast majority of mutual funds fail
Moat Score (0-100) to beat the market, as well as broad indexes like
A company with a high moat score is one whose the S&P 500.
finan­cial numbers indicate that it may have a sus-
tainable and durable moat. Com­panies that have
significantly grown their earnings per share, book
value per share, sales per share, and operating cash
flow per share at greater than 10% per year will have
the highest score. The higher scores suggest that

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 9


N Option Chain
For each underlying security, the option chain tells

Naked Puts
investors the various strike prices, expiration dates,
and whether they are calls or puts.
An option strategy where a put option is sold. The
two possible outcomes at option expiration are an
income return from receiving the option premium
or the potential to purchase the stock at a price
P
equal to the stated strike price minus the premium
received. Selling naked puts is an alternate method
for purchasing stock especially when the stock is not
Payback Time (PBT)
The amount in years it would take a full owner of a
currently trading in the green zone.
com­pany to recoup the capital investment using the

Net income (or net loss) forecasted earnings stream of the company.

The difference between revenues and expenses.


Payback Time Price
Noncurrent assets (PBT Price)
The price that can be paid for a particular stock to
Assets that are expected to benefit the company
receive the forecasted Payback Time. The investor
over an extended period of time.
selects the amount of years that determines the
price. The default is 8 years.

O P/E
A ratio of price to earnings (market value per share,
Operating cash flow divided by earnings per share). Sometimes the PE

per share (OCPS)


is referred to as the “multiple” because it shows
how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of
Denotes the amount of usable cash from operations earnings. If Company X has a PE of 10, that means
that is allocated to each share of a company’s stock. an investor is willing to pay $10 for every $1 of
earnings. In general, a high PE means the analysts
Options are projecting higher earnings in the future. When
comparing PEs, it’s best to compare PEs within the
The privilege to buy or sell an asset, such as a stock,
same industry, or against a company’s own historical
at a specified price within a specified time. Options
PE. The PE of the entire stock market—“market PE”—
are typically for the advanced investor.
has historically been about 16.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 10


Peers Price to sales (P/S) ratio
Other businesses that form a company’s The price of a share per the company’s sales. This is
competitive set. calculated as price per share divided by sales.

PEG
Price to Earnings multiple divided by the forecasted R
growth rate. It de­notes the amount of the PE multi-
ple that the market is paying for every per­centage of
forecasted growth. Red Zone
Delineates the beginning of the potential sales zone.
Portfolio List Whenever a particular stock trades above the red
A list of businesses that you have bought and may zone price, then it may be considered as a potential
wish to sell. Rule #1 investors use a portfolio list to sales candidate. The red zone price is determined by
track the MOS and the Tools. multiplying the sticker price by 120%.

Price to book value REITs (Real Estate


(P/BV) ratio Investment Trust)
The price of a share per the company’s book value of A security that sells like a stock on the major

equity. This is calculated as price per share divided exchanges and invests in real estate directly, either

by book value per share. through properties or mortgages. This is how you
can invest in real estate, without actually buying a

Price to cash flow piece of property.

(P/CF) ratio Return on Assets (ROA)


The price of a share per the company’s cash flow. Gives an idea as to how efficient management is at
This is calculated as price per share divided by cash using its assets to generate earnings. This is calcu-
flow per share. lated by dividing a company’s annual earnings by its
total assets.
Price to earnings
(P/E) ratio
The price of a share per the company’s earnings.
This is calculated as price per share divided by
earnings.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 11


Return on Equity (ROE) Rhu
The amount of net income returned as a percentage The sensitivity of the option price to the
of shareholders equity and a measure of manage- risk-free rate.
ment’s effectiveness in ap­plying equity capital. One
way of calculating ROE is to divide net income by Rule of 72
shareholder’s equity.
A method for estimating an investment’s doubling
time. The number in the title is divided by the inter-
Return on Investment est percentage per period to obtain the approximate
(ROI) number of periods (usually years) required
for doubling.
The percentage return you’ve made on your
investment. The ROI for a savings account is 2
percent a year. It’s the total you got back from your Rule #1 Score
investment, less the investment itself, divided by The Rule #1 Score helps you determine the com-
the investment. If I got back $120 from selling panies that have a high probability of meeting your
lemonade and my investment was $100, to find definition of a “wonderful company.” If this company
my ROI, I subtract $100 from $120 to get $20. has meaning for you, look to the other scores to
And $20 ÷ $100 = 20%. help you identify companies that may meet your
expectation for the three M’s: Moat, Manage­ment
Return on Invested and Margin of Safety.

