Professional Documents
Culture Documents
ANIL K SHARMA
July, 2007
GLOBAL EXPORTS: SECTORAL PERSPECTIVE
WORLD AGRI EXPORTS : NOT KEEPING PACE WITH OTHER EXPORTS
7500
Source: International Trade Statistics 2004, WTO Mining
960
US$ billion
6000
864 791
795
Manufactures 587
640 508
Agricultural 623
4500 545
Products
473
454 438 5437
3000 488 458
4694 4749
4260 4517
3853 4031 4123
3719
3098
2470 2668 2668
1500 2391
418 448 429 501 589 604 596 569 548 551 553 584 674
415
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
GLOBAL AGRI EXPORTS: MAJOR PLAYERS
N' lands
China 9%
6% Spain
8%
Germany
Others 4% Others Mexico
79% 67% 5%
USA
3% China
4%
Thailand
3% USA
Spain
Belgium 4%
Italy 3%
3%
2%
World exports – $ 32 bn in 2003.
• World exports – US$ 16 bn in
India ranked 15th (exports of $304 mn).
2003.
Increased at a CAGR of 9% since 1999.
• China – largest exporter ($ 888
mn).
• India – ranked 39th (exports of $
Source: UNCTAD PCTAS Database
27 mn).
GLOBAL TRENDS
55 Processed
Share (%)
48
50
45
44
41
35 Unprocessed
25
Semi Processed
15
8 8
5
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
64
Malaysia 36
46
Philippines 41
42
Mexico 21
42
China 28
40
Thailand 29
38
Indonesia 21
29
Paraguay 19 2001-02
20 1990-91
Ecuador 6
19
Colombia 7
19
India 18 Source: World Trade Report 2004, WTO
CURRENT STATUS OF INDIA’S EXPORTS
90 30
79.25
80 20.3 63.84 25
24.1
70 21.0 20
21.1
(Percentage)
(US$ billion)
60 52.72
13.7 15
50 44.56 43.83 12.2
10.9 10
40 36.82
6.5 6.8
30 5
-1.2
20 -1.6 0
5.61 5.97 6.71 7.53 8.04 -5
10 -7.1 5.90
0 -10
1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05
Source: RBI
INDIA’S MAJOR AGRI EXPORTS
Need to Diversify
Rice
19%
P o ultry & dairy
pro ducts
2%
M eat & preparatio ns
5%
Wheat
P ro cessed items 4%
4%
Fresh fruits & P ulses
vegetables 2%
To bacco
5%
Casto r Oil 4%
3% Spices
Guargum meal 5%
2% Oilmeals Nuts & Seeds
9% 10%
INDIA’S AGRI EXPORT MARKETS
Need to Diversify
Avg.
Growth
COMMODITY 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05
(FY01-
FY05)
Agri & allied products 5982.9 5921.3 6727.4 7553.1 8020.4 8.5
Processed fruits & juic 122.1 107.8 118.9 75.0 77.2 -9.2
• FOOD PROCESSING
– WINE, MANGO PULP, FRUIT/VEGETABLE JUICES,
CASHEW
• AGRO EXPORTS
– FLORICULTURE
– HERBAL & MEDICINAL PLANTS…….
– EMU FARMING
• AGRIBUSINESS
– CONTRACT FARMING, ORGANIC FARMING
– SUPPLY-CHAIN, VALUE CHAIN MANAGEMENT
– COLD STORAGE, REFRIGERATED VANS, WAREHOUSES
– TIE-UPS AND MARKETING
SELECT AGRI PRODUCTS
• Stevia Plant
– Major source of high-potency bio-sweetener
– Rs. 11 lakhs per acre returns in a cycle of 3 years on an investment of Rs. 5
lakhs
– 20-30 times sweeter than sugar in its natural state
– Caloric and carbohydrate free
– Stevia extract accounts fro 40% of sweetener market in Japan, Korea and
Malaysia
• Seabuckthorn Fruit
– Basic processed products – juice, beer, wine, jam and tea
– Essential oil from seeds and berry pulp are the most valuable products –
have medicinal values Contd…
SELECT AGRI PRODUCTS
• Vanilla
– Global demand ~ 2000-3000 mtpa
– US, France and Germany – major re-exporters of processed vanilla products
– Annual avg. export growth ~ 140% (1998-2002)
– Second costliest spice in the international market
– Presently, India accounts for around 1.5-2% of the world market.
• Gherkins
– The world market estimated at close to 2.7 mnt p.a with a value of around US
$1 billion
– Import of gherkins as a percentage of total consumption in the world market
has increased from 29% to over 35%
– Presently, India accounts for around 1.5-2% of the world market.
EMERGING OPPORTUNITIES
• INNOVATIONS/EXTENSION/MARKETING – E-
CHAUPAL, KVK, MSL
• RISK MANAGEMENT
– DERIVATIVES
– INSURANCE
• ORGANIC FARMING…….
ORGANIC FARMING
A NATURAL ADVANTAGE FOR INDIA
100 30
Left axis - for India 26.5
(ha in '000)
Right axis - for World 24.1 25
80 (ha in mn) 22.8
76.3
20
60 17.2
15.8
15
41.0
40
37.1 10
20
5
2.8 India World
1.7
0 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
1. POLICY
– GOVT APATHY
– BUREUCRATIC INDIFFERENCE
– ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES
2. MANAGEMENT
– LACK OF EXPERTISE
– BAD BUSINESS MANAGEMENT
– BAD POOL MANAGEMENT
– POOR SEEDS AND FEEDS
– SLOPPY FEEDING PRACTICES
– OUTBREAK OF DISEASES
AQUACULTURE
3. BANKING
– TECHNICAL FEASIBILITY MORE IMPORTANT
THAN FINANCIAL SOUNDNESS
– AVOID DELAYS IN FINANCING
– ENSURE TECHNICAL BACK-UP SERVICES
– BETTER POND MANAGEMENT -ENSURE
HYGENE AND WATER QUALITY
– AVOID CROWDING IN THE POND
– ENSURE GOOD SEEDS AND FEEDS
– DISEASE PREVENTION
POLICY INITIATIVES
Agri-Export Zones
Instruments for Enhancing Agri Exports
ÎAccess to technology
• Policy:
– Regulatory changes to ensure availability of raw
material and no market disruptions
– Cluster Approach- AEZs
Can larger processing units be given AEZs Status?
How to Accelerate Credit Flow to
Processed Sector (Contd.)
• Financing Products:
– Structured finance
– Finance against export receivables
– Warehouse Receipt Finances
– Buyer’s Credits
• Risk Mitigation
– Credit insurance (setting up of a Credit Guarantee
Fund)
– Use of Collateral Managers
– Revamp crop insurance
– Hedgers of price risks through commodity exchange
How to Accelerate Credit Flow to
Processed Sector (Contd.)
• Understand and evaluate business model