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Key points
Business aspects
• SCI commands 35% of the Indian flagged tonnage, which again is about 10-11% of India’s ports
based import export. Foreign carriers dominate, but this may change soon.
• Exports and imports are growing by 21.4 per cent and 23.2 per cent this year, which are largely
executed through shipping. This indicates a robust demand. Coal & crude imports are expected
to accelerate.
• Key indicators of pricing are Baltic Dry Index and the Baltic Tanker Indices. These peaked in early
2008, fell to lows in 2009, are stabilizing in 2010, and are expected to recover in 2011 along with
rebound in global economies and trade.
• SCI profits also have shown a recovery trend in 2010.
• SCI is seeing the need to invest in new assets to – replace an ageing fleet and – meet growing
demand. This FPO will be followed by large order placements, both deploying FPO funds, cash
from operations and raising debt.
Unique strengths of SCI:
• A diversified fleet (bulk carriers, crude/oil products tankers, container vessels, etc.) that caters
to all types of cargo for domestic and international markets
• Relationships with PSUs like Coal India and SAIL – bhaichara - that can grow a lot
• Cash on hand is Rs 49 per share (post FPO). This is a good statistic. It means you are paying only
Rs 84 per share for the running business of SCI.
Comparison of SCI and Sensex – We expect recent underperformance will correct soon
SCI FPO analysis: 2nd December 2010
Earnings are showing recovery in the last 6 months, a lagged effect of 2008-09 slowdown