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Unsustainable landscapes of deforested Amazonia: An analysis of the


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Article  in  Global Environmental Change · September 2016


DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.04.009

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Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Global Environmental Change


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/gloenvcha

Unsustainable landscapes of deforested Amazonia: An analysis of the


relationships among landscapes and the social, economic and
environmental profiles of farms at different ages following
deforestation
Patrick Lavellea,b,* , Sylvain Dolédecc , Xavier Arnauld de Sartred, Thibaud Decaënse,
Valery Gondf , Michel Grimaldia , Johan Oszwaldg , Bernard Huberth , Bertha Ramirezi,
Iran Veigaj , Simão de Souzaj, William Santos de Assisj , Fernando Michelottij,
Marlucia Martinsk , Alexander Feijool , Pierre Bommelm, Edna Castañedai ,
Patricia Chaconn , Thierry Desjardinsa , Florence Dubsa , Erika Gordilloi, Edward Guevarab ,
Steven Fonteb , Maria del Pilar Hurtadob , Philippe Lenao , Tamara Limap ,
Raphaël Marichala , Danielle Mitjaq , Izildinha Mirandap , Tupac Oteror,
Catarina Praxedesk , René Poccardm, Pascale de Roberto , Gamaliel Rodriguezi,
Catalina Sanabrian , Stéphanie Tselouikoa , Alexander Velasquezi , Elena Velasquezr,
Jaime Velasquezi
a
Université Paris 6 UPMC/Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, UMR Biogéochimie des Ecosystèmes Continentaux, Paris, France
b
Centro Internacional de Agricultural Tropical, Cali, Colombia
c
Université Lyon 1, UMR 5023 LEHNA, Villeurbanne, France
d
Université de Pau et des Pays de l’Adour, UMR CNRS 5603 SET, Pau, France
e
Université de Rouen, UPRES-EA1293 ECODIV, Mont Saint-Aignan, France
f
CIRAD, UPR Bsef, F-34398 Montpellier, France
g
Université de Rennes 2, UMR CNRS 5664, LETG–COSTEL, France
h
Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, Avignon, France
i
Universidad de la Amazonia, Florencia, Caqueta, Colombia
j
Universidade Federal do Pará, Belem, PA, Brazil
k
Museu Paraense Emilio Goeldi, Belém, PA, Brazil
l
Universidad Tecnológica de Pereira, Facultad de Ciencias Ambientales, Pereira, Colombia
m
Centre International de Recherche en Agriculture et Développement, Montpellier, France
n
Universidad del Valle, Cali, Colombia
o
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Paris, France
p
Universidade Federal Rural da Amazônia, Belém, Brazil
q
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, UMR ESPACE-DEV, Montpellier, France
r
Universidad Nacional de Colombia sede Palmira, Palmira, Colombia

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Article history:
Received 28 August 2015 In Amazonia, our knowledge of the trade-offs and possible thresholds in the relationships among social,
Received in revised form 18 April 2016 economic and environmental parameters remains quite limited and hinders the design of sustainable
Accepted 25 April 2016 socio-environmental systems. To fill this gap, we analyzed relationships among landscape metrics, socio-
Available online 6 August 2016 economic patterns, biodiversity and soil-based ecosystem services within a total of 51 farms located at 6
sites of the Colombian and Brazilian Amazon. Farms were representative of an initial set of 274
Keywords: and they represented colonization ages from 10 to 80 years and a range of public policies found in the
Socioecological systems region.
Amazonia
Cluster analysis separated farms in 7 types of production systems according to 5 main criteria (size of
Landscapes
the farm, human capital, incomes, farm products and production intensity) selected from an initial set of

* Corresponding author at: Université Paris 6 UPMC/Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, UMR Biogéochimie des Ecosystèmes Continentaux, Paris, France.
E-mail addresses: Patrick.Lavelle@ird.fr, plavelle48@gmail.com (P. Lavelle).

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.04.009
0959-3780/ã 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
138 P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155

Biodiversity 18 criteria. Biodiversity was summarized into a composite index Bd built with data from 8 different
Ecosystem services groups: trees, shrubs, grasses and forbs, birds, Saturnidae and Sphingidae moths, Drosophilidae,
Social wellbeing earthworms and ants. Provision of ecosystem services was quantified by a composite indicator of 6 sub-
Economic efficiency
indicators of soil hydrological functions, C storage and chemical fertility. Increasing intensity of
production systems was linked to a significant decrease of indicators of natural capital biodiversity (Bd)
and soil based ecosystem services (Es) with 20% and 37.3% variance explained, respectively. No
relationship was observed between production systems and an indicator of human wellbeing (Sb) based
on a set of 5 criteria identified with the farmers. Findings indicate that early colonizers migrate when a
certain level of development has been achieved (as a result of their activities) and are replaced by
wealthier populations.
An overall indicator of sustainability (Su) – that combines production efficiency (Ep), Sb,Bd and Es
indices (ranging from 0.1–1.0) – decreases significantly with the landscape intensification (Li) with 18.7%
variance directly explained by this relationship. Su was also significantly related to production systems
(36.4% variance explained): while this indicator remained relatively stable with a value of 0.5 across the
early and intermediate phases following deforestation, it dropped down considerably (0.2) for
production systems based on cattle ranching on highly degraded pastures with less than 2% forest cover
remaining. Restoration with sylvopastoral systems allowed some farms of this former group to increase
sustainability to a value of 0.35 after less than 5 years. Agroforestry systems on sites deforested at the
same time maintained values around 0.5, as they allowed the maximum production efficiencies and
maintained relatively high values of the Biodiversity (Bd) and Ecosystem services (Es) indexes. This is
evidence that beyond the general negative trade-off between human development and natural capital
observed in Amazonia, agro ecological options to revert the trend are quite promising. A general
methodological approach for the reconstruction of sustainable landscapes in farms of the deforested
Amazonian region is proposed as a conclusion.
ã 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction as biodiversity and provision of ecosystem services (Gunderson


and Holling, 2002; Mattison and Norris, 2005; Nelson et al., 2009).
With nearly 70% of forest cover remaining intact, the Amazon However, very few data have been collected thus far to test and
region houses unrivalled levels of species diversity for a number of quantify these relationships in Amazonia and facilitate the
taxonomic groups of plants, vertebrates and invertebrates (Da Silva design of policies that simultaneously address the economic,
et al., 2005). It is emblematic of the challenges faced by human environmental and social aspects of development (Carvalho et al.,
development in a context of global environmental degradation and 2001; Grieg-Gran et al., 2005; Boerner et al., 2007; Foley et al.,
climate change (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005). 2007). In addition, linkages between the decrease in social and
Experts state that forest conservation is necessary to minimize economic performance, often observed after 3–4 decades follow-
regional climatic disturbances and limit global temperature ing forest colonization, and an overall impairment of
increase to 2  C at the end of the century (Lenton, 2011). They natural capital have not been clearly demonstrated (Rodrigues
express concern about possible effects of climate change on the et al., 2009).
integrity of this region (Giles, 2006). Others still consider this vast In order to fill these important gaps, we analyzed the
and little populated area as a possible new frontier for expanding relationships and trade-offs among the different social, economic
food production (Simon and Garagorry, 2005; Morton et al., 2006). and environmental components of farming landscapes, while
Much emphasis has been placed upon creating large conservation testing the following hypotheses (Fig. 1).
areas to prevent irreversible biodiversity losses that this option
would trigger (Peres, 2005; Walker et al., 2009; Gibson et al., 2011). H1. The production systems selected by farmers following
However, the threat of deforestation leading to an irreversible deforestation determine the subsequent composition and
shift to savanna has been expressed (Nepstad et al., 2008; structure of landscape and landuse intensity. Depending on
Lawrence et al., 2007; Staver et al., 2011). Decision support resources available (labor, finances, knowledge, equipment)
strategies for conservation planning are now increasingly farmers convert forest to different types of agroecosystems and
discussed (Game et al., 2013; Gardner et al., 2009), while determine the nature, size, and shape of managed plots and
considerably less effort has been directed towards improving their distribution in the farm landscape.
land-use efficiency in already cleared lands by trying to
understand trade-offs among ecosystem services and landscape H2. Production systems, defined by human and financial
organization (Godar et al., 2012; Kareiva et al., 2007; Steffan- resources available, commodities produced on the farm and
Dewenter et al., 2007). In Amazonia, deforested lands comprise a incomes generated, directly affect production efficiency.
gradient from early phases of settlement (with relatively high
levels of forest cover) to more mature stages, where extensive H3. Production systems also affect social wellbeing, such that
livestock production and/or intensive agriculture may sustain well-equiped and well-trained farmers are expected to have a
development for a few decades before starting to decline better chance to implement production systems with a high
(Rodrigues et al., 2009). Although natural forests may be present, productivity and/or commercial value and fit in competitive
they have all suffered some degree of perturbation. marketing chains.
Theory predicts that the socio-economic conditions prevailing
in the region and the production systems that are selected H4. Well performing production systems are therefore expected
determine the land cover mosaic of deforested landscapes as well to result in satisfactory levels of well being.
P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155 139

