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IN 1995, when the various agreements were signed under the WTO, there
were great expectations. That in a liberalised trading environment for
agriculture, tariff and non-tariff barriers would come down and fair trading
opportunities would open up for all countries, including India.
As the Director-General of the World Food Policy Research Institute and the
2001 World Food Prize laureate, Dr Per Pinstrup-Andersen puts it, "Unless
developed countries are willing to open their markets to temperate-zone
agricultural exports from developing countries and end tariff escalation
against processed and higher value products, the benefits that developing
countries and the poor people who live in them will derive from
globalisation will be limited".
The thrust of the export effort would have to be highly selective. For
instance, India has become a major rice exporter. Indian rice is likely to
remain competitive, especially in Asian markets, given the lower freight
costs, compared to the US.
In the 1990s, India increased its exports of both fresh and processed fruits
and vegetables, but further expansion in this area would require
improvement in infrastructure, storage, transport, processing, and the ability
to meet sanitary and technical requirements in developed country markets.
Fish exports, where there is also a potential competitive advantage, are also
conditioned by similar limitations.
The WTO report noted that trade rose 2% in real or volume terms in 2008
after rising 6% in 2007 of which the share of developing country was 38%
In its latest ade Report, the WTO gave no forecast for trade this year, but in
June, WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy Pascal Lamy said the WTO had
revised its forecast for the contraction in world trade volume this year from
9% to 10%.
“The response of governments around the world will play a big part in
determining the magnitude of this decline and its duration,” the WTO said in
the release.
Lamy and WTO chief economist Patrick Low are due to comment on the
report at a news conference in Singapore on Wednesday.
The WTO report noted that trade rose 2% in real or volume terms in 2008
after rising 6% in 2007.
“However, trade still managed to grow more than global output, as is usually
the case when production growth is positive,” it said. “Conversely, when
output growth is declining, trade growth tends to fall even more, as is
evident in 2009”.
The share of developing country exports in world trade rose to a record 38%
in 2008, the WTO said.
The United States was the biggest importer, bringing in $2.17 trillion of
merchandise goods, 13.2% of the total, followed by Germany with a 7.3%
share of $1.21 trillion.
Total world imports rose 15% to $16.12 trillion, giving a $345 billion
discrepancy with exports, due to different ways of measuring imports and
exports, the WTO data show.
The severity of the slowdown was reflected in a fall of 23% in air cargo
traffic in December compared with a year earlier, according to International
Air Transport Association (IATA) figures, the WTO said.
The decline recorded in September 2001, when most of the world’s aircraft
were temporarily grounded following the attacks on the United States, was
only 14%.
(4) INDIA’S EXPORTS DOUBLED IN LESS
THAN A DECADE
India’s exports have almost doubled in less than a decade, since 1995, when
India became a member of the WTO. India’s exports have gone up from US
$ 26330.60 million ($ 26.3 billion) in 1994-95 to US $ 51702.22 million ($
51.7 billion) in 2002-03. India’s share in total world exports of goods and
commercial services has increased from 0.61% in 1995 to 0.86% in 2001,
while that in respect of total world imports of goods and commercial
services for the same period increased from 0.78% to 0.99%.
Since the entry into force of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade
(GATT) with effect from 1st January, 1948 and until the establishment of the
World Trade Organisation (WTO) on 1st January 1995, eight Rounds of
Multilateral Trade Negotiations (MTN) were held. After the coming into
being of WTO, Five Ministerial Conferences have been held. Doha Work
Programme was launched in the Fourth Ministerial Conference at Doha.
By being a WTO member, India also avails of the Most Favoured Nation
(MFN) Treatment and National Treatment for its exports to other WTO
members.
STATE OF PLAY
WTO GENESIS
• India signatory to GATT 1947 along with twenty two other countries
• Eight rounds of negotiations had taken place during five decades of its
existence
BASIC PRINCIPLES
1. NON-DISCRIMINATION
MFN (exceptions RTAs, SPS)
National Treatment (exceptions Government Procurement,
GATS)
2. MARKET ACCESS
Reduction and binding of tariffs
General elimination of quantitative restrictions on imports and
exports
(exceptions Article XX, XXI of GATT
WTO AoA
Domestic Support
Market Access
Subsidies excluded from the discipline introduced by the AoA, i.e. those
appearing in the “Blue Box” and the “Green Box”, need to be re-assessed,
particularly from the point of view of their influence on production.
The Peace Clause “Article 13 (a) and 13 (b)” shall not be extended
beyond implementation period.
Export Subsidies
Countries using export subsides should phase out this form of farm
support within two years of implementation of the revised disciplines to be
followed by countries in the agricultural sector.
The relevant decisions of the World Food Summit on food security and
livelihoods need to be integral part of the negotiations.
