Professional Documents
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In order, among other things, to utilise the 'safe harbour' provisions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform
Act 1995
1995, we e are pro
providing
iding the follo
following
ing ca
cautionary
tionar statement
statement: This presentation contains certain for
forward-looking
ard looking
statements with respect to the operations, performance and financial condition of the Group. Although we believe
our expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, any forward-looking statements, by their very nature,
involve risks and uncertainties and may be influenced by factors that could cause actual outcomes and results to
be materially different from those predicted.
predicted The forward-looking
forward looking statements reflect knowledge and information
available at the date of preparation of this presentation and AstraZeneca undertakes no obligation to update
these forward-looking statements. We identify the forward-looking statements by using the words 'anticipates',
'believes', 'expects', 'intends' and similar expressions in such statements. Important factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements, certain of which are beyond
our control, include, among other things: the loss or expiration of patents, marketing exclusivity or trade marks, or
the risk of failure to obtain patent protection; the risk of substantial adverse litigation/government investigation
claims and insufficient insurance coverage; exchange rate fluctuations; the risk that R&D will not yield new
products that achieve commercial success; the risk that strategic alliances or the integration of acquired
b i
businesses will
ill b
be unsuccessful;
f l th
the iimpactt off competition,
titi price
i controls
t l andd price
i reductions;
d ti ttaxation
ti risks;
i k th
the
risk of substantial product liability claims; the impact of any failure by third parties to supply materials or services;
the risk of failure to manage a crisis; the risk of delay to new product launches; the difficulties of obtaining and
maintaining regulatory approvals for products; the risk of failure to observe ongoing regulatory oversight; the risk
that new products do not perform as we expect; the risk of environmental or occupational health and safety
liabilities; the risks associated with conducting business in emerging markets or the failure to develop our
business in such markets; the risk of reputational damage; the risk of product counterfeiting; and the risk of failure
to successfully implement planned cost reduction measures through productivity initiatives and restructuring
programmes. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a profit forecast.
AstraZeneca believes emerging
g g
markets are a sustainable
opportunity
Our goal is to continue double-digit growth, with
emerging markets becoming ~25% of AZ sales by 2014
AZ emerging
g g markets revenue g
goal
$12bn
$8bn
$4bn
$0bn
2009 2014
Our strategy in emerging markets has three elements
A B C
Continue to grow Extending our Broaden portfolio to
our presence in geographic foot- selectively include
the large BRIC-MT print by increasing branded generics
markets our involvement in
high-growth small
and mid-size
markets
Executing our strategy will create double-digit growth
C
B
A
A
G
Grow our strong
t portfolio
tf li off existing
i ti brands
b d
• Drive increased share
Continue to grow •E
Expandd our coverage
our presence in (geographic, customers & channels)
the large BRIC-MT
markets Launch AstraZeneca’s highly
g y relevant
pipeline products
Launch a highly selective portfolio of
b
branded
d d generics
i
Our highly relevant pipeline will be a large source of
growth in emerging markets
Examples
Lifecycle management on our core Crestor – JUPITER results
innovative brands Seroquel XR
Faslodex 500mg
E
Emerging
i market
k t relevant
l t in-licensing
i li i Cubicin
C bi i
Ceftaroline
NXL104 combinations
Pi
Piperacillin
illi / tazobactam
t b t
Cimzia
NKTR-118
TC5214
Now let us consider two of our most important markets
Xudong Yin
Marketing Company President,
China
China
Rubens Pedrosa
Marketing Company President,
Brazil
Brazil
AstraZeneca believes emerging
g g
markets are a sustainable
opportunity
Emerging Markets
Investor Day
China
March 16, 2010
China is the single largest emerging market opportunity