Fig. 1. Relationships hypothesized among the different components of Amazonian socio-environmental systems.

H5. Landscape composition and structure and landuse intensity We finally designed a composite indicator of sustainability
determine the provision of ecosystem services by soils. These based on social, economic and environmental variables to evaluate
include hydrological functions (infiltration, storage, cleaning of trade-offs between these components following deforestation and
water), climate regulation through C storage and greenhouse identify the drivers and necessary conditions for a sustainable
gas emissions (Grimaldi et al., 2014), primary production development. Variations of this indicator, expected to be
affected by the management of chemical fertility, pollination, significantly linked to landscape management intensity and
pests and diseases, as well as soil formation and conservation production systems, should provide insight on the trade-offs
through aggregation processes and management of plant and relationships among the six socio-environmental components
cover. analyzed in our study (Fig. 1).
Since landscape change is generally too slow to permit
H6. The quality and abundance of habitats provided by these monitoring in the limited time frame of a research project, we
transformed ecosystems and landscapes determine the number adopted the “space for time” approach to studying the evolution of
and functions of species that will compose local biodiversity. socio-environmental systems through time. We also had to select
our sites in different geographical regions since the spatial
H7. Biodiversity is linked to ecosystem services via multiple pattern of the deforestation processes would not allow us to find
physical, chemical and biological effects on soils and agro- coexisting sites covering the whole range of deforestation ages. We
ecosystems. therefore selected six sites that form a chronosequence ranging
from recently deforested areas (10 years) to those that were
H8. Biodiversity and soil ecosystem services are also linked to cleared long ago (60–80 years; Fig. 2). Recently deforested
human wellbeing, especially in poor communities that depend sites were selected in Brazil (Pará state), while older sites were
more on local natural resources than wealthier communities located in Colombia (Caquetá Department). We were thus able to
(MEA, 2005). cover the desired sequence of ages and have distinct contexts
of development policy, with different legal status of the
140 P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155

Fig. 2. Location of the study sites: two regions (1: Pará, Brazil) and 2: Caquetá, Colombia with six sites ranked from LU 1 to LU 6 according to land use intensity. Sites are
separated in Brazil and contiguous in Colombia.

settlements in Brazil and implementation of restoration policies in hundred variables into a representative and easier to manage, set
Colombia. of synthetic indicators that would express the largest possible
proportion of total variance in each data set. Reducing the
information into a low number of indicators would allow for the
2. Site characteristics and general methodology
testing of significant relationships among all indicators
(e.g., landscape intensification vs. biodiversity or ecosystem
2.1. General approach
services).
The initial set of 306 farms (51 per site) was reduced to 274 after
We used widely tested and simple methods to measure all
32 farms had to be discarded when, for example, farmers did not
relevant variables for each disciplinary field in order to assess a set
allow for the research to be conducted, or information was
of farms within each of six sites, representing various stages of
incomplete and/or obviously erroneous. Another set of farms was
transition from forest. We then reduced the initial set of several

Table 1
Main characteristics of the surveyed sites. Total woody cover is the sum of forests (primary and secondary) and fallows of different ages, but not tree-based crops.

Municipality X (UTM, Y (UTM, Start of Average distance Average Area of Total woody Main characteristics
State/Dept. WG584 WG584 Colonization to paved road or area of remaining cover% in
Country Mini/Maxi Mini/Maxi regional capital (km) farms original sampled
(ha) forest% farms
LU 1 Pacaja Parà, 493585.7 9582189.4 1978 35 82 70 75 Spontaneous colonization on
BR 496152.3 9591279.2 early pioneer front
LU 2 Nova Ipixuna 679602.5 9473375.9 1982 50 81 40 52 Agro-extrractivist project with
Parà, BR 686282.9 9467677.1 collective tenure + pastures
LU 3 Eldorada 625263.4 9343195.9 1995 38 25 44 48 Occupied by the landless
Carajas, Parà, 603403.3 9352609.8 workers movement
BR
LU 4 Belen de los 2324742.8 10187231.1 1950 52 49 2 19 Perennial crops in a rubber
A./Morelia 2312112.4 10173341.7 plantation with pastures
Caqueta, CO
LU 5 Florencia, 2352560.7 10178497.1 1940 20 65 6 18 Mixed pastures and perennials
Caqueta, CO 2335720.1 10163170.7
LU 6 Florencia, 2311340.8 10168671.4 1950 20 184 2 2 Dominated by long established
Caqueta, CO 2320397.3 10184388.2 degraded pastures
P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155 141

