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Abstract: Amethod has been developed for predicting visibility over Donmuang airport at 0700 a.m. in winter from surface
meteorological observations at 0100 a.m. and 0500 a.m. using multiple linear regression. Data from the Thai Meteorological
Departments weather station at Bangkok International Airport in December, January and February were used. For each month two
models were found: one containing all the available surface observations, and one omitting the insignificant observations. The model
forecast consists of the probabilities of fog, poor visibility, and good visibility, respectively.
1
The Joint International Conference on “Sustainable Energy and Environment (SEE)”
1-3 December 2004, Hua Hin, Thailand
2
The Joint International Conference on “Sustainable Energy and Environment (SEE)”
1-3 December 2004, Hua Hin, Thailand
Fig. 2 TMD-511
1.0
0.8 M
Fig. 3 TMD-121
0.6
1.0
0.8 M M H
0.6
0.4
0.4
FORECAST
0.2 M H F
FORECAST
0.0
-0.2
M
-0.4 H F F
0.2
-0.6
-0.8
-1.0
-1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.0
ACTUAL
Fig. 4 TMD-521
-0.2
-0.4 3
The Joint International Conference on “Sustainable Energy and Environment (SEE)”
1-3 December 2004, Hua Hin, Thailand
4.2 Conclusion
Fog and poor visibility are difficult to forecast. The
models developed in this research are not perfect, but they
have been proved to give results that will be of value to
forecasters with their predictions. At the present time
computer programs are being developed in the Royal Thai Air
Force Base, Weather division by means of which forecasters
can obtain probabilities of fog, poor visibility and good
visibility at 0700 LST from the weather observations at 0100
LST and 0500 LST.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The authors gratefully acknowledge the contribution of
[RHBE, RTAF, TMD].
REFERENCES
[1] Suwanpong, S.(1974), Weather Instrument Handbook,
Thai Meteorological Department, pp. 2-3.