+20%
~$30bn
Pfizer/Wyeth
AstraZeneca hospital
demand sales in China
Bayer grew 31% from 2008
g
to 2009, outpacing
Sanofi-Aventis
market growth
Yangzijiang
Roche
Ke Lun
Shandong Qilu
Hengrui
Novartis
Source: IMS
AstraZeneca has seen consistent above-market
growth in China
$811m
+32%
$437m
$203
$203m
Yi X
Yin Xudong
d F d i k Ch
Fredrick Chu Sh h
Shuhwa Y
Yang
Marketing Company General Manager Finance, Commercial &
President Hong Kong Administration
Meade Zhang
Ingrid Zhang Human Resources
Sales & Marketing
Years with AZ: 2
Years with AZ: 6 Experience: HR
Experience: Sales,
Marketing, Strategy
Top commercial leaders are all Chinese and have been with AZ since 2004
I d
Industry l di staff
leading ff turnover rate ((a third
hi d llower than
h average))
We have a strong business presence across China
E t
Externall ttrainings,
i i Xinjiang
Beijing
Liaoning
Ningxia Shanxi
Qinghai Shandong
Gansu Jiangsu
Shaanxi Henan
Shanghai
Xizhang Hubei Anhui
Sichuan Chongqing
Zhejiang
Hunan Jiangxi
Fujian
Guizhou
Yunnan Guangdong
Guangxi
Hainan
We have supported this with investments in
manufacturing and R&D
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
2007
New Products
Ceftaro- Dapag-
line liflozin
Vimovo
1 IV formulation 80
We have successfully boosted growth in the past
following NRDL listing
Sales
NRDL
listing
Ɩ Ɩ Ɩ Ɩ Ɩ Ɩ Ɩ
2003 04 05 06 07 08 2009
New Products
Ceftaro- Dapag-
line liflozin
Vimovo
1 IV formulation 82
Our core portfolio has enjoyed high growth and still
has high growth potential driven by brand loyalty
$
$18m 54%
4% 3 %
37%
1 2005-09. 2 2006-09. Source: *AZ; **IMS 83
Industry leading customer segmentation and targeting
capability enables AZ to continue to increase productivity
• We profiled 250,000 doctors out Sales rep productivity 1st half 2009
of 1.3m in China, building a Roche
valuable proprietary customer
Novo Nordisk
database
Bayer
• Using our database, we
rigorously segmented and
targeted the relevant physicians Pfizer
Novartis
• This has allowed us to continue
MSD
to boost the productivity of our
sales
l fforce Sanofi A entis
Sanofi-Aventis
GSK
Lilly
We are expanding our coverage into an additional
100 cities to extend the value of these core brands
$300 500
$300-500m >100m estimated to have heart disease in China
1Assumes the following IMS ATC classification: Brilinta (B1C), Onglyza (A10J, A10K, A10L, A10M, A10N), Cubicin (J1X), Ceftaroline (J1D, post-3rd generation
cephalosporins). Source: IMS, AZ analysis; China Daily; International Diabetes Foundation; National Nasocomial Infections Surveillance System; Journal of
Globalization and Health
Strong local customer insights allow us to launch new
products with maximum impact
Segment size
Annual funds collected for insurance
$154bn
+22%
$42bn
$21bn
UBMI (Urban employed)
Population covered 138m 200m 315m
+43%
$24bn
UCMS (Urban residents not $0bn $2bn
covered by UBMI)
Population covered 0m 117m 300m
Government
+45% funded
$40bn
$12bn
$1bn
RCMS (Rural residence)
Population covered 180m 815m 822m
• Drive g
growth with current core brands
• Solidify leadership position in China Rx with new products
• Establish profitable leadership position in the broad market
Emerging Markets
Investor Day
Brazil
March 16, 2010
Brazil is a high-growth market with strong fundamentals
… and catching up to
10th 9th 8th
• GDP-growth
g boosting
g household incomes
and leading to middle class growth
• Primarily out
out-of-pocket
of pocket payment for medicines
with patients willing to pay for innovation,
quality, and services
% of Households
30
15 to 20 million
new consumers
20
b
became middle
iddl
class during the
last decade
10
2010
2002
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Household
ouse o d income
co e
$ '000
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, 2010
AstraZeneca is the #7 multi-national pharmaceutical
company in Brazil but has significantly increased its rank
Rx market share, 2009, % Growth rate,
Local player
2004-09 %
2004-09,
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Novartis 28%
EMS 38%
Sanofi-Aventis 19%
Roche 30%
Aché Labs 17%
Pfizer 14%
Medley 32%
Eurofarma 33%
Abbott 35%
Merck AstraZeneca has 10%
improved from #15 in 30%
Bayer Brazil in 2004 13%
GlaxoSmithKline 16%
Castro
Cas o Marques
a ques 28%
8%
Johnson & Johnson 18%
Source: IMS
AstraZeneca has seen consistent above-market
growth in Brazil
$457m
~30%
30% p.a.
