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(ii) Suppose v 2 gd . In order that the particle will never cross the wall, k1 OP k 2 OQ
OD .
k1 k 2
15d
show that the height of the wall must be greater than .
8
(b) Three forces F1 2i 5 j 3k ,
Initially, A has 5000 insects and B has 2000. Let x and y be the populations of
insects in A and B respectively after t years, and assume that they may be treated
as continuous variables.
(a) Set up two simultaneous differential equations for x and y.
d2x dx
(b) Show that 5000 50 3 x 0.
dt 2 dt
Hence find x and y in terms of t.
(c) Find the limit of the ratio x : y as t becomes very large.
e dx
2. (a) Consider the integral I ³
1 x
.
the probability that A wins is 0.3 and the probability that B wins is 0.7.
Samples of size 2, {xi , x j } , are randomly drawn from A with replacement so that
(i) Find the probability that A becomes the champion.
(ii) Given that A becomes the champion, what is the probability that B has
i = j is allowed. The mean x ij of the sample {xi , x j } is defined as
won two games?
(iii) The rules of the match are now amended as follows: 1
x ij ( xi x j ) . These sample means then form a set
Whoever wins three games before the other wins two becomes the champion. 2
If both win two games, they continue to play and the one who first wins two S {i 1, 2, ..., N ; j 1, 2, ..., N } .
N N N
more games than the other becomes the champion.
Find the answers to (i) and (ii) under this rule.
(a) Show that ¦¦ ( x
i 1 j 1
i xj) 2 N ¦ xi .
i 1
(b) A and B answer the same multiple-choice question paper independently. The (b) Show that
paper has 20 questions, each containing five suggested answers, of which only (i) the mean of all the elements of S is P .
one is correct. A knows the correct answers for 16 questions and B knows 18. 1 2
(ii) the variance of all the elements of S is V .
They both answer the remaining questions by sheer guesswork. What is the 2
probability that A answers more questions correctly than B in the whole paper? (c) Suppose A {xi i : i 1, 2, ..., 10} .
Find the mean and variance of all the elements of S.
5. Consider n bags B1 , B2 , ..., Bn , each containing 3 white and 2 black balls. In a (d) Suppose A {xi 3i 4 : i 1, 2, ..., 10} .
game, a ball is randomly drawn front the first bag B1 and put into B2 . A ball is Using (c), find the mean and variance of all the elements of S.
then randomly drawn from B2 and put into B3 . This process is continued in the
same manner until a ball is randomly drawn from Bn 1 and put into Bn . Lastly, a 7. Wooden rectangular blocks are produced by a machine. The length and width of
ball is randomly drawn from Bn and put into B1 . the blocks are normally distributed and their means and standard deviations are
(a) Let Pk be the probability that the ball drawn from the bag Bk is white, shown below:
where 1 d k d n . Mean Standard deviation
Length of block 30 cm 0.5 cm
Width of block 10 cm 0.2 cm
The two distributions are independent of each other. probability that a random sample of size 25 will have a mean greater than 460
(a) Calculate the probability for each of the following cases: dollars?
(i) The length of a randomly selected block lies within 29.35 cm and
30.75cm. 9. A factory used to purchase battieries from Mr Wong. The life of the batteries is
(ii) The width of a randomly selected block lies within 9.48 cm and 10.42 known to follow a normal distribution with mean 1000 hours and standard
cm. deviation 100 hours. Mr Lee claims that he can supply the same kind of battery
(b) A block will only be accepted if both if length and width lie within the limits with a longer mean life and the same standard deviation. They factory manager
in (a). carries out a statistician test to decide whether Mr Lee’s claim of longer mean life
(i) Using normal approximation to binomial probability, calculate the can be accepted. He inspects a random sample of 15 batteries supplied by Mr Lee.
probability that out of 1000 blocks, at least 800 will be accepted. (a) Set up the null and alternative hypotheses for the manager.
(ii) To increase the probability of obtaining acceptable blocks, the machine (b) The manager limits D , the probability of committing a Type I error, to 0.05,
is reset to change the mean length and mean width of the blocks and decides to reject the null hypothesis whenever the sample mean is greater
produced. Their standard deviations, however, remain unchanged. than C hours. Determine C.
Using the symmetric property of the normal distribution, find the (c) Suppose that true mean life of the batteries supplied by Mr Lee is 1050 hours.
optimal values of the mean length and mean width in order to (i) If the manager applies the same decision rule as in (b), find E , the
maximize the probability of obtaining acceptable blocks. probability of committing a Type II error.
Find this maximum probability. (ii) In order to make D 0.05 and E d 0.05 for the above test, find the
minimum sample size required.
8. A statistician conducts a survey to study the income of carpenters in a city. He [Hint: D = Probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true.
randomly selects 10 carpenters. Their daily wages (in dollars) are recorded as E = Probability of accepting the null hypothesis when it is false.]
follows:
475 480
565 425
495 505
410 520
500 480
Assume that the daily wage follows a normal distribution with an unknown mean
P dollars and known standard deviation V dollars. It is given that the width of
the 95% confidence interval for P is 56.
(a) Calculate the sample mean.
(b) Find V .
(c) In order to narrow down the 95% confidence interval for P , the statistician
takes another random sample of size 20. The mean of this sample is found to
be 460 dollars. Using the combined information of the two samples,
(i) find the 95% confidence interval for P ,
(ii) test, at 5% significance level, whether P is greater than 450.
(d) According to government statistics, P equals 470. If this is true, what is the