Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Manoj P K
Faculty (Techno-Management), Dept. of Applied Economics
Cochin University Science and Technology Kochi, Kerala – 682 022 (INDIA)
E-mail: manoj_p_k2004@yahoo.co.in
Abstract
Enhanced profitability and operational efficiency have become vital for banks in
India for survival and growth in the ongoing era of globalization. Ever since the initiation
of the financial sector reforms in the early1990s, the competition in the Indian banking
industry has been constantly on the rise, making the plight of Old Private sector Banks
(OPBs) growingly vulnerable. Focusing on the OPBs based at Kerala state (KOPBs, in
short) in the Indian union, this paper seeks to identify the determinants of profitability and
operational efficiency of KOPBs, using an econometric methodology. For the sake of
comparison of KOPBs, the general case of OPBs and New generation Private sector Banks
(NPBs) in India have also been analyzed.
1. Introduction
Financial sector reforms initiated in India in the early 1990s, as part of economic deregulation
measures of the Government, have brought about fierce competition in the banking industry. Enhanced
profitability and operational efficiency have become essential for survival and growth of any bank,
including the Government-owned Public Sector Banks (PSBs)I. The case of Old Private sector Banks
(OPBs)II has been particularly vulnerable. The entry of a few New generation Private sector Banks
(NPBs)III in the mid-1990s, which are equipped with the latest technology on par with the Foreign
Banks (FBs)IV operating in India, has given another dimension to the industry competition. Many
OPBs have already succumbed to the pressures of competition. Besides, market share of OPBs (and of
PSBs) has been constantly falling while that of NPBs has been gradually on the rise. In India, Kerala
has got an enviable track record of private sector banking, right from the eighteenth century. However,
there has been a gradual decline in the number of private banks in Kerala over the years, as a result of a
series of failures, mergers and consolidations. As of March 2010, there are just four OPBs functioning
in the state of Kerala (KOPBsV, in short) as against eight private banks in 1985. During 2000s itself,
two KOPBs have vanished because of their inability to withstand competition. In the above context, it
is meaningful to identify the determinants of profitability and operational efficiency of OPBs with
focus on KOPBs, because such specialized studies with reference to OPBs are virtually nil, in the
recent times. Besides, the influence of priority sector advances, intensity of rural branches etc. on
profitability and operational efficiency is sought to be studied. Likewise, the impact of non-interest
income on profitability and operational efficiency is also sought to be studied. For the sake of
8 International Research Journal of Finance and Economics - Issue 47 (2010)
comparison, the general case of OPBs and New generation Private sector Banks (NPBs) in India have
also been studied, along with the four individual KOPBs.
interest margin. It has been observed that all the four explanatory variables viz. (i) risk, (ii)
technological change, (iii) cost of production, and (iv) regulatory cost have got significant influence on
the variations in the structure of income of the banks.
From the above review, it is noted that studies focusing on OPBs are quite rare, unlike PSBs.
Only some bank-group level studies are available wherein private sector banks in general are taken, not
OPBs in particular. Specific studies on KOPBs are nil. This paper seeks to bridge this research gap by
making a general study of OPBs and NPBs, and a bank-specific study of KOPBs.
obligations of the Government. These advances carry differential (lower) rate of interest. The incidence
of defaults is higher. Obviously, a higher share of such advances in the total advances portfolio may
have a negative impact on profitability and efficiency. Thus, PRIOR (share of priority sector advances
in the total advances) is taken as another explanatory variable.
Investments in government securities expressed as a ratio of total assets (GSEC) is selected as
another explanatory variable influencing OPR and NIM. Because, banks have a tendency to earn
relatively risk-free income from investments in government securities if they have surplus funds. Such
investments ensure guaranteed, but lower rates of return compared to returns from quality assets
created out of lending activities (advances). Thus, to consider such investments, GSEC is taken as
another explanatory variable, for both the dependent variables viz. OPR and NIM.