removed from the analysis when they had been abandoned or were best described and discriminated farms: farm size, human capital,
no longer dedicated to representative farming activities. We first incomes from different farm products, productivity per unit of
assessed these 274 farms for social and economic conditions; a labor and off-farm income. We used these variables to make a
subset of 54 (9 per site) farms representative of this sample was classification of production systems and analyze their covariations
then analyzed for landscape metrics, ecosystem services and with socio-economic and environmental indicators measured at
biodiversity. each farm.
A Multiple Correspondance analysis (MCA) of the five multi
2.2. Site characterization qualitative variables listed in Table 2, size of the farm, human
capital (5 categories), farm products (10 categories), productivity
We conducted our study in two Amazonian regions with (4 categories) and non agricultural revenues (3 categories) allowed
distinct histories of colonization and management. A set of 51 for comparison of production systems for the 274 farms. A cluster
contiguous farms forming landscape “windows” of 50–150 km2 analysis of the respective coordinates of farms along the first four
was selected at each of the six sites, 3 in Brazil (Pará state) and 3 axes of the MCA allowed us to separate different types of
in Colombia (Caquetá Department), where smallholder agricul- production systems.
ture has been the basis for rural settlement (Fig. 2 and Table 1). Farm Size had a median value of 50 ha and was assessed in 5
Site selection, based on knowledge gained in earlier research classes: small 1–25 ha (68 farms); medium , from 25 to 45 ha
activities and satellite observations was guided by the need (59); medium +, from 46 to 50 ha (44); large, from 51 to 100 ha (66)
to have a gradient of land use intensification across the six and very large, >100 ha (37).
sites. Human capital separated farms into 5 classes according to the
The selected sites represented distinct stages of colonization, occurrence of hired labor: intensive > 1.2 UTH (unit of human
from 13 to 30 years in the Brazilian sites LU 1 to LU 3, to 58–68 labor) per year (19 farms), constant 0.8–1.2 UTH per year (35
years in Colombian sites LU 4 to LU 6 (Table 1). The proportion of farms), regular 0.2–0.8 UTH (18 farms), occasional < 0.2 UTH (74
original forest remaining and total woody cover (including farms), none (128).
secondary forest and old fallows) decreases regularly from the Sources of Income separated farmers into three classes: agri-
LU 1 site (75% woody cover), to 52 and 48% in LU 2 and 3 cultural, with >75% income from agriculture (182), non-agricultural,
respectively, 19 and 18% in LU 4 and 5, and only 2% in LU 6 (Fig. 3). with >75% incomes from external activities (60) and mixed with
The size of farms is highly variable, from 25 ha on average in LU 3 to 25–75% incomes generated in agriculture (32).
184 ha in LU 6, as a result of local farm management strategies and Five types of Farm Products were evaluated and 10 types of
public policies. Distance to a main road and/or town also varies farms separated according to the dominance of annual crops (36
significantly (Table 1). farms), livestock milk + meat (81), perennial crops (21), other
Although our sampling design did not include any large extents animal production fish, pork, chicken (14), diversified farming with
of pristine forest (i.e. the starting point of the deforestation no specific dominant production type (122). Production intensity
process), it has some areas of relatively intact forest and is was assessed through rates of annual deforestation and conversion
representative of typical environmental conditions that currently to pastures as % of the farm area and the number of livestock units
prevail in colonized areas of Amazonia. per ha of pasture.
Finally, a Production efficiency index, Pe = income per labor UTH
2.3. Socio-economic characterization unit, designed to synthesize farm economic performance, sepa-
rated four classes: wealthy > 14,118 US$ eq. Purchase Power Parity
Production systems were first characterized by a set of 18 PPP per labor UTH unit per year (83 farms), medium + 6559 to
variables (Table 2). Preliminary analyses of this data set (not shown 14,117 US$ eq. PPP; (84 farms), medium 1826 to 6558 USD eq.
here) allowed us to distinguish five multi qualitative variables that PPP; (67 farms) and poor < 1825 US$ eq. PPP; (45)

Fig. 3. Landscape composition at the 6 different study sites.


142 P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155

Table 2
Multi-quantitative variables of production systems used for farm classification: median and mean values for each variable are provided for the 274 farms examined in the first
valuation phase.

Categories Variables Median Mean Range


General information Time elapsed since arrival years 9 13 1–80
Size (ha) 50 67.5 1–5000
Human & financial capital Family labor (full-time equivalent) 1.8 2.43 0.6–8.8
Number of employees per property (full-time equivalent) 0.1 0.37 0–2.0
Repayable credit received in the last 4 years PPP 0 1619 0–49000
Non repayable credit received in the last 4 years PPP 0 386.8 0–3100
Income Total annual gross income PPP 2929 5954 0–100874
Non-agricultural incomes as% of total gross income. 5.0 23.5 0–32
Gross income per deforested ha PPP units 104.56 180 0–2917
Total income/n. people working in farm PPP units 1318 3259 0–45360
Farm products Gross income from bovine livestock/PBt 13.0 29.6 0–100
Gross income from annual crops 17.5 29.5 0–100
Gross income from perennial crops 0 11.2 0–100
Production Intensity Annual deforestation rate (% farm area) 1.0 2.5 1–5
Annual rate of pasture installation (% farm area) 1.0 2.0 0.20 + 0.36

Social wellbeing was evaluated with 5 different metrics 2.4. Biophysical characterization
identified by farmers as significant components of their overall
wellbeing: household material wealth, level of education, social 2.4.1. Landscape intensification
networking (with isolation from family and other people consid- A remote sensing approach allowed for the characterization of
ered as a negative attribute), professional stability and autonomy landscapes in 1990, 1994, 1998, 2002 and 2007, at each site, using
provided by ownership of the farm, geographical stability Landsat TM and ETM+ images, 30 m spatial resolution. Field
indicated by the number of migrations during the farmer’s lifetime observations conducted in 2007 and 2008 and image analysis
(Chayanov, 1966; Courgeau and Lelievre, 1992; Arnauld de Sartre, determined six classes of landscape elements: forest, fallow,
2006 (Table 1 SI). The sum of scores in each category provides a burned forest, ligneous pastures, pastures, undergrowth wetland,
value that is adjusted to an interval of 0–1.0 for the first three plus water and bare soil (refer to Oszwald et al., 2011 for details of
indicators, and to 0–0.5 for the last two in accordance with the the remote sensing analysis) (Fig. 4).
importance that farmers assigned to the items measured by these Land use maps were then established for each farm and at the
metrics. five time points. Metrics were extracted from these maps to
Social wellbeing Sb, represents the sum of the scores obtained quantify changes in the composition and spatial organization of
for these five metrics, adjusted to a range of 0.1–1.0 to allow farm landscapes.
comparison with the other indicators (Table 2 SI). Composition metrics were based on the relative proportions of
Based on the classifications of social and economic conditions of the six landscape elements identified above. Corrections for crop
the initial set of 274 farms, we selected a representative subset of components that could not be detected by remote sensing were
54 farms (9 at each site) where landscape intensification, obtained from farmer interviews.
biodiversity and ecosystem services were assessed. Three farms Structure was assessed with six variables describing fragmen-
from Colombia were further discarded due to unavailability of tation, edge density, mean patch density, patch diversity richness
some types of information. and evenness, shape perimeter/area and mean shape respectively.

Fig. 4. Landscape element classification established in the field and linked with Landsat TM spectral signature year 2007 (Oszwald et al., 2011).
P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155 143