$330m
We have grown
consistently at twice the
market, which averaged
10-12% growth per year
$134m
over the same period
Cecilia
Cec a Abe
be Miguel
gue Monzu
o u Daniela
a e a Cas
Castanho
a o
Compliance Officer Human Resources Director Operations Director
Launch selected
branded generics
Introduce AstraZeneca’s
and local in-licensed
new global launch
Grow our business in products
products
public reimbursement
Drive share and existing Branded
innovative brands Ceftaroline generics
Vimovo
Dapag-
liflozin
Our capabilities allow us to continue our momentum
F th sales
Further l boost
b t possible
ibl lleveraging
i clinical
li i l ttrial
i l results
lt
Source: AstraZeneca
We have successfully entered the growing
public segment
$2.2bn
$14m
$150 200
$150-200m 32% of all deaths in Brazil attributable to
cardiovascular disease
1Assumes the following IMS ATC classification: Brilinta (B1C), Onglyza/Dapagliflozin (A10J, A10K, A10L, A10M, A10N), Cubicin (J1X), Ceftaroline (J1D), Vimovo
(N2B). Source: IMS; British Journal of Medicine, International Diabetes Foundation, Globocan
AstraZeneca is also launching locally relevant in-
licenses and branded generics
A B C
Continue to grow Extending our Broaden portfolio to
our presence in geographic foot- selectively include
the large BRIC-MT print by increasing branded generics
markets our involvement in
high-growth small
and mid-size
markets
Beyond BRIC-MT, AZ sees many important markets
Emerging
g g markets incremental sales forecast 2009-14
Tunisia
Syria
Lebanon
Iraq
q
Morocco West Bank
Kuwait
Jordan Bahrain
Algeria Qatar
Libya
Egypt
gyp
UAE
Oman
Saudi Arabia
Yemen
$336m
• ~3 times market growth
+29% p.a.
• Fastest growing pharmaco
$210m i MENA
in
• ~$250m added 2004-09
$95
$95m
Saudi Arabia
1 Projection based on sustained growth at 8-12% per annum. Source: IMS Global Market Prognosis, June 2009; AZ analysis
In Saudi Arabia, we have tailored our approach to the
three different segments of the market
Saudi Arabia
Traditional focus of
AZ Saudi Arabia Expanding our business in Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
$97m
+20%
$39m
2004 2009
Source: AstraZeneca
Our major brands have significant momentum
Saudi Arabia
$22
$22m 20% 15%
$50 150
$50-150m 30% off d
deaths
th are related
l t d tto h
heartt
disease or atherosclerosis
1 IMS ATC classification: Brilinta (B1C), Onglyza (A10J, A10K, A10L, A10M, A10N), Cubicin (J1X), Ceftaroline (J1D), Vimovo (N2B). Source: IMS
We have the infrastructure for growth
Portfolio • Strong
g momentum in • Almost all p
products now
current portfolio on formulary
• Upcoming line extensions • New global product launches
• New global product launches
Coverage
g Increase in ppopulation
p covered Government improving
p g
by private insurers coverage through the Ministry
of Health for certain groups
(e.g. elderly and unemployed)
Algeria
Algerian
g Rx market sales Key
y growth
g drivers
• Large population (~35m) with
$3.3–4.0bn
$3.3 4.0bn
universal health care coverage
• Expected 4-5% GDP growth
supported by large oil and gas
reserves
$2.3bn
• However, clear government
policy
p y to reduce imports
p and
$1.2bn control health care spend
1 Projection based on sustained growth at 8-12% p.a. Source: IMS Global Market Prognosis, June 2009
We are the #10 pharma company in Algeria despite
opening local organisation only 3 years ago
Source: AZ
In Algeria we continue to expand our local presence and
will be launching key products
~$60m
$60m
E
Examples
l
~$45m
~$40m
~$30m
~$15m
24% 31% 14% 6% 25%
Source: IMS
In Algeria we continue to expand our local presence and
organisation to support key product launches
Supported
pp with expanded
p Explore
p local manufacturing
g options
p
organisation
Expected benefits from local
Number of reps manufacturing presence
• Mitigate risk from import restrictions
+200 300+
• Simplify and accelerate registration
100+ procedure
• Reinforce negotiation position in pricing
2009 2014E and IP discussions
Source: AZ
MENA – an example of the potential of small and
medium sized markets
medium-sized
A B C
Continue to grow Extending our Broaden portfolio to
our presence in geographic foot- selectively include
the large BRIC-MT print by increasing branded generics
markets our involvement in
high-growth small
and mid-size
markets
Brands dominate the market as brands are
the best proxy for quality
Emerging
g g market sales1, 2009,, Ex-manufacturer
~$30bn
(~17%) ~$180bn
~$50bn
(~28%)
~$90bn
( 50%)
(~50%)
~$10bn (~5%)
1 Projected from 17 selected markets (China, Turkey, India, South Korea, Brazil, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Taiwan, Hungary, Romania, Egypt, Algeria, Saudi Arabia,
South Africa, Ukraine, UAE) to reflect total in emerging markets. Source: IMS; AZ analysis.
