Professional Documents
Culture Documents
29 October 2010
Equity markets continued higher in October with the MSCI World Index Performance Summary 'A' € Shares 29 October 2010
rising a further 2.0%. Simultaneously, in a parallel truth seeking universe, HFR Macro
our curmudgeonly and directional fund endured a frustrating month. We TEF Relative
Index*
figure we could lose between 5 and 6% when everything goes askew in a 1 Month -1.9 +1.0 -2.9
month; in September we lost 3% and in October we lost 1.9%.
3 Months -3.5 +1.0 -4.5
Particularly tiresome was the market's renewed belief that quantitative 1 Year +8.3 -2.2 +10.5
easing works, regardless of the private sector’s desire to de-leverage. With Year to date +9.6 -1.9 +11.5
inflation deemed inevitable there is a corresponding belief that interest
rates are heading to the moon. We remain unconvinced and retain the Since launch +129.3 +29.5 +99.8
opinion that western interest rates, especially the Fed’s and the Bank of CAGR since launch +10.8 +3.3 +7.5
England’s target rates, will prevail at their current depressed levels for Calendar Years
longer than the market expects. This directional bias however proved to be
the primary cost to the Fund in October as rates rose, particularly in the 2002 (from 30 September) -4.2 +1.3 -5.5
belly of the Euro and Sterling curves, with Euro 5yr swap rates jumping over 2003 +49.9 +16.8 +33.1
20bps. In aggregate, interest rate contracts cost 2.9% for the month. 2004 +8.0 -0.3 +8.3
2005 +14.2 +6.7 +7.5
These losses were mitigated somewhat by gains of 50bps from the Fund's 2006 -3.7 +5.6 -9.3
equity book and 35bps from long commodity exposure. Elsewhere,
2007 +1.6 +3.2 -1.6
portfolio movements were muted with little change in the CDS portfolio
2008 +31.2 +5.6 +25.6
and a small profit from Yen FX options.
2009 -8.0 -8.8 +0.8
*HFR Macro Index in USD – Assumes constituent funds performance is fully hedged.
Asset Allocation Summary (% NAV) Bloomberg Ticker: HFRXM Index
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
29/10/10 30/09/10
Gov Bonds ≥ 10yr 0.0 0.0
Corp Bonds 4.8 7.0 Performance Chart
Interest Rates (Futures) 12.6 0.0
Interest Rates – Net (Premium) 6.7 10.5 250 Fund (EUR)
CDS (Gross Notional Exposure) 342.1 338.2
HFR Macro Index (USD)
Currency 11.3 9.6 225
MSCI World (EUR)
Long Equity 4.8 7.4
200
Short Equity -10.3 -3.5
Net Equity -5.5 3.9 175
Commodity 8.1 10.6
150
• Commodity & FX include listed & OTC derivatives, cash or futures on a net delta basis.
• Equity include listed & OTC derivatives, cash or futures on a net delta basis, options on a premium 125
basis.
• Interest Rate Futures are included on a 10yr adjusted basis 100
75
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Net Interest Rate Positions - Premium (% NAV)
29/10/10 30/09/10 Source: Daiwa/ HFRXM. Calculation on NAV basis.
AUD 0.4 0.7 Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
29 October 2010
This document is being issued by Eclectica Asset Management LLP ("EAM"), which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. The information contained in this document relates to the
promotion of shares in one or more unrecognised collective investment schemes managed by EAM (the "Funds"). The promotion of the Funds and the distribution of this document in the United Kingdom is
restricted by law. This document is being issued by EAM to and/or is directed at persons who are both (a) professional clients or eligible counterparties for the purposes of the Financial Services Authority's
Conduct of Business Sourcebook ("COBS") and (b) of a kind to whom the Funds may lawfully be promoted by a person authorised under the Act (an "authorised person") by virtue of Section 238(5) of the
Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (the "Act") Chapter 4.12 of COBS. No recipient of this document may distribute it to any other person. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied,
is given as to the accuracy or completeness of, and no liability is accepted for, the information or opinions contained in this document by any of EAM, any of the funds managed by EAM or their respective
directors. This does not exclude or restrict any duty or liability that EAM has to its customers under the UK regulatory system. This document does not constitute or form part of any offer to issue or sell, or
any solicitation of any offer to subscribe or purchase, any securities mentioned herein nor shall it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract therefor.
Recipients of this document who intend to apply for securities are reminded that any such application may be made solely on the basis of the information and opinions contained in the relevant prospectus
which may be different from the information and opinions contained in this document. The value of all investments and the income derived therefrom can decrease as well as increase. This may be partly due
to exchange rate fluctuations in investments that have an exposure to currencies other than the base currency of the relevant fund. Historic performance is not a guide to future performance. All charts are
sourced from Eclectica Asset Management LLP. Side letters: Some hedge fund investors with significant interests in the fund receive periodic updates on the portfolio holdings. © 2005-10 Eclectica Asset
Management LLP; Registration No. OC312442; registered office at 6 Salem Road, London, W2 4BU.6