These variables were used to constitute 3D matrices with species richness (Sanabria, unp. data). Within each farm, five
farms characterized by their composition and structure at five square sampling areas of 50 m  50 m, of uniform plant cover were
dates. Four sub-indicators of land use intensity and an integrative regularly spaced along the longest diagonal of the farm. For each
indicator were calculated using this data set (Oszwald et al., taxonomic group, species composition and the number of
2011). individuals observed for each species were recorded. We choose
PCA analysis was used to convert each set of variables into a standard and rapid sampling techniques to allow collecting data in
reduced number of factors that express underlying trends and short periods at 5 points in each farm (270 in total) separated by
effects responsible for the variations observed. We generally used 200 m along transects of 1 km that were often far away from any
Factors 1 and 2 that in most cases expressed more than half of the road or walking path.
total variance observed in our data sets. The same approach was
used to construct indicators of biodiversity and ecosystem services. 2.4.2.1. Plants. Three vegetation strata were assessed using distinct
The first two indexes, composition (Li1) and structure (Li2) in sampling areas: 1, trees (diameter > 10 cm) within a 10  50 m area; 2,
2007 (Table 3), evaluate the respective departures of landscape shrubs and young trees (diameter < 10 cm and height > 2 m) on a
composition and structure in 2007 from the original forest 5  50 m area; 3, herbaceous species, trees seedlings and saplings and
landscape. Values are adjusted to vary from 0 to 10, with the shrubs on ten 1 m2 plots, located every 5 m along a 50 m transect.
lowest value of the composition index corresponding to a
completely deforested landscape and the highest value to a 2.4.2.2. Moths. Saturniidae and Sphingidae were collected with
landscape with 100% forest cover. The structure index Li2 light trapping for a single point closest to the largest forest
emphasizes differences in landscape organization among farms. remnant present in each farm area from 6:00 p.m. to 6:00 a.m.
A score close to 0 characterizes landscapes with large-sized
patches of deforested areas while a score close to 10 indicates a 2.4.2.3. Fruit flies. Drosophilidae were collected with cylindrical
high level of shape complexity in natural forest patches that traps of 10 cm diameter  25 cm in height, closed at one end and
reflects on going successional processes. The third and fourth with a funnel at the other, baited with ca. 200 g of fermented
indexes measure temporal dynamics in landscape composition banana. Three traps were placed at each sampling point and were
and structure from 1990 to 2007 and employ ACT-STATIS, a method set out 24 h in the field.
designed for comparing several tables in one run (Robert and
Escoufier, 1976). A score of the composition dynamics index (Li3) 2.4.2.4. Earthworms and ants. Earthworms and ants were collected
close to 0 indicates a homogeneous agricultural landscape since by hand-sorting from three blocks of soil at each sampling point, i.e.
1990, whereas a score close to 10 indicates a forested landscape one central 25  25  30 cm and two 25  25  10 cm, distant 5 m
with little to no deforestation since 1990. The fourth index (Li4) from each other on either side of the center point (method ISO 23611-
assesses the temporal evolution of landscape structure variables, 5, 2011).
such that a score close to 0 indicates a landscape that has
undergone intense transformation from forest to agriculture in the 2.4.2.5. Birds. Visual and auditory bird counts were conducted at
1990’s or earlier. This is, for example, the case for landscapes that each sampling point by two people during a single observation
have been fragmented for a long time. A score close to 10 indicates session of 20 min in the morning between 6:00 a.m. and 11:00 a.m.
a landscape having experienced only recent and limited defores- to consider the period of maximal bird activity.
tation with a low level of natural habitat fragmentation. The first axis PCA coordinates of farms (55% of total variability
The final, synthetic indicator of land use integrity averages explained) performed on rarefied richness of the eight taxa was
scores of the four sub-indicators (Oszwald et al., 2011). In this scaled to 0.1–1.0 and used as a synthetic index of biodiversity Bd
study, we transformed this indicator into a landscape intensification (Table 2 SI).
(Li) indicator that ranks sites from little transformed to greatly
affected, with variations adjusted to a 0.1–1.0 interval (Table 2 SI). 2.4.3. Soil-based ecosystem services
Measurements were conducted in 2008 during three months of
2.4.2. Biodiversity the rainy season, at the same points used for biodiversity
From march to july 2008, during the rainy season at all sites, we assessments, using standard methods to characterize soil con-
assessed species richness and abundance of three plant and six ditions. Chemical fertility was assessed with a set of eight variables
faunal groups: vegetation in three strata, trees, shrubs and (Grimaldi et al., 2014; Table 4), further scaled into a synthetic
groundcover, earthworms, birds, Saturniidae and Sphingidae general Soil Quality Index ranging from 0.1 to 1.0 (Velasquez et al.,
moths, Drosophilidae and ants. Animal groups were chosen 2007) Table 2 SI).
according to their demonstrated link to soil ecosystem services Hydrologic functions were assessed from an initial set of 11 soil
(earthworms, ants), their sensitivity to local disturbance (Droso- physical variables and summarized by two separate measurements
philidae), or specific response to landscape composition and that best explained the largest part of variability: surface infiltration
migration ability (moths and birds). All groups were identified at and available water at 0–10 cm. Water retention
the species level, except ants that were identified at the genus curves determined for 27 points, from 108 cores per farm using
level. In this group, we used the number of genera as a proxy for multiple regression models allowed for calculation of simple soil

Table 3
Sub-indicators of landscape composition, structure and dynamics (see detailed explanation in Oszwald et al., 2011).

Name Code Description Quantification method


Composition 2007 Li1 Proportion of different types of land use in 2007 PCA on composition metrics
Structure 2007 Li2 Structure described by fragmentation, diversity and shape of the fragments PCA on structure metrics
Composition Dynamics 1990–2007 Li3 Temporal dynamics of composition ACT-Statis method
Structure Dynamics 1990–2007 Li4 Temporal dynamics of structure ACT-Statis method
Landscape Intensification Li Synthetic indicator of landscape intensification Sum of sub indicators Li1 to Li4
144 P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155

variables measured at all points (texture, bulk density, vertical statistics and graphical displays were performed using the
resistance to penetration, pH, CEC and C contents) (Grimaldi et al., packages, lme4, pbkrtest, lmerTest, lattice and ggplot2 developed
2014). Plant available water capacity was calculated as the water in R freeware (R Development Core Team, 2014).
volume drained between matrix potentials of 30 kPa and 16
MPa. 3. Results
The climate regulation function was assessed by the sum of C
stored in soil (0–20 cm) and C in aboveground plant biomass using We first analyzed variations of the different parameters of
classical methodologies detailed in Grimaldi et al. (2014). Values socio-environmental systems across sites, and tested the respec-
thus obtained were adjusted to a 0.1–1.0 interval to allow for the tive effects of production system and landscape intensification on
analysis of their co variation with other indicators (Table 2 SI). the observed dynamics. We then tested hypothesis 1 of a
As for biodiversity, coordinates of farms along axis 1 and 2 of significant relationship between production systems and land-
a PCA performed on ES values were used to calculate a synthetic scapes. The other 7 hypotheses were then tested by analyzing the
index of soil ecosystem services (Es) (Grimaldi et al., 2014; Table 2 relationship among production systems and landscapes with
SI). socioeconomic and environmental variables.

2.5. General index of sustainability 3.1. Conditions of the socioenvironmental systems in the different sites

We designed an index of sustainability (Su) that combines the 3.1.1. Farm landscapes
social Sb, economic Pe, biodiversity Bd and soil ecosystem services There was a clear decrease in the different sub-indicators and
Es indices. The Su value of a given farm was set equal to the in the synthetic indicator of landscape integrity measured on the
coordinate along the first PCA axis 1 of the four above indexes. complete set of 274 farms, as time elapsed from initial
Values of Su were further adjusted to an interval between 0.1 and deforestation (Fig. 5). Farms at Pacaja (LU 1), in the earliest
1.0. This index is expected to be highest when production systems stages of transition from forest, exhibited the highest values for
are highly productive and profitable (Pe), ensure a high level of all sub indicators; they still had high proportions of natural forest
social wellbeing (Sb) while conserving the natural capital, assessed and relatively small patches of deforested areas, with limited
through biodiversity (Bd) and soil ecosystem services (Es) (Table 2 change during the period 1990–2007. The Maçaranduba site (LU
SI). 2; 5 to 10 years older) showed degradation in all indicators, a clear
demonstration that the agroextractivist status of the region was
2.6. Data modeling no longer respected. However, in one of the farms where
deforestation had been greatly avoided and people made a living
Relationships among the different indexes Sb, Pe, Li, Bd, Es and on Brazil nut production (Ze Claudio, LU 2, farm n 308 Table 2 SI),
the general sustainability Su were analysed with mixed linear the composition indicator was 9, the second highest value across
models allowing the analysis of nested data (Pinheiro and Bates, all farms. Sadly, this farmer and his wife, who had conserved a
2000). We used linear mixed model for accounting fixed effects large proportion of the forest, were assassinated in 2011 by illegal
under interest and random effects due to specific site characteristics loggers who pressed them to cut down the protected tree species
(nested sites). Fixed effects included landscape intensification Li or of their land. At Palmares site (LU 3), increased deforestation and
one of its component, landscape composition in 2007 (Li1), conversion to annual crops further decreased the composition
landscape structure in 2007 (Li2), dynamics of landscape index. The lowest values of the composite index (Li) were
composition (Li3), dynamics of landscape structure (Li4) and the observed In Colombia, in the conventional (LU 6) and in the
type of production systems. Since Li1 was highly correlated to Li3 sylvopastoral (LU 5) sites. At site LU 5, sylvopastoral management
(r = 0.86; P < 5e 16), we considered only three components established recently on rather small areas had not yet impacted
describing land use intensity i.e. Li1, Li2, Li4. We used the proposal the landscape (Ramirez et al., 2012) although the structure (Li2
of Nakagawa and Schielzeth (2013) for computing the variance subindicator was increased on average). Improved values were
explained by the fixed (R2m) and both fixed and random observed in the agroforestry site LU 4, which demonstrated
conditional (R2c) effects respectively. This allowed us to differen- the highest values for the landscape integrity indicator for
tiate site (“random”) effects from “fixed” effects due to, for Colombia
example, landscape composition or dynamics. The statistical
significance of model was estimated by a visual inspection of 3.1.2. Social well being
residuals and by an analysis of variance between a null model (no The Sb index of social well being increased along the
effect) and a model that included the explanatory variables. All succession of sites, with minimum values in the early phases

Table 4
Variables measured to evaluate soil ecosystem services (Grimaldi et al., 2014).