Non-interest income is another important factor that influences the profitability and efficiency
of banks. Non-interest income augments the interest income of banks. Various fee-based activities that
banks undertake bring in such income. In the ongoing era of globalization, non-interest income is
increasingly becoming the driver of profitability and efficiency of banks. As such, NOM (ratio of non-
interest income to total assets) is taken as another explanatory variable influencing dependent
variables, viz. OPR and NIM.
In the peculiar case of India, rural branches of banks signify the commitment of the bank to the
rural populace. These branches are intended to support the rural population with credit facilities and
hence promote development of the rural economy. Just like priority sector advances, rural branches
have been encouraged by the Government as part of its social obligations, especially during the ‘social
banking’ thrust period of Bank NationalizationVI in India. The loans given are often of lower amounts
and are larger in number. Thus, the administrative costs are higher. Because of the above reasons, it is
rational to consider RURAL (ratio of rural and semi-urban branches urban and metropolitan branches)
as another explanatory variable.
Thus the econometric models for OPR and NIM can be expressed as follows:
OPR = SST) +PRIOR) + GSEC) + NOM) + RURAL) +
NIM = SST) + PRIOR) + GSEC) + NOM) + RURAL) +
Here, is the estimated coefficients (is the intercept term, a constant) and is the error term.
Likewise, is the estimated coefficients and is the error term.
with ASST and RURAL. Likewise, strong, significant (5% LOS) and positive relationship of NIM
with GSEC is also indicated. All these relationships are as expected and are in conformity with the
underlying.
From Tables (9&10), it follows that for Federal Bank (FB) there is a strong, significant (5%
LOS) and positive relation between OPR and NOM. Significant (10% LOS) and negative relation is
indicated between OPR and investment in government securities (GSEC). Besides, there is a
reasonably high level of negative association between OPR and intensity of priority sector advances
(PRIOR) as is evident from the significance level of 0.107 which is near 10% LOS, even if not strictly
statistically significant at 10% LOS. From Tables (11&12), it is observed that for FB there is a strong,
statistically significant (5% LOS) and positive association of NIM with NOM. Likewise, there is
strong, significant (5% LOS) and negative relationship between NIM and investments in government
securities (GSEC). Both these findings are as expected and are in conformity with the underlying
economic rationale.
From Tables (13&14), it follows that for South Indian Bank (SIB) there is a strong, positive and
significant (5% LOS) association of OPR with NOM. This positive association is as expected, and is in
conformity with the underlying economic rationale. From Tables (15&16), it is observed that there is a
strong, statistically significant (5% LOS) and positive association of NIM of SIB with intensity of rural
branches (RURAL). This positive relationship of NIM and RURAL is as expected and is in conformity
with the underlying economic rationale.
From Tables (17&18), it follows that there is strong, statistically significant (5% LOS) and
positive association of OPR of OPBs with NOM for OPBs in India, in general. This positive
relationship in turn is as expected and is in conformity with the underlying economic rationale. From
Tables (19&20), it is observed that for OPBs in general there is a strong, positive and significant
association of NIM with RURAL (5% LOS); and with quantum of asset (ASST) and NOM both at
10% LOS. With GSEC also there is significant (10% LOS) negative association. These relationships
are as expected and are in conformity with the economic rationale.
From Tables (21&22), it follows that there is a strong, significant (5% LOS) and positive
association of OPR and non-interest income (NOM), for NPBs in general. This finding is as expected
as per the underlying economic rationale. From Tables (23&24), it is observed that for NPBs there is a
strong, statistically significant (5% LOS) and positive association of NOM with intensity of rural
branches (RURAL). This result is also as expected and is in conformity with the underlying economic
rationale.
