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DAILY REPORT _December 15-16, 2010
PSE Index Pts Change % Change Volume (m) Value (phpm) Advancers Decliners Unchanged
4,089.75 -58.28 -1.41% 919.05 4,096.73 43 98 36
The slower value flow, coupled with the fact that the market fell, and managed to bounce off the upper edges of a support band,
should throw some positive light heading past the middle of the last full week of trades before the two-succeeding holidays-shortened
periods. However, the widening breadth drains the strength on any upside, or, alternatively, in this instance, confirms the negative
bias. The short-term view of investors has kept the index confined in the 4,050- 4,170 trading band and the absence of fresh leads
have favored a “liquidate-and-stay-at-the-sidelines” stance.
Coming into play are data on Consumer Prices and Industrial Production due out tonight. The latter is seen to rise to 0.3% in
November following flat growth in October. Capacity utilization rate is also anticipated to increase to 75.1% from 74.8% in the
month prior. Inflation is seen to be on level with with October's 0.2%, with core inflation marginally rising by 0.1%. (bloomberg.com
data) Both are seen to provide some positive spin to trades Thursday.
However, a potentially new concern has surfaced. Moody's has hinted at a possible cut in the Aa1 Debt rating of Spain, with the
institution raising concerns over borrowing costs, potential losses in the banking system and deficits in the country's regions. This has
sent European index futures lower. After the Ireland bail-out, global markets have been on edge on what other economies in the zone
will fall into the same trap – Spain and Portugal have topped the list.
Market sentiments will be driven by how Europe holds against this new development, and further how this development will impact
on US data out tonight.
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