Why we believe we can succeed in branded generics
We are well p
positioned for success / profitability
p y
• We have the capabilities needed
- AstraZeneca is a world leader across emerging and established
markets at building brands
• We will follow a highly focused branded generics strategy
- Stringent criteria to select only markets and products where we
can achieve success
• Branded generics planned for:
~30 markets out of 100+ selected
~100 molecules out of 2,000+ originally profiled
Our strategy is focused on where we
can compete profitably
We focus on p
products where we can…
• Leverage AZ infrastructure, sales force, strength, and presence
• Focus on quality as a primary factor in customer product selection
• Differentiate our product through dosage, formulation, combinations,
etc…
• Create a ‘new’ market where products have demand but are not
promoted or are under promoted by the originator
• Strengthen AZ positioning across the portfolio in government tenders
without addition sales force resources
… and where we can obtain favourable pricing – e.g. similar to our
branded originals
We have chosen a highly selective initial portfolio of
~100 molecules
~30-40
~20-30
~20-30
~15-25
15 25 ~10-20
~5-15
1 Including Diabetes; 2 Most common drugs in this group are anticoagulants, painkillers and anti-infectives. Source: AZ Internal
We will expand our relationship with Torrent to support
the ramp-up
ramp up of our branded generics business
• Torrent has a p
proven ability
y to manufacture to AstraZeneca’s high
g
standards and a strong track record in a wide range of products
• We have a license and supply contract with Torrent for 18 products
in 9 markets
• AstraZeneca will expand the agreement to cover additional products and
markets to support the roll
roll-out
out of its branded generics business
• AstraZeneca and Torrent have agreed a “heads of terms” defining the
key
y pillars
p of a long-term
g strategic
g p partnering
g
Let us show you two examples
of our BGx country strategy
Jerzy Garlicki
Marketing Company President,
Poland
Poland
Ricardo Alvarez-Tostado
Marketing Company President,
Mexico
M i
Mexico
Emerging Markets
Investor Day
Branded Generics (BGx)
March 16, 2010
Poland is a growing market with the government serving
as the primary payer
$133m • AZ currently
tl ranked
k d
~14% p.a. as #9 MNC in Poland (2009),
up from #14 in 2004
• Largest products in Poland
$68m are Zoladex, Pulmicort,
Seloken and Symbicort
• Sales force of 300+
FTEs across ~10
therapeutic areas
2004 2009
37%
Branded
originals
1 Categorisation based on Q1-Q2 2008 data; retail market only. Source: IMS, AZ analysis
Why AZ believes Poland provides a
sustainable BGx market
• Physicians
y strongly
gyp prefer branded p products;; p
preferences
unlikely to shift significantly in next 3-5 years
Anti-infectives
Support AZ’s Meronem positioning
for hospital tenders
AstraZeneca Poland 2014
revenues (%)
Cardiovascular
Build on AZ’s leadership in CV and
leverages CV salesforce
BGx
Source: AZ analysis
We have ‘proof of concept’ in Poland
Pliva had little success with a generic version …With success coming only after partnering with
off T
Torasemide…
id AZ on a branded
b d d generic
i
• Menarini first launched Trifas in 2000 • By 2006, market underdeveloped with Menarini
in Poland underpromoting Trifas
- Pliva supported the product with minimal • AstraZeneca successfully promoted the
promotion or engagement with stakeholders product with no added infrastructure or
increase in sales force
- Generic gained almost zero share
with Trifas maintaining almost constant share - AZ leveraged existing coverage of target
customers (e.g. cardiologists) and strong
reputation in CV
Success of an AstraZeneca promoted branded
generic in Poland
Source: IMS
Emerging Markets
Investor Day
Branded Generics (BGx)
March 16, 2010
Mexico is a growing market with patients typically
self paying for medicines
self-paying
Retail p
price comparison
p across Emerging
g g Markets1, Index
Mexico
Russia
Brazil
Poland
Turkey
Number of
Th
Therapy A
Area molecules
l l R ti
Rationale
l
~30
Source: AZ
Example product
Diabetes fixed dose combination
Source: IMS
Key takeaways on our branded generics plan
• We are taking
g a selective approach
pp in branded g
generics,, focused
on the markets and products where we can compete profitably
A B C
Continue to grow Extending our Broaden portfolio to
our presence in geographic foot- selectively include
the large BRIC-MT print by increasing branded generics
markets our involvement in
high-growth small
and mid-size
markets
Our goal is to continue double-digit growth, with
emerging markets becoming ~25% of AZ sales by 2014
AZ emerging
g g markets revenue g
goal
$12bn
$8bn
$4bn
$0bn
2009 2014
Emerging Markets
Investor Day
y
16 March 2010
Drivers of AstraZeneca success to date
A B C
Continue to grow Extending our Broaden portfolio to
our presence in geographic foot- selectively include
the large BRIC-MT print by increasing branded generics
markets our involvement in
high-growth small
and mid-size
markets
Emerging markets are forecast to contribute
~70% of pharma growth in the next 5 years
$55bn
Established Markets 30%
$765bn
2009E 2014E
Emerging
g g markets projected
p j to grow
g at a 12% CAGR from 2009-2014
1 Emerging markets are all markets outside EU-15, Norway, Switzerland, Iceland; US, Canada, Japan, Australia, New Zealand. Source: IMS extrapolation.