Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Nov. 8, 2006
K. Ohno (VDF)
<Intro>
Methodology & Content
Under market-orientation and integration,
policy must change. This M/P tries to adopt
new methodology & new content.
For methodology, stakeholder involvement &
inter-ministerial coordination are pursued
(JWG process explained)
For content, both demand and supply issues
are featured. Motorbikes in VN are a social
issue as well as an industrial issue.
<Intro>
The role of government
Government must support the healthy growth
of the industry. Private businesses are
primary players but policy is also important.
Three roles: policy orientation (ch.1-3),
realistic and meaningful standards (ch.5-9),
industrial capability (ch.4,9).
Our projections are indicative and guiding,
created by discussion among businesses,
policy makers, and experts.
<Ch.1-1>
Motorbike Use in Vietnam
High density use in Asia
--Asian data to show popularity
--Reasons: climate, rapid growth, underdeveloped
public transport
--Unlike autos, motorbikes are more country-specific
and not exported very much
Vietnam’s unique features
--Show past data for sale, use, etc
(1) High use relative to income (data)
(2) Multiple use and all types of users
(3) Hanoi & HCMC have motorbike-friendly features
<Ch.1-1> Cont.
(4) Large rural-urban gap, unlike Thailand or Taiwan
(data)
(5) Market is very dynamic: from saving means to
commodity, then fashion product
Policy factor and speed of motorization
--Motorization as income rises (international data)
--However, its speed also depends on policy such as
infrastructure, standards, taxes & charges, etc.
--What policy stance for speed of motorization? (to
next section)
<Ch.1-2>
Future Direction
Policy objectives: conditional promotion
--Policy must have broad perspectives & consistent
with transport & industrial master plans.
(1) People’s mobility and convenience
(2) Quality of life
(3) Reasonable cost and timing of building transport
infrastructure
(4) Leveling-up of industrial capability
policies (ch.5)
Motorbike use & sales—projection (ch.3)