Capital (ROIC) Rule #1


The return on invested capital measure gives a
Don’t lose money
sense of how well a company is using its money to
Attributed by Warren Buffett to his teacher, Benja-
generate returns. One way to calculate ROIC is to
min Graham. The essence of Rule #1 is the idea
subtract dividends from net income and then divide
of certainty and low risk from buying businesses,
that number by total capital.
not stocks, that are wonderful and only at an attrac-

Revenue tive price—in other words, buy a dollar of value


for fifty cents.
The amount a company makes for providing
goods and services. Rule #2
Don’t forget Rule #1

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 12


S

Sales per share Stochastics


The amount of a company’s sales allocated to each An indicator that compares where a security’s price
share of company stock. closed rela­tive to its price range over a given time
period. In theory, prices tend to close near their high
Scans in an upwardly trending market and closer to their
low in a downward trending market.
A screening method applying a set of criteria to

Sustainable growth
reduce a set of poten­tial investments to a smaller
set having specified desired characteristics.
rate
SEC filings The rate of earnings and dividend growth that can
A financial statement or other formal document be sustained over time for a given level of return on
submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange equity, assuming a con­stant capital structure and
Commission (SEC). Public companies, certain in­sid- no common stock dilution.
ers and broker-dealers are required to make regular
SEC filings.

Sector
A group of related industries.

Sector Fund
A type of mutual fund that invests in a particular
industry or sector of the economy.

Sticker Price
The value of a business, despite the selling price
on the market. Rule #1 investors seek to buy busi-
nesses at 50 percent of their Sticker Price, when
they are undervalued. Sticker Price is determined by
performing calculations on the Four Growth Rates
(see definition).

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 13


T

Technical analysis Town Beta (0-100)


A method of evaluating securities by analyzing statis- A measure of how well each of the growth rates
tics generated by market activity, such as past prices (EPS, Sales, OCPS) explains the growth in book value
and volume. Technical ana­lysts do not attempt to per share. High betas suggest that the companies
measure a security’s intrinsic value. Technical ana- have similar patterns of growth in all of the signifi-
lysts often use charts to identify patterns that can cant growth rates. Since book value per share is the
suggest future activity. most difficult number to manipulate through finan-
cial engineering, a significant variation in the growth
of EPS, Sales, OCPS, in relation to book value (low
Technical indicator beta score) can signal an issue with some aspect of
Used to predict future financial or economic trends. the company’s operation that should be noted and
An in­dicator is a mathematical calculation based on researched.
a security’s price and/or volume.
Treasury shares
Theta Shares that were issued and subsequently repur-
The rate at which an option’s time value decays. chased by the company.

Ticker Symbol Trend


Denotes a particular stock on an exchange. Ticker A direction that’s discerned by trading data.
symbols for companies trading on the NYSE or Amex
have three letters while companies trading on the
NASDAQ have four.

Trailing Twelve Months


(TTM)
Denotes that the number or metric being dis­played
is for a period that equals the previous twelve
months of operation.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 14


V

Vega
The relationship between option price and volatility.

Watch List
A list of businesses that you don’t own but may wish
to buy. Rule #1 investors use a Watch List to track
the MOS and the Tools.

Withholding
percentage
The percentage amount of an investment that a
bro­ker will hold to insulate against potential losses.

Zacks
A Chicago-based firm that provides institutional and
individual investors with analytical tools and finan-
cial information. You’re likely to find financial data
through outlets such as Microsoft Money, Reuters,
Quicken, and Bank of America, which originated
from Zacks.

Glossary of Rule #1 Terms 15

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