Soil attribute Variables


1
C stock in soil Mg ha Bulk density and total C content at 0–10, 10–20 and 20–30 cm depths

1
C in biomass Mg ha Aboveground dry plant biomass of trees (BT) and bushes (BB)a

Water Infiltration rate mm h 1 Infiltration of a determined volume of water (250 cm3) poured in 20 cm diameter ring inserted at the soil surface to a depth of ca. 1 cm.
Soil available water in 0–10 cm Clay, silt and sand contents, rb, vertical (Rv) and tangential (Rt) resistances, Infiltration rate Vi
Chemical Fertility pH, CEC, exchangeable Al3+, Ca2+, Mg2+, K+, base catión saturation ratio, extractable Mehlich phosphorus P
a
BT = trees must have a diameter at breast height dbh  10 cm and BB (bushes) dbh < 10 cm and height >2,0 m were evaluated by applying allometric equations provided for
forest S1, S2 and fallows S3 after species identification and measurement of the diameter and height of individuals on plots of 50  10 m2 and 50  5 m2, respectively, and the
water content at 70  C of corresponding biomass aliquots all individuals with dbh 5 cm, applying otherwise for dbh  5 cm the factor 0.603 recommended by Hastie (1991). A
factor of 0.5 was used to convert plant biomass into C mass.
P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155 145

Fig. 5. Boxplot representation of values of the different indexes (from 0 to 10) of landscape integrity (see Table 3) across a chronosequence of sites from incipient deforestation
(LU 1) to highly deforested and degraded landscapes (LU 6). Middle bar is median, box extends from 25% to 75 % quartiles and horizontal bar stands for minimum and maximum
values.

at LU 1 and LU 2 sites of Pacaja and Maçaranduba, an increase at and lower values at the agroforestry sites (LU 4) (Fig. 6).
intermediate stages (LU 3, Palmares), maximum values at the Changes in the index reflect greater migration rates and isolation
traditional (LU 6) and silvopastoral (LU 5) sites of Colombia, from urban life and the associated issues of commodities
146 P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155

transport, energy, health care and education in incipient 3.1.5. Soil ecosystem services
agricultural sites LU 1 to LU 3 as compared with peri-urban The Es index also decreased regularly across the deforestation
agriculture at the LU 6 and LU 5 Colombian sites (PCA analysis not chronosequence (Figs. 6 and 7) figured in our sites. A minimum
shown). value was attained in the traditional extensive livestock production
site (LU 6) in Colombia.
3.1.3. Production efficiency This general decrease of the Es index, however, covers different
The Pe index of Production Efficiency increased continuously situations as some soil ecosystem services may increase while
and exponentially from farming systems at very early stages LU 1 others dramatically decrease (Grimaldi et al., 2014) (Fig. 7).
and LU 2 where average annual incomes per ha are 37 and 74 PPP,
respectively, to 246 and 321 PPP, respectively, in the traditional 3.2. Effect of production systems and landscape patterns on
(LU 6) site of Colombia and the legal settlement at Palmares (PR) production efficiency, social wellbeing, biodiversity and the
(Figs. 6 and 7). In Colombia, the silvopastoral LU 5 site had slightly production of soil ecosystem services
lower incomes 152 PPP ha 1 while the agroforestry site LU 4
exhibited a remarkable maximum value of 733 PPP. Using mixed linear models, we investigated the proportion of
the large changes in socioeconomic and environmental conditions
observed along the sequence of sites that was linked to the farm
3.1.4. Biodiversity
production systems (H2–H4) and/or landscape features created by
The Biodiversity (Bd) index exhibited a continuous decline from
the farmers (H5–H7).
sites representing the early stages to the most deforested and
intensified sites (Figs. 6 and 7). In Colombia, however, agroecolog-
3.2.1. Classification of farms according to production systems
ical practices implemented in the silvopastoral (LU 5) and
We observed great differences among farms for the five attributes
agroforestry (LU 6) sites appear to have noticeable positive effects.
selected to characterize production systems, the overall area of
Early deforestation immediately affects birds, Sphingidae and ants
farms, the number of people working at each farm and farm products
as endemic species linked to pristine habitats soon disappear (Fig.
and internal and external incomes (Fig. 8). Along the gradient of
7). While the decrease in Sphingidae species richness continues
landscape intensification represented by our 6 sites, areas managed
and culminates in the extensive highly degraded pasture land-
per unit of labor increased from rather low values in the early
scapes of Colombia (LU 6), birds and ants maintain rather elevated
deforestation phases in the Pacaja and Palmares sites (6.5 and 7.0 ha
richness along the succession. This is mainly due to the
per person), respectively, to intermediate values in the agroforestry
colonization by a new set of species, some exotic and/or invasive.
LU 4 and agroextractivist LU 2 systems (11.1 ha and 13.3 ha
Plants, earthworms and Drosophilidae progressively disappear
respectively) (Fig. 8 left). Much greater areas were used in the LU
with forest clearance and degradation of soils. Of a total of 29
5 site with silvopastoral systems (27 ha), and particularly in the LU 6
earthworm species sampled in this study, 28 were endemic and all
window dominated by extensive livestock production on degraded
of these were new species, with 2 new genera discovered in Brazil
pastures (61 ha). There was also a general trend for increased
(Feijoo and Celis, 2010). The invasive species Pontoscolex coreth-
incomes per ha across the sequence of sites. At older sites,
rurus tended to progressively replace native communities in
agroforestry systems of the LU 4 site allowed greater incomes per
deforested areas transformed into pastures and crop areas
ha than traditional livestock productions of the LU 6 site. (Fig. 8 right).
(Marichal et al., 2010).

Social Well-being Ecosystem Services


Sb Es
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.8

Sb
0.6
0.4
0.2

LU1 LU2 LU3 LU4 LU5 LU6 LU1 LU2 LU3 LU4 LU5 LU6

Producon efficiency
Biodiversity
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

Ef
1000 Bd

100

10

LU1 LU2 LU3 LU4 LU5 LU6 LU1 LU2 LU3 LU4 LU5 LU6

Fig. 6. Variation of social wellbeing (Sb), Biodiversity (Bd) and Soil ecosystem services (Es) indexes (ranging from 0.1 to 1.0) and production efficiency Ef (in equivalent
purchase power PPP units) along a chronosequence of sites. Middle bar is median, box comprises extends from 25% to 75 % quartiles and horizontal bar stands for minimum and
maximum values.
P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155 147

Fig. 7. Variations of the indexes of biodiversity and soil ecosystem services at the three most contrasted sites LU 1: Pacaja, Brazil; extensive livestock production at the LU 6
site in Colombia; and agroforestry, at Colombian LU 4. Values expressed as % of the highest average value recorded among sites.