Model Standardized
Un-standardized Coefficients
Variables Coefficients T Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) 15.163 24.821
ASST -1.882 4.361 -.288 -.432 .688
RURAL -1.407 1.205 -.747 -1.168 .308
PRIOR -.054 .081 -.378 -.664 .543
GSEC .213 6.871 .015 .031 .977
NOM .813 .431 .933 1.887 .132
Dependent Variable: OPR
12 International Research Journal of Finance and Economics - Issue 47 (2010)
Tables 2: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: OPR) for CSB
Standard
Variables Mean R R Square Durbin – Watson
Deviation
OPR 1.795405 .8536322
ASST 5.634084 .1305811
RURAL 1.885302 .4536254
0.955 0.911 2.595
PRIOR 30.47096 6.0084549
GSEC .280854 .0584277
NOM 1.801099 .9796308
Standard Durbin –
Variables Mean R R Square
Deviation Watson
NIM 9.2654 1.2193
ASST 5.6341 0.1306
RURAL 1.8850 0.4536
0.99 0.98 2.815
PRIOR 3.0471 6.0085
GSEC 0.2809 0.0584
NOM 1.8011 0.9796
Standard Durbin –
Variables Mean R R Square
Deviation Watson
OPR 1.7799 0.9219
ASST 5.4191 0.1746
RURAL 1.6439 0.4862
0.97 0.95 2.53
PRIOR 32.1576 5.5208
GSEC 0.24670 0.0261
NOM 1.7673 1.0262
Model Standardized
Un-standardized Coefficients
Variables Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) -7.466 2.574 -2.901 .044
ASST 2.469 .468 .336 5.274 .006 *
RURAL 3.593 .175 1.360 20.497 .000 *
PRIOR .004 .012 .015 .290 .786
GSEC -11.645 1.894 -.236 -6.149 .004 *
NOM -.060 .058 -.048 -1.027 .362
Dependent Variable: NIM ( * Significant at 5% LOS)
Standard Durbin –
Variables Mean R R Square
Deviation Watson
NIM 8.9540 1.2841
ASST 5.4191 0.1746
RURAL 1.6439 0.4862
0.99 0.98 2.50
PRIOR 3.2158 5.5208
GSEC 0.2467 0.0261
NOM 1.7673 1.0262
Model Standardized
Un-standardized Coefficients
Variables Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) -1.943 7.035
ASST 1.617 .969 .717 1.669 .171
RURAL -.700 .513 -.554 -1.364 .244
PRIOR -.112 .054 -.527 -2.068 .107
GSEC -8.021 3.627 -.476 -2.211 .091 **
NOM 1.094 .199 .845 5.511 .005 *
Dependent Variable: OPR ( * Significant at 5% LOS) (Significant at 10% LOS)
14 International Research Journal of Finance and Economics - Issue 47 (2010)
Tables 10: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: OPR) for FB.
Standard Durbin –
Variables Mean R RSquare
Deviation Watson
OPR 2.745967 .5408273
ASST 6.213996 .2399264
RURAL 1.841819 .4280802
0.97 0.95 2.88
PRIOR 34.03265 2.5446520
GSEC .255440 .0321281
NOM 1.636322 .4176910
Tables 11: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: NIM) for FB.
Model Standardized
Un-standardized Coefficients
Variables Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) 34.598 16.521
ASST -3.017 2.276 -.496 -1.326 .256
RURAL -.022 1.205 -.006 -.018 .986
PRIOR -.026 .127 -.046 -.207 .846
GSEC -32.372 8.518 -.713 -3.801 .019 *
NOM 1.637 .466 .468 3.509 .025 *
Dependent Variable: NIM ( * Significant at 5% LOS)
Tables 12: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: NIM) for FB.
Standard Durbin –
Variables Mean R R Square
Deviation Watson
NIM 9.3217 1.4595
ASST 6.214 0.2399
RURAL 1.8418 0.4281
0.98 0.97 2.88
PRIOR 34.0326 2.5446
GSEC 0.2554 0.0321
NOM 1.6363 0.4177
Tables 13: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: OPR) for SIB.
