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2.
v b (a b )a
5.
Figure 5
f ( 4 ) ( x) d 1 for 0 d x d 1.2 .
(b) (i) It is given that g(x) is twice differentiable and g cc( x) d M for all x in
[ a, b] .
By considering a first-order Taylor expansion of g(x) at the midpoint of
[a, b] , show that
b ab
³a
g ( x ) dx (b a ) g (
2
)E
(b a ) 3
where E d M.
24
b
(ii) Hence find a bound for the error when ³ a
g ( x)dx is approximated by
N
§ x xk · ba
h¦ g ¨ k 1 ¸ , where N is some positive integer, h , and
k 1 © 2 ¹ N
x k a kh for k = 0, 1, …, N.
(2) the root D and the sequence x0 , x1 , x 2, ... obtained from the iteration
M 2
Prove that x n 1 D d x n D for all n = 0, 1, 2, …
2
(b) Show that if J is a double root of a polynomial f(x), then J is also a root of
the equation x = h(x), where
f ( x) less than 0.10.
h( x ) x2 .
f c( x) (d) If N = 20 and c = 12, use the normal approximation to determine the
Also show that h c(J ) 0 . maximum value of p if the probability that at least one employee cannot find a
f ( x) parking space for his car on a weekday is less than 0.14.
(You may assume that in the quotient , all common factors have been
f c( x)
cancelled.) 5. A man is going to a meeting in a distant town. One method of transport is by bus;
(c) It is known that f ( x) x 3 0.9 x 2 3.36 x 1.6 has a double root J in another is by taxi followed by train. The time required by each mode of transport
[1, 0] . for the respective journey (including the time required for walking and waiting) is
(i) With h(x) defined as in part (b), take x0 1 and iterate normally distributed with mean and standard deviation given in the table below:
x n 1 h( x n ) twice to get an approximation of J .
(ii) Using Newton’s method with x0 1 , iterate twice to get another Vehicle Time in minutes Fare
approximation of J . Symbol Mean S.D. $
Bus X 60 15 10
(iii) Which of the two approximation is more accurate?
Taxi Y1 10 4 40
3. The differential equation Train Y2 20 5 5
2 1 n 1
d y dy
nx 2 x K x n n (a) If the man goes by bus and starts 70 minutes before the beginning of the
dx 2 dx
meeting, what is the probability that he will be late?
arises in a certain model of ‘pursuit and evasion’, where n z 0 or 1, and K is a
(b) If the man goes by taxi and train and starts 35 minutes before the beginning of
positive constant.
the meeting, what is probability that he will be late? You may assume that Y1
(a) Show that the above equation can be transformed into a second-order
and Y2 are independent, and that the total time Y1 Y2 is normally
differential equation of constant coefficients by setting x e z .
distributed.
(b) Find the solution of the equation satisfying the initial conditions:
(c) Suppose that a fine of $500 will be charged for arriving at the meeting late. By
dy
y = 0 and 0 when x = K. taking the fares and the expected fine into consideration, which of the two
dx
methods of going to the meeting is more economical?
(c) Show that, under the initial conditions given in (b),
(d) Suppose the man plans his journey so that he has a chance of at least 0.90 of
nK
y when x = 0. not being late for the meeting. How many minutes before the commencement
n2 1
of the meeting must he start the journey if he goes (i) by bus, (ii) by taxi and
train?
4. An organization has c parking spaces for its employees. N of its employees own
cars, and, on a weekday, each of them independently has a probability p of driving
6. (a) In a public examination with a large number of candidates, the scores in one of
to the office.
the examination papers follow a normal distribution N 1 with mean P1 and
(a) If c = 10, N = 12 and p = 0.6, find the probability that all parking spaces will
standard deviation V . Of the scores, 95% are below 620 while 9% are below
be full on a weekday.
420. Find P1 and V .
(b) If c = 10, N = 20 and p = 0.6, use the normal approximation to find the
(b) In the following year, a school used the same examination paper to test its 200
probability that all parking spaces will be full on a weekday.
students and obtained a mean score of 495.
(c) If N = 20 and p = 0.6, use the normal approximation to determine the
(i) Assuming that the scores of the 200 students could be considered as a
minimum number of parking spaces in order that on any weekday the
random sample from a normal population N 2 with mean P 2 and the
probability that at least one employee cannot find a parking space for his car is
same standard deviation as for N 1 , find a 95% confidence interval for
P2 . concluded that the machine has gone wrong. Otherwise, it is concluded that
(ii) Use a significance test at the 5% level to determine if N 2 can be the machine has been working correctly.
regarded as having the same mean as N 1 . (i) It is required that, when the machine is working correctly, the
(iii) Let p be the proportion of scores in N 2 higher than 620. If P 2 lies probability of concluding that the machine has gone wrong should be
in the 95% confidence interval determined in part (b)(i), find the less than 5%. Determine the minimum value of d in terms of n.
interval of values of p. (ii) It is further required that, when the machine has gone wrong, the
(c) It is desired to convert the scores X in (a) to “comparable scores” X c with probability of concluding that the machine is working correctly should
mean 50 and standard deviation 16 by the transformation be less than 10%. Determine the minimum value of n.
X c aX b . (b) Rods produced are packed into boxes of 1120 rods each and the cost is $10 per
What should be the values of a and b? box. If the mean length of the rods in a box is between P 0.22 and
P 0.22 cm, then the box can be sold at $16. Otherwise the box of rods can
only be sold at $2.
7. (a) Let x1 , x 2 , ..., x n be n given numbers with mean x and standard deviation
Find the expected profit per box of rods
1 n (i) when the machine is working correctly, and
V , where V 2
¦ ( xi x) 2 . Show that for any number a, we have
ni1 (ii) when the machine has gone wrong.
n
¦ (x
i 1
i a) 2 nV 2 C ,
9. In an experiment, three cards numbered 1, 2 and 3 are placed on a table. Four fair
where C is an expression involving x , n and a. Find C. coins are tossed together and the number of heads is counted. The card bearing the
same number as the number of heads is then removed from the table, but no action
1 n 2
(b) Prove that x d ¦ xi .
ni1
is taken if no card on the table bears the same number. The tossing of coins is
repeated and each time the card satisfying the above rule is removed.
(a) Find the probabilities that, after having tossed the four coins once,
(c) If y1 , y 2 , ..., y m is another set of m numbers with mean y and standard
(i) the card numbered 1 is removed, and
deviation U , find the mean of the combined set of numbers (ii) no cards are removed.
x1 , x 2 , ..., x n , y1 , y 2 , ..., y m and show that the standard deviation of the set is (b) Find the probability that the card numbered 1 is removed before the card
given by numbered 2.
1 (c) Find the probabilities that, after having tossed the four coins three times and
nV 2 mU 2 mn ½2
® ( x y) 2 ¾ . removed the cards accordingly,
¯ mn ( m n) 2 ¿ (i) both cards numbered 1 and 2 are still on the table, and
(ii) both cards numbered 1 and 2 have been removed.
8. A machine is designed to produce rods whose lengths are normally distributed
with mean length P cm and standard deviation 1.00 cm. Occasionally the
machine goes wrong, in which case the lengths of the rods are still normally
distributed with the same standard deviation but the mean length becomes
P 0.20cm .
(a) In order to check whether the machine is working correctly, the lengths of a
sample of n rods produced are measured and the sample mean x is