Cluster analysis of the respective coordinates of farms along the production in F type farms being a bit more diversified than in
first four axes of the MCA allowed us to distinguish seven types of those of G. Finally, farms of the E type are small, with relatively
production systems (Fig. 9). high incomes on agroforestry systems established on sites where
A first group was comprised of farms from early stages, deforestation began 50–80 y. ago.
deforested 10–20 y. ago with mixed production systems of annual Distribution of production systems across the sites showed a
and perennial crops and livestock with low incomes (types A and progressive shift of farms from the least (A, B) to the mostintensi-
B). Type A comprises farmers fully involved in agriculture on fied systems (F and G), as time since colonization and the
relatively large areas, while farmers of the type B farms generally proportion of area deforested increased (Fig. 10). Types A, B and C
engage in a complementary non-agricultural activity on farms of a comprised all the farms of the Pacaja (LU 1) and Maçaranduba
smaller size on average. Types C and D also have diversified (LU 2) sites in Brazil, and still 8 out of 9 at Palmares (LU 3). Farm
productions, on relatively small farms with low (C) or intermediate types A and B were also found in the Colombian LU 4 agroforestry
(D) incomes. Types F and G are large farms with extensive livestock site (2 out of the 8 Colombian farms) while the C type was
production and high incomes. Both types rely on external labor, also found in the sylvopastoral LU 5 (3 of 8 farms) and the

Ha used per
UTF labor unit
Log Income ha -1
Eq. Purchase units
150

3.5
100

2.5
50

1.5
0.5
0

LU1 LU2 LU3 LU4 LU5 LU6 LU1 LU2 LU3 LU4 LU5 LU6

Fig. 8. Boxplot representation of variation of area used per capita (left) and incomes per ha per labor unit across the sequence of sites from early deforestation phase, LU 1 to
LU 6 (advanced almost totally deforested stage. Middle bar is median, box comprises extends from 25% to 75 % quartiles and horizontal bar stands for minimum and maximum
values.
148 P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155

Fig. 9. (a) Projection of the seven types of farms in the F1/F2 factorial plan of a Multiple Correspondence Analysis and general characterization. The 274 farms from the first
phase evaluation are characterized by their size, human capital, productions, productivity and non agricultural revenues. (b) Proportion of variance explained by extracted factors (F1
and F2 highlighted).

conventional LU 6 sites (1 of 6 farms). The most intensified Social well being was weakly related to production efficiency
systems (G and F) and the E agroforestry system were only found (H4) with only 5.7% of variance explained by a direct effect;
in the Colombian sites. Fig. 12D). Social wellbeing was also negatively and significantly
related to biodiversity (H8) with 21.3% of variability explained
3.2.2. Production systems and landuse intensity directly (Fig. 12E).
Land use intensity was significantly correlated with production
systems, (Hypothesis H1, Fig. 1) (ANOVA; P < 0.01; Fig. 11A), but 3.2.4. Production systems, landscapes and the natural capital
this relationship, only explained 3% of the total variance. Soil Ecosystem Services were related to production systems and
landuse intensity (H5). Production systems explained a slightly
3.2.3. Production efficiency and social well being lower proportion of variance (24.5%, Fig. 11C) than landuse
Production efficiency was influenced by the type of production intensity Li (37.3%, Fig. 12B). The relationship between the
system (H2) (P < 0.006; 27.7% variance explained (Fig. 11B) but not indicator of social wellbeing (Sb) and soil ecosystem services
social well being (H3) (P > 0.40). (Es), however, was not significant. Interestingly, the indicator of

Fig. 10. Proportion of farm types in the different sites. A, B: early phases; C, D mixed productions; E: agroforestry: F, G: extensive livestock production. LU 1 Pacaja and LU 2
Maçaranduba represent early deforestation phase, LU 3: Palmares, intermediate, LU 6 (Colombia) advanced almost totally deforested stage, LU 4 with agroforestry systems
and LU 5 with incipient sylvopastoral systems derived from degraded land.
P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155 149

soil ecosystem services was maintained at a rather high level in in 2007 (Li1 with 20.0% of variance explained (H6) (Fig. 12A), but
systems found in the younger phases of development, while the not with the general indicator of landuse intensity (Li)
lowest values were observed in system G that relies on extensive We also found a positive relationship between soil services (Es)
cattle production on largely eroded soils. Farms of the F (with and biodiversity (Bd) indicators (H7) (53.1% of variance explained)
recently established sylvopastoral systems) and, especially, E (Fig. 12C).
(agroforestry) types had higher values of the soil ecosystem
services Es index than type G farms with extensive livestock on 3.3. Sustainability
degraded pastures. Biodiversity was also significantly related to
Production systems (29% variance explained) (Fig. 11D). Biodiver- The indicator of Sustainability (Su) was: Su = 0.51  Pe + 0.41 
sity decreased continuously across production system types A to G. Sb + 0.58  Bd + 0.48  Es
Biodiversity was also negatively related to landscape composition

Fig. 11. Variation of Landscape (A), Production efficiency (B), Soil ecosystem services (C), Biodiversity (D), and sustainability (E) index values in the sub-sample of 51 farms, as
a function of the production system implemented in the farms, from A and B: incipient farming systems to C and D: mixed farming in intermediate stages, E: agroforestry systems, F
and G: extensive livestock production on degraded pastures. Metrics generally vary from 0.1 to 1.0, except for Landscape composition (o to 10) and Production Efficiency expressed in
equivalent US $ corrected as power of purchase units.
P: probability to reject a significant relationship between production systems and indicators and% of variance explained by a direct effect, independent from site characteristics (mixed
linear models). Middle bar is median, box comprises extends from 25% to 75% quartiles and horizontal bar stands for minimum and maximum values. Values with similar letters are not
significantly different (ANOVA and Fisher test).
150 P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155

with the production efficiency, Pe, social wellbeing, Sb, extensive cattle ranching systems (G). Farms with incipient
biodiversity, Bd, and soil ecosystem services, Es, subindicators. silvopastoral systems exhibited a wide range of values, from low
Values of Su were further adjusted to the interval 0.1–1.0. values similar to those observed in the G production systems, to
Sustainability was significantly related to the production intermediate values associated with farms of the A to E production
systems, with 36.4% of variance explained by a direct effect of systems.
production systems on sustainability (Fig. 11E). However, this Sustainability was also significantly and negatively related to
index was relatively stable in production systems of the early phase the land use intensity index with 14.7% of the variance explained
(A and B), intermediate in mixed farming systems (C and D) and by this relationship (Fig. 12F).
under agroforestry (E), but demonstrating a sharp decrease with

Fig. 12. Relationships among the different indicators of socio-environmental systems across sites. Statistical adjustment made with Mixed Linear Models. The grey area
represents uncertainty attributed to random effects (=effect of the sites). Each point represents one of the 51 sampled farms. P: probability for the relationship not to be significant; %
variance explained by a direct effect between variables and not by site random effects.
P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155 151

Fig. 13. Relationships among the components of socio-environmental systems obtained from mixed linear models (significance set for > 10% variance explained). In red: %
variance directly explained by the relationship. Red arrows indicate significant negative relationships and green arrows indicate significant positive relationships. (For
interpretation of the references to colour in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.)