Model Standardized
Un-standardized Coefficients
Variables Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) 3.228 9.167 .352 0.742
ASST .066 1.261 .026 .053 0.961
RURAL -.186 .600 -.166 -.310 0.772
PRIOR -.045 .053 -.257 -.858 0.439
GSEC -2.813 3.072 -.335 -.916 0.412
NOM .770 .273 1.124 2.823 0.048 *
Dependent Variable: OPR
(* Significant at 5% LOS)
International Research Journal of Finance and Economics - Issue 47 (2010) 15
Tables 14: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: OPR) for SIB.
Standard Durbin –
Variables Mean R R Square
Deviation Watson
OPR 2.2191 0.5395
ASST 5.9719 0.2146
RURAL 1.9130 0.4822
0.95 0.91 2.73
PRIOR 32.1421 3.0601
GSEC 0.2801 0.0643
NOM 1.5519 0.7873
Tables 15: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: NIM) for SIB.
Model Standardized
Un-standardized Coefficients
Variables Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) -14.809 17.824 -.831 .453
ASST 3.246 2.453 .460 1.324 .256
RURAL 5.351 1.166 1.703 4.587 .010 *
PRIOR -.059 .103 -.119 -.573 .597
GSEC -10.657 5.973 -.452 -1.784 .149
NOM -.531 .531 -.276 -1.000 .374
Dependent Variable: NIM
( * Significant at 5% LOS)
Tables 16: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: NIM) for SIB.
Standard Durbin –
Variables Mean R R Square
Deviation Watson
NIM 9.1089 1.5149
ASST 5.9719 0.2146
RURAL 1.9129 0.4822
0.97 0.95 2.60
PRIOR 32.1421 3.0601
GSEC 0.2801 0.0643
NOM 1.5519 0.7873
Tables 17: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: OPR) for OPBs.
Model Standardized
Un-standardized Coefficients
Variables Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) -5.364 4.164 -1.288 .267
ASST 1.093 .778 .439 1.405 .233
RURAL .009 .441 .005 .019 .986
PRIOR -.021 .045 -.102 -.469 .663
GSEC 4.528 3.090 .292 1.465 .217
NOM .642 .146 .850 4.407 .012 *
Dependent Variable: OPR (* Significant at 5% LOS)
16 International Research Journal of Finance and Economics - Issue 47 (2010)
Tables 18: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: OPR) for OPBs.
Standard Durbin –
Variables Mean R R Square
Deviation Watson
OPR 2.2761 0.4602
ASST 5.6832 0.1848
RURAL 1.2665 0.2697
0.98 0.97 2.61
PRIOR 33.6250 2.2288
GSEC 0.2453 0.0297
NOM 1.5813 0.6096
Tables 19: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: NIM) for OPBs.
Model Standardized
Un-standardized Coefficients
Variables Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) -14.924 9.145 -1.632 .178
ASST 4.273 1.709 .644 2.501 .067 **
RURAL 6.033 .968 1.327 6.230 .003 *
PRIOR -.141 .098 -.257 -1.437 .224
GSEC -17.990 6.787 -.435 -2.651 .057 **
NOM .695 .320 .345 2.172 .096 **
Dependent Variable: NIM
(* Significant at 5% LOS)
Tables 20: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: NIM) for OPBs.
Standard Durbin –
Variables Mean R R Square
Deviation Watson
NIM 8.9314 1.2265
ASST 5.6832 0.1848
RURAL 1.2665 0.2697
0.99 0.98 2.54
PRIOR 33.6250 2.2289
GSEC 0.2453 0.0297
NOM 1.5813 0.6097
Tables 21: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: OPR) for NPBs.
Standard Durbin –
Variables Mean R R Square
Deviation Watson
OPR 2.3878 0.2760
ASST 6.6041 0.3803
RURAL 0.3945 0.0863
0.91 0.82 2.05
PRIOR 22.9565 7.9598
GSEC 0.2249 0.0131
NOM 1.9008 0.2941
Tables 23: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: NIM) for NPBs.