“We agree that special and differential treatment for developing countries
shall be an integral part of all elements of the negotiations and shall be
embodied in the Schedules of concessions and commitments and as
appropriate in the rules and disciplines to be negotiated, so as to be
operationally effective and to enable developing countries to effectively take
account of their development needs, including food security and rural
development”
Ex p o r t o f im p o r ta n t a g r ic u ltu r a l p r o d u c ts
5 0 0 0 .0 0
4 5 0 0 .0 0
e x p o r ts
4 0 0 0 .0 0
Ric e
3 5 0 0 .0 0
Rs. in crores
3 0 0 0 .0 0 e x p o r ts
2 5 0 0 .0 0 s p ic e s
2 0 0 0 .0 0
1 5 0 0 .0 0 e x p o r ts
1 0 0 0 .0 0 Te a
5 0 0 .0 0 e x p o r ts
0 .0 0 Co f f e e
1 9 9 0 -1 9 9 1 -1 9 9 2 -1 9 9 3 -1 9 9 4 -1 9 9 5 -1 9 9 6 -1 9 9 7 -1 9 9 8 -1 9 9 9 -2 0 0 0 -
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 01
Export vs import of agricultural products
35000.00
Rs. in crores 30000.00
Total
25000.00
Agricultural
20000.00 exports
15000.00
10000.00 Total
5000.00 Agricultural
Imports
0.00
1990- 1991- 1992- 1993- 1994- 1995- 1996- 1997- 1998- 1999- 2000-
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 01
250000.00
Rs . in c r o r e s
200000.00 Total
National
150000.00
exports
100000.00
Total
50000.00
National
Im ports
0.00
0
1
1
0
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-0
0
-2
0
0
9
0
9
9
0
9
1
2
9
1
250000.00
200000.00
Rs . in c r o r e s
Export of
other
150000.00
products
100000.00 Import of
other
products
50000.00
0.00
1990- 1991- 1992- 1993- 1994- 1995- 1996- 1997- 1998- 1999- 2000-
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 01
Issues of Export Competitiveness of Select Agro-products
Rice:
Spices:
Tea:
Cashew :
Marine Products :
Indian marine products are expected to increase by about 10.2%, per annum,
in the next five years. The marine processing industry is well developed but
to sustain the growth, availability of raw materials for effective production
planning and development of scientifically managed aqua-culture and
brackish water resources are envisaged. The transport and other
infrastructure to support export are also envisaged.
(6) FOOD SECURITY-AN IMPORTANT NON-
TRADE CONCERN
4. Let us, therefore, examine both the external and internal dimensions of
this problem particularly from the perspective of developing countries.
7. It is, therefore, clear that there are significant external and internal
ramifications of attaining the objectives of food security. While it may not
be possible to immediately ensure that developing countries are able to
produce at least a certain minimum percentage of their annual food
requirement, this is a goal which has to be pursued, particularly in light of
the constraints that developing countries would face in adopting an external
solution to this problem. Recognising the percentage of small farmers in the
agricultural sector of most developing countries, it is clear that a major part
of the financial burden of increased inputs would have to be met through
governmental subsidies. It would need to be recognised that the small farmer
would not be able to meet his principal responsibility without adequate
support from government. Public intervention would therefore be necessary
in order to achieve these national goals.
8. Finally, it needs to be said that agricultural self reliance forms a vital
underpinning for the growth of the GDP of agrarian developing economies
since good agricultural production provides purchasing power to a large
majority of a population, which in turn spurts industrial growth. Self-
sufficiency in food production has therefore a specific developmental
perspective as opposed to a purely commercial perspective. Hence, it is our
view that developing countries need to be provided the requisite flexibility
within the AOA to pursue their legitimate non trade concerns. More
specifically, developing countries need to be allowed to provide domestic
support in the agricultural sector to meet the challenges of food security and
to be able to preserve the viability of rural employment, as different from the
trade distortive support and subsidies presently permitted by the Agreement.
It is therefore important that a differentiation is made between such domestic
support measures which are presently being used to carve out a niche in the
international trade and between those measures which would allow
developing countries to alleviate rural poverty.
9. India is anxious that the AIE process must therefore examine the manner
in which developing countries can be provided additional flexibilities by
appropriate adjustments to the provisions of the AOA, in order to enable
them to pursue their legitimate non- trade concerns. India believes that a
focussed discussion on the subject will contribute to increased awareness to
the non-trade concerns of countries like India, such as food security and
rural employment, and thus enable the WTO Membership to deal with the
subject of continuation of the reform process in the agricultural sector with
sensitivity to these concerns.
(7) CONCLUSION
While AoA is directly concerned with agriculture,there are some other WTO
agreements that have a close bearing on agriculture and influence free and
fair trade in agriculture. In particular, one may mention three agreements :
www.commerce.nic.in
Development Outreach, World Bank Institute, P 10 Volume V, Number
2003
Hindu times
www.wto.org
www.iimm.org
en.wikipedia.org
“Development issues of Indian economy” by “Prof. V.K. BAJPAI”