4. Discussion Amazonian municipalities. Wellbeing of people increases as


development occurs, with improved roads, commerce, healthcare
In general, this study supports the view that whatever human and educational opportunities being associated with growing
development and improvement of the wellbeing that has been urban centers and energy becoming available in formerly isolated
achieved, was done so at expenses of the natural capital. We also areas. However, we noticed a great turnover of the population.
find surprising low correlation between production systems and Surprisingly, the residence time of people was about the same in
landscape characteristics, as well as between human wellbeing and all our sites, which suggests that they leave a place once their
production systems and their economic efficiency. Finally, our participation in the development process has come to a given
findings confirm that production systems and landscape character- point. Poor migrants who initiate deforestation rarely have
istics are major drivers of the social, economic and environmental enough capital and adequate training to make an efficient use of
aspects of sustainability. the areas that they have deforested. Often, they sell their land
Most elements of the socio-environmental systems analyzed and/or are displaced by farmers with better access to resources,
and compared here were significantly correlated and our and thus move on to the next pioneer front (Arnauld de Sartre,
hypotheses were largely verified. The use of Mixed Linear Models 2006). The average increase in the indicator of well being
allowed us to attribute a sizeable part of the variance explained to measured in our study may, therefore, cover heterogeneous
independent non-site specific relationships among the different situations as observed by Weinhold et al. (2013) in Eastern
indicators. Direct effects were greater than site effects in Amazonia where cultivation of soybean tends to reduce poverty
determining relationships between sustainability (Su) and landuse indicators and raise median rural incomes, but is also associated
intensity (Li), as well as between sustainability and production with increased inequality between large soy farmers who benefit
systems. The same observation applied to relationships among from the development and local indigenous populations who
landuse intensity and soil ecosystem services as well as between don’t.
soil ecosystem services and biodiversity (Fig. 13). At our research sites, social progress is mainly linked to local
While these relationships have been predicted and partly conditions and not to the type of production system implemented,
measured in a number of studies, they had never been, to our nor to the landscape. This observation suggests that the link
knowledge, verified and generalized in such a comprehensive way, observed between landscape features and social conditions once
thus far in Amazonia (Foley et al., 2007; Vieira et al., 2008; Oliveira observed at our Palmares (LU 3) site (Billard et al., 2014) cannot be
et al., 2013). generalized at the scale of the whole Amazonian region. Creation of
urban centers and policies that sustain social benefits and the
4.1. Social sustainability creation of public goods and services are likely to be the main
drivers. In our Brazilian site, at Palmares (LU 3), the combination of
Deforestation and further exploitation of natural capital proximity to a fast growing town and the legal status of the
allowed for significant improvement in social wellbeing, as settlement, allowed this site to have a much higher index of social
previously indicated by Rodrigues et al. (2009) for 286 wellbeing than the adjacent Brazilian site of Maçaranduba (LU 2),
152 P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155

reaching values rather close to the ones measured in Colombia of Palmares LU 3 and Maçaranduba LU 2) and in a few farms from
where development had occurred over much longer time periods. the Colombian sites, where production tends to diversify as urban
Social wellbeing (quantified by our Sb synthetic indicator) was centers develop and markets for perennial crops become better
not significantly related to production efficiency. This counter established. After 40–60 years, with over 95% of the land
intuitive result may be due to the indirect negative effects of deforested, the main activites shift towards low productive
economic growth on natural capital. Depletion of the natural livestock production on very large farms (farm type F and G),
capital is expressed by an inverse linear relationship of the mainly found at the traditional LU 6 Colombian site. We suspect
wellbeing Sb indicator with biodiversity. This result supports our that the apparent need for larger areas to sustain livelihoods
hypothesis (H8) that social development expressed by the as time passes (Fig. 8) is likely due to a decrease in natural
indicator of wellbeing (Sb) is achieved at the expense of the capital as land degrades. Soil compaction, loss of plant biomass
natural capital represented by our Biodiversity indicator (Bd). and overall biodiversity, and poor water infiltration observed in
Although the Es indicator of soil ecosystem services was not related farms of the F and G types provide clear evidence of this loss of
to Sb, the strong link of the Es indicators with Bd and with natural capital.
production systems, suggests that the effects of human develop- Production systems exhibited a clear relationship with natural
ment on biodiversity have an indirect negative effect on soil capital indices of biodiversity (Bd) and soil ecosystem services (Es)
ecosystem services. This inverse relationship between human that tended to decrease with production intensification, from the A
wellbeing and indicators of natural capital has been previously to G production systems.
emphasized in the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005). Landuse intensification directly explained 20% of the biodiver-
Raudsepp-Hearne et al. (2010) proposed four possible interpre- sity loss and even larger proportion of the losses in soil ecosystem
tations for this trend: (1) an incorrect evaluation of wellbeing; (2) a services (37.3%). Although the relationship between biodiversity
strong relationship between wellbeing and food availability, which and land use intensification was significantly explained by a linear
increases while other services are declining; (3) decoupling of decreasing model, careful examination of point distribution in Fig.
wellbeing from nature by technology; (4) the existence of an 12A suggests that the non-linear response, predicted by a number
environmental debt that will further induce declines in wellbeing. of authors (Radford et al., 2005; Swift and Hannon, 2010; Zavaleta
In the conditions of our Amazonian sites, the fourth hypothesis et al., 2010), might become significant with the consideration of a
seems to be the most appropriate. While we think that our larger data set or data collected in a more homogeneous region.
indicator provides a rather accurate measurement of wellbeing, Interestingly, the region of the relationship where biodiversity
sufficient food production is not a problem in the region, with a few visually drops off, corresponding to around 50% tree cover,
exceptions, at any stage of the development process. Technology is suggests the presence of a point beyond which biodiversity may
still weakly used in the types of agricultural systems that we be difficult to restore. For this tree cover component, forest, fallows
studied. Therefore, the remaining possibility is that consumption and tree perennial plantations may play similar roles, but this
of the natural capital will further create an environmental debt and remains unclear. Clearly more research is required to elucidate the
decrease wellbeing later, as observed after 30 years in municipali- possible presence of such a tipping point and the potential role of
ties of Amazonia (Rodrigues et al., 2009). In particular, a decrease various types of tree cover in supporting biodiversity.
in soil physical quality and removal of the plant cover leaves soils in We also show that agroecological practices developed in the
a fragile state, susceptible to erosion and compaction. A decrease in agroforestry systems (production group E) mainly found at the LU
regulating services (such as pollination, water purification and 5 site in Colombia, and to a lesser extent in sylvopastoral systems
provision, maintenance of soil fertility) and cultural services common at the LU 6 site, can profoundly affect the economic
(recreation, tourism, medicinal plants) is expected with increasing performance, with the maximum values recorded for the
land use intensity and soils are are at risk of loosing the capacity to Production efficiency Pe and incomes ha 1 UTF 1 indices (Ramirez
support food production for local populations (Foley et al., 2007). et al., 2012). Agroforestry systems in this study comprise an
We also observed in this study that the average area used per association of former rubber plantations with cattle production
working person increases along our chronosequence of landscape (milk and meat) and some annual crops. Sylvopastoral systems
intensification. The number of cattle units (>400 kg) per ha is only combine shrubs and pasture for forage or protein bank production.
0.57 in the LU 6 site, where production system G is dominant and This result, in accordance with an abundant literature, clearly
with the highest landscape intensification index. In the sylvopas- identifies agroforesty systems as desirable options to maintain the
toral (LU 5, mainly in the F group) and agroforestry (LU 6 in the E natural capital of the original forest at a relatively high level (Alfaia
group), cattle densities are 0.84 and 0.89 respectively. In such et al., 2004; Lopez-Hernandez et al., 2004; Perfecto and Vander-
conditions of a growing pressure for land, a great part of the initial meer, 2008; Grimaldi et al., 2014) while sustaining livelihoods.
colonizing population will emigrate, either to new pioneer fronts Agroecological farming generally requires improved management
where living conditions are poor or to newly created urban areas of plants and soils, creativity and knowledge to be entirely
where their living conditions will depend more on education and successful, as compared with more simplified “conventional”
employment opportunities (Walker et al., 2000; Arnauld de Sartre, farming (Browder and Pedlowski, 2000; Miller and Nair, 2006). A
2006). combination of local and general scientific knowledge is necessary
to achieve currently expected levels of productivity (Altieri, 2004;
4.2. Economic sustainability McKey et al., 2010) in a way that sustains or increases the natural
capital. This knowledge is not currently provided by general
Production efficiency (Pe), our indicator of economic develop- teaching curricula and technical assistance to farmers on
ment, was correlated with production systems, with a rather high agroecological technologies is almost completely absent. In
proportion of variance explained, independently from local and addition, we note that many of the soils that we analyzed would
regional site effects. Incomes per ha managed are initially very low require a preliminary restoration to allow for productive
in the early deforestation stages (LU 1 Pacaja Brazilian site) when agroecological farming.
farmers mainly practice slash-and-burn agriculture and some Social wellbeing in these farms dedicated to agroforestry, as
livestock management with few agricultural inputs, limited access measured by our Sb indicator, was the lowest in Colombia (LU 4),
to technology and, often, very distant markets. Conditions improve probably due to location far from urban centers and the relatively
in sites that have been deforested for longer periods (Brazilian sites small area available per person (11.1 ha) as compared to 6–7 in
P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155 153