Model Standardized
Un-standardized Coefficients
Variables Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) 14.557 10.346 1.407 .232
ASST -1.397 1.393 -.620 -1.003 .373
RURAL 10.064 1.882 1.012 5.349 .006 *
PRIOR .095 .061 .883 1.558 .194
GSEC -16.866 16.122 -.258 -1.046 .355
NOM .133 .642 .046 .208 .846
Dependent Variable: NIM
(* Significant at 5% LOS)
Tables 24: Results of Regression Analysis (Dependent Variable: NIM) for NPBs.
Standard Durbin –
Variables Mean R RSquare
Deviation Watson
NIM 7.9437 .8575548
ASST 6.6041 .3803431
RURAL 0.3945 .0862538
0.95 0.90 2.89
PRIOR 22.9565 7.9598082
GSEC 0.2249 .0131343
NOM 1.9008 .2940723
The fourth hypothesis as mentioned above is sought to be tested here. From Table 25, it is quite
clear that share of priority sector advances in the total advances portfolio (denoted by PRIOR) has got
no significant relationship with the operational efficiency measured in terms of Net Interest Margin
(NIM). None of the KOPBs under study or the general cases of OPBs and NPBs, has any such
significant relationship. Thus, the sixth hypothesis stands rejected.
Hypothesis–5: Share of rural (and semi-urban) branches in the total branch network
adversely affects the profitability of KOPBs measured in terms of OPR.
The fifth hypothesis as mentioned above is sought to be tested here. From Table 25, it is quite
clear that share of rural (including semi-urban) branches in the total branch network (denoted by
RURAL) has got no significant relationship with the profitability measured in terms of Operating
Profit Ratio (OPR). This is applicable in respect of all KOPBs and also the general case of OPBs and
NPBs in India. Thus, fifth hypothesis stands rejected.
Hypothesis–6: Share of rural (and semi-urban) branches in the total branch network
adversely affects the operational efficiency of KOPBs measured in terms
of NIM.
The sixth hypothesis as mentioned above is sought to be tested here. From Table 25, it is quite
clear that share of rural (including semi-urban) branches in the total branch network (denoted by
RURAL) has got a strong and positive relationship with the operational efficiency measured in terms
of Net Interest Margin (NIM) and is applicable even in the general case of OPBs and NPBs in India.
However, the case of Federal Bank does not support the above relationship. Thus, the sixth hypothesis
is rejected, because the fact is just the reverse.
Concluding Remarks
In view of the foregoing, it may be meaningful to suggest the following strategies for OPBs in general
and KOPBs in particular, for enhancing operational efficiency and risk management capability,
particularly credit risk management:
Firstly, added thrust is required for enhancing the non-interest income. This can significantly
improve their profitability. Non-interest income can be improved through undertaking more of fee
based activities, besides the traditional fund-based activities like providing credit (advances). In this
regard, it may be pointed out that higher investments in technology would help to improve the non-
interest income of banks.
Secondly, as a policy banks may focus on income generation from lending and allied activities
(fee-based income) rather than investing more in government securities. This is because, as such
government investments goes up, the risk management capability particularly credit risk management
(in terms of NIM) may come down as per the empirical evidence. In short, more of lending and allied
activities and less of investments in government securities is the advisable policy for better risk
management capability of banks.
Thirdly, as a policy rural focus in respect of branches is good for better management of risks,
especially credit risk. Rural branches may act as promoters of low volume and large number loans
which may effectively diversify the credit risk, though such branches might not contribute towards
profitability per se. Another important fact in this regard is priority sector advances are do not affect
either profitability or risk management adversely, as against the popular belief in this regard. In short,
rural focus is quite desirable, and priority sector advances need not be discouraged also.
The strategies as above have got special significance in respect of OPBs in general and KOPBs
in particular in the ongoing globalized regime of fierce industry competition; because higher
profitability, and strong risk management capability are vital for these banks for survival and growth.
20 International Research Journal of Finance and Economics - Issue 47 (2010)
References
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End Notes
I. PSBs refer to the Public Sector Banks in India. PSBs is a group of commercial banks wherein
the Government of India has got controlling stake, ie. 51 percent or more equity. These include
8 State Bank group (SB group) banks comprising of State Bank of India and its 7 associate
(subsidiary) banks, and another 19 nationalised banks (NBs) which were once private sector
banks but were subsequently acquired by the Government of India, in two phases of
nationalization, in 1969 and in 1980.