the pioneer fronts, and 60.7 in the LU 6 “traditional” Colombian 4.4. General sustainability
site.
Interestingly, we did not observe the “bust” part in evolution of Overall, our sustainability index remained rather stable in the
social wellbeing index observed by Rodrigues et al. (2009) after 30 early phases of development, mostly observed in Brazil, with
years of deforestation and land occupation. In our sequence of production systems fom A to D. A decrease in values of
sites, the maximum values for the wellbeing index were observed environmental indices were compensated by increases in the
in sites where deforestation had begun 60–80 years ago. This is social and economic indicators. In comparison, the G production
probably due to differences in scales considered in the two studies. system, with extensive cattle grazing on degraded pastures
At the scale of farms used in our study, development occurs and the presented a very low value for the sustainability (Su) index.
overall condition of farmers reaches a maximum value in the However, farms with some sylvopastoral plots (F) and agroforestry
traditional and silvopastoral sites of Colombia, where less than 5% systems (E) exhibited much higher values of sustainability. At both
of the forest remains intact. However, the areas used for sites, public policies and/or direct intervention of university
production are far larger than in the early phases of development. research programs have favored the adoption of improved
As a result, the overall number of farms decreases, which in the end management systems that have begun to restore biodiversity
probably reduces the overall incomes at the scale of municipalities, and ecosystem services and ultimately increase the sustainability
the scale considered by Rodrigues et al. (2009) in their study. In the index.
longer term, these production systems that do not invest in the Our general indicator of sustainability, which combines the four
conservation and restoration of the natural capital are not likely to above described sub-indicators, was significantly linked with both
be sustainable. production systems and land use intensity. Almost all the variance
in the sustainability index due to production systems is explained
4.3. Environmental sustainability by a general impact (36.4%) and not by local conditions (1%).
Sustainability was also significantly linked to land use intensifica-
Deterioration of natural capital by human activities is quite severe tion with almost equivalent proportions of variance explained by
in Amazonia, and the drivers are well identified in our study, since general 18.7% and local random effects 15.7%.
our indicators of biodiversity and soil ecosystem services decreased Beyond a confirmation of our hypotheses, these results indicate
as indicators of human development and landscape intensification a great potential for the proposed indicator of sustainability to
improved. Deforestation and the implementation of annual or evaluate the trade-offs achieved in a given socio-environmental
perennial crops and pastures had rapid and profound effects on system. In our study, we first evaluated the different elements of
biodiversity and soil quality (Grimaldi et al., 2014; Marichal et al., sustainability and synthesized them into a single indicator that
2010; Foley et al., 2007). However, the link between landuse was statistically correlated with indicators that summarize the
intensification and farming practices that define production management options and strategies. The shape (linear or non
systems, although highly significant, was mainly generated by linear) of the relationships and their intensity provide clues on
random local effects. This is likely a consequence of the effects of local how much and in which direction a system must be changed to
and regional policies on such elements of production systems as non- improve its overall sustainability. With a general aim of improving
agricultural incomes or the type of labor available. Differences in the sustainability of a farm, different mechanisms may be
inherent soil quality are also likely to be important in this respect, envisaged to achieve this goal according to the level of education,
although in our case, the degraded G type of farms were found in soils experience and resources available to the producer, either for
with better inherent fertility (Grimaldi et al., 2014). agroecological options or conventional agriculture. The indicator
will reveal in the end if changes incurred to a particular production
system can contribute to improve the situation globally (Ikerd,
1993).

4.5. The next step forward: reconstructing sustainable landscapes

By demonstrating linkages between sustainability and land use


intensity and production systems, and better elucidating the
different components involved, this work offers clues for improv-
ing sustainability across Amazonia any beyond. Optimizing trade-
offs and synergies among the different social, economic and
environmental drivers represents an obvious path forward.
Our study demonstrated the importance, across a wide range of
agricultural landscapes, of the role of production systems and
landscape composition and structure in regulating biodiversity,
soil ecosystem services and overall human wellbeing. The
diagnostic thus developed suggests ways to revert the negative
trade-offs observed between human development and natural
capital. Production systems generally had stronger relationships
with the sustainability index and its components than the general
landscape indicators. However, the task of modifying production
systems to improve sustainability is likely to be difficult. Elements
of production systems like the area of the farm and its human
capital are important to consider, but difficult to change. The other
aspect of production systems consists of production types that
Fig. 14. A three-step procedure to increase sustainability of farms based on
determine the allocation of different types of landuse on the farm
farmscape reconstruction. Su: sustainability index calculated as a function of social,
economic, biodiversity and soil ecosystem services indices. landscape. These different landuse systems – that determine the
landscape composition, structure and overall dynamics – are
154 P. Lavelle et al. / Global Environmental Change 40 (2016) 137–155

known to have locally different impacts on biodiversity and Acknowledgements


soil ecosystem services and at the same time, influence the
economic component of sustainability through the value of crops This paper is specially dedicated to José Claudio Ribeiro Da Silva
produced. and Maria do Espiritu Santo Da Silva, farmers at the Maçaranduba
Focusing on landscape level management may therefore site deeply involved in the project, who were assassinated on 24
represent an optimal approach for improving sustainability, due may 2011 by illegal tree loggers (see homage: “Amazonia: a happy
to the very strong link between landscape parameters and soil” Youtube.com, Canal Lavelle1948).
sustainability components (Nelson et al., 2009; Jackson et al., The work was funded by the French Agence Nationale de la
2007; Rey Benayas and Bullock, 2012). Recherche through two grants: AMAZ_ES (ANR-06-PADD-001-011;
Economic performance of farms depends on the presence of Agriculture Durable et Developpement programme) and AMAZ_BD
plots dedicated to profitable and competitive production systems. (ANR 06 BIODIV 009-01; IFB_ANR) and by Brazilian CNPq
The type of agricultural plots, especially, the existence of tree or (Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico)
shrub components and their connection with natural ecosystem project “Serviços ecossistêmicos e sustentabilidade das paisagens
patches likely determines biodiversity and the provision of soil agrosilvipastoris da AmazôniaOriental” no: 490649/2006-8.
ecosystem services by soils on a farm (Nelson et al., 2009). The The Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD) played
social component, largely determined by components of public a key role in funding temporary positions for people involved in the
policies outside the farm also depends on benefits gained from a operations and administering the project. We thank all of the
high quality environment. A few studies have attempted to develop Brazilian, Colombian and French students that came to help as part
this view, although general methodologies proposed are still very of their training, local technical staff and field workers. We are also
simple (Nelson et al., 2009; Smukler et al., 2010). grateful to the farmers who participated in this research and
We propose a three-step procedure for the restoration of allowed us to work on their land.
sustainable landscapes based on the diagnostic developed in this
study and relationships tested among the components of Appendix A. Supplementary data
sustainability (Fig. 14).
A complete diagnostic of social, economic and natural capital Supplementary data associated with this article can be
components should first be done at a number of farms represent- found, in the online version, at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.
ing the variability observed within a particular region. This gloenvcha.2016.04.009.
diagnostic could be conducted according to the general method-
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