II. OPBs refer to the set of all Old Private Sector Banks functioning in India. For the purpose of
this paper, those OPBs which have been functioning throughout the ten years’ period (FY 2000
to FY 2009) under study alone are considered. Thus, banks which have undergone
consolidation during the study period have not been considered for this purpose for the sake of
consistency. For instance, Bank of Punjab Ltd., an erstwhile OPB has since become Centurion
Bank of Punjab Limited after merger with a new generation private sector bank viz. Centurion
Bank. Though Centurion Bank of Punjab is still categorised as an OPB, the same has not been
considered. As per the above criterion, 15 OPBs have been functioning throughout the period
under study and accordingly these have been considered for analysis. These 15 OPBs include
the four Kerala-based OPBs (KOPBs) that are under focused study viz. (i) Catholic Syrian
Bank (CSB), (ii) Dhanalakshmi Bank (DB), (iii) Federal Bank (FB), and (iv) South Indian
Bank (SIB). The remaining 11OPBs are based in other states in India and include: (i) Bank of
Rajasthan, (ii) City Union Bank, (iii) Jammu & Kashmir Bank, (iv) Karnataka Bank, (v) Karur
Vysya Bank, (vi) Lakshmi Vilas Bank, (vii) Nainital Bank, (viii) Ratnakar Bank, (ix) SBI
Commercial and International Bank, (x) Tamil Nadu Mercantile Bank, and (xi) ING Vysya
Bank. The average values of performance parameters of the above 15 OPBs have been
considered as the representative figures for ‘OPBs’ category and are taken for analysis.
III. NPBs refer to the set of all New Generation Private Sector Banks in India. For the purpose of
this study only those NPBs that have been functioning throughout the ten years’ period (FY
2000 to FY 2009) under study have been considered. NPBs were given registration only since
the mid-1990s (FY 1995 and afterwards) by the Reserve Bank of India. These banks being
International Research Journal of Finance and Economics - Issue 47 (2010) 21
governed by the regulatory policies of the Government of India pertaining to the ongoing era of
financial sector deregulation (post 1991 scenario), their commitment towards priority sector and
such other directed credit policies of the Government are much lesser than those of Public
Sector Banks (PSBs) and Old Private Sector Banks (OPBs). Besides, these new banks are
equipped with latest technological platforms. In short, NPBs are more or less comparable with
foreign banks (FBs) operating in India, rather than PSBs or OPBs. As already mentioned above,
only the NPBs that have been functioning throughout the ten years’ period under study (FY
2000 to FY 2009) are considered for analysis, and as such the newer NPBs (like, Kotak
Mahindra Bank, Yes Bank etc.) have not been considered. As per the above criterion, four
NPBs viz. (i) Axis Bank (formerly, UTI Bank), (ii) HDFC Bank, (iii) ICICI Bank, and (iv)
Indusind Bank have been considered. The average values of the relevant parameters for each
year, for the 10 years’ period under study are taken as representative ‘NPB’ group in the study.
IV. FBs refer to the foreign banks functioning in India. FBs have lower commitment towards
priority sector and other directed credit schemes of the Government. FBs are equipped with
most advanced technology.
V. KOPBs refer to OPBs which are of Kerala origin, viz. registered in the state of Kerala. As of
March 2010, there are only four KOPBs viz. CSB, DB, FB, and SIB. (See Note–II above for
full details).
VI. Nationalization of banks (acquiring private banks by Government of India and making them
Government-controlled banks) took place in India in two phases; first in 1969, (14 banks) and
then in 1980 (6 banks). Of these 20 nationalized banks (NBs), one bank (viz. New Bank of
India) was merged with Punjab National Bank subsequently. Thus, there are 19 NBs in